Connect with us

NBA

NBA Daily: The Lakers, Nets And The Search For A Shortcut

After the Anthony Davis debacle submarined Los Angeles’ season, the Lakers should not chase ghosts this summer, writes Ben Nadeau.

Ben Nadeau

Published

on

On Thursday, Mar. 8, the Los Angeles Lakers were functionally eliminated from postseason contention.

With the decision to sit LeBron James in back-to-backs and put a minutes restriction on the future Hall of Famer, the franchise officially waved the white flag on their already fractionally-small playoff hopes. This season was supposed to be different, obviously, given James in tow — at the very least, most assumed, the Lakers’ five-year postseason drought would end.

Even if they didn’t go further than the first round, James had made the playoffs in 13-straight seasons — and reached the NBA Finals in the last eight — so that alone seemed nearly guaranteed.

Instead, the Lakers struggled to stay healthy. To date, Lonzo Ball and Rajon Rondo have missed a combined 50 games, and James himself, basketball’s modern-day ironman, sat out in 18 contests. Sandwiched between those troubles and a slew of other minor, nagging injuries, the Lakers also lacked the consistency needed to compete in the tougher Western Conference. And, above all, perhaps, the roster just didn’t seem to piece together the way the front office had clearly envisioned during free agency.

Heading into the All-Star break, Los Angeles found themselves in 10th place and three measly games out of the final seed. Since then, the Lakers have flat-out cratered, losing six of their last eight games and crashing out of contention entirely.

Of course, it’s not that difficult to pinpoint where things went sideways for Los Angeles. Once the Lakers’ strange and public negotiations with the New Orleans Pelicans resulted in not Anthony Davis but Mike Muscala and Reggie Bullock, their already-shaky foundation plummeted right through the very thin ice. All of a sudden, missing the postseason might be the Lakers’ least important problem. Presumably, their front office — led by Magic Johnson and Rob Pelinka — will have no choice but to sheepishly return to the well come summertime, trying once again to reignite the embers of their failed blockbuster with New Orleans.

And if that doesn’t work — or if those long-time rivals in Boston swoop in with a Jayson Tatum-centered package — the Lakers will practically be back to square one. Either way, Los Angeles’ less-than-subtle implosion is another reminder that there are no shortcuts to a championship — just ask the Brooklyn Nets how they feel about that one.

The tale of Brooklyn’s near-half decade demise is well-documented by now, spending years locked away in a lonely, pick-less cellar after dealing them all to the Celtics in 2013. At the time, the Nets’ relatively-green owner — Russian billionaire Mikhail Prokhorov — had even promised an NBA championship within five years of his initial purchase of the franchise. As if trading for the ailing bodies of Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett — both of whom had one foot out of the door already — wasn’t bad enough, the Nets had to watch as Boston scooped up Jaylen Brown and Tatum before sending that final unprotected first-rounder in a deal that landed them Kyrie Irving. Long story short, Prokhorov was forced to walk back his infamous ‘championship or marriage’ vow and later that year, then-general manager Billy King was unceremoniously reassigned within the organization.

Lesson learned, in fact, as the Nets hired a head coach with a focus on development and the future, Kenny Atkinson, and enticed Sean Marks, a highly-regarded Gregg Popovich disciple, to do the roster building. Three years later and Brooklyn seems ready, at long last, to jump back into the playoff picture after finishing with a 78-177 record between 2015-18. Through calculated drafting risks, salary dumps and short-term contracts, Marks has collected the likes of Caris LeVert, Jarrett Allen and Spencer Dinwiddie to, more or less, weather the storm. They even landed D’Angelo Russell from the Lakers in return for taking on Timofey Mozgov’s albatross-tier deal — given by the since-fired Mitch Kupchak — back in 2017.

Brooklyn’s patient attempts at growth have proved mighty fruitful, snagging a useful bunch of players on team-friendly deals — most often picked off the nearly-forgotten scrap heap.

Even today, the fledgling Nets are within reasonable reach of max contract cap space this offseason — two in the unlikely case that they let Russell walk — and chatter has already begun about the franchise’s odds in free agency.

Naturally, Brooklyn is not Los Angeles — that goes without saying. The Nets have just two championships (ABA) under their belt, while the Lakers boast 16. Historical records aside, there’s also LeBron James, recruiter extraordinaire, onboard and signed through at least 2020-21. Still, Los Angeles should be careful about chasing ghosts in their attempt to match the Golden State model for a super team. Sure, if the Lakers do eventually secure Davis, who, by all accounts, has not hidden his desire to join forces with James in Los Angeles, then this could all go away in a Thanos-like snap.

But for as many scenarios as this ultimately works out for Johnson’s purple and gold, there are just as many where it does not. There are outcomes where Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving join forces in New York or in which Kawhi Leonard signs up with their in-arena rivals, the Clippers, instead. Or, maybe, Celtics general manager Danny Ainge will finally pony up what the Pelicans truly want in Tatum, one-year rental or not, and the Lakers must push pause on their grand plans for an entire extra year.

Should Davis not unite with James until free agency in 2020, the latter will be halfway to 36 years-old.

In the meantime, the Lakers will have to mend their relationships with at least three talented, frustrated youngsters that were just not-so-privately shopped around. Veterans like Tyson Chandler and Rajon Rondo will always sign up for one-year romps with James, that much has been clear since his early Miami HEAT days. But the Lakers, potentially still forgetful of the last time they pushed all-in without much foresight — Luol Deng and $72 million say hello — will undoubtedly pursue Davis again come July.

There are striking similarities between Johnson and Prokhorov’s brash attempts to build a championship-worthy team overnight — certainly enough by now that the Lakers’ brass should see the cautionary tale unfolding in front of their eyes. Quickly, the Nets’ fame-hungry owner was forced to toil, both silently and hopelessly, in basketball purgatory for four seasons because of his error. Despite his best efforts, Prokhorov found out the hard way that there are no shortcuts to winning in the modern NBA.

At this point, even with LeBron James calling the shots, the Lakers would be wise to take note before it’s too late.

Ben Nadeau is a Seattle-based writer in his third year with Basketball Insiders. For five seasons, he covered the Brooklyn Nets for The Brooklyn Game.

Advertisement




Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

NBA

NBA Daily: Is Stephen Curry the MVP?

Given the prolific season Stephen Curry is having, despite the Golden State Warriors being ninth in the Western Conference, does his impact make him the Most Valuable Player in the NBA this season?

Bobby Krivitsky

Published

on

In the aftermath of Klay Thompson suffering an Achilles tear that ended his season before it began, no one would have blamed Stephen Curry for prioritizing his preservation through the 2020-21 campaign.

Instead, despite the Golden State Warriors lacking the necessary talent to become a title contender, Curry’s doing everything in his power to get them into the playoffs.

The two-time league MVP is on pace to win the scoring title for the second time in his career. In a recent road loss against the Boston Celtics, Curry put up 47 points, becoming the second player in Warriors history to score 30 or more points in 10-straight games, joining Wilt Chamberlain. 

In his last 11 contests, Curry’s averaging 40 points on shooting splits that aren’t supposed to be possible at the game’s highest level. Even though he’s hoisting 14.3 attempts from beyond the arc per game, he’s making them at a 49.7 percent clip. He’s taking 23.4 shots from the field but still seeing the ball go through the hoop 54.1 percent of the time.

The context of how Curry’s producing those prodigious numbers makes them even more impressive. He is the only scoring threat on Golden State who defenses need to concern themselves with — stop Curry, win the game; it’s that simple, at least in theory it is.

 

Another layer of what makes Curry’s prolific scoring so impressive is the energy he’s exerting to do so. According to NBA.com’s tracking data, Curry’s running 1.43 miles per game on offense, which is the sixth-most league-wide. And what that figure doesn’t fully capture is that while Curry has a lightning-quick release and is masterful at creating the sliver of daylight he needs to get his shot off, it takes a significant amount of energy to do that once, let alone throughout a game.

Even though Curry’s already the greatest shooter of all time, he’s taken the most lethal part of his game to new heights. From 2015 when the Warriors won their first NBA championship to 2019, a stretch in which they reached the finals every year, step-back threes accounted for just eight percent of Curry’s shooting profile from beyond the arc. But this season, Curry knew it would be more challenging to create shots for himself, which is why he’s doubled that figure to 16 percent and he’s knocking down 51.5 percent of his step-back threes, per NBA.com.

Curry’s also putting more pressure on opponents from further away from the hoop than he has in years past. According to NBA.com, from 2015 through 2019, five percent of his threes came from 30 to 40 feet. This season, shots from that distance account for 10 percent of his three-point attempts. Just like when defenses double team him out of a pick-and-roll, Curry forcing teams to defend him from further out is another way for him to create 4-3 opportunities for his teammates.

 

After that loss against the Celtics, Warriors head coach Steve Kerr said Curry’s “at the peak of his powers.” Though he’s not just putting his talents towards individual production, he is the primary reason Golden State’s firmly in the play-in tournament. The Warriors currently reside ninth in the Western Conference. They’re one game behind the eighth-seeded Memphis Grizzlies and two back of the seventh-ranked Dallas Mavericks. 

As impressive an individual season as Curry’s having and as vital as he’s been to his team’s success this season, the reality is the Warriors haven’t won at a high enough level for him to win Most Valuable Player honors for the third time in his career. Currently, Nikola Jokic is the leading MVP candidate. While it’s fair to point out the Denver Nuggets aren’t even in the top three in the Western Conference, Jokic ranks first in player efficiency rating, win shares, box plus/minus and value over replacement player. He’s averaging 26.4 points, 11.1 rebounds, 8.8 assists and 1.4 steals per game. 

If Jokic misses enough of Denver’s remaining games, someone could usurp him for the right to win MVP. In that scenario, Curry would have a chance to become the NBA’s Most Valuable Player for a third time, but he’d have to sway voters from giving it to Joel Embiid. Embiid’s in the midst of a career season, ranking second in player efficiency rating, eighth in win shares and fourth in box plus/minus. He’s averaging 29.9 points, 11.2 rebounds and 1.4 blocks per game while leading the Philadelphia 76ers to the best record in the Eastern Conference.

Curry ranks sixth in player efficiency rating, seventh in win shares and is second in both box plus/minus and value over replacement player. He has a case for MVP, but Jokic and Embiid are capping off career seasons while leading their respective teams to a higher level of success. Yes, their teams are more talented and there probably isn’t enough weight put on how valuable an individual is to his team, but the reality is the MVP typically goes to the best player on a top team. Furthermore, that argument also applies to Jokic, who’s the lone All-Star on a team with a better record.

Not naming Curry this season’s Most Valuable Player doesn’t mean his prolific production isn’t appreciated. Nor should it get taken as a sign elevating his team, somehow finding ways to become a more dangerous shooter and investing as much energy as he has into a season that won’t end with a championship isn’t garnering respect from the NBA community. That includes fans whose favorite team doesn’t reside in the Bay Area.

Continue Reading

NBA

NBA Daily: The Lakers’ Path Back to the NBA Finals

In the wake of Jamal Murray’s season-ending knee injury, Bobby Krivitsky examines the Los Angeles Lakers’ path back to the NBA Finals.

Bobby Krivitsky

Published

on

It’s been 15 games since a high ankle sprain sidelined LeBron James. 

With the Western Conference standings congested and Anthony Davis already out due to a right calf strain and a re-aggravation of his right Achilles tendinosis, the Los Angeles Lakers faced the threat of a fall that would require their participation in the play-in tournament.

However, the Lakers have fought admirably in the absence of their two stars, going seven and eight. As a result, their fall in the standings has been painless, going from third at the time of James’ injury to now occupying fifth place in the West.

The primary reason the Lakers have been able to tread water without their two stars is they’ve remained stingy on defense. Since James’ injury, they have the fourth-best defensive rating in the league. That’s despite facing four teams who rank in the top five in offensive rating and six of the categories’ top-10 members.

Right now, the Lakers are 2.5 games ahead of the sixth-seeded Portland Trail Blazers, with a 4.5-game cushion between them and the Dallas Mavericks, who are seventh in the conference. That should be a large enough gap to keep Los Angeles out of the play-in tournament, but the two teams are going to converge for a two-game series starting Thursday. For the Lakers, getting swept would re-open the possibility of having to compete in the play-in tournament.

Fortunately for them, even splitting that series would make it unlikely the Mavericks finish ahead of the Lakers in the standings. And help might be on the way for the Lakers: Davis may soon rejoin the lineup, per ESPN’s Adrian Wojnarowski, meaning there’s a distinct possibility he’s active for at least one of those two matchups. As for James, he’s on track to return in three weeks.

While Los Angeles’ stars are getting closer to making their returns, the Denver Nuggets got dealt a more severe blow when Jamal Murray tore his ACL in a recent game against the Golden State Warriors. Denver is 10-2 since acquiring Aaron Gordon at the trade deadline and looked the part of a legitimate title contender prior to Murray’s injury. 

Denver is fourth in the West, 1.5 games ahead of Los Angeles. But even if the Nuggets have home-court advantage, they’re the preferable opening-round opponent, not just for Los Angeles, but any team with a legitimate chance at the fourth or fifth seed.

Fortunately for the Lakers, that’s the place in the Western Conference pecking order where they’re most likely to finish this season. So long as the Nuggets don’t freefall in Murray’s absence, Los Angeles will likely start the playoffs against an opponent that’s gone from having the potential to present the greatest challenge to the defending champions’ quest to get back to the Finals to becoming a desirable first-round matchup.

After that, the Lakers may have to get past the Utah Jazz and or the Los Angeles Clippers to make a return trip to the NBA Finals. The former has the best record in the league this season, but locking horns with the defending champions in a best of seven series is a far more challenging and potentially rewarding proving ground.

The Jazz have a deep, reliable rotation, they have the best net rating in the NBA, they’re in the top five in points for and against per 100 possessions, and they’re attempting the most threes per game, but also rank in the top five in three-point shooting percentage. However, the Lakers would have the two best players in a series against Utah. Usually, an opponent doesn’t overcome that disadvantage.  

As for the Clippers, Rajon Rondo has quickly proven to be an impactful acquisition. Los Angeles is seven and one with him in the lineup, generating the highest net rating in the league during that span. Last season, the Lakers saw first-hand how impactful playoff Rondo can be. Now, the Clippers are hoping he can bring structure to their offense, something they sorely lacked last postseason and was at the forefront of them blowing a 3-1 series lead over the Nuggets. Doing so would go a long way towards maximizing the production of a team that has the talent to hoist the Larry O’Brien Trophy for the first time in franchise history.

If this is the year the battle of LA takes place in the postseason, it figures to be a slugfest. Still, the Clippers have their doubters after last year’s meltdown in the playoffs. There’s also a large contingency who are skeptical about how far the Jazz can go in the postseason, given their lack of a top-tier superstar. Despite the validity of those concerns, both teams can beat the Lakers in a best of seven series. That no longer appears to be the case for the Nuggets, which is a shame for them and people who want to see the best possible matchups in the playoffs. But Murray’s injury, as unfortunate an occurrence as it is, makes it easier for the Lakers to get through the gauntlet that is the Western Conference and have a chance to claim an 18th championship, which would break their tie with the Boston Celtics for the most titles in NBA history.

Continue Reading

NBA

NBA AM: The Play-In Game – West

With the season winding down, Ariel Pacheco takes a look at how the play-in tournament is shaping up in the Western Conference.

Ariel Pacheco

Published

on

With the regular season’s end in sight, teams are making their last push to make the playoffs in what has been a condensed season. But the new play-in tournament is providing more teams than ever a chance at a coveted playoff spot.

Here is what the new play-in tournament will look like: Teams that finish with the Nos 7 and 8 seeds will face off against each other. The winner of this game will be No. 7. The Nos. 9 and 10 seeds will also play and the winner will play the loser of the first game. The winner of this game will be the No. 8 seed. 

The play-in tournament provides intrigue and adds pressure on teams in both conferences to finish in the top six and avoid the play-in altogether. The Western Conference, in particular, is shaping up to have a rather exciting finish. There are a number of teams who could find themselves fighting for their playoff lives in this year’s tournament – all below in tiers.

Teams Likely To Avoid Play-In

Portland Trail Blazers (32-24)
Games Left: 16
Home Games Left: 8
Games Against Teams Over .500: 12
Games Against West: 11

The Trail Blazers are currently the sixth seed in the West meaning, for now, they are safe from the play-in tournament. However, they are just two games above the Mavericks from possibly dropping down a place. They’re the team most likely to secure that sixth seed because they have more talent than the teams below them – hello, Dame – and they also have an elite offense. However, the defensive concerns are very real and if they were to slip, it would likely be because of their struggles on that side of the ball.

Likely Play-In Teams

Dallas Mavericks

Games Left: 16
Home Games Left: 9
Games Against Teams Over .500: 5
Games Against West: 8

On paper, the Mavs have a really easy schedule as the season winds down. They have just five games against teams over .500 and two against the Los Angeles Lakers, who may be without their two stars for those games. However, they are just 10-12 this season against sub .500 teams and are coming off a disappointing loss to the Sacramento Kings. There’s still a pretty good chance they get the sixth seed and avoid the play-in, but it also wouldn’t be surprising to see them in it as well.

Memphis Grizzlies
Games Left: 17
Home Games Left: 7
Games Against Teams Over .500: 8
Games Against West: 12

The Grizzlies are often overlooked, but they are about as well-coached as any other team in the NBA. It is likely they will be in the play-in game, but don’t be surprised if they are able to sneak into the sixth seed. They lost last year’s play-in game in the Bubble to the Blazers, so they do have experience in this type of setting. They may be getting Jaren Jackson Jr. back soon which should help. 

Golden State Warriors
Games Left: 15
Home Games Left: 9
Games Against Teams Over .500: 6
Games Against West: 13

The Warriors are getting just other-worldly performances from Stephen Curry on an almost nightly basis at this point. However, they continue to struggle to win games, in large part due to the struggles when he sits on the bench. Their schedule is pretty light to close the season, which bolsters their chances. The talent on this team isn’t great, but Curry’s play should be enough to get them in the play-in tournament. 

San Antonio Spurs
Games Left: 17
Home Games Left: 6
Games Against Teams Over .500: 12
Games Against West: 7

The Spurs have struggled of late, especially after the All-Star break. Their defense has dropped off badly, but if there’s any reason to be positive, it’s that they are still coached by Gregg Popovich and their young guys continue to show improvement. They have been really good on the road this season and a majority of their games are on the road. It won’t be easy, but the Spurs should find themselves in the play-in tournament.

Outside Looking In

New Orleans Pelicans
Games Left: 15
Home Games Left: 6
Games Against Teams Over .500: 9
Games Against West: 11

The Pelicans have been hit with the injury bug of late, but their inconsistent play this season continues to be a huge problem. Their defense continues to bleed three-pointers and while point Zion Williamson has worked, there just isn’t enough shooting to maximize him just yet. It seems unlikely the Pelicans make a late-season run to the play-in game.

Sacramento Kings

Games Left: 15
Home Games Left: 8
Games Against Teams Over .500: 8
Games Against West: 14

The Kings are the least likely team to make the play-in tournament. Their defense is still problematic and they just recently ended their 9-game losing streak. It’ll take a huge late-season push and the Kings just haven’t shown that they are capable of putting it all together for a long enough stretch. 

The play-in tournament adds a new layer of competition that will bring excitement at the end of the season. Be sure to check out how the play-in tournament is shaping up in the Eastern Conference.

Continue Reading
Advertisement
Advertisement

ZigZagSport - Best Online Sportsbook & Casino

Advertisement
American Casino Guide
NJ Casino
NJ Casino

NBA Team Salaries

Advertisement

Bet on NBA at BetNow Sportsbook

CloseUp360

Insiders On Twitter

NBA On Twitter

Trending Now