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NBA Saturday: The Philadelphia 76ers’ Best Case Scenario

What is the best possible scenario for the 76ers this offseason? Dennis Chambers examines the possibilities.

Dennis Chambers



Over the last five years, it would be fair to say that the basketball gods have not been kind to the Philadelphia 76ers.

Since last making the playoffs in the lockout-shortened season of 2011-12, the Sixers have accumulated a 109-301 record. That’s the worst record in the NBA over that time frame.

While most of the excessive losing has been self-inflicted due to Philadelphia’s calculated tanking in order to land top-tier draft picks, even when the Sixers have gotten breaks (no pun intended), they haven’t necessarily worked out.

In 2014, Joel Embiid was brought in by Philadelphia with the third pick in the draft. However, Embiid had a stress fracture in his right foot at the time of his selection. He didn’t hit the court for the first time until this past season, in which he played just 31 games. Last June the Sixers selected Ben Simmons with the top pick in the draft. He suffered a Jones fracture to his right foot during his final training camp scrimmage on Sept. 30.

Despite bringing in a few players regarded as potential elite talent, the Sixers have had trouble actually getting them on the court.

But better days are on the horizon for the Sixers, who finished with 28 wins this season — the combined total of their two previous seasons. Embiid and Simmons look on track to be healthy to start next season, Dario Saric has proven himself as a core piece of the franchise, the Sixers could potentially have two top-five picks in June’s draft, and they hold over $50 million in cap space to play with this summer.

With that said, let’s take a look at the best possible scenario for the Sixers this offseason that could make them a legitimately competitive team next season, and for seasons to come.

NBA Draft

The first, and most important, step in the Sixers’ shot at making a serious jump in the win column starts on May 16 when the draft lottery takes place. Currently, Philadelphia has an 11.9 percent chance to land the top pick. They also own the right to swap picks with the Sacramento Kings should the Kings pick become more favorable than their own.

On top of their own selection, the Sixers also would receive the Los Angeles Lakers’ pick should it fall outside of the top-three. There is currently a 53.1 percent chance of Philadelphia ending up with the Lakers pick.

The best-case scenario for the Sixers would be landing the No. 1 and No. 4 picks in the draft lottery. While it’s not likely the ping pong balls bounce in that particular way — just a 2.43 percent chance — for the sake of the exercise, let’s imagine the basketball gods shine some light on Philadelphia for the first time in a long time.

Should the Sixers wind up with the first and fourth picks in the draft, they will be in a position to not only draft the best player available but also address pressing needs on their roster. This would start with running to the podium with Markelle Fultz written on the draft card for the first overall pick.

With Ben Simmons set to play point guard on offense and guard whoever checks him on the opposing team, Fultz fulfills a perfect backcourt mate as a combo-guard. At 6-foot-4 with a sweet shooting stroke (41.3 percent from three-point range in his lone collegiate season), Fultz has the ability to play off the ball alongside Simmons and still be effective. With a 6-foot-10 wingspan and plus athleticism, Fultz should be more than capable of defending the opposing team’s guard.

After securing the top talent in the draft for the second year in a row, the No. 4 pick becomes gravy at this point. Still blatantly in need of wing scoring, selecting Kentucky guard Malik Monk — arguably the best scorer in the draft — would give the the Sixers another reliable shot-maker to play with Simmons.

A starting lineup of Fultz-Monk-Simmons-Saric-Embiid would suddenly become one of the league’s highest-ceiling five-man units. With multiple shooters, multiple playmakers, and a 7-foot-2 big man controlling the paint, the young Sixers would field their most talented roster since the Process began.

Free Agency

The Sixers will have up to $51.2 million in cap space during the upcoming free agency period. However, even with all that money at their disposal, it would be unwise for Philadelphia to start backing up the Brink’s truck for potential free agents.

With a bulk of their roster still on rookie contracts and bargain deals, the Sixers will need to make decisions concerning high-money extensions in the coming years. First up will be Embiid next summer, and even despite his injury history, he will likely command a max-contract.

Keeping the books clean for when the Sixers need to retain their own talent is important. But that doesn’t mean Philadelphia should avoid spending money at all costs. Key contributor Robert Covington has a $1.5 million club-option this summer, and the Sixers should take a chunk of their change to lock him up past next year.

A career 35 percent three-point shooter, Covington posted a career-best 2.0 defensive box plus/minus this past season. As the Sixers begin to fill out their roster with more talent via the draft, Covington can slide into a crucial rotational role, responsible for hitting shots from the wing and defending the opposition’s scoring threats.

Past Covington, there aren’t any splashy free agents that could help the Sixers long-term once their young players begin to come into their own. But there are players who provide valuable minutes next season without costing an arm and a leg.

Omri Casspi is coming off a season where he played for Sacramento before getting traded to the New Orleans Pelicans in the DeMarcus Cousins trade, and then was subsequently injured in his first game for New Orleans. The Pelicans waived Casspi and he then signed with and appeared in 13 games for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Because of his injury-plagued season, Casspi won’t likely command too much money on the open market.

But after shooting 40 percent from beyond the arc in 2015-16, the 6-foot-9 stretch forward can provide backup minutes behind Saric and would pair nicely with Embiid, drawing the second frontcourt defender out of the paint allowing Embiid to operate more freely inside.

Player Health

After being consistently bitten by the injury bug throughout the course of the last five seasons, an injury-free summer could be the most vital part of the Sixers’ success next season.

However, most of this will ultimately be out of Philadelphia’s control. But their best case scenario this summer would be for every player, specifically Simmons and Embiid, to make it to opening night completely healthy. In order to ensure this, Simmons playing in his second straight Summer League isn’t likely.

On top of Simmons and Embiid, Jerryd Bayless returns to the lineup after playing just three games last season due to a wrist injury. Another guard capable of scoring from outside and playing off the ball, he projects to be a fine complement to Simmons.

With a bit of luck and a bit more caution, the Sixers hope to make it through the summer unscathed and enter a new season with all hands on deck.

Getting every star to align during an offseason is certainly a tall task, but should Philadelphia play it smart this summer — and get their fair share of luck, as well — they could be capable of winning more than just 28 games next season.

Dennis Chambers is an NBA writer in his first season with Basketball Insiders. Based out of Philadelphia he has previously covered NCAA basketball and high school recruiting.


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Monte Morris: Waiting for his Chance

Nuggets two-way guard Monte Morris talks to Basketball Insiders about his time with Denver.

David Yapkowitz



Monte Morris has only seen action in three NBA games with the Denver Nuggets this year. While most players who receive little playing time spend most of their time at the end of the bench cheering their teammates on, Morris’ situation is a bit different. He’s spent the majority of his rookie year in the G-League.

The NBA’s minor league has grown tremendously since it’s inception in 2001. All but four NBA teams have a G-League affiliate now. There are plans for the New Orleans Pelicans to have their own team by next season, and NBA Commissioner Adam Silver has spoken about having a team in Mexico.

As part of the NBA’s new collective bargaining agreement, they expanded the partnership between NBA teams and their G-League affiliates even more by adding two-way contracts. Essentially creating a 16th and 17th roster spot, two-way players are allowed to split time between an NBA team and the G-League.

For Morris, two-way contracts are an added opportunity for players to make an NBA roster.

“It’s a good chance for guys to make a roster, especially second-round picks to get a chance,” Morris told Basketball Insiders. “With two-way contracts, I feel like they’re going to get a lot better as far as rules and things like that go. This is the first year so they’re testing it out, but it’s a good opportunity. It’s a blessing at the end of the day.”

Morris was drafted by the Nuggets with the 51st overall pick in last summer’s draft. Second round picks are not afforded the guaranteed contract stability that comes with being a first-round pick. He was tabbed for a two-way contract almost immediately after he was drafted.

He had a stellar four years of college at Iowa State, where he was one of the top point guards in the nation as a senior. He also had a strong showing in Las Vegas with the Nuggets’ summer league team.

The Nuggets were a little crowded in the backcourt to begin the season with Jamal Murray and Emmanuel Mudiay ahead of Morris in the rotation. When Mudiay was injured and out of the rotation, Mike Malone opted to go with Will Barton as the backup point guard. The Nuggets’ trade deadline acquisition of Devin Harris pushed Morris farther back on the depth chart.

“The toughest thing is just staying mentally tough, staying true to yourself, and developing your own craft,” Morris told Basketball Insiders. “Just not losing that self-confidence cause you might not play when you go up. When you come down here [G-League], take advantage of it, have fun, and keep getting better.”

Morris has definitely done his part to stand out in the G-League. The Nuggets are without a sole affiliate, so they’ve used the Houston Rockets G-League team, the Rio Grande Valley Vipers, to get Morris additional experience. In 36 games with the Valley Vipers, he’s put up 18.2 points per game on 47.8 percent shooting from the field, 35.6 percent from the three-point line, 4.6 rebounds, 6.6 assists, and 1.8 steals.

He believes that if called upon, he can be a major contributor for the Nuggets. There are certain aspects he can bring to the team and he thinks it’s possible for him to play with Murray in the backcourt together.

“I think I can bring energy off the bench. I feel like me and Jamal Murray, the way the game is going you can play small ball. I feel like I can bring pace to the game and play defensively,” Morris told Basketball Insiders. “I like getting after it when I’m up there with those guys on defense and getting guys open shots. I know we got a lot of scorers, my goal would be getting everybody their shots.”

Morris has been able to show he can produce at the NBA level, even if it’s a small sample size. On Feb. 9, only the second game he’s played in with Denver, he scored ten points on 4-5 shooting from the field, dished out six assists, and nabbed three steals against the Rockets.

Players on two-way contracts are allowed a maximum of 45 days with the NBA team. Those days are not solely game days; they include practices and travel days as well. Once those 45 days are up, NBA teams have the option of converting a two-way contract to a standard NBA deal provided they have roster space.

If a player uses up the 45 days and does not have their contract converted, they go back to the G-League. They can rejoin their NBA team once the G-League season ends but are not able to play in the playoffs.

For now, Morris is just biding his time, waiting for his opportunity. He’s staying ready for when the Nuggets might need him. In the meantime, he’ll continue to take advantage of what the G-League has to offer.

“It’s definitely a good starting point. It’s just all about how guys attack it on and off the court,” Morris told Basketball Insiders. “It’s just being a pro and not losing confidence in your ability when you go up and don’t play. You just got to be ready, you’re really one injury away, one call away to step on and have to play.”

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Middleton, Bucks Aiming To ‘Lock In’ As Season Comes To Close

Spencer Davies catches up with Milwaukee Bucks swingman Khris Middleton in a Basketball Insiders exclusive.

Spencer Davies



Basketball Insiders had the chance to chat with Khris Middleton about the direction of the Milwaukee Bucks as the season comes to a close.

You guys won three out of four before you came into Cleveland. What was working during that stretch?

Just being us. Doing it with our defense, playing fast-paced offense. Just trying to keep teams off the three-point line. We haven’t done that. We didn’t do that [Monday] or two games ago, but it’s something we’ve just gotta get back to.

With the offense—it seems like it’s inconsistent. What do you think that’s got to do with mostly?

Just trying to do it by ourselves sometimes. Standing, keeping the ball on one side of the floor. We’re a better team when we play in a fast pace. And then also in the half court, when we move the ball from side-to-side it just opens the paint for everybody and there’s a lot more space.

For you, on both ends you’ve been ultra-aggressive here in the last couple weeks or so, does that have to do with you feeling better or is it just a mindset?

I’ve been healthy all year. Right now, it’s the end of the season. Gotta make a push. Everybody’s gotta lock in. Have to be confident, have to be aggressive. Have to do my job and that’s to shoot the ball well and to defend.

Have you changed anything with your jumper? Looking at the past couple months back-to-back, your perimeter shooting was below 32 percent. In March it’s above 45 percent.

I feel like I got a lot of great looks earlier this year. They just weren’t falling. Right now, they’re falling for me, so I have the same mindset that I had when I was missing and that’s to keep on shooting. At some point, they’re gonna go down for me.

Is knowing that every game at this point means more an extra motivator for you guys?

Definitely. We’re basically in the playoffs right now. We’re in a playoff series right now where we have to win games, we have to close out games, in order to get the seeding and to stay in the playoffs. Each game and each possession means something to us right now.

Is it disappointing to be in the position the team is in right now, or are you looking at it as, ‘If we get there, we’re going to be alright’?

I mean, we wish we were in a better position. But where we’re at right now, we’re fine with it. We want to make that last push to get higher in the seeding.

Lots of changes have gone on here. Eric Bledsoe came in two weeks into the season. You had the coaching change and lineup changes. Jabari Parker’s been getting situated before the postseason. How difficult does that make it for you guys to build consistency?

Yeah, it was tough at first. But I think early on we had to adjust on the fly. We didn’t have too many practices. There was a stretch where we were able to get in the film room, get on the court, and practice with each other more.

Now it’s just at a point where we’re adding a lot of new guys off the bench where we have to do the same things—learn on the fly, watch film. We’re not on the court as much now, but we just have to do a great job of buying in to our system, try to get to know each other.

Does this team feel like it has unfinished business based on what happened last year?

Definitely. Last year, we felt like we let one go. Toronto’s a great team. They’re having a hell of a season this year, but I feel like we let one go. This year’s a new year—a little add of extra motivation. We’ve been in the playoff position before, so hopefully, we learn from it when we go into it this year.

Would you welcome that rematch?

I mean, we welcome anybody man. We showed that we compete with any team out here. We can’t worry about other teams as much. We just have to be focused on us.

What has to happen for you guys to achieve your full potential?

Lock in. Just play as hard as we can, play unselfish, and do our job out there night-in, night-out.

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NBA Daily: Raptors Look To Fine-Tune The Defense

The Toronto Raptors’ defense had a letdown against the Cavaliers, but has been outstanding overall.

Buddy Grizzard



The Cleveland Cavaliers and Toronto Raptors engaged in an offensive shootout on Wednesday that could be a playoff preview. The Cavs protected home court with a single-possession, 132-129 victory. Afterward, the Raptors spoke about the types of defensive adjustments the team needs to make as the postseason rapidly approaches.

“That’s how a playoff game would be,” said DeMar DeRozan, who missed a three at the buzzer that could have forced overtime. “This is a team we’ve been playing against the last two years in the postseason. Understanding how we can tighten up things defensively, how to make things tougher for them [is key].

“[It’s] little small things that go a long way, and not just with them … with every team.”

Raptors coach Dwane Casey concurred with DeRozan that fine-tuning of the defense is needed. He also pointed out that, with young contributors such as center Jakob Poeltl and power forward Pascal Siakam on the roster, defensive experience against the league’s best player, LeBron James, is something they will have to gain on the fly.

“I don’t think Jakob Poeltl played against him that much, and Siakam,” said Casey. “This is their first time seeing it. I thought Jak and Pascal did an excellent job, but there are certain situations where they’ve got to read and understand what the other team is trying to do to them.”

Poeltl was outstanding, leading the bench with 17 points and tying for the team lead in rebounds with eight. Casey praised the diversity of his contributions.

“I thought he did an excellent job of rolling, finishing, finding people,” said Casey. “I thought defensively, he did a good job of protecting the paint, going vertical. So I liked what he was giving us, especially his defense against Kevin Love.”

Basketball Insiders previously noted how the Raptors have performed vastly better as a team this season when starting point guard Kyle Lowry is out of the game. Much of that is due to Fred VanVleet’s emergence as one of the NBA’s best reserve point guards. VanVleet scored 16 points with five assists and no turnovers against Cleveland. It’s also a reflection of how good Toronto’s perimeter defense has been up and down the roster.

According to ESPN’s defensive Real Plus-Minus statistic, three of the NBA’s top 15 defensive point guards play for the Raptors. VanVleet ranks seventh while Lowry is 12th and Delon Wright is 14th. Starting small forward OG Anunoby ranks 16th at his position.

The Raptors also rank in the top five in offensive efficiency (third) and defensive efficiency (fifth). Having established an identity as a defensive team, especially on the perimeter, it’s perhaps understandable that Lowry was the one player in the visiting locker room who took the sub-standard defensive showing personally.

“It was a disgraceful display of defense by us and we’ve got to be better than that,” said Lowry. “We’ve got to be more physical. They picked us apart and made a lot of threes. We’ve got to find a way to be a better defensive team.”

Lowry continued the theme of fine-tuning as the regular season winds down.

“I think we’ve just got to make adjustments on the fly as a team,” said Lowry. “We can score with the best of them, but they outscored us tonight. We got what we wanted offensively. We’re one of the top teams in scoring in the league, but we’re also a good defensive team.”

Lowry was clearly bothered by Toronto’s defensive showing, but Casey downplayed the importance of a single regular-season game.

“We’ve got to take these games and learn from them, and again learn from the situations where we have to be disciplined,” said Casey. “It’s not a huge thing. It’s situations where we are that we’ve got to learn from and be disciplined and not maybe take this step and over-help here. Because a team like that and a passer like James will make you pay.”

While the Raptors continue to gain experience and dial in the fine defensive details, Casey was insistent that his players should not hang their heads over falling short against Cleveland.

“Hopefully our guys understand that we’re right there,” said Casey.

The Raptors host the Brooklyn Nets tonight to open a three-game home stand that includes visits from the Clippers Sunday and the Nuggets Tuesday. After that, Toronto visits the Celtics March 31 followed by a return to Cleveland April 3 and a home game against Boston the next night. With three games in a row against the other two top-three teams in the East, the schedule presents plenty of opportunities for the Raptors to add defensive polish before the playoffs begin.

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