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Which Previous NBA Title Contender is Poised to Falter?

Which contenders from the 2013-14 season are poised to falter in 2014-15?

Basketball Insiders

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Title contenders in the NBA come and go, except for the San Antonio Spurs of course. Their 15 year span of being a serious title contender is almost unprecedented. In today’s day and age, having a reign that long is quite difficult. And, in 2014-15 a few teams seem bound to fall from the ranks of contention. Basketball Insiders’ Jessica Camerato, Jabari Davis and Moke Hamilton debate over who those teams will be.

For years the Miami HEAT were NBA championship favorites. But after losing their cornerstone — not to mention the best player in the league — they have fallen from title contention.

The power shifted immediately this summer when LeBron James decided to return to the Cleveland Cavaliers. The outcome for the HEAT’s season quickly changed from “Who will they face in the NBA Finals?” to “How far will they be able to make it in the playoffs?”

Even though Chris Bosh and Dwyane Wade still remain in Miami, there is there is no replacing the void left by James. New additions Luol Deng, Josh McRoberts and Danny Granger will contribute, but there is not an individual who can pick up where James left off.

The upside for the HEAT is that they play in the East. The injury of Paul George will bump the Indiana Pacers down the standings, leaving room for the HEAT to finish the season as one of the top teams in the conference.

James departure does not mean the HEAT will struggle to win games. What has changed, however, is their dominance in the East – and the NBA.

– Jessica Camerato

This is always a difficult subject given the fact that positive vibes and elevated expectations generally run rampant at this time of the year, but the Rockets and HEAT are two teams in danger of faltering as we head into 2014-15. To be clear, each of these teams are still filled with talent and could very well end up being formidable squads, but each team is not without a certain level uncertainty or at the very least a few unanswered questions and concerns as the regular season approaches.

Obviously things are going to be significantly different when you lose a player like LeBron James, but the HEAT were not a team that sat around in a stupor as though left at the altar. They outbid an $85-88 million offer from the Rockets to retain the services of power forward Chris Bosh to the tune of five years and a reported $118 million. De facto GM Pat Riley was far from done, as he also re-signed longtime franchise favorite Dwyane Wade (two years, $31.1 million) and brought in free agents like Luol Deng, Josh McRoberts and Danny Granger. While the team did a solid job of bringing in additional talent, they are still in the unenviable position of having to find a way to adjust to life after LeBron James.

Clearly, they are in a better position for the transition than James’ former ‘ex’ (See: 2010-13 Cavaliers), but the jury is still out on whether Wade’s body will permit him to “flip the switch” and return to the form we all once knew and loved when he was the unquestionable leader of the franchise. Bosh will likely shoulder a great deal of the burden as well, but the concern over Wade’s ability is more than fair given the fact that he only played 53 games last year and still looked a step slower throughout the postseason. In fact, health will likely be a major factor in this team’s overall success when you consider that Deng has averaged missing double-digit games over the past three seasons and Granger still has yet to return to form following a run of injuries and set-backs dating back to 2012. If Coach Spoelstra can manage the roster and responsibilities in order to keep everyone relatively healthy, these HEAT (sans James) should still be a competitive team, even in an improved Eastern Conference. If hit by the injury bug early and often, then Miami could be in for a significant drop from the level of success and expectations fans enjoyed throughout that four-year run.

The Houston Rockets are a slightly different story altogether. Of course, like with all teams, relatively good health will be a key component in 2014-15, but the concerns with this team run a bit deeper in terms of the makeup and dynamics. While the team’s two stars may not feel as though Chandler Parsons’ exodus to join forces with the rival Dallas Mavericks isn’t that big of a deal, that isn’t something that should be disregarded altogether. GM Daryl Morey addressed one of the team’s needs in bringing in a defensive-oriented perimeter player that can still stretch the floor on the other end of the court in Trevor Ariza, but team chemistry can be a tricky thing in the NBA. Losing “glue-players” and positive locker room guys like Parsons and Jeremy Lin can have more of an eventual impact than initially anticipated if other players don’t step into those roles and provide a similar type of support.

Although some of the criticism over the summer was a bit overblown, both Dwight Howard and James Harden did at least raise a few eye brows with some of their comments about the roster and a few other topics. Supreme confidence is actually vital when it comes to truly accomplishing greatness, but these two team captains have yet to prove they can both lead and rise to the occasion as a duo. Howard is generally liked by his teammates (especially younger players), but the time has come for him to differentiate being buddies off the court from what should be his natural position as an all-out leader while on the court. Harden, to his credit, performed well and acted as one of the veterans and leaders on that young Team USA team that won this year’s FIBA World Cup Tournament. Rockets fans can only hope some of that experience carries over into this year, as another first-round exit simply should not be accepted from a duo that claims to be at the top of their respective positions. If they cannot put it all together and act as stronger leaders on the court and behind the scenes, then Houston could also find itself in trouble in what continues to be a strong Western Conference.

– Jabari Davis

Often, in an attempt to come across as profound thinkers and intelligent minds, one ignores the most obvious answer.

Riddle me this: How in the world do we not anoint Indiana Pacers?

A team that was, for the most part, built and successful by utilizing a strength in numbers approach has lost its two most skilled pieces. Lance Stephenson has emerged as one of the most productive and impactful two-way shooting guards in the conference, but instead of flanking Paul George, Stephenson is down in Charlotte with fellow New York City native, Kemba Walker. The Hornets are considered to be a team on the rise out East, but the Pacers, obviously, are now the opposite. They were considered so even before George’s gruesome leg injury sustained over the summer.

In time, George will return, but there is almost no chance of him returning at any point during the regular season. The Pacers will attempt to qualify for the playoffs without him, and that will be no easy task. While the club does have a few things going for them—David West, Roy Hibbert and Frank Vogel, the latter recently signing a three-year extension with the club—they are now functioning with at a talent deficit.

A look around the Eastern Conference reveals that things are getting a bit tougher. The Cleveland Cavaliers and Chicago Bulls look to be the head of the class, while the Miami HEAT, Washington Wizards and Toronto Raptors will likely round out the top five. Stephenson and the Hornets will almost certainly be a playoff team, which means that the Pacers will likely be vying for one of the final few playoff spots amongst a mix of teams that includes the New York Knicks, Brooklyn Nets, Atlanta Hawks and Detroit Pistons.

Under the recently re-signed Vogel, the Pacers have become one of the league’s top defensive teams, and if there is one thing that Tom Thibodeau’s Bulls teams have taught us, it’s that a good defensive coach can get good defensive play out of anyone. West will do his best to lead this team and lead by example and together, if they play as a team, share the ball and execute a good offensive game plan, they can be a greater sum together than they are individually.

Still, though, the odds are stacked against the Pacers. A team that has struggled to score at times in the past has lost its two best offensive weapons in Stephenson in George. The team that went 105-58 over the past two seasons and appeared in the Eastern Conference for two consecutive years will not make it to three. After losing their two most valuable pieces, the Pacers will need increased contributions from both West and Hibbert and their playoff chances may hinge on the productivity of C.J. Miles, Rodney Stuckey and Chris Copeland.

No disrespect to Vogel, his staff or the members of the Pacers, but if the discussion is team most likely to falter, the easy answer is the Pacers.

– Moke Hamilton

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Second Half NBA Story lines

With the All-Star break in the rearview, here are the key storylines to keep an eye on for the home stretch of the season.

Dennis Chambers

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The long winter has ended.

Ok, not really. But the break after All-Star weekend has finally come to a halt, and the second half of the NBA season is ready to get underway.

Each team has around 25 games remaining on the schedule. February is in its last week, and March and April will truly define how the May schedule aligns. The first leg of this season provided more than enough entertainment, combating the narrative that the regular season is a bit of a bore nowadays.

Because of some unexpected turns through the 50-plus games already played, this final stretch that will bring the regular season to a close should be more than entertaining for the fans that think the NBA season is just a six-month placeholder for the inevitable.

So, as we get ready to bounce back into action Thursday night, let’s focus on what needs to be monitored down the homestretch.

Houston Rockets can make the Finals

When the Golden State Warriors signed Kevin Durant, a narrative swept across the league that everyone not in the Bay area should just wave the white flag. Game over.

After dropping just one game through the entire postseason last year, completely decimating LeBron James and the Cleveland Cavaliers in the Finals, the assumptions were proved correct.

But things may be different this year.

The Houston Rockets are trying to end the Warriors’ Durant-Era dynasty before it starts. After trading for Chris Paul in the offseason, the Rockets are in a legitimate position to pose a threat to Golden State.

At the moment, the Rockets have the best offense in the NBA. But, not just for this season, for every season. Their efficiency is revolutionary and unprecedented. Their defense is improved, too. Ranking 18th in defensive rating last season, Houston is eighth this season, and proving to be competent enough on that end to get a few stops of their own against the Warriors. In fact, Houston has won two of the three meetings between the two Western Conference powerhouses so far this season.

For all of the damage Houston put on the league pre-All-Star break, and even leaping Golden State in the standings, the oddsmakers are taking notice.

Take a look at how drastically the Rockets’ odds at contending for a title have changed from the summer to present day. According to this odds tracker on Sports Betting Dime, Houston has almost entered the same realm as Golden State in the bettors’ mind.

Postseason basketball is a different beast, and Durant and Steph Curry are as formidable a tandem as any (not to mention their supporting cast), but the growing pile of statistics that says Houston has more than a puncher’s chance is becoming hard to ignore.

These last 25 or so games will be telling as to if the Rockets are truly a team that can go shot-for-shot with the mighty Warriors.

LeBron’s new teammates

The trade deadline in Cleveland was basically a mass upheaval of the roster the Cavaliers had struggled with for the first four months of the season.

Isaiah Thomas, Dwyane Wade, Jae Crowder, Iman Shumpert, Derrick Rose and Channing Frye were all shipped from The Land in hopes to bring LeBron James new players that could help him back to his eighth straight Finals appearance.

So far, so good.

The return that brought George Hill, Rodney Hood, Jordan Clarkson and Larry Nance Jr., into wine and gold gave the Cavaliers a much-needed boost heading into the All-Star break. Since the trade, Cleveland has won three straight games, the last two including a blowout victory against the Boston Celtics, and a road win in Oklahoma City.

But, before the roster turnovers, the Cavaliers were one of the league’s worst defensive units. Their lack of consistent effort on a nightly basis was beginning to spread doubt in the basketball minds across the league that the team would be equipped enough to beat the Celtics or Toronto Raptors in the postseason.

Coming out of the break, the Cavaliers will take on another playoff contender in the Washington Wizards. Another strong showing from the new-look Cavs could further the belief that the team is now in a better position to make their way to a fourth straight Finals.

As the regular season comes to its final stages, close eyes will be kept on Hood, Hill, Nance and Clarkson. They’re the key to any real postseason success Cleveland hopes to have. We know LeBron will be there at the end, at this point, and it’s worth watching to see if it teammates can join him.

Tight Playoff Races

For all the talk that surrounds the lack of disparity and entertainment around the league, the playoff races in both conferences appear to be coming down to the wire.

In the West, the 10th-seed Utah Jazz is just two and a half games behind the 5th-seed Oklahoma City Thunder. In between the two clubs, Denver, Portland, New Orleans and the L.A. Clippers are all clawing for spots in the postseason.

Over their last 10 games, every team besides the Thunder is at least .500. The Jazz have won 11 straight games, the Clippers are 7-3 and surging, Denver is hoping to return Paul Millsap to their lineup soon, the Trail Blazers have the luxury of Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum and while the Pelicans have lost DeMarcus Cousins, their three straight wins suggest they’re learning to live without Boogie.

That’s six teams fighting fiercely for four playoff spots. Each is deserving and well-equipped enough to make it to the postseason happen.

The West isn’t the only conference with a wild bunch at the bottom of the playoff standings. The Eastern Conference contenders also find themselves in the midst of a playoff battle post-All-Star break.

Just outside of the playoff picture at the moment, the Detroit Pistons, with new star Blake Griffin, are just four and a half games behind the 5th-seeded Indiana Pacers. Philadelphia, Miami and Milwaukee are all also vying for their spot in the playoffs.

At the moment, the Miami HEAT seems to be on the verge of being the odd man out, losing two straight before the break and seven of their last 10 games. As the Pistons begin to find new life with Griffin, they could bump Miami right out of the picture if their slide continues as games pick back up.

With a limited number of games remaining, each of these teams in both conferences cannot afford to fall into a rut. Coming down to the final weeks of the season, watching the playoff carousel develop will be entertaining and worthwhile.

In the blink of an eye, the 2017-18 regular season is almost over. Be sure to keep an eye on these unfolding storylines as the league charges towards playoff basketball.

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NBA Daily: Larry Nance Jr. Is Ready To Move On

At All-Star Weekend, Larry Nance Jr. talked about moving on from being traded, Dr. J and the love that Los Angeles still has for him.

Ben Nadeau

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At the end of the day, the NBA is a business and Larry Nance Jr. found that out the hard way when the Los Angeles Lakers traded him and Jordan Clarkson for Isaiah Thomas, Channing Frye and the Cleveland Cavaliers’ 2018 first-rounder just a few weeks ago.

Naturally, Nance was due back at the Staples Center nine days later to compete in the league’s annual slam dunk contest. Although he would finish second to the Utah Jazz’s Donovan Mitchell, Nance was frequently reminded just how many fans he still has out on the West Coast.

“It’s either one of two responses,” Nance said over the weekend. “Either people don’t understand how a trade works and they ask me why I left, or, you know: ‘Larry, we miss you, come back in free agency’ and stuff like that. So, either way, they’re kinda on my side — I mean, I’m still a little bit of purple and gold.”

Over his first three seasons, Nance had become a familiar contributor for the Lakers, using his rim-rocking athleticism to carve out a steady role under two different head coaches. Before he was moved to the Cavaliers, Nance was on pace to set career-highs in points (8.6), rebounds (6.8) and steals (1.4). This statistical rise also comes in the midst of his field goal percentage jumping all the way up to 59.3 percent — a mark that would rank him fifth-highest in the NBA if he qualified.* Given the noteworthy change of scenery, his current average of 3.6 field goals per game could grow as well.

But as the Lakers prepare for a potentially crucial offseason, the front office remained committed to shedding salary ahead of free agency, where they may or may not chase the likes of LeBron James, Paul George or DeMarcus Cousins. In just three short years, Nance had quickly become a fan favorite as a jaw-dropping in-game dunker and an improving prospect on a cheap rookie contract, so his involvement at the deadline may have come as a surprise to many as it was for him.

“It’s been a week, so, no, it’s still kinda like: ‘Jeez, I gotta pick up and move right now,’” Nance said. “So, no, I’m not fully adjusted, I’m not, for a lack of a better term, over it. But it’s still fresh in my mind, it’s something that is still kind of shocking.”

Nance, for his worries, is now a key member of the James-led Cavaliers, a franchise that has won 11 more games than the Lakers and sits in third place in the Eastern Conference. While the Cavaliers will likely have to go through the Boston Celtics or Toronto Raptors to reach their fourth consecutive NBA Finals, James himself has reached the championship series every year since the 2009-10 postseason. With the Cavaliers’ maniacal mid-season reboot — which also brought in Rodney Hood, George Hill and the aforementioned Clarkson — they could be poised for an encore performance.

Since he was acquired by Cleveland, Nance and the Cavaliers are 3-0 and, just like that, much of the lingering narrative has been reversed. As the Cavaliers look to further stabilize their season, Nance figures to play a large part down the stretch, particularly so as All-Star Kevin Love continues to rehab from a broken hand.

Still, Nance knows that the Cavaliers will certainly face some speed bumps along the way.

“It’s a learning process, obviously we started out super fast, but there will be a learning process,” Nance stated. “Just like there is with every team and every new group, so we’ll figure it out and we’ll get past it [for the] playoffs.”

But before he makes his first-ever postseason appearance, Nance returned to Los Angeles in an attempt to capture a slam dunk title, something his father — Larry Nance Sr. — did in the inaugural competition way back in 1984. In that contest, the older Nance famously upset Julius Erving and Dominique Wilkins to take home the crown in a nine-person field. On Saturday, Nance paid homage by changing into a retro Phoenix Suns uniform to execute his father’s signature dunk — the rock-the-cradle throwdown that won it all 34 years ago.

“For me, [his highlights were] like normal kid Sesame Street or Barney or something. I was watching his clips when I was growing up, so, yeah, I see it all the time,” Nance recalled.

But when asked what he remembers the most about those distant memories, the second generation son decidedly kept it in the family.

“The fact that he beat Dr. J,” Nance said. “Dr. J is normally thought of as almost like the dunk inventor, kinda brought the dunk contest back — but, really, [I remember] my dad.”

Although Nance couldn’t replicate his father’s success in the contest, his emphatic, springy dunks indicated that the 6-foot-9 skywalker could be an event staple for years to come. In one of the best dunks all night, Nance pulled off the rare double tap — a jam so technically difficult, that he immediately told the judges to look at the jumbotron to make sure they understood what exactly he had just pulled off.

Nance, for his original acrobatics, earned a perfect score of 50.

Earlier that day, Nance discussed the difficulty in standing out amongst a field of explosive guards.

“I think the guys that are taller and longer have a different skill-set than smaller guys,” Nance said. “Obviously, if the smaller guys do something, it looks super impressive because they got to jump a little bit higher, or it looks like they got to jump higher.

“There are ways for bigger guys to look good and I think I’ve got that hammered out.”

For now, Nance doesn’t know if he’ll return to the dunk contest next season after his narrow two-point loss to Mitchell. Instead, Nance wants to focus on helping the Cavaliers in their hunt for the conference’s top seed and, of course, with James, anything is possible. But it’s fair to say that Nance, who nearly pulled down a double-double (13 points, nine rebounds) in his second game with Cleveland, has gone from a rebuild to a legitimate contender in a flash.

“At the same time, I can’t wait for all this to be done with so I can just get back to learning how to gel and mesh with my new team,” Nance said.

From the West Coast to the Midwest, Nance is clearly ready to make some waves once again.

* * * * * *

*To qualify, a player must be on pace for 300 made field goals. As of today, Nance is on pace for 252.6.

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Updating the Buyout Market: Who Could Still Become Available?

Shanes Rhodes examines the buyout market to see which players could soon be joining playoff contenders.

Shane Rhodes

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While it may not be as exciting as the NBA Trade Deadline, another important date is approaching for NBA teams: the Playoff Eligibility Waiver Deadline.

March 1 is the final day players can be bought out or waived and still be eligible to play in the postseason should they sign with another team. As teams continue to fine-tune their rosters, plenty of eyes will be on the waiver wire and buyout market looking for players that can make an impact.

So who could still become available?

Joakim Noah, New York Knicks

This seems almost too obvious.

The relationship between Joakim Noah and the New York Knicks hasn’t been a pleasant one. Noah, who signed a four-year, $72 million contract in 2016, has done next to nothing this season after an underwhelming debut season in New York and has averaged just 5.7 minutes per game.

After an altercation between himself and Knicks head coach Jeff Hornacek at practice, Noah isn’t expected to return to the team. At this point, the best thing for both sides seems likely a clean break; there is no reason to keep that cloud over the Knicks locker room for the remainder of the season.

Noah may not help a playoff contender, but he should certainly be available come the end of the season.

Arron Afflalo, Orlando Magic

Arron Afflalo isn’t the player he once was. But he can still help any contender in need of some shooting.

Afflalo is averaging a career-low 12.9 minutes per game with the Orlando Magic this season. He is playing for just over $2 million so a buyout wouldn’t be hard to come by if he went asking and he can still shoot the basketball. A career 38.6 percent shooter from long distance, Afflalo can certainly get it done beyond the arc for a team looking to add some shooting or some depth on the wing. He doesn’t add the perimeter defense he could earlier in his career, but he could contribute in certain situations.

Vince Carter, Sacramento Kings

Vince Carter was signed by the Sacramento Kings last offseason to play limited minutes off the bench while providing a mentor for the Sacramento Kings up-and-coming players. And Carter may very well enjoy that role.

But, to a degree, the old man can still ball — certainly enough to help a contender.

Carter is 41-years-old, there is no getting around his age, but he can still provide some solid minutes off the bench. Playing 17.1 minutes per night across 38 games this season, Carter has averaged five points, 2.2 rebounds and 1.3 assists while shooting 35.3 percent from three-point range. Combining all of that with his playoff experience and the quality of leadership he brings to the table, Carter may be an ideal addition for a contender looking to make a deep playoff run.

Zach Randolph, Sacramento Kings

Like Carter, Zach Randolph was brought in by the Kings to contribute solid minutes off the bench while also filling in as a mentor to the young roster. Unlike Carter, however, Randolph has played much of the season in a starting role — something that is likely to change as the season winds down.

Randolph has averaged 14.6 points, seven rebounds and 2.1 assists in 25.6 minutes per game; quality numbers that any team would be happy to take on. But, in the midst of a rebuild, the Kings should not be taking minutes away from Willie Cauley-Stein, Skal Labissiere and (eventually) Harry Giles in order to keep Randolph on the floor.

As he proved last season, Randolph can excel in a sixth-man role and would likely occupy a top bench spot with a team looking to add rebounding, scoring or just a big to their rotation down the stretch.

Wesley Matthews, Dallas Mavericks

Wesley Matthews remains one of the most underrated players in the NBA. He provides positional versatility on the floor and is a solid player on both sides of the ball.

So, with Mark Cuban all but saying the Mavericks will not be trying to win for the remainder of the season, Matthews is likely poised for a minutes dip and seems like an obvious buyout candidate. Matthews, who has a player option for next season, has averaged 12.9 points, 3.2 rebounds, 2.8 assists and 1.2 steals this season across 34.1 minutes per game this season.

If Cuban is true to his word, both parties would be better served parting ways; the Mavericks can attempt to lose as many games as possible while Matthews can latch on to a team looking to win a title. It’s a win-win.

Isaiah Thomas, Los Angeles Lakers

Isaiah Thomas’ three-game stint with the Los Angeles Lakers before the All-Star break looked much like his short tenure with the Cleveland Cavaliers: up-and-down. Thomas shined in his Laker debut, putting up 25 points and six assists in just over 30 minutes.

He then followed that up with three points and two assists, and seven points along with five assists in his second and third games with the team, respectively.

Thomas needs time to get himself right before he can start playing his best basketball. Re-establishing his value is likely his top priority.

But will he be willing to come off the bench for a team that won’t be making the postseason?

With Lonzo Ball close to returning, Thomas will likely move to the Laker bench. Adamant in recent years that he is a starting guard in the NBA, Thomas may be more inclined to take on that role for a team poised to make a deep playoff run — there is no shortage of teams that would be willing to add Thomas’ potential scoring prowess while simultaneously setting himself up for a contract and, potentially, a starting role somewhere next season.

Other Names to Look Out For: Channing Frye, Shabazz Muhammed, Kosta Koufos

There are still plenty of players that can make an impact for playoff-bound teams should they reach a buyout with their current squads. And, as the Postseason Eligibility Waiver Deadline approaches, plenty of teams out of the running will move quickly in order to provide their guys an opportunity to find their way to a contender.

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