Basketball Insiders continues its ranking of the league’s top 10 players by position with a look at the power forward spot. In an ever-changing league, the power forward position has arguably undergone the greatest shift over the past few seasons. Our list has plenty of the newer guys, but may surprise you with some much-deserved respect for an elder statesman or two.
1. Anthony Davis – New Orleans Pelicans
After reportedly missing out on as much as $25 million of potential earnings that would have kicked in had he been named an All-Star starter, won the regular season MVP award or been selected to any of the three All-NBA teams, Davis will undoubtedly be back with a vengeance in 2016-17. We don’t predict this just because of his loss in earnings, but also because he remains the league’s best power forward and his team finished 22 games below the .500 mark last season after qualifying for the postseason the year prior. Davis’ base numbers (24.3 PPG, 10.3 RPG and two BPG in 2015-16) were still impressive for today’s big men, especially when you take into account that he looked uncomfortable at times throughout the year as he adjusted to his new role in Alvin Gentry’s system. The roster still remains a work in progress, but look for Davis to return to form in year two under Coach Gentry.
2. Draymond Green – Golden State Warriors
Some people may have grown a bit weary of Green’s “act” and play for that matter, but a majority of those folks tend to be fans of opposing teams. While history has shown us some of his antics can result in a negative outcome for his team, Green’s ability to play both sides of the court while generally being the team’s chemistry lifeblood makes him a huge part of Golden State’s success. In fact, Green and his new teammate Kevin Durant might just represent one of the league’s more versatile forward combos in quite some time. Beyond the obvious production (14 PPG, 9.5 RPG, 7.4 APG, 1.5 SPG, 1.4 BPG in 2015-16), Green is an absolute defensive menace (99.4 Defensive Rating last year) who can effectively switch and legitimately defend guards, forwards and bigs. That isn’t likely to change anytime soon, regardless of how much talent this team continues to stockpile.
3. Blake Griffin – Los Angeles Clippers
This footage of a recently retired Kevin Garnett working with the Los Angeles Clippers’ frontcourt is exactly what fans of Griffin and the Clippers want to see. First of all, it’s great to see Griffin healthy and back out on the court. But this is also great because Garnett was a master of playing with exactly the type of grit and guile in the post (on both sides of the court) that the Clippers could use more of moving forward. Griffin is already one of the game’s best power forwards, but the 27-year-old could be in store for his strongest season yet. He wants to have a strong bounce-back campaign, and he’s actually in a potential contract year since he can become an unrestricted free agent next summer by exercising his early-termination option. Griffin is reportedly working on extending his range even farther out this season. He averaged 21.4 points last season (and 24.1 points in 2013-14), but he could be an even greater offensive weapon for this group if he’s able to consistently knock down threes while continuing to get more comfortable operating in and around the post.
4. Paul Millsap – Atlanta Hawks
It may surprise some to see Millsap this high on the list, but opposing big men who have to face off against him likely wouldn’t be shocked. The former 47th overall pick has absolutely worked himself into this discussion by steadily improving throughout his 10-year career. Last year, Millsap had the fourth-highest Defensive Rating among all players, made 70+ three-pointers for the third straight year, set career-highs in rebounds (nine per game), assists (3.3 per game), blocks (1.7 per game) and tied his previous high with 1.8 steals per game. His production may be decrease a bit to start this year depending on how long it takes him to recover from what was described as a “preventative knee procedure” he recently underwent, but Millsap could ultimately have another phenomenal season if the chemistry alongside new teammate Dwight Howard is as strong as has been reported.
5. LaMarcus Aldridge – San Antonio Spurs
Aldridge is coming off another strong offensive year (in which he averaged 18 points on 51.3 percent shooting from the field), but now he will likely be asked to pick up some of the defensive slack left by a retiring Tim Duncan. Neither Aldridge nor his new teammate Pau Gasol are considered great defenders at this stage (although last year Aldridge wasn’t bad statistically), but the Spurs have to hope the two of them can develop the type of chemistry that can lead to an eventual sum that is greater than its parts. Aldridge’s 30.6 minutes per game in 2015-16 was his lowest total since his rookie season (22.1 MPG in 2006-07), but head coach Gregg Popovich could be in a position where he needs to lean on Aldridge a bit more this year. His offensive numbers could improve, but San Antonio absolutely needs Aldridge at his best across the board in order for them to have a shot at contending with the likes of the Golden State Warriors next postseason.
6. Derrick Favors – Utah Jazz
If you don’t watch the Utah Jazz play regularly (and you should!), you may not appreciate Favors’ effectiveness. The underrated 25-year-old averaged 16.4 PPG and 8.1 RPG last year, is a bit of a throwback to the more traditional “power” players at the position and is a key part of one of the league’s better defensive frontcourts alongside center Rudy Gobert. Gobert may deservedly get a ton of credit for being the team’s primary rim protector, but Favors winds up doing a good deal of the dirty work in the paint, is generally great at utilizing his body and strength beneath the rim on both sides of the court and has continued to round out his offensive game over the years. Trey Lyles may be a bit of a fan favorite since his ability to stretch the floor is certainly appealing, but Favors doesn’t appear ready to have the second-year player usurp him in the lineup without a fight.
7. Kevin Love – Cleveland Cavaliers
Remember him? You know, the oft-mocked “third-wheel” who actually played better than you might think (16 PPG, 9.9 RPG, 36 percent from three-point range last year) if you listen to sports radio or accept the general consensus about him on social media. The truth of the matter is, it’s extremely difficult for players accustomed to being the focal point to make huge individual sacrifices for the good of the team at times, but Love has done exactly that. Relegated to catch-and-shoot duties early in his tenure with the Cavaliers, Love did whatever it took to help his team win a title in last year’s historic run. He knows the criticism and rampant trade speculation is likely here to stay, though it really does appear as though Love couldn’t care less. And that remains a good thing for Cleveland.
8. Serge Ibaka – Orlando Magic
The recent knock on Ibaka’s game is that his overall productivity appears to have trailed off over the last couple seasons. In reality, much of that can probably be attributed to the combination of his role shifting and decreasing a bit, along with the fact that Ibaka seemed to have fallen in love with the idea of being a big who can shoot from distance. In fact, he shot considerably more threes over the past two seasons than his previous five combined (389 compared to 123). Couple that with the fact that opposing teams are pulling him away from the basket with deep-shooting bigs on the other end and much of the decline makes sense. The Magic are counting on Ibaka to not only return to his dominant form in head coach Frank Vogel’s defensive schemes, but also play a pivotal role on the offensive end as well. Look for a “happy” Ibaka to have his most productive season in years for Orlando in 2016-17. It’s also worth noting that he’s in a contract year, so the timing of this move to Orlando may work out very well for him.
9. Dirk Nowitzki – Dallas Mavericks
After taking the “hometown discount” a few years back, Nowitzki got paid this summer with a one-year, $25 million deal that includes a team option at the same rate the following year. The salary is steep, but the 38-year-old former MVP is still able to score at a high level. Kobe Bryant and Bob Pettit may be the only players to score at least 40 points against every single NBA team, but Nowitzki joined Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, Michael Jordan and Karl Malone as the only players (at the time) to score that much in a single game at the age of 37.
10. Kristaps Porzingis – New York Knicks
It may seem a bit premature to some, but get used to seeing Porzingis on lists of this nature. He averaged 14.3 PPG, 7.3 RPG and 1.9 BPG in only 28.4 minutes per contest as a rookie and has reportedly added some bulk and lower body strength that should come in handy when he ventures into the post this season. With Robin Lopez in Chicago and Joakim Noah coming off a season in which he attempted just 4.6 shots per contest, the opportunities to score will be there for Porzingis in spades whether he chooses to attack from the post or from distance. With all due respect to the excitement over the prospect of Derrick Rose and the other additions playing with Carmelo Anthony, Porzingis remains the future in New York.
Sources: Gregg Popovich, Kawhi Leonard Held Meeting on Tuesday
San Antonio Spurs star Kawhi Leonard met with coach Gregg Popovich on Tuesday in San Diego, league sources told Yahoo Sports.
The meeting between the two faces of the Spurs’ franchise was done professionally and confidentially, league sources said.
Source: Shams Charania of Yahoo Sports
NBA Daily: Lots Of NBA Draft Chatter
With the 2018 NBA Draft less than 50 hours away, Basketball Insiders’ publisher Steve Kyler digs into the last from around the NBA.
Lots Of NBA Draft Chatter
With the 2018 NBA Draft on Thursday, things in NBA circles are getting interesting, specifically on the trade front.
The final 2018 Consensus Mock Draft will drop tomorrow, just after the media availabilities in New York, from there we’ll be tracking the minute to minute news, trades and rumors in the 2018 NBA Draft Diary.
So, with that in mind, let’s dig into what we know some 50 hours until the draft gets underway.
Kawhi Watch In Full Swing
With the news last week that San Antonio Spurs forward Kawhi Leonard may no longer want to be a Spur breaking, there is still a sense in NBA circles that the Spurs are not going to listen to trade offers until the hear from Kawhi directly.
If you know anything about the Spurs organization, you know that we won’t hear the details of this situation in a minute by minute way like we do from some organizations, especially considering the Spurs have never had to deal with a scenario quite like this.
The interesting part of this story is how split the “sourcing” is on what’s real. There have been reports from several different reporters suggesting that the situation isn’t as dire as initially reported and that the Spurs and Leonard have had dialogue, but not the face-to-face meeting the Spurs covet.
It’s unclear why there hasn’t been a meeting, and that is what has some in NBA circles believing the Spurs will open up the phones on Wednesday and see what they can extract for Leonard if only to do their due diligence.
One league source commented that it might be tough for the Spurs to get value out of Leonard mainly because of his injury situation and the idea that he’d only re-sign with the Lakers. The same source doubted that Leonard’s camp would fence themselves inmto just the Lakers because that would make getting him traded extremely difficult, especially if the Lakers wouldn’t offer value to San Antonio.
The sense today is the Spurs are standing their ground. The thing to know is that this situation still seems very fluid, and that face-to-face conversation (or lack of one) could swing this thing in either direction. It is clear several teams would have interest if the Spurs decide to listen to offers, even if it just a rental for the upcoming season.
Trades At The Top Still Viable
It a typical NBA draft there is chatter about top tier picks being traded, but usually, it dies off the week for the draft as teams look in on who they ultimately want to draft.
This year, and unlike previous years there is a sense that several of the picks at the top of the board could be had, especially if it returns draft picks later in the draft and solid veterans.
The Sacramento Kings seem to be leaning towards keeping their pick at number two, and it’s looking more and more likely that Marvin Bagley III is their guy. The Kings took a very long look at Michael Porter Jr, and as of this weekend there was a sense they were OK with where Porter Jr is at medically, but he may lose out to the less risky Bagley. League sources continue to doubt the Kings grab Euro sensation Luke Dončić, so we’ll see if that holds true as we get to draft day.
The Atlanta Hawks have had the third overall pick on the market from almost the moment they landed it. The Hawks seem ready to use the pick but are said to still be exploring their options. The prevailing thought this week is it’s down to Bagley, Jaren Jackson Jr. and Trae Young for the Hawks, with more and more league sources believing the Hawks will draft Young at three. While the notion of grabbing Young at three may seem high, the Hawks have had eyes on Young from the start of the process, and not much seems to have changed. The Hawks have made it clear they would take on contract money in exchange for additional draft assets, so it seems likely the Hawks will be active, even if it’s not moving the third pick.
Things start to get interesting with Memphis at number four. There have been numerous reports that the Grizzlies have dangled the fourth pick in an attempt to shed the contract of Chandler Parsons. Sources close to the situation say the Grizzlies have had some offers, and most of them involve the Grizz picking up expiring contracts and additional draft assets lower in the draft. It’s unclear if the Grizzlies will pull the trigger, but they seem to have deals if they want one.
The prevailing thought in NBA circles is the Grizzlies are the first real landing spot for Dončić. There is also talk of Wendell Carter Jr., and Mo Bamba landing at four.
The Dallas Mavericks at five seem open to taking on contract dollars and could be the landing spot for the fourth pick and Chandler Parsons, but league sources say the Mavericks would not give up the fifth pick unless it returned an All-Star or would-be All-Star.
There are a few other situations to watch as several teams have expressed interest in moving up. The Clippers hold two pretty solid selections and 12 and 13 and seem willing to combine them to move into the top 5. The Denver Nuggets have also expressed some interest in moving to the top five.
The Lakers and Celtics have expressed similar interest at points in the process, but both seem reluctant at this point to part with future assets to pay the price to jump to the top of the draft.
Porter Still A Possibility
The Michael Porter Jr. situation is murky. After two visits from NBA teams, the word on Porter is mixed. NBA teams have seen his MRIs and his medical, and select teams were allowed to bring their doctors and trainers to his most recent “workout.”
The worst case from one team that’s not considering him is that he may require an additional surgery down the line. This same team said their doctors didn’t think anything going on with Porter would jeopardize his career, but they felt like he’d have to be on a program and has a ways to go before they’d deem him a 100 percent.
The upside case, from a team with Porter squarely on their board, is that there wasn’t anything going on they didn’t expect and that their staff felt fairly positive they could not only manage his situation, but they felt they could get him right fairly quickly.
Amusingly, the narrative around Porter is that he could be the next Kevin Durant-type scorer in the NBA (Porter clearly isn’t as long and lanky as Durant) – but he does possess the ability to get his offense against almost anyone.
As one executive whose team wasn’t considering Porter joked, you could get Durant or you could get Greg Oden, hinting at the injury-riddled career of the former top pick back in 2007.
Where Does Luka Go?
There isn’t a more polarizing NBA Draft prospect than Real Madrid’s Luke Dončić. You would be hard-pressed to find an NBA executive who didn’t think Dončić could be special in the NBA. But you might also be hard-pressed to find one willing to bet their job on it.
Throughout this process, more than a couple of executives have expressed they are hopeful Dončić goes high, mainly because it would give them cover in future drafts to do the same thing, which is draft what appears to be the most NBA ready player in the class, despite his flaws.
The problem is if Dončić isn’t special or struggles like some have concerns he might, not only would a team leave a potential franchise cornerstone on the board to in passing on uber-talented collegiate prospects, it might cost the lead executive their jobs.
While that seems somewhat short-sighted, think about the executives drafting in the top six. How many are not under pressure to turn their franchises around? And would a huge draft miss seal their fate?
Atlanta’s Travis Schlenk at three seems pretty secure. Dallas’ Donnie Nelson at five seems pretty secure. Orlando’s Jeff Weltman and John Hammond at six seem fairly secure, but it gets dicey elsewhere in the top 10.
As we’ve seen in previous drafts, NBA executives can and often do outthink themselves, which why every draft has quality impact guys falling later in the process.
There is little doubt Dončić is going in the top 10; it would be pretty surprising if he got past Dallas at five.
Sexton Over Young?
The Orlando Magic seems to be dialing in on what’s there for them at six, assuming they don’t trade up, which they have explored with both Atlanta and Memphis. The prevailing thought among fans is that if Trae Young is there at six, the Magic will pounce.
Early on in the process, though, the Magic seemed to be seriously interested in Collin Sexton, and word is that be might the Magic’s guy at six. The Magic ultimately will catch what falls to them, and if Dončić, Bagley or Jackson are there, things get interesting. However, if the draft goes as scripted, Orlando seems more likely to go, Sexton, Bamba, Carter or Knox than Young – at least at this point.
The draft is a fluid domino effect process, so at six the Magic have to cover a lot of bases, and it seems they have with their individual workouts.
The Magic desperately covet an impact player, so don’t be surprised if the Magic pull the trigger on a move-up deal, especially as we get closer and closer to the moment of truth.
Bamba Could Slide
You won’t find many NBA executives who don’t find Texas big man Mo Bamba intriguing. The problem for Bamba if there are some many super talented bigs in the 2018 NBA draft he is caught in a numbers game.
League sources said recently that Bamba is in the mix at two to the Kings, four to Grizzlies, five to Mavericks, six to the Magic and seven to the Bulls. The problem is he doesn’t seem to be the first or second option to any of those teams at this point.
According to league sources there continues to be questions about how his offensive game fits into the modern NBA, and with more versatile guys sitting at the top of the draft, Bamba is looking more like the consolation prize later in the draft. You will be hard-pressed to find anyone who doesn’t think Bamba will be a monster defensively in the NBA, but the question remains which team is drafting defense at the top of the board?
If there is a player outside of the top five that could tumble a little, it might be Bamba, especially if the Mavericks pass at five.
Over the next few days, we’ll be posting all of the draft-related news, notes, rumors and trades in the 2018 NBA Draft Day Diary, so if you want a one-stop shop for all things NBA Draft, bookmark it.
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NBA Daily: Kaiser Gates Determined To Silence His Doubters
He may not be listed on some draft boards or seen as an impact player by certain individuals, but Kaiser Gates knows what he’s made of.
If you’re looking to further your career at the next level but coming out of college as a prospect on the fringe, you’d better be willing to work twice as hard to draw attention from the basketball world.
Attending the Preparation Pro Day in Miami with team representatives and scouts watching, Kaiser Gates wanted to show everybody who was there that the chip on his shoulder would drive him to silence his doubters.
“I feel like I have a lot to prove,” Gates said in Miami. “I feel like a lot of the guys in the draft this year, I’m just as good if not better than (them), so I gotta show that.”
After three years at Xavier University, the 22-year-old decided it was time to move on from the program and passed on his senior year to enter the NBA Draft. The news came as a surprise to many, considering he might’ve gotten the opportunity to earn an even more expanded role next season with the departure of Musketeer favorites Trevon Bluiett and J.P. Macura.
The numbers across the board weren’t exactly eye-catching. Primarily a wing, Gates knocked down 37.8 percent of his threes as a junior. He averaged 7.2 points and 4.6 rebounds in almost 24 minutes per game.
Looking at conference play in the Big East, those figures took a dip. Gates shot less than 30 percent from deep and really struggled to contribute offensively for Xavier against tougher opponents.
There was an incredible discrepancy in shot selection over his three-year collegiate career. Astoundingly enough, 300 of his 409 career attempts came outside of the arc. The other 109 tries were twos, which he converted at a 54.1 percent rate.
It’s hard to ignore statistical evidence when it comes to evaluating players, but misuse and fit could have been more prominent factors in this case. It’s something that happens quite a bit at school programs with prospects, and Gates believes that he could be added to that list of mishandled talent.
“I don’t think I’m inconsistent at all,” Gates said. “At Xavier, I know my stats showed that I was inconsistent. Playing at that school it was a great experience—great guys, great coaches.
“Just kinda like my situation and the way I was playing at that school didn’t really allow me to showcase my full talents, and with that being said, it’s kinda hard to stay consistent not doing something I’m used to doing.”
Furthering the point, it’s not easy to be judged off that information, which some use as the only indication of what you’ll bring to the pros. Gates plans on using that as motivation whenever he meets with different teams.
“I would come in and people would just assume like, ‘Oh he could shoot a little bit, play defense, a little athletic.’ But I know on the flip side, I know what I can really do and like, my full potential.
“So when I know that and see what teams already think, already have in their head, just now it’s up to me to prove to them what I can do and show them what I can do.”
So what does that exactly entail?
“My first few years or so, I’ll probably be more of a three-and-D guy—stretch the floor, play defense make hustle plays, rebound the ball, things like that,” Gates said. “But as I’mma grow, (I’ll) look to expand on my game. Maybe work out the pick-and-roll a little bit and expand from there.”
Thus far, the 6-foot-8, 228-pounder has reportedly worked out for multiple organizations, including the Cleveland Cavaliers and Chicago Bulls. He is enjoying the draft process and his growth as a player since it started.
He may not be listed on some draft boards or seen as an impact player by certain individuals, but Gates knows what he’s made of. And if he can attract the right set of eyes, he’ll be in good shape.
“You could get 30 workouts and that one team could fall in love with you,” Gates said.
“That’s what [my agent] Aaron Turner’s always talking to me about. He’s always said, ‘It only takes one team.’”