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NBA AM: Jumping Around NBA Summer League

Ben Dowsett takes a spin around the league from on the ground at Vegas Summer League.

Ben Dowsett

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As we reach into mid-July, the final remnants of real-ish NBA basketball begin to flame out as NBA Summer League comes to an end. Basketball Insiders’ Ben Dowsett recently spent a few days in the desert collecting observations and rumors from around the association – here are a few big areas to keep in mind, both on and off the court.

Standouts

Summer League always produces a few standouts – some expected and others relatively out of nowhere. With apologies to guys like Dennis Smith Jr. (perhaps the tournament’s best overall player, but one this eye didn’t get a chance to watch in person), Bryn Forbes, Rashad Vaughn, Wayne Selden and a few others, here are three that stood out the most for various reasons.

Jayson Tatum, Boston Celtics: Tatum showed up to Salt Lake City for Jazz Summer League already on fire, and there hasn’t been much in the way of extinguishers around since then. The third overall pick is making plenty of Bostonians feel good about the selection, and about rumors that Tatum sat alone atop Boston’s pre-draft board.

Scouts in attendance loved Tatum’s NBA-level game with the ball in his hands; not just his shot-making, but his ability to find his spots effortlessly. That kind of stuff takes plenty of guys with his skill set years to master. There are still moderate concerns about his abilities and effort level defensively, and about what he can do off the ball – something that will be a big factor early in his career with guys like Isaiah Thomas and Gordon Hayward in Boston. But he appears easily ready to torch bench units at the NBA level already, and since it looks like he’ll be doing plenty of that in his role as a rookie, it’s hard for Boston fans not to be thrilled early on.

Donovan Mitchell, Utah Jazz: The only guy who’s had any sustained success stopping Tatum from getting whatever he wants offensively thus far this summer? That’d be Jazz draftee Donovan Mitchell, who has fans in Utah frothing at the mouth as they search for a new hero following Hayward’s departure.

Mitchell gives up several inches in height Tatum, but after watching the third overall pick torch other guys for the first quarter of their Jazz Summer League matchup, the former Louisville asked for the assignment personally. A couple steals, a stare-down and a wicked spin move that put Tatum on the ground made the highlight reel, but the degree to which Mitchell removed Tatum from Boston’s offensive game plan for those final three quarters was more awe-inducing at the time. Other positive areas may need a healthy grain of Summer League salt before we’re convinced, but it feels like Mitchell is primed to be a fearsome on-ball defender from the moment he steps on a real NBA court.

Unsurprisingly given their operating guidelines, the Jazz are slowing the brakes on the Mitchell excitement behind the scenes. He still has some major chucker habits to rid himself of, plus work to do as a lead ball-handler and off-ball defender. But his success this summer – almost exclusively against other high-level prospects expected to be in the NBA next year, by the way – is hard to ignore. He has a beautiful shooting stroke, ridiculous athleticism and the sort of character the Jazz prioritize more than maybe any other team in the league. Don’t be surprised if you hear the name a lot more moving forward.

Kyle Kuzma, Los Angeles Lakers: All the attention from the pro-Lakers crowd that always fills Thomas and Mack Arena has justifiably been on the Lonzo Ball show. In a cumulative sense, though, Kuzma has been the Lakers’ best player so far this summer. The former Utah Ute has quietly been putting up numbers that compare pretty favorably to a standout like Tatum, displaying a skilled all-around game. It’s tough to say which parts of this will translate to the full-time NBA and which will die among more gifted athletes, but Kuzma is off to a strong start.

Attendance

It felt like temporary Lonzo mania early on, and maybe it was; per the league, that Saturday July 8 (Ball’s first game) set the single-day Summer League attendance record with a full sellout of 17,500 tickets.

Things never really slowed down, though. Teams like the Clippers and Kings were playing to packed lower bowls, and the league reports that this year’s tournament is on pace to break the single-year attendance record. League folks are thrilled with the brand that’s been established in Vegas, plus high TV viewership numbers on both ESPN and NBATV. This all bodes very well for NBA fans who can’t go without their July fix each summer.

Quality of Play

Both league and team folks commented on the overall level of play this summer. There are always standouts and guys who are clearly too good for this level, but the number of those guys feels larger than normal this year.

As one team executive put it, though, the more impressive part talent-wise might be at the lower end of rosters. There are just more talented players than ever coming to Vegas to show their skills to all the league’s decision-makers, even guys who are big long shots to catch on with an NBA squad. There’s a knowledge that exposure here can lead to success in areas beyond the NBA – in Europe or perhaps at the revamped G-League level, where there will be more opportunities to shine and crack the big show in upcoming years.

For that reason, you’re seeing fewer and fewer total zeroes out there on the court, even at the bottom of rosters. In turn, this could make teams more willing to send their best young guys and keep them active for longer in the future – real experience among high-level teammates and opponents is more valuable than time against scrubs.

Board of Governors

Summer League also marks annual Board of Governors meetings, and true to form in a league office that moves quickly under Adam Silver, a few big changes have already been reported. One is a change in the trade deadline, which will now move to the Thursday that falls 10 days before the NBA All-Star Game each year. This means any traded players will have the break to situate themselves in their new homes, though some folks are intrigued to see what happens the first time a guy selected to the All-Star team in one conference is traded to the other before the game. This is one to revisit in a couple years.

The other change is far more significant for in-game play, and involves the reduction of timeouts to speed up game flow. The changes can be found in full here. A few of the most important:

  • The maximum number of timeouts per game between both teams will decrease from 18 to 14.
  • “Full” and “20-second” timeouts, neither of which were really truthful in their labeling in the first place, are gone. Each team will now have seven team timeouts for the entire game, all of which will be 75 seconds in length.
  • All four quarters will have mandatory timeouts at the first stoppage under seven and three minutes. This replaces the previous system, in which the second and fourth quarters had different mandatory timeouts than the first and third.
  • Each team can enter the fourth quarter with up to four timeouts, but will be limited to just two under the three-minute mark (or after the second mandatory timeout in the quarter) – coaches can’t hoard timeouts for the end of games, effectively.

This is a clear effort from the league to reduce certain unsightly parts of their game-ending product. Lots of NBA diehards have long pined for a system closer to FIBA, where players’ creativity and guile under pressure is tested more regularly in close games. This isn’t that, but it’s a step in that direction.

The larger effects, though, might come in scenarios nowhere near the end of the fourth quarter. Many of the league’s coaches structure their substitution patterns at least partially around those mandatory timeouts; one reason among many that plenty of star-level guys previously would play most of the first quarter before sitting early in the second was the fact that coaches could “buy” them more rest.

A guy could come out at the 3:00 mark of the first quarter and get three lengthy broadcast timeouts to rest: the three-minute timeout in the first quarter, the end-of-quarter break and the mandatory nine-minute timeout in the second quarter. They could get more actual time on the bench than certain other guys who sat for longer chunks of game time.

How things change with the new mandatory system is yet to be seen, but things will definitely change. Fewer timeouts overall means depth will be at more of a premium – something other folks have already noted, and something team people are already hard at work planning for. More coaches have already been utilizing multiple rest periods per half for high-minute players in recent years, and this could increase in some cases as bench bosses try to keep their guys fresh without holding them off the court for too many in-game minutes.

There will surely be a few unintended consequences as well, and the smartest minds are already trying to crack them in advance. There really isn’t anyone complaining about this one for now, but we’ll see if that remains the case once the actual games get started. NBA fans can whine about just about anything if you give them time.

Ben Dowsett is a Deputy Editor and in-depth basketball analyst based in Salt Lake City. He covers the Jazz on a credentialed basis for Basketball Insiders, and has previously appeared in the Sports Illustrated and TrueHoop Networks. He can be found on Twitter at @Ben_Dowsett.

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NBA Daily: Examining Michael Porter Jr.’s Ascension

Since Jamal Murray’s season-ending knee injury, Michael Porter Jr. is averaging over 25 points per game and looks like a future All-NBA player. Bobby Krivitsky examines Porter’s ascent and the questions that come with it.

Bobby Krivitsky

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Since Jamal Murray’s season-ending knee injury, Michael Porter Jr. has taken his game to new heights.

In the wake of Murray’s ACL tear in mid-April, Porter’s playing time has gone from 30.6 minutes per contest to 35.7, while his shots per game have risen from 12.6 per game to 16.5. The increased responsibility has fueled his ascent. He’s knocking down 56.3 percent of those attempts. He’s taking 8.2 threes per game and making a blistering 50 percent of them. As a result, Porter’s gone from averaging 17.5 points per game to 25.1. He’s also grabbing 6.1 rebounds and blocking almost one shot per contest.

At the time of Murray’s injury, the Denver Nuggets were in fourth place in the Western Conference. They remain there now, 9-4 in his absence, and they boast the eighth-highest net rating in the NBA.

The only way for the Nuggets to fall from fourth would be if they lost their four remaining games and the Dallas Mavericks won their final five contests because the Mavericks have the tiebreaker since they won the season series. On the more realistic end of the spectrum, Denver sits just 1.5 games back of the Los Angeles Clippers, who occupy the third seed in the West. The Nuggets won their season series against the Clippers, meaning they’d finish in third if the two teams ended the regular season with the same record.

There’s a bevy of questions surrounding Porter’s recent play that need to be asked but cannot get answered at the moment. That starts with whether this is anything more than a hot streak. While it’s impossible to say definitively, it’s reasonable to believe Porter can consistently and efficiently produce about 25 points per game. He was the second-ranked high school prospect in 2017 and entered his freshman year at Missouri firmly in the mix for the top pick in the 2018 NBA draft. That was thanks in large part to his offensive prowess as a 6-10 wing with a smooth shot that’s nearly impossible to block because of the elevation he gets when he shoots. 

A back injury cost him all but 53 minutes of his collegiate career and caused him to fall to the 14th pick in the draft. He ended up in an ideal landing spot, going to a well-run organization that’s also well aware of its barren track record luring star players looking to change teams, making it vital for the Nuggets to hit on their draft picks. 

Porter’s first year in the NBA was exclusively dedicated to the rehab process and doing everything possible to ensure he can have a long, healthy and productive career. Last season, finally getting a chance to play, he showed off the tantalizing talent that made him a top prospect but only took seven shots per game while trying to fit in alongside Nikola Jokic, Murray, Paul Millsap and Jerami Grant.

More experience, including battling against the Los Angeles Lakers in the Western Conference Finals, an offseason, albeit a truncated one, to prepare for a more substantial role with Grant joining the Detroit Pistons and Millsap turning 36 this year, helped propel Porter. 

But for the Nuggets, before Murray’s injury, the perception was that even though they weren’t the favorites to come out of the Western Conference, they were a legitimate title contender. How far can they go if Porter’s consistently contributing about 25 points and over six rebounds per game while effectively playing the role of a second star alongside Jokic? 

It seems fair to cross Denver off the list of title contenders. But, if Porter continues to capably play the role of a second star alongside Jokic when doing so becomes more challenging in the postseason, the Nuggets can advance past a team like the Mavericks or Portland Trail Blazers. And at a minimum, they’d have the ability to make life difficult for whoever they had to face in the second round of the playoffs.

Unfortunately, the timing of Murray’s ACL tear, which happened in mid-April, means there’s a legitimate possibility he misses all of next season. Denver’s increased reliance on Porter is already allowing a young player with All-NBA potential to take on a role that’s closer to the one he’s assumed his whole life before making it to the sport’s highest level. If the Nuggets are counting on him to be the second-best player on a highly competitive team in the Western Conference next season, it’ll be fascinating to see what heights he reaches and how far they’re able to go as a team.

Theoretically, Porter’s growth could make it difficult for Denver to reacclimate Murray. But given Jokic’s unselfish style of play, there’s room for both of them to be satisfied by the volume of shots they’re getting. Unfortunately, the Nuggets have to wait, potentially another season, but Jokic is 26-years-old, Murray 24, Porter 22. When Denver has their Big Three back together, they could be far more potent while still being able to enjoy a lengthy run as legitimate title contenders.

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NBA Daily: D’Angelo Russell Back on Track

D’Angelo Russell lost much of the 2020-21 season to injury. Drew Maresca explains why his return will surprise people around the league.

Drew Maresca

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D’Angelo Russell was traded to the Minnesota Timberwolves last February, just before the COVID-19 pandemic shut down the entire season. But we’ve yet to see what Russell can really do in Minnesota.

The Timberwolves acquired Russell in late February in exchange for a future first-round pick – which transitions this season if they pick later than third – a 2021 second-round pick and Andrew Wiggins.

Sidenote: For those keeping score at home, the Timberwolves currently have the third-worst record in the league with five games remaining. It would behoove Minnesota to lose as many of their remaining games as possible to keep their 2021 pick. If the pick does not transition this season, it becomes unrestricted in 2020.

Trying to turn an owed pick into an unprotected future first is usually the wrong move; but in this instance, it’s better to keep the high first-rounder this year with an understanding that your 2022 pick will probably fall in or around the middle of the lottery.

The thinking around the deal was that Minnesota could qualify for the playoffs as soon as this season by swapping Wiggins’ contract for a young, talented lead guard in Russell. It has not played out as planned.

COVID resulted in a play stoppage shortly after the deal, robbing Russell of the opportunity to ramp up with his new team. When the NBA returned to finish the 2019-20 season, the Timberwolves failed to qualify for bubble play – and considering the US was still battling a global pandemic, Russell couldn’t easily practice with his new teammates and/or coaches.

The 2020-21 season began weirdly, too. The NBA proceeded with an abbreviated training camp and preseason. And while this impacted all teams, Russell was additionally hindered by the decision.

Ready or not, the season began. In 2020-21, Russell is averaging a near-career low in minutes per game (28.2) across just 36 games. He’s tallying 19.1 points per game on 43.6% shooting and a career-best 38.8% on three-point attempts. He’s also he’s posting a near career-best assist-to-turnover ratio (5.7 to 2.8).

Despite Russell’s contributions, the Timberwolves have failed to meet expectations. Far from the playoff squad they hoped to be, Minnesota is in contention for the top pick in this year’s draft. So what has gone wrong in Minneapolis?

Russell’s setbacks are fairly obvious. In addition to the lack of preparation with his teammates and coaches, Russell was diagnosed with a “loose body” in his knee, requiring arthroscopic knee surgery in February. As a result, he missed 27 consecutive games. Russell returned on April 5, but head coach Chris Finch revealed that he’d been on a minutes restriction until just recently.

Minnesota is clearly being cautious with Russell. Upon closer review, Russell has been restricted to under 30 minutes per game in all of his first 10 games back. Since then, Russell is averaging 31 minutes per game including an encouraging 37 minutes on May 5 in a four-point loss to Memphis.

Since returning from knee surgery, Russell is averaging 27 minutes per game across 16 games. Despite starting 19 of the team’s first 20 games, he hadn’t started in any game since returning – until Wednesday.

On the whole, Russell’s impact is about the same as it was prior to the injury, which should be encouraging to Timberwolves’ fans. He’s scoring slightly less (18.8 points since returning vs. 19.3 prior), shooting better from the field (44.9% since returning vs 42.6%% prior) and has been just slightly worse from three-point range (37.4% since vs. 39.9 prior). He’s dishing out more assists per game (6.5 since vs. 5.1 prior), too, and he posted three double-digit assist games in his last five contents – a feat achieved only once all season prior to his last five games.

Despite playing more and dropping more dimes, there’s still room to improve. Looking back to his career-bests, Russell averaged 23.1 points per game in 2019-20 in 33 games with Golden State (23.6) and 12 games with Minnesota (21.7).

But his most impactful season came in 2018-19 with the Brooklyn Nets. That season, Russell averaged 21.1 points and 7.0 assists per game, leading the Nets to the playoffs and earning his first trip to the All-Star game. He looked incredibly comfortable, playing with supreme confidence and flashing the ability to lead a playoff team.

At his best, Russell is a dynamic playmaker. The beauty of Russell is that he can also play off the ball. He has a quick release on his jumper and impressive range. His game is not predicated on athleticism, meaning he should stay at his peak for longer than guys like De’Aaron Fox and Ja Morant.

And while he’s been in the league for what feels like ever (six seasons), Russell just turned 25 approximately two months ago. Granted, comparing anyone to Steph Curry is unwise, but Curry wasn’t Steph Curry yet at 25. Former MVP Steve Nash hadn’t yet averaged double-digits (points) at 25. Twenty-five is also an inflection point for Damian Lillard and Russell Westbrook. And the list goes on.

To be fair, Russell was drafted at 19 so he’s more acclimated to the league at this age than most, but his game will continue expanding nonetheless. He’ll develop trickier moves, become stronger and grow his shooting range. And a good deal of that growth should be evident as soon as next season since he’ll be fully healed from knee surgery and have a full offseason and training camp to finally work with teammates and coaches.

So while Minnesota’s 2020-21 season was incredibly bleak, their future is quite bright – and much of it has to do with the presence of Russell.

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NBA AM: Is This It for Indiana?

Following their major drop-off, Matt John explains why the Pacers trying to get back to where they were may not be the best decision.

Matt John

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Remember when, following the maligned trade of Paul George, the sky was the limit for the Indiana Pacers? The 2017-18 Pacers were one of the best stories in the NBA that season because they made their opponents work for their victories, and they put on a spectacle every night.

It’s hard to believe that all transpired three whole years ago. When Cleveland eliminated Indiana in a very tight first-round series, I asked if having the exciting season that they did – when many thought it would turn out the opposite – was going to benefit them in the long run. Three years later, this happens.

We were getting plenty of smoke about the Pacers’ drama behind-the-scenes beforehand, and now, we have seen the fire firsthand. More and more reports indicate that the crap has hit the fan. Indiana has seemingly already had enough of Nate Bjorkgren in only his first year as his coach. When you see the results they’ve had this season compared to the last three, it’s not hard to see why.

The Pacers have routinely found themselves in the 4-5 playoff matchup for the last three years. Sadly, despite their fight – and, to be fair, they had pretty awful injury luck the past two postseasons – they haven’t been able to get over the hump in the first round. They may not have been in the elite tier, but they weren’t slouches either. So, seeing them not only fail to take the next step but look more and more likely for the play-in is as discouraging as it gets. Especially after they started the season 6-2.

If these reports about the tensions between the players and Bjorkgren are real, then this has already become a lost season for the Pacers. It’s too late in the season to make any major personnel changes. At this point, their best route is just to cut their losses and wait until this summer to think over what the next move is.

In that case, let’s take a deep breath. This has been a weird season for everyone. Every aspect minus the playoffs has been shorter than usual since last October. Everything was shortened from the offseason to the regular season. Oh, and COVID-19 has played a role as the season has turned out, although COVID-19 has probably been the least of Indy’s problems. Let’s think about what next season would look like for Indiana.

TJ Warren comes back with a clean bill of health. Caris Levert gets more acquainted with the team and how they run. Who knows? Maybe they finally resolve the Myles Turner-Domantas Sabonis situation once and for all. A new coach can come aboard to steady the ship, and it already looks like they have an idea for who that’s going to be

Should they run it back, there’s a solid chance they can get back to where they were before. But that’s sort of the problem to begin with. Even if this recent Pacers’ season turns out to be just a negative outlier, their ceiling isn’t all too high anyway. A team that consists of Warren, Domantas Sabonis, Malcolm Brogdon, and Caris Levert as their core four is a solid playoff team. Having Turner, Doug McDermott, TJ McConnell, Jeremy Lamb, and the Holiday brothers rounds out a solid playoff team. Anyone who takes a good look at this roster knows that this roster is a good one. It’s not great though.

Just to be clear, Indiana has plenty of ingredients for a championship team. They just don’t have the main one: The franchise player. Once upon a time, it looked like that may have been Oladipo, but a cruel twist of fate took that all away. This isn’t a shot at any of the quality players they have on their roster, but think of it this way.

For the next couple of years, they’re going to go up against Kevin Durant, James Harden, and Kyrie Irving. All of whom are on the same team. For potentially even longer, they’ll be going up against the likes of Giannis Antetoukounmpo, Joel Embiid, and Jayson Tatum. With the roster they have, they could make a series interesting against any one of those teams. However, it’s a rule of thumb in the NBA that the team with the best player usually wins the series. Not to mention, they’d have to beat most of the teams those players play for to go on a substantial playoff run. That’s a pretty tall order.

There’s no joy in talking about the Pacers like this because they have built this overachieving underdog from nothing more than shrewd executive work. They turned a disgruntled and expiring Paul George into Oladipo and Sabonis. Both of whom have since become two-time all-stars (and counting). They then managed to turn an expiring and hobbled Oladipo – who had no plans to return to Indiana – into the electric Levert. They also pretty much stole Brogdon and Warren away while paying very little for either of them.

That is fantastic work. The only hangup is that, as of now, it just doesn’t seem like it will be enough. But, doubt and skepticism are things Indiana’s had thrown their way consistently since 2017. Many thought their approach to trading Paul George would blow up in their face, and since then, they’ve done everything in their power to make everyone eat their words.

Kevin Pritchard’s got his work cut out for him this summer. This season will hopefully turn out to be nothing more than performance ruined by both the wrong coaching hire and an unusual season that produced negatively skewed results. But at this point, Pritchard’s upcoming course of action this summer shouldn’t be about getting his team back to where they were, but deciding whether he can get them a step or two further than that by adding more to what they have or starting over completely.

Indiana’s had a rough go of it in this COVID-shortened season, but their disappointing play may have little to no bearing on where they go from here.

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