Golden State Warriors (1st in Pacific, 43-8)
The Golden State Warriors are 43-8, have won eight of their last 10 games and have four of the best players in the league in their starting lineup. This is not a team that needs to be particularly active at the trade deadline, but it’s likely that general manager Bob Meyers will look for opportunities to add depth to the roster. Let’s not forget that in order to bring in Kevin Durant, the Warriors did have to part ways with players like Harrison Barnes, Andrew Bogut, Leandro Barbosa and Marresse Speights.
Unless a lopsided trade falls into the Warriors’ lap, it’s unlikely we will see any notable players like Andre Iguodala, Shaun Livingston, David West or Zaza Pachulia being moved. Each is on an expiring contract, so it would be fairly easy to include any of them in a deal to bring in a notable player or two. However, as previously stated, it’s highly unlikely that the Warriors move any of their important role players and it’s a virtual certainty that none of their stars will be moved.
If anything, the Warriors will likely look to be opportunistic in the buyout market.
Los Angeles Clippers (2nd in Pacific, 31-21)
The Los Angeles Clippers are perhaps the most interesting team to keep an eye on as we approach the trade deadline. The Clippers have won just three of their last 10 games, have gone two out of seven since Chris Paul tore a ligament in his left thumb on January 16 and are struggling mightily on defense.
With an aging championship-caliber roster, and with Griffin and Paul able to become unrestricted free agents after this season, there is an extreme sense of urgency surrounding this team. The problem is that, even at their best, the Clippers would have a very difficult time getting through teams like the Warriors, San Antonio Spurs and even Houston Rockets on their road to the Finals.
Considering this, it makes sense that the Clippers are reportedly working to facilitate a deal for New York Knicks forward Carmelo Anthony. The issue is the Clippers don’t have the players or future assets to put together a compelling package for New York and it’s not clear that Anthony would waive his no-trade clause to join the Clippers.
Unless Doc Rivers finds another worthwhile deal for a forward to shore up the team’s depth at small forward and power forward, it’s unlikely the Clippers make a significant deal for anyone outside of Anthony. Considering that Knicks team president Phil Jackson is looking to undermine Anthony at every possible opportunity, the likelihood is the Clippers hold off on all other deals until it becomes clear that they will not be able to swing a deal for Anthony.
If the Clippers make a trade for Anthony, players like Austin Rivers, Jamal Crawford, Wesley Johnson and Alan Anderson will likely be included to facilitate the deal. If the trade does not come together, expect the Clippers to stand pat and look for added depth in the buyout market.
Sacramento Kings (3rd in Pacific, 20-32)
Over the last few seasons, the trade rumors in Sacramento have frequently revolved around DeMarcus Cousins. Cousins is arguably the best overall center in the NBA, can become an unrestricted free agent after next season and would surely look for greener pastures considering the Kings haven’t made the postseason since the 2005-06 season.
However, once the new CBA officially comes into effect, Cousins can sign a maximum Designated Player contract extension with the Kings (likely worth up to roughly $219 million over five seasons), which has increased the likelihood that he will stay in Sacramento long-term. Earlier this week, Kings general manager Vlade Divac told Marc Stein of ESPN that the team will not trade Cousins and are not fielding offers for him, which lines up with the reporting from Basketball Insiders’ Steve Kyler.
With Cousins likely off the table and Rudy Gay recovering from surgery to repair his ruptured Achilles tendon, it’s likely that the Kings won’t be making any blockbuster trades this year, but will still be active. According to Kyler, the Kings have been active in the trade market looking for other deals, and there is a growing sense that the Kings could move guard Darren Collison and possibly big man Kostas Koufos before the deadline.
The Kings are in an interesting position. They could trade off their short-term veteran players for future assets, or bolster their current roster with more veterans in order to become a perennial playoff contender in the Western Conference. Cousins has been in the league for several years, so he may not want to sign a multi-year deal with Sacramento if they go into a full rebuild around him and some of their other young, core players. However, considering the size of Cousins’ potential deal, the likelihood is he stays in Sacramento one way or another.
Los Angeles Lakers (4th in Pacific, 18-36)
With Kobe Brant officially retired, the Los Angeles Lakers are finally all in on their rebuild. Their core pieces include Julius Randle, Jordan Clarkson, Larry Nance Jr., D’Angelo Russell and Brandon Ingram. The Lakers brought in former Laker player Luke Walton as the new head coach, who, despite suffering through some rough patches this season, has shown that he is well-suited for the job.
Of note, owner Jeanie Buss recently hired Magic Johnson as an advisor to her and the team. Soon after, Johnson stated that the Lakers are a “superstar away.” While the merits of that statement can be debated, it should be noted that the Lakers do have the talent and trade assets to swing a deal for a star player like Jimmy Butler, whose long-term future in Chicago is being called into question recently.
The front office could also make calls on other star players whose contracts are close to ending, whose teams are struggling or who are discontent with their current situations. Players like Nerlens Noel and Stanley Johnson are young, talented and are finding inconsistent roles with their respective teams.
The Lakers aren’t likely to move any of their core pieces without getting a substantial return, and GM Mitch Kupchak warned fans that the team wasn’t likely to be active before the upcoming trade deadline. But with Johnson now involved, that may change, based on his recent comments.
The Lakers very likely will hold onto all of their young core talent and assets, while looking to move some of their veterans. Walton recently removed Luol Deng and Timofey Mozgov from the starting lineup, so maybe they will see if there is any interest for these two veterans (though they are both owed over $15 million annually through 2019-20, so there likely isn’t much of a market for either player). Jose Calderon is on an expiring contract and may generate some interest from other teams.
The Lakers have options and can be very aggressive in trade discussions over the next two weeks. However, the safer bet is that the Lakers take a long-term approach to building their roster and hold on to their core players – unless a player like Butler becomes a realistic option at a reasonable price.
Phoenix Suns (5th in Pacific, 16-36)
The Phoenix Suns have a good amount of young talent, including players like Alex Len, Dragan Bender, Marquese Chriss, Devin Booker, T.J. Warren and Tyler Ulis. Additionally, even guys like Eric Bledsoe and Brandon Knight are still relatively young. With so much young talent and no hope of making the postseason, it’s likely that the Suns resist moving their core players and instead look to cash in on some veterans on short-term deals.
P.J. Tucker is well-regarded around the league and is on the last year of his current deal. His $5.3 million salary is a very good value and his name has already come up in rumored trade discussions, including via Basketball Insiders’ Michael Scotto. However, the Suns are reportedly looking for a nice return for Tucker, so it’s possible that teams ultimately pass and he finishes the season in Phoenix. Phoenix also has Jared Dudley and Tyson Chandler on the roster, but their deals are guaranteed through the 2018-19 season, so teams may pass on any discussions involving them.
The most interesting trade chips for Phoenix are arguably Bledsoe and Knight. Bledsoe is locked up until the 2018-19 season at a very reasonable annual salary of roughly $14.75 million. Bledsoe, age 28, has suffered through several injuries throughout his career but he is playing exceedingly well recently. Considering his age, production and solid contract, it’s unlikely Phoenix will move him, unless they receive a very good offer for him.
Knight is the more interesting trade piece. His role has been reduced this season, he’s younger than Bledsoe and is under contract through the 2019-20 season at a reasonable annual salary that tops out at $15.6 million in the final year. Knight is a talented but flawed player. He can score and make plays off the dribble, but he’s not a true point guard and is not a strong defender. However, if a team is convinced he would thrive in a new setting and wants a guard who is under contract for several seasons, Knight is a decent trade target.
The Suns have had a disappointing season so far, but the future is bright. Booker looks like a future star player and Warren has improved significantly since last season. The team will likely take the long-term approach here and develop internally while adding more young talent, though they would certainly entertain trade discussions if a star player became available.
NBA PM: Lopez Leading On And Off The Court
Brook Lopez has been a valuable addition to the Los Angeles Lakers, both on and off the court.
In spite of the ongoing media circus, an inherently tougher conference and a roster that features just five players with more than three years of NBA experience, the Los Angeles Lakers are 8-10. Naturally, that won’t be good enough to reach the postseason in the West, but it’s better than most expected the young Lakers to fare. Their early season successes can be chalked up to their glut of budding talent — Julius Randle, Lonzo Ball and Brandon Ingram, among others — but there’s one other major driving force at hand here and his name is Brook Lopez.
Following years of will-they, won’t-they rumors, Lopez was acquired in a shocking blockbuster trade with the Brooklyn Nets just prior to this year’s draft. The Lakers were eager to get out from under Timofey Mozgov’s lengthy, albatross-sized contract, so they packaged him with the once-troubled D’Angelo Russell, shipping the pair off for Lopez and the No. 27 overall pick. The deal was largely made with financial implications in mind, but the initial returns on Lopez have been a massive win for the Lakers as well.
Although Lopez is currently logging a career-low in minutes (24.3), he still often leads the way for Los Angeles — like the night he effortlessly dropped 34 points and 10 rebounds on 6-for-9 from three-point range against his former franchise. Through 18 games, Lopez is averaging just 14.8 points and 5.1 rebounds — a scoring mark that ranks only above his rookie season with the New Jersey Nets in 2008-09 — but his statistical impact is key on this inconsistent roster nonetheless.
But beyond that, it seems as if some of Lopez’s biggest contributions this season have come off the court — just ask Kyle Kuzma and Ivica Zubac.
“[Lopez] has taught me how to be a professional,” Kuzma told Basketball Insiders prior to their game against the Boston Celtics earlier this month. “He’s one of the first guys in the gym, one of the last ones to leave.”
Lopez, who has carried his fair share of incredibly poor teams in the past — and often with a smile — is in the final year of the contract he signed back in 2015. His expiring deal worth $22.6 million made Lopez the perfect acquisition for a Lakers team hoping to shed cap space before the upcoming free agency period — where, allegedly, LeBron James and Paul George are both targets.
For a 7-foot center that just added a three-point shot to his game and knocked down 134 of them last season alone, Lopez may be one of the greatest trade afterthoughts in recent memory. The Lakers will likely finish in the lottery rather than the postseason, but Lopez — along with veterans Andrew Bogut, Corey Brewer and Luol Deng — have been a helpful presence for the slew of young Lakers as they adjust to professional basketball.
“They’re all great — they’ve been there, done that,” Kuzma said. “They have a lot of experience in this league, so it’s good to learn from those guys because they’ve played 10, 13 years and that’s what I want to do.”
Kuzma, of course, was selected with that No. 27 overall pick that the Nets sent to Los Angeles in the trade, and he’s been red-hot ever since. Following an impressive combine, summer league and preseason, Kuzma jumped into the starting lineup after Larry Nance Jr. fractured his hand just eight games into the campaign. Although the Rookie of the Year battle has been dominated by the Philadelphia 76ers’ Ben Simmons so far, Kuzma — averaging 16.8 points and 6.6 rebounds per game — has emerged as a strong runner-up candidate.
For Zubac, however, it’s been a slower start to his NBA career but with Lopez, he says, things have gotten easier.
“The whole summer, I worked on my three-point shot,” Zubac told Basketball Insiders. “But also [I worked on my] post offense too, that’s what [Lopez] is good at. I’m really focusing my game around the post, so that’s where I’m trying to learn.”
Last year, Zubac was a popular late-season member of head coach Luke Walton’s rotation and he finished his rookie year averaging 7.5 points and 4.2 rebounds in just 16 minutes per game. Unfortunately, the new arrivals and recent emergences have limited Zubac to just 10 total minutes over four appearances in 2017-18. Still, Lopez gives Zubac a mentor worth modeling his game after, even if it’s at the expense of real experience this season.
To get Zubac on the floor, the center has spent time with the South Bay Lakers, Los Angeles’ G-League affiliate, as of late. In two games, Zubac has averaged 21 points and 10 rebounds on 73 percent shooting from the field. Despite the lack of playing time, Zubac was more than happy to praise not only Lopez but the efforts of the other aforementioned veterans too.
“I can learn a lot from them and they help me play my game,” Zubac said. “Whoever’s on the court, whoever I’m playing with, I just try to learn as much as I can from them.”
Ultimately, though, it all comes back to Lopez.
Again, Lopez has averaged a career-low in minutes, but his contributions have been crucial in the Lakers’ overall standing thus far. In the games that Lopez has played less than 21 minutes, the Lakers are 0-5; but when he plays more than 30, the team is 3-1. On top of that, the Lakers are 5-1 when Lopez hits two or more three-pointers in a game as well. That sample size is still certainly small, but it’s nice indicator of Lopez’s inherent on-court impact, even when he’s not carrying the team on his shoulders.
“[He makes life] a lot easier for me,” Kuzma said. “He’s one of the most established scorers in the league and his career average is, like, 20 [points] a game. You can always count on him to be there every single night.”
While the Lakers can plan for a dream offseason haul involving James, George and others, they’ll have a tough decision facing them in July. Whether he’s efficiently stretching the floor, finishing off assists from Ball or setting the tone in an inexperienced locker room, Lopez has been quite the addition for Los Angeles.
This summer, Lopez enters unrestricted free agency and will likely garner offers outside of the Lakers’ pay range considering their big plans. If the Lakers decide to focus elsewhere, another team will reap the rewards. Until then, the youthful core in Los Angeles will benefit from having Lopez train and educate them each day.
“[Lopez] takes care of his body, he stays low-key and is never in trouble,” Kuzma said. “He’s the type of professional I want to be.”
Whether this is just a one-year detour in his extensively underrated career or the start of a great, new partnership, Lopez’s arrival in Los Angeles has been a huge success already. But as far as role models go for both Kuzma and Zubac, there are few choices better than Brook Lopez — both on and off the court.
The Most Disappointing Teams So Far
Shane Rhodes looks at a few teams that have disappointed so far this season.
Approaching the season’s quarter mark, NBA teams are finally starting to settle into their respective grooves. As more and more players become comfortable, their teams begin to demonstrate what they can really do on the court. While some teams have exceeded expectations, a number of teams have underperformed and are looking worse, in some cases much worse, than expected.
Here are six of the NBA’s most disappointing teams so far this season.
6. Dallas Mavericks
The Dallas Mavericks were going to be bad this season. They just weren’t expected to be this bad.
At 3-15, the Mavericks currently hold the worst record in the NBA. They rank 27th and 22nd in offensive and defensive rating, coming in at 99.3 and 107.6, respectively. Collectively, they are shooting just 42.2 percent from the floor and 34.7 percent from three-point range, both below league average. Nerlens Noel, whom Dallas acquired at the trade deadline last season, has played sparingly.
But there is seemingly a light at the end of the tunnel. The Mavericks’ three wins have come against the Memphis Grizzlies, Washington Wizards and the Milwaukee Bucks, three teams that made the playoffs a season ago and are expected to do so again this season. Victories against the Wizards — who are currently the fourth seed in the Eastern Conference at 10-7 — and the Bucks — who boast one of the best players in the league in Giannis Antetokounmpo — are especially encouraging.
As of now, though, the team is still a mess on both sides of the ball.
5. Miami HEAT
The Miami HEAT were expected to be playoff contenders after a torrid second half last season that saw them win 30 of their final 42 games. Now, the HEAT are currently sitting at the 11th seed in the East and, with a record of 7-9, are currently boasting a worse record than the New York Knicks (9-7), Indiana Pacers (10-8) and the Los Angeles Lakers (8-10).
The offense just hasn’t arrived yet in South Beach. Miami has an offensive rating of 103.13, good for 26th in the NBA. They are shooting under league average from the field (44.5 percent) and from three (35.2 percent) and are fifth in turnovers per game with 16.6 per contest; not exactly a winning formula. The $50 million man Kelly Olynyk has contributed just 8.9 points and 5.3 rebounds in 18.9 minutes per game while the roster outside its starting unit looks flimsy at best. Dion Waiters hasn’t shot the ball as well as last season, either.
The schedule doesn’t get easier for the HEAT, with four upcoming games against the Boston Celtics, Minnesota Timberwolves, Cleveland Cavaliers and Golden State Warriors in their next seven. Expect Miami to get even worse before they start to get better.
4. Milwaukee Bucks
Last season, the Milwaukee Bucks were the sixth seed in the East. They boast one of the best young cores in the league, headed by phenom Antetokounmpo and supported by the likes of Khris Middleton, Eric Bledsoe, Malcolm Brogdon and, eventually, Jabari Parker.
Somehow, the Bucks find themselves at just 8-8.
In a weakened Eastern Conference, Milwaukee was expected to make a play for one of its top spots. Instead, the Bucks have gotten blown out by the Mavericks, while barely squeaking by teams like the Charlotte Hornets and Lakers. The Bucks are 23rd in the NBA in defensive rating with a mark of 106.5, worse than the Atlanta Hawks and Chicago Bulls while also sitting at 23rd in net rating at -2.2, behind the Los Angeles Clippers (-1.7) and Utah Jazz (-1.3).
Antetokounmpo has yet to improve his stroke from beyond the arc, an undesirable albeit expected deficiency in his game. But, much of the Bucks roster hasn’t shot well from three. Middleton is shooting just 32.1 percent while big-acquisition Eric Bledsoe is shooting an abysmal 16 percent from beyond the arc since arriving in Milwaukee. If they can’t improve here it will be extremely hard for the Bucks to improve their position in the standings.
With six of their next nine games coming against teams at or below .500, the Bucks have a great chance to rebound from their sluggish start. That doesn’t change the fact that, with one of the NBA’s more talented rosters, the Bucks have been a major disappointment up to this point.
3. Cleveland Cavaliers
At the time of this writing, the Cleveland Cavaliers have won five straight games. Most would say that would or should exempt them from a list like this.
They would be wrong.
The collective record of the teams Cleveland has played during its five-game win streak? 35-48. It may be encouraging to the fans to see the team rattle off five straight, but the Cavaliers aren’t exactly beating the best teams in the Association. They have been careless with the ball as well, turning it over more than 15 times per game while
Their biggest problem, however, is the fact that they can defend absolutely no one. With a defensive rating of 109.4, the Cavaliers have the worst defense in the league. They have gotten away with a lackluster effort in the past, Cleveland’s current roster, outside of LeBron James, just doesn’t have enough offensive firepower to make up for it. And the offense has been good; Cleveland is currently averaging 110.9 points per game with an offensive rating of 109.4, but that leaves them with a big goose egg for their net rating.
The Cavaliers will continue to struggle to beat teams as they attempt to outpace them on the offensive end. For a team that has made three straight NBA Finals and has one of the greatest of all time on its roster, that should certainly be regarded as a disappointment.
2. Oklahoma City Thunder
Another “Big-3” was formed in the NBA after Paul George and Carmelo Anthony were paired with reigning Most Valuable Player Russell Westbrook in the offseason. However, the 2017-18 season hasn’t exactly gone according to plan for the Thunder
Labeled as a team to rival the Warriors for Western Conference supremacy, the Thunder have done anything but so far this season. While the individual stats counting of Westbrook, George and Anthony have looked good, the Thunder have not as a collective. The team sits at just 7-9, good for 10th in the Western Conference. They rank 19th, 23rd and 21st in the NBA in points, rebounds and assists per game, respectively while shooting 44.3 percent from the field and 35 percent from three, both good for 21st.
Westbrook’s early season shooting struggles have hurt the Thunder as well. Westbrook is shooting just 39.4 percent from the field and 32.5 percent from three. The dominance he displayed last season, especially late in games, just hasn’t appeared this season and the team is hurting because of it. If the Thunder want to move up in the standings, Westbrook will need to find a way to improve his shooting numbers; they will go as he goes much like last season, even with George and Anthony on the roster.
On a brighter note, the defense has been one of the best in the NBA. But if the Thunder can’t figure it out on offense and score well as a unit, they will continue to struggle, especially when having to face the high-octane offenses of the Warriors and Houston Rockets.
1. Los Angeles Clippers
When losing a player the caliber of Chris Paul, some regression is to be expected. Fortifying the roster with guards Patrick Beverley, Lou Williams and Milos Teodosic and forward Danilo Gallinari, however, the Clippers were expected to weather the storm, to an extent.
Early on the Clippers did exactly that. The team looked impressive in the early going, winning five of their first seven games and averaging 109 points per. Since then? Everything has seemingly gone downhill in Los Angeles, and fast.
The Clippers have lost nine straight by an average margin of 9.8 points per game. Thirteenth in the Western Conference with a 5-11 record, they have looked nothing like the playoff team they were expected to be and are by far the season’s biggest disappointment. They have played poorly on the defensive end, ranking 20th in the NBA with a defensive rating of 106.2. Opponents have shot 45.4 percent from the field and 37.1 percent from three against them.
Things haven’t been the greatest on offense, either. In Paul’s absence, the Clippers have dropped from 15th in assists per game a year ago to 28th this season, averaging just 19.6 per game. While they are averaging 104.9 points per game, they are doing so on just 44.1 percent shooting.
Injuries have played a major role in the Clippers struggles; additions Beverly, Gallinari and Teodosic have all missed or are currently missing time with injury. But it’s discouraging to see that Blake Griffin and DeAndre Jordan are unable to elevate the Clippers outside of the Western Conference basement.
NBA AM: Paul Millsap’s Injury Derails Denver
With Paul Millsap injured, the Nuggets hopes to become a contender take a hit.
After missing the playoffs for the past four seasons, the Denver Nuggets are a team on the rise. The team won 30 games in 2015, 33 in 2016, 40 in 2017 and are currently on pace to record 48 victories this season, which would be their most since 2013.
The squad features six players averaging more than 10 points per contest, not including two veterans in Kenneth Faried and Wilson Chandler, both of whom are career double-digit scorers. The Nuggets also boast one of the youngest teams in the league with only three players over the age of 30 (Paul Millsap, Chandler and Richard Jefferson).
But the team was dealt a huge blow this week when it was learned that four-time All-Star forward Paul Millsap will be out the next three to four months after suffering a torn ligament in his wrist.
Denver Nuggets forward Paul Millsap's surgery will be to repair a torn ligament in his left wrist and could sideline him for three months, league sources tell ESPN.
— Adrian Wojnarowski (@wojespn) November 21, 2017
Millsap was extremely durable during his first 11 seasons in the league, missing 10 games just once (2017). This injury marks the first time in Millsap’s career where he will miss significant time while roaming the sideline in designer suits.
Millsap signed a three-year, $90 million deal this past summer and his acquisition was viewed as the next step in bringing the team back into the realm of the playoffs.
After an early season adjustment period, Denver (10-7) has rattled off seven victories in their last 10 games. For the team, Millsap’s injury news couldn’t have come at a worst time. The veteran was averaging 15.3 points and 6.2 rebounds through 16 contests. The points are his lowest since 2013 and the rebounding output is his lowest since 2010, but Millsap’s presence has helped stabilize the young Nuggets on the offensive and defensive ends of the floor.
The Nuggets do have a plethora of power forwards on the depth chart. Veteran Kenneth Faried has started 366 contests for the franchise since being drafted in 2011. Faried’s future with the franchise has come into question in recent years as his playing time and role in the rotation has consistently diminished. The signing of Millsap likely solidified that fate, however, by not dealing Faried, the Nuggets were able to keep an insurance policy in the fold.
Third-year forward and former lottery pick Trey Lyles is another candidate for an increased workload. Lyles is currently averaging 6.8 minutes in 12 appearances but is shooting a career high from the field (52 percent) and three-point range (42 percent) in his limited court time. Another like candidate for more playing time is second-year big man Juan Hernangomez, who has currently appeared in just six contests.
Offensively, the Nuggets will be able to absorb his loss. Guards Gary Harris and Jamal Murray score the ball efficiently while swingman Will Barton provides pop off the bench. The team will also likely ride the back of their franchise player Nikola Jokic a bit more as well, with the big man averaging just 11.6 shot attempts per game—third on the team.
Perhaps the biggest area the Nuggets will have to adjust is on the defensive end.
According to ESPN’s real defensive plus-minus (DPM), Millsap ranks 31st overall in the league (1.62). He ranks seventh among power forwards with at least 10 games played this season. Last season, Millsap was fifth among power forward and 14th overall in DPM.
The veteran’s track of improving a team’s prowess on the defensive end is proven and it’s exactly the type of “silent” attribute the Nuggets needed on a loaded young team still learning how to play on that side of the ball.
|Paul Millsap – Real Defensive Plus-Minus|
|Season||DPM||League Overall Rank||Power Forward Rank|
The Nuggets will be tested immediately without Millsap in the fold. The team travels to Houston (November 22) and will play nine of their next 13 games are on the road. This includes a six-game road trip from December 4 to December 13.
The team is currently 7-2 at home and just 3-5 away from the Pepsi center.
They will, for sure, be tested without Millsap.