Connect with us

NBA

Preseason Logjams to Watch

Tommy Beer analyzes some of the logjams around the NBA as the 2016-17 season approaches.

Tommy Beer

Published

on

The NBA preseason is underway, which means we can start analyzing actual games.

Many teams seemingly have their rotation all set, but there are still a number of fluid situations just two weeks before the start of the regular season. Below, we take a look at few of the more interesting logjams across the league.

Philadelphia 76ers Frontcourt
The Sixers have three young centers on their roster: Nerlens Noel, Joel Embiid and Jahlil Okafor. All three were drafted in the top half of the lottery. Now that all three are (almost) finally healthy, coach Brett Brown has to figure out how he will distribute minutes in an attempt to keep them all happy. Noel let his feeling be known on the eve of training camp, when he told reporters: “I don’t see a way of it working. It’s just a logjam. You’ve got three talented centers that can play 30-plus minutes a night and three centers can’t play 30 minutes a night. That’s that. Things need to be situated. Obviously, somebody’s got to be moved around. It’s a tough situation, but I can only say so much because I have no say and no power.”

Fortunately for the Sixers, Embiid has looked terrific in the limited minutes he has played. In addition, Okafor is ramping up his workouts and is in the final stages of rehab after undergoing surgery to repair a torn meniscus. Is a trade inevitable? Ben Simmons being sidelined will open up minutes at power forward if Philly wants to attempt to play two bigs together, but that seems unlikely. As for the PF spot, Dario Saric has been impressive in the preseason and appears to be the favorite to start at the four spot on opening night.

Chicago Bulls Power Forward
The Bulls brought in big names Dwyane Wade and Rajon Rondo this offseason, but the issue in Chicago is long-range shooting. In today’s NBA, it’s more important than ever to have shooters who can space the floor and knock down threes. Last season, the Warriors and Cavaliers led the league in three-point attempts in the regular season. However, Rondo and Jimmy Butler attempted just 378 three-pointers combined last season. (In contrast, Steph Curry made 402 threes). Thus, the Bulls would ideally prefer to have Nikola Mirotic start alongside Rondo, Wade, Butler and Robin Lopez, with Taj Gibson coming off the bench. Mirotic was the only Bull to make more than 110 threes in 2015-16. However, Nikola has struggled this preseason and been outplayed by Gibson. Mirotic is shooting below 35 percent from the floor and 26.7 percent from behind-the-arc.

Bobby Portis has worlds of potential, but it is probably too soon to ask the 21-year-old to assume starter’s responsibilities. We’ll see whether coach Fred Hoiberg ultimately decides to start Gibson or Mirotic.

New Orleans Pelicans Backcourt
As Jrue Holiday takes time to deal with a heartbreaking personal matter, the starting point guard spot is up for grabs. Tim Frazier was the favorite at the start of the preseason, and has only increased the odds in his favor due to his stellar play. He’s averaging over eight points, eight assists and five rebounds per game, while shooting 66.7 percent from the floor. Langston Galloway will likely backup Frazier.

A nice competition is playing out at shooting guard as well. Both E’Twaun Moore and Buddy Hield have shot the lights out this preseason. Moore is averaging a team-high 17.7 points per contest, while shooting 61 percent from the field and 66.7 percent from three-point territory. Hield is second on the team in scoring, pouring in 17 points per game with a 52 percent/40 percent/100 percent slash line. The Pels may opt to start the veteran Moore, if only to ease Buddy’s rookie transition into the NBA.

Cleveland Cavaliers Backup Point Guard
When Mo Williams announced his retirement last month, the battle for the backup minutes behind Kyrie Irving began. After an impressive showing in the Las Vegas Summer League (15.3 PPG and 3.9 APG), 2016 second-round pick Kay Felder has picked up right where he left off. Felder is averaging nearly 26 minutes per game and 11 points per contest this preseason. He started on Monday night, scoring 15 points and dishing out six assists. The Cavs signed Markel Brown last month, but it appears Felder has secured the spot. However, if the Cavs fail to re-sign J.R. Smith, Brown and Jordan McRae could see minutes at off-guard behind Iman Shumpert.

Milwaukee Bucks Shooting Guard
Khris Middleton is slated to miss six months after tearing his hamstring, which leaves a gaping hole in the Bucks backcourt. Unproven youngsters Rashad Vaughn and Malcolm Brogdon are competing to be the starter. However, neither has shined in the preseason and they will likely end up splitting minutes, with both Michael Carter-Williams and Jason Terry also seeing some time out of position at the two-guard.

Miami HEAT Power Forward and Shooting Guard
Josh Richardson played well as a rookie and was expected to keep his starting gig this season; however, he partially tore his MCL on September 9 and may not be available at the start of the season. It was assumed the newly signed Dion Waiters would fill in should Richardson miss any time, but it was actually Tyler Johnson who started at shooting guard in Miami’s first two preseason games.

With Chris Bosh’s career potentially over, power forward is also an unknown at this point. It will likely either come down to Derrick Williams or Josh McRoberts. James Johnson and Luke Babbit could also earn some time at the four.

Memphis Grizzlies Power Forward
Head coach David Fizdale announced last month that JaMychal Green will be the team’s starting power forward this season, sending veteran Zach Randolph to the bench. Green hasn’t been overly impressive in the preseason, so we’ll see how long this lasts if Green struggles out of the gate or if Z-Bo is unhappy being the Sixth Man.

Boston Celtics Backcourt Backups
Isaiah Thomas and Avery Bradley are set as the starters, but with Evan Turner in Portland, Terry Rozier is looking forward to an uptick in minutes. Rozier hasn’t done much since being drafted 16th overall in the 2015 draft, but he’s hoping to make his mark in 2016-17. Marcus Smart has already established himself as an elite defender; he is now looking to prove he can contribute offensively as well, by shooting/scoring efficiently and distributing the ball as a playmaker. Rookie Jaylen Brown will also attempt to earn some playing time on the wing behind Jae Crowder. These three young bench players could play an important role in determining whether or not the C’s can unseat the Raptors as champs of the Atlantic Division.

Denver Nuggets Power Forward
Kenneth Faried has long been a fan favorite in the Mile High City. However, Denver’s front office and coaching staff doesn’t seem to hold the same affection for the burly big man, due primarily to Faried’s defensive limitations. The Nuggets have a glut of forwards (Jusuf Nurkic, Danilo Gallinari, Wilson Chandler), and the best resolution for all parties would likely be to trade Faried out of town, if they are able to get back something they like. It will be interesting to see if Denver is willing to start the promising Nurkic over Faried.

New York Knicks Final Roster Spot
The Knicks have 15 players with fully guaranteed contracts, but point guard Chasson Randle is not among those 15. This is significant because the Knicks currently only have two point guards on their roster. Furthermore, those two point guards (Derrick Rose and Brandon Jennings) have had injury issues. Do the Knicks feel comfortable going into the season with such limited depth at such an important position? If Rose were to miss time due to either injury or his current trial, Sasha Vujacic would be New York’s back-up PG. For that reason, the Knicks may choose to waive a big, such as Lou Amundson or Marshall Plumlee, in order to clear space for Randle.

Tommy Beer is a Senior NBA Analyst and the Fantasy Sports Editor of Basketball Insiders, having covered the NBA for the last nine seasons.

Advertisement




Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

NBA

The Case for Upperclassmen in the NBA Draft

College upperclassmen are becoming increasingly viable options in the NBA Draft, writes David Yapkowitz.

David Yapkowitz

Published

on

Each year when the NBA draft comes around, there seems to be an aversion to taking upperclassman with a top selection. More specifically, it’s college seniors who often find themselves getting drafted in the second-round if at all.

It can be understandable. NBA teams are clearly looking for a home run pick with a lottery selection. They’re looking for a player who they can build a foundation around for years to come. College seniors often project as solid role players to strengthen a team once that foundational superstar is already in place.

However, recent years have seen the entire first round dominated almost entirely by freshmen and sophomores. In 2017, a college senior wasn’t drafted until the San Antonio Spurs took Derrick White with the 29th pick. The Los Angeles Lakers followed that up with Josh Hart. Hart ended up having a better rookie season than a few of the underclassmen taken ahead of him.

A few other upperclassmen, Frank Mason III, a senior, and Dillon Brooks, a junior, both had better rookie seasons than many of the freshmen taking before them as well. Junior Semi Ojeleye is playing a major role for the Boston Celtics who are in the Eastern Conference Finals.

In 2016, Malcolm Brogdon, another college senior, was taken in the second-round with the 36th pick by the Milwaukee Bucks. He went on to win the Rookie of the Year award and was a starter for a playoff team.

Senior Tyrone Wallace was taken with the last pick in the draft at No. 60 that year. When a rash of injuries hit the Los Angeles Clippers this season, Wallace stepped in right away as a starter at times and helped keep the team afloat in the playoff picture.

There were a few college seniors that went undrafted in 2016, players such as Fred VanVleet Yogi Ferrell that have had better NBA careers to this point that a lot of the underclassmen taken ahead of them.

This isn’t to say that NBA teams should completely abandon taking young, underdeveloped players in the first-round. The Spurs took Dejounte Murray, a freshman point guard, over Brogdon, Wallace, VanVleet and Ferrell. That’s worked out well for them. It’s more a testament to having a good front office and scouting team than anything else.

But maybe NBA teams should start expanding their horizons when it comes to the draft. There appears to be a stigma of sorts when it comes to upperclassmen, particularly college seniors. If a guy can play, he can play. Of course, college production is often not the best means of judging NBA success, but it does count for something.

With the 2018 NBA draft about one month away, there are a few interesting names to look at when it comes to college seniors. Players such as Devonte’ Graham from Kansas, Theo Pinson from North Carolina, Chandler Hutchinson from Boise State, Jevon Carter from West Virginia and Bonzie Colson from Notre Dame are all guys that should be on NBA team’s radars.

Sure, none of those guys are going to turn into a superstar or even an All-Star. But you’re probably going to get a player that becomes a solid contributor for years to come.

Again, it’s understandable when teams take projects in the lottery. After a long season of losing, and in some cases years of losing, ownership and the fanbase are hungry for results. They don’t want a top pick to be used on a player that projects as only a solid contributor.

But after the lottery, the rest of the draft gets a little murky. A good front office will find an NBA caliber player whether he’s a freshman or a senior. The NBA Draft isn’t an exact science. Nothing is ever for sure and no player is guaranteed to become the player they’re projected to be.

College upperclassmen tend to be more physically developed and mentally mature for the NBA game. If what you’re looking for is someone who will step right in and produce for a winning team, then instead of wasting a pick on the unknown, it might be better to go with the sure thing.

Continue Reading

NBA

NBA Daily: Are the Houston Rockets in Trouble?

Game 2 of the Western Conference Finals may have been the perfect storm for Houston, writes Shane Rhodes.

Shane Rhodes

Published

on

The Houston Rockets took a gut punch from the Golden State Warriors, but they responded in Game 2 of the Western Conference Finals.

After they dropped the first game of the series, Houston evened things up at one apiece Wednesday night with a 127-105 blowout win over Golden State. With the Warriors struggling on the offensive end and Houston rebounding from a less than stellar Game 1, the Rockets rolled through the game with relative ease.

But was their improved demonstration a fluke? While fans may not want to hear it, Game 2 may have been the perfect storm for Houston.

The Rockets’ gameplan didn’t change much from Game 1 to 2. They attacked Steph Curry relentlessly on the offensive end, James Harden and Chris Paul took plenty of shots in isolation and their role players got shots to drop that just weren’t going down in Game 1. Eric Gordon, Trevor Ariza and P.J. Tucker exploded for 68 points while shooting 66.7 percent from three after scoring just 24 the previous game. The trio averaged only 35.8 points collectively during the regular season.

Meanwhile, Golden State couldn’t buy a bucket; starting Warriors not named Kevin Durant scored just 35 points. Curry shot just 1-8 from downtown while Klay Thompson, Draymond Green and Andre Iguadola combined for just 19 points while shooting 35 percent from the floor. All of that will undoubtedly change.

So, going back to Oakland for Game 3, where do the Rockets find themselves? Not in a great place, unfortunately.

Golden State did their job: they stole a game — and home-court advantage — from the Rockets at the Toyota Center. Now, as the series shifts back to Oracle Arena and, assuming the Warriors return to form in front of their home crowd, Houston will have their work more than cut out for them. If Curry, Thompson and Durant all have their shot falling, there isn’t much the Rockets can do to keep up

The Warriors, aside from Curry, played great team defense in Game 2, something that will likely continue into Game 3. The Rockets hit plenty of tough, contested shots — shots that won’t drop as they move away from the energy of the home crowd and shots that Golden State would gladly have Houston take again and again and again. Harden and Paul didn’t exactly bring their A-game in Game 2 either — the two combined for a solid 43 points but took an inefficient 38 shots to get there. If the two of them play like that at Oracle, the Warriors will abuse them in transition, something that can’t happen if the Rockets want to steal back the home-court advantage.

The aforementioned trio of Gordon, Ariza and Tucker are unlikely to replicate their Game 2 performance as well, and relying on them to do so would be foolish on the part of Rockets head coach Mike D’Antoni. Devising a game plan that will keep the offense moving while not leaning heavily on the role players will be of the utmost importance — if the offense returns to the bogged down effort that Houston gave in Game 1, the Rockets stand no chance.

Meanwhile, Warriors head coach Steve Kerr will likely adjust his defense in an effort to limit the Rockets effectiveness in the isolation while also trying to find somewhere to hide Curry on the defensive end. It almost certainly won’t be the same sets that Houston throttled in Game 2 which will take another toll on the Rockets offense, especially if they fail to execute.

Not everything looks bad for Houston, however. Faced with a do-or-die scenario, Harden, Paul and co. were the more aggressive team from the jump. Pushing the pace flustered the Warriors and forced some pretty bad turnovers consistently throughout the night. If they come out with the same kind of energy and pace, the Rockets could have Golden State on their heels as they did in Game 2.

Budding star Clint Capela also has plenty of room to improve his game, as he has averaged just 8.5 points and eight rebounds through the first two games of the series — the Rockets need him to play his best basketball of the season if they want a chance to win.

Still, the Warriors are virtually unbeatable at home. The team has lost three games this postseason, just four times over their last two playoff trips and not once at Oracle, making the Rockets’ task even more daunting than it already was. Like Game 2, Game 3 should be played as a do-or-die situation for the Rockets because, if they don’t come out with the same aggressive, up-tempo energy, things could be over quickly.

Continue Reading

NBA

NBA Daily: Hope Not Lost for Mavs

The Dallas Mavericks were the lottery’s biggest losers, but VP of basketball operations Michael Finley still believes the team will land an elite talent.

Joel Brigham

Published

on

Dallas Mavericks vice president of basketball operations Michael Finley knows what it’s like to be on the other side of the draft process. In 2018, he’s an executive for the third-worst team in the league that somehow slipped to the fifth overall pick in Tuesday night’s NBA Draft Lottery, but in 1995 he was a kid from the University of Wisconsin hoping to get drafted.

Finley was a first-round pick that summer, ironically selected by the Phoenix Suns, who won the first overall pick in the 2018 NBA Draft earlier this week, but he says he doesn’t even remember the lottery. The lottery wasn’t the event then that it has since become.

“The lottery wasn’t this big when I was in the draft,” Finley told Basketball Insiders. “I don’t even remember how the lottery process played out when I was coming out of college. It’s grown so much, but the league has grown. It’s good for fans, and it’s good for people to get excited about this process.”

Of course, the irony in getting excited about a draft pick isn’t lost on him.

“It’s kind of weird that [fans] are celebrating the losing process, isn’t it?”

Not surprisingly, Finley wasn’t especially thrilled to see his team fail to reap the rewards of a Dallas Mavericks season that was stepped in that losing process. The lottery odds will change next year, and Finley believes that’s a good thing.

“It’s a good thing to change the system a little,” he says. “It will help keep the integrity of the game intact, especially toward the end of the year. It also will be even more suspenseful than these lottery events have been in the past.”

That’s next year, though. This year, the Mavericks are tasked with finding an elite player at a pick lower than they expected. Finley’s trying to look at things optimistically.

“It could have been sixth,” he said. “It’s still in the top five, and going on what we did this season, we don’t want to be in this position next year, so hopefully the guy we pick at #5 will get us out of the lottery and back into the playoffs.”

In fact, having that selection doesn’t preclude the team from finding a star, especially in a draft this loaded. Most agree that Luka Doncic and DeAndre Ayton are the prizes of the draft, but there are other guys available with All-Star potential. Marvin Bagley, Trae Young, Michael Porter, Jr., and Mo Bamba all have incredibly high ceilings. The Mavs may yet do something meaningful with that selection.

“It’s a strong draft, and a lot of the draft is going to go with what player fits what team in a particular system. If you’re lucky enough to get that perfect combination, the players that are in this draft are really good and have the capability of helping a team right away.”

That’s what Finley and the rest of the Mavericks’ organization hopes will happen in 2018-2019.

Continue Reading
Advertisement

NBA Team Salaries

Advertisement
Advertisement
Advertisement

Trending Now