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Charlotte Hornets 2017-18 Season Preview

The Basketball Insiders team breaks down a Charlotte Hornets team trying to return to the playoffs.

Basketball Insiders

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The Charlotte Hornets appeared to be on their way to another mediocre season and low-to-middling playoff seed. Point guard Kemba Walker made a somewhat-surprising, yet deserved All-Star appearance, but the team was only 3-17 in games breakout center Cody Zeller missed due to injury. In the offseason, Charlotte took a massive risk by trading for center Dwight Howard, who has departed his last three NBA stops under a cloud of controversy. Coach Steve Clifford was an assistant during Howard’s previous stops with the Lakers and Magic, and undoubtedly had input on the decision to add Howard. Both Cho and Clifford will be on the hot seat this season if the move doesn’t result in a return to the playoffs.

FIVE GUYS THINK…

With the acquisition of Dwight Howard, the Hornets have a big, imposing front line. On paper, Howard seems to be the type of player that could excel playing with Kemba Walker, but I think Walker’s game still has another level or two to go to before I’d consider him a dynamic playmaker. I’d also have to admit that I would have thought that Howard would have had an easier time finding a consistent niche in Mike Budenholzer’s offense than I think he will in Steve Clifford’s, so I do certainly have some concerns about his fit in Charlotte.

Malik Monk will form a natural backcourt with Walker, but a team built around a scoring backcourt will only go so far in today’s NBA (ask the Trail Blazers about that). Still, with Frank Kaminsky coming on, if Michael Kidd-Gilchrist and Michael Carter-Williams can each stay somewhat healthy, I like the Hornets’ odds of returning to the playoffs this season. They finished 11th in the conference last season but got a few pieces that should help, plus with the Hawks, Pacers and Bulls perhaps falling out, it would seem the Hornets should be the beneficiary.

3rd Place — Southeast Division

— Moke Hamilton

After missing out on the playoffs last season, the Charlotte Hornets addressed their biggest need upfront in hopes to get themselves back in the postseason mix this year amongst a weakened Eastern Conference.

Charlotte added former all-star center Dwight Howard via trade, and then drafted scoring specialist Malik Monk in June’s draft lottery. In two moves, the Hornets delivered their roster some much needed help. Howard addresses the lack of an inside presence that Charlotte struggled with last season; his broad shoulders should be more than capable of pulling down double digit rebounds next season. Monk, on the other hand, provides another legitimate scoring threat to go alongside Kemba Walker.

Steve Clifford looks to have a squad capable enough of making a run at postseason play this season, and their offseason acquisitions are going to be a big part of that.

3rd place — Southeast Division

— Dennis Chambers

With the Eastern Conference taking a massive hit and Charlotte being one of the few middling East teams to actually improve this summer, it sure looks as if they’ll end up in the bottom half of the East’s playoff seeding this coming spring. Dwight Howard isn’t the All-Star that he used to be, but he’s a huge improvement at the center position, while rookie Malik Monk should add a lot to the backcourt in terms of bench scoring. Kemba Walker is still the star of the show, however, and he’s at a place in his career where he’s ready to take his big scoring numbers and translate that into actual team success. If not now, when?

2nd Place – Southeast Division

— Joel Brigham

The Charlotte Hornets are one of the tougher teams to make a prediction for this season. Last year, the Hornets fell well below my own expectations for them and they are bringing back mostly the same group. The addition of Dwight Howard could have a serious impact for this team, especially given his previous success working with Steve Clifford. However, Howard’s physical limitations in previous seasons are something to be concerned about and could continue to plague him this upcoming season as well. Despite this, the Hornets still have Kemba Walker and plenty of other talented players that collectively could perform at a higher level than they did last season. I am optimistic that this team can bounce back from last season, but I would not be surprised if they fall short of expectations again.

2nd Place – Southeast Division

– Jesse Blancarte

After a year where many (this pen included) had them projected as a much better team than they ended up being, the Hornets are flying relatively under the radar in the East. They definitely aren’t talked about as part of the group of true contenders or even pseudo-contenders like Milwaukee, and they definitely aren’t part of the wasteland that occupies the bottom of the conference. Could this team surprise some people a year late? It’s always possible – they bring back a very similar roster to last season, only with the addition of Dwight Howard and new draft pick Malik Monk, and they’ll be hoping a few things around the margins go a bit better. Kemba Walker, Nic Batum, Marvin Williams and Cody Zeller are all still very serviceable or better players, and youngsters Jeremy Lamb and Frank Kaminsky could be ready to contribute a bit more. The Hornets will compete with the HEAT for the second seed in the Southeast, and could surprise a few people.

2nd place – Southeast Division

— Ben Dowsett

TOP OF THE LIST

Walker is Charlotte’s engine and Howard is the major addition that could make or break this team, but the player that could have the greatest influence on this year’s eddition is Nicolas Batum. Cho scored a coup by obtaining Batum from the Portland Trail Blazers in the summer of 2015, then signed him to a massive five-year, $120 million contract the following season. In his first season in Charlotte, Batum had career highs in points (14.9) and assists (5.8), adding 6.1 rebounds, but last season his three-point shooting fell well below his career average to 33 percent.

With the addition of Howard — who presents significant spacing issues — Charlotte will need a bounce-back season from Batum from deep. More importantly, the Hornets will need Batum to employ his best quality — playmaking — to help incorporate Howard into Charlotte’s offense. Batum hasn’t lived up to the billing as a number two scoring option, but if he can help turn Howard into a consistent pick and roll threat, it could be as valuable as his role as a scorer.

Top Offensive Player: Kemba Walker 

Walker is an absolute beast and one of the most exciting players in the NBA, which is saying something. Unfortunately, with Batum’s shooting struggles and the spatially-challenged Howard now teaming up with the spatially-challenged Michael Kidd-Gilchrist in Charlotte, the Hornets do not have the ideal personnel to compliment Walker. Lanes to the basket will be extraordinarily difficult to find and a return to the All-Star game may prove difficult as well. As much as Batum’s proficiency at getting others involved will be a key to unlock this season’s Hornets, Walker is the unquestioned leader. It will fall to Walker to keep the team organized on the floor and ensure that the chemistry doesn’t fracture with Howard stealing some of the emergent Zeller’s thunder.

Top Defensive Player: Michael Kidd-Gilchrist

Every year Hornets observers ask the question: Will this be the year Kidd-Gilchrist breaks out and becomes something more than a defensively-exceptional role player? It’s probably time to accept that Kidd-Gilchrist is what he is. Clifford recently announced at a media luncheon that Kidd-Gilchrist will remain a starter, citing his competitiveness and feel for the game. Howard is expected to supplant Zeller as the starting center, although things can obviously change in training camp. Every minute Howard and MKG spend on the floor together could be ugly basketball, with teams collapsing in the lane to take advantage of Kidd-Gilchrist and Howard’s inability to stretch the floor.

Top Playmaker: Nicolas Batum

You could easily go with Walker here, but Batum’s greatest feature as a player is his ability to involve his teammates. Even with Batum struggling offensively, most team stats improve when he’s on the floor because of his all-around talent and ability to improve the flow of an offense. With Howard and Kidd-Gilchrist expected to share significant minutes, Charlotte has never needed a player like Batum more.

Top Clutch Player: Kemba Walker

While it is hoped that rookie combo guard Malik Monk will eventually become a player the team can turn to when it absolutely has to have a bucket, Monk continues to be slowed by an ankle sprain that kept him out of NBA Summer League. For now, in must-score situations, Walker will have to call his own number.

The Unheralded Player: Michael Carter-Williams

Cody Zeller is a player advanced stats geeks love, and few NBA fans who don’t specifically follow the Hornets realize how good he was last year. But as much as Charlotte fell off a cliff in games when Zeller was unavailable due to injury, point guard depth was just as much of an issue. Ramon Sessions had his own injury issues last season and contributed little when he was available. Charlotte had nobody to pick up the slack when Walker needed a rest. Thus, this season’s unheralded player is former Rookie of the Year Michael Carter-Williams, who signed with Charlotte on a one-year, $2.7 million free agent deal this summer. Unfortunately, MCW could miss the season opener while recovering from a knee procedure. Charlotte really needs him to get healthy and contribute to shore up the backup point guard position.

Best New Addition: Malik Monk

Monk enters the NBA as possibly the best high-volume, off-the-bounce jump shooters to leave college in the last decade. His slow recovery from an ankle injury has been frustrating, as Hornets observers are eager to see what he can become. Can he give Charlotte minutes as a backup point guard? His slight frame will make it difficult for Monk to guard NBA wings, so it will present significant challenges if his role is ultimately confined primarily to scoring. If Monk has the handle to at least bring the ball up against NBA defenses, incorporating him becomes much easier. For now, we’ll have to wait and see.

— Buddy Grizzard

WHO WE LIKE

Walker is obviously a player any true NBA fan should love. He’s clutch and he’s fearless. When he gets it going, Charlotte is a team worth watching. You also have to appreciate the fact that Rich Cho hasn’t sat on his hands as a GM. He went out and got Batum, made sure he would be with the franchise long term and made a huge gamble in trading for Howard. It could all blow up in his face, but you have to appreciate an executive with the guts to go for it.

You also have to appreciate an owner who hires the right people and puts them in a position to succeed. Michael Jordan is known for declining media interviews during the season. His preference is to stay in the background and give his people room to work. This is both a blessing and a source of pressure to perform for both Cho and Clifford. And, as mentioned, Cody Zeller is an advanced stats darling. It will be fascinating to see if the team turns to him to right the ship if the Howard experiment fails to produce wins.

— Buddy Grizzard

SALARY CAP 101

The Hornets are near the NBA’s $119.2 million luxury tax threshold, at $116 million locked in to 13 guaranteed players. Non-Guaranteed Treveon Graham, T.J. Williams and Isaiah Hicks are hoping to round out the roster at 15, which could put Charlotte on the brink of the tax. That likely limits the team’s incentive to use their remaining Room Exception at $4.9 million and Bi-Annual Exception at $3.3 million.

Charlotte needs to pick up Frank Kaminsky’s team option for 2018-19 before November. The Pelicans should be well above next summer’s salary cap (with a $102 million projection), heavily invested in Dwight Howard, Nicolas Batum, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, Marvin Williams, Cody Zeller and Kemba Walker – all earning eight-figure salaries.

— Eric Pincus

STRENGTHS

The greatest strength for the Hornets is new found depth. Although the backup point guard position remains unsettled due to injuries to additions Carter-Williams and Monk, Cho has taken steps to address what was one of the biggest issues for last season’s team. Additionally, while chemistry remains a huge question mark, there’s no doubt that adding Howard has dramatically improved the depth of Charlotte’s power rotation. Kidd-Gilchrist, Batum and Marvin Williams have all started at small forward. Depth at power forward shouldn’t be an issue.

— Buddy Grizzard

WEAKNESSES

Chemistry, however, could be this team’s Achilles heel. Howard blames the Hawks for not giving him a large enough role in the offense. Zeller, who had the Hornets playing at an above-.500 pace last season, must now sacrifice to open that role for Howard. And until all the pieces finally get healthy, injury issues will remain a limiting factor for Charlotte.

— Buddy Grizzard

THE BURNING QUESTION

Will the Howard experiment work?

The best way to answer this question is to ask, did it work in Los Angeles? Did it work in Houston and Atlanta? You can argue that Howard had some success in Houston with the Rockets making a conference finals appearance. But every time Howard departs a franchise, there’s a cloud of controversy and an endless stream of finger-pointing. Clifford knows Howard well, having coached him as an assistant for the Lakers and Magic. If anyone can help Howard turn back the clock it, it’s him. But the reality is that the NBA has passed plodding post players like Howard behind. This is a disaster waiting to happen.

— Buddy Grizzard

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NBA PM: Lopez Leading On And Off The Court

Brook Lopez has been a valuable addition to the Los Angeles Lakers, both on and off the court.

Ben Nadeau

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In spite of the ongoing media circus, an inherently tougher conference and a roster that features just five players with more than three years of NBA experience, the Los Angeles Lakers are 8-10. Naturally, that won’t be good enough to reach the postseason in the West, but it’s better than most expected the young Lakers to fare. Their early season successes can be chalked up to their glut of budding talent — Julius Randle, Lonzo Ball and Brandon Ingram, among others — but there’s one other major driving force at hand here and his name is Brook Lopez.

Following years of will-they, won’t-they rumors, Lopez was acquired in a shocking blockbuster trade with the Brooklyn Nets just prior to this year’s draft. The Lakers were eager to get out from under Timofey Mozgov’s lengthy, albatross-sized contract, so they packaged him with the once-troubled D’Angelo Russell, shipping the pair off for Lopez and the No. 27 overall pick. The deal was largely made with financial implications in mind, but the initial returns on Lopez have been a massive win for the Lakers as well.

Although Lopez is currently logging a career-low in minutes (24.3), he still often leads the way for Los Angeles — like the night he effortlessly dropped 34 points and 10 rebounds on 6-for-9 from three-point range against his former franchise. Through 18 games, Lopez is averaging just 14.8 points and 5.1 rebounds — a scoring mark that ranks only above his rookie season with the New Jersey Nets in 2008-09 — but his statistical impact is key on this inconsistent roster nonetheless.

But beyond that, it seems as if some of Lopez’s biggest contributions this season have come off the court — just ask Kyle Kuzma and Ivica Zubac.

“[Lopez] has taught me how to be a professional,” Kuzma told Basketball Insiders prior to their game against the Boston Celtics earlier this month. “He’s one of the first guys in the gym, one of the last ones to leave.”

Lopez, who has carried his fair share of incredibly poor teams in the past — and often with a smile — is in the final year of the contract he signed back in 2015. His expiring deal worth $22.6 million made Lopez the perfect acquisition for a Lakers team hoping to shed cap space before the upcoming free agency period — where, allegedly, LeBron James and Paul George are both targets.

For a 7-foot center that just added a three-point shot to his game and knocked down 134 of them last season alone, Lopez may be one of the greatest trade afterthoughts in recent memory. The Lakers will likely finish in the lottery rather than the postseason, but Lopez — along with veterans Andrew Bogut, Corey Brewer and Luol Deng — have been a helpful presence for the slew of young Lakers as they adjust to professional basketball.

“They’re all great — they’ve been there, done that,” Kuzma said. “They have a lot of experience in this league, so it’s good to learn from those guys because they’ve played 10, 13 years and that’s what I want to do.”

Kuzma, of course, was selected with that No. 27 overall pick that the Nets sent to Los Angeles in the trade, and he’s been red-hot ever since. Following an impressive combine, summer league and preseason, Kuzma jumped into the starting lineup after Larry Nance Jr. fractured his hand just eight games into the campaign. Although the Rookie of the Year battle has been dominated by the Philadelphia 76ers’ Ben Simmons so far, Kuzma — averaging 16.8 points and 6.6 rebounds per game — has emerged as a strong runner-up candidate.

For Zubac, however, it’s been a slower start to his NBA career but with Lopez, he says, things have gotten easier.

“The whole summer, I worked on my three-point shot,” Zubac told Basketball Insiders. “But also [I worked on my] post offense too, that’s what [Lopez] is good at. I’m really focusing my game around the post, so that’s where I’m trying to learn.”

Last year, Zubac was a popular late-season member of head coach Luke Walton’s rotation and he finished his rookie year averaging 7.5 points and 4.2 rebounds in just 16 minutes per game. Unfortunately, the new arrivals and recent emergences have limited Zubac to just 10 total minutes over four appearances in 2017-18. Still, Lopez gives Zubac a mentor worth modeling his game after, even if it’s at the expense of real experience this season.

To get Zubac on the floor, the center has spent time with the South Bay Lakers, Los Angeles’ G-League affiliate, as of late. In two games, Zubac has averaged 21 points and 10 rebounds on 73 percent shooting from the field. Despite the lack of playing time, Zubac was more than happy to praise not only Lopez but the efforts of the other aforementioned veterans too.

“I can learn a lot from them and they help me play my game,” Zubac said. “Whoever’s on the court, whoever I’m playing with, I just try to learn as much as I can from them.”

Ultimately, though, it all comes back to Lopez.

Again, Lopez has averaged a career-low in minutes, but his contributions have been crucial in the Lakers’ overall standing thus far. In the games that Lopez has played less than 21 minutes, the Lakers are 0-5; but when he plays more than 30, the team is 3-1. On top of that, the Lakers are 5-1 when Lopez hits two or more three-pointers in a game as well. That sample size is still certainly small, but it’s nice indicator of Lopez’s inherent on-court impact, even when he’s not carrying the team on his shoulders.

“[He makes life] a lot easier for me,” Kuzma said. “He’s one of the most established scorers in the league and his career average is, like, 20 [points] a game. You can always count on him to be there every single night.”

While the Lakers can plan for a dream offseason haul involving James, George and others, they’ll have a tough decision facing them in July. Whether he’s efficiently stretching the floor, finishing off assists from Ball or setting the tone in an inexperienced locker room, Lopez has been quite the addition for Los Angeles.

This summer, Lopez enters unrestricted free agency and will likely garner offers outside of the Lakers’ pay range considering their big plans. If the Lakers decide to focus elsewhere, another team will reap the rewards. Until then, the youthful core in Los Angeles will benefit from having Lopez train and educate them each day.

“[Lopez] takes care of his body, he stays low-key and is never in trouble,” Kuzma said. “He’s the type of professional I want to be.”

Whether this is just a one-year detour in his extensively underrated career or the start of a great, new partnership, Lopez’s arrival in Los Angeles has been a huge success already. But as far as role models go for both Kuzma and Zubac, there are few choices better than Brook Lopez — both on and off the court.

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The Most Disappointing Teams So Far

Shane Rhodes looks at a few teams that have disappointed so far this season.

Shane Rhodes

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Approaching the season’s quarter mark, NBA teams are finally starting to settle into their respective grooves. As more and more players become comfortable, their teams begin to demonstrate what they can really do on the court. While some teams have exceeded expectations, a number of teams have underperformed and are looking worse, in some cases much worse, than expected.

Here are six of the NBA’s most disappointing teams so far this season.

6. Dallas Mavericks

The Dallas Mavericks were going to be bad this season. They just weren’t expected to be this bad.

At 3-15, the Mavericks currently hold the worst record in the NBA. They rank 27th and 22nd in offensive and defensive rating, coming in at 99.3 and 107.6, respectively. Collectively, they are shooting just 42.2 percent from the floor and 34.7 percent from three-point range, both below league average. Nerlens Noel, whom Dallas acquired at the trade deadline last season, has played sparingly.

But there is seemingly a light at the end of the tunnel. The Mavericks’ three wins have come against the Memphis Grizzlies, Washington Wizards and the Milwaukee Bucks, three teams that made the playoffs a season ago and are expected to do so again this season. Victories against the Wizards — who are currently the fourth seed in the Eastern Conference at 10-7 — and the Bucks — who boast one of the best players in the league in Giannis Antetokounmpo — are especially encouraging.

As of now, though, the team is still a mess on both sides of the ball.

5. Miami HEAT

The Miami HEAT were expected to be playoff contenders after a torrid second half last season that saw them win 30 of their final 42 games. Now, the HEAT are currently sitting at the 11th seed in the East and, with a record of 7-9, are currently boasting a worse record than the New York Knicks (9-7), Indiana Pacers (10-8) and the Los Angeles Lakers (8-10).

The offense just hasn’t arrived yet in South Beach. Miami has an offensive rating of 103.13, good for 26th in the NBA. They are shooting under league average from the field (44.5 percent) and from three (35.2 percent) and are fifth in turnovers per game with 16.6 per contest; not exactly a winning formula. The $50 million man Kelly Olynyk has contributed just 8.9 points and 5.3 rebounds in 18.9 minutes per game while the roster outside its starting unit looks flimsy at best. Dion Waiters hasn’t shot the ball as well as last season, either.

The schedule doesn’t get easier for the HEAT, with four upcoming games against the Boston Celtics, Minnesota Timberwolves, Cleveland Cavaliers and Golden State Warriors in their next seven. Expect Miami to get even worse before they start to get better.

4. Milwaukee Bucks

Last season, the Milwaukee Bucks were the sixth seed in the East. They boast one of the best young cores in the league, headed by phenom Antetokounmpo and supported by the likes of Khris Middleton, Eric Bledsoe, Malcolm Brogdon and, eventually, Jabari Parker.

Somehow, the Bucks find themselves at just 8-8.

In a weakened Eastern Conference, Milwaukee was expected to make a play for one of its top spots. Instead, the Bucks have gotten blown out by the Mavericks, while barely squeaking by teams like the Charlotte Hornets and Lakers. The Bucks are 23rd in the NBA in defensive rating with a mark of 106.5, worse than the Atlanta Hawks and Chicago Bulls while also sitting at 23rd in net rating at -2.2, behind the Los Angeles Clippers (-1.7) and Utah Jazz (-1.3).

Antetokounmpo has yet to improve his stroke from beyond the arc, an undesirable albeit expected deficiency in his game. But, much of the Bucks roster hasn’t shot well from three. Middleton is shooting just 32.1 percent while big-acquisition Eric Bledsoe is shooting an abysmal 16 percent from beyond the arc since arriving in Milwaukee. If they can’t improve here it will be extremely hard for the Bucks to improve their position in the standings.

With six of their next nine games coming against teams at or below .500, the Bucks have a great chance to rebound from their sluggish start. That doesn’t change the fact that, with one of the NBA’s more talented rosters, the Bucks have been a major disappointment up to this point.

3. Cleveland Cavaliers

At the time of this writing, the Cleveland Cavaliers have won five straight games. Most would say that would or should exempt them from a list like this.

They would be wrong.

The collective record of the teams Cleveland has played during its five-game win streak? 35-48. It may be encouraging to the fans to see the team rattle off five straight, but the Cavaliers aren’t exactly beating the best teams in the Association. They have been careless with the ball as well, turning it over more than 15 times per game while

Their biggest problem, however, is the fact that they can defend absolutely no one. With a defensive rating of 109.4, the Cavaliers have the worst defense in the league. They have gotten away with a lackluster effort in the past, Cleveland’s current roster, outside of LeBron James, just doesn’t have enough offensive firepower to make up for it. And the offense has been good; Cleveland is currently averaging 110.9 points per game with an offensive rating of 109.4, but that leaves them with a big goose egg for their net rating.

The Cavaliers will continue to struggle to beat teams as they attempt to outpace them on the offensive end. For a team that has made three straight NBA Finals and has one of the greatest of all time on its roster, that should certainly be regarded as a disappointment.

2. Oklahoma City Thunder

Another “Big-3” was formed in the NBA after Paul George and Carmelo Anthony were paired with reigning Most Valuable Player Russell Westbrook in the offseason. However, the 2017-18 season hasn’t exactly gone according to plan for the Thunder

Labeled as a team to rival the Warriors for Western Conference supremacy, the Thunder have done anything but so far this season. While the individual stats counting of Westbrook, George and Anthony have looked good, the Thunder have not as a collective. The team sits at just 7-9, good for 10th in the Western Conference. They rank 19th, 23rd and 21st in the NBA in points, rebounds and assists per game, respectively while shooting 44.3 percent from the field and 35 percent from three, both good for 21st.

Westbrook’s early season shooting struggles have hurt the Thunder as well. Westbrook is shooting just 39.4 percent from the field and 32.5 percent from three. The dominance he displayed last season, especially late in games, just hasn’t appeared this season and the team is hurting because of it. If the Thunder want to move up in the standings, Westbrook will need to find a way to improve his shooting numbers; they will go as he goes much like last season, even with George and Anthony on the roster.

On a brighter note, the defense has been one of the best in the NBA. But if the Thunder can’t figure it out on offense and score well as a unit, they will continue to struggle, especially when having to face the high-octane offenses of the Warriors and Houston Rockets.

1. Los Angeles Clippers

When losing a player the caliber of Chris Paul, some regression is to be expected. Fortifying the roster with guards Patrick Beverley, Lou Williams and Milos Teodosic and forward Danilo Gallinari, however, the Clippers were expected to weather the storm, to an extent.

Early on the Clippers did exactly that. The team looked impressive in the early going, winning five of their first seven games and averaging 109 points per. Since then? Everything has seemingly gone downhill in Los Angeles, and fast.

The Clippers have lost nine straight by an average margin of 9.8 points per game. Thirteenth in the Western Conference with a 5-11 record, they have looked nothing like the playoff team they were expected to be and are by far the season’s biggest disappointment. They have played poorly on the defensive end, ranking 20th in the NBA with a defensive rating of 106.2. Opponents have shot 45.4 percent from the field and 37.1 percent from three against them.

Things haven’t been the greatest on offense, either. In Paul’s absence, the Clippers have dropped from 15th in assists per game a year ago to 28th this season, averaging just 19.6 per game. While they are averaging 104.9 points per game, they are doing so on just 44.1 percent shooting.

Injuries have played a major role in the Clippers struggles; additions Beverly, Gallinari and Teodosic have all missed or are currently missing time with injury. But it’s discouraging to see that Blake Griffin and DeAndre Jordan are unable to elevate the Clippers outside of the Western Conference basement.

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NBA AM: Paul Millsap’s Injury Derails Denver

With Paul Millsap injured, the Nuggets hopes to become a contender take a hit.

Lang Greene

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After missing the playoffs for the past four seasons, the Denver Nuggets are a team on the rise. The team won 30 games in 2015, 33 in 2016, 40 in 2017 and are currently on pace to record 48 victories this season, which would be their most since 2013.

The squad features six players averaging more than 10 points per contest, not including two veterans in Kenneth Faried and Wilson Chandler, both of whom are career double-digit scorers. The Nuggets also boast one of the youngest teams in the league with only three players over the age of 30 (Paul Millsap, Chandler and Richard Jefferson).

But the team was dealt a huge blow this week when it was learned that four-time All-Star forward Paul Millsap will be out the next three to four months after suffering a torn ligament in his wrist.

Millsap was extremely durable during his first 11 seasons in the league, missing 10 games just once (2017). This injury marks the first time in Millsap’s career where he will miss significant time while roaming the sideline in designer suits.

Millsap signed a three-year, $90 million deal this past summer and his acquisition was viewed as the next step in bringing the team back into the realm of the playoffs.

After an early season adjustment period, Denver (10-7) has rattled off seven victories in their last 10 games. For the team, Millsap’s injury news couldn’t have come at a worst time.  The veteran was averaging 15.3 points and 6.2 rebounds through 16 contests. The points are his lowest since 2013 and the rebounding output is his lowest since 2010, but Millsap’s presence has helped stabilize the young Nuggets on the offensive and defensive ends of the floor.

The Nuggets do have a plethora of power forwards on the depth chart. Veteran Kenneth Faried has started 366 contests for the franchise since being drafted in 2011. Faried’s future with the franchise has come into question in recent years as his playing time and role in the rotation has consistently diminished. The signing of Millsap likely solidified that fate, however, by not dealing Faried, the Nuggets were able to keep an insurance policy in the fold.

Third-year forward and former lottery pick Trey Lyles is another candidate for an increased workload. Lyles is currently averaging 6.8 minutes in 12 appearances but is shooting a career high from the field (52 percent) and three-point range (42 percent) in his limited court time. Another like candidate for more playing time is second-year big man Juan Hernangomez, who has currently appeared in just six contests.

Offensively, the Nuggets will be able to absorb his loss. Guards Gary Harris and Jamal Murray score the ball efficiently while swingman Will Barton provides pop off the bench. The team will also likely ride the back of their franchise player Nikola Jokic a bit more as well, with the big man averaging just 11.6 shot attempts per game—third on the team.

Perhaps the biggest area the Nuggets will have to adjust is on the defensive end.

According to ESPN’s real defensive plus-minus (DPM), Millsap ranks 31st overall in the league (1.62). He ranks seventh among power forwards with at least 10 games played this season. Last season, Millsap was fifth among power forward and 14th overall in DPM.

The veteran’s track of improving a team’s prowess on the defensive end is proven and it’s exactly the type of “silent” attribute the Nuggets needed on a loaded young team still learning how to play on that side of the ball.

                              Paul Millsap – Real Defensive Plus-Minus
Season DPM League Overall Rank Power Forward Rank
2013-14 2.06                 63                   12
2014-15 2.22                 43                    8
2015-16 3.26                 12                    2
2016-17 3.35                 14                   5
2017-18 1..62                 31                  9

 

The Nuggets will be tested immediately without Millsap in the fold. The team travels to Houston (November 22) and will play nine of their next 13 games are on the road. This includes a six-game road trip from December 4 to December 13.

The team is currently 7-2 at home and just 3-5 away from the Pepsi center.

They will, for sure, be tested without Millsap.

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