Connect with us

NBA

New York Knicks’ Early Season Progress Report

Twenty-one games into the season, Tommy Beer offers his early grades of the Knicks’ players.

Tommy Beer

Published

on

Having played 21 games, the New York Knicks have now passed the quarter pole of the 2016-17 campaign.

A 12-9 record may not be much to celebrate in some cities, but for New Yorkers thirsty for just a taste of success, it’s viewed as an important step in the right direction.

The Knicks are over .500 through first 20 games of a season for just the third time this century. And New York is currently three games over .500 for the first time since April 17, 2013.

Thus, with 20-plus games in the rear-view mirror, let’s look back and hand out grades to each player.

Carmelo Anthony: B+
Based solely on the numbers, ‘Melo is not having a great season by “Carmelo Anthony standards.” He’s had to adjust his game playing alongside a true, talented point guard in Derrick Rose and an emerging superstar in Kristaps Porzingis. For instance, last season Anthony posted the highest assist percentage rate of his career (20.9). This season, his assist percentage is under 10 percent for the first time since 2007. Correspondingly, his usage rate is below 29 for the first time since his rookie year in Denver.

Nonetheless, ‘Melo has played a crucial role in propelling the Knicks to a fast start, especially over their last 12 games, when the Knicks have posted a conference-best 9-3 record. Despite getting knocked by many for unimaginative isolation plays at the end of games, Anthony has silenced the critics by sinking multiple game-winning shots.

In addition, ‘Melo remains a truly elite catch-and-shoot marksman. He’s averaging 7.7 points per game off catch-and-shoot shots, which is fifth-best in the entire league. He’s shooting a terrific 50.4 percent on these attempts. To put that in context, Klay Thompson is shooting 43.7 percent. (Anthony and Steph Curry are the only two players in the league shooting above 50 percent on at least at least five attempts). ‘Melo has also been a bit more focused on the defensive end. His Net Rating of plus-1.4 is best among Knicks starters.

Nonetheless, there are still some areas in which ‘Melo can improve. For instance, despite knocking down a few clutch shots, he tends to settle for forced jumpers out of isolation too often. Per the numbers above, we know how deadly effective he can be when spotting up and knocking down jumpers. However, his efficiency drops dramatically when he puts the ball on the floor. Per NBA.com/stats, he’s shooting just 33.8 percent on possessions in which he takes between 3-to-6 dribbles before attempting his shot. That’s obviously far less impressive when compared to his catch-and-shoot accuracy. And if he is going to put the ball on the floor, he should drive far more frequently instead of settling for mid-range jumpers. ‘Melo is averaging a career-low 4.5 points in the paint. Just 16 percent of his total field goal attempts have come at the rim this season. That’s far below his career average of 33.4 percent. He is also averaging a fewer than five free throws attempts per game for the first time in his career.

Kristaps Porzingis: A-
The Knicks thought they had a something special when they drafted this skinny Latvian kid with the fourth overall pick in the 2015 draft. They knew they had something special when he exceeded even the highest of expectations during his stellar rookie season. But even the Knicks have to be surprised with the improvement and development of Porzingis in his second NBA season.

After struggling defensively and not rebounding as well as he should have in his rookie season, Porzingis has improved on both fronts as a sophomore. His ability to contribute substantially on both ends of the floor is why so many in the Knicks organization are so high on him. Last week, he became the first player in New York franchise history to block at least two shots and make at least two three-pointers in four straight games. At just 21 years old, he is on pace to become just the seventh player in NBA history to average at least 20 points, seven rebounds and two three-pointers per game.

In addition, he leads the team in most advanced metrics. He is first on the team in PER (19.8) and also leads the team in VORP, offensive win shares and defensive win shares.

Last season, when he wasn’t knocking down shots, he would have a difficult time finding other ways to contribute. This season, that hasn’t been the case. For instance, he is shooting just 31.1 percent from the floor and a frigid 18.8 percent from downtown over New York’s last three games, but has also grabbed 31 rebounds, blocked eight shots and posted a positive plus/minus in those the games – all Knick wins.

Quite simply, the Knicks are at their best when they make a concerted effort to feature Porzingis. New York is 7-3 this season when his Usage Rate is north of 25 percent. They are just 3-7 in the 10 games in which KP’s usage rate dips below 25 percent. The Knicks are 8-3 when he plays more than 33 minutes. They are 0-4 when he plays less than 30 minutes.

Derrick Rose: B
It’s been a very long time since the Knicks had a point guard capable of what Rose brings to the table each night. Specifically, Rose’s ability to penetrate into the heart of opposing defenses has been invaluable.

Rose has already scored 200 points in the paint this season in the 670 minutes he played. In contrast, the Knicks’ starting point guard the last two seasons, Jose Calderon, scored a total of 128 points in the paint over 3,294 minutes from 2014 through 2016. Rose is on pace to score 780 points in the paint this season, which means he’d join Amar’e Stoudemire as just the second Knick this decade to score more than 700 points in the paint. In addition, Rose’s penetration does far more than just allow him to score; it creates space and stretches the defense, which puts his teammates in positions to succeed.

Rose is currently averaging 16.7 points, 4.8 assists and 4.1 rebounds. Only two Knicks point guards have averaged at least 16 points, four dimes and four boards over the course of a full season: Walt Frazier (eight times) and Mark Jackson (once).

However, Rose can get into trouble when he tries to do too much. He’s hurt the team at times when he tries to force shots and passes that aren’t there. We mentioned the usage rates stats related to Porzingis above. Well, it’s a far different scenario for Rose. The Knicks are just 1-8 in games in which Rose’s usage rate is greater than 26 percent. In contrast, New York is 11-1 when his usage rate is less than 26 percent. Similarly, the Knicks are 0-7 this season when Rose attempts more than 16 shots in a game. They are 12-2 when he shoots 16 times or less.

Nonetheless, Rose has provided a steady hand to lead the Knicks since the start of the season. He has also remained healthy, playing in each of the first 20 games of a season for the first time since his MVP campaign. Yet, Rose had to exit Tuesday’s win over Miami with back spasms. We shall see if it’s a lingering issue.

Brandon Jennings: B
We’ve talked a lot about stats and figures thus far, but Brandon Jennings’ greatest contributions typically don’t show up on the stat sheet each night. Jennings has provided a much-needed spark of energy and excitement off the bench. He’s also been demanding of his team. Jennings has been unafraid to publicly call out the troops after embarrassing performances.

Jennings has also proven himself as a finisher. He is actually second on the Knicks in total minutes played in the fourth quarter this season (behind only Porzingis).

At times, he’ll try to do too much, but that’s easier to accept when it’s a by-product of the ratcheted-up intensity he supplies on a nightly basis. There were many questions about Jennings coming into the season, as he was still working his way back from a devastating Achilles tear, but Jennings has looked spry and reinvigorated. He’s also revamped his game. For his career, he has averaged 13.8 FG attempts per game. This season, he’s focused on becoming a facilitator. He’s currently averaging just 6.4 shots per contest. He also boasts a team-best 2.94 assist-to-turnover ratio.

If Rose ends up missing time, he’ll become vitally important as the team’s starting PG.

Courtney Lee: C+
The Knicks had high hopes for Lee when they signed him this summer, hoping they’d finally found an elite perimeter defender and knock-down shooter from long distance. Lee hasn’t quite lived up to the hype.

He is shooting 44.2 percent from the floor, below his career mark of 45. Yet, while he hasn’t been quite as great defensively as hoped, he’s certainly been solid. His individual Defensive Rating of 106.5 is fourth best on the team. As he works his way back from an ankle sprain, there is certainly reason to believe he’ll improve as the season moves on.

Joakim Noah: D
Many pundits panned the Knicks for signing Noah to a four-year, $72 million contract back in July. Right now, those that defended the Knicks’ decision don’t have much of a leg to stand on. While most agreed that the deal would look bad three or four years from now, the hope was that he’d play well enough early on in the contract to justify the potential of dead weight down the road. Instead, Noah stumbled badly out of the gate.

Not only has he had trouble staying healthy, missing four of the Knicks’ first 21 games, he’s also been ineffective for much of the time he’s been on the court. The standard stats aren’t pretty. He’s averaging just 4.2 points, 2.9 assists and 0.8 blocks. He’s also dealing with a terrible case of the yips at the free throw line. Noah is just 6-of-25 (24 percent) from the charity stripe this season, including 11 straight misses. It’s extremely odd, considering he shot 73 percent from the line over the first seven years of his NBA career.

Most shocking, his defense has been sub-par. Per NBA.com, the Knicks are allowing 108.4 points per 100 possessions while Noah is on the floor. That’s the third-worst individual DefRtg on the team.

By all accounts, he is a terrific teammate and a leader in the locker room, and there is obviously still plenty of time for Noah to turn it around, but the pressure on Noah will only continue to grow if his play doesn’t improve.

Mindaugas Kuzminskas: B-
Kuz has unexpectedly become a fan favorite among Madison Square Garden faithful, and for good reason; the kid can play.

Kuzminskas is 27 and has a wealth of international experience, so he isn’t your typical rookie. That experience has been hard to miss, as his impressive basketball IQ and solid all-around skill set have earned him plenty of minutes along with coach Jeff Hornacek’s trust. Coming into Tuesday night’s game in Miami, Kuz was second among all rotation players in Net Rating (plus-4.3).

Justin Holiday: B-
Holiday was an afterthought in the “Derrick Rose trade,” but the young, skinny wing has been a pleasant surprise for Hornacek and the coaching staff.

He is shooting a career-high 40 percent from the floor and 37 percent from three-point territory. Holiday has also been better than expected on the other end of the floor. He is an active, pesky defender that uses his length to his advantage.

Kyle O’Quinn: B-
After a slow start and struggling just to maintain his spot in the rotation over the first month of the season, O’Quinn has been a man possessed recently. Over the Knicks’ last three games, O’Quinn is averaging 12 points, 9.7 rebounds and 2.7 blocks, while shooting a scorching 70.8 percent from the floor. And it should be noted that the opposing centers he’s matched up against in these contests were Karl-Anthony Towns, DeMarcus Cousins and Hassan Whiteside.

O’Quinn’s effort has been inspiring. He’s been a beast on the offensive glass and has seemingly come up with every loose ball for a week straight. His strong play has made the disappointing performance of Noah far less damaging than it could have been. On the season, his PER currently sits at 19.6, just ahead of ‘Melo for second-best on the team. We’ll see if KO can keep this up.

Willy Hernangomez: B-
Hernangomez has been another pleasant surprise for the Knicks. And, like O’Quinn, Willy has done an admirable job filling in for Noah when called upon.

Hernangomez has a terrific feel for the game, possessing great hands and good vision. Furthermore, his footwork around the basket is phenomenal for a player his age. He currently leads the team in both True Shooting percentage (62.5) and Effective Field Goal percentage (60.9). He also ranks first on the Knicks in defensive rebounds per 100 possessions.

The knock on Hernangomez is his defense. He doesn’t have the lateral agility to guard quicker opponents, and he’s not yet strong enough to move bigger centers from their preferred spots on the low block.

Lance Thomas: C-
Thomas greatly exceeded expectations last season and played the best basketball of his career. The Knicks rewarded him with a lucrative four-year, $27.5 million contract this past summer. However, the early returns have not been overly encouraging. He is shooting 41.5 percent from the floor and his individual DefRtg of 110.5 is the worst on the team.

Still, to be fair, Thomas has been hampered by injuries this season. An ankle sprain cost him three weeks in November and he is still dealing with the nagging effects of plantar fasciitis. To his credit, Thomas stepped up and played his best game of the season Tuesday night in Miami. Maybe that boosts his confidence and he begins playing closer to the 2015-16 version of himself.

Sasha Vujacic: C+
Vujacic’s standard, offensive stats are far from impressive. He’s averaging only 2.2 points while shooting just 35.7 percent from the floor. However, he has actually played far better than anticipated on the defensive end (Defensive Rating of 96.2). It is safe to assume this won’t last, and he’ll need to start knocking down shots in order to see additional minutes, but the steady professional has been a calming influence on the floor whenever his number has been called thus far.

Maurice Ndour: C-
Ndour was on the fringe of the rotation early in the season. He appeared in seven of the Knicks’ first 12 games, averaging over 10 minutes per contest. However, he wasn’t overly impressive on either side of the ball and eventually lost his playing time to more productive bench contributors, such as Q’Quinn and Kuzminskas. Ndour has played a total of only seven minutes over the Knicks’ last nine games.

Ron Baker: Incomplete
Baker played well in the preseason to earn a roster spot, but has played sparingly since the regular season commenced. Baker has played a total of 34 minutes in four brief appearances. However, he may be forced into action if Rose misses any time.

Marshall Plumlee: Incomplete
Plumlee has only appeared in two games this season. Last Wednesday in Minnesota, Plumlee came off the bench and gave the Knicks a solid 20 minutes of effort and energy. However, it’s too small of a sample size to draw any fair conclusion.

Which Knicks have surprised you the most? Who needs to step up for the team moving forward? Leave your thoughts in a comment below.

Tommy Beer is a Senior NBA Analyst and the Fantasy Sports Editor of Basketball Insiders, having covered the NBA for the last nine seasons.

Advertisement




Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

NBA

NBA Daily: Who Deserves Coach of the Year?

As the season enters its final stages, Matt John takes a look at who are the prime candidates for Coach of the Year.

Matt John

Published

on

Last year, this writer started his tenure with Basketball Insiders writing about who had the best case for Coach of the Year. One year later, he’s revisiting the same discussion. This time with an entirely new slate of candidates.

The Coach of the Year Award produces one of the most fascinating races in the NBA that doesn’t get as much attention. What makes it fascinating is that there are a variety of reasons for why a coach can win the award. Why it doesn’t get enough attention is because fans understandably care more about the players than the coaches, which is nobody’s fault.

This season, we have coaches with different reasons for why they are viable candidates for Coach of the Year. Some aren’t necessarily coaching the best team, or are making the most progress, but they’re making a good enough case that they should be in the discussion.

Please note that these are ranked in alphabetical order, not by who deserves it the most.

Mike Budenholzer – A few weeks ago, this writer detailed why the Bucks’ front office deserved credit for building the contender that they did, and he stands by it. However, while it’s on the front office to assemble a great team, it is on the coach to make the pieces work. That is what Coach Bud has done, and he’s done it marvelously.

Milwaukee sits atop the Eastern Conference with a 53-19 record, they have the best net rating in the NBA, and Giannis is in the center in one of the most intense MVP races of all time. With the exception of the most recent untimely injuries to Malcolm Brogdon and Nikola Mirotic, this season could not have gone better for the Bucks.

Milwaukee always had the talent to be one of the league’s best teams. They just needed the right guy calling the shots. They have their man. Let’s be fair though. The Bucks needed Mike just as much as he needed them. So far, it’s worked for the best for both sides because now, Coach Bud has a very believable chance to join his mentor Coach Pop among the very few coaches who have won the award multiple times.

Dave Joerger – Anytime you make the NBA’s doormat look the most promising its been in over a decade, you automatically get your name among the NBA’s coaching elite.

Coming into the season, many thought the story surrounding the Kings was going to be about how good of a pick were they going to give Boston or Philadelphia in the lottery. That was proven wrong. Somehow, with 11 games left in the season, the Kings are still fighting for a playoff spot. Miraculously, they’ve become the NBA’s little engine that could

Much credit should go to the improvement of De’Aaron Fox and Buddy Hield along with the exciting play of Marvin Bagley III among others, but young talent can grow together without being cohesive. Joerger deserves credit for the youth’s improvement and cohesion getting Sacto results. The one knock against Joeger is that the Kings probably aren’t going to make the playoffs, but they’re finally trending in the right direction.

For that, Joerger absolutely deserves to be in the conversation. Let’s just hope those rumors of tension with upper management turn out to be nothing more than gossip.

Mike Malone – It’s arrived later than they would have wanted, but hey, better late than never! The Nuggets’ new era has finally started, and it has started gloriously.

The Nuggets currently place second in the Western Conference and have clinched their first playoff berth since 2013. They have the third-highest offensive rating in the league, and one of the best all-around offensive bigs the league has ever seen in Nikola Jokic. The improvements of Jamal Murray and Gary Harris, along with the surprising productivity coming from Monte Morris and Malik Beasley have given the Nuggets a team swimming in depth.

This season has shown that just because you have depth on your squad does not mean that everything will fall into place – See Celtics, Boston – which is what makes Malone’s work in all the more impressive. It’s helped that he’s gotten more games out of Paul Millsap – who has the highest net rating on the team (+8.4) – but Malone has mixed and matched the roster about as well as Denver could have hoped.

There is a fair amount of skepticism as to whether the Nuggets will keep this up in the playoffs. Even if they don’t, Malone did his job extraordinarily.

Sean Marks – Marks has been on the radar for a couple of years now since he’s had to clean up Brooklyn’s mess for the previous two seasons. This season, the Nets are starting to reap the benefits from the winning culture he has created.

Besides Joerger, Marks has the least impressive record of the coaches put on this list. Much like Joeger, in Marks’ case, it doesn’t matter because the jump his team has made from last season makes his case all the more legitimate. Demarre Carroll and Ed Davis have been dependable veterans and the leaps that Spencer Dinwiddie and Caris Levert have taken

But most impressive of all, Marks seems to have unlocked D’Angelo Russell. After both the turmoil and the injuries that D-Lo has had to deal with since entering the league, he now has emerged as one of the league’s brighter young stars. It’s important that young talent be molded correctly otherwise it can stunt a player’s growth. We’ll never know if that would have happened in LA, but we now know that Russell’s move to Brooklyn was vital to his progress.

Brooklyn believed Marks was up to the task when he was first hired, and now, their faith is being rewarded.

Nate McMillan – Of all the coaches that were put on this list last year, only two resurfaced this season. You probably already know who one of them is, while McMillan is the other.

First off, hats off to McMillan for reviving his career as Head Coach. Many were skeptical when Indiana replaced Frank Vogel with him. Since then, he’s only made them eat their words. His work last season was already impressive. He’s only continued to do so this season.

The Pacers are currently 44-29. If they just go 4-5 over their last nine games, they match their record from last season. That’s remarkable considering they lost Victor Oladipo ie their best player halfway through the season. They were on a 56-win pace before ‘Dipo’s injury, but his numbers declined this season, which shows that the team itself has grown.

Indiana currently is tied for the second-best defensive rating in the league (105.9) thanks to the likes of Myles Turner which has mitigated Oladipo’s absence. They haven’t been great since Victor went down, but they’ve done well enough to stick with Boston and Philly in the playoff race. For that, Nate deserves recognition.

Nick Nurse – The new kid on the block had a tall order when the Raptors replaced Dwane Casey with him as head coach. So far, he’s run with it.

It’s likely Toronto won’t be able to match last season’s regular season win total. Their defense has stayed the same, but their offense has taken a step back this season, going from the second-highest in the league to the seventh. Nobody seems too concerned about that because the general feeling is that this is the best Raptors’ team ever assembled.

Kawhi Leonard has looked as good as ever. Pascal Siakam has exploded onto the scene as perhaps the team’s second-best all-around player. Serge Ibaka’s having his most efficient season in years. New additions Danny Green, Marc Gasol and Jeremy Lin have fit in without much trouble. The list goes on.

Nurse had a lot to juggle when he was appointed Head Coach, and so far, he’s filling in well for the departed Casey. We’ll have to see if he gets Toronto past its playoff demons, but what a season he’s had.

Gregg Popovich – Just when you think the Spurs were down for the count, they find ways to stay relevant. They’ve done this so many times that you’d think the national media would learn not to count them out. Somehow we still do, and we’re always wrong.

To recap, Coach Pop lost his best player (Leonard) during the summer. He lost his most promising young player (Dejounte Murray) just before the season started. Two of the most iconic Spurs ever – Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili – left the team. His two best players – LaMarcus Aldridge and DeMar DeRozan – are not reliable three-point shooters in a league that’s become increasingly reliant on floor spacing. It was supposed to be the start of the Spurs’ descent.

For a while, it looked that way, but as the season is winding down, it appears San Antonio isn’t going anywhere. They’ve won nine of their last 10 games, they have the sixth-highest offensive rating in the league, and most ironic of all, they have the best three-point shooting in the league at almost 40 percent.

It’s fair to say that this has been fantastic work by Popovich, but when was the last time he fell short of that description?

Doc Rivers – Rivers has plenty of evidence to support that he’s one of the league’s best coaches. He won Coach of the Year back in 2000 and led one of the most dominant basketball teams in the 21st century in 2008, but this season might just be his best work yet.

The Clippers looked like they were about to start rebuilding but instead opted to build a winning culture. Doc’s coaching has put guys who know who they are in positions to thrive. Lou Williams, Danilo Gallinari, Montrezl Harrell, Patrick Beverley, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. All of them, no matter where they are at in their career, played excellent in the role Doc gave them. Oh, and has it been brought up that the Clippers traded their best player haven’t slipped at all?

By doing this, Doc went back to his roots during his days as the head coach of the Magic. There were no elite players on the team, but guys who knew what they were supposed to do. What makes this Clippers team more impressive team than that Magic team is the Western Conference in 2019 is much tougher than the Eastern Conference was in 2000.

This could do so much for the Clippers. After the Magic’s impressive run in 2000, they landed Tracy McGrady, Grant Hill, and almost Tim Duncan. If Doc continues to impress, a certain LA-native and Canadian resident might be donning a Clipprs uniform.

There are some tough omissions, such as Quin Snyder, Brett Brown, and Billy Donovan. The difference between them and the others mentioned is that they’ve reasonably met expectations. All of them are coaching playoff teams. It’s just that their respective teams or where we thought they’d be.

That doesn’t mean they don’t deserve consideration. It’s just that their case isn’t as strong as the others mentioned above.

Continue Reading

NBA

NBA Daily: Fixing the New York Knicks

Drew Maresca continues Basketball Insiders’ “Fixing” series with the rebuilding New York Knicks.

Drew Maresca

Published

on

It is nearly April and that means the NBA postseason has begun to take shape. But while a number of teams’ posture for higher seeding, the season is already all but over for others – four to be exact.

Basketball Insiders is bringing back its annual “Fixing” series to provide a blueprint for all four teams to right their respective ships. We will continue along in this series by examining the New York Knicks.

Unofficially the 2018-19 season has been mostly inconsequential for the Knicks since opening night. Expectations were low to begin with – a fact that was amplified by a mid-season trade of Kristaps Porzingis to Dallas. The Knicks are approaching another make-or-break offseason, which has added pressure considering their championship drought and the rumors of free agent interest.

As far as their current roster, the Knicks haven’t shown much progress this season. They are currently on a slide in which they’ve won only one of their last 11 games, six of which were lost by double figures. But there is still lots to look forward to. The Knicks have the second youngest roster in the league, and their rookies and younger players now have another year of experience under their belts. Additionally, their leadership group projects a thoughtfulness not seen in Madison Square Garden since Donnie Walsh-Mike D’Antoni, which was surprisingly short-lived.

What is Working

Coach David Fizdale is still in his first season as the Knicks’ head coach. While he appears to have struggled getting his system across to the team, Fizdale is still widely seen as an above-average NBA mind who is well-respected around the league. He received clemency this season considering the lack of talent on the team’s opening day roster. Hiring Fizdale was about building a culture. Like him or not, Fizdale will receive at least another season to prove his worth. Further, his connections across the league (and more specifically to the LeBron James-led Miami HEAT) have granted him a relatively high profile. But coaches don’t get terribly long leashes, especially in New York. Fizdale would be best served by a playoff-birth (at least) in 2020.

Dennis Smith Jr. is another bright spot for the Knicks. He came to New York courtesy of the Porzingis-to-Dallas trade at the deadline. Smith Jr. has been a difference maker in New York so far, looking far more like the second-team all-rookie player he was last season. He posted 14.6 points per game on 41.6 percent shooting along with averaged 6 assists per contest in his first 17 games as a Knick. He has sat out the last four games with back soreness, which seems to be precautionary – after all, the Knicks aren’t competing for a playoff spot.

Smith Jr.’s shooting must improve, especially from three (29%) and the free-throw line (58.6%), but he is clearly more comfortable in the lead-guard role – one which he’s returned to since joining New York. While he would obviously prefer to remain the starting point guard, a player of Smith Jr.’s caliber is an asset in the starting lineup or coming off the bench.

The two more unheralded of the Knicks’ rookies have also looked significantly better than they were expected to. Allonzo Trier already looks like an NBA veteran thanks to his polished offensive game, averaging 10.9 points per game on nearly 45% shooting and 39% from three. Trier has demonstrated the ability to create his own shot against elite defenders. He has his share of deficiencies, but he looks like an NBA player, and the Knicks have him under contract next season (with a team option) at only $3.5 million.

But Trier wasn’t the only talent the Knicks lucked into in last year’s draft. Mitchell Robinson – the  36th pick in the 2018 NBA Draft – dropped into the second-round thanks to a combination of too limited a body of work (Robinson withdrew from Western Kentucky University prior to the start of the collegiate season in 2017) and poor advice from his former agent to skip the Draft Combine. But Robinson looks like a first-rounder now. His combination of athleticism and length have proven to be huge assets to him and the team; he recently tied a Patrick Ewing’s Knicks’ rookie record for consecutive games with a block (28). He also passed Kristaps Porzingis to set the Knicks’ franchise record for most blocks amongst rookies and he’s among the best in the league at blocking three-point field goal attempts (8 of his 35 blocks in February resulted from three-point attempts). Robinson has also improved his early-season foul woes. And while it’s still something to work on, Robinson made strong enough progress to affect the game on a regular basis in his first year in the league.

What Needs to Change

The Knicks expect lots of change this offseason.

The team’s youth and lack of continuity is apparent on the defensive end. They rank 26th in adjusted defensive rating and they average the third worst margin of victory per game (-8.86 points).

But it’s not just their defense that must improve; the Knicks also need help on the offensive end. Specifically, the Knicks need more efficient scorers – they are the third lowest scoring team despite generating the 16th most field goal attempts per game – and they especially need three-point shooters (26th in three-point percentage).

The Knicks also hope to see improvement from individual players, like Frank Ntilikina. Ntilikina was still an above-average defender in his sophomore campaign – although receiving far less fanfare for it – but he exhibited no growth on the offensive end. In fact, his PER and win share per game both went down this season from his rookie year. Ntilikina entered the NBA as an 18-year-old rookie with a limited offensive repertoire. And while he’ll enter his third season at only 21 years old, the time for improvement is now. Ntilikina must demonstrate a more consistent jump shot – he shot only 30% from between 16 feet and three-point range – as well as a more deliberate offensive approach. While the latter stems from his philosophical approach to the game, he can realize improvements on the former by repetition and hard work (e.g., Kemba Walker, who shot 31% from deep in his first four seasons and 38% in his past four, including this season).

Kevin Knox also struggled with consistency this season; case in point, Knox took 17, 14 and 14 shot attempts, respectively, in the team’s last three games. However, he shot a combined 16 field goal attempts across the two games prior to those. And this has been the case for much of the season. Knox has shown the ability to be a versatile scorer (ala Jayson Tatum or Tobias Harris), but he must work on remaining aggressive and engaged. Fortunately, Knox was the third youngest player selected in the 2018 NBA Draft and has more than enough time to develop an edge.

Focus Area: The Draft

The Knicks will enter the 2019 NBA Draft with as good odds as any other team at securing the first overall pick. Zion Williamson looks to be a transcendent talent around whom any team would love to build. But with the reworked Draft Lottery rules, the last place team has the same odds as the next two in the standings. And regardless if they get the first overall pick or not, rumors have swirled about the possibility that the Knicks could swap their 2019 first-round pick along with other assets for a bona fide star, like Anthony Davis.

In the event that the Knicks keep their pick, they can fall no lower than the fifth overall pick if they finish with the worst record in the league (which becomes sixth if they finish with the second-worst record). Assuming they finish with the worst overall record, their odds of landing each pick are as follows: 14% for last place, 13.4% chance for second to last, 12.7% for third to last, 12.0% for fourth to last and 47.9% for fifth to last.

This year’s draft is widely viewed as offering three sure things (Williamson, Ja Morant and RJ Barrett) and everyone else. The Knicks have approximately a 40% chance at selecting in the top three. If they do not secure the first overall pick, they will likely choose between Morant and Barrett. Either would fit nicely. Morant would likely push Smith Jr. off the ball, which hurt his efficiency a bit. But Morant scores the ball and distributes to teammates. Meanwhile, Barrett was slightly underwhelming in Williamson’s recent absence. Still, he is clearly a top-tier talent and if the Knicks end up with the second or third pick, either of these two would represent a strong edition.

If they drop to four or five, their decision becomes significantly more difficult. Cameron Reddish, Bol Bol, Jarrett Culver, De’Andre Hunter, Keldon Johnson, Romeo Langford, Jontay Porter and Kevin Porter – among others – would all warrant consideration with no clear-cut favorite at this point in time.

Focus Area: Free Agency

While the Knicks are in the driver’s seat for the first overall pick, free agency will be the Knicks’ main driver for improvement. The Knicks have only seven players under contract for 2019-20: Damyean Dotson, John Jenkins, Kevin Knox, Frank Ntilikina, Mitchell Robinson, Dennis Smith Jr. and Allonzo Trier  – as well as Henry Ellenson’s $1.6 million team option and Lance Thomas’ partial guarantee ($1 million). The Knicks will probably hang onto Ellenson. Unfortunately, if the Knicks seek to maximize cap space they must waive Thomas instead of paying his full $7.5 million, although they have until January 2020 to do so.

The team’s roster was arranged for flexibility, though. They missed on their targeted free agents in 2010, but the narrative around free agency and free agent destinations has changed in the past nine years. The Knicks are now seen as a plausible free agent destination. With that being said, there are rumors about their interest in adding Kyrie Irving and Kevin Durant – or two max-level free agents – to the roster. There are also rumors that suggest said interest is reciprocated. If the Knicks obtain Irving and Durant – or any combination of two stars – they will likely look to turn their young talent into a third star. If they are unable to procure superstar free agents, they should remain the course instead of overpaying for lesser players. The most interesting scenario, though, is if the Knicks win the draft lottery and sign Irving and Durant. What they do with the first pick (presumably Williamson) will reveal a lot to their fans and other franchises around the league.

The Knicks still have ten games left this season. Their younger players must remain locked in and continue learning as much as possible from guys like Lance Thomas and DeAndre Jordan. Next season will be here soon enough and the roster will likely see a tremendous amount of turnover. Hopefully for the Knicks and their fans, this is among – if not THE – last time for a long time that the offseason is more exciting than the regular season.

Continue Reading

NBA

NBA Daily: Bought Out Players Faring Well With New Teams

The deadline for teams to send their unwanted players to the buyout market was March 1. Jordan Hicks takes a look at some of the key acquisitions since the deadline and how they are helping postseason pushes.

Jordan Hicks

Published

on

The buyout market seems to be gaining more and more popularity with each season. While rebuilding teams tend to forego more seasoned players in order to give their younger guys some run, veteran players often find themselves bought out or waived prior to the deadline.

Teams competing for a spot in the playoffs – so it seems – have increasingly taken advantage of this situation by signing guys that can definitely help them get enough wins. While you definitely will not find All-Stars in the pool of available players, oftentimes solid role players find themselves there due to a myriad of reasons.

It could be that their previous teams wanted to give more playing time to guys more in-line with their future plans. It could also be because their previous team was simply wanting to lose games in order to increase their draft position, which is also known as tanking. By waiving better players on your roster and keeping less talented ones, teams can essentially give themselves a better chance to lose games without totally making it look like they’re doing it on purpose.

This year had one of the stronger pools of players on the buyout/waived market as of March 1st in recent memory, so let’s take a look at some of the top players and how they’ve fared since joining their new team.

Wesley Matthews

Matthews was part of the marquee trade that sent Kristaps Porzingis to the Dallas Mavericks. He ended up with the Knicks, but after two short games, they realized they didn’t want his talent interfering with their draft position. They waived him prior to the deadline and he was picked up by the Indiana Pacers.

This has turned out to be an incredibly important acquisition for the Pacers – primarily due to the fact that they lost All-Star Victor Oladipo for the season.

Matthews brings grittiness on the defensive end and a diverse set of skills offensively. He is an above average shooter from the three-point line, averaging 38.8 percent on 6.1 attempts per game since joining Indiana. He has added much-needed scoring to the offense as well – currently at 12.5 points and 2.4 assists each night.

He’s very clearly a step below Oladipo, especially when considering what Vic brought to both ends of the floor, but the fact that the Pacers added him without having to give up any assets is pretty remarkable.

While he has yet to add any considerable value on defense, Matthews has ranked fifth on the team in offensive rating since joining them on February 7. If Oladipo was still on the roster, you could argue that they wouldn’t necessarily need Matthews. But in light of recent events, being able to add Matthews as easily as they did was certainly a win for the franchise.

Enes Kanter

Another player the Knicks decided to unload was Enes Kanter. He was sent to the player pool via buyout, and it is safe to assume that New York had to spend handsomely to send him there.

Kanter is an interesting player. He has always been able to get buckets around the rim, as well as grab rebounds, but he has always struggled defensively. This was not why the Knicks wanted to let him go, however. Tension had been growing between Kanter, the front office, and the coaching staff, as they wanted to limit his minutes in lieu of the younger players on the roster.

Enes just wanted to play, and, by being bought out and signing with the Portland Trail Blazers, he’s been able to do just that.

Since joining Portland, the team as gone 9-3. While he continues to have his struggles on defense, he is posting 10 points and 6.7 rebounds on only 18.2 minutes per night.

Since the acquisition, Meyers Leonard has seen a decreased role. Kanter has turned into the de-facto backup to starting center Jusuf Nurkic. While Kanter is a poor defender himself, Portland has enough solid defensive players in the frontcourt that they haven’t had too much of a problem hiding him on that end of the floor.

Jeremy Lin

Lin headed to the market after being bought out by the Atlanta Hawks. He was picked up by the Toronto Raptors, who have struggled to field consistent backcourt players off the bench due to injuries – which was made more difficult after dealing Delon Wright to the Grizzlies as part of the Marc Gasol trade.

In 13 games with the Raptors, Lin is averaging 8.4 points and 2.5 assists in 20.8 minutes per game. He has struggled to find any consistency with his shot, as he’s averaging just 39 percent from the field and a morbid 18.4 percent from three.

That shooting has every opportunity to increase. Lin is a 34.3 percent shooter from downtown over the course of his career.

The Raptors will need Lin to pull his shooting together as the season wraps up for a strong playoff campaign. The bench unit was a major part of their success last season and it is proving to be another key part this year. In order for Toronto to finally reach their goal of winning the Eastern Conference, they’ll need Lin to be at his best. He isn’t the only key to their success, but he’ll have a major impact on how the Raptors finish out the season.

There are still plenty of solid players on the market. Carmelo Anthony, Ben McLemore and Nick Young could provide instant offense off the bench. Greg Monroe, Marcin Gortat and Zach Randolph could help improve the frontcourt of any team in need. Whether or not teams decide they need their services, only time will tell.

While the season plays out, it will be interesting to see just what impact these players discussed – as well as those not mentioned – will have for their franchise in the postseason.

Continue Reading
Advertisement

NBA Team Salaries

Advertisement

Insiders On Twitter

NBA On Twitter

Trending Now