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2015 NBA Mock Draft: Consensus Ver 4.0

Each week, four of Basketball Insiders’ top writers will break down the 2015 NBA Draft, including a revised Mock Draft based on the latest information.

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Each week, four of Basketball Insiders’ top writers will break down the latest news and notes surrounding the 2015 NBA Draft. Included is a revised Mock Draft that reflects how each writer sees the draft landscape based on the latest news, workouts and information from in and around the process.

Here is Consensus Version 4.0:

Previous Version:  1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0

Moke’s Notebook: Now that the draft order has been set, there are two names that I would certainly keep in my mind as having the potential to blow things up, dramatically: Kristaps Porzingis and Julius Randle.

Like Dante Exum last year, Porzingis is looked upon as an international man of mystery, with some scouts and executives believing he can break into the draft’s top three. While that is difficult to imagine, the consensus top four being broken into could have ripple affects throughout the first round.

As it relates to Randle, assume for a moment that the Los Angeles Lakers want to fully commit to him. Would that make them reluctant to draft either Karl-Anthony Towns or Jahlil Okafor with the second overall pick? Would a point guard cut from the mold of Emmanuel Mudiay or D’Angelo Russell make more sense for the franchise? These are questions that will be answered between now and the draft.

I was around when Charlie Villanueva, Stephen Curry, Dion Waiters and even Dante Exum landed in places we didn’t expect them to, and what I would bet on, above all, is that there will be at least two or three names that surprise us this June. Based on what we know today, Okafor, Towns, Mudiay and Russell are the consensus top four players, but rules (and mock drafts) were made to be broken.

Joel’s Notebook: Every year there’s a player who unexpectedly sneaks up the board and finds himself among the top five picks of the draft. Last year it was Aaron Gordon in Orlando, but in previous years we’ve seen Anthony Bennett, Dion Waiters and Tristan Thompson all be surprise top-five picks by the Cavaliers.

This year, it looks like there’s a pretty solid top-four in Karl-Anthony Towns, Jahlil Okafor, Emmanuel Mudiay and D’Angelo Russell, but the Magic are once again in a bit of a mysterious spot at No. 5. I’ve had Justise Winslow there since we started doing these mock drafts because I think he’s going to be a stellar two-way pro. I just can’t see him missing as an NBA stud. But just because I feel that way doesn’t mean Orlando will, and there are plenty of other kids available to them there that they could take a gamble on.

Willie Cauley-Stein wouldn’t be a huge surprise considering the value of rim protectors in today’s NBA. But one of the Euro kids – Kristaps Porzingis or Mario Hezonja – would be genuinely surprising there, even though Orlando can afford to grab a project like one of those players and wait for them to blossom with the rest of the roster.

I tend to lean toward Myles Turner as the guy who ends up getting drafted way higher than any of us expect. He didn’t have a great freshman season at Texas, particularly after coming out of high school so highly-touted, but he’s a huge, athletic kid with as much potential as anybody else in the draft. His ceiling is considerably higher than Cauley-Stein’s, for example, and teams are going to figure that out during the workout/interview process. He’s a likeable kid with so much ahead of him, and when one compares that to Gordon, Waiters, Thompson and Bennett, it’s the same kind of thing that got all of them drafted earlier than expected.

Turner’s not incredibly high on draft boards yet, and he may not go No. 5 to Orlando, but he seems surprisingly reasonable in the six-to-nine range.

Alex’s Notebook: For the first three versions of the Consensus Mock Draft, I had Jahlil Okafor at the top of my board. Now, I have moved Karl-Anthony Towns into the No. 1 spot.

While I still believe that Okafor is the better prospect (and I explained why here), some of the comments made by Minnesota Timberwolves president of basketball operations and head coach Flip Saunders made me think that they’re leaning toward Towns.

Immediately after winning the lottery, Saunders said on a conference call with reporters that the Timberwolves want their top overall pick to fit into an up-tempo system (which makes a lot of sense for them with Andrew Wiggins, Zach LaVine and Ricky Rubio among others part of the long-term plan).

“I think both [Okafor and Towns] are going to be All-Star type players, but I think when we look at anybody that we look at in the draft, it’s about how they will fit in with the players that we have, what their dynamic is and how we want to play,” Saunders said. “We feel that with Wiggins and with LaVine, that we can be an up-tempo team.”

That seems to suggest that Towns will be the pick, as he is the more athletic of the two prospects and seems like he could be more of a threat running the floor. Towns’ defense could also help him here, as Minnesota already has Wiggins – a very good perimeter defender – and may want to go with the better two-way player to build a very good defense rather than going with the better offensive prospect.

Okafor is the player to go with if you want the center who will be great in a half-court offense and who can make things happen with touches in the paint since he has great post moves, footwork, etc. The Los Angeles Lakers (a HUGE winner on lottery night) may land him with second overall pick and could have a very scary frontcourt for years to come with Okafor and last year’s first-round pick Julius Randle.

And honestly, it’s very possible that Okafor and Towns will both be eyeing the bright lights and huge market of Los Angeles and prefer (or at least not exactly mind) going No. 2 overall.

Steve’s Notebook: So now we know the order of the draft. Barring a blow-out workout or some kind of undisclosed injury, Karl-Anthony Towns likely becomes the top overall pick. There was a sense that Towns was likely the top pick prior to the lottery, but with Minnesota in control it’s almost a lock.

Sources close to the process had pegged Towns as the Timberwolves’ top target for most of the season. The only variable is if Towns is somehow red flagged.

That leaves the Los Angeles Lakers with a tough choice at No. 2. Do they take the best player (Jahlil Okafor) or do they go with the guy they had pegged at No.5 (Willie Cauley-Stein) or do they start trying to line up trade scenarios? The beauty of the second pick is there isn’t nearly as much external pressure to keep it, so moving around and trying to extract more than one asset out of the pick is possible.

Landing the third pick was something of a blessing for the Philadelphia 76ers as they get the first choice after the big guys are gone. This likely puts D’Angelo Russell, Emmanuel Mudiay and Kristaps Porzingis squarely in the mix for the third overall pick.

Sitting at No. 4, the New York Knicks can now draft the player they were said to covet after Towns, and that’s Cauley-Stein. The Knicks spent enough time on the Kentucky campus this season to qualify for summer classes, so they are extremely familiar with the Kentucky guys and Cauley-Stein at four is a real possibility. The wrinkle is Russell and Mudiay. If Russell is on the board at four, the Knicks may grab him. But if it comes down to Cauley-Stein and Mudiay, the Knicks may go with the defensive big man and pass on Mudiay.

The draft lottery finally rewarded the worst overall team with the top pick, which hadn’t happened prior to yesterday since 2004.

And if you did not see it yet, the NBA posted the entire lottery drawing process after the ESPN telecast, which you can find here.

Who are these guys anyway? Steve Kyler is the Managing Editor and Publisher of Basketball Insiders and has covered the NBA for the last 17 seasons. Alex Kennedy is a Senior NBA Writer and Editor for Basketball Insiders and has covered the NBA for the last seven years. Moke Hamilton is a Senior Writer for Basketball Insiders and has covered basketball for the last five years. Joel Brigham is a Senior NBA Writer and has covered the NBA for the last 10 years.

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Mock Drafts

2019 NBA Consensus Mock Draft – Ver 6.0

With one week left, four of Basketball Insiders’ experts take a look at the draft class and weigh in on what they are seeing and hearing in the march up to the 2019 NBA Draft.

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Each week, four of Basketball Insiders’ top writers will break down the latest news and notes surrounding the 2019 NBA Draft. With every new version, you’ll see an updated mock draft that reflects how each writer sees the draft landscape based on the latest news, workouts, and information from the pre-draft process as well as a notebook, outlining each writers’ thoughts, observations and reporting on the draft.

Keep in mind; we are trying to find commonalities, which is why it is called the Consensus. The writers involved do not see each other’s selections until these are posted. It is done deliberately to make sure each writer is not influencing the others.

As this process plays out, the mocks will evolve, so look for a new Consensus each Wednesday, all the way up to draft day on June 20th.

Here is this week’s Consensus Mock:

Version: 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0

Jesse’s Notebook: My board remains relatively intact from Ver 5.0, but I now have Darius Garland going to the Lakers with the fourth overall pick. Steve Kyler has reported that Garland may have a promise from the Lakers, which makes sense considering the team’s roster construction and Garland’s skill set.

I still predict the Knicks selecting RJ Barret with the third overall pick, but Jarret Culver seems intent on pushing for that slot by hyping up his defensive impact. Where I think things will get interesting is the fifth pick. Of course, what the Cavaliers ultimately do with the fifth overall pick depends on what happens with picks 1-4, but I wouldn’t be shocked if Cleveland takes a chance on someone who isn’t necessarily on our radar at this point.

Atlanta is emerging as one of the teams I am particularly interested in. Their front office is smart and aggressive collectively, so I am eager to see what they do on draft night. Atlanta is building an intriguing core of young talent, so a strong draft could catapult them another step forward in their rebuild.

While we are quickly coming up on draft night, I still don’t have a clear picture of what will happen after the 10th pick. My board continues to shift on a day-to-day basis and I would not be shocked if the draft ends up in chaos, with at least a few players making big leaps up the board and others suffering big drops.

Spencer’s Notebook: In the most up to date version of this mock draft, things have changed a bit. We learned about the first big trade prior to June 20, with the Brooklyn Nets sending Allen Crabbe, their current 17th pick to the Atlanta and a protected 2020 first-rounder for Taurean Prince and a future second round pick. Brooklyn offloaded a heavy contract to free up cap space for the upcoming summer of free agency, while the Hawks gained a meaningful extra selection.

It doesn’t quite shake things up in the lottery much yet, but that could certainly change. With three picks in the top 17 range of this draft, it wouldn’t be surprising for the Hawks to package together some picks to move up the board. It also offers flexibility for Atlanta with the amount of assets they possess.

Who knows what the Los Angeles Lakers do with that fourth pick, but if it’s kept, it could come down between Darius Garland and Jarrett Culver. The latter worked out for the team recently and the returns were impressive.

On another player I haven’t discussed much yet to this point – Nassir Little is a prospect that, before the NBA Draft process began, was expected to go at No. 15 at the highest after one year at North Carolina. His defensive ability comes into question, as does his outside shooting. It was all-in-all an underwhelming showing for a five-star high school prospect who—despite playing his role well—ended up as the Tar Heels’ sixth man.

However, there is no denying the athleticism and pro-ready frame, which will be Little’s ace in the hole heading into the draft. At the NBA Combine, he took an opportunity to show those elements off and ran with it. Put the former McDonald’s All-American in the right situation and the team who takes him might be getting a player with top-ten potential.

Drew’s Notebook: This past week looked like it would be a quiet one, and then the Nets traded the 17th overall pick and Allen Crabbe to the Hawks for Taurean Prince and a protected 2020 pick. So gone is the idea that Brooklyn will be drafting a backup big man. Instead, the Nets appear poised to make a play for at least one max-level free agent (if not two) in the very near future.

But the Nets aren’t the only team well-positioned following their trade. The Hawks now have three first-round picks. They can consolidate them via trade or they can opt to use all three. Either way, the Hawks are primed to add at least one top-flight rookie. Be on the lookout for the Hawks to discuss packaging all three picks in a deal with the Cavs and Bulls.

I am also interested in monitoring the New York Knicks’ interest in Texas Tech’s Jarrett Culver. Rumors have been circulating for the last week or so about their fascination with the 6’6″ shooting guard, which could indicate interest in trading down; Culver was projected between the fifth and ninth pick in last week’s Basketball Insiders’ 2019 NBA Consensus Mock Draft — Version 5.0.

The Knicks represent an inflection point in this year’s draft. What they choose to do with the third pick sets the tone for at least picks four through eight. They can either select RJ Barrett, pick Culver or whomever else they feel best fits their team and philosophy, trade down for additional assets or package the pick with other assets in exchange for a superstar-caliber player. Their interest in a deal with the Hawks could be significant now considering the Hawks have a third 2019 first-round pick to trade.

Regardless of what the Knicks choose to do, all of the teams that pick after them must have a number of strategies fleshed out to ensure complete preparedness. And with the draft less than two weeks away, all of the teams picking in the lottery should be prepared for chaos.

Steve’s Notebook: If you have followed me in previous drafts (this is the 15th draft I have covered professionally), there is usually a point in which I lose faith in everything I think I know. Maybe it’s information overload after the Combine, the Pro Days and the workouts, but it seems every year I get to a point where I don’t trust what I am hearing.

Does Garland really have a promise to the Lakers? Jarrett Culver’s camp doesn’t think so.

Are the Cavaliers trading the 5th pick? Atlanta seems to think they have the inside track on a deal that would allow them to keep the 8th pick while picking up the 5th pick, but is that deal hinged on Cleveland landing Cam Reddish; who they have coveted since before the Draft Lottery?

Are the Bulls getting Lonzo Ball from the Lakers in exchange for the 7th pick? It seems they might if that additional pick nets the Lakers Anthony Davis from New Orleans, or will Chicago swoop and scoop all of the Davis suitors and land him in Chicago for themselves and keep the 7th pick?

The Celtics seem to be open to moving most of their first-round picks, but who is buying? Denver seems like they want into the first-round, so does Houston.

If the chatter around this draft is illustrating anything to me, it’s that the bulk of the picks currently being held in the 6 to 26 range could change hands, it seems that crazy at this point, but that may simply be a by-product of so many teams exploring what their draft options are.

If you are grading the draft process at home, please be kind, I am not sure how much I really know at this point, and sadly, that’s not uncommon.

Things usually take much firmer shape on the Tuesday before the draft, which thankfully is just a few days away.

Who are these guys anyway? Steve Kyler is the Publisher of Basketball Insiders and has covered the NBA for the last 21 years. Jesse Blancarte is a Senior NBA Writer and Deputy Editor for Basketball Insiders and has covered the NBA for the last five years. Spencer Davies is also a Senior NBA Writer and Deputy Editor for Basketball Insiders and has covered the NBA for the last three years. Drew Maresca is an NBA Writer for Basketball Insiders and is finishing his first season covering the NBA.

More Twitter: Make sure you are following all of our guys on Twitter to ensure you are getting the very latest from our team: @stevekylerNBA, @LangGreene, @EricPincus, @TommyBeer, @jblancartenba, @SpinDavies, @JamesB_NBA, @MattJohnNBA, @DrewMaresca, @JordanHicksNBA, and @Ben__Nadeau .

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Mock Drafts

2019 NBA Consensus Mock Draft – Ver 5.0

Each week, four of Basketball Insiders’ experts take a look at the draft class and weigh in on what they are seeing and hearing in the march up to the 2019 NBA Draft.

Basketball Insiders

Published

on

Each week, four of Basketball Insiders’ top writers will break down the latest news and notes surrounding the 2019 NBA Draft. With every new version, you’ll see an updated mock draft that reflects how each writer sees the draft landscape based on the latest news, workouts, and information from the pre-draft process as well as a notebook, outlining each writers’ thoughts, observations and reporting on the draft.

Keep in mind; we are trying to find commonalities, which is why it is called the Consensus. The writers involved do not see each other’s selections until these are posted. It is done deliberately to make sure each writer is not influencing the others.

As this process plays out, the mocks will evolve, so look for a new Consensus each Wednesday, all the way up to draft day on June 20th.

Here is this week’s Consensus Mock:

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EDITORS NOTE: This is technically last week’s Consensus Mock Draft, these picks we made a several days ago and will be updated again this week to get back on schedule.

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Version: 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0

 

Who are these guys anyway? Steve Kyler is the Publisher of Basketball Insiders and has covered the NBA for the last 21 years. Jesse Blancarte is a Senior NBA Writer and Deputy Editor for Basketball Insiders and has covered the NBA for the last five years. Spencer Davies is also a Senior NBA Writer and Deputy Editor for Basketball Insiders and has covered the NBA for the last three years. Drew Maresca is an NBA Writer for Basketball Insiders and is finishing his first season covering the NBA.

More Twitter: Make sure you are following all of our guys on Twitter to ensure you are getting the very latest from our team: @stevekylerNBA, @LangGreene, @EricPincus, @TommyBeer, @jblancartenba, @SpinDavies, @JamesB_NBA, @MattJohnNBA, @DrewMaresca, @JordanHicksNBA, and @Ben__Nadeau .

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Mock Drafts

NBA Daily: 60-Pick NBA Mock Draft – 5/28/19

The 2019 NBA Draft is approaching fast and while NBA teams are thoroughly entrenched in ProDays and draft workouts, things are starting to take shape at the top of the draft. Steve Kyler offers up another look at the 2019 NBA Draft with his latest 60-pick NBA Mock Draft

Steve Kyler

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With the NBA Draft Combine wrapped, and NBA teams well into the Pro-Day cycle, things are starting to take shape in the first round, not only with draft day promises being handed out, but with teams starting to zero in on needs and wants deeper into the draft pool.

Here are a few notes to consider, before we dive into this week’s 60-pick NBA Mock Draft:

While no draft is every as good or bad as it’s hyped to be, the 2019 NBA Draft may be one of the exceptions. In talking with league executives, there doesn’t appear to be a lot of enthusiasm outside of the top six to eight players. This could make things interesting as the draft plays out because historically teams have been able to trade around in the top 30, with some teams looking at a prospect favorably further down the board who also carries a lower guaranteed salary slot, that becomes meaningful for teams with an eye towards major free agents or salary cap flexibility. That may not materialize in this current draft pool, as it has in previous drafts.

There are a couple of names to watch as teams try and figure out the pecking order of the top 10. There is almost no scenario in which Duke’s Zion Williamson does not go number one overall. Murray State’s Ja Morant is also a virtual lock to go number two overall. At number three the prevailing thought is Duke’s RJ Barrett, either by a direct selection by the New York Knicks or as part of a trade down scenario with the Cleveland Cavaliers who have had Barrett earmarked for some time and may offer additional inducements to make a deal.

After those three are off the board Duke’s Cam Reddish, Vanderbilt’s Darius Garland, Virginia’s DeAndre Hunter, and Texas Tech’s Jarrett Culver look to be the next wave of players – the question is in what order?

Teams will start working out lottery level players next week with the 2019 NBA draft scheduled for June 20th at Barclays Center in Brooklyn.

Here is this week’s 60-pick Mock Draft:

Here are the first-round picks that are owed and how those picks landed where they are.

The Boston Celtics were to receive the Memphis Grizzlies first-round pick as a result of the three-team Jeff Green trade in 2015; the pick is top-eight protected and, based on the final lottery drawing, that pick will not be conveyed.

The Atlanta Hawks were to receive the Cleveland Cavaliers’ first-round pick as a result of the Kyle Korver trade in 2017, which is top-10 protected. But based on the final lottery drawing, that pick will not be conveyed.

The Atlanta Hawks are to receive the Dallas Mavericks first-round pick as a result of the Luka Dončić – Trae Young swap on draft night in 2018. The pick is top-five protected and, based on the final lottery drawing, that pick will be conveyed.

The Boston Celtics are to receive the more favorable of either the Sacramento Kings or Philadelphia 76ers first-round picks as part of the Markelle Fultz pre-draft trade in 2017. Based on the final lottery drawing, that pick will be conveyed; the Kings pick is the more favorable and would convey to Boston.

The Boston Celtics are to receive the LA Clippers first-round pick as a result of the Deyonta Davis draft day trade with Memphis in 2016. The Grizzlies got the pick in their Jeff Green/Lance Stephenson deal at the deadline in 2016. The pick is lottery protected and, based on the final lottery drawing, that pick will be conveyed.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are to receive the Houston Rockets first-round pick as a result of the three-team deadline deal that sent out Brandon Knight and Marquese Chriss.

The Brooklyn Nets are to receive the Denver Nuggets first-round pick as a result of the Kenneth Faried – Darrell Arthur trade in July 2018. The pick is top-12 protected and, based on the final lottery drawing, that pick will be conveyed.

The San Antonio Spurs are to receive the Toronto Raptors first-round pick as a result of the Kawhi Leonard – DeMar DeRozan trade in July 2018. The pick is top-20 protected and, based on the final lottery drawing, that pick will be conveyed.

The Phoenix Suns are to receive the Milwaukee Bucks first-round pick as a result of the Eric Bledsoe trade in 2017. The pick has top 3 and 17-30 protections, designed to yield a lottery-level pick to Phoenix. Based on the final standings this pick would not convey. Given that the debt is not settled this year, the Bucks pick in 2020 would be top-7 protected.

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