On 17 March 2018, UMBC shocked Virginia 74-54 to become the first No. 16 seed in the history of the NCAA tournament to beat a No. 1 seed.
And with that upset, the remaining 25 perfect brackets among the tens of millions completed before March Madness were ruined.
The quest for the perfect bracket continues this March, so we have analyzed the past 10 years of the tournament identify this year’s potential Cinderella stories.
Whether you’re filling out your bracket or making your college basketball betting picks, these are the trends that could help you spot a shock.
Know your numbers
We’re going to classify a first-round upset as a team seeded 10th or lower advancing, as the chances of a No. 9 seed beating a No. 8 seed are too high to be considered a shock.
In the last 10 years, there have been 72 such upsets, an average of approximately seven per year. There have been no more than 10 first-round upsets in a single year, and no fewer than five.
So while it’s worth populating your bracket with a few surprise wins in the first-round, double-digit upsets are unlikely.
It’s also not worth wasting one of those surprise picks on a No. 16 or No. 15 seed.
While UMBC are the only No. 16 seed to ever win an NCAA tournament game, just eight No. 15 seeds have ever progressed to the second round.
The question, then, is which teams seeded 10th to 14th are most likely to cause a shock?
The First Four – a series of play-in games played prior to the tournament – is an excellent place to start.
Since its conception in 2011, a team that triumphed in the First Four has gone on to win in the first round of the tournament in every year.
In general, low seeds tend to fall into two categories: mid-major conference champions and teams that finished lower in the standings in major conferences.
In terms of first-round upsets, mid-major teams are the ones to watch.
In the past 10 years, 44 of the 72 teams to cause shocks in the first-round were from mid-major conferences, with the Atlantic 10 the top conference with eight.
Conference-USA has also been a great source of upsets recently, with its champion advancing to the Round of 32 in each of the past four years.
While surprise teams are spread fairly evenly across America, Ohio is the home of the upset.
Nine teams seeded 10th or lower from the Buckeye State have won in the Round of 64 since 2009 – three more than any other state.
Unsurprisingly, upsets occur far less frequently when the first round is out of the way.
Just 23 teams seeded 10th or lower have advanced past the Round of 32 in the past 10 years, 20 of whom were seeded between No. 10 and No. 12.
While mid-major teams performed well in the first round, the split is more even in the later stages, with 12 of the 23 teams that reached at least the Sweet 16 in the past 10 years having come from a major conference.
Of the five teams in the past 10 years that have made it all the way to the Elite Eight, just one won their conference.
So while you might have a hunch that a low seed from a smaller conference will upset a powerhouse in the first round, you’re better off sticking with college basketball’s big guns as the tournament progresses, regardless of where they finished in the regular season.
While 2018 was the year of the upset, with UMBC winning in the Round of 64 and Loyola-Chicago making it all the way to the Final Four, it’s likely that the more familiar teams will be the ones making deep runs into the tournament this time around.
Basketball Betting Basics – Everything you need to know
Basketball is a very common game in every part of the world. This game is played and watched by many people making it again one of the games that people bet on. Many people will bet for basketball as fun and others will bet for it as a way of making some income. Whether you want to bet either to make money or as a way of having fun, then this is the right game for you.
Basketball betting is not a complicated thing and can be done by anybody as long as you understand the game well. What you need for you to start betting on basketball is very little, and there is no reason why you shouldn’t start this great venture if you like betting. While betting on basketball is such an easy task you will need to be equipped with some basics before you start betting on the game.
This guide will help you with some basics about what you need to know when betting on basketball games. Following are some basics on basketball betting.
Use spread betting
This is a popular way of betting to many basketball betting players. It is also called line betting; simply it is a form of handicap betting. If you have checked on any bookmaker that offers basketball betting, you will have seen some games that are listed in a manner such as the one below.
VS Boston Celtics -5.5 VS Los Angeles Lakers +5.5
This implies that if you place your bet on Celtics to beat the spread, they should win the game by more than 6 points. But if you bet lakers to cover the range, they should lose the game by 5 or fewer points, and if they win, it should be outright.
Know the teams
When it comes to basketball betting, you should know your teams very well. This means that you shouldn’t place on any team that you find on the list just because they have good odds. If you don’t know a team, you should do some research about it before you place your hard earned money on it.
Make sure you get their statistics on how they have performed on the last matches. Make sure the team you are betting for is a strong team that most probably will perform according to your expectation.
It is also much recommended to bet on popular teams as they are hardly beaten and you will take less time looking at their history. There are several teams on the platforms that are new, and it can be difficult to predict about them. Make sure you avoid such teams to get high returns and avoid loses.
Choose your betting site well
As of late basketball, betting has been very popular, and many betting sites are offering the service. However not every website that you will find when browsing is worth using. Some sites are scammers with poor odds and others may end up disappearing with your money even if you win which can be very frustrating.
Choosing a reliable site will determine your success to a large extent. You should ensure the site you choose offers the best odds, and they are licensed by the responsible authority so that you can be sure of payment when you win. Make sure you get enough information about a platform before you can open an account and deposit your money.
While there are many scammers in the market, there are also some trustworthy sites that you can use to bet and get guaranteed about the security on your money. An excellent example of a reliable website that you can use for basketball betting is Wetten.com. The site offers the best services, and you will never regret joining it. You can even bet on Games of the German Basketball-League BBL.
Bet on totals
Another great tip when it comes to basketball betting is betting on total points. This will not only be a simple way of betting, but it will also reduce losses. Betting on totals means predicting the total points to be scored. This shouldn’t be a complicated thing as you only have some few considerations to make your final prediction on the range of total points to be scored.
In many of the NBA matches the total points will range between 180 and 220 points while in European and college basketball matches many of the total points lies between 120 and 160 points.
After having your average points, you will need to consider how many times the team has gone above or below that points. If you find it has either gone above that points so many times than it has gone below the points, then you may need to adjust your prediction. Also considering the last meeting between the two teams will help you to predict the total points easily. Use the average of the previous matches between the two teams to get the outcome of the game.
Public opinions affect the betting world to a great extent. If many people have goodwill in a particular team, they will bet on it making the odds to be lowered. This doesn’t guarantee you that the team is strong enough and it will win, but it’s only that many people are supporting it. Make sure you avoid betting on those teams completely and if you do bet lesser. Stake your cash on teams that you understand well and you know they are strong enough to win but not just because many people support them.
You need to do a good follow up before you can bet on a team to win. Have the reasons behind the winning or losing of a specific team before you stake on them and avoid people opinions. This way you will never go wrong, and you will always get high returns from your betting.
If you want to boost your returns from basketball betting, then you need to equip yourself with the essential tips before you start betting. Ensure you choose the best betting platform to avoid frustrations in the process. A reliable basketball betting company will never let you down, and you will always be smiling.
The Lakers Are A Longshot
Los Angeles Lakers are in trouble, all predictions are clear. According to all scenarios The Lakers have no chance of reaching the NBA Playoffs. It has not been an easy season for the Lakers, the problems are not only injuries or the low performance of LeBron James, but also the reconstruction of the team has been a focus of criticism.
The LeBron James Case
LeBron James has been the leader of the Lakers since his arrival to the team. So far James is leading the team, despite all his injuries with 26.8 points per game, 51% Field Goal and even the most minutes per game with 35.4 minutes. LeBron was out several weeks by a groin injury.
James has always played in the playoffs since his first years in the NBA. But with the Lakers with a negative record this season, the chances for LeBron are low to get into the playoffs.
The players needed to win and reach the playoffs.
Brandon Ingram: second leader.
Brandon Ingram needs to continue playing as he has been doing in the season. Ingram is the most experienced youngster in the league among the youth of the Lakers. Ingram is averaging up to 17.8 points per game, 6.8 FG Points, 67% free throw shots and 32% three-pointers.
Ingram is literally “another” LeBron James. He must play in the same way and continue to support the team, especially when LeBron rests, Ingram must take the leadership of the team and take them forward.
Kyle Kuzma: One year as a professional.
Kuzma has only one year playing with the Lakers, but so far he is the second leader in points scored in the season with the Lakers with a total of 1070 points, only 54 points less than LeBron James. In addition Kuzma has an average of 19.1 points per game, 7.3 FG points, 76.2% free throw shots and 32% three pointers.
This season has been the debut for Kuzma. As a player he has shown maturity, he is one of the young players in the team and possibly the third key piece to help the Lakers reach the playoffs.
We have done deeper analysis like this on the Lakers and other teams, if you want to read about the best teams and playoffs odds please visit www.sportsbetting24.ca every day. The updates are daily about the NBA Teams.
What Los Angeles Lakers need to do
The Los Angeles Lakers can not lose more than six games, none of the remaining games before the playoffs. The luxury of losing more than six games would be fatal and would leave the Lakers out of the NBA Playoffs.
The main focus of the Lakers should be to keep James healthy to lead the team but to use Brandon Ingram and Kyle Kuzma all the time. The contribution of these two players is important to win games, both represent a younger version of Lebron James.
Reggie Bullock has also been a key player, with 10.8 points per game and with five years of experience, he is one of the players who can contribute space and help the youngest players in the team. The Lakers must use Bullock at least 30 minutes per game as they have been doing this season.
There is enough time to improve, but we must remember that the Lakers have six seasons without playoffs. Waiting for a miracle with LeBron and young players is something really dangerous, especially if you expect this team to have an instant adaptation with the King.
The Los Angeles Lakers Odds to get to the NBA Playoffs.
The bookmakers around the world are not in favor of the Lakers. Not even the big sports sites on the Internet like ESPN, CBS and BASKETBALL REFERENCE.
ESPN gives the Los Angeles Lakers only 3.4% chance of reaching the playoffs this season. It is the fifth team with the lowest chances in the Western Conference.
Basketball Reference offers a similar percentage with 3.5% for the Lakers. But FiveThirtyEight was more hopeful adding 17% of chances.
NBA Championship Contenders at the Quarter Pole
The season is roughly a quarter of the way through and we’ve had more than our fair share of surprises thus far. If we would have told you before the season began that the Golden State Warriors would be ambling along in fourth place in the West would you have asked suggested that another round of cocktails might not be the wisest choice? We certainly couldn’t blame you but here the defending champions sit at 16-9, matching their loss total for the entire season back in 2015-2016.
Without further ado, let’s give a couple of quick hits as well as the corresponding NBA odds for a championship title being dealt by the best online sportsbooks found all over at Sportsbook Review.
- Golden State Warriors (-150) – Only a team like Golden State could still be considered the prohibitive favorite with three other teams above them in the Western Conference standings. Draymond Green has been on the shelf since November 15th, suffering from a sprained right toe, and the Warriors have gone 6-6 straight up without the six-year veteran in the lineup and won’t likely see him dress for another week or more. In addition, center Damian Jones is out for the season with a torn left pectoral muscle, which has left the champs thin in the post. But that hasn’t stopped the oddsmakers from making GSW the favorites to repeat as NBA champions.
- Toronto Raptors (+800) – The Raps were viewed as paper tigers by many before the season started after tearing through the 2017-2018 regular season with 59 wins and garnering the top seed in the East before they were swept in the second round by the Cavaliers. Toronto was not content and fired their Coach of the Year, Dwane Casey, and promoted Nick Nurse to take the helm. The Raptors are proving the pundits wrong and the NBA odds seem to back that up as they currently own the best record in the league and have won 10 of 13 in front of their rabid fans at Scotiabank Arena.
- Boston Celtics (+1100) – The Celtics were supposed to be a force of nature this season with a healthy Kyrie Irving and Gordon Hayward to claim the East and make a charge at the Warriors. Well, things haven’t exactly turned out that way as Hayward has just now found his groove as a valuable sixth man off the bench as opposed to an underachieving starter. Jaylen Brown has been hindered by injuries and is not playing up to par while backup Terry Rozier, who looked silky smooth in Irving’s stead late last year, is grumbling that he’s no longer in the spotlight. However, the Green Machine has won three straight and seems to be turning the corner.
- Houston Rockets (+1200) – If you want to know how long the NBA season is, imagine a team that is currently under .500 being tagged as having the fourth-best chance to win the NBA championship. If the season ended today, the Rockets would not even be in the postseason but as we all know, it’s a marathon, not a sprint. But a healthy Houston team is a winning Houston team as evidenced by the fact that the Rockets have lost all five games when Chris Paul has been out of the lineup while dropping two of three when Harden was sidelined with a hamstring injury. When healthy, the Rockets are very much a team to beat.
- Philadelphia 76ers (+1500) – A one-hundred dollar bill will net you $1500 if you bet the Sixers to win the title six months from now. Philadelphia’s bevy of high draft picks are bearing fruit and after adding the talented Jimmy Butler to their roster, they are officially for real. Nevertheless, the Markelle Fultz experiment continues with the No. 1 overall pick in the 2017 draft being hindered by shoulder issues. It’s too early to tell whether this pick has bust written all over it but the Sixers are certainly talented enough to get by and challenge without him.