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Ranking The Free Agents — Small Forwards

Dennis Chambers lays out the potential small forwards who can hit the open market this July.

Dennis Chambers

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As the Basketball Insiders’ position-by-position breakdown of upcoming free agents winds down (power forwards, point guards, and shooting guards already complete) the focus shifts to the small forward.

In today’s league, high-level wing players on both ends of the ball are held at an absolute premium. This summer in particular, some high profile names and talent will be up for a pay raise.

Just as a refresher, here are the pay-scale options for the players looking to secure new contracts:

  • $25,250,000 for players with 0-6 years of experience
  • $30,300,000 for players with 7-9 years of experience
  • $35,350,000 for players with 10 or more years of experience

Outside of the maximum values, the mid-level exception for teams is set at $8,406,000 in year one.

With the potential earning benchmarks out of the way, let’s get into the free agent wings that have the opportunity to change their address and the landscape of the NBA this summer.

Max Guys

Kevin Durant — Golden State Warriors — $26,540,100

On the heels of his first ever NBA championship and a Finals MVP trophy to accompany it, Kevin Durant is choosing to opt out of the second year of this contract with Golden State.

While Durant will technically be a free agent, there isn’t much question about where he’ll be playing basketball next fall. But don’t expect the Finals MVP to sign on the dotted line at midnight of July 1.

Yes, the former league MVP will take some time to re-up on his deal with the Warriors and let other signings fall into place (Stephen Curry to be exact) but once the dust settles Durant will be safely locked into the Bay area.

Gordon Hayward — Utah Jazz — $16,073,140

Unlike Durant, Gordon Hayward’s impending free agency doesn’t come with so much clarity.

When the NBA announced their latest All-NBA teams and Hayward’s name didn’t crack the list, the small forward missed out on his qualification for a “super-max” five-year, $207 million deal he could’ve potentially signed with Utah. Instead, his max deal with the Jazz can only reach $177.5 million over the same time frame.

Should Hayward leave Utah, and there is significant talk that he might, he can ink a four-year $131.6 million deal, making him a rich man beyond any means regardless of which city he plays basketball in.

What is giving pause to the notion that Hayward will remain with the same club that drafted him in 2010 is mainly the allure of playing with the Boston Celtics and their coach Brad Stevens, who coached Hayward in college at Butler. The Celtics aren’t shy in their pursuit of Hayward either, and will gladly offer every penny the Collective Bargaining Agreement says they can.

A new wrinkle in the courtship of Hayward for both Utah and Boston, however, is the addition of the Miami HEAT to the conversation. Reports surfaced that Hayward will meet with the HEAT as a part of his free agency carousel. HEAT president Pat Riley has a reputation for persuading big time free agents to join his vision, and Hayward reportedly is fond of the idea of playing alongside HEAT point guard Goran Dragic.

Basketball Insiders’ Steve Kyler reported that Hayward will meet with Miami first, followed by Boston and Utah before making his decision.

The free agency of Hayward will be one of the most watched his summer, and could be the first big piece to start a domino effect of transactions. Should a team like Boston or Miami miss out of the 27-year-old small forward, they may turn their attention to other high-profile players.

Otto Porter* — Washington Wizards — $5,838,981

In the final year of his rookie contract, Otto Porter began to blossom into the player the Washington Wizards hoped they had drafted back in 2013. Because of that, Porter is walking into a big time pay day this summer.

At just 24 years old, Porter averaged 13.4 points and 6.4 rebounds per game while shooting 43 percent from three-point range on a playoff team. Porter’s versatility offensively and defensively played a key role in the Wizards’ season that saw them reach Game 7 of the Eastern Conference semifinals.

While Porter holds a qualifying offer from Washington, he technically remains a restricted free agent, meaning that another team can sign him to an offer sheet but the Wizards have the opportunity to match any money he is offered.

However, Porter’s negotiations shouldn’t likely even come to that scenario. Washington is preparing to walk into this situation fully equipped to keep Porter a part of their core for years to come.

Near Max Guys

Danilo Gallinari — Denver Nuggets — $15,050,000

What separates Danilo Gallinari from the top-tier of small forwards this summer isn’t a gap in skill, but rather a gap in availability.

The 6-foot-10 sweet-shooting Italian is a three-point marksman, but at no point has he ever completed a full 82-game season. In fact, he’s only played in more than 71 games on two occasions, the last coming in the 2012-13 season.

Over the last two years, Gallinari has grown into much more of a complete scorer in Denver on his way to averaging 18.8 points per game and shooting nearly 38 percent from deep. The problem is, he hasn’t been on the court enough to string together long bouts of consistency. This past season, Gallinari played in just 63 games. The year before? Fifty-three games.

What will give teams pause when it comes to offering Gallinari big money is the fact that they are expecting their heavy investment to miss crucial playing time.

Regardless of what money does get offered, it sounds like Gallinari is married to the idea of a return to Denver. He told a foreign news outlet that the Nuggets “aren’t my first choice.”

Gallinari will likely be one of those players who has to sit back and wait for some of the bigger dominoes to fall in order to see where he fits during this free agency period.

Andre Roberson* — Oklahoma City Thunder — $2,183,072

Even more than anybody on this list, Andre Roberson is going to cash out this summer.

Over the course of his rookie deal, Roberson has gone from relative unknown role player to one of the league’s premier wing defenders. And in a league where wing scoring is held at a premium, defending it is just as important.

The knock on Roberson, however, is the fact that at this moment, he couldn’t hit water falling out of a boat with his jump shot. Over the course of his four-year career, Roberson has hit just 100 three-pointers, total.

While his offensive game is extremely limited at this point, the market will likely suggest that some team with money to spend will ink Roberson to a deal based solely on his defensive capabilities and hope they can help grow his game on the other end of the court.

Above Mid Level Guys

Rudy Gay — Sacramento Kings — $13,333,333

Andre Iguodala — Golden State Warriors — $11,131,368

Bojan Bogdanovic* — Washington Wizards — $3,730,653

Joe Ingles* — Utah Jazz — $2,150,000

Jeff Green — Orlando Magic — $15,000,000

Mid-Level or Below Guys

CJ Miles — Indiana Pacers — $4,583,450

Glenn Robinson III — Indiana Pacers — $1,050,500

KJ McDaniels — Brooklyn Nets — $3,333,333

Reggie Bullock* — Detroit Pistons — $2,255,644

Derrick Jones** — Phoenix Suns — $543,471

Georges Niang** — Indiana Pacers — $650,000

Adreian Payne — Minnesota Timberwolves — $2,022,240

Tony Snell* — Milwaukee Bucks — $2,368,327

Luc Mbah a Moute — Los Angeles Clippers — $2,203,000

Michael Beasley — Milwaukee Bucks — $1,403,611

Luke Babbitt — Miami HEAT — $1,227,286

Justin Holiday — New York Knicks — $1,015,696

Jonas Jerebko — Boston Celtics — $5,000,000

Matt Barnes — Golden State Warriors — $242,224

Brandon Rush — Minnesota Timberwolves — $3,500,000

Jarrod Uthoff** — Dallas Mavericks — $47,953

*Qualifying Offer (If made, player becomes restricted free agent)

**Non-Guaranteed Contract (If player is waived by current team before contract becomes fully guaranteed, becomes unrestricted free agent)

This summer features some very effective, and pricey, wing players on the open market. But as the Golden State Warriors showed the NBA last season, you can never have enough talent on the wing.

Expect teams to lock down the bigger money players as quickly as they can and then the rest of the role players will fall into place. But with the combination of cheap veterans and young players with promise looking to latch on to a club, almost every team in the market for an effective wing should get a crack at someone that fills their needs.

Dennis Chambers is an NBA writer in his first season with Basketball Insiders. Based out of Philadelphia he has previously covered NCAA basketball and high school recruiting.

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NBA Daily: Jaren Jackson Jr. Adapting As He Goes

Memphis Grizzlies rookie Jaren Jackson Jr. has put on a show this summer. Spencer Davies dives into what’s been behind the success and how it bodes well for the future.

Spencer Davies

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Meeting Jaren Jackson Jr. for the first time, you won’t find an ounce of doubt in him.

Instead, you’ll be introduced to a high-spirited man oozing with charisma and an obvious love for the game of basketball, which likely factored into why the Memphis Grizzlies were so keen on taking him with the fourth overall pick in the NBA Draft.

Then there’s the big reason—quite literally—that came into play. Standing at 6-foot-11 with over a 7-foot-5 wingspan and hands that are the size of most people’s heads, Jackson Jr. is the term “matchup problem” personified.

We’re seeing the evidence in front of our very eyes already. In eight summer league games between Utah and Las Vegas, the versatile Jackson Jr. is averaging 12.9 points and seven rebounds. He is shooting 41.3 percent from the field and has knocked down half of his attempts (14-for-28) from beyond the arc.

It didn’t take long for the JJJ bandwagon to get established. In his first taste of NBA action against the Atlanta Hawks in Salt Lake City, he scored 29 points and cashed in on eight triples to kick off July. He hasn’t tried more than four perimeter shots since then, but he’s been plenty busy doing other things just as important on the floor.

“I think I’m surprised by how well I’ve been doing,” a smiling, candid Jackson Jr. said. “You’re surprised at yourself sometimes, especially like the first game.”

You can look at these aforementioned offensive stats and take them with a grain of salt since the level of competition is a step below what the real professional ranks bring to the table. However, seeing the anticipation, reaction time, and natural awareness on the defensive end makes the lengthy forward a true gem of a prospect.

In all but one game thus far, Jackson Jr. has recorded multiple rejections every time he’s stepped foot on the court, including two occasions where he swatted four shots. It’s added up to an average of 3.3 blocks per contest to this point.

So since the outside potential, the athleticism and the rim protection are all there, what else is there to hone in on?

“I think just my aggressiveness,” Jackson Jr. said. “Making sure I play tougher, go harder longer. And my shooting…kind of—make sure I get my form right and all that stuff.”

Adjusting to a new pace at the next level can take some time. It depends on how fast of a learner a player is and how quickly that person can apply that knowledge in a game setting. Jackson Jr. thinks he’s started to pick it up as he’s gone along.

“It’s getting a lot better,” he said. “It’s a lot more spacing so it’s pretty cool. But they’re definitely stronger and faster players, so you have to adapt to that.”

Thanks to contributions from Jackson Jr.—in addition to Jevon Carter and Kobi Simmons—the Grizzlies have had loads of success in Sin City. They are one of the final four teams standing as summer league play wraps up in a day.

Whether the result goes in the favor of Memphis or not, the last couple of weeks in Las Vegas have impacted Jackson Jr. in a positive manner in more ways than one as a student of the game—and he’ll be better off because of it.

“It’s been cool,” Jackson Jr. said. “It’s a lot of stuff going on. It seems like more of an event when you’re here as far as watching it on TV over the years. You get like a new historic player sitting on the sideline every day talking to people. You meet people in your hotel. Bunch of stuff like that. It’s been a good experience just having everybody here before we all leave and go to our own cities.

“I kinda went into it [with a] clear head. I didn’t really didn’t want to put too much into it ‘cause I’m learning everything new. Everything is new. Being a rookie, everything’s gonna be a new thing.”

As the youngest player in his draft class at 18 years old, Jackson Jr. has a ways to go to familiarize himself with the NBA.

But by the looks of things, the NBA had better prepare to familiarize itself with him as well.

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NBA Daily: Antonio Blakeney Hoping For A Big 2nd Year

After an impressive rookie stint, Antonio Blakeney gives us a tale of hope and potential.

David Yapkowitz

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The Chicago Bulls are in the midst of a rebuilding project. This summer, they held on to one of their key young players in Zach LaVine and drafted two guys in Wendell Carter Jr. and Chandler Hutchinson whom they’re hoping can be part of that rebuild.

But there might be one player on the roster already who could play a big role in the team’s future. A year ago, Antonio Blakeney used a big summer league performance in Las Vegas to earn a two-way contract with the Bulls.

This time around, with his NBA future a little more secure, he’s working on becoming more familiar with the team.

“Just learning and getting better,” Blakeney told Basketball Insiders his goals are. “Obviously being able to play through my mistakes, go out here and learn and get familiar with the coaching staff. Keep building our relationship with the coaches and stuff.”

Blakeney went undrafted last summer after declaring for the draft following two years at LSU. He lit up Las Vegas to the tune of 16.8 points in four games before the Bulls signed him. Under the two-way contract, he split time between Chicago and the Windy City Bulls, their G-League affiliate.

His summer success carried over to the G-League where he exploded on the scene averaging 32 points per game and being named the G-League Rookie of the Year. Being shuffled back and forth between leagues was a bit of an adjustment for Blakeney, but it was an experience he ended up learning a lot from.

“It was an up and down roller coaster from the NBA to the G-League and stuff like that. Starting in summer league, going to the big team, going to camp, preseason games and going to the G-League. It was an up and down experience,” Blakeney said.

“Overall, it was great. I think I learned a lot in the G-League. A lot of rookies play in the G-League now. Going down there it’s kind of tough. For some guys, the travel is different. It’s just staying motivated and working hard.”

It’s no secret that Blakeney can put up points in a hurry, as he was the Tigers third-leading scorer his freshman year behind Ben Simmons and Keith Hornsby with 12.6 points per game. His sophomore year, he led the Tigers in scoring with 17.2 points.

He knows though that he’ll have to be able to do other things if he wants to stick in the NBA. While he’s been lighting up the stat sheet scoring wise this summer in Vegas, he’s been working on other aspects of his game. He’s been charged by the Bulls summer league coaching staff with initiating the offense.

“Obviously I got to be a combo. I got to be able to move over to the one and make plays and stuff like that. So just working on making that simple play,” Blakeney said. “Obviously, I’m a natural scorer so I’m not really a pass-first guy, but I’m more when the simple play presents itself, to make it.”

While his future may be more secure, the majority of the guys in summer league don’t have that luxury. The two-way contract Blakeney signed last summer was for two years and based on his play this summer, it would be shocking to see the Bulls let him go.

For his summer teammates who don’t have that security, he understands what they’re going through. Having been in that situation a year ago, he’s got plenty of advice for them.

“Just go work hard, learn from the veteran guys, but compete,” Blakeney said. “Go at the guys that’s supposed to be the best. If you think you’re that good, go at guys. Just compete, that’s the main thing I did, I just competed.”

And although nothing is ever guaranteed in the NBA, especially regular rotation minutes, Blakeney is confident that he can be a regular contributor. The league is filled with guys who come off the bench and provide instant offense. He knows if, given the opportunity, he can do that too.

“I think next season my goal is to try to crack the rotation and just be a guy who brings energy off the bench,” Blakeney said. “I can get buckets fast, get it going, bring energy and get buckets off the bench, just do my thing. That’s something that in my young career I’m trying to get in to.”

He’s certainly off to a good start.

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Mitchell Robinson May Prove Competence of Scott Perry

Scott Perry is still fairly new on the job, but it’s impossible to argue with the early returns.

Moke Hamilton

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With some eye-popping performances, the neophyte simultaneously caught the attention of the New York Knicks and the observing eyes in Las Vegas.

Sure, merely a few weeks ago, he was largely considered an unknown quantity, but after an impressive stint at the Vegas Summer League, we all know his name.

It’s Mitchell Robinson.

Like his fellow rookie Kevin Knox, in short order, Robinson has caused quite a bit of a stir.

For Scotty Perry, though, he’s more than just another promising prospect; he’s the latest entry on the list of things that the newly hired general manager has gotten right. 

As players like Brook Lopez and Isaiah Thomas accept contracts worth barely enough to buy LeBron James lunch, the predictions of a “nuclear winter” for NBA free agents seem to have mostly come to fruition.

For the past two summers, general managers and team executives have spent their money as if it were on fire, and as a result, we’ve seen many of the league’s teams watch their flexibility go up in smoke.

Since hiring Perry, the Knicks have done the opposite.

Time and time again, the message tossed around internally at Penn Plaza has mirrored what we’ve been told publicly—the Knicks believe they will have a serious shot at signing a marquee free agent in 2019 and have put their emphasis on shedding salary to the best of their abilities.

It took all of one summer league game for us to learn that the club had signed Robinson to a team-friendly four-year contract. According to the New York Post, the deal is only guaranteed for three years and $4.8 million. If Robinson comes anywhere near the productivity he showed in those few performances, though, the value and return on investment will be remarkably high.

If you’re keeping count, let the record fairly reflect that among Perry’s major moves for the Knicks have been trading Carmelo Anthony, hiring David Fizdale, drafting Kevin Knox and Robinson, and strategically managing his cap situation so that he could offer Robinson a contract that was so advantageous to the Knicks that some believe Robinson fired his agent as a result.

With the Knicks, Robinson will have to earn playing time and beat out Enes Kanter and Luke Kornet for minutes, but Kanter isn’t considered to be a core member for the club’s future and Kornet hasn’t exactly appeared to be the next coming of Dwight Howard, so for the rebuilding Knicks, the task doesn’t appear that difficult.

What this all means in the end is that Knox and Robinson will combine to earn just $5.4 million next season. Yet together, they’ll carry the hopes of a billion dollar franchise on their backs.

Still, you don’t need to be able to count to a billion to understand that the ROI on Robinson could be exceptional. And it’s those crafty acquisitions that could help the Knicks maintain the space they’ll need to bring a superstar to Gotham City.

Of course, time will tell, but on the continuum of unknown quantity to certain conclusion, the best you can hope for is a positive sign. Robinson, like Knox, has given us over a dozen.

Truth be told, Perry has, too. And when you realize that the selection that the club used to grab Robinson was a critical piece of the trade that sent Carmelo Anthony to Oklahoma City—a trade executed by Perry—that statement becomes all the more credible.

* * * * * *

It’s been quite some time since the Knicks had two rookies who opened eyes the way Knox and Robinson have. What’s been most pleasing about the two, however, have been the ways in which they complement one another on the basketball court.

In Vegas, Knox has impressed mostly with what he’s done on the ball, while Robinson has for what he’s accomplished off of it. The instincts and timing that Robinson has in conjunction with his athleticism are quite reminiscent of Marcus Camby.

In hindsight, we can fairly proclaim an in-prime Camby to have been ahead of his time. Camby was the prototype to which players like Tyson Chandler and DeAndre Jordan aspired.

As a big man, Camby was one of the few players in the NBA who could capably guard all five positions on the basketball court and wasn’t at the mercy of an opposing point guard when switched out on a pick-and-roll. Nobody closed space from the weakside better than Camby, and few centers in the league were able to run out and contest jumpers like him. His nimbleness and second jump ability were remarkable for a man his size, and it didn’t take long for him to find his niche playing alongside more offensively talented players such as Allan Houston, Latrell Sprewell and Larry Johnson.

We don’t know if Robinson himself will succeed in the NBA, but we do know that his archetype is the kind that does. So much of what gets young players drafted and paid in the NBA is about physics. If a guy can do one or two things better than other players his size, the job of his coaches and front office is to find ways to maximize those advantages and fit them within a team concept to exploit inferior players at his position.

It truly isn’t rocket science. When you think back even over the course of recent history, ask yourself how long it took for the world to recognize and extol the virtues of the likes of LeBron James, Dwight Howard, Anthony Davis and even Donovan Mitchell and Ben Simmons. While each representing an extreme case, the truly impactful players are able to utilize their gifts to dominate and can usually do so from day one. Certainly, they can’t do it everyday, but the potential is there and it’s evident from jump.

The most you’re gonna get from summer league is a young stud showing you that he has some exploitable advantage over his competitors. For Knox, it’s his combination of ranginess and a better than advertised nose for the ball. For Robinson, it’s the incredible agility that an extended absence from the game doesn’t seem to have blunted.

The concept of exploitable advantage is where the Golden State Warriors have run circles around the rest of the league. And although an extreme example, they are the specimen of what a team full of those types look like.

So no, while you can’t conclude that Robinson is going to end up being anything near the player that Marcus Camby was, what you can conclude is that he has the physical gifts to be effective. Whether he ends up fulfilling that potential will ultimately boil down to what Robinson has inside of him and what David Fizdale is able to do to bring it out.

Rest assured, though, to this point, Scott Perry has certainly done his job. That much is a fact.

* * * * * *

Of all words in the English language, “irony” and its adjective (“ironic”) are among those that are most often misused—irony is often confused with coincidence.

In its simplest term, irony is meant to describe a situation where there’s an occurrence that’s the opposite of what should have been expected.

In other words, back in 2015, just a few weeks after Carmelo Anthony dropped a career-high 62 points on the Charlotte Hornets at Madison Square Garden, a reporter asked him whether it was “ironic” that the Hornets also yielded 61 points to his buddy LeBron James in Miami.

That wasn’t ironic. That was just Charlotte.

On the other hand, irony was more along the lines of the Denver Nuggets seemingly becoming a better and more cohesive team after Anthony’s talents had been traded to New York. He was the team’s best player and has since proven to be a surefire Hall of Famer, yet they improved without him.

One could argue it to be ironic that Kyrie Irving welcomed a trade to the Boston Celtics after spending years battling them, or that fans of the Los Angeles Lakers have actually begun calling LeBron James the King of LA while Kobe Bryant still flies in a helicopter over Orange County.

Most appropriately, though, for a fan of the New York Knicks, irony is knowing that, despite Kristaps Porzingis being on the shelf and the Knicks not signing or trading for any big named player, there’s probably more reason to be optimistic about the club’s future than there has been in recent memory.

Yea. That’s ironic. The Knicks have always been looking for their savior—before Carmelo Anthony, it was Stephon Marbury. Infinite fanfare and declarations of grandeur. All for naught. In it all, who would have thought that the franchise’s savior could end up being Scott Perry?

Like Knox and Robinson, it’s still a bit early to certainly declare that Perry is who will lead the Knicks from the abyss.

But just like Knox and Robinson, to this point, it’d be quite difficult to argue with the early returns.

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