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NBA Saturday: Brandon Ingram Showing Flashes of Star Potential

The 2016 Draft class has been underwhelming, but Brandon Ingram is showing signs of star potential.

Jesse Blancarte

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The 2016 NBA Draft class has been disappointing this season, to say the least. Joel Embiid, drafted third overall in 2014, is running away with the Rookie of the Year award despite playing with a minutes restriction and resting in the second game of back-to-backs. Ben Simmons, the first overall pick in the 2016 Draft, hurt his foot during the offseason and has yet to make his NBA debut.

With Simmons sidelined and the rest of the 2016 Draft class struggling through the first half of the season, there hasn’t been much excitement around this Rookie class. However, over the last few weeks, Brandon Ingram, picked second overall in 2016 by the Los Angeles Lakers, has started to show signs of steady improvement, development and star potential.

Ingram, age 19, played one season at Duke. In his lone college season, Ingram established himself as a top-level three-point threat, shooting 41 percent from distance on the season. Ingram also showed the ability to take the ball off the dribble, create separation for his own shot, or find an open teammate on the perimeter or around the basket.

Throughout the first 38 games of the season, we only saw flashes of Ingram’s diverse offensive skill set. However, over his last five games, Ingram has displayed a newfound confidence and aggression in his game.

In the Lakers’ game against the Miami HEAT on January 6, Ingram contributed 17 points, six rebounds and four assists while shooting 66.7 percent from the field and 50 percent from three-point range. More important than his nice box score numbers, Ingram showed off the repertoire that made him so highly coveted as a prospect in college. Throughout the game, Ingram looked more aggressive with the ball in his hands and was more willing to attack the basket off the dribble.

In these clips below, we see Ingram in half court sets going straight into his defender, maintaining his balance and getting up relatively good looks for baskets.

Earlier in the season, Ingram looked hesitant to attack bigger, or at least stronger defenders at the rim. However, Ingram seems to finally trust his ability to use stutter steps, misdirection and the Euro step to get his defenders off balance, absorb contact and finish at the rim using his length and coordination.

This skill is particularly important for Ingram considering his ability to grab a defensive rebound and take the ball coast-to-coast in transition. Like Giannis Antetokounmpo, Ingram has incredible length and solid ball handling skills, which makes his a major threat in the open court. Antetokounmpo is much more explosive than Ingram at this point and his stride is longer, but Ingram can do a pretty good imitation of Antetokounmpo when the opportunity presents itself.

Like Antetokounmpo early in his career, Ingram will need to add some muscle to his thin frame in order to shed defenders more effectively and finish through contract at the rim more consistently. But at this point, it’s just nice to know that Ingram still has the ability and confidence to at least occasionally unleash these unique and potentially devastating skills.

What is also encouraging is how coordinated Ingram is for someone who had a recent and massive growth spurt. Remember, Ingram is still just 19 years old, but already has the balance and coordination to finish impressive plays like the one in the clip below.

Ingram still runs into specific problems each game. He relies on his length a little too much, which leads him to take difficult and, oftentimes, impossible shots in traffic. However, as Ingram ages and gains more experience, he will refine his shot selection, which should increase his efficiency. He also will likely get more foul calls as he gains more experience and learns how to draw contact a bit more strategically.

Beyond Ingram’s scoring ability, he is already showing exciting potential as a playmaker. Ingram has a good handle, is a willing passer and has the timing and moves to create enough space to generate effective passing opportunities. We have seen this quite a bit in pick-and-roll situations over the last few weeks.

In both of these plays, Ingram doesn’t get a great screen, but uses a series of hesitation dribbles and timely body shifts to create some space from his defender. In doing so, Ingram draws over both defenders just enough to clear a passing lane to his teammate for an open shot at the rim. This isn’t the sort of play you see from many forwards, especially ones as tall as Ingram, but it’s a unique and potentially powerful tool for the Lakers to exploit. Often times players around Ingram’s age go full speed all the time, but it’s clear from these plays and many more that Ingram already has an advanced understanding of timing and keeping defenders off balance.

Defensively, Ingram has a ton of potential. He competes hard, plays relatively solid one-on-one defense, but isn’t great in pick-and-roll coverage, rotations or overall team execution. He also isn’t an exceptionally explosive athlete, but he knows how to leverage his length and time shots to contest them effectively.

This block may not have been as impressive as LeBron James chasing down an opponent in the open court and pinning his shot against the backboard, but it shows what kind of a defensive presence Ingram can be as a secondary shot blocker and rim protector. Stemming from last season’s playoffs, we have seen Kevin Durant being used more frequently as a strategic second line of defense at the rim when the center is drawn away from the basket. Ingram has the length and defensive competence to learn how to fill that sort of role as well, but that is something that will take time and experience to execute consistently.

Additionally, Ingram has shown a relatively consistent effort to stay close to his assigned opponent and to try and make the right rotations when necessary. However, things don’t always work out according to plan, but Ingram is, at times, able to make up for miscues with his length. We often see Ingram jumping out to contest a shooter who was left wide open and he often times is able to actually block the opponent’s jump shot, which is something only a handful of players in the league can do with any sort of frequency.

Notably, Ingram hasn’t secured a single steal over this recent hot streak, which is likely a symptom of him trying to stay within head coach Luke Walton’s defensive schemes. Jumping passing lanes recklessly to rack up steals generally isn’t helpful since it leaves the team’s defense vulnerable, but the occasional gamble would likely be beneficial for Ingram and the Lakers.

The thing to remember about Ingram is how young and inexperienced he is. It’s not realistic to expect him to play effectively and efficiently on both ends of the court each night. But, it’s encouraging to see in this recent streak that he has a diverse offensive skill set, great potential on defense and the work ethic and desire to refine those skills and make them a consistent part of his repertoire.

Ingram likely isn’t going to win Rookie of the Year, or significantly outshine his fellow rookies. But he has shown flashes of the star player he may one day become, which should be enough to excite Lakers fans.

Jesse Blancarte is a Deputy Editor for Basketball Insiders. He is also an Attorney and a member of the Professional Basketball Writers Association.

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NBA Daily: Spurs Enter New Territory After Moving Parker To Reserve Role

The San Antonio Spurs are seemingly entering a new phase as Tony Parker has been moved to a reserve role.

James Blancarte

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San Antonio Spurs head coach Gregg made a significant change to his rotation earlier this week. On Sunday, January 21 Popovich placed guard Dejounte Murray into the starting lineup in place of Tony Parker. The Spurs went on to lose the game at home to the Indiana Pacers. The result was the same as a losing effort in Friday’s matchup against the Toronto Raptors in Toronto.

The San Antonio Spurs came into the 2017-18 hoping to bounce back from last year’s playoffs where the team suffered injuries to Kawhi Leonard and Parker and eventually lost to the Golden State Warriors. This season started off with the Spurs surviving without Leonard and Parker as the two continued to rehab from lingering injuries. As of now, Leonard is once again taking time off to rehabilitate after playing in nine games while Parker has been able to stay healthy so far. Unfortunately, being healthy enough to play doesn’t make up for the inevitable decline that comes with age and injuries.

On the season, Parker is averaging a career low in minutes (21.6), assists (4.0) and points (8.2), as well as free throws made and attempted per game. His usage rate, player efficiency rating (PER) and shooting percentages are also all at or around career lows. It’s hard to argue against the notion that Parker, at 35 years old with 17 years of pro basketball under his belt, is in the twilight of his impressive career.

Parker has acknowledged his demotion but seems to be handling it like a true professional.

“[Popovich] told me he thought it was time, and I was like, ‘no problem.’ Just like Manu [Ginobili], just like Pau [Gasol], you know that day is going to come,” Parker said recently. .

Before Sunday’s game, Parker had started 1151 of 1164 games played, all with the Spurs of course.

Popovich was asked specifically if the plan was either to start Murray at point guard moving forward or if this switch in the lineup was a part of some kind of injury management program for Parker. Never known for being overly loquacious, Popovich responded with little detail or insight.

“We’ll see,” Popovich stated.

In the starting lineup, Murray logged eight points, four assists, seven rebounds, three steals and one block in nearly 28 minutes of action. Murray had previously started before Parker returned from injury earlier this season but eventually relinquished that spot to career reserve guard Patty Mills.

Parker also spoke of the benefit of coming off the bench and potentially mentoring Murray’s growth in his new presumed role as the starter.

“If Pop [Coach Popovich] sees something that is good for the team, I will try to do my best,” Parker said. “I will support Pop’s decision and I will try to help DJ [Murray] as best as I can and try to be the best I can in the second unit with Manu [Ginobili] and Patty [Mills].”

If nothing else, this move will allow the Spurs to see if Parker can be more effective in limited minutes against opposing bench units. Additionally, Parker will hopefully benefit from playing alongside his longtime running mate, Ginobli.

Parker’s willingness to mentor Murray may come as a relief to Spurs fans watching the ongoing dismantling of San Antonio’s former Big-3, which began with the retirement of future Hall-of-Famer, Tim Duncan. At 6-foot-5, Murray benefits from greater size and athleticism than Parker, although Murray failed to keep the starting job when given an opportunity earlier this season. Coach Popovich gave another straightforward answer when asked which areas he thinks Murray can improve in.

“He’s 21-years-old,” Popovich declared. “He can improve in all areas.”

After asking for a trade in the offseason, the Spurs have benefited from focusing their offense around LaMarcus Aldridge, who is having a bounce-back campaign. However, Leonard is now out indefinitely and the Minnesota Timberwolves have now caught the Spurs in the standings. The pressure is on for this resilient Spurs team, which has again managed to beat the odds despite an injured and aging roster.

Parker became a starter for the Spurs at age 19 and never looked back. Now all eyes are on Murray to see how well he performs in his second stint with the starters at a crucial point in the season.

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Sources: Milwaukee Bucks Fire Coach Jason Kidd

Basketball Insiders

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The Milwaukee Bucks have fired coach Jason Kidd, sources ESPN’s Adrian Wojnarowski.

Source: Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN

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Defensive Player Of The Year Watch – 1/22/17

Spencer Davies checks into the DPOY race with his latest list of candidates.

Spencer Davies

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It’s a new year and Basketball Insiders is continuing its Defensive Player of the Year watch with sample sizes widening and new players emerging in the conversation.

There were a couple of names knocked out of the list, but that gives more of a spotlight to those who have really stepped up since our last edition ran on December 29. Without further ado, let’s get into it.

 6. Hassan Whiteside

After missing nearly a month of action with a knee injury, Whiteside has returned with a vengeance. The Miami HEAT were already a good defensive team before he came back, but he’s really bolstered that reputation even further. Since Dec. 26, the 7-foot center has recorded eight multi-block games. In five of those, he had at least four swats, including a six-rejection performance in a win at Milwaukee. Overall in ESPN’s Defensive Real-Plus Minus, Whiteside owns by far the best rating at 4.73. “Agent Block” is back and daring all comers to try him.

5. Anthony Davis

Slowly but surely, the New Orleans Pelicans are creeping away from the bottom of the league in defensive rating. Once ranked in the bottom five a few weeks ago, they’ve shot up to 18th in the league (108.4) rather quickly. While that’s not the most impressive statistic to provide, the obvious reason for their improved standing on that end of the floor is Davis. He’s been an absolute workhorse for Alvin Gentry in the restricted area as an elite rim protector, with a heavy responsibility and a ton of minutes. Without him on the floor, the Pels are allowing 8.9 more points per 100 possessions, which puts Davis in the 96th percentile according to Cleaning The Glass.

4. Josh Richardson

Notice there are two members of the HEAT on this list. It’s because they are on fire right now, no pun intended, so it’s about time they received some love in the conversation for DPOY. Whiteside was addressed first, but if we’re talking about a greater sample size with consistent evidence, Richardson fits the bill. Opponents are attempting over 11 shots per game against him, yet are only making 38.9 percent of those tries. That’s the lowest conversion rate in the league with a minimum of 10 attempts.

Battling injuries a season ago, Richardson has played in all 46 games for Miami this year. While it’s been a team effort, he is the heart and soul of Erik Spoelstra’s defense, taking on the most difficult assignments each game. For that reason, he deserves long overdue recognition on this list.

3. Kevin Durant

This isn’t a case where Durant is slipping because of his performances. He’s only ranked third this time around because of the job others have done outside of him. The Golden State Warriors are still a juggernaut on both sides of the court. He’s still a top-notch individual defender. The numbers don’t suggest otherwise and the eye test certainly confirms it.

In isolation situations, Durant is allowing only 0.53 points per possession, which is second in the NBA to only Tony Snell. When it comes to crunch time, he’s always locking up. In fourth quarters, he is limiting the competition to shooting less than 30 percent—and his defended field goal percentage and field goal percentage discrepancy is the best in the league at -17.2. He’s got as good of a chance as anybody to take home DPOY.

2. Joel Embiid

Everybody loves to focus on the off-court antics and hilarities that come with Embiid, but the man deserves his due when it comes to his reputation in the NBA as a truly dominant big. The Philadelphia 76ers have won seven out of their last eight games and it has started on the defensive end of the floor.

Take the games against Boston, for example. Al Horford is a crucial part of the Celtics offense and has had problems getting going against the 23-year-old. In the 22 minutes per game, he’s been on the floor along with him, Horford has been held to below 30 percent from the field on an average of nine attempts. With Embiid off, he’s converted nearly 73 percent of his tries.

Another matchup you can examine is with Andre Drummond. The two have had their fair share of words with each other, but Embiid’s had the edge one-on-one. Similar to Horford, the Detroit Pistons big man has had a rough time against him. Embiid has limited Drummond to under 38 percent on five attempts per game in an average of over 23 minutes on the floor together. When he’s not playing, Drummond has had close to a 78 percent success rate.

Regarding centers, Embiid ranks second in ESPN’s DRPM and fifth in Basketball Reference’s Defensive Box Plus-Minus. Citing Cleaning The Glass, the Sixers are allowing 10 more points per 100 possessions when he’s sitting, which slots Embiid into the 97th percentile.

He’s altering shots. He’s blocking shots. He’s forcing kick outs. And that’s a big reason why the NBA gave Embiid its Eastern Conference Player of the Week honors. Trust The Process.

1. Paul George

Basketball Insiders was well represented this past Saturday in Cleveland when the Oklahoma City Thunder decimated the Cavaliers in their own building. The focus was on the “OK3” exposing a terrible defense, but the real story in this game was how in-tune and sound George was on both ends of the court. He was sizzling shooting the basketball, but perhaps more defining was shutting down LeBron James on a day that was supposed to belong to him.

Any time 23 got the ball to try and get the Cavs going, George was there. He suffocated him with pressure, forcing James into bad decisions and contested shots. The talk of the day was the 30,000-point mark, but PG-13 had other ideas.

“I was hopeful that it took two games for him to get to that,” George said after the 148-124 win at Quicken Loans Arena. “I actually didn’t know that stat until right before coming into [Saturday]. They told me he needed 25 to go to 30,000. I’ve been a part of a lot of those baskets that he’s had, so that’s an achievement or milestone I didn’t want to be a part of.”

Thunder teammate Steven Adams spoke to his prowess on that end of the floor.

“He’s a really good defender man,” Adams said. “It was like a perfect matchup, honestly. He played LeBron really well in terms of our system and what we want him doing. He did an amazing job there.”

Oklahoma City head coach Billy Donovan is a huge fan as well.

“He really I think puts forth good effort,” Donovan said pre-game. “He’s long, smart. He’s disruptive. He’s got good feet. He’s a physical defender. He’s hard to shoot over. Certainly, with he and Andre [Roberson] on the wings, that’s certainly bolstered our defense.”

That was one performance, but it’s obvious how much George brings to the table as one of the toughest guys to score on in this league. He’s got a league-leading 188 deflections and is tied with Eric Bledsoe at the top of the NBA with 2.2 steals per game.

Recently, the Thunder have allowed 91 points at most in three of their last four games. They are also in the top three allowing just 104.7 points per 100 possessions and George has been a huge part of that.

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