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Utah Summer League: Day 1 Roundup

Ben Dowsett breaks down day one of the Utah Summer League.

Ben Dowsett

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The Utah Summer League began Monday, featuring the Utah Jazz, Boston Celtics, Philadelphia 76ers and San Antonio Spurs for the second consecutive year. The Celtics defeated Philly, 102-94, in the opener, before the Spurs downed the Jazz, 90-69, in the nightcap.

A few collective notes from on the ground in Salt Lake City:

The Simmons Show: The top overall draft pick for 2016 made his NBA debut Monday night, and early returns didn’t disappoint. Ben Simmons was the main event on the court in the opening half, running an offense clearly built around him for this tournament with the ease of an experienced pro. He got to the line at will, particularly in the open court, where he’ll dominate at the next level immediately. He was a force on the glass, with eight boards in just under 24 minutes.

Most readily available to the naked eye, though, was how talented Simmons already is as a passer. LeBron James comparisons are always premature for any player, but there truly might not be another historical template for Simmons’ creativity and vision with the ball at this size and this age. He threaded several elite next-level dimes in this one, and will enter the NBA as a borderline elite creator from the jump.

“Obviously it’s not as easy as it was in college because these are professional athletes,” Simmons said after the game. “I think there are going to be opportunities where I can find guys like I did today during the [NBA] season.”

If this was what he looks like on an adjustment day, it’ll be nice to be a Philly fan the next few seasons.

Simmons was taken out of action in the second half with cramps in both calves, however, and it’ll be worth keeping an eye on whether he plays again at altitude in Salt Lake City. He’s already been ruled out for Tuesday’s game.

More top-of-draft standouts: Third overall pick Jaylen Brown was matched up with Simmons for much of their mutual time on the floor, and while he struggled a bit with the Aussie’s length and quickness, he found his bearings as the game wore on and really took over when Simmons went down. Brown was relentless attacking the rim all night, drawing a ridiculous 17 free-throw attempts in 28 minutes and coming oh-so-close to a couple poster dunks. He may have been a bit over-aggressive to start in his first NBA action, but settled in as the game went on, even coming from behind for a nice block on Simmons (as it turned out, that was the final tweak of Simmons’ calves, and he left the game after). With his legs under him, look for Brown to be among the dominant players for the remainder of the summer.

Lyles strikes early: Trey Lyles is Utah’s resident “probably too good for this tournament” player, and he looked every bit the part to start Monday’s nightcap. Lyles started 4-for-5 from the field, including three triples (two as the ostensible ball-handler in a pick-and-roll, part of the allure of his skill set at 6-foot-10) for 11 of Utah’s first 13 points. He was leading mini-fast breaks off Spurs misses and generally dictating the action as Utah’s offensive centerpiece.

Whether due to fatigue, opponent adjustment or simple bad luck, though, the tank seemed to run out pretty quickly for Lyles. He missed his next nine shots, several of the forced variety, and seemed too winded to do much against a fellow NBA-level player defensively (more here in a moment). Lyles was a positive on the glass the entire night, gobbling up 12 boards in 29 minutes, and we can likely chalk this one up to legs outside that early flurry. He’s already established himself as a solid offensive player in the full-time NBA; this summer and the upcoming season will be about improving as an all-around guy on both ends.

Anderson strikes back: San Antonio’s Kyle Anderson won Summer League MVP last season, and it was a surprise to see him on the roster again this year – but no surprise at all to see him casually dominate just like he did a year ago. He got off to a bit of a rough start as Lyles poured in his early flurry and did a good enough job defensively (the two checked each other primarily while on the court), but found his rhythm and owned the court from the second quarter on. Anderson finished with 25 points on just 16 shots, and could have pretty easily had more.

At this point, it’d be a bit of a surprise to see a full summer slate of games for Anderson. He’s clearly past this level of basketball, and San Anotnio won’t want to risk injury for a player they’ll expect to play rotation minutes during the regular season.

A few other brief notes:

  • There are typically only a couple truly intriguing regular season NBA-level players in a given Summer League game, but this year’s 76ers squad is much more well-stocked than usual. They’ve got loads of talent even beyond Simmons – draftee Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot showed excellent versatility on both ends, and second-year big man Christian Wood was mobile and strong on the interior. Center Richaun Holmes was most impressive in the non-Simmons class, though, blocking five shots in under 24 minutes and altering several more at the rim.
  • The Celtics have a few potential standouts of their own on the roster, but none made a real impact Monday. R.J. Hunter and Terry Rozier both made their share of looks, but were unable to make a consistent impact on the game – especially for second-year guys playing summer games as former first-round picks. It’s even worse for third-year man James Young, formerly the 17th overall pick in 2014, who has struggled at consecutive Summer League competitions and would appear to be working with a rapidly closing NBA window.
  • 2015 Jazz draftee Olivier Hanlan, who played his 2015-16 season overseas with BC Zalgiris in Lithuania, looks to have benefited from time in a professional environment. He was decisive in the lane and created several good looks for teammates, plus was efficient with his own offense. If the Jazz didn’t have such a glut of point guards on the roster, he’d be a candidate for one of the final spots (it’s still not completely out of the question, pending further summer moves).
  • Guard Bryn Forbes, of Michigan State, was San Antonio’s unheralded standout on this opening day. He finished with 16 points and a remarkable eight rebounds in 26 minutes.
  • Utah’s Tibor Pleiss is gunning for more time with the Jazz and less time in the D-League after a quiet rookie season, and was a mixed bag to begin summer play. He was solid offensively, including a made three that gave Jazz fans a glimpse of the range the team had hoped to see from him, and simply out-reached his way to a few offensive boards. But defensive issues that kept him mostly out of Utah’s rotation last year remained, even against lesser competition – he was slow on several help rotations at the hoop, and lost battles on the defensive glass to stronger players. Already at 26 and on the NBA fringes, Pleiss will be hoping for as strong a summer as possible.

Stay tuned for more action tomorrow, and a happy Fourth of July to basketball fans everywhere!

Ben Dowsett is a Deputy Editor and in-depth basketball analyst based in Salt Lake City. He covers the Jazz on a credentialed basis for Basketball Insiders, and has previously appeared in the Sports Illustrated and TrueHoop Networks. He can be found on Twitter at @Ben_Dowsett.

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NBA

Rookie of The Year Watch – 12/13/17

Shane Rhodes checks back in on what’s become a relatively consistent Rookie of the Year race.

Shane Rhodes

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It has been a pretty ho-hum Rookie of The Year race so far in the 2017-18 season, with the top rookies staking their claims to this list at the beginning of the season and, for the most part, staying there. While there has been some movement up and down over the season and since our last installment, for the large part those who were on the list remain on the list.

Those players have earned their spots on this list with their play, however. This rookie class is one of the better, more exciting classes in recent memory. These players have just managed to remain at the top of the hill.

Let’s take a look at this week’s rankings.

stockup456. Lauri Markkanen, Chicago Bulls (Last Week: Unranked)

By virtue of John Collins missing time due to injury, Markkanen jumps back onto this list. However, that’s not to say Markkanen has played poorly this season. On the contrary, the former Arizona Wildcat and current Chicago Bull has played very well; it’s just hard to get recognized when you are on the worst team in the league.

Markkanen is averaging 14.7 points and 8.1 rebounds per game, third and second among rookies, respectively, while adding 1.3 assists per game as well. Athletic enough to get his own shot and big enough to be a mismatch when he’s on the floor, Markkanen is probably the best (healthy) offensively player the Bulls have. While his defensive game isn’t great, his defensive rating of 106.4 still ranks ninth amongst rookies.

Perhaps most importantly, Markkanen inspires hope for a brighter future in Bulls fans that have watched the team plummet from the 50-win team it was just three seasons ago.

stockup455. Dennis Smith, Jr., Dallas Mavericks (Last Week: 6)

His shooting percentages continue to underwhelm and the Dallas Mavericks still have one of the worst records in the NBA, but Dennis Smith Jr. has been one of the Mavs’ bright spots this season while averaging 14.4 points, four rebounds and four assists per game.

While he hasn’t been a great shooter overall, Smith Jr. has managed to be a big contributor on offense for the Mavs, with an offensive rating of 101.4, ninth among rookies, and an assist percentage of 25.2 percent, fourth among rookies. He is second on the team in scoring behind Harrison Barnes’ 18.4 points per game as well. He is still a work in progress, but Dallas has found a keeper in Smith Jr.

stockdown454. Kyle Kuzma, Los Angeles Lakers (Last Week: 3)

While the Lakers have stumbled over the past few weeks, Kuzma continues to play well when he is on the floor. He still paces the Los Angeles Lakers in scoring with an average of 16.1 points per game, third among rookies, while also dishing in 6.6 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game.

Kuzma is now second among rookies in double-doubles with eight on the season and three in his last five games. With a diverse offensive game, the power forward should continue to impress as the season goes along.

stockup453. Donovan Mitchell, Utah Jazz (Last Week: 4)

Donovan Mitchell has been electrifying in recent weeks. Second in scoring among rookies, Mitchell is averaging 17.3 points per game to go along with three rebounds and 3.2 assists. As his confidence has grown, so to have his field goal percentage and three-point percentages. Mitchell has led the Utah Jazz in scoring in 11 of their 27 games, and is second on the Jazz in scoring too, behind Rodney Hood’s 17.7 points per game.

Mitchell became the second rookie ever, first since Blake Griffin in 2011, to score more than 40 points in a single game after going for 41 against the New Orleans Pelicans. Coupling that with his high-flying athleticism, Mitchell has been one of the best rookies to watch this season.

stocknochanges452. Jayson Tatum, Boston Celtics (Last Week: 2)

Jayson Tatum is on pace to be only the second rookie ever to lead the league in three-point percentage. In over 38 years, the only other player to do it was Anthony Morrow, who shot 46.7 percent on 2.7 attempts per game during the 2008-09 regular season. Tatum is currently shooting 50 percent on over three attempts per game.

The 19-year-old forward has also made a near seamless transition from the isolation-dominated basketball that he played at Duke, and has flourished as the third, fourth and sometimes even fifth option on offense, having scored in double digits in 25 of 29 games and averaging 13.8 points per game on the season. His defense continues to be better than advertised as well.

Tatum has been Mr. Clutch among rookies as well. In the last five minutes of the fourth quarter or overtime, Tatum has 14 field goals on 21 attempts, seventh in the entire NBA and tops among rookies. In fact, Tatum is the only other rookie in the top 15 in clutch field goals.

While Mitchell has been on fire recently, Tatum has performed well enough to this point where he is still in control of the number two spot among rookies. But the race for this second spot is close and will continue to be close throughout the season. The race for the number one spot on the other hand? Not so much.

stocknochanges451. Ben Simmons, Philadelphia 76ers (Last Week: 1)

It would make for a very boring race if Ben Simmons remained at the top of this list for the entire season. And it looks increasingly likely that that is going to be the case.

Try as they might, the other rookies just can’t hang with Simmons; none of them have the right combination of production and physicality to keep pace with the point-forward. Tatum has been better than advertised while Mitchell and Kuzma have exceeded all predraft expectations, but none of them can produce what Simmons has. With averages of 17.5 points, 8.9 rebounds and 7.7 assists per game, Simmons would be just the second rookie in NBA history, the first since Oscar Robertson during the 1960-61 season, to finish the season with that stat line.

So, unless they combine their powers to become a being with superhuman basketball skills, the other rookies don’t stand a chance against Simmons in the race for Rookie of the Year.

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Mock Drafts

NBA Daily: Another 2018 NBA Mock Draft – 12/13/17

Basketball Insiders’ publisher Steve Kyler drops his latest 2018 first-round NBA Mock Draft.

Steve Kyler

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A little less than a month ago we dropped the first 2018 NBA Mock Draft, which was met with a lot of disdain. Which is often a good thing because it sparks the discussion in NBA circles.

Since that Mock dropped, we’ve seen a bit more play out of some of the top prospects and many of the assumptions made almost a month ago are starting to settle into place a little more clearly.

The prevailing thought from NBA scouts and executives is that the possible 2018 NBA Draft class has a lot more questions than answers. The common view is that outside of the top 3 or 4 players there could be a very wide range on who the next 10-12 players will be; so expect for the second tier to evolve a lot over the course of the college basketball season.

A couple of things have started to surface among NBA scouts and executives, there seem to be three camps emerging around the top overall player – Duke’s Marvin Bagley III and international phenom Luka Dončić, seem to be the leading names mentioned most, with Arizona’s DeAndre Ayton making a strong push into the discussion. We can safely call this a three-horse race at this point.

The prevailing belief is that none of the three is far and away better than the other as a professional prospect, making it more likely than not that the top player selected will have a lot more to do with which team ultimately lands the pick, more so than the player themselves.

This class also seems to be brimming with promising athletic point guards, which unlike last year’s draft, could provide a lot of options for teams still trying to find that impact point guard.

There also looks to be 27 players in the projected top 100 that are 6’10 or bigger, eight of which project in the top 30. To put that into perspective, there were 11 players 6’10 or bigger drafted in the first round of the 2017 NBA Draft, and 17 total in the 60 2017 NBA Draft selections.

As we get into the 2018 calendar year, we’ll start to do deeper dives into the tiers of players and their possible NBA strengths and weakness.

So, with all of that in mind, here is the second 2018 first-round NBA Mock Draft.

Here are some of the pick swaps and how they landed where they are currently projected:

The Philadelphia 76ers are owed the LA Lakers 2018 Draft pick, unprotected, as a result of the 2012 Steve Nash trade with the Suns. The Suns traded that pick to the 76ers as part of the Michael Carter-Williams three-team trade with the Milwaukee in 2015.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are owed the Brooklyn Nets first-round pick as a result of the Kyrie Irving trade this past summer.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are owed the Oklahoma City Thunder’s first-round pick as part of the Ricky Rubio trade this summer. The pick is lottery protected and based on the current standings would not convey.

The Phoenix Suns are owed the Miami HEAT’s first-round pick as part of the Goran Dragic trade in 2015, it is top-seven protected and would convey to Phoenix based on the current standings.

The Atlanta Hawks are owed the Minnesota Timberwolves first round pick as part of the Adreian Payne trade in 2015. The pick is lottery protected and based on the current standings would convey.

The Phoenix Suns are owed the Milwaukee Bucks first-round pick as part of the Eric Bledsoe trade. The pick only conveys if the Bucks pick lands between the 11th and 16th pick, which based on the standings today would not convey.

The Brooklyn Nets are owed the Toronto Raptors first round pick as part of the DeMarre Carroll salary dump trade this past summer. The pick is lottery protected and based on the current standings would convey.

The Atlanta Hawks are owed the Houston Rockets first round pick as part of a three-team deal with the LA Clippers and Denver Nuggets involving Danilo Gallinari and taking back Jamal Crawford and Diamond Stone. The pick is top-three protected and based on the current standings would convey.

Check out the Basketball Insiders’ Top 100 NBA Draft Prospects http://www.basketballinsiders.com/top-100-nba-draft-prospects/

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Insiders Podcast

PODCAST: How to Keep LeBron in Cleveland

Basketball Insiders

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The media seems to think LeBron is as good as gone this offseason, but Joel Brigham and Spencer Davies discuss why that may not be the case. That, and conversation about whether NCAA or Euroleague success is more valuable in evaluating draft talent.

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