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NBA Saturday: What Should the Clippers do with Crawford?

Despite his offensive abilities, the Clippers should be open to trading Jamal Crawford this season.

Jesse Blancarte

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There are a lot of necessary ingredients for putting together a championship team. A championship contender typically needs a good mix of talented big men and wing players, at least two All-Star caliber players, solid coaching, chemistry, shooting, rebounding, defense, playmaking and depth.

Reasonable people can debate which ingredients are more important than others. Many people believe one such ingredient is having an elite scorer off the bench, a player that can check into a game and immediately put some points on the board. This must be an important role considering that out of the last 10 recipients of the Sixth Man of the Year award, nine were either a shooting guard or combo guard whose primary skill was scoring the basketball.

Interestingly, of those 10 players that won Sixth Man of the Year, none of their respective teams won the NBA championship the season they won the award. This includes Jamal Crawford, who won Sixth Man of the Year in 2009-10 with the Atlanta Hawks and again in 2013-14 with the Los Angeles Clippers (and came second in voting in the 2012-13 season). So it can reasonably be argued that having an elite scorer off the bench is not a crucial ingredient for a team that hopes to win an NBA championship (though having skilled offensive players is obviously still necessary). This argument directly applies to the aforementioned Crawford, who has put together a nice 15-year career up to this point, but has constantly been mentioned in trade rumors over the last few seasons.

Selected eighth overall in the 2000 NBA Draft by the Cleveland Cavaliers, Crawford was traded to the Chicago Bulls on draft night for Chris Mihm (the seventh pick) and cash. Crawford has career averages of 15.6 points, 3.7 assists, 2.4 rebounds and one steal per game, while shooting 41 percent from the field and 35 percent from three-point range.

In his fourth season, Crawford began to flash his scoring abilities, averaging 17.3 points per game for the Bulls and exploding for 50 points against the Toronto Raptors on April 11, 2004. Since then, Crawford has been a threat to go off on any given night. In addition, Crawford is one of the best ball-handlers in the league, has a killer crossover, is eighth all-time in three-pointers made, is the all-time leader in four-point plays, can play point guard in a pinch and is one of the best bad-shot makers in the league today. In short, Crawford has been a dynamic offensive player throughout his career and has been a great value for the Los Angeles Clippers over the last three seasons.

So why is it the case that Crawford’s name so often comes up in trade rumors recently?

There are a few reasons for that. First, Crawford is entering the last season of his four-year, $21.3 million contract. He is set to earn roughly $5.6 million this upcoming season, which is a bargain in the NBA’s current financial landscape. Consider that Kyle Singler, who has a 10.2 career Player Efficiency Rating, agreed to a five-year, $25 million contract this offseason with the Oklahoma City Thunder. In addition, Marco Belinelli (12.3 career PER) agreed to a three-year, $19 million deal with the Sacramento Kings. Both Singler and Belinelli are less accomplished players than Crawford, yet both are set to make just about as much, or more money than Crawford this season. And yet each of these contracts are relatively good deals considering that the cap is going to rise significantly after this upcoming season. Crawford’s contract was signed just a few seasons ago, but the NBA economy has changed a lot since then, and at this point, Crawford’s on-court value comparatively exceeds the money he is set to earn this season.

Another reason Crawford’s name comes up in trade rumors is the fact that the Clippers’ offseason moves make his role with the team less clear. This offseason, the Clippers traded for Lance Stephenson, re-signed Austin Rivers and signed Wesley Johnson, all of whom can backup J.J. Redick at shooting guard. Crawford arguably should be Redick’s primary backup, but assuming Crawford is eventually traded, or Crawford is out with an injury, it’s not hard to imagine that the Clippers would be fine plugging in one of these three players in his place. In addition, with Pablo Prigioni, Rivers and Stephenson all coming off the bench, it is unclear how often Crawford will be able to handle the ball and initiate the offense, which is where his value lies (this is especially true if Paul Pierce comes off the bench, which the Clippers are reportedly considering). Crawford isn’t known for coming off of screens or playing off the ball in general, so forcing him to play off the ball could diminish his ability to impact games.

The last significant reason that Crawford is often mentioned in trade rumors is the fact that his value for the Clippers in recent seasons has been somewhat inconsistent. For all of Crawford’s offensive abilities, which are substantial, he is the type of player that is just as likely to shoot his team out of a game as he is to catch fire. For every game where Crawford goes 11-15 from the field for 25 points, there seems to be another game where he goes 3-15 for seven points. This feast or famine approach can be problematic at times, and was especially so in the playoffs last season:

Jamal Crawford 2014-15 Playoff Field Goal Attempts

 

Jamal Crawford 2014-15 Playoff Field Goal Attempts Per 36 Minutes
Charts courtesy of www.basketball-reference.com

Despite shooting 36 percent from the field overall and 24.3 percent from three-point range, Crawford was taking 13.3 shots per game and as many shots per minute as Blake Griffin during the Clippers’ playoff run last season. Crawford was certainly one of the Clippers most talented offensive players last season, so taking a heavy-dose of the team’s shots isn’t problematic in theory. But Crawford is such a confident shooter that missing 10 shots in a row doesn’t discourage him from continuing to shoot the ball, which can come at the expense of his team.

To be fair to Crawford, he was part of a second unit that needed him to carry it on offense, so his field goal attempts came about out of necessity. However, in 2013-14 Crawford again averaged the most shots per minute in the postseason (19.7) (despite shooting just 39.8 percent from the field), and the third most in 2012-13 (38.7 percent) when he played with a deep second unit. Considering this, it is fair to assume that despite adding more offensive talent and the fact that the Clippers will likely be a top offensive team again this upcoming season, Crawford will again take a big bulk of the Clippers shots in the postseason, whether he is making them at a high rate or not.

While there is value in Crawford’s ability to make difficult, timely and momentum-shifting shots, there is also value in distributing the ball more evenly and getting others involved. The Clippers’ goal at this point is to win a championship and if Crawford’s postseason performance from last season was any indication, it may be best for the Clippers if he isn’t around to take so many of the team’s shots, especially with so many other weapons on the roster this season.

This is especially true considering that Crawford is not much of a defensive player. Last season, Crawford ranked 53rd among all qualified shooting guards in ESPN’s Real Plus-Minus statistic (-2.28). Unsurprisingly, Crawford ranks so low because of his defense specifically. In terms of Defensive Real Plus-Minus, Crawford ranked 93rd among all qualified shooting guards (-4.38), which is dead last. In addition, when Crawford was on the court last postseason, the Clippers gave up 112.9 points per 100 possessions, which was over three points worse than the league’s worst defensive team last season, the Minnesota Timberwolves. Furthermore, when Crawford was off the court, the Clippers gave up just 95.3 points per 100 possessions, which is almost three points less than the league’s best defensive team, the Golden State Warriors. In short, for Crawford to be a positive contributor for the Clippers, he has to be on fire on offense, which, for the most part, he hasn’t been in the postseason for Los Angeles.

This is why the Clippers may be best served by moving Crawford for a big man that can backup DeAndre Jordan (or at least rotate with Griffin and Josh Smith in small-ball rotations). The Clippers signed Cole Aldrich this offseason to fill that role, but if Jordan is injured or Aldrich has to play significant minutes in the postseason, it’s hard to image Los Angeles overcoming teams like the Warriors or San Antonio Spurs in the postseason. The Clippers could combine Crawford and C.J. Wilcox’s contracts (or some other combination) to pursue big men like Chris Andersen, Chris Kaman, Josh McRoberts, Taj Gibson or Markieff Morris. While each of these deals is less than likely to happen for several reasons, each season there are players who are unexpectedly made available and the players mentioned here are simply representative of the type of players the Clippers should be targeting.

However, it should be noted that Coach Rivers recently said that Crawford is not likely to be traded this season.

“I’ve heard all the rumors about Jamal going other places,” Rivers told Fred Roggin on the Beast 980 last Friday. “Jamal’s a Clipper and I would be very surprised if he’s not a Clipper by the season’s end.”

While Rivers is taking the stance that Crawford is not likely to be traded, we have heard coaches and general managers say the same thing about other players, who were subsequently traded anyway. So while it’s possible that Crawford stays with the Clippers this season, he will still be made available if the right trade presents itself.

There are surely many people who will disagree with the idea that Crawford should be traded and argue that he is a crucial piece for the Clippers’ championship hopes. Again, his ability to knock down several shots in a row, create his own offense and provide a spark off the bench are significant attributes (which are why he will likely draw interest from other teams this season). We saw his potential value when he scored 16 crucial points in Game 7 against the San Antonio Spurs last postseason. But with additional offensive talent, limited trade assets and a need for another big man, it makes sense for the Clippers to look for a trade involving Crawford. Of course, the Clippers shouldn’t move Crawford unless they can get equal or better on-court value in return, but they should be open to potential trades involving him that could improve the team.

Jesse Blancarte is a Deputy Editor for Basketball Insiders. He is also an Attorney and a member of the Professional Basketball Writers Association.

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NBA Daily: The Memphis Grizzlies’ Young Core Rises

The Memphis Grizzlies have built one of the most exciting young teams in the NBA – and it won’t be long before they’re competing at the top of the Western Conference.

Zach Dupont

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Needless to say, the NBA is flush with some exciting young rosters. Trae Young’s Atlanta Hawks, Luka Doncic’s Dallas Mavericks and Zion Williamson’s New Orleans Pelicans are bursting at the seams with talent and, in short order, have sparked discussions as to which team might be basketball’s next big thing.

While each of those teams excites in their own, unique way, it’s the Memphis Grizzlies that stand out from the rest of the pack.

The Grizzlies are led by Ja Morant, their sophomore star point guard out of Murray State. As a rookie, Morant proved he was one of the NBA’s brightest up-and-comers, but he’s taken it to another level this season. While he missed time with an ankle injury, Morant has averaged 22.6 points and 7.0 assists per game on 53.2 percent shooting. Morant is also first in the NBA in fast-break points per game, averaging 5.8 per game.

The bright hooper hasn’t had the hype that someone like Young did early on in the season, but there’s a case to be made that Morant is just as promising as the Hawks’ star guard. Per 48 minutes, Morant is averaging 37.1 points and 11.5 assists versus Young at 33.6 points and 13.1 assists per game. While not a perfect comparison given the former’s smaller sample size in 2020-21, it does show that Morant is absolutely in the discussion for the best young guard in the league.

The Grizzlies already have their cornerstone of the future, but what separates them from the rest of the NBA’s fascinating teams is the organization’s ability to acquire talented role players. Five of the Grizzlies’ top seven scorers are players the Grizzlies drafted in the last four seasons; better, four of them were players selected in the previous two.

Memphis only has two players older than 30, Gorgui Dieng and Tim Frazier, the latter of which has played just 33 minutes this season. That number jumps to three with players 28-years-and-older by adding Jonas Valanciunas to the list.

Lead amongst those role players is the Grizzlies’ second-leading scorer Dillon Brooks, the 45th overall selection for Memphis in 2017. Brooks is putting up 15.2 points per game in his fourth season in the NBA despite not shooting the ball well, just 36.9 percent from the field and 30.5 percent from three-point range. Brooks has never shot below 35 percent from three or 40 percent from the field in his career, so it stands to reason his percentages will increase by the end of the year and, with it, his entire scoring output.

Elsewhere, Brandon Clarke, a second-year forward out of Gonzaga, is one of Memphis’ five players averaging over 10 points per game this year, putting up 13.2 points and 6.8 rebounds per game. While his scoring numbers are substantial, Clarke’s value comes on the defensive end – much like the two Grizzlies’ rookies, Desmond Bane and Xavier Tillman.

Bane and Tillman were picked between 30-35th overall, and through a handful of games, both have well exceeded their draft slots. Bane is averaging 8.6 points per game on crazy efficient shooting percentages of 47.1/48.9/77.8. Beyond that, Tillman has shown his worth on both ends of the ball too, averaging 8.6 points, 3.9 rebounds, 1.6 steals and 1.3 blocks per game. This doesn’t even begin to scratch the surface of the Grizzlies’ talented young core which includes two ultra-talented youngsters who have yet to play this season.

Jaren Jackson Jr. may be the Grizzlies’ second-best player behind Morant; last year, he averaged 17.4 points, 4.6 rebounds and 1.6 blocks per game on 46.9/39.4/74.7 shooting splits. Winslow hasn’t played since early on in the 2019-20 season with the Miami HEAT, before being traded to Memphis at the deadline for Andre Iguodala. During his last full season, Winslow averaged 12.6 points, 5.4 rebounds and 4.3 assists per game on 43.3/37.5/62.8 shooting splits, making him a valuable wing player that the Grizzlies have just waiting on the bench.

Of course, Memphis is one of the youngest teams in the NBA with an average age of 24.3, second-youngest in the league, and have dealt with significant injury problems early on this season. Despite this, the Grizzlies are one of the best defensive units in the league, holding a defensive rating of 106.66, second-best league-wide. The Memphis offense has struggled so far this year, but a major reason why is because of Morant’s injury.

When Morant plays, the Grizzlies’ offensive numbers are much improved. With Morant on the floor, they’ve got an offensive rating of 115.4, which would be the sixth-best mark in the NBA. Without him on the floor, their offensive rating drops to 103.8, good for second-worst. Given that Morant has missed more than half the Grizzlies’ games this year, it’s no wonder their offensive rating is a 105.66 on the season.

Ultimately, this has left the Grizzlies with a record of 7-6, putting them at the eighth seed in the Western Conference and right in the hunt for the playoffs.

The scary thing is that the Grizzlies are only going to get better. Morant and Jackson Jr. are both 21-years-old, Tillman and Bane are 22 and Brooks, Winslow and Clarke are 24. The entirety of the core is young, while their two best players are hardly old enough to buy alcohol. Even though the Grizzlies are young, they’ve already shown themselves to be one of the league’s best defenses and possess the tools to improve their offense in-house.

Come the end of the season, the Grizzlies will be a real playoff contender – and with such a young roster, it’s only a matter of time before Memphis is competing for more than just the backend of the playoffs.

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NBA Daily: Reggie Jackson Staying Ready for the Clippers

Reggie Jackson hasn’t had much opportunity with the Los Angeles Clippers this season. Still, he’s ready for whenever the team may need him.

David Yapkowitz

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There’s an old saying: “if you stay ready, you don’t have to get ready.” That saying would certainly apply to Reggie Jackson this season.

Jackson, who joined the Los Angeles Clippers last season after he was bought out by the Detroit Pistons, re-upped with team on a one-year deal. A once-promising young guard that the Pistons pried away from the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2015 with a five-year, $80 million contract, his time in Detroit was unfortunately marred by injuries and inconsistency.

Still, he was coveted on the buyout market. When Jackson arrived in Los Angeles, the prevailing thought was that he would provide the Clippers with extra guard depth and an additional ball-handler and solid playmaker off the bench. They even had competition from the Los Angeles Lakers for his services.

And, for the most part, Jackson did just that in his 17 regular-season games — including the Orlando bubble seeding games — that he suited up with the Clippers. He put up 9.5 points per game and 3.2 assists while shooting 45.3 percent from the field and 41.3 percent from three-point range.

But the playoffs were a different story. Inconsistency reared its ugly head and Jackson’s numbers dropped to 4.9 points and 0.9 assists while his field goal percentage dipped to 43.8 percent. The Clippers as a whole were inconsistent, especially in their second-round loss to the Denver Nuggets, and it was unsure if Jackson would be back with the team for the 2020-21 season.

He did come back, although it looked as if this year he was going to have some competition at the backup point guard spot with second-year guard Terance Mann. When the season began, new head coach Tyronn Lue alternated between the two from game-to-game, but eventually settled on a rotation that didn’t necessarily include either of them.

For a young player like Mann, finding yourself out of the rotation might seem like necessary growing pains as your career is in its infancy. But, for a vet like Jackson, it can be tough. Lue admitted as much in a recent call with media.

“It was a hard conversation for me because I thought he had been playing well,” Lue said, “but we couldn’t play all the guys, we knew that coming into the season.”

“He took it well. I think when you’re a veteran, when you’re a pro, when you want to win you do whatever it takes to try to win. I just told him to stay ready, it’s a long season with Covid, with injuries and things like that, you got to be ready.”

To Jackson’s credit, he’s done just that and stayed ready for when his next opportunity should arise.

And, luckily for him, it came maybe a bit sooner than expected.

Last Friday against the Sacramento Kings, the Clippers found themselves without both Patrick Beverley and Lou Williams. And, so, Jackson found himself in the starting lineup.

In the win against the Kings, Jackson finished with 11 points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists, shot 50 percent from long-range and even threw down a dunk in traffic. After the game, he joked that his teammates had been teasing him for not dunking and for being 30 years old. That moment made him feel like he was younger again.

“It feels good, especially at 30. Seeing the open lane and having a chance to attack,” Jackson said. “I’ve had an injury-plagued career these past few years, I just feel like I’m getting my legs back under me and feel somewhat 20 again, it felt great to go out there to get a dunk.”

“I’m just glad to get it in there. I got a little nervous.”

Before being told he was going to be out of the rotation, Jackson had strung together some solid games off the bench as Lue was experimenting with the lineup. In the Clippers Dec 29 win over the Minnesota Timberwolves, Jackson had perhaps his best game of the season with 11 points, 4 rebounds, 4 assists, 4 steals and a block.

He followed that up with another strong performance in a win against a good Portland Trail Blazers team with 11 points, 2 assists and 66.7 percent shooting from the field including 50 percent from downtown. Jackson understands that some nights he might not see any playing time while other nights he may be called upon to provide a spark.

“I just want to be ready, I’m just trying to stay ready for anything and whenever my name is called this year,” he said. “I just try to manage the point guard like a quarterback, on wins. There’s things I can improve on, things I could be better at. For the most part I just want to find a way to help my team get a win.”

With the return of Beverley, Jackson only played 13 minutes off the bench in the Clippers most recent game against the Indiana Pacers. Still, he figures to be a regular in the rotation with Williams still day-to-day and Lue has liked what he’s seen from him in these recent wins.

“He’s a point guard, he did a good job with catch and shoot, distributing the basketball, but also running the team,” Lue said. “That’s what we expect him to do. I’m happy for Reggie, staying ready and being a professional.”

For Jackson, one of the things that have helped him the most this season is having two championship-caliber point guards on the sideline in Lue and assistant coach Chauncey Billups, as well as assistants Larry Drew and Kenny Atkinson who were solid point guards in their playing days, too.

Although he’s a veteran, he’s always trying to learn and always trying to improve and he feels like this is the best group for him to learn from.

“They’re helping me day-in and day-out. Having a slew of point guards and great minds at the helm is just helping me with my maturation and seeing the game,” Jackson said. “Having somebody to bounce ideas off of steadily, I think it’s working really well right now. I’m just fortunate to have their minds and try to pick their brains as much as possible. I know I’ve been doing this 10 years but to have those guys in my corner, they’ve forgotten more basketball than I know. I always try to soak it up.”

And if Jackson can continue to refine his game — to pick up what he can as he picks the brains of Lue, Billups and the others — and stay ready, he just might come up big for Los Angeles when they need him most.

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NBA Daily: Youth Fueling San Antonio

Gregg Popovich has typically relied heavily on his veteran players. Now, he has a cast of young talent that is fueling a Spurs resurgence. Chad Smith puts the spotlight on the rising stars in San Antonio.

Chad Smith

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Last season was strange for everyone, but especially San Antonio Spurs head coach Gregg Popovich. It was the first time in his 25-year tenure that his team missed the playoffs. Heck, it was the first time his team ever finished with a losing record since he took the job in 1996. But, in spite of that season and the fact that Popovich will turn 72 next week, his motivation and excitement are still there.

Popovich has done it and seen it all during his time on the bench. From winning five NBA titles to coaching countless Hall of Fame players along the way. His list of accomplishments is endless, but the coaching job he is doing this year might just rank right near the top.

Most teams around the league are either primarily comprised of young and inexperienced players or made up mostly of veterans who know how to manage the game. You won’t find many that have a nice mixture of both, let alone having the talent that the Spurs seem to have. Their roster doesn’t have an All-Time great player, either; you won’t find a Tim Duncan, David Robinson, Manu GinĂłbili or Tony Parker here. They have a great veteran duo, to be fair — both DeMar DeRozan and LaMarcus Aldridge are capable of playing at a high level — but neither can be asked to carry a team at this stage of their respective careers.

It is Popovich’s job to take those ingredients and cook up something special. And it’s here where his and San Antonio’s player development abilities shine through.

The 2019 NBA Draft was oozing with talent at the top with guys like Zion Williamson, Ja Morant, and RJ Barret taking the spotlight. And while no one wants to miss out on the postseason, their down year could have been a blessing in disguise for Spurs, who have long had a knack for plucking hidden gems in the first round. Dejounte Murray, Derrick White and Keldon Johnson were all drafted by the Spurs as the 29th overall selection.

And this season, while White has only played one game because of an injury, it has been the duo of Murray and Johnson that has been the spark for a reinvigorated San Antonio.

Murray, in particular, is finally having the breakout season that many envisioned. He has improved his scoring average by five points per game and is posting career-high averages in rebounds, assists and free throw percentage. Not only is he hitting the free throws, but Murray is also getting to the line more often instead of settling for mid-range jumpers.

As good as Murray has played thus far, it has been Johnson’s emergence that has been turning heads around the league.

Not many players from the loaded 2019 draft have busted onto the scene in their second year quite like Johnson has. After appearing in just 17 games last season, the former Kentucky product has elevated his game to new heights. So far this season he is averaging 14 points and seven rebounds while starting every game for San Antonio.

While his minutes and shot attempts have greatly increased in his new role, Johnson has maintained an efficiency that has allowed him to blossom. The Spurs desperately need some floor spacing, as they rank in the bottom five of the league in terms of three-point shot attempts; Johnson’s ability to shoot both vital to their strong start and has been heavily relied upon with guys like DeRozan, Murray and Aldridge all making their living in the mid-range area.

Johnson also has the tools and intelligence to make a major impact on the defensive end of the floor. His large frame allows him to guard bigger players and take contact, while his length and athleticism make him a great closeout defender. Popovich has relied on him heavily in their games where they’ve had to face the likes of LeBron James, Christian Wood, Pascal Siakam and former Spur Kawhi Leonard.

White’s prolonged absence has opened the door for another youngster, Lonnie Walker, who has flourished with the opportunity. There is a reason San Antonio took him with the 18th overall pick a few years ago and, now, he seems to be putting it all together. His scoring and efficiency have drastically improved, while his patience and understanding of what is happening on the floor seem more apparent.

Walker has always had elite-level athleticism, but he has worked on his jump shot and finishing ability at the rim. He has been one of their best scoring options this season, capable of putting up 20 points or more on any given night. Walker and Popovich have given much of the credit to Murray’s leadership.

The 24-year-old point guard seems to be establishing himself as the leader of this team. His patience running the offense and finding teammates in half-court sets has been crucial. Their transition game has been thriving as well, with their young guys getting downhill and putting pressure on defenders. They rank in the top-five in terms of drives per game, as Popovich has emphasized the importance of getting to the rim and creating open shots for others.

Another statistic that Popovich has to be thrilled with speaks volumes about the growth of his backcourt: the Spurs turn the ball over less than any other team in the league. In fact, they are the only team that commits fewer than 10 turnovers per game.

Confidence plays a major role in how well a player develops. And it appears as though Popovich has instilled confidence in Murray and Walker, which has enabled them to take off. Johnson’s confidence was evident last season, where he erupted in his final games at the bubble in Orlando.

Just as he has injected confidence into his young guys, Popovich has channeled patience and better decision-making into DeRozan as well. No longer is he forcing up shots and shying away from the three-point line. It may have taken a bit longer than many expected, but Popovich may have molded DeRozan into the best version of himself.

Whether attacking their talented trio of young players or a veteran like DeRozan, Aldridge or Patty Mills, San Antonio is going to be a tough team to keep down or put away. The Western Conference is stacked once again but, while they may roster the same names as last season, this Spurs team is vastly different.

And, if they continue to grow and trust one another, there could be another playoff run on the horizon for Popovich and San Antonio.

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