Each week, four of Basketball Insiders’ top writers will break down the latest news and notes surrounding the 2015 NBA Draft. Included is a revised Mock Draft that reflects how each writer sees the draft landscape based on the latest news, workouts and information from in and around the process.Previous Version: 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 6.0
Alex’s Notebook: Last week, Steve Kyler and I attended the draft pro day at Elev8 Basketball and came away impressed with former Louisville point guard Terry Rozier. He looked great in three-on-three play, ran the pick-and-roll well with teammate Seth Tuttle (who could be a second-round steal), and showed off his athleticism in the various drills that Elev8’s Director of Basketball Development Cody Toppert put all of the prospects through.
Well, it turns out a number of NBA executives are intrigued by Rozier too, as Marc Spears of Yahoo Sports reported that the 21-year-old has solidified himself as a first-round pick in the 2015 NBA Draft.
Rozier has been doing very well in his workouts with teams, showcasing his jaw-dropping athleticism, playmaking ability and improved three-point shot. According to sources, Rozier has worked out for the Houston Rockets, Utah Jazz, Boston Celtics, San Antonio Spurs, Indiana Pacers, Brooklyn Nets, Minnesota Timberwolves and Charlotte Hornets, and has a number of other workouts on his schedule.
One problem that Rozier has run into in recent weeks is that many of the other point guards projected to go in the first round have refused to work out against him, which initially made it hard for him to separate himself from the pack and move up draft boards.
However, he has done enough throughout the pre-draft process to increase his draft stock and perhaps even climb into the first round (as Spears indicated). That’s why, in this week’s mock draft, I have him going to the Brooklyn Nets at No. 29.
As previously mentioned, the Nets worked Rozier out and he makes a lot of sense for them. With Brooklyn reportedly looking to move on from Deron Williams this summer (and with his struggles in general), drafting a point guard is likely the smartest move for the Nets at No. 29. Brooklyn’s only other point guard with a guaranteed contract for next season is Jarrett Jack, who is 31 years old, so Rozier could be the long-term answer they’re lacking at the position.
I can’t see Rozier climbing much higher than the late 20s, but he could be a steal with one of the final picks in the first round and Brooklyn seems to be the landing spot that makes the most sense.
Joel’s Notebook: As the guy who covers the Central Division, it’s probably time to take a look at what the Central Division teams will do with their first-round picks, starting with the Detroit Pistons, who have the eighth selection in the draft. It’s a curious place to pick for them because what they need is some scoring on the wing, but there probably isn’t going to be a whole lot of that available when they pick. Mario Hezonja looks like he’d be a perfect fit (and his previous agent, Arn Tellem, just joined Detroit’s front office), but it will be a small miracle if he’s still around that late in the lottery. More likely is that the best player available at that point is a big man, be it Myles Turner, Kristaps Porzingis or Frank Kaminsky. To get the best value at that slot, they might have to double down at a position where they’re already pretty loaded.
Indiana is going to take a big guy or a point guard, which makes Turner, Kaminsky, Cameron Payne and Jerian Grant the most likely candidates. Payne reportedly has a promise from somebody, and while a lot of people think it’s Oklahoma City at No. 14, it’s pretty obvious he’d be a great fit with the Pacers. Turner makes a lot of sense too, though, especially if the team is serious about finding a long-term replacement for Roy Hibbert. Few guys at No. 11 have quite the ceiling that Turner does, even if he’s more unproven than some of the other guys available there.
Milwaukee, who picks 17th, is in a position to roll with the best player available, though with Jabari Parker and Giannis Antetokounmpo in the fold, they really don’t need any more help at small forward. A point guard that can score (Grant, for example, or Tyus Jones) could be a nice counter-punch to Michael Carter-Williams, though what they really need is some muscle in the frontcourt. Luckily, there are plenty of guys in that range that can help, with Bobby Portis, Trey Lyles, Montrezl Harell and Kevon Looney all looking like realistic possibilities there.
Finally, there’s Chicago, who after signing one-year backup point guards for the last three or four seasons could really use a more permanent solution, especially since we never know when Derrick Rose will injure himself irreparably. It’s highly unlikely Payne will be there, but Grant might be. Delon Wright looks like the quintessential lifer backup point guard, too. Pick No. 22 is a steep price for that, but he’d be a good fit. Rondae Hollis-Jefferson would fit in well with the culture in Chicago and does a little bit of everything well, but Justin Anderson is a name that keeps coming up in conjunction with the Bulls, too. They could go a lot of ways, but Gar Forman and John Paxson are pretty good at finding diamonds later in the draft (Marquis Teague notwithstanding).
Moke’s Notebook: I think we are beginning to see some uniformity in the top 10, though there are some players that reasonable minds may differ on, and that obviously begins at the top of the draft. I will probably keep Jahlil Okafor in the top spot barring something unforeseen. I think the pairing of him with Andrew Wiggins will give the Minnesota Timberwolves a one-two punch they have lacked since Stephon Marbury and Kevin Garnett.
The major news coming out of this week was the impression that D’Angelo Russell had on the Lakers when they brought him in. Russell only came across lukewarm in saying that he always envisioned himself playing against Kobe Bryant rather than with him, but that may ultimately end up being background noise, as I still have Okafor going number one and the Lakers eventually taking Karl-Anthony Towns at number two. Coming out of last week, the prevailing sentiment seems to be that Russell is the better point guard prospect between he and Emmanuel Mudiay, so I’ll stick with Russell going to the Sixers at number three.
From there, all we seem to know is that Justise Winslow, Willie Cauley-Stein and Mudiay will be the next three selected, and you can see how we differ with respect to our opinions (although Alex has Cauley-Stein dropping a bit further). Truth is, the Knicks are difficult to read, but what they do will not have a major ripple affect on the top six picks, unless, of course, they trade down.
At this point, though, barring anything unforeseen, I am comfortable with my top 10 and am not expecting a major shakeup. I wouldn’t be surprised if Cameron Payne or Sam Dekker go a little higher than we expect. At this point, though, that’s just conjecture.
Steve’s Notebook: With the 2015 NBA draft just a few weeks away, a number of players are still trying to figure out where their floor in this draft really is. The floor, as it’s called, is that team you should not get past. As players travel the country working out for teams, agents are looking for that one team that will get their player drafted.
It seems that Louisville’s Terry Rozier may have found his floor to the Brooklyn Nets at the bottom of the first round, but banking on anything in the later part of the first is always risky. However, it does look like Rozier has cemented himself as a potential first rounder.
Arkansas guard Mike Qualls, who suffered a hip injury during the Combine, has been rehabbing the injury and has just recently resumed a workout schedule. Qualls has a number of fans in the early part of the second round and could find himself in serious consideration at 31 to 39.
Georgia State’s R.J. Hunter continues to be something of an enigma, some teams are very high on Hunter projecting he could go as high as 17 to the Milwaukee Bucks, however there is a sense that he could still be around in the mid-20s but wouldn’t get past the Lakers at 27.
Justin Anderson continues to have a big workout schedule and is finding that teams may not have had an accurate picture of what he is as a player. If there’s a guy that could go significantly higher than expected it maybe Anderson. As for his floor, it seems unlikely that Anderson would be on the board past 35 to the Philadelphia 76ers.
St. John’s senior Sir’Dominic Pointer is also drawing rave reviews in workouts. While he’s a long shot in the first round, there is a growing sense that he may be in the mix between 30 and 41, with 41 to the Brooklyn Nets being a potential floor. Sir’Dominic is drawing comparisons to Memphis guard Tony Allen as a lockdown perimeter defender and has been asked back by a number of teams to work out against higher level talent in part to showcases his defense against them, but also to get a second look at a player teams may not have initially considered an option with their pick.
Murray State guard Cameron Payne was said to have a commitment at No. 14 from the Oklahoma City Thunder; however, recent workouts with the L.A. Lakers and an upcoming workout with the New York Knicks has more and more insiders believing Payne could go in the top 10, which would be a huge jump for the mid-major scoring guard most had on the low end of this draft class coming in.
On Friday, Basketball Insiders will drop the first Outsiders Consensus Mock Draft featuring a few new voices from outside of our team and their opinion on how the 2015 draft class is taking shape, so look for that to drop Friday afternoon.
2020 NBA Mock Draft – The Final 60-Pick Mock
What a long and winding road the 20201 NBA Draft has been. While this draft cycle has seen its ups and down, the moment of truth if finally upon us.
What a long and winding road the 20201 NBA Draft has been. While this draft cycle has seen its ups and down, the moment of truth if finally upon us.
Here is a final look at the 2020 Draft, and how it may play out in this final 60-pick Mock Draft of the 20202 NBA Draft process:
2020 NBA Mock Draft – First Round – 08/21/2020
The 2020 NBA Draft order is now locked in, however, there are tons of additional questions to be answered in the coming weeks. Here is a look at the first round, in this Basketball Insiders Mock Draft.
To say the 2020 NBA Draft has been chaotic is an understatement, however with last night’s NBA Draft Lottery out of the way, things are starting to at least trend in a positive direction.
That doesn’t mean there are not challenges ahead, namely when the actual NBA Draft will take place.
There is a growing sense that the NBA and the players are going to push back the start of the next cap year, which will likely impact when and how the NBA Draft plays out.
Typically, the Draft is a major transaction window for NBA teams, and with so much unknown surrounding how the salary cap will be set, and when trades and transactions typically consummated around the draft would become official, there is a lot of uncertainty, making the 2020 NBA draft wide open on many fronts.
The hope among teams is that some clarity on all of this will surface in the coming weeks, but for now most teams are operating in uncharted waters.
With all of that in mind, here is a look at the 2020 NBA Draft First round, which will be the first of many weekly Mock Drafts we’ll be dropping all the way up to the draft, whenever that finally gets set.
The Basketball Insiders Annual Consensus Mock Drafts will begin in September, as will full 60-pick mocks starting next week, so stay tuned.
2019 NBA Consensus Mock Draft – Final
For the last seven weeks, four of Basketball Insiders’ top writers have been breaking down the latest news and notes surrounding the 2019 NBA Draft, here is their final look at all 60 picks.
For the last seven weeks, four of Basketball Insiders’ top writers have been breaking down the latest news and notes surrounding the 2019 NBA Draft. Each week they provided an updated mock draft that reflected how each writer saw the draft landscape based on the latest news, workouts and information from the pre-draft process as well as a notebook, outlining each writers’ thoughts, observations and reporting on the draft.
Keep in mind we are trying to find commonalities, which is why it is called the Consensus. The writers involved do not see each other’s selections until these are posted. It is done deliberately to make sure each writer is not influencing the others.
Here is the Final Consensus Mock for the 2019 NBA Draft:
*** The 30th pick in the first round was traded to the Detroit Pistons, and the picks made reflect that trade, which will not happen until after the player is selected
***The 32nd pick in the second round was traded to the Indiana Pacers, and the picks made reflect that trade, which will not happen until after the player is selected
***The 41st pick in the second round was traded to the Golden State Warriors, and the picks made reflect that trade, which will not happen until after the player is selected
Jesse’s Notebook Some recent trades, including the trades for Anthony Davis and Mike Conley, as well as a few other transactions have shifted the draft board yet again. First-round picks are being moved around after a period in which prying away a first-rounder from another team was basically a non-starter. With the way the last few days have unfolded, and with the Western Conference seemingly wide open, I am predicting there will be several major trades on draft night. Add in the uncertainty surrounding several star free agents, and it’s simply impossible to predict with much precision what will happen on Thursday. However, this is the sort of environment that excites fans almost as much as the actual playoffs and NBA Finals, and I am not one to complain.
What is interesting about this is the fact that this draft seemingly drops off a cliff (arguably) once we get to the ninth pick. It would be more understandable to anticipate major moves on draft night with a loaded class, but that simply isn’t the case this year. My draft board has moved around wildly throughout this process, and I am bracing myself to be off the mark on draft night. All it takes is one trade for things to get thrown off in a major way, and I am anticipating at least a few major moves.
Throughout this process, I was looking for a handful of players to grab my attention and never let it go. Last season, that player was Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and I was very interested in seeing where Michael Porter Jr. would ultimately land given his talent and injury issues. That player never really emerged this year, however. I think Cameron Reddish is one of the more intriguing players in the class considering his talent and upside, but shaky college record.
I look forward to revisiting this draft a few years down the road. At least one general manager is going to get a steal somewhere in the middle or backend of the draft. Considering how comparable the talent is throughout the board once we get past the lottery, it’s hard to say who the steal of the draft may be. Again, I am fully prepared for draft night to go off script in a major way. I recommend all NBA fans do the same.
Drew’s Notebook After months of planning, the 2019 NBA Draft is finally upon us. And per the usual, the closer we get, the harder it is to differentiate between fact and fiction given the number of smokescreens generated by agents and teams.
The Grizzlies appear dead set on Ja Morant. And rightfully so considering they traded away Mike Conley. The Knicks have continued to do their due diligence having worked out Vanderbilt’s Darius Garland just yesterday – and those close to Garland say the interest is real. On the flip side of the Knicks’ decision, RJ Barrett claims to have made considerable improvements since we last saw him at Duke – take that with a grain of salt. But the Knicks still appear to be the first team with a real decision to make.
We also hear that Nassir Little could go as high as nine to Washington and that Sekou Doumbouya might have a guarantee from Orlando at 16. So watch out for those curveballs, too.
As far as teams looking to consolidate their picks are concerned, the Hawks have resisted the idea of packaging the eighth pick along with 10 and/or 17, which may prohibit them from moving up as high as they would prefer. Atlanta owned six picks coming into the draft process – 8, 10, 17, 35, 41 and 44. They’ve already dealt 41 to Golden State and 44 to Miami. We’ll see if they continue moving/consolidating picks in hopes of mitigating the number of rookies they bring into training camp.
We’ve also heard that the Celtics would like to package their picks to move up, but it seems as though they’ve struggled to gain any traction – probably because teams can’t accurately predict who will be available with their selections (the Celtics’ first selection is 14). Boston may have to wait for some names to come off the board before others decide if trading back for multiple selections is the right move.
Draft night will inevitably deliver a number of surprises to the Brooklyn crowd. I expect heavy trade activity tomorrow night in advance of another wild free agency period, beginning June 30.
Spencer’s Notebook The day is here, folks! Tonight marks the official date of the 2019 NBA Draft, which will begin potentially one of the most hectic summers the association has ever seen.
In past notebooks from different versions of our Consensus Mock, I surmised that much of the shakeout would depend on what happened with Anthony Davis in New Orleans. Well, that situation resolved itself this past week when the Los Angeles Lakers made a franchise-altering trade with the Pelicans to land “The Brow” in Hollywood.
New Orleans executive vice president of basketball operations David Griffin now holds significant draft capital, as the team has both the first and fourth pick in this upcoming class. He also swindled three more first-rounders along with The Big Easy’s new upstart talents in Lonzo Ball, Brandon Ingram, and Josh Hart. Due to the abundance of young guard/wing talent, and multiple teams vying to trade up using different packages, there’s a reason for the Pelicans to deal away No. 4.
And because of the uncertainty of what will happen at that slot, it’s difficult to predict how the draft will ultimately shake out. For example, if New Orleans decides to hang onto it, they could take Darius Garland, or RJ Barrett (if he falls) or whomever they deem fits their organization. However, if a team like the Atlanta Hawks jumps the Cleveland Cavaliers to draft Jarrett Culver or De’Andre Hunter, it could cause a domino effect that may completely alter everybody else’s plans.
Just in the past 48 hours, we learned about developments in New York. According to ESPN’s Jonathan Givony, the Knicks brass is seriously considering Garland at No. 3 and worked him out Wednesday. Whether this is actual interest or a way to drive up an asking price for their draft pick in order to make a deal of their own, we don’t actually know. The same thing could be said for Cleveland, who despite having Collin Sexton, is intrigued by the dynamic point guard.
At this point in the process, the real information could differ completely from what’s being leaked. Smoke is already filling up the room. It’s almost impossible to predict what will happen in this year’s draft, especially when most people around NBA circles believe that, at the tail end of the lottery, there could be draft picks moved every which way.
This is like throwing a dart blindfolded. As I tweeted last night, we might be burning our mock drafts at the rate we rip up brackets in the month of March.
The Utah Jazz and Milwaukee Bucks already moved their first-round picks in separate deals. That could only be the beginning. Who knows what the Hawks and Boston Celtics will do with three first-round selections in such a difficult class to differentiate player talent?
We won’t have to wait much longer to find out. Enjoy draft night, everyone!
Steve’s Notebook The 2019 NBA Draft is tonight in Brooklyn, New York, and while the suspense at the top of the draft board looks unchanged, there is a lot of potential for movement everywhere else.
As things stand today, Zion Williamson will be the top overall pick with almost no surprise there.
At number two, there continued to be talk last night that New Orleans was trying to pry the number two pick out of Memphis to grab Duke’s RJ Barrett, which would push Memphis back to the fourth spot and catching either Murray State’s Ja Morant or Vanderbilt’s Darius Garland, after the Knicks select at three. While these talks remain fluid, it does not appear at this point there will be a deal, but as is true with all trades, the right combination of assets changing hands can often turn a “No” into a “Yes.”
The New York Knicks have done their fair share of waffling on what to do at number three. While RJ Barrett remains the odds on favorite, the Knicks did take a long look at Garland on Wednesday in New York, as well as having surveyed executives from other teams for their views on Barrett, which is common due diligence, but also shows there may be some doubt on the long-term fit of Barrett.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have also been busy working on trade scenarios that could include in the fifth overall pick, the partially guaranteed cap clearing contract of JR Smith and their second pick at 26. The narrative around Cleveland is that they want to build around last year’s pick Collin Sexton, but the potential availability of Garland could test that commitment. Since the NBA Draft Combine, the Cavs have been linked to Duke’s Cam Reddish in trade down scenarios. There has been a belief that if Texas Tech guard Jarrett Culver is there at five, the Cavs may grab him and flip him to the Atlanta Hawks for either of the eighth or tenth picks and the Hawks pick at 17 which they obtained from the Brooklyn Nets.
As for some of the notable teams:
The prevailing thought is the Chicago Bulls are grabbing either Virginia’s De’Andre Hunter or UNC’s Coby White at 7.
The Washington Wizards seemed to have three guys in their sights: White, UNC’s Nassir Little and Limoges CSP’s Sekou Doumbouya.
The Hawks seem to be where Mega Bemax’s Goga Bitadze is going to land, likely at the ten spot.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are said to be extremely high on Gonzaga’s Rui Hachimura, although things could get interesting if Texas big man Jaxson Hayes is still on the board.
The Miami HEAT seem very open to trading their pick at 13, and there was talk in New York that Darius Bazley may be the HEAT’s guy, even as high as 13 if they keep the pick. The Pistons are also believed to be very high on Bazley.
The 2019 NBA draft is shaping up to be one of the turbulent drafts in recent years. A typical draft will have 15 to 18 transactions, most involving moving picks around. This year’s draft may double that when all the trade volume is done, so don’t get too attached to anyone your team may draft – they may not be there long.
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