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Afflalo Opens Up About Breakout Season

Orlando Magic guard Arron Afflalo recently opened up to Basketball Insiders about his breakout campaign, All-Star hopes and more.

Alex Kennedy

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It’s no surprise to Arron Afflalo’s Orlando Magic teammates that he’s having the best season of his seven-year NBA career at 28 years old. Over the offseason, Magic players were predicting that Afflalo would have a breakout season.

If you asked Magic players which player was most impressive during their voluntary summer workouts, they all had the same answer: Afflalo. They would talk about how he was unstoppable during pick-up games – scoring on everyone and looking like a different player. They would talk about how he’d lecture young players when they weren’t putting the team first or working their hardest. They would talk about how he was ready to make the jump to elite status.

Over the summer, these predictions were written off as teammates overreacting to workouts and overrating their peer. After all, Afflalo had struggled in the 2012-13 season when thrust into the role of go-to scorer and number one option. Before last season, he talked about becoming one of the top shooting guards in the league, but he quickly realized that being an elite player and top option is harder than it looks. He averaged a career-high 16.5 points, 3.7 rebounds and 3.2 assists, but it wasn’t the huge leap that everyone expected from him. He shot just 43.9 percent from the field and 30 percent from three-point range. At times, his shot selection and decision-making left a lot to be desired.

»In Related: Orlando Magic Salary Cap Information

Now, looking back, Afflalo is the first to admit that he wasn’t ready for that kind of increased role. However, this season, he has been spectacular. He’s averaging 20.8 points, 4.4 rebounds and 3.9 assists. His efficiency rating is a career-high 18.48 and he’s clearly the best player on the court for Orlando.

“I learned patience,” Afflalo told Basketball Insiders. “I really learned patience. Sometimes when you’re given the ball, you start [forcing it]. And you want to succeed so bad, especially since that was my first opportunity – at the NBA level – being asked to [be the go-to guy]. So over the summertime, I just learned to read the game a little bit better and pick my spots a little bit better. The key word for me is efficiency. It’s not just about having the ball and getting a lot of shots, it’s about taking and making the right shots, making the right plays. That’s why I’ve been given that responsibility. If I have to take 10 or 11 shots, I’m going to make sure that they’re great shots for me. If there are games where I’m going to get 19 or 20 shots and have an explosive game, I’ll take that too, but for me the big keys have been patience and efficiency.”

This is the player that Magic general manager Rob Hennigan hoped he was getting when he orchestrated the four-team trade that brought Afflalo, Nikola Vucevic, Maurice Harkless and picks to Orlando in exchange for Dwight Howard and fillers.

Jason Maxiell, who played with Afflalo on the Detroit Pistons and now with the Magic, is thrilled to see his longtime friend succeed. For years, he has called Afflalo “Baby Kobe” since the shooting guard grew up a huge Kobe Bryant fan in Los Angeles and tried to add Bryant’s moves to his own repertoire. Now, Afflalo is finally taking over games and dominating like his L.A. idol, and the nickname makes more sense.

“I’ve known Arron since he was drafted in Detroit, we played together for a few years there, and he’s been the same guy ever since,” Maxiell said. “His work ethic is intense – he comes in early and he leaves late. He’s not very verbal, but you can see on the court how hard he plays. That and his mentality influences the younger guys and will help them grow over the years. His game has evolved tremendously. I’ve watched him go from a young player to the player he is now. I’ve always called him ‘Baby Kobe’ because his role model is Kobe. Every time he’s on the court, every move and every little thing he does is all about Kobe. It’s great to be able to watch him [succeed] and see him grow.”

Growing up, when Afflalo watched Bryant or Michael Jordan put up huge numbers and annihilate their opponent, they made it look so easy. Being a superstar and a number one option didn’t seem difficult at all for those guys. Now that he understands what it takes to be in that position, Afflalo has a great deal of respect for those legends and their consistency.

“I do [have more respect for those players now],” Afflalo said of the superstars who consistently put up big numbers. “More so for what they do in the offseason, because I know all of the work that I had to do on my body so that I could get to the point where I could handle that, where I was strong enough and in shape enough to be able to handle that. I’m more impressed with how long they were able to physically stay in shape and the fact that they could come out every single night and perform at that high level. People pay to come see them play at that level; they don’t just want to watch the Lakers win, they want to see Kobe Bryant play well or they want to see Michael Jordan play well. It’s impressive that those guys were able to come out every night and perform at that level. That’s what I’m shooting for.”

»In Related: Six Things to Know About the Orlando Magic

So far, Afflalo is delivering. He’s even getting some All-Star buzz. While it’s clear that Kyrie Irving and Dwyane Wade will start in the Eastern Conference’s backcourt due to fan voting, it’s possible that Afflalo is selected as a reserve by the NBA’s coaches. He’s competing with players like John Wall (who seems like a lock) and DeMar DeRozan among others. With stars like Derrick Rose and Rajon Rondo injured, Afflalo certainly has a shot at making the East All-Star team.

“When I get asked that question, I do respect the fact that when you play well individually, it has to be a reflection of your team and if we continue to win and continue to get better, then I would appreciate it,” Afflalo said of being an All-Star. “I know I’m not going to get the fan vote, but from the coach’s perspective it’s definitely something that I would appreciate.”

It’s common to hear Afflalo talk up his teammates and he’d much rather discuss the Magic’s success than his own. The veteran is proud of the progress that Orlando’s young players have made this season.

“We’re trusting each other and the game is being played the right way,” Afflalo said of the Magic this season. “Everybody is being aggressive, but being aggressive with the right intent. When we all do that and play for each other, we can compete with any team on a nightly basis.”

Afflalo has shown tremendous growth this season, but he believes this wouldn’t have been possible without the previous six years. He learned so much during his time with the Detroit Pistons and Denver Nuggets, as he was asked to do more and more with those teams.

“Every year has been different,” Afflalo said. “It’s been different. I’ve never been one to stay the same. When I came in as a rookie, that Pistons team that I came in to was a veteran team that had been to a lot of Conference Finals. When you’re a rookie, you do whatever you can to get on the court and for me, that was playing defense. Then, when I got to Denver, that was kind of my first opportunity to be a two-way player. But even my first years in Denver, they had Carmelo [Anthony], Chauncey [Billups], Nene, Kenyon [Martin], J.R. [Smith], all of these guys who could score the ball so I still played that defensive role. Then, I just continued to evolve. I had some growing pains last year trying to be that [go-to] guy and I learned a lot. That experience was very, very valuable. I took all that I learned and got my body into shape and got my mind geared for this year, just to make sure that I was well prepared.”

One thing that Afflalo is still getting used to is double-teams. He rarely experienced that earlier in his career and now teams are throwing the kitchen sink at him as they try to slow him down.

“I’ve been seeing those the past few weeks now,” Afflalo said with a smile when asked about double teams. “But my teammates have been great, they’ve been hitting shots and they’ve still set screens for me and things of that nature. For me, if that’s going to be the case, I’ve just got to pass the ball and hope it comes back around.”

When asked if Afflalo saw this breakout campaign coming, he pauses and then grins.

“If you ask any guy who evolves and gets into the elite status, they’ve had a belief from day one,” Afflalo said with a smirk. “It’s not like they didn’t believe in themselves and then suddenly [they started believing]. I’ve always believed in myself, even when I was first coming into the NBA and for the five or six years when it was unclear to so many. And it may still be unclear to some people now. I mean, I’m only 30 games into this season and some guys have done this year after year after year. But that’s where I want to be. I want to continue to get better and do this year after year.”

Alex Kennedy is the Managing Editor of Basketball Insiders and this is his 10th season covering the NBA. He is a member of the Professional Basketball Writers Association.

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NBA Daily: Three Trade Targets for the New York Knicks

Drew Maresca explores three restricted free agents-to-be who the Knicks should explore adding via trade before the March 25 trade deadline.

Drew Maresca

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Often the NBA’s biggest flop, the New York Knicks have been significantly better-than-expected to start the 2020-21 season. They’ve won eight of their first 16 games and have surrendered the fewest points per game on the season, placing them squarely in the Eastern Conference playoff picture.

That said, they’re not out of the woods yet; with much of the season left to play, the Knicks are devoid of any meaningful offensive weapons. Additionally, the roster features a number of high-quality veterans whose deals are set to expire, the kind of players that contenders like to fill out their rotations with down the stretch, so the roster could look much different at the end of the year than it does now.

So, the Knicks are expected to be active on the trade front, again – no surprise there. But this year could be among the last in which the Knicks are sellers at the deadline. And, while moving some of those veterans for future assets is smart, the Knicks may also want to look at players they can add to bolster that future further.

Of course, New York shouldn’t go all-in for Bradley Beal — they’re not there yet — but there are a number of restricted free agents to-be that would fit both their roster and timeline nicely.

But why give away assets to acquire someone that the team could sign outright in just a few months? It may sound counterintuitive to add a player that’s about to hit free agency, restricted or otherwise, but procuring that player’s Bird rights, an exception in the NBA’s Collective Bargaining Agreement that allows teams to go over the salary cap to re-sign their own players (not to mention offer them an extra contract year and bigger raises), can be key to securing a player’s services and building a long-term contender.

Further, the 2021 free agent market isn’t might not live up to expectation, with many presumed free agents already agreed to extensions. So, with that in mind, which players should the Knicks pursue via trade prior to the March 25 trade deadline?

John Collins, Atlanta Hawks

Collins’ production is down this season, but that has nothing to do with his ability. A 23-year-old stretch-four who’s shooting 35% on three-point attempts, Collins is big, athletic, can score the ball (16.7 points per game this season) and is a great rebounder (7.5 per game). He also connects on 80% of his free-throw attempts.

Despite those impressive stats, Collins was even more productive last season, averaging 21.6 points on better than 40% three-point shooting and collecting 10.1 rebounds per game.

But the Hawks rotation has become increasingly crowded this year. They added Danilo Gallinari and rookie big man Oneyeka Okongwu, the sixth overall pick in the 2020 NBA Draft, to the frontcourt this offseason, while Collins was already vying for minutes with Clint Capella, who Atlanta added via trade last season. Cam Reddish, a second-year wing who is versatile enough to play some power forward, has also stolen some of Collins’ potential minutes.

So, as much as the Hawks seem to like Collins, he may be a luxury they can do without. He’ll obviously demand a relatively high-priced contract. The fact that Atlanta and Collins failed to reach an extension last summer would also seem to make a reunion less likely; would the Hawks invest so heavily in him now that they have three players at the position signed through at least the 2022-23 season? Further, could they invest even if they wanted to at this point? The Hawks are already committed to more than $100 million next season and, with Trae Young and Kevin Huerter extensions on the horizon, they might be hard-pressed to scrounge for the cash Collins would want in a new deal.

He won’t come cheap, for sure. But, while Julius Randle fans may not love the idea of bringing in his replacement, Collins is simply a better long-term solution.

Lonzo Ball, New Orleans Pelicans

The point guard position has been a sore spot for the Knicks for some time. And while Ball might not be the franchise cornerstone that many hoped he’d become, adding a young player with his upside is clearly a positive move.

Granted, Ball is inherently flawed. His jump shot appeared to be much improved last season and he’s showcased a significantly improved shooting form from years past. But he’s struggled in the new season, shooting only 28% on three-point attempts (down from 37.5% last season). In fact, he’s struggled on the whole on the offensive side of the ball, posting just 11.9 points and 4.4 assists per game (a career-low). He’s also missed some time with knee soreness and moved to more of an off-the-ball role as new head coach Stan Van Gundy has put the ball in the hands of Brandon Ingram more and more.

But, with New York, Ball would step into a significant role immediately. For his career, Ball is a net-positive player and, despite his shooting woes, has posted a positive VORP every year he’s been in the league, save for this season. He’s an above-average defender and, while he does need to ball in his hands, he doesn’t necessarily need to take shots to be effective.

Ball may never become the All-World caliber guard many pegged him as before the 2017 NBA Draft, but he’s better than any other option currently at the Knicks disposal. And, best of all, his trade value is arguably as low as it’s ever been. So, while the Pelicans won’t just give him away, New York should do what they can to acquire him for a reasonable price.

Devonte’ Graham, Charlotte Hornets

Last but not least, the surprise from the 2018-19 rookie class. Graham is possibly the hardest sell on this list, but it’s not for a lack of talent.

Graham burst onto the scene last season, posting an impressive sophomore campaign of 18.2 points and 6.4 assists per game. Unfortunately, those numbers have taken a drastic dip this season with the arrival of Gordon Hayward and the highly-touted rookie LaMelo Ball in Charlotte. Likewise, Graham’s struggles through the Hornets’ first 10 games limited his opportunities further.

That said, he would appear to be done slumping, as he’s connected on 43% of his attempts from deep in the team’s last two games.

But his efficiency wouldn’t be the main challenge when constructing a Graham trade. Instead, some in New York could be concerned with lack of size – Graham is only 6-foot-1 – and his inability to act as a facilitator at the guard spot.

But Graham is talented, plain and simple. In fact, he’s the exact kind of talent the Knicks should be looking to add right now. More specifically, Graham shot 37.3% on three-point attempts last season; the Knicks rank 21st in three-point percentage so far this season.

The Knicks could ultimately sit tight, swap a few veterans for future draft picks and rest assured that they’ve made enough progress by simply adding coach Tom Thibodeau. But they could and should be aggressive while they can. If New York can add one or more the players mentioned, they may not only build a brighter future, but improve on what the team could do this season. Either way, the Knicks look to be on a good trajectory, but every move they make from here on out can and will affect how quickly they make the leap from laughingstock to respectable contender.

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NBA AM: The Utah Jazz Are Showing Continuity Is Key

Is Utah’s early success an indicator of things to come? Between Donavon Mitchell, a stingy defense and hot three-point shooting, they may just be the real deal.

Ariel Pacheco

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The Utah Jazz are riding high on a seven-game winning streak, hotter, at this point, than all hell. 15 games into the season, the Jazz have been the third-best team in the Western Conference. The key for them has been continuity as they have 11 guys who were on last year’s team. The only addition they made to their rotation this offseason was Derrick Favors, who was with the team for nine seasons before a one-year departure. 

Quinn Snyder is widely regarded as one of the best coaches in the league, and he’s showing why this season. The Jazz are currently in 7th in both offensive and defensive rating. Beyond that, there are only three teams who can say they are top 10 in both: The Utah Jazz, Los Angeles Lakers and the Phoenix Suns. Often, teams that finish in this select category are historically serious contenders. 

Moreover, the Jazz have been on a shooting tear. Using Gobert’s rolling ability to collapse opposing defenses and find open shooters, Utah’s offense is clicking right now. It’s worked tremendously too, considering the Jazz have attempted and made the most three-pointers of any team this season – and hitting on 40.3 percent as a team. Royce O’Neale, Donovan Mitchell, Jordan Clarkson, Joe Ingles and Mike Conley are all shooting above 40 percent; while Bojan Bogdanovic is almost there at 37.8.

Basically, the Jazz are just shooting the ball at a ridiculously well rate right now and good ball movement has propelled them. 

Mitchell seems to have taken another jump in his development, although it is subtle, and his growth as a playmaker has benefitted everyone. He’s made teams pay for overhelping, often initiating the ball movement that has led to open looks. He’s also taking fewer mid-range jumpers, converting those attempts into three-pointers. The budding star’s play has been more consistent overall, and he’s been effective out of the pick-and-roll. 

Mike Conley’s improved play this season has been needed – now he’s settled and red-hot. Coming off a disappointing season last year, there were questions as to whether he was declining. While it’s safe to say he’s no longer the guy he was in Memphis, this version of Conley is still a good one. He looks a lot more comfortable in his role and the Jazz are reaping the benefits. In a contract year, Conley is averaging 16.3 points and 6.3 assists per game while shooting 41 percent from three.

Jordan Clarkson is a strong candidate for Sixth Man of the Year, fitting in perfectly as the Jazz need his scoring and creation off the bench – even leading the league in such scorers from there. But the Jazz’s bench is more than just Clarkson though, as they’ve gotten strong minutes from Joe Ingles, Georges Niang and Derrick Favors too. They’re a solid group that plays both ends of the court, and all fit in nicely with the starters as well. 

Sorely needed, however, Bojan Bogdanovic’s return has helped tremendously. He gives them another big wing who can shoot and is a scoring threat, and before he got hurt last season, he was averaging 20 PPG. While he isn’t at that level this season, he gives them another reliable scoring option that they badly need. Better, it also allows Ingles to remain on the bench, where his playmaking ability can really thrive.

The Jazz have been playing stylistically a little bit different this year and it has worked. They don’t run often but when they do, they have been potent. Playing at the same pace as last season, Utah is scoring almost five more points per game in transition. Additionally, they are taking six more threes a game too. This all amounts to a 6.1 net rating, which is good for fourth-best in the NBA. 

Lastly, their defense has been impossible for teams to penetrate, inviting opponents to try and finish over Rudy Gobert in the paint. Gobert is a perennial Defensive Player of the Year candidate for a reason – his presence alone almost assuredly guarantees his team will be a top 10 defense, which the Jazz are. Favors’ addition has helped stabilize the defense when Gobert sits, which was a major issue last season. Overall, they are just a very disciplined defense that makes teams earn their points, rarely committing cheap fouls.

As it stands today, the Utah Jazz are solidifying themselves as one of the best teams in the Western Conference. It remains to be seen if the hot shooting is sustainable, but the way they are generating those open looks seems to be. The defense is legit, and if they can remain healthy there’s reason to believe that this team can continue to compete at this level. The Utah starting lineup has outscored opponents by 58 points, but they’ve also had one of the best benches in the league – needless to say, the Jazz’s continuity has been a big part of their early success.

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NBA Daily: Defensive Player of the Year Watch

An inside look-in at the early frontrunners for the Defensive Player of the Year Award.

Dylan Thayer

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In this fresh edition for Basketball Insiders, there are a few players that should be finalists for the Defensive Player of the Year Award. Of course, this prestigious award is given to the contributor who makes the biggest impact on the floor for their team on the defensive side of the ball. In two out of the last three seasons, the award has gone to Rudy Gobert, the rim-protecting center for the Utah Jazz. This past season, Giannis Antetokounmpo won both the DPotY award, as well as Most Valuable Player for a second straight year. Over the past few years, the trending group of finalists for the award has been consistent no matter what the order ends up being. 

Can anyone new break in this year?

Anthony Davis

Anthony Davis will always be in the conversation for this award as he has shown throughout his career that he is one of the league’s most ferocious game-changers. Despite never winning the award before, he has made four NBA All-Defensive teams as well as being the NBA’s leader in blocks on three occasions. Davis’s block numbers are a little lower than they usually are at 1.9 blocks per game this season – compared to 2.4 for his career, per Basketball-Reference. This could be due to the addition of Marc Gasol to the Lakers’ frontcourt, a move that has boosted the team’s rim protection. If Davis can raise his numbers again, he should be in consideration for the award purely based on his defensive presence on the court – but he should still finish among the top five in voting.

Myles Turner

The center for the Indiana Pacers – the former potential centerpiece of a Gordon Hayward trade with the Boston Celtics – has continued to show why the team would not package another one of its top players with him. Turner is the current league leader in blocks with 4.2 blocks per game, elevating his game beyond any doubt in 2020-21. He is one of the more underrated rim protectors in basketball, as he has only one top-five finish in the DPotY voting in his career. Turner has also improved his steals metrics this season by averaging 1.5 per game, thus providing a strong defensive presence alongside All-Star frontcourt mate, Domantas Sabonis. Turner should be the frontrunner for the award as things stand right now, but that could change as the season progresses, especially as his injury impacts proceedings.

Giannis Antetokounmpo

The reigning two-time MVP should always be in the conversation for the DPotY award as he revolutionizes the defensive side of the floor at an elite level. Currently, Antetokunmpo is averaging 1.2 steals and 1.1 blocks per game to go along with a 106.5 defensive rating, per NBA Advanced Stats. It goes without saying, but Antetokounmpo is a chase-down block artist, always there to contest shots around the rim with his long frame. The 6-foot-11 power forward is one of the league’s top five players due to his exceptional play on both sides of the ball and will always be considered for the DPotY award as long as he in the NBA.  

Kawhi Leonard

The Los Angeles Clippers’ superstar has been arguably the best defensive small forward in the game over the past few years. He first gained major recognition for his defense during the 2014 NBA Finals against the LeBron James-led Miami HEAT. Since then, Leonard has racked up six All-Defensive team nominations to go along with two Defensive Player of the Year awards. This season, Leonard remains an elite defender for the championship-hopeful Clippers with 1.8 steals and 0.8 blocks per game – but his defensive rating is the highest of his ten-year career at 107.8. 

Andre Drummond

The current league leader in rebounds for the Cleveland Cavaliers is having a monster season thus far. In a contract year, Andre Drummond is currently putting up 19.3 points per game, 15.8 rebounds per game, 1.7 steals per game and 1.6 blocks per game. He also has a very stellar defensive rating of 105.0, a culmination of points allowed per 100 possessions. Drummond is not on a very good team, but that should not take away from the impact he makes when he is on the floor. As a pure rim protector and rebounding machine, he should finish higher up in the voting results than usual, even if his season doesn’t end with Cleveland. 

Honorable Mention: Tobias Harris

The Philadelphia 76ers have started the season on a very high note at 9-5, all despite loads of COVID health and safety protocols preventing their full team from taking the floor. Tobias Harris has played a major part in their early-season success leading the NBA in defensive win shares among starters who have played at least 10 games with 0.184, per NBA Advanced Stats. Along with that, Harris is also second in defensive rating among qualified starters at 99.6. The veteran forward has averaged 1.1 steals and 1.0 blocks per game. So if the 76ers want to remain at the top of the Eastern Conference, Harris’ overall play will be a huge reason for that success.

 As the old saying goes, defense wins championships – and these players are the type of players that can change the result of a game every night. Keep an eye on these players as the season moves along as they should garner consideration for both All-Defensive team nominations and the DPotY award.

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