Connect with us

Legacy

How To Identify The Bracket Busters In The NCAA Tournament

Basketball Insiders

Published

on

On 17 March 2018, UMBC shocked Virginia 74-54 to become the first No. 16 seed in the history of the NCAA tournament to beat a No. 1 seed.

And with that upset, the remaining 25 perfect brackets among the tens of millions completed before March Madness were ruined.

The quest for the perfect bracket continues this March, so we have analyzed the past 10 years of the tournament identify this year’s potential Cinderella stories.

Whether you’re filling out your bracket or making your college basketball betting picks, these are the trends that could help you spot a shock.

Source: Betway

Know your numbers

We’re going to classify a first-round upset as a team seeded 10th or lower advancing, as the chances of a No. 9 seed beating a No. 8 seed are too high to be considered a shock.

In the last 10 years, there have been 72 such upsets, an average of approximately seven per year. There have been no more than 10 first-round upsets in a single year, and no fewer than five.

So while it’s worth populating your bracket with a few surprise wins in the first-round, double-digit upsets are unlikely.

It’s also not worth wasting one of those surprise picks on a No. 16 or No. 15 seed.

While UMBC are the only No. 16 seed to ever win an NCAA tournament game, just eight No. 15 seeds have ever progressed to the second round.

The question, then, is which teams seeded 10th to 14th are most likely to cause a shock?

The First Four – a series of play-in games played prior to the tournament – is an excellent place to start.

Since its conception in 2011, a team that triumphed in the First Four has gone on to win in the first round of the tournament in every year.

Conference calls

In general, low seeds tend to fall into two categories: mid-major conference champions and teams that finished lower in the standings in major conferences.

In terms of first-round upsets, mid-major teams are the ones to watch.

In the past 10 years, 44 of the 72 teams to cause shocks in the first-round were from mid-major conferences, with the Atlantic 10 the top conference with eight.

Conference-USA has also been a great source of upsets recently, with its champion advancing to the Round of 32 in each of the past four years.

While surprise teams are spread fairly evenly across America, Ohio is the home of the upset.

Nine teams seeded 10th or lower from the Buckeye State have won in the Round of 64 since 2009 – three more than any other state.

Going deep

Unsurprisingly, upsets occur far less frequently when the first round is out of the way.

Just 23 teams seeded 10th or lower have advanced past the Round of 32 in the past 10 years, 20 of whom were seeded between No. 10 and No. 12.

While mid-major teams performed well in the first round, the split is more even in the later stages, with 12 of the 23 teams that reached at least the Sweet 16 in the past 10 years having come from a major conference.

Of the five teams in the past 10 years that have made it all the way to the Elite Eight, just one won their conference.

So while you might have a hunch that a low seed from a smaller conference will upset a powerhouse in the first round, you’re better off sticking with college basketball’s big guns as the tournament progresses, regardless of where they finished in the regular season.

While 2018 was the year of the upset, with UMBC winning in the Round of 64 and Loyola-Chicago making it all the way to the Final Four, it’s likely that the more familiar teams will be the ones making deep runs into the tournament this time around.

Advertisement




Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Legacy

A Look Ahead In The NBA Playoffs

Basketball Insiders

Published

on

As the regular season enters its final days, there are still as many questions as answers when it comes to how the playoffs will shape up. Only one playoff game is set in stone in either conference, so unlike some years, these final matches are of vital importance. Let’s see what is in store.

Three crucial games in the Eastern Conference

The sixteenth playoff spot is a direct battle between the Detroit Pistons, who are currently at 40-41 and the Charlotte Hornets on 39-42. For the sports betting fraternity, those looking to make the best use of free bet offers from their online bookmakers might find the constantly shifting odds a little difficult to keep up with. Right now, those looking for a safer bet but at shorter odds are backing the Pistons, as all they need is to either beat the Knicks in their last regular season game or for the Hornets to lose to the Magic and they will be through. The Hornets, on the other hand need a little help from fate, as both a win for themselves and a loss for Detroit is what is needed in order for them to scrape through.

Those two games are, therefore, the ones that will be truly under the microscope, but there are other factors at play in working out the final seedings. Seeds one to five are now established, and we know the Celtics will face the Pacers in round one. Beyond that, however, much depends on the result of the games mentioned above, and also how the game between the Heat and the Nets pans out.

The Heat are no longer in contention, but they can still affect the playoffs. If they win and if Detroit make the playoffs, the Nets will be seeded seven. A win for the Nets, on the other hand, will guarantee a sixth seed berth and will mean they face the third seeded Philadelphia 76ers.

Seeding in the Western Conference down to the wire

The eight teams from the Western Conference have been set in stone with almost boring predictability for some weeks. However, who will play whom in the playoffs is still far from clear, even at the eleventh hour, and if the deadlock is not broken, we could end up in the convoluted world of NBA tiebreaker rules.

There are four games that will be instrumental here, and these are as follows:

  1. Nuggets at Jazz
  2. Rockets at Thunder
  3. Timberwolves at Nuggets
  4. Jazz at Clippers

If the Nuggets win games 1 and 3 above, they will be guaranteed number two seeding, while the Jazz need to win either game 1 or 4 to finish at least fifth seed. If the Rockets lose and the Blazers win their final two games against the Lakers and the Kings, then the Blazers are guaranteed the number three seed.

Prepare for some classic playoff games

While it might be a case of the usual suspects, the open field as far as seedings are concerned shows just how tightly fought these playoff games will be. Settle back and enjoy, as this year, the NBA is set for one of the most thrilling conclusions to the season in memory.

Continue Reading

Legacy

Basketball Betting Basics – Everything you need to know

Basketball Insiders

Published

on

Basketball is a very common game in every part of the world. This game is played and watched by many people making it again one of the games that people bet on. Many people will bet for basketball as fun and others will bet for it as a way of making some income. Whether you want to bet either to make money or as a way of having fun, then this is the right game for you.

Basketball betting is not a complicated thing and can be done by anybody as long as you understand the game well. What you need for you to start betting on basketball is very little, and there is no reason why you shouldn’t start this great venture if you like betting. While betting on basketball is such an easy task you will need to be equipped with some basics before you start betting on the game.

This guide will help you with some basics about what you need to know when betting on basketball games. Following are some basics on basketball betting.

Use spread betting 

This is a popular way of betting to many basketball betting players. It is also called line betting; simply it is a form of handicap betting. If you have checked on any bookmaker that offers basketball betting, you will have seen some games that are listed in a manner such as the one below.

VS Boston Celtics -5.5 VS Los Angeles Lakers +5.5

This implies that if you place your bet on Celtics to beat the spread, they should win the game by more than 6 points. But if you bet lakers to cover the range, they should lose the game by 5 or fewer points, and if they win, it should be outright.

Know the teams 

When it comes to basketball betting, you should know your teams very well. This means that you shouldn’t place on any team that you find on the list just because they have good odds. If you don’t know a team, you should do some research about it before you place your hard earned money on it.

Make sure you get their statistics on how they have performed on the last matches. Make sure the team you are betting for is a strong team that most probably will perform according to your expectation.

It is also much recommended to bet on popular teams as they are hardly beaten and you will take less time looking at their history. There are several teams on the platforms that are new, and it can be difficult to predict about them. Make sure you avoid such teams to get high returns and avoid loses.

Choose your betting site well

As of late basketball, betting has been very popular, and many betting sites are offering the service. However not every website that you will find when browsing is worth using. Some sites are scammers with poor odds and others may end up disappearing with your money even if you win which can be very frustrating.

Choosing a reliable site will determine your success to a large extent. You should ensure the site you choose offers the best odds, and they are licensed by the responsible authority so that you can be sure of payment when you win. Make sure you get enough information about a platform before you can open an account and deposit your money.

While there are many scammers in the market, there are also some trustworthy sites that you can use to bet and get guaranteed about the security on your money. An excellent example of a reliable website that you can use for basketball betting is Wetten.com. The site offers the best services, and you will never regret joining it. You can even bet on Games of the German Basketball-League BBL.

Bet on totals 

Another great tip when it comes to basketball betting is betting on total points. This will not only be a simple way of betting, but it will also reduce losses. Betting on totals means predicting the total points to be scored. This shouldn’t be a complicated thing as you only have some few considerations to make your final prediction on the range of total points to be scored.

In many of the NBA matches the total points will range between 180 and 220 points while in European and college basketball matches many of the total points lies between 120 and 160 points.

After having your average points, you will need to consider how many times the team has gone above or below that points. If you find it has either gone above that points so many times than it has gone below the points, then you may need to adjust your prediction. Also considering the last meeting between the two teams will help you to predict the total points easily. Use the average of the previous matches between the two teams to get the outcome of the game.

Public opinions 

Public opinions affect the betting world to a great extent. If many people have goodwill in a particular team, they will bet on it making the odds to be lowered. This doesn’t guarantee you that the team is strong enough and it will win, but it’s only that many people are supporting it. Make sure you avoid betting on those teams completely and if you do bet lesser. Stake your cash on teams that you understand well and you know they are strong enough to win but not just because many people support them.

You need to do a good follow up before you can bet on a team to win. Have the reasons behind the winning or losing of a specific team before you stake on them and avoid people opinions. This way you will never go wrong, and you will always get high returns from your betting.

Conclusion 

If you want to boost your returns from basketball betting, then you need to equip yourself with the essential tips before you start betting. Ensure you choose the best betting platform to avoid frustrations in the process. A reliable basketball betting company will never let you down, and you will always be smiling.

Continue Reading

Legacy

The Lakers Are A Longshot

Basketball Insiders

Published

on

Los Angeles Lakers are in trouble, all predictions are clear. According to all scenarios The Lakers have no chance of reaching the NBA Playoffs. It has not been an easy season for the Lakers, the problems are not only injuries or the low performance of LeBron James, but also the reconstruction of the team has been a focus of criticism.

The LeBron James Case

LeBron James has been the leader of the Lakers since his arrival to the team. So far James is leading the team, despite all his injuries with 26.8 points per game, 51% Field Goal and even the most minutes per game with 35.4 minutes. LeBron was out several weeks by a groin injury.

James has always played in the playoffs since his first years in the NBA. But with the Lakers with a negative record this season, the chances for LeBron are low to get into the playoffs.

The players needed to win and reach the playoffs.

Brandon Ingram: second leader.

Brandon Ingram needs to continue playing as he has been doing in the season. Ingram is the most experienced youngster in the league among the youth of the Lakers. Ingram is averaging up to 17.8 points per game, 6.8 FG Points, 67% free throw shots and 32% three-pointers.

Ingram is literally “another” LeBron James. He must play in the same way and continue to support the team, especially when LeBron rests, Ingram must take the leadership of the team and take them forward.

Kyle Kuzma: One year as a professional.

Kuzma has only one year playing with the Lakers, but so far he is the second leader in points scored in the season with the Lakers with a total of 1070 points, only 54 points less than LeBron James. In addition Kuzma has an average of 19.1 points per game, 7.3 FG points, 76.2% free throw shots and 32% three pointers.

This season has been the debut for Kuzma. As a player he has shown maturity, he is one of the young players in the team and possibly the third key piece to help the Lakers reach the playoffs.

We have done deeper analysis like this on the Lakers and other teams, if you want to read about the best teams and playoffs odds please visit www.sportsbetting24.ca every day. The updates are daily about the NBA Teams.

What Los Angeles Lakers need to do

The Los Angeles Lakers can not lose more than six games, none of the remaining games before the playoffs. The luxury of losing more than six games would be fatal and would leave the Lakers out of the NBA Playoffs.

The main focus of the Lakers should be to keep James healthy to lead the team but to use Brandon Ingram and Kyle Kuzma all the time. The contribution of these two players is important to win games, both represent a younger version of Lebron James.

Reggie Bullock has also been a key player, with 10.8 points per game and with five years of experience, he is one of the players who can contribute space and help the youngest players in the team. The Lakers must use Bullock at least 30 minutes per game as they have been doing this season.

There is enough time to improve, but we must remember that the Lakers have six seasons without playoffs. Waiting for a miracle with LeBron and young players is something really dangerous, especially if you expect this team to have an instant adaptation with the King.

The Los Angeles Lakers Odds to get to the NBA Playoffs.

The bookmakers around the world are not in favor of the Lakers. Not even the big sports sites on the Internet like ESPN, CBS and BASKETBALL REFERENCE.

ESPN gives the Los Angeles Lakers only 3.4% chance of reaching the playoffs this season. It is the fifth team with the lowest chances in the Western Conference.

Basketball Reference offers a similar percentage with 3.5% for the Lakers. But FiveThirtyEight was more hopeful adding 17% of chances.

Continue Reading
Advertisement

NBA Team Salaries

Advertisement

Insiders On Twitter

NBA On Twitter

Trending Now