Connect with us

NBA

NBA Daily: The Effects Of Victor Oladipo’s Injury

Victor Oladipo’s unfortunate season-ending injury will make a sizable impact for both the Pacers and their Eastern Conference competitors, writes Matt John.

Matt John

Published

on

First thing’s first: Pray for a full recovery for Victor Oladipo.

The man has been one of the most inspirational stories since arriving in Indiana a year and a half ago, as he went from disappointing lottery pick to unexpected superstar. His evolution as one of the league’s top two-way guards has made him the main attraction for one of the most likable teams in the NBA.

It’s also such a feel-good story because players and reporters alike have time and time again praised Oladipo for his likability. To see one of the most revered players in the league blossom into the excellent player that he is today really warms the heart.

And it really breaks the heart to see his knee give out the way it did on Thursday. Oladipo deserves props for taking his injury like a champ. It couldn’t have been easy with his trainer covering his kneecap with a towel and being carried off in a stretcher. Yet, he still seemed to be in high spirits, gesturing to the fans and high-fiving teammates.

It’s good that he stays positive because suffering a season-ending injury is tough to endure. Now that he’s been officially been diagnosed with a ruptured quad tendon in his right knee, Oladipo has officially been deemed out for the season, which has ramifications in various facets across the league.

The Pacers

Losing Victor Oladipo would certainly appear to be a death blow for Indiana. He is the unquestioned alpha dog of this team who would have made his second consecutive all-star team before his injury prematurely ended his season.

Something to keep in mind though: ‘Dipo’s stats had taken a slight step back in his second season in Indy.

His first season, he averaged 23.1 points on 47.7 percent shooting including 37 percent from three, as well as 5.2 rebounds and 4.3 assists a game. He also had an effective field goal percentage of almost 53 as well as a true shooting percentage of 57.7. These numbers were good enough to get Oladipo a spot on the All-NBA Third Team.

Compare that to this season – it’s been an almost all-around drop. Oladipo’s averaging 18.8 points on 42.3 percent shooting including 34.3 percent from three, as well as 5.6 rebounds and 5.2 assists. His effective field goal percentage has dropped all the way to 48.6 and his true shooting percentage dropped to almost 52 percent.

All of this is being said not to take anything away from Victor – his numbers could point to his knee holding him back all season – but to point out that, despite his regression, the Pacers haven’t suffered much from it. In fact, they’ve actually gotten better overall as a team even with his struggles.

Remember that the Pacers won 48 games last season thanks to Oladipo’s superhuman efforts. This season, they currently sport a record of 32-15, which puts them on pace to win about 56 games. That pace will more than likely falter with him down for the count, but the point is the team’s evolution since last year could help them manage even without their star.

What also works in Indy’s favor is that outside of Oladipo, they have a lot of top-notch role players on expiring contracts. Thaddeus Young, Tyreke Evans and Bojan Bogdanovic among others among others will all be playing for a new contract this summer. All of them will surely be trying to look the best they can to look good for their next contract. With Victor out, they’ll get more touches which should give them the opportunity to prove themselves.

Lastly, we’ll get to see what Myles Turner and Aaron Holiday are made of. Turner still hasn’t exactly turned the corner, but he currently ranks sixth in Defense Real Plus-Minus right now. Now comes the test to see if he can handle a bigger offensive role, which could do wonders for him reaching his potential.

In Holiday’s case, rumor had it that the Pacers were trying to trade either Collison or Joseph in order to make room for Holiday because he’s been impressive when he’s gotten minutes. The only issue is that the Pacers have Joseph and Darren Collison to take up the majority of the minutes at point guard. Now that more minutes will open up, the Pacers get the opportunity to see just how polished Holiday is without trading one of their guys.

It’s not the prettiest outlook, but the Pacers are still a rugged playoff team, with or without Oladipo.

The Eastern Conference

The worst part about Oladipo’s injury is the timing. If this had happened at the start of the season, then so much could be different for Indy right now. The Pacers would be given the choice to either make a playoff push or tank for the lottery. Sadly, we’ve gone past the halfway mark this season which doesn’t give the Pacers much freedom to do what they want to do considering where they stand.

Indiana’s 32-15 record currently has them placed as the third seed in the Eastern Conference playoff race. They are currently two-and-a-half games in back of both Toronto and Milwaukee for the top seed while also being one game ahead of Philadelphia and two-and-a-half games ahead of Boston.

Oladipo’s knee injury could certainly shake a lot up. How Indiana does in his absence depends on how they handle their schedule. According to Tankathon, Indiana has the 11th-hardest remaining schedule. Since Toronto has the easiest remaining schedule and Milwaukee isn’t too far behind with the 27th-hardest remaining schedule, catching them isn’t likely.

Keeping the third seed away from Boston and Philadelphia, even if it’s not going to be easy, is a more doable task. Boston has the seventh-hardest remaining schedule while Philly has the 14th-hardest schedule. Both of those teams will be coming at full force at Indiana as we enter the second half of the season. If Indiana holds strong, they should be proud of getting that third seed.

Then again, facing the red-hot Brooklyn Nets – who are starting to distinguish themselves as the sixth seed – may not be a much better fate than the Celtics or the Sixers.

The Trade Deadline

Before Oladipo’s knee gave out, there was much speculation – no confirmed interest as of now – that the Pacers would potentially be a player in the Mike Conley sweepstakes with Memphis appearing to be listening to offers for him.

Conley would give a fully healthy Pacers team a little more star power and playoff experience that they need to put next to Oladipo. As well-rounded as Indiana’s roster is, outside of ‘Dipo, they don’t have anyone on that roster currently who is a full-fledged all-star. Because of that, Milwaukee, Toronto, Philadelphia and Boston would all have an edge in a playoff series because of their star power. Conley would fix that.

Indiana appeared to be a perfect destination for him. As stated before, they had the money to match, expiring contracts and even a nice youthful asset in Holiday to attract the Grizzlies. Now that Oladipo is out for the season, that would probably throw a wrench in the Pacers’ plans in going after Conley if they wanted him beforehand.

But… What if it didn’t?

What if the Pacers truly don’t believe this season is over even with their best player out until next season? As well as they’ve played over the past year and a half, there’s no guarantee that they can land themselves a player as good as Conley via free agency. A player of his caliber doesn’t go on the trade market every day, and if they are really trying to keep their playoff push as strong as they can, getting him definitely would help in stabilizing the roster.

Conley is only 31 and his contract goes another two years after this season. Even if he is overpaid compared to most of the players in the NBA, he’s not a bad investment. And if it works, imagine what he and Oladipo could look like next season.

Again, this is all just pure speculation. Indiana may be happy the way it is and might decide to stay the way it is, but don’t be shocked if the team take its chances on Conley. Utah, who has recently played much better and is looking for more firepower to combat the loaded West, is reportedly interested in him. If Indy wants him aboard, they need to go after him now.

Nobody likes to see star players like Victor Oladipo have their season end right in the thick of an intense playoff race, but that’s the obstacle Indiana currently faces. It’s not going to be easy from here on out, but no matter what happens with the Pacers, they’ll be sure to go down swinging.

Matt John is a staff writer for Basketball Insiders. He is currently a Utah resident, but a Massachusetts native.

Advertisement




Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

NBA

NBA Daily: Examining the Eastern Conference Contenders

Matt John takes a look at the four titans who will be fighting for the Eastern Conference crown this May.

Matt John

Published

on

The day after the trade deadline passed, LeBron James had some interesting things to say about the arms race that was going down between the Eastern Conference titans.

“They know they ain’t gotta go through Cleveland anymore,” James said. “Everybody in the East thinks they can get to the Finals because they ain’t gotta go through me.”

It’s notable that the Lakers are currently toeing the line between making the playoffs and playing the lottery odds. That does, however, beg the question: What if LeBron stayed in Cleveland?

Now if that had happened, then a lot of things would probably be different for the Cavaliers right now. There’s no telling if they would have kept the pick the Nets owed them, or if they would be playing Kyle Korver, George Hill, and J.R. Smith right now.

It would have added another intriguing wrinkle to what has been the tightest formerly-five-currently-four-man race going on at the top of the Eastern Conference in quite some time. Whether you agree that Cleveland would still be the frontrunner in the East with James, there doesn’t really appear to be a clear-cut favorite to represent the East anymore. Plenty of fans and analysts would give their takes on who stands out among the pack, but there’s no consensus pick.

In a sense, LeBron’s kind of right. He was a tyrant – or a “King” if you will – that set the bar year-in and year-out for the past decade. It gave his rivals motivation to play at one hundred percent, though it made the East a little predictable. With LeBron gone, the suspense as to who will take his throne makes it all the more fun.

The season is now coming down the home stretch. With less than 25 games left, Milwaukee, Toronto, Philadelphia, and Boston will fight tooth and nail to get home court advantage over each other. Who has the edge? Well, let’s take a look.

Milwaukee Bucks
Record: 44-14
Strength of Remaining Schedule: .465 (27th overall)
Record against competitors: 5-2

They finally did it. After years of looking as incredible as they were inconsistent, the Bucks have hit a breakthrough. It turns out all they needed was to put the right personnel around the Greek Freak (i.e. floor spacers and impact defenders). Oh, and a coach who could bring all of the notable talent together. The pieces are now fitting into place for the Bucks. Giannis is now going full-throttle with a supporting cast who only make Milwaukee all the harder to stop. Their league-leading point differential (9.6) tops the league by a fair margin, which indicates that this may not only be a fluke but the first sign of the glorious future we all believed the Bucks had.

MVP: Giannis Antetokounmpo – If it weren’t for James Harden putting up legendary numbers, Giannis would be the frontrunner for MVP. So much has been said about him that there’s not much to be added, so let’s leave it at this. Many have said if he starts hitting threes, he’ll be unstoppable. When you see his dominance in the paint – he’s shooting 77.3 percent in the paint – it makes you wonder if he really has to.
X-Factor: Eric Bledsoe – He’s had a nice bounce-back after a rocky half-season in Milwaukee. The record still stands that he was outplayed by Terry Rozier in his first playoff action as a starter. If the Bucks are to maintain their success in the postseason, Bledsoe must avoid a repeat performance from last postseason.
Unsung Hero: Malcolm Brogdon – People can scoff all they want at Brogdon’s Rookie of the Year Award. The fact is, the Bucks absolutely need him. They are +7.1 with him on the court, good for second behind, well, who do you think?
Pivotal Question: Will the supporting cast (including Coach Bud) keep it up in the playoffs?

Toronto Raptors
Record: 43-16
Strength of Remaining Schedule: .450 (30th overall)
Record against competitors: 6-5

Do you know what’s odd about the Raptors? Going by net rating, they’ve actually taken a step back this season. Last season, the Raptors had the second best offensive rating (113.8) and the fifth best defensive rating (105.9). This season, they have the seventh-best offensive rating (113) and the eighth best defensive rating (107.4). Yet somehow, the genuine belief is that this is the best team they’ve ever assembled. With Marc Gasol and Jeremy Lin added to the team, the Raptors have made it clear that they’re not messing around.

MVP: Kawhi Leonard – Remember when Kevin Durant implied that Kawhi was a system player for the Spurs? Maybe that’s why Kawhi wanted out because he’s proven that notion wrong. He hasn’t skipped a beat in Canada and has even averaged career-highs both in scoring and rebounding average. He’d be an MVP candidate if he hadn’t missed 16 games.
X-Factor: Kyle Lowry – If Leonard is going to be the alpha dog of this team, he needs a second-in-command. Lowry’s numbers have dipped, but he’s got the experience. He’s folded in the playoffs before. Perhaps with less pressure, he can step up his game.
Unsung Hero: Serge Ibaka – With everything else that’s gone right for Toronto, Ibaka’s full acclimation to the center position has given him new life offensively. He’s putting up some of the best scoring, rebounding, and assist averages he’s had either ever or in years.
Pivotal Question: Will Nick Nurse get the team finally past its long-lived playoff demons?

Philadelphia 76ers
Record: 38-21
Strength of Remaining Schedule: .486 (21st Overall)
Record against competitors: 1-7

We have seen three iterations of the Sixers this season. One with Dario Saric and Robert Covington, one that added Jimmy Butler, then one that added primarily Tobias Harris among others. That’s a lot of talent to integrate in such a short time. Lucky for them, by adding Butler and Harris, the Sixers have the most talented starting five in the East. The Process is now at 100 percent capacity. They may have holes, but their Warriors-esque talent level may make it so that it won’t be a problem.

MVP: Joel Embiid – At age 24, Embiid has now taken his first steps into superstardom. 27.3 points, 13.5 rebounds, 3.5 assists along with 1.9 blocks is sure to Joel among the ranks of the league’s top centers. Perhaps what’s most encouraging is that, before this recent knee ailment, Embiid has only missed five games.
X-Factor: The Bench – The Sixers also loaded up the second unit by adding Boban Marjanovic, Mike Scott, Jonathon Simmons and James Ennis III. By doing so, they really are committing to positionless basketball. It honestly could work if they use it to the best advantage they could.
Unsung Hero: Jimmy Butler – Butler’s fit with the Sixers hasn’t been smooth, but, even with the decreased scoring numbers, Butler is quietly putting up some of the most efficient percentages he’s ever had this season, both from three and the field itself.
Pivotal Question: Will they be able to stop any elite point guards?

Boston Celtics
Record: 37-22
Strength of Remaining Schedule: .516 (10th Overall)
Record against competitors: 6-3

The Celtics are somehow a team that’s played badly enough that they’re a disappointment yet played well enough that people shouldn’t give up on them. After a mediocre start, most of the results that have come from the Celtics have been positive. That’s come with some frustrating losses, but the team has been resilient after every bad stretch they’ve had. A common characteristic of Brad Stevens teams is that they play at their best as the season approaches its end. With their guys finally getting past their injury issues, we may see more of the same in the best way yet.

MVP: Kyrie Irving – Kyrie’s chaotic free agency plans have gotten in the way of what’s been a great season for him. He’s put up his usual scoring numbers, but his passing, rebounding and defense have been the best they’ve ever been. The Celtics have proven their fine without him. They’re still better off having him on the court.
X-Factor: Gordon Hayward – It’s been reported to death by now that Hayward’s made some encouraging process in recent weeks. Let’s leave it at this – if he is 100 percent by the playoffs, that makes the Celtics so much scarier. People forget just how good Gordon Hayward was merely two years ago.
Unsung Hero: Al Horford – After the last Celtics-Sixers game, many believe Horford is going to be a matchup problem for Embiid. Correction: Horford’s skillset and IQ make him a matchup problem for everyone.
Pivotal Question: Will they find a consistent rhythm by the season’s end?

Some of you are probably going to be outraged that Indiana is not included on this list, and for good reason. They still are the third-seeded team in the East, they’ve just recently had a six-game winning streak snapped, and they have one of the league’s best defenses.

With all due respect, it’s pretty simple. No Victor Oladipo, no contest. The Pacers are still one of the most well-liked and well-rounded teams in the league. It doesn’t change the fact that in the playoffs, having star power gives a huge advantage. Without Oladipo, Indiana is completely deprived of it.

If it’s any comfort, with a fully healthy Oladipo next season, they are more than worthy of being put with this group.

Here’s to hoping that by next year, this group will stay the same when he does.

Continue Reading

NBA

NBA Daily: Are The Kings Destined For The Playoffs?

As the season starts up again after the All-Star Break, Jordan Hicks looks into the Sacramento Kings and what it will take for them to end their playoff drought.

Jordan Hicks

Published

on

Sacramento Kings fans should be incredibly happy regardless of how this season ends.

For the first time in what seems like forever they have a promising young team that is not only winning games, but maintaining a certain form of consistency doing so. With the foundation of youthful stars like De’Aaron Fox, Buddy Hield, Bogdan Bogdanovic, and Marvin Bagley III, how can Kings faithful not be hyper-optimistic?

The Kings are geared for success over the course of the next few years, but could their time come sooner than that? Do they actually have a shot at making the playoffs this season? The trade deadline acquisitions of Harrison Barnes and Alec Burks, two vets that can make an instant impact, make it seem like they believe their time is now.

Breaking things down, the question becomes – what actually needs to happen for the Kings to make the playoffs this season? The simple answer is to win games.

What have they been doing thus far to put more ticks in the W column? Shooting the three efficiently jumps out. They are currently fourth in the league in three-point percentage at 37.7 percent. While this number is oddly similar to last season’s percentage, they are shooting about seven more threes per game.

Sacramento is also playing incredibly quick basketball. They are second in the league in pace (the number of possessions per 48 minutes). Some could argue that this doesn’t always translate into a positive outcome, but for Sacramento it does. They are leading the NBA in fastbreak points at 21.7 points per game and are sixth in the league at points in the paint. Their defense is translating into offense as well, as they are second in the league at points off turnovers.

While their strengths are definitely elite, they clearly have weaknesses, too. They sit in 18th for both offensive and defensive rating, good for a -1.2 net rating. They are an abysmal 28th in free throw shooting.

Apart from Willie Cauley-Stein – who likely isn’t a major part of their future – they lack an elite rim protector. This leaves their defense prone to giving up more points in the paint. They are currently 26th in the league at opponent points in the paint. The lack of rim protection clearly correlates with their inability to grab defensive boards. They are tied for last in the league at opponent second-chance points.

One would assume that if the Kings simply tighten up their defensive focus that they would be able to close out strong and make the playoffs. They are currently ninth in the West, only one-and-a-half games behind the Clippers who just traded away their best player in Tobias Harris and two-and-a-half games behind the Spurs, who are somehow putting together a strong season despite losing Kawhi Leonard via trade and Dejounte Murray to injury.

As the season gets deeper, however, the Kings won’t be the only team tightening things up for a final playoff push. Every other team will likely be doing the same thing. While the Kings are just a small shot from the playoffs, both the Lakers and Timberwolves are nipping at their heels as well.

The Warriors, Nuggets and Thunder have done enough to separate themselves from the pack, to a degree at least. So that essentially leaves eight teams fighting for the remaining five slots. You can likely write off the Clippers, as they traded away their star player for future assets, and quite possibly the Timberwolves, as they may not have enough depth on their roster. This leaves the Kings and Lakers. If history has taught us anything, it’s that LeBron James likes to play in the postseason.

Sacramento has 24 games left to play this season. Their next two are at Oklahoma City and Minnesota. If they can somehow manage to squeak out one win in that stretch that will keep them above .500 and still fighting for a spot. After that stretch, 11 of their final 22 games are against teams projected to make the playoffs. Apart from two games against the Knicks, one against the Suns, and one against the Cavaliers, none of the remaining 11 games not against playoff teams will be “gimmes.”

Their final three are away against Utah, home against New Orleans and away against Portland. For sure they will be battling with two (and potentially three) of those teams for playoff positioning.

As far as the Lakers – who after their head-to-head win Thursday are a game behind Sacramento and two games out of the playoffs – their schedule isn’t much easier. 15 of their final 24 games are against projected playoff teams. That victory over Sacramento at Staples could actually end up being incredibly important for who makes the playoffs and who loses out.

Whether or not the Kings make the playoffs is anyone’s guess. If Fox and Hield play elite ball to close out the season, that will definitely increase their chances. Strong play from deadline acquisitions Burks and Barnes will also play a huge role in the Kings’ final push.

Like previously mentioned, Kings’ fans should be happy either way. This is the brightest the team’s future has been in well over a decade.

But the Kings likely won’t settle for “promising” or “up-and-coming.” They want success now, and making the playoffs will give them the reward that they’ve been working so hard for.

Continue Reading

NBA

How The NBA Became The Most Betting-Friendly League In American Sports

Basketball Insiders

Published

on

The NBA has become synonymous with betting conversations during the Adam Silver era, with the league frequently being at the forefront of those discussions. Compared to the other professional sports leagues in the United States, the NBA has not only appeared to be the most progressive with regard to the topic, but it has also looked like the league that is the most likely to get further involved in the industry.

Of course, the league has placed a focus on sports betting, given that they have a vested interest in the continued legalization of that. They have mentioned that they would like a cut of NBA wagers placed, with the industry’s growth in the United States being something that the league could see improving the bottom-line.

Whether or not the NBA gets a piece of the action from a financial perspective, it is still surprising to see a major professional sports league in the United States willing to entertain the conversation at all. By comparison, the NFL has been largely afraid to discuss sports betting, while Major League Baseball has banned its all-time leading hitter for life for gambling-related offenses.

And it isn’t as if the NBA is only interested in gambling in the context of betting on NBA games. The league has relationships in the daily fantasy sports industry as well, with visibility for brands in that space seen in NBA arenas as well. And the NBA-subsidized WNBA is also a part of this betting-friendly basketball landscape, most notably in the form of a team named after a casino.

The Connecticut Sun is that team, as they play in the home of a popular casino in their area. Both the NBA’s Phoenix Suns and WNBA’s Phoenix Mercury play in a venue named after a casino as well. And it is the casino industry that the NBA may conceivably expand into as their relationships in the betting industry appear to be growing in both quality and quantity. With the growth of online casinos, it isn’t impossible to envision the NBA encouraging its fans to compare the best casino bonuses to increase its market share in this growing industry.

Of course, with the betting renaissance that is going on in the United States at this time, the league is making sure that everyone knows that its integrity is not to be questioned. The league has made clear that they are going to ramp up the enforcement of its betting policies, to make sure that players aren’t compromising the game’s integrity. That move by the league is a smart one, as it makes sure that fans know that there is no reason to question the sport even if the league embraces betting.

The NBA is seeing progress across the sport, from its on-court evolution that prioritizes ball movement and long-range shooting, to its off-court stances on betting. Unlike the other major American sports, that willingness to evolve is part of what has caused the popularity of the NBA to skyrocket in recent years.

Continue Reading
Advertisement

NBA Team Salaries

Advertisement

Insiders On Twitter

NBA On Twitter

Trending Now