Don’t Blame Jimmy Butler
As we enter the 14th day of “Jimmy Butler Watch” in Minnesota, there are a few things worth pointing out about the situation and its ultimate resolution.
The timing of all of this is certainly the biggest issue for the Wolves and their fans. As Wolves forward Taj Gibson phrased it, it was absolutely a “gut punch” to a franchise that expected another training camp together to possibly mend some of the rough edges that surfaced during the season last year.
The problem is, the Wolves didn’t understand how insulted Butler was, so the franchise didn’t go out of its way to re-work Butler’s contract or address how disinterested Butler was in trying to make the Andrew Wiggins-Karl-Anthony Towns pairing work.
This brings us to second week of the drama of the Wolves trying to trade a multi-time All-Star just as training camps open.
Here are some thoughts worth considering:
Wolves Can’t Force A Trade
As much as the Wolves and their fans would like closure on the Butler situation, the Wolves can’t force another team to up their offer. Equally, the Wolves gave up a ton of value to obtain Butler on draft day in June 2017 and getting pennies on the dollar in return doesn’t seem to be overly attractive at this point.
It’s also important to note that NBA teams spend months assembling the rosters they bring into training camp. There is always a desire to see if what you have works as expected before blowing things up. The Wolves know that they can take what’s on the table now at almost any point in the season. The question is: Will someone get desperate and up the ante on a deal?
The Wolves have been super aggressive with the teams inquiring about Butler, either putting insane names on the table or countering offers with insane counter proposals. This has been the Wolves track record for a while, so no one really connected to the situation seems overly surprised, mainly because there is a sense in NBA circles that the Wolves have to salvage the Butler situation or the whole process in Minnesota will come apart (worse than it seems to be now).
The Wolves don’t have a ton of leverage in the situation other than to say no for a while longer. There is a reality that at some point (soon) they will have to pull the trigger even if the deal isn’t what they would hope – but at the same time, the reason a deal hasn’t been done yet is simply because the Wolves can’t force a team to deal them what they want in return.
What’s A Rental Worth?
The other part of the Butler situation is the prevailing notion that not only will Butler expect a huge new contract next July, but there’s also a big chance he could walk away as an unrestricted free agent, which is risky in a deal that could involve rookie-scale players and draft picks.
There is, however, no shortage of NBA teams willing to trade their own potentially-expiring contracts to the Wolves. What’s holding up a deal is the idea of an All-Star for an All-Star, and, worse yet, an All-Star under team control for a couple of years.
There is value in the rental situation, especially for a team that’s middling like the Miami HEAT, or a team that feels it is one player away from the NBA Finals like Milwaukee and Houston.
There is always doubt about the long-term odds of a rental situation, but as Paul George proved with the Thunder, sometimes a rental could be a long-term recruiting pitch, which can break a team’s way if the team is wildly successful.
Getting Under The Tax Matters
There is another factor in a Butler deal that is framing how aggressive some teams will go, and that’s the looming Repeater Luxury Tax some teams are facing.
The beauty of trading for Butler is that his Bird Rights go with him, so the acquiring team won’t need cap room to re-sign him, even to a monster new deal.
The flip side is that teams that have big contracts on the books now could see not only Luxury Tax penalty, but also the really punitive Repeater Tax penalty that comes with overspending in consecutive years.
Rockets ownership has already talked about their concerns over the limitations Repeater Tax has on team building. The Thunder also made several deals this past summer to reduce their tax burden.
Teams like Miami and Milwaukee are extremely mindful of their tax situations and how a bad deal could hamper their team development going forward.
So while it’s easy to say a team should take Butler and whatever other cap luggage the Wolves want to pack into a trade, there are harsh realities that teams have to weigh in when it comes to what they will take back in a Butler deal. Equally, with both Wiggins and Towns now locked into huge new deals, the Wolves have to keep their eye on the tax line too – especially with some of the secondary deals they have done to build the current team.
Jimmy Didn’t Pick Minnesota
As much as people love the narrative of former Chicago Bulls players running back to Wolves president and head coach Tom Thibodeau, the truth is Butler didn’t pick the Timberwolves. The Wolves chose him.
In what has been well-publicized, Butler really believed he was staying in Chicago and in-line for a Supermax deal from the Bulls. They opted to trade Butler, and the rest is history.
Butler wasn’t unhappy with the reunion with Thibodeau, but he wasn’t thrilled to have left some $40-$50 million behind in Chicago. It’s why the Wolves inability to re-work his contract this summer ultimately poisoned the relationship.
Butler isn’t without blame in all of this. He was temperamental all of last season. His expectations that the Wolves would or could dump off enough cap money to rework his deal was far-fetched to begin with, especially given how little open cap space there was this summer. But none of that changes that Butler didn’t pick the Wolves.
It is easy to get caught up in the process teams go through to obtain players and believe there should be loyalty to a situation, whether that players teams draft, sign, re-sign and/or even trade for.
The truth of it is the NBA is a business, and every time the romance of the teams comes into play, there is a brutal example of how cold the business really is.
Ask Blake Griffin -the LA Clippers told him he’d be, “a Clipper for life,” and he was traded less than six months later.
It is easy to be mad at NBA players who ask out of unfavorable or undesirable situations, but the truth of the matter is NBA careers are short. Expecting players to remain in situations they don’t want is unrealistic, especially when teams will ultimately cave and concede to a trade in the spirit of the bigger team dynamic.
While it’s likely the Butler situation will come to a close sooner rather than later, at this point there doesn’t seem to be a front-runner for Butler.
Although, that could change fairly quickly.
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NBA Daily: Bought Out Players Faring Well With New Teams
The deadline for teams to send their unwanted players to the buyout market was March 1. Jordan Hicks takes a look at some of the key acquisitions since the deadline and how they are helping postseason pushes.
The buyout market seems to be gaining more and more popularity with each season. While rebuilding teams tend to forego more seasoned players in order to give their younger guys some run, veteran players often find themselves bought out or waived prior to the deadline.
Teams competing for a spot in the playoffs – so it seems – have increasingly taken advantage of this situation by signing guys that can definitely help them get enough wins. While you definitely will not find All-Stars in the pool of available players, oftentimes solid role players find themselves there due to a myriad of reasons.
It could be that their previous teams wanted to give more playing time to guys more in-line with their future plans. It could also be because their previous team was simply wanting to lose games in order to increase their draft position, which is also known as tanking. By waiving better players on your roster and keeping less talented ones, teams can essentially give themselves a better chance to lose games without totally making it look like they’re doing it on purpose.
This year had one of the stronger pools of players on the buyout/waived market as of March 1st in recent memory, so let’s take a look at some of the top players and how they’ve fared since joining their new team.
Matthews was part of the marquee trade that sent Kristaps Porzingis to the Dallas Mavericks. He ended up with the Knicks, but after two short games, they realized they didn’t want his talent interfering with their draft position. They waived him prior to the deadline and he was picked up by the Indiana Pacers.
This has turned out to be an incredibly important acquisition for the Pacers – primarily due to the fact that they lost All-Star Victor Oladipo for the season.
Matthews brings grittiness on the defensive end and a diverse set of skills offensively. He is an above average shooter from the three-point line, averaging 38.8 percent on 6.1 attempts per game since joining Indiana. He has added much-needed scoring to the offense as well – currently at 12.5 points and 2.4 assists each night.
He’s very clearly a step below Oladipo, especially when considering what Vic brought to both ends of the floor, but the fact that the Pacers added him without having to give up any assets is pretty remarkable.
While he has yet to add any considerable value on defense, Matthews has ranked fifth on the team in offensive rating since joining them on February 7. If Oladipo was still on the roster, you could argue that they wouldn’t necessarily need Matthews. But in light of recent events, being able to add Matthews as easily as they did was certainly a win for the franchise.
Another player the Knicks decided to unload was Enes Kanter. He was sent to the player pool via buyout, and it is safe to assume that New York had to spend handsomely to send him there.
Kanter is an interesting player. He has always been able to get buckets around the rim, as well as grab rebounds, but he has always struggled defensively. This was not why the Knicks wanted to let him go, however. Tension had been growing between Kanter, the front office, and the coaching staff, as they wanted to limit his minutes in lieu of the younger players on the roster.
Enes just wanted to play, and, by being bought out and signing with the Portland Trail Blazers, he’s been able to do just that.
Since joining Portland, the team as gone 9-3. While he continues to have his struggles on defense, he is posting 10 points and 6.7 rebounds on only 18.2 minutes per night.
Since the acquisition, Meyers Leonard has seen a decreased role. Kanter has turned into the de-facto backup to starting center Jusuf Nurkic. While Kanter is a poor defender himself, Portland has enough solid defensive players in the frontcourt that they haven’t had too much of a problem hiding him on that end of the floor.
Lin headed to the market after being bought out by the Atlanta Hawks. He was picked up by the Toronto Raptors, who have struggled to field consistent backcourt players off the bench due to injuries – which was made more difficult after dealing Delon Wright to the Grizzlies as part of the Marc Gasol trade.
In 13 games with the Raptors, Lin is averaging 8.4 points and 2.5 assists in 20.8 minutes per game. He has struggled to find any consistency with his shot, as he’s averaging just 39 percent from the field and a morbid 18.4 percent from three.
That shooting has every opportunity to increase. Lin is a 34.3 percent shooter from downtown over the course of his career.
The Raptors will need Lin to pull his shooting together as the season wraps up for a strong playoff campaign. The bench unit was a major part of their success last season and it is proving to be another key part this year. In order for Toronto to finally reach their goal of winning the Eastern Conference, they’ll need Lin to be at his best. He isn’t the only key to their success, but he’ll have a major impact on how the Raptors finish out the season.
There are still plenty of solid players on the market. Carmelo Anthony, Ben McLemore and Nick Young could provide instant offense off the bench. Greg Monroe, Marcin Gortat and Zach Randolph could help improve the frontcourt of any team in need. Whether or not teams decide they need their services, only time will tell.
While the season plays out, it will be interesting to see just what impact these players discussed – as well as those not mentioned – will have for their franchise in the postseason.
NBA Daily: Justin Bibbs Gets First NBA Opportunity In L.A.
Justin Bibbs spoke to Basketball Insiders about joining an NBA team after going undrafted, playing in the G League, his developing skill set and more.
One of the best moments in the life of an aspiring pro basketball player is to receive the news that an NBA team wants to sign them.
For Justin Bibbs, that dream became a reality of his when the Los Angeles Clippers called him up to the team on a 10-day contract last week. The former Virginia Tech guard went undrafted last summer and was spending his first professional season in the G League with Maine Red Claws, the affiliate of the Boston Celtics.
This past Sunday against the Brooklyn Nets was actually his first day being around the team as they had immediately assigned him to the Agua Caliente Clippers after signing him.
“To be honest, I still don’t have words for it. It’s kind of indescribable,” Bibbs told Basketball Insiders. “I always wanted to be on this level, but now that I’m here I just trying to take in every second of it, just relax and let God do his thing.”
Bibbs had a decent showing with the Celtics in summer league, leading to him being added to their training camp roster. He was ultimately cut and joined the Maine Red Claws as an affiliate player. Each NBA team is allowed to assign up to four players to their G League affiliate, players who were in training camp and are guaranteed a G League roster spot.
Affiliate players, however, are still considered ‘free agents’ in that they can sign with any NBA team. Bibbs played in 44 games with the Red Claws and averaged 11.8 points per game, 3.0 rebounds and 2.7 assists.
At Virginia Tech, he was a knockdown outside shooter (42.4 percent) and a strong defender. He has good size for a guard at 6-foot-5 and 225-pounds. It’s those qualities that he’s hoping to bring to the Clippers should he get the chance on the court.
“I always bring energy defensively and I just play my game. On offense, I bring shooting,” Bibbs told Basketball Insiders. “But it’s whatever the coach tells me to do and basically just playing the right way.”
Although Bibbs has reached his goal of the NBA, he’s in a different situation than the rest of his Clippers teammates. They’re all secured with guaranteed contracts. Bibbs has ten days to prove himself to team brass, ten days to show he’s worth keeping around a bit longer.
“I’m happy that my play has been rewarded, that the organization believed in me enough to give me a 10-day. Its motivation for me to keep going,” Bibbs told Basketball Insiders. “I was called down from the G League team, and I’m just trying to get all the sets and plays and stuff, trying to make that adjustment. But it’s definitely a blessing.”
He’s played in three games for the Agua Caliente Clippers so far, logging 27.1 minutes per game off the bench. He’s put up 9.7 points per game on 45.8 percent shooting from the field, 5.0 rebounds and 2.3 assists during that stretch.
He’s yet to log any minutes for the Clippers, but he’s just thrilled to be a part of an NBA organization. Despite being undrafted, he always knew that he’d get to this level at some point.
“Yeah I did, for sure I did. I didn’t know when or how, but I always thought I would be here,” Bibbs told Basketball Insiders. “I had no idea what team, but being out in LA, I’ll take that as a blessing. But yeah I thought I would be here for sure.”
For players like Bibbs who are on 10-day contracts, nothing is guaranteed. But he’s soaking up the entire experience as long as he can. Whether the Clippers decide to retain him a little bit longer, or he moves on to another opportunity, he just wants to be able to play his game.
“My overall goal is just to actually play my game my way and not be restricted,” Bibbs told Basketball Insiders. “Kind of just play freely and right now that’s what I’ve shown, that’s what got me here. I’m just taking in the whole process, just taking it all in and getting the experience and knowledge.”
NBA Daily: 60-Pick NBA Mock Draft – 3/19/19
With the field of teams set for the 2019 NCAA March Madness tournament, things should get noisy over the next few weeks on the NBA Draft front. Steve Kyler offers up another 60-pick Mock Draft before all the zaniness begins.
Let the Madness begin.
The basketball world will shift its attention to college basketball’s biggest stage over the next few weeks, especially this weekend’s opening round of 64.
While the tournament doesn’t necessarily make or break a player’s draft stock, this will be the first time some notable draft prospects will face elite talent and, more importantly, the pressure of the big stage. You can check out march madness predictions 2019 here.
Expect things in the draft world to start to percolate, not just because of the magnitude of the games, but also because a lot of NBA scouts will be in the same places, which is where the draft chatter originates.
Equally, a lot of NBA teams will watch games together in the conference rooms this week, so more group discussion on players will happen inside NBA teams’ front offices, and that could lead to new preference information flowing into the NBA Draft information bubble.
Here is this week’s 60-Pick Mock Draft, based on NBA games played through 3/18/19:
Here are the first-round picks that are owed and how those picks landed where they are.
The Atlanta Hawks are to receive the Cleveland Cavaliers’ first-round pick as a result of the Kyle Korver trade in 2017, which is top-10 protected. But based on the standings, it will not be conveyed.
The Boston Celtics are to receive the Memphis Grizzlies first-round pick as a result of the three-team Jeff Green trade in 2015; the pick is top-eight protected and, based on the current standings, would not convey.
The Atlanta Hawks are to receive the Dallas Mavericks first-round pick as a result of the Luka Dončić – Trae Young swap on draft night in 2018. The pick is top-five protected and, based on the standings, would convey.
The Boston Celtics are to receive the more favorable of either the Sacramento Kings or Philadelphia 76ers first-round picks as part of the Markelle Fultz pre-draft trade in 2017. Based on the current standings, the Kings pick is the more favorable and would convey to Boston.
The Boston Celtics are to receive the LA Clippers first-round pick as a result of the Deyonta Davis draft day trade with Memphis in 2016. The Grizzlies got the pick in their Jeff Green/Lance Stephenson deal at the deadline in 2016. The pick is lottery protected and, based on the current standings, would not convey.
The Cleveland Cavaliers are to receive the Houston Rockets first-round pick as a result of the three-team deadline deal that sent out Brandon Knight and Marquese Chriss.
The Brooklyn Nets are to receive the Denver Nuggets first-round pick as a result of the Kenneth Faried – Darrell Arthur trade in July 2018. The pick is top-12 protected and, based on the current standings, would convey.
The San Antonio Spurs are to receive the Toronto Raptors first-round pick as a result of the Kawhi Leonard – DeMar DeRozan trade in July 2018. The pick is top-20 protected and, based on the current standings, would convey.
The Phoenix Suns are to receive the Milwaukee Bucks first-round pick as a result of the Eric Bledsoe trade in 2017. The pick has top 3 and 17-30 protections, designed to yield a lottery-level pick to Phoenix. Based on the current standings this pick would not convey. If the debt is not settled this year, the pick in 2020 would be top-7 protected.
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