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NBA PM: An Early Look At The Rebuilding Atlanta Hawks

Buddy Grizzard takes inventory of the rebuilding Hawks and predicts a rapid turn-around.

Buddy Grizzard

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The Atlanta Hawks betrayed an underlying organizational instability during the first round of the NBA playoffs when Dwight Howard was held out of fourth quarters in Games 2 and 5 against the Wizards before turning in a dismal performance in Atlanta’s Game 6 elimination. Howard was -14 in 23 minutes in Game 6 while attempting only four shots. Hours earlier, Howard had his car towed for no insurance while driving at around 2 AM of the morning preceding the elimination game.

That instability created a situation where the Hawks, for the second offseason in a row, would face losing the team’s best player without compensation. The summer before, Atlanta had declined to offer Al Horford the full max and saw him depart to the Boston Celtics as an unrestricted free agent. The Hawks had made plans to trade Paul Millsap to the Phoenix Suns for assets while re-signing Horford to pair him in the front court with Howard. Horford would later imply that playing alongside Howard was not attractive for him.

After Howard’s meltdown in the playoffs, Millsap may have been thinking the same thing. The Hawks declined to extend a contract offer to Millsap, who departed to the Denver Nuggets. Atlanta finally committed to a full rebuild — much as the organization loathes to use that word — that many observers felt the Hawks should have started at least a season sooner. It’s important to note that the Hawks organization has not torn the team down to the studs like the Philadelphia 76ers. The developing young talent on this roster should give fans reason to hope that it won’t be an extended stay in lottery land, and here we’ll look at the key components of that picture.

Dennis Schroder

Statistically, Schroder took a step forward in the playoffs. After averaging 20.5 points, 7.2 assists and 3.7 turnovers per 36 minutes in the regular season on 34 percent shooting from three-point range, Schroder averaged 25.3 points, 7.8 assists and only 1.7 turnovers per 36 against the Wizards, including 42 percent shooting from three. The jump in assists while cutting his turnovers by a full two per 36 minutes was especially impressive, coming as it did while guarded by a well-regarded defender in John Wall.

The advanced metrics were less kind to Schroder, however, as his -7.5 points per 100 possessions in the Wizards series was the worst of any Hawk to play significant minutes. The degree to which Schroder and the departed Tim Hardaway, Jr. were outplayed by Wall and Bradley Beal was the biggest deciding factor of the series. Nonetheless, it was Schroder’s first experience as the starting point guard in a playoff series. His improvement in assist-to-turnover ratio should not be taken for granted, but rather as a sign of untapped upside he may further reveal in the upcoming season.

Schroder will lead the national team for his native Germany in the upcoming EuroBasket 2017 tournament, so observers will have an opportunity to see him in action against a high level of competition well ahead of the NBA’s preseason. Schroder will also face another new experience in the upcoming seasons as defenses key on him as they never have before with Millsap out of the picture.

Taurean Prince

After Hawks coach Mike Budenholzer declined to play Taurean Prince significant minutes early in the season, he surprisingly became the starting small forward toward the end of the regular season and kept that role into the playoffs. Prince became the first player since Tony Parker to start and score in double figures in his first five career playoff starts as a rookie and the first rookie in Hawks history to score in double digits in his first four playoff starts. Through Game 3 of the Wizards series, Prince shot an astonishing 57 percent from three point range and was second only to Kawhi Lenord in true shooting percentage for the playoffs.

That’s a pretty impressive resume for a first-year player. Prince also kept Otto Porter — recipient this offseason of a max contract extension from the Wizards — in check defensively for much of the series. Prince went into the playoffs known more for his defensive reputation than for the offensive outburst he displayed. That he showed up as a two-way player against the Wizards is a hugely encouraging sign for Atlanta. However, as with Schroder, Prince will face additional defensive attention for the upcoming season. Prince will go from an afterthought on Atlanta’s bench to possibly the second scoring option.

Ersan Ilyasova

The advanced stats love Ersan Ilyasova. He was among the net rating leaders for the Thunder, 76ers, and Hawks during the regular season and his +2.2 in the Wizards series trailed only Kent Bazemore and Jose Calderon among rotation players. However, Ilyasova was unable to help Atlanta avoid elimination as he shot 1-for-6 with a game-worst -7 in Game 5 before playing only five minutes in Game 6. The Hawks organization is infamous for failing to disclose injuries — an offseason wrist injury to Hardaway the season before was not revealed until midseason — so Ilyasova may have been limited toward the end of the series.

Ilyasova led the NBA in charges taken, which shows that he has advanced defensive timing and positioning. With the Hawks this season, Ilyasova will have a real opportunity to play above his reputation as a journeyman as he projects as the team’s starting power forward. He’s started 365 games over his career, so it’s not a burden he’s unfamiliar with. And the 18 points and 8.1 rebounds per 36 minutes he averaged for the 2015-16 season would be welcome production. But as with Prince and Schroder, the refrain remains the same. Ilyasova will have to produce in the face of much greater defensive attention than he received as Millsap’s backup.

DeAndre Bembry

Possibly the biggest wildcard for the Hawks will be the play of DeAndre Bembry, who, unlike Prince, never got an opportunity to crack the rotation last season. This led to a great deal of consternation among Hawks observers who saw his potential during a road win in Houston during which Bembry applied lock-down defense against MVP finalist James Harden.

Bembry gives the Hawks another multi-position switching defender on the wing to pair with Prince. The limiting factor is the three-point line, where he’s shot just 1-for-18 for his career. His shot looked worlds better during NBA Summer League, but improvement against lower levels of competition can prove illusory. If Bembry’s improved three-point range turns out not to be a mirage, he could be a breakout player for Atlanta. In addition to his defensive versatility, he provides the Hawks with another ball handler who can create shots for his teammates and take some of the pressure off Schroder.

John Collins

After John Collins fell all the way to the Hawks at 19th in the first round of this summer’s NBA Draft, he was selected to the All-NBA Summer League first team in Las Vegas. Front office executives who spoke to Basketball Insiders publisher Steve Kyler in Vegas said that Collins could be one of the truly special players to come out of the 2017 NBA Draft. It appears that the Hawks found a diamond in the rough and possibly the steal of the entire draft.

Collins proved to be an explosive dunker and rebounder in Vegas and should make an immediate impact as the most efficient offensive player in college basketball last season. The questions will come on the defensive end, where Wake Forest coach Danny Manning hid Collins by instructing him to avoid foul trouble. Collins is also not known for his outside shot, although in pre-draft workouts and during Summer League, his shot from the elbows and from deep looked competent and composed. While Hawks fans can look forward to the team’s first trip to the lottery in a decade, Collins should at least keep the home crowd entertained with his athletic rim assaults.

DeWayne Dedmon

The Hawks may have found another diamond in the rough in Dedmon, who started 37 games at center for the Spurs during the regular season and three in the playoffs. Dedmon is an interesting story as he was raised as a Jehovah’s Witness and did not play competitive basketball until he walked on to his junior college team. Thus, while Dedmon’s numbers are typical of an NBA journeyman, the fact that he’s only been playing since he became an adult indicates there could be untapped upside waiting to be revealed in an expanded role.

Like Schroder, Dedmon made an encouraging improvement in per 36-minute stats from the regular season to the playoffs in San Antonio. During the regular season, he averaged 10.5 points and 13.4 rebounds per 36 while shooting 70 percent from the free throw line and 62 percent from the field. During the playoffs, he averaged 16.7 points and 17.4 rebounds per 36. His field goal shooting held steady at 61 percent, but his free throw shooting took a dive to 53 percent on nearly 12 attempts per 36 minutes. It’s only a 12-game sample so it may not be cause for excessive alarm, but it will be something to keep an eye on.

While the Hawks will undoubtedly take a major step back this season with many of the team’s top scorers and impact defenders departed, Atlanta may not perform as poorly as some observers predict. There are enough pieces here that the Hawks could win enough games to hurt their chances of gaining one of the top three picks in the upcoming draft. Budenholzer is ultra-competitive and a former assistant with the world champion Spurs, and you can be sure that “tanking” is not in his vocabulary. It’s an intriguing collection of talent, and these young Hawks will be playing to win.

For the longer term, the Hawks will have as many as six first round draft picks in the next three drafts. New Hawks GM Travis Schlenk has stated the goal of retooling the roster while remaining competitive. Atlanta has managed to stock itself with both rising talent and future assets to make that goal more than just a talking point. Look for Atlanta’s rebuild to proceed rapidly.

Buddy Grizzard has written for ESPN.com and BBallBreakdown and served as an editor for ESPN TrueHoop Network.

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Updating the Buyout Market: Who Could Still Become Available?

Shanes Rhodes examines the buyout market to see which players could soon be joining playoff contenders.

Shane Rhodes

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While it may not be as exciting as the NBA Trade Deadline, another important date is approaching for NBA teams: the Playoff Eligibility Waiver Deadline.

March 1 is the final day players can be bought out or waived and still be eligible to play in the postseason should they sign with another team. As teams continue to fine-tune their rosters, plenty of eyes will be on the waiver wire and buyout market looking for players that can make an impact.

So who could still become available?

Joakim Noah, New York Knicks

This seems almost too obvious.

The relationship between Joakim Noah and the New York Knicks hasn’t been a pleasant one. Noah, who signed a four-year, $72 million contract in 2016, has done next to nothing this season after an underwhelming debut season in New York and has averaged just 5.7 minutes per game.

After an altercation between himself and Knicks head coach Jeff Hornacek at practice, Noah isn’t expected to return to the team. At this point, the best thing for both sides seems likely a clean break; there is no reason to keep that cloud over the Knicks locker room for the remainder of the season.

Noah may not help a playoff contender, but he should certainly be available come the end of the season.

Arron Afflalo, Orlando Magic

Arron Afflalo isn’t the player he once was. But he can still help any contender in need of some shooting.

Afflalo is averaging a career-low 12.9 minutes per game with the Orlando Magic this season. He is playing for just over $2 million so a buyout wouldn’t be hard to come by if he went asking and he can still shoot the basketball. A career 38.6 percent shooter from long distance, Afflalo can certainly get it done beyond the arc for a team looking to add some shooting or some depth on the wing. He doesn’t add the perimeter defense he could earlier in his career, but he could contribute in certain situations.

Vince Carter, Sacramento Kings

Vince Carter was signed by the Sacramento Kings last offseason to play limited minutes off the bench while providing a mentor for the Sacramento Kings up-and-coming players. And Carter may very well enjoy that role.

But, to a degree, the old man can still ball — certainly enough to help a contender.

Carter is 41-years-old, there is no getting around his age, but he can still provide some solid minutes off the bench. Playing 17.1 minutes per night across 38 games this season, Carter has averaged five points, 2.2 rebounds and 1.3 assists while shooting 35.3 percent from three-point range. Combining all of that with his playoff experience and the quality of leadership he brings to the table, Carter may be an ideal addition for a contender looking to make a deep playoff run.

Zach Randolph, Sacramento Kings

Like Carter, Zach Randolph was brought in by the Kings to contribute solid minutes off the bench while also filling in as a mentor to the young roster. Unlike Carter, however, Randolph has played much of the season in a starting role — something that is likely to change as the season winds down.

Randolph has averaged 14.6 points, seven rebounds and 2.1 assists in 25.6 minutes per game; quality numbers that any team would be happy to take on. But, in the midst of a rebuild, the Kings should not be taking minutes away from Willie Cauley-Stein, Skal Labissiere and (eventually) Harry Giles in order to keep Randolph on the floor.

As he proved last season, Randolph can excel in a sixth-man role and would likely occupy a top bench spot with a team looking to add rebounding, scoring or just a big to their rotation down the stretch.

Wesley Matthews, Dallas Mavericks

Wesley Matthews remains one of the most underrated players in the NBA. He provides positional versatility on the floor and is a solid player on both sides of the ball.

So, with Mark Cuban all but saying the Mavericks will not be trying to win for the remainder of the season, Matthews is likely poised for a minutes dip and seems like an obvious buyout candidate. Matthews, who has a player option for next season, has averaged 12.9 points, 3.2 rebounds, 2.8 assists and 1.2 steals this season across 34.1 minutes per game this season.

If Cuban is true to his word, both parties would be better served parting ways; the Mavericks can attempt to lose as many games as possible while Matthews can latch on to a team looking to win a title. It’s a win-win.

Isaiah Thomas, Los Angeles Lakers

Isaiah Thomas’ three-game stint with the Los Angeles Lakers before the All-Star break looked much like his short tenure with the Cleveland Cavaliers: up-and-down. Thomas shined in his Laker debut, putting up 25 points and six assists in just over 30 minutes.

He then followed that up with three points and two assists, and seven points along with five assists in his second and third games with the team, respectively.

Thomas needs time to get himself right before he can start playing his best basketball. Re-establishing his value is likely his top priority.

But will he be willing to come off the bench for a team that won’t be making the postseason?

With Lonzo Ball close to returning, Thomas will likely move to the Laker bench. Adamant in recent years that he is a starting guard in the NBA, Thomas may be more inclined to take on that role for a team poised to make a deep playoff run — there is no shortage of teams that would be willing to add Thomas’ potential scoring prowess while simultaneously setting himself up for a contract and, potentially, a starting role somewhere next season.

Other Names to Look Out For: Channing Frye, Shabazz Muhammed, Kosta Koufos

There are still plenty of players that can make an impact for playoff-bound teams should they reach a buyout with their current squads. And, as the Postseason Eligibility Waiver Deadline approaches, plenty of teams out of the running will move quickly in order to provide their guys an opportunity to find their way to a contender.

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NBA Daily: Eric Gordon, The Houston Rockets’ Ex-Factor

James Harden and Chris Paul are stars that have faltered in the playoffs. Eric Gordon could be their ex-factor

Lang Greene

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The 2017-18 Houston Rockets are shaping up to be one of the league’s best regular-season teams over the past decade. The squad features a fan-friendly and fun to watch style, two legitimate superstar talents and a seemingly well-rounded contingent of role players willing to do whatever it takes to help the team get to the next level.

But as strong of a force as the Rockets appear to be developing into, there are still major question marks about how this team will perform in the playoffs when the game gets tighter, bench rotations are reduced and the spotlight glares the brightest.

All-Star guard James Harden has played in 88 career playoff games over the course of his career – 45 with the Rockets where he’s averaging 27.3 points, 5.6 rebounds and 7.1 assists. The statistics look good in the aggregate, however, Harden has noticeably faded down the stretch during pivotal playoff moments in the team’s recent runs. The most recent example being Game 5 of the 2018 Western Conference Finals versus the San Antonio Spurs where Harden finished with just 10 points on 2-of-11 shooting from the floor.

The Rockets other superstar, Chris Paul, has never reached the Western Conference Finals in a career dating back to the 2005-06 season. Paul’s most memorable playoff collapse came when he was a member of the Los Angeles Clippers. His team surrendered a 3-1 series lead in the Western Conference semifinals to the Harden’s Rockets back in 2015.

While there are undoubtedly questions at the top, their bench unit is anchored by 2017 Sixth Man of the Year Eric Gordon, once considered one of the rising shooting guards in the league while he was a member of the Clippers.

Gordon, was traded as part of a package by Los Angeles to acquire Paul from New Orleans. Since then, a combination of injuries and reported frustration in New Orleans seemingly derailed Gordon from the once promising ascent and trajectory he was projected to achieve. But Gordon has gotten his career on track. Once injury prone, Gordon suited up for 75 games in 2017 and is on pace to play 73 games this season.

“It’s almost like it is consistent to be here now,” Gordon said during All-Star weekend. “It’s been great. When I’ve been healthy, I’ve always had that chance to do some good things.

When you’re winning things come easier. You’re scoring easier [and] it’s easier to come into work and play well every single practice and game.”

Gordon believes there’s something special about this Rockets team because of how quickly they have gained cohesion since training camp. Gordon is averaging 18.5 points in 32 minutes per contest on the season. The guard will play an integral role off the Rockets’ bench and will play heavy minutes in any playoff series involving the Western Conference elite teams – namely Golden State and San Antonio. In three games versus the Warriors this season, Gordon is averaging 20 points on 43 percent shooting from the field.

“We definitely have to figure things out but we just clicked so quickly and early in the season,” Gordon said. “We just knew we had a chance to maybe win it. I’d say at this point we know what we need to do and it’s all about being consistent enough on both sides of the ball for us to have a chance.”

Golden State, as defending champs, have to be respected as the better team until proven otherwise. Many do believe the Rockets have at the very least a puncher’s chance because of how they can score the ball in bunches. The Warriors, for all of their past defensive prowess, have slipped on that side of the floor this season with declining efficiency numbers. But is that slippage enough for the Rockets to gain ground or are the Warriors’ defensive struggles a combination of regular season boredom and a lack of enthusiasm.

In a seven-game playoff series, the cream rises to the top. Are the Rockets legit? Or are they a team best suited for the regular season as in seasons past? They currently lead the season series against the Warriors 2-1 and are 2-0 versus the Spurs to date. We have witnessed regular-season dominance from Paul and Harden in the past. Is this the year both guys put it all together and finally get over the hump? Time will tell and Eric Gordon figures to play a big role in determining the outcome.

The Rockets resume play on Friday versus the Minnesota Timberwolves.

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NBA Daily: Rich Cho Out As Charlotte Hornets GM

The Charlotte Hornets opted to not move forward with GM Rich Cho and are expected to pursue former Lakers GM Mitch Kupchak.

Buddy Grizzard

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The fateful moment for Rich Cho came days after he was hired as GM of the Charlotte Hornets in June of 2011. With the NBA Draft coming just nine days later, Cho started work on a three-team trade that would land Charlotte a second top-10 pick to pair with its own ninth pick, which was used to draft franchise cornerstone Kemba Walker.

In that draft, Klay Thompson went 11th to the Golden State Warriors and Kawhi Leonard 15th to the Pacers. Of the 17 players selected after Bismack Biyombo, who went to the Hornets with the seventh pick, 12 are regular contributors on current NBA rosters. The Orlando Magic are currently outscored by 11.6 points per 100 possessions with Biyombo on court, a rotation-worst.

Today, Hornets owner Michael Jordan announced that Cho is out as Charlotte’s GM.

“Rich worked tirelessly on behalf of our team and instituted a number of management tools that have benefited our organization,” said Jordan in a press release. “We are deeply committed to our fans and to the city of Charlotte to provide a consistent winner on the court. The search will now begin for our next head of basketball operations who will help us achieve that goal.”

While the failure to obtain Thompson, Leonard or any of the numerous impact players in the 2011 draft will always mar Cho’s record, falling to the second pick in the 2012 NBA Draft will continue to haunt Charlotte. Despite a brutal 7-59 record in the lockout-shortened 2011-12 season, which set the record for lowest win percentage in an NBA season (.110), the New Orleans Pelicans won the right to the first overall pick and selected Anthony Davis.

The Hornets selected Michael Kidd-Gilchrist with the second pick. Although the 2012 Draft wasn’t nearly as deep as 2011’s, the Hornets still left players like Bradley Beal (third) and Andre Drummond (ninth) on the board. Either would have been an outstanding compliment to Walker, who remains with the team despite rumors of his availability leading up the the trade deadline.

“I feel like I’m going to be in Charlotte,” said Walker at his All-Star media availability. “So that’s where I’m at, that’s where I’m playing. So I never really sat and thought about any other teams.”

Walker made his second All-Star appearance after Kristaps Porzingis suffered a season-ending ACL injury.

“I wish K.P. hadn’t gotten hurt,” said Walker. “Everybody hates to see guys go down, especially great players like him. But when I was able to get the call to replace him, it was a really good feeling.”

Another fateful moment in Cho’s tenure came during the 2015 NBA Draft. According to ESPN’s Zach Lowe, the Boston Celtics offered the 15th and 16th picks, a future protected first rounder from the Brooklyn Nets and a future first from either the Grizzlies or Timberwolves in exchange for the ninth pick, which Cho used to draft Frank Kaminsky.

“If it was such a no-brainer for us, why would another team want to do it,” Cho asked rhetorically in defense of the Kaminsky selection, according to Lowe.

Years later, it’s evident that the Celtics dodged a bullet when both Charlotte and the Miami HEAT rebuffed its attempts to move up and draft Justise Winslow. The latter has not panned out while Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum, the players Boston subsequently obtained with Brooklyn’s picks, have developed into starters.

Chris Mannix of Yahoo! Sports reported in the first week of February that Charlotte may target former Lakers GM Mitch Kupchak for a high-ranking role in the organization. Kupchak, like Jordan, is a former UNC star. Kupchak would join Jordan’s UNC teammate and Charlotte assistant GM Buzz Peterson.

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