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NBA AM: Who May Be the Next Ben Simmons?

Ben Simmons has been incredible as a freshman. Which high school stud could follow in Simmons’ footsteps next year?

Joel Brigham

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Who May Be the Next Ben Simmons?

Top draft prospect Ben Simmons of LSU is garnering a lot of attention due to his eye-popping collegiate numbers, and he’s almost guaranteed to make him the top overall selection of the 2016 NBA Draft. The 19-year-old impacts just about every facet of the game and he’s currently averaging 20.3 points, 12.6 rebounds, 5.3 assists, 1.9 steals and 1.2 blocks. The wonder from down under is drawing early comparisons to LeBron James for his versatility and unselfish style of play, and executives from potential lottery teams are already drooling over the possibility of nabbing the burgeoning star.

While it may be a little early, the good people at McDonald’s recently released a long list of 2016 McDonald’s All-American nominees and, as we know, many of the NBA’s current superstars were, in fact, named to those exhibition games earlier in their career.

Knowing that, here’s a look at who is currently considered the nation’s best five-star high school recruits. We’ll examine their game and whether they have the potential to – like Simmons – become one of the top prospects in the 2017 NBA Draft.

*****

Harry Giles, F, 6’10, Oak Hill Academy (Duke) – Like quite a few top high school stars have done over the years, ESPN’s No. 1 overall recruit Harry Giles transferred to Oak Hill for his senior year in an effort to maximize exposure and present himself as a man among men. However, that decision proved a fateful one as he partially tore his right ACL minutes into his first game there and now is in the midst of sitting out his senior season of high school.

This is significant for Giles – a talented big man with outstanding athleticism who already possesses the body of an NBA player – because he also tore both his ACL and MCL in the other knee the summer before his sophomore campaign. There’s no question that he’s incredibly talented, and a year at Duke certainly won’t hurt his shot at being the top overall pick in 2017. But his health now is a serious concern and it’s fair to wonder whether a team with the first or second selection will take him, even following a great year of college ball. He’ll be in contention if he’s in one piece, but there are safer options at the top – namely kids who arguably are just as talented but with stronger knees.

Jayson Tatum, F, 6’8, Chaminade H.S. (Duke) – Also headed to Duke is Tatum, who is one of Giles’ best friends and future roommate. Tatum could just as easily become the No. 1 player in the 2017 Draft thanks to his combination of skill, athleticism and size. Scouts have noted that there really isn’t much anybody can do to guard the guy (he had 46 points in a high school game earlier this season), but he’s also long enough to play tricky defense thanks to a 6’10 wingspan. He already is putting on muscle, and he’ll end up taking Brandon Ingram’s spot in the Blue Devils’ lineup should Ingram head for the NBA next season as expected. There’s no reason Tatum shouldn’t leave college just as highly touted as Ingram has become.

Josh Jackson, G, 6’8, Prolific Prep (Undecided) – As Rivals.com’s No. 1 overall recruit, Jackson is trying to use his senior season to prove that he is arguably the best high school player in the country. While he’s not necessarily the sort of elite scorer that Tatum appears to be, he is a little more versatile and has the potential to be one of the best defensive players from his class. He’s not as aggressive on offense as he probably should be, but that could come with time as he narrows down his collegiate choices (which reportedly are down to Arizona, Michigan State and perhaps Kansas) and gets enough experience on that level to find himself on that end. A recruit who is a jack of all trades with a high ceiling typically gets drafted very early, and right now Jackson fits that mold. he already looks like one of the top three players of his draft class.

De’Aaron Fox, G, 6’3, Cypress Lakes H.S. (Kentucky) – One of three top-10 high school recruits headed to Kentucky this year, Fox finds himself en route to the NBA farm that is John Calipari’s Wildcats roster. But it’s hard to know what will happen this offseason since the futures of Tyler Ulis and Isaiah Briscoe – the two uber-talented point guards already on the team – are somewhat up in the air since they’re considered bubble first-rounders.

Even if Fox doesn’t get a ton of playing time next year, which is doubtful considering he’s the No. 1 point guard prospect in the country, NBA scouts look at Kentucky players and judge their potential, athleticism and ability to translate their game to the league, not actual output, and Fox obviously has those things in droves. He’s traditional at his position in a sense, with great court vision and the quickness necessary to attack the bucket at will. With that said, he’s also one of his class’ best perimeter defenders, which makes him a very tough matchup (particularly for smaller point guards). He seems at the very least destined for the lottery, and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see him emerge as a top pick.

Bam Adebayo, F, 6’10, High Point Christian (Kentucky) – Another one of Coach Cal’s recruits, Adebayo looks like an NBA player already, but thankfully for him that humongous 260-pound frame also comes with quite a bit of talent. Nicknamed “Bam” as a toddler because he crashed into and knocked over a coffee table, Edrice Adebayo is one of the most polished big men in high school hoops right now. He’s surprisingly athletic for his size and scores incredibly efficiently with his fine array of post moves. While he’s more of a center stuck in a power forward’s body, he has a skill set that definitely will translate well to the college level and eventually to the pro level too. He’s arguably the most desirable “true” big man in his class, and as NBA history has shown us, quality true big men tend to get drafted pretty high.

Malik Monk, G, 6’4, Bentonville H.S. (Kentucky) – Monk is the third top-10 recruit headed to Kentucky this season, but the highly-efficient combo guard out of Arkansas has the potential to be the best of the batch. He’s really more of a shooting guard than anything, but the NBA no longer worries about positions as much as it used to. That means the speedy, athletic, heady Monk should have no problem finding a professional home in about a year and a half when it comes time for him to consider entering the NBA Draft. An avid hunter, Monk lends himself to all sorts of fun basketball wordplay (the “hunt” for a championship; a “sharpshooter”), but it’s his skills on the court that have him headed to the most talented roster in college hoops next season. Kentucky breeds stars, and there’s little reason to believe that Monk couldn’t be one.

Dennis Smith, G, 6’3, Trinity Christian (NC State) – One of the more interesting players on this list, Smith also tore his ACL this season and used his lost senior season as an excuse to graduate high school a semester early and join his new NC State teammates a full eight months earlier than expected. While Smith isn’t expected to play for the Wolfpack this year, the star point guard is making use of what we can only assume are high-quality rehab and training facilities, not to mention he’s getting an extra semester of learning the playbook and being around his coaching staff and teammates at practices. As far as experience goes, he’s still essentially a high school senior, and he’ll need a whole extra year at college to be eligible for the draft, but this athletic attacker with the tight handles and solid court vision should prove himself worthy of NBA attention in no time. Getting that extra time with the Pack certainly won’t hurt either.

*****

It may seem ridiculous to give heavy consideration to an NBA Draft that’s 18 months away when so much can happen between now and then. After all, six months ago we were looking at Skal LaBissiere as arguably the best player of the 2016 draft class, but he has been massively disappointing at Kentucky during his freshman season. Several years ago, there were early rumblings out of high school that Perry Jones III and Quincy Miller would be top picks in the 2012 NBA Draft, but today neither player is on an NBA roster. Once upon a time, Shabazz Muhammad was supposed to be a superstar (some even called him the next Carmelo Anthony).

Things change and other players come out of nowhere to climb draft boards, but if we’re looking for next year’s Ben Simmons in the NCAA, these seven players are the best bets for now. Whether Harry Giles can stay healthy long-term is the most interesting question among these young players, but it sure isn’t the only one.

That, of course, is a big part of what makes all this early speculation so much fun.

Joel Brigham is a senior writer for Basketball Insiders, covering the Central Division and fantasy basketball.

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NBA Daily: Kaiser Gates Determined To Silence His Doubters

He may not be listed on some draft boards or seen as an impact player by certain individuals, but Kaiser Gates knows what he’s made of.

Spencer Davies

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If you’re looking to further your career at the next level but coming out of college as a prospect on the fringe, you’d better be willing to work twice as hard to draw attention from the basketball world.

Attending the Preparation Pro Day in Miami with team representatives and scouts watching, Kaiser Gates wanted to show everybody who was there that the chip on his shoulder would drive him to silence his doubters.

“I feel like I have a lot to prove,” Gates said in Miami. “I feel like a lot of the guys in the draft this year, I’m just as good if not better than (them), so I gotta show that.”

After three years at Xavier University, the 22-year-old decided it was time to move on from the program and passed on his senior year to enter the NBA Draft. The news came as a surprise to many, considering he might’ve gotten the opportunity to earn an even more expanded role next season with the departure of Musketeer favorites Trevon Bluiett and J.P. Macura.

The numbers across the board weren’t exactly eye-catching. Primarily a wing, Gates knocked down 37.8 percent of his threes as a junior. He averaged 7.2 points and 4.6 rebounds in almost 24 minutes per game.

Looking at conference play in the Big East, those figures took a dip. Gates shot less than 30 percent from deep and really struggled to contribute offensively for Xavier against tougher opponents.

There was an incredible discrepancy in shot selection over his three-year collegiate career. Astoundingly enough, 300 of his 409 career attempts came outside of the arc. The other 109 tries were twos, which he converted at a 54.1 percent rate.

It’s hard to ignore statistical evidence when it comes to evaluating players, but misuse and fit could have been more prominent factors in this case. It’s something that happens quite a bit at school programs with prospects, and Gates believes that he could be added to that list of mishandled talent.

“I don’t think I’m inconsistent at all,” Gates said. “At Xavier, I know my stats showed that I was inconsistent. Playing at that school it was a great experience—great guys, great coaches.

“Just kinda like my situation and the way I was playing at that school didn’t really allow me to showcase my full talents, and with that being said, it’s kinda hard to stay consistent not doing something I’m used to doing.”

Furthering the point, it’s not easy to be judged off that information, which some use as the only indication of what you’ll bring to the pros. Gates plans on using that as motivation whenever he meets with different teams.

“I would come in and people would just assume like, ‘Oh he could shoot a little bit, play defense, a little athletic.’ But I know on the flip side, I know what I can really do and like, my full potential.

“So when I know that and see what teams already think, already have in their head, just now it’s up to me to prove to them what I can do and show them what I can do.”

So what does that exactly entail?

“My first few years or so, I’ll probably be more of a three-and-D guy—stretch the floor, play defense make hustle plays, rebound the ball, things like that,” Gates said. “But as I’mma grow, (I’ll) look to expand on my game. Maybe work out the pick-and-roll a little bit and expand from there.”

Thus far, the 6-foot-8, 228-pounder has reportedly worked out for multiple organizations, including the Cleveland Cavaliers and Chicago Bulls. He is enjoying the draft process and his growth as a player since it started.

He may not be listed on some draft boards or seen as an impact player by certain individuals, but Gates knows what he’s made of. And if he can attract the right set of eyes, he’ll be in good shape.

“You could get 30 workouts and that one team could fall in love with you,” Gates said.

“That’s what [my agent] Aaron Turner’s always talking to me about. He’s always said, ‘It only takes one team.’”

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NBA Daily: Second-Round Draft Steals to Watch

Several possible second round picks have a chance to make an impact at the NBA level, writes David Yapkowitz.

David Yapkowitz

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The NBA Draft is upon us this week. The hopes and dreams of many basketball players will become reality. Each year there are players who are drafted in the second round who end up outperforming their draft selection spot.

A premium has been placed on draft picks in recent years. Even second round picks have become extremely valuable. For a team like the Golden State Warriors whose payroll might limit their ability to sign quality rotation players (veterans taking discounts to win a ring notwithstanding), smart drafting has seen them scoop up steals like Patrick McCaw and Jordan Bell. Both those players have emerged as key rotation guys on a championship team, and both were taken in the second round.

The second round is an opportunity to pick up overlooked young talent on cheap contracts. Sure, it’s rare to get a Manu Ginobili or an Isaiah Thomas or a Draymond Green that goes on to become an All-Star caliber player, but plenty of quality contributors can be found.

Here’s a look at a few guys who have a great chance at becoming second round steals.

1. Allonzo Trier – Arizona

Outside of DeAndre Ayton, there may not have been a more valuable player to the Arizona Wildcats last season than Allonzo Trier. He was the Wildcats second-leading scorer at 18.1 points per game. There have been questions about his supposed selfish style of play, but he’s been a solidly efficient player his three years at Arizona.

This past season as a junior, he shot 50 percent from the field and 38 percent from the three-point line. Over his three years in college, he was a 47.5 percent shooter from the field and a 37.8 percent shooter from the three-point line. He’s also an 82.3 percent shooter from the line. And he did dish out 3.2 assists this past season.

Trier is a scorer, plain and simple, an efficient one at that. Despite this, his name has failed to appear on many mock drafts. The few that actually project the second round as well have him being drafted near the end. At 6-foot-5 and 205 pounds, Trier has great size for a shooting guard in the NBA. A sixth man type scorer is probably his best projection at the next level.

2. Brandon McCoy – UNLV

The Runnin’ Rebels didn’t quite have such a noteworthy year, which might explain a little about why Brandon McCoy is flying under the radar. UNLV posted a 20-13 record and failed to make the NCAA Tournament. Despite that, McCoy managed to emerge as their biggest bright spot.

In his lone college season, he led UNLV in scoring with 16.9 points per game on 54.5 percent shooting from the field. He also pulled down 10.8 rebounds per game and was their leading shot blocker at 1.8 blocks per game. For a big man, he shot a semi-decent 72.5 percent from the free-throw line.

He has good size, he’s a legit seven-footer. He moves well on the floor and with some work, can be a very good defensive player. Part of what might be causing him to get overlooked is he doesn’t have much in terms of a mid-range game, a necessity for big men in today’s NBA game. But that can be worked on. At any rate, he can be a high energy big off the bench, good to come in and block some shots, grabs some boards and clean up around the rim. Every team could use a guy like that.

3. Devonte Graham – Kansas

One year ago, Devonte Graham’s Jayhawk teammate Frank Mason III was also being overlooked in the draft. Like Graham, the major issue working against him was his status as a four-year college player. Mason went on to be one of the bright spots for the Sacramento Kings, establishing himself as a legit NBA point guard.

This summer, Graham is looking to do the same. Mason was also a bit on the shorter side, coming in at 5-foot-11. Graham has little more size than that at 6-foot-2. He was the Jayhawks best player for most of the year, putting up 17.3 points per game while shooting 40.6 percent from the three-point line. He also dished out 7.2 assists per game.

Most mock drafts have consistently had Graham being drafted early to middle second round. Being a college senior, he has leadership abilities. He’d be perfect for any team looking for a solid point guard off the bench.

4. Chimezie Metu – USC

For much of the mock draft season, Chimezie Metu’s name appeared as a first round selection. But in recent weeks, as other names began to climb up the draft ladder, Metu it appears has fallen back into the second-round. It’s interesting though, as his skill set for a big man appears to project well in today’s NBA game.

He was the Trojans’ best player as a junior this past season. He put up 15.7 points per game on 52.3 percent shooting from the field. He pulled down 7.4 rebounds while averaging 1.7 blocked shots. Although the percentages may not reflect that, he has an improving jump shot. He’s quick and mobile defensively.

He’s got all the tools be able to guard the post as well as switch out and guard other positions if need be. With a little more work, he can be a good jump shooter. With the evolution of today’s game, Metu has the perfect build and talent to find success as a modern NBA big man.

5. Tony Carr – Penn State

Tony Carr has been a consistent second round pick in most mock drafts. There has been the occasional one here or there that had him being drafted at the end of the first-round, but the second round is most likely where he’ll hear his name called.

Carr was the best player for a Nittany Lions team that ended up winning the NIT. This past season as a sophomore, he put up 19.6 points per game and shot 43.3 percent from the three-point line. He was able to pull down 4.9 rebounds per game and he dished out 5.0 assists.

He can play both guard positions and create for himself or his teammates. There have been question marks about his athleticism and ability to defend at the NBA level, but all a team needs for him to do is come in off the bench, run the offense a bit and get a few buckets. He’s definitely capable of doing that.

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NBA Daily: Kawhi Leonard Would Look Good In a Knicks Uniform… In 2019

The Knicks need to take a page out of the Sixers’ book… and trust the process.

Moke Hamilton

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The NBA world nearly stopped last week when reports circulated that Kawhi Leonard wanted out from San Antonio.

All of a sudden, within a few days, both he and Kyrie Irving were both reportedly open-minded about taking their talents to New York.

And while either (or both) of the two would look great as Knicks uniforms, they’d look much better in orange and blue in 2019.

After all, only a fool does the same thing over and over and expects different results.

Seven years ago, the Knicks the made mistake of trading their farm for a superstar caliber small forward. His name is Carmelo Anthony, and we all know how that story ended.

If you want to make the argument that Leonard is a better player than Anthony was at 27 years old, that’s your right, but one thing that not even Max Kellerman could argue is that smart teams simply don’t trade assets for players they could ultimately end up getting for free. That’s exactly why Paul George spent last season flanking Russell Westbrook instead of arguing with LaVar Ball.

So if Leonard or Irving wants to eventually take up residence in New York City, they can prove it… Next year.

If there’s one thing the Knicks historically imprudent front office should have learned from Magic Johnson and Rob Pelinka, it’s that.

This summer, after hiring David Fizdale, Scott Perry will have another opportunity to prove that the job at Penn Plaza isn’t too big for him, so it’ll be interesting to see whether he even publicly entertains the idea of attempting to make a splash this summer or whether he continues to hold steadfast to the belief that there are not shortcuts on the route to contention.

The right play for the Knicks is to follow the route that the Lakers took as it relates to Paul George—refrain from dealing valuable assets for players that you could sign for free. Danny Ainge hit home runs with Gordon Hayward and Al Horford and by essentially adding each of them to an existing core of young talent—and more importantly, refraining from acquiring either via trade—the Celtics now have an embarrassment of riches.

The Knicks don’t have those kinds of problems, and as it stands, have little aside from Kristaps Porzinigis going for them. With the Latvian unicorn expected to miss the majority of next season, they’ll probably have a lottery pick in the 2019 NBA Draft. That could be paired nicely with Porzingis, Frank Ntilikina and the ninth overall pick that they’ll have in the 2018 draft.

In other words, one year from now, the Knicks could have four of their own lottery picks under contract—Porzingis, Ntilikina, and whichever players they will have selected in 2018 and 2019. Between now and then, the team would be best served scouring the G-League and overseas markets to find cheap help that can contribute at the NBA level. Let the young guys play, let them develop and then carry them into the summer of 2019 with a clear plan in place.

That type of prudent management will not only help the Knicks in the long run, it will go a long way toward convincing soon-to-be free agents and player agents that Perry and his staff actually know what they’re doing.

If they play things right, and if the team managed to unload either Courtney Lee or Joakim Noah, they could open up the very real possibility of landing both Leonard and Irving, but instead of trading the farm for them, they’d have a realistic shot at signing them. They’d be adding them to the core instead of sacrificing it for them. Imagine that.

From where most people sit, Irving seems to have an ideal situation in Boston, and his entertaining the idea of taking his talents elsewhere seems curious, at best… But so did the choice of leaving LeBron James.

Irving has been consistently rumored as having real interest in playing in New York when he’s able to test the market next July, and depending on who you ask, there does seem to be a genuine level of concern in Boston that he could opt to take his talents elsewhere.

Growing up in the shadows of Madison Square Garden, the young guard knows better than most what winning in New York City would do for his legacy. At the end of the day, would one championship in New York make Irving a legendary figure among the likes of Kobe Bryant or LeBron James? Probably not. But one thing we can call agree on is that winning in a single championship in New York would do much more for Irving than winning a single championship in Cleveland or even a single title in Boston.

As it stands, fair or not, history will always look at Irving as the “other” player on James’ championship Cavaliers team, even though he was the one who made the biggest shot of James’ career.

And with the success of the Celtics this past season, truth be told, Irving helping lead the Celtics to a championship with the team’s current core in place wouldn’t necessarily cement his legacy in the way it would have had we not seen Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown show signs of being franchise-caliber players.

Because Irving is a shoot-first guard, he’ll continue to unfairly carry the reputation of being someone who doesn’t make his teammates better. He’s no Steve Nash, but he is truly special. Just don’t tell the national media that.

Because of the circumstances, he’s now in a bit of a catch-22. He’ll get less of the credit than he’ll deserve if the Celtics manage to win an NBA title and more of the blame than he’ll deserve if they fail to.

Still, even if Irving and/or Leonard end up elsewhere, the summer of 2019 will feature other free agents including Kemba Walker—the only “true” All-Star caliber New Yorker in the NBA—and Long Island product Tobias Harris. Jimmy Butler, Khris Middleton, Kevin Love and Nikola Vucevic, too.

Going from Leonard and Irving to Walker and Butler might seem like a sad story of riches to rags, but one could very easily make the argument that adding two high-quality All-Star caliber starters to a core featuring Porzingis, Ntilikina and two lottery picks would do more to make the Knicks contenders than unloading the cupboard in an attempt to bring one in.

If that sounds like exactly what the Celtics did, that’s because it is. The Lakers, too. There’s a reason why they’re the most winningest franchises in NBA history, it would seem.

One thing we know for sure in the NBA: there will always be marquee free agents. The Knicks just need to do a better job of being able to attract them.

So this summer, if Perry wants to continue to earn favor with Knicks fans with even half a brain, the best thing to do might actually be to do nothing.

In other words, if the Knicks have truly learned anything from the futility of their recent past, it’s that they should try to be more like Magic Johnson and Danny Ainge. 

So if word eventually gets to Perry that Leonard’s interest in the team is real, and if Irving decides that he wants to take up residence in his backyard to try to succeed where Patrick Ewing, Stephon Marbury and Patrick Ewing fell short, Perry’s response should be simple.

“Prove it.”

Either would look great in a Knicks uniform, but they’d look much better in a Knicks uniform in 2019.

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