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Heat vs. Mavericks: Preview, Predictions and Betting Picks

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On Tuesday, Nov. 2, 2021, the Miami Heat (5-1) are playing the Dallas Mavericks (4-2) at American Airlines Center. As of yet, the Heat are 5-1 against the spread in the 2021-22 NBA regular season, whereas the Mavericks are 2-4 against the spread. BetUS odds are featured below.

Game Information

Start time: 7:30 p.m. ET

Location: American Airlines Center; Dallas, Texas

TV channels: Bally Sports Southwest, NBA League Pass, TNT

Radio broadcast: KEGL/KFZO, WAXY/WAQI

Live stream: Hulu + Live TV (seven-day free trial), YouTube TV (14-day free trial)

ESPN’s Basketball Power Index: Heat have a 50.9% chance of winning

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Miami Heat vs. Dallas Mavericks news

According to Land of Basketball’s database, these two teams have played a total of 69 regular season games against one another all-time. Till now, the Heat are 36-33 versus the Mavs. In the past three head-to-head meetings, Dallas is 2-1 versus Miami. On May 4, 2021, the last time these teams faced off during the regular season, the Mavs won 127-113 on the road. Heading into Tuesday night’s intraconference matchup, Miami is 7-3 against Dallas in the previous 10 head-to-head contests.

Leading into tonight’s game, the Mavericks and DirecTV announced a deal to offer money relief to fans who want to watch live games via streaming. As of now, DirecTV is the only streaming platform that includes Bally Sports Southwest. As stated below, the first 10,000 new subscribers who sign up for the CHOICE package will receive a $50 monthly credit for each month of maintained service. Though, this deal lasts up to five months.

Injury Report

Furthermore, for the Heat, shooting guard Victor Oladipo remains out indefinitely. Likewise, small forward Max Strus was downgraded to out against Dallas. To add to the list, center Bam Adebayo is listed as questionable to play tonight. He is still recovering from a knee injury.

For the Mavs, power forward Kristaps Porzingis is listed as questionable to play in tonight’s game. In addition to Porzingis, power forward Maxi Kleber was downgraded to out. He needs more time to recover from a back issue.

Miami Heat vs. Dallas Mavericks betting lines

Heat vs Mavericks 2021-22 NBA Season Preview, Predictions and Picks

Over/Under: 210

Point spread: Heat -2.5 (-110)

Best moneyline: Heat -140, Mavericks +120

Miami Heat vs. Dallas Mavericks preview

Moreover, on Saturday, in the Heat’s 129-103 road win over the Grizzlies, forward Jimmy Butler led his team in scoring, amassing 27 points in 30 minutes played. Tyler Herro ended his performance with 22 points, 6.0 rebounds and 5.0 assists as well. In the opening quarter alone, Miami outscored Memphis 38 to 22. Without Adebayo, this was a big win for the Heat.

Aside from free throw shooting, the Heat were pretty much on point against Memphis. They shot 46-for-88 (52.3%) from the field and 21-for-37 (56.8%) from three-point range. Plus, they out-rebounded the Grizzlies 50 to 32. They are 3-0 at home and 2-1 away this season. Miami is also on a four-game winning streak.

Meanwhile, in the Mavs’ 105-99 home win over the Kings on Sunday, guard Luka Doncic earned a team-high 23 points and 10 assists in 35 minutes on the court. Guard Tim Hardaway Jr. contributed 16 points, 3.0 rebounds and 3.0 assists in 33 minutes of action, too.

After evaluating the box-score game statistics, the Mavs were out-rebounded 56 to 45, but they were more accurate overall across the floor shooting-wise. They shot 40-for-90 (44.4%) from the floor and 12-for-37 (32.4%) from behind the arc. Dallas is now 3-0 at home and 1-2 away.

Next, the Heat’s projected starting lineup is PG Kyle Lowry, SG Duncan Robinson, SF Jimmy Butler, PF P.J. Tucker and C Dewayne Dedmon. On the other side, PG Luka Doncic, SG Tim Hardaway Jr., SF Dorian Finney-Smith, PF Reggie Bullock and C Dwight Powell.

Miami Heat vs. Dallas Mavericks prediction

Additionally, the total for Tuesday night’s intraconference matchup is 210. Based on the spread consensus, 77% of gamblers are predicting the Heat will cover the spread. Pertaining to the total consensus, a whopping 89% of bettors are anticipating the total will go over 210. Till now, Miami is 3-1 as a selected favorite and 2-0 as an underdog, while Dallas is 4-0 as a selected favorite and 0-2 as an underdog. When a bettor is indecisive, it is better to stick with the hotter, favored contender.

For interesting betting trends, the Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last six games. The total has also gone under in four of the team’s past five games. And, they are 5-1 straight up in their previous six contests. To add to these betting statistics, they are 16-4 SU in their last 20 games, and they are 8-2 ATS in their past 10 games played at the American Airlines Center.

As for the Mavericks, they are 2-6 ATS in their past eight games. Also, they are 4-1 SU in their previous five contests. And, the total has gone under in six of the Mavs’ past six games. For another side note, Dallas is 9-1 SU in their last 10 games played against Eastern Conference opponents. Finally, they are 6-1 ATS in their past seven contests played in November.

Miami Heat vs. Dallas Mavericks betting pick

Pick the Heat to win on the road, they will cover the spread and the total will go under 210. Miami is a 2.5-point favorite with BetUS.

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James is a Basketball Insiders contributor. He earned his bachelor's degree in English and Creative Writing at Southern New Hampshire University. James enjoys watching sports and helping gamblers win money.

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