Each week, four of Basketball Insiders’ top writers will break down the latest news and notes surrounding the 2015 NBA Draft. Included is a revised Mock Draft that reflects how each writer sees the draft landscape based on the latest news, workouts and information from in and around the process.
Here is Consensus Version 3.0:
Yannis’ Notebook: With the NBA Draft Combine upon us, it’s really important to remember that this is just a part of the process, unless of course a red flag of some sort – especially those of the medical variety – surfaces. NBA teams have been doing their research on the majority of players in attendance for at least a year, in some cases even several. For them, the combine really just provides an opportunity to get exact measurements, see some competitive action and get to know a little bit about the person behind the player.
The latter may be the most beneficial of the entire process. Teams dont always interview players they think they can draft, but a lot are doing research and information gathering for free agency down the road. Others really test players’ mental aptitude with brain teasers and complex hypotheticals. A few don’t put much into the process, simply having players fill out a questionnaire sheet in an empty room. If this part of the combine were televised, though, it would be the most interesting by far.
Look for there to be risers and fallers after the completion of the combine as there is every year. There’s a long ways till draft night, though, and a lot can change no matter how good or bad the combine goes for a prospect.
Joel’s Notebook: Just like they have in years past, the Philadelphia 76ers have been absolutely brutal without being the absolute worst, which means there’s a good chance that once again they will not end up with the top overall pick this year. For the first time, however, that might not be the worst thing. While landing Karl-Anthony Towns or Jahlil Okafor would be a coup for any franchise regardless of what they’ve got on the roster, the reality is that the last couple of drafts already have yielded Sam Hinkie a couple of franchise big men (he thinks, at least) in Nerlens Noel and Joel Embiid. Adding Towns or Okafor to that would be fine, but a point guard like Emmanuel Mudiay or D’Angelo Russell would probably be a better fit for them, especially now that they’ve traded away Michael Carter-Williams.
Mudiay, in particular, would be an awesome fit for them. He’s a 6’5 point guard who’s quick and heady and athletic, and despite the fact that he’s been portrayed in some ways as a guy who skipped college to greedily accept $1.2 million to play a year in China, the fact is that his reasons for taking that money were both noble and justified, and he really is a young man of character. As soon as teams interview him, they’re going to love what they see.
While Mudiay is less a mystery than Dante Exum was last year because he played high school and AAU ball in the States, college basketball nuts don’t know much about him. It doesn’t help that he won’t be attending the combine (his brother will be the first in his family to graduate college that same week), but his affability and talent is going to win over a lot of teams once they do finally get a chance to meet with him and see him work out.
Philadelphia traded MCW because they didn’t think he was a franchise point guard and they were hoping to find one in a future draft. Well, here he is, and he might be a better fit for the Sixers than the big men are.
Alex’s Notebook: Cameron Payne is an interesting prospect to keep an eye on throughout the pre-draft process, as his stock could be on the rise after teams get a chance to see what he can do at the combine and in workouts.
In this week’s mock draft, I have Payne going to the Houston Rockets at No. 18. Houston could really a use a young point guard behind Patrick Beverley since they currently have two 37-year-old backups in Jason Terry and Pablo Prigioni.
While this would be a good landing spot for Payne since he’d get an opportunity to contribute on a contender, it’s very possible that he could climb even higher.
In recent years, small-school point guards have had meteoric rises in the draft. Damian Lillard and Elfrid Payton are the best examples, as they unexpectedly climbed into the top 10 in their drafts. This is because these small-school players rarely receive the exposure they deserve throughout their collegiate career, and executives admit they haven’t watched them as much as they have the well-known prospects.
With Payton, it was only after he did an outstanding job in workouts against other point guard prospects that teams really looked at all of his game film and came away impressed with what they saw. This allowed him to go from being projected as a late first-rounder to going No. 10 overall (and landing with the Orlando Magic through a draft-night trade).
This year, Payne could be that prospect that turns heads and climbs draft boards. He was very productive in his two seasons at Murray State. As a sophomore, he averaged 20.2 points, 6.0 assists, 3.7 rebounds and 1.9 steals while shooting 45.6 percent from the field and 37.7 percent from three.
He’s a talented scorer, as evidenced by his points per game, but he’s also a very good facilitator. He averaged 7.3 assists per 40 minutes and he had the highest assist percentage of all the prospects ranked in DraftExpress’ top 100. Payne was also efficient, as his 29.5 PER was fifth among all of DraftExpress’ first-round prospects.
Payne has shown that he’s a well-rounded floor general, capable of putting up points and making his teammates better when playing the role of true point guard. One of the biggest knocks on him right now is that he didn’t face elite talent in college, but that’s exactly what he’ll be doing during the pre-draft process. Payne will have the opportunity to show what he can do against some of the more notable prospects, and don’t be surprised if you hear his name a lot over the next month.
Steve’s Notebook: The smokescreens of meetings and workouts is arguably the most entertaining part of the NBA Draft process. As soon as the Draft Combine wraps in Chicago a whirlwind of frequent flier miles will get generated as teams try to bring in dozens of prospects for a face to face meeting, a workout and visit to their facilities.
While no two teams approach the process the same way, it is interesting to hear about how many players a team is trying to schedule and how many teams a player gets scheduled to see.
Syracuse big man Rakeem Christmas already has 12 workout dates locked in over a 32-day span, with several more teams trying to get him to lock in a date. Conceivably if Christmas were open to it, he could have as many as 25 visits and workouts, however, his camp is trying to narrow down the serious teams from those that are just data collecting.
Louisville point Terry Rozier was invited to Phoenix for a workout. On the surface that sounds promising considering their style of play, however, with a roster loaded with point guard types how does that work out for Rozier?
No player wants to pass on a legitimate chance to showcase to a team that wants to draft him, however, there is a lot of misdirection and fact finding that takes place in the workout process that isn’t always about drafting a player.
Teams like the Houston Rockets and Philadelphia 76ers try to see as many players as possible, not to specifically to draft them but to start a file on them for future use. Now there is always a chance someone stands out in the process and changes the thinking of the team, but in many cases guys are being brought in because teams are willing to spend the time and money to do it, or are looking for guys to go against players they really like.
The gamesmanship of the draft is always amusing, especially when the bulk of the league is in one place, as is the case this week in Chicago for the 2015 NBA Draft Combine, where teams are trying to gain an advantage anyway they can get one.
2020 NBA Mock Draft – The Final 60-Pick Mock
What a long and winding road the 20201 NBA Draft has been. While this draft cycle has seen its ups and down, the moment of truth if finally upon us.
What a long and winding road the 20201 NBA Draft has been. While this draft cycle has seen its ups and down, the moment of truth if finally upon us.
Here is a final look at the 2020 Draft, and how it may play out in this final 60-pick Mock Draft of the 20202 NBA Draft process:
2020 NBA Mock Draft – First Round – 08/21/2020
The 2020 NBA Draft order is now locked in, however, there are tons of additional questions to be answered in the coming weeks. Here is a look at the first round, in this Basketball Insiders Mock Draft.
To say the 2020 NBA Draft has been chaotic is an understatement, however with last night’s NBA Draft Lottery out of the way, things are starting to at least trend in a positive direction.
That doesn’t mean there are not challenges ahead, namely when the actual NBA Draft will take place.
There is a growing sense that the NBA and the players are going to push back the start of the next cap year, which will likely impact when and how the NBA Draft plays out.
Typically, the Draft is a major transaction window for NBA teams, and with so much unknown surrounding how the salary cap will be set, and when trades and transactions typically consummated around the draft would become official, there is a lot of uncertainty, making the 2020 NBA draft wide open on many fronts.
The hope among teams is that some clarity on all of this will surface in the coming weeks, but for now most teams are operating in uncharted waters.
With all of that in mind, here is a look at the 2020 NBA Draft First round, which will be the first of many weekly Mock Drafts we’ll be dropping all the way up to the draft, whenever that finally gets set.
The Basketball Insiders Annual Consensus Mock Drafts will begin in September, as will full 60-pick mocks starting next week, so stay tuned.
2019 NBA Consensus Mock Draft – Final
For the last seven weeks, four of Basketball Insiders’ top writers have been breaking down the latest news and notes surrounding the 2019 NBA Draft, here is their final look at all 60 picks.
For the last seven weeks, four of Basketball Insiders’ top writers have been breaking down the latest news and notes surrounding the 2019 NBA Draft. Each week they provided an updated mock draft that reflected how each writer saw the draft landscape based on the latest news, workouts and information from the pre-draft process as well as a notebook, outlining each writers’ thoughts, observations and reporting on the draft.
Keep in mind we are trying to find commonalities, which is why it is called the Consensus. The writers involved do not see each other’s selections until these are posted. It is done deliberately to make sure each writer is not influencing the others.
Here is the Final Consensus Mock for the 2019 NBA Draft:
*** The 30th pick in the first round was traded to the Detroit Pistons, and the picks made reflect that trade, which will not happen until after the player is selected
***The 32nd pick in the second round was traded to the Indiana Pacers, and the picks made reflect that trade, which will not happen until after the player is selected
***The 41st pick in the second round was traded to the Golden State Warriors, and the picks made reflect that trade, which will not happen until after the player is selected
Jesse’s Notebook Some recent trades, including the trades for Anthony Davis and Mike Conley, as well as a few other transactions have shifted the draft board yet again. First-round picks are being moved around after a period in which prying away a first-rounder from another team was basically a non-starter. With the way the last few days have unfolded, and with the Western Conference seemingly wide open, I am predicting there will be several major trades on draft night. Add in the uncertainty surrounding several star free agents, and it’s simply impossible to predict with much precision what will happen on Thursday. However, this is the sort of environment that excites fans almost as much as the actual playoffs and NBA Finals, and I am not one to complain.
What is interesting about this is the fact that this draft seemingly drops off a cliff (arguably) once we get to the ninth pick. It would be more understandable to anticipate major moves on draft night with a loaded class, but that simply isn’t the case this year. My draft board has moved around wildly throughout this process, and I am bracing myself to be off the mark on draft night. All it takes is one trade for things to get thrown off in a major way, and I am anticipating at least a few major moves.
Throughout this process, I was looking for a handful of players to grab my attention and never let it go. Last season, that player was Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and I was very interested in seeing where Michael Porter Jr. would ultimately land given his talent and injury issues. That player never really emerged this year, however. I think Cameron Reddish is one of the more intriguing players in the class considering his talent and upside, but shaky college record.
I look forward to revisiting this draft a few years down the road. At least one general manager is going to get a steal somewhere in the middle or backend of the draft. Considering how comparable the talent is throughout the board once we get past the lottery, it’s hard to say who the steal of the draft may be. Again, I am fully prepared for draft night to go off script in a major way. I recommend all NBA fans do the same.
Drew’s Notebook After months of planning, the 2019 NBA Draft is finally upon us. And per the usual, the closer we get, the harder it is to differentiate between fact and fiction given the number of smokescreens generated by agents and teams.
The Grizzlies appear dead set on Ja Morant. And rightfully so considering they traded away Mike Conley. The Knicks have continued to do their due diligence having worked out Vanderbilt’s Darius Garland just yesterday – and those close to Garland say the interest is real. On the flip side of the Knicks’ decision, RJ Barrett claims to have made considerable improvements since we last saw him at Duke – take that with a grain of salt. But the Knicks still appear to be the first team with a real decision to make.
We also hear that Nassir Little could go as high as nine to Washington and that Sekou Doumbouya might have a guarantee from Orlando at 16. So watch out for those curveballs, too.
As far as teams looking to consolidate their picks are concerned, the Hawks have resisted the idea of packaging the eighth pick along with 10 and/or 17, which may prohibit them from moving up as high as they would prefer. Atlanta owned six picks coming into the draft process – 8, 10, 17, 35, 41 and 44. They’ve already dealt 41 to Golden State and 44 to Miami. We’ll see if they continue moving/consolidating picks in hopes of mitigating the number of rookies they bring into training camp.
We’ve also heard that the Celtics would like to package their picks to move up, but it seems as though they’ve struggled to gain any traction – probably because teams can’t accurately predict who will be available with their selections (the Celtics’ first selection is 14). Boston may have to wait for some names to come off the board before others decide if trading back for multiple selections is the right move.
Draft night will inevitably deliver a number of surprises to the Brooklyn crowd. I expect heavy trade activity tomorrow night in advance of another wild free agency period, beginning June 30.
Spencer’s Notebook The day is here, folks! Tonight marks the official date of the 2019 NBA Draft, which will begin potentially one of the most hectic summers the association has ever seen.
In past notebooks from different versions of our Consensus Mock, I surmised that much of the shakeout would depend on what happened with Anthony Davis in New Orleans. Well, that situation resolved itself this past week when the Los Angeles Lakers made a franchise-altering trade with the Pelicans to land “The Brow” in Hollywood.
New Orleans executive vice president of basketball operations David Griffin now holds significant draft capital, as the team has both the first and fourth pick in this upcoming class. He also swindled three more first-rounders along with The Big Easy’s new upstart talents in Lonzo Ball, Brandon Ingram, and Josh Hart. Due to the abundance of young guard/wing talent, and multiple teams vying to trade up using different packages, there’s a reason for the Pelicans to deal away No. 4.
And because of the uncertainty of what will happen at that slot, it’s difficult to predict how the draft will ultimately shake out. For example, if New Orleans decides to hang onto it, they could take Darius Garland, or RJ Barrett (if he falls) or whomever they deem fits their organization. However, if a team like the Atlanta Hawks jumps the Cleveland Cavaliers to draft Jarrett Culver or De’Andre Hunter, it could cause a domino effect that may completely alter everybody else’s plans.
Just in the past 48 hours, we learned about developments in New York. According to ESPN’s Jonathan Givony, the Knicks brass is seriously considering Garland at No. 3 and worked him out Wednesday. Whether this is actual interest or a way to drive up an asking price for their draft pick in order to make a deal of their own, we don’t actually know. The same thing could be said for Cleveland, who despite having Collin Sexton, is intrigued by the dynamic point guard.
At this point in the process, the real information could differ completely from what’s being leaked. Smoke is already filling up the room. It’s almost impossible to predict what will happen in this year’s draft, especially when most people around NBA circles believe that, at the tail end of the lottery, there could be draft picks moved every which way.
This is like throwing a dart blindfolded. As I tweeted last night, we might be burning our mock drafts at the rate we rip up brackets in the month of March.
The Utah Jazz and Milwaukee Bucks already moved their first-round picks in separate deals. That could only be the beginning. Who knows what the Hawks and Boston Celtics will do with three first-round selections in such a difficult class to differentiate player talent?
We won’t have to wait much longer to find out. Enjoy draft night, everyone!
Steve’s Notebook The 2019 NBA Draft is tonight in Brooklyn, New York, and while the suspense at the top of the draft board looks unchanged, there is a lot of potential for movement everywhere else.
As things stand today, Zion Williamson will be the top overall pick with almost no surprise there.
At number two, there continued to be talk last night that New Orleans was trying to pry the number two pick out of Memphis to grab Duke’s RJ Barrett, which would push Memphis back to the fourth spot and catching either Murray State’s Ja Morant or Vanderbilt’s Darius Garland, after the Knicks select at three. While these talks remain fluid, it does not appear at this point there will be a deal, but as is true with all trades, the right combination of assets changing hands can often turn a “No” into a “Yes.”
The New York Knicks have done their fair share of waffling on what to do at number three. While RJ Barrett remains the odds on favorite, the Knicks did take a long look at Garland on Wednesday in New York, as well as having surveyed executives from other teams for their views on Barrett, which is common due diligence, but also shows there may be some doubt on the long-term fit of Barrett.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have also been busy working on trade scenarios that could include in the fifth overall pick, the partially guaranteed cap clearing contract of JR Smith and their second pick at 26. The narrative around Cleveland is that they want to build around last year’s pick Collin Sexton, but the potential availability of Garland could test that commitment. Since the NBA Draft Combine, the Cavs have been linked to Duke’s Cam Reddish in trade down scenarios. There has been a belief that if Texas Tech guard Jarrett Culver is there at five, the Cavs may grab him and flip him to the Atlanta Hawks for either of the eighth or tenth picks and the Hawks pick at 17 which they obtained from the Brooklyn Nets.
As for some of the notable teams:
The prevailing thought is the Chicago Bulls are grabbing either Virginia’s De’Andre Hunter or UNC’s Coby White at 7.
The Washington Wizards seemed to have three guys in their sights: White, UNC’s Nassir Little and Limoges CSP’s Sekou Doumbouya.
The Hawks seem to be where Mega Bemax’s Goga Bitadze is going to land, likely at the ten spot.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are said to be extremely high on Gonzaga’s Rui Hachimura, although things could get interesting if Texas big man Jaxson Hayes is still on the board.
The Miami HEAT seem very open to trading their pick at 13, and there was talk in New York that Darius Bazley may be the HEAT’s guy, even as high as 13 if they keep the pick. The Pistons are also believed to be very high on Bazley.
The 2019 NBA draft is shaping up to be one of the turbulent drafts in recent years. A typical draft will have 15 to 18 transactions, most involving moving picks around. This year’s draft may double that when all the trade volume is done, so don’t get too attached to anyone your team may draft – they may not be there long.
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