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NBA Betting Picks: Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat preview, prediction and picks

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In tonight’s interconference clash, the Denver Nuggets (9-10) are striving to snap their six-game losing streak versus the Miami Heat (13-7). However, can Kyle Lowry and Jimmy Butler spoil the sputtering Nuggets’ bounce-back aspirations? 

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Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat news

Leading into Monday night’s matchup, the Nuggets are 7-12 against the spread in the 2021-22 NBA season, while the Heat are 13-7 against the spread. This intriguing contest begins at 7:30 p.m. ET on Altitude, Bally Sports Sun, NBA League Pass and NBA TV. As of yet, Denver is 8-2 versus Miami in the team’s previous 10 head-to-head games. Referencing Land of Basketball’s database, based on 69 regular season games played all-time between these two teams, the Nuggets are 35-34 versus the Heat. Despite their recent struggles, Denver defeated Miami 113-96 on Nov. 8.

Furthermore, Heat center Dewayne Dedmon was fined $15,000 for kicking a seat cushion from his team’s bench into the stands. This event occurred during Saturday’s game against the Bulls, and this news was first announced today by Byron Spruell, the President of League Operations for the NBA. Through twenty games, Dedmon is averaging 5.2 points, 4.9 rebounds and nearly 1.0 assist per game this season.

Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat betting lines and odds

NBA Betting Picks - Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat preview, prediction and picks

Sportsbook: BetUS

Point spread: Heat -7.5 (-110)

Over/Under: 207.5

Best moneyline: Nuggets +250, Heat -300

Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat injury report

Nuggets: C Nikola Jokic (questionable) | PG Jamal Murray (out indefinitely) | SG PJ Dozier (out for the season) | SF Michael Porter Jr. (out indefinitely) | PG Bones Hyland (questionable)

Heat: PF Markieff Morris (out indefinitely) | SF Jimmy Butler (questionable) | SG Victor Oladipo (out indefinitely) | SG Tyler Herro (questionable)

Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat preview

Additionally, in the Nuggets’ 120-109 home loss versus the Bucks last Friday, forward Aaron Gordon led his team in points and rebounds, finishing his effort with 18 points and 9.0 rebounds in 37 minutes on the court. Facundo Campazzo ended his performance with 16 points, 1.0 rebound and 2.0 assists in 28 minutes played. In their sixth consecutive defeat, the Nuggets were out-rebounded 44 to 31, and the Bucks outscored them 48 to 40 in the paint.

The Nuggets shot 40-for-92 (43.5%) from the floor and 17-for-47 (36.2%) from three-point range. Per Team Rankings, Denver is projected to conclude its regular season with 42.6 wins and 39.4 losses. Though, this future outlook is deceiving, considering the team has dropped their last six contests. After this loss, the Nuggets are 7-4 at home, 2-6 away and 2-6 ATS on the road.

As for the Heat, on Saturday, in their 107-104 road win over the Bulls, Gabe Vincent scored a team-high 20 points in 31 minutes of action. Guard Kyle Lowry also accumulated 19 points, 5.0 rebounds and 6.0 assists in 37 minute spent on the court. Despite losing the rebound battle 47 to 36, the Heat were more accurate with their long-range jumpers.

They shot 37-for-86 (43%) from the field and 14-for-40 (35%) from behind the arc. Miami has won six of its past 10 games this season. Based on Team Rankings’ win total projection, the Heat are expected to finish their regular season with 54.3 wins and 27.7 losses. Now, the team is 6-1 at home, 7-6 away and 6-1 ATS at home.

Projected starting lineup

Nuggets: PG Monte Morris | SG Will Barton | SF Jeff Green | PF Aaron Gordon | C Nikola Jokic

Heat: PG Kyle Lowry | SG Duncan Robinson | SF Jimmy Butler | PF PJ Tucker | C Bam Adebayo

Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat prediction

Moreover, the total for tonight’s contest is set at 207.5. According to the spread consensus, approximately 57% of gamblers are predicting the Heat will cover the spread at FTX Arena. Concerning the point total consensus, 61% of bettors are reflecting on the possibility of the total going over 207.5. Thus far, Denver is 5-3 as a favorite, 4-7 as an underdog and 2-6 ATS away this season, whereas Miami is 9-6 as a favorite, 4-1 as an underdog and 6-1 ATS at home.

For notable betting trends, the Nuggets are 0-6 ATS in their previous six performances. Plus, the total has gone over in six of their past seven games. Next, Denver is 6-1 ATS in their last seven contests played against Miami. And, the team is 12-6 SU in their previous 18 matches played versus Eastern Conference opponents. Lastly, they are 0-5 ATS in their prior five road games.

Equally important, on the other side, the Heat are 12-6 ATS in their past 18 games. Also, the total has gone over in nine of the team’s previous 12 contests. And, the total has gone over in 12 of Miami’s last 13 matches versus Western Conference opponents. To add to these betting statistics. the Heat are 6-2 straight up in their past eight games played in the month of November. Ergo, consider picking the Heat to win and cover the spread at home.

Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat betting pick

Pick the Heat to win, they will cover the spread and the total will go over 207.5. Miami is a 7.5-point favorite with BetUS.

All betting lines were retrieved from BetUS. Click below to claim a free bet, if you’re a new customer.  

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James is a Basketball Insiders contributor. He earned his bachelor's degree in English and Creative Writing at Southern New Hampshire University. James enjoys watching sports and helping gamblers win money.

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