Welcome back to The ‘Shop, folks. Always great to catch up and talk some hoops, so let’s go ahead and jump into the mix…
Jabari: Alright, Lang, good to back at it. Let’s start with OKC and specifically with Westbrook the Destroyer. The dude is currently averaging a triple-double (31 PPG, 11.3 RPG, 10.9 APG) and the team has gotten back into the winning side of things of late. Part of why I worried about OKC this year was because it looked like they would need Westbrook to essentially play like a madman and essentially average a triple-double all year. I didn’t think that would be fair to expect, nor realistic at the time… But here we are about a quarter of the way in and he’s doing exactly THAT. Can it last?
Lang: Dude, it’s good to be back in the mix. Don’t know about you but I had to gain at least five pounds over the Thanksgiving break. My goodness, man. The waistline doesn’t have the bounce back it used to have, but there was no way I was turning down that food, bro.
I absolutely believe Russell Westbrook’s play can last. The guy is a man on a mission. Taking no prisoners, no holds barred. Shooting first and asking questions later. I can go on and on. Remember, Kobe Bryant has been telling anyone that would listen over the past three years about Westbrook having a lot of Mamba in him. Let me say this: Kobe is a truth teller. No question about it.
Now here’s the deal. Do Sam Presti and the crew try to bring in reinforcements at the trade deadline to help Westbrook down the stretch? This is just my opinion, but a guy like Enes Kanter is owed big money and is averaging less than 24 minutes per night behind Steven Adams in the rotation. Dude is a scorer on the low block, but his defensive lapses keep him on the bench. You wonder if Kanter is truly part of OKC’s long-term plans, especially at that price tag and playing those limited minutes. What do you think?
Jabari: Bean was dead-on with that one, and I can certainly appreciate that mentality and approach. Westbrook is simply phenomenal and I’ll admit that it makes me chuckle a bit that so many folks continue to look for ways to question and criticize what he’s doing. The whole “he’s selfishly gunning for triple-doubles” narrative is annoying and ridiculous. It seems like it’s actually rooted in, “I just don’t like the guy or his style, so let me shift my complaint…” I love how everyone went into the year knowing he would play like a madman, but now you have folks essentially complaining that he’s trying to do more than he should. We, and I’m speaking generally, love to build athletes up simply to tear them down a bit too much at times.
You nailed it with that assessment of Kanter. He can be really good on the offensive end and particularly on the backboards when he wants to, but doesn’t seem to provide the same type effort consistently on the defensive end. I actually don’t mind them staggering the two big men all that much, but do agree that he is probably the team’s most tradeable asset and someone opposing teams would value. Not sure if they end up electing to move him, but (along with continuing to develop the young guys) I do think Presti has to find a way to continue solidifying that roster over the course of this season and into the summer. What Westbrook is doing is phenomenal, but I shudder to think of what that team will look like if he were to go down or miss any significant amount of time at any point.
Transitioning to another topic, and even though I realize we’ve discussed some of these guys over the weeks, let’s bring it together with our own version of a “WAAAAAY too early” discussion about the MVP race. My top guys right now are Westbrook, LeBron James, James Harden, Kevin Durant (Yup, look at his numbers) and Kawhi Leonard. Any chance Ant Davis can truly sneak into the mix and at least get into the discussion if his Pelicans keep rolling? Anyone that didn’t get mentioned that deserves some shine?
Lang: I can’t believe there are people out there really trying to question what Russell Westbrook is doing. I mean, really? Come on. You lose one of the top five players on this green earth over the summer for nothing in return and people expect Westbrook not to be out here playing possessed right now? Give it a break. You might not like his TYPE of greatness, but as a basketball observer, you should at least be mature enough to RESPECT it.
I think your MVP list is accurate, bro. You have to throw Westbrook on the list as a frontrunner. But I love the fact you threw LeBron on the list because people have this false notion that he is “coasting” until the playoffs. If averaging 24-9-9 is coasting, then sign me up all day every day and twice on Tuesday nights. I absolutely love what James Harden is doing in Houston too. I remember arguing at length around the water cooler that Harden is the BEST two guard in the league with folks insisting it was either Jimmy Butler or Klay Thompson. Now those guys are better two-way players, but Harden is my pick out of the litter if I was starting a franchise. That might not be a popular pick, but he passes all of my eye checks with flying colors.
Durant is an interesting pick. But the numbers support consideration. He’s been the most consistent Warrior to start the season and when Draymond Green missed time, the man pumped in a double-double with SIX – I said six! – blocked shots. When I see Durant I see a man, come playoff time, that is going to have some Russell Westbrook type of performances. He knows what’s at stake if he comes up empty handed this season. I think Kawhi is a stretch, compared to the others, but the Spurs do have the second-best record in the league and that should count for something.
I love the Brow. I love his potential. But the Pelicans have to be north of .500 for me to even consider him. Check back with me come All-Star break and I’ll reassess. Ha!
Now let me ask you. Who do you think will be the first trade domino to fall? Nerlens Noel could be the odd man out in Philly. Brandon Knight could be a valuable asset for Phoenix with Devin Booker as their guy for the future. We’ve already talked about Enes Kanter in Oklahoma City. Who else do you have hearing their names on the trade market?
Jabari: The Nerlens rumors intrigue me because I honestly wonder whether they can get what they would probably consider a fair deal given his injury history. We can romanticize about potential and promise all we’d like, but at some point, the likelihood of player’s availability has to be factored in.
What about Bradley Beal? I know the Wizards have at least made it sound like they intend to keep their main pieces in town, but at 6-13 you just wonder how long before they are forced to make a significant move. I also wonder how much longer Orlando plans to keep paying Bismack Biyombo $18 million a year to split time with Nikola Vucevic? Vucevic has been solid and is actually signed to a very favorable contract (about $12.5 million for each of the next two years), but you wonder if GM Rob Hennigan has any plans to at least explore what options might be available on the market.
While I’ve heard absolutely nothing in terms of trade rumors involving Lou Williams, I also wonder if we’ll start to see teams actively trying to inquire about the former Sixth Man of the Year as the season moves on. He’s on what looks like an insanely cap-friendly deal at just $7 million for next season and is actually in the middle of his best year to date. Williams is averaging a career-high 18.4 PPG off the bench for the Lakers and shooting 39.3 percent from deep. I know he’s actually been a great fit with this group under Luke Walton and the Lakers have enjoyed a bunch of unanticipated success during the early going, but it still wouldn’t shock me to see GMs bidding for his services as they try to bolster their rotations in the second half.
How long before we say they need to consider another move in Indiana? I was intrigued by that mix when the season started, but things haven’t quite worked out the way many anticipated. Why are they so poor defensively?
Lang: I am on record saying I liked what Pacers team president Larry Bird was cooking over the summer by bringing in Jeff Teague, Thaddeus Young and Al Jefferson. He said he wanted the Pacers to improve offensively and move away from their plodding style. What better way to do that than by adding three proven 15-19 points-per-game guys into the mix next to Paul George and once-high-scoring guard Monta Ellis. But the problem Indiana has faced is that head coach Frank Vogel’s calling card was defense and he’s now in Orlando – who have been playing very strong defense as of late, by the way. Secondly, Father Time has taken over Big Al, who is only two seasons or so removed from an All-NBA selection. My goodness. It also appears Monta Ellis is no longer capable of putting up huge scoring nights.
Lastly… and I know this may get me some heat… but maybe, just maybe Paul George isn’t the GUY we thought he was a few years ago when the Pacers were a thorn in the Miami HEAT’s side. Make no mistake, he’s a very good player, but NBA history is absolutely littered with very good players that were unable to lead their respective teams to paradise as the top dog (such as Paul Pierce before the 2007 reinforcements). We can look at T-Mac and his woes as the leading cast member during his prime. Heck, you might be able to throw Carmelo Anthony into this mix. Two of those guys are a lock for the HALL one day and the other could possibly get in – eventually. So Paul George as an individual player is the goods, but as a franchise player you can strap a load to his back and his recent play hasn’t justified our collective expectations.
Jabari: Point taken on guys like ‘Melo and PG, although I would still like to see what George might look like when paired with another player of his level while in his relative prime. I think we, as writers, can fall victim to social media narratives at times as well. The truth is, no one wins in the NBA without a strong and connected supporting cast. Even if we “say” guys like LeBron or Jordan did this (they didn’t) those would be extreme outliers.
Speaking of outliers, I know you saw what Klay Thompson did the other night. 60 points. SIXTY points in about 29 minutes of action. I think there was a crazy stat about dude literally having the ball in his hands for less than 90 actual seconds of action. Calling that level of production “phenomenal” somehow seems like an understatement, and before we (speaking generally) find a way to tear down the performance and question “how open” all his looks were, let’s just take a few moments to appreciate a great night on the basketball court. How does that shooting exhibition rank among some of your favorite scoring outbursts over the last 10-15 years?
Lang: Man, Klay was smoking the other night. I think it’s criminal they didn’t trot him out in the fourth quarter for a few minutes. Let the man make a run at 70 because how often will he ever reach that level of a zone again in his career? He’s gotten hot before, but I mean making a run a 70-75 points type of heat is totally different. I get it, the Warriors were trying to be good sportsmen but let the man cook a bit more.
It’s funny you mention the critics. The man had just scored 60 points, in 29 minutes, and less than 10 hours later there are a plethora of YouTube videos dissecting the performance. Come on, man. Just enjoy one of the greatest scoring displays in NBA history.
Some of my favorite scoring outbursts are Reggie Miller’s eight points in nine seconds rampage versus the Knicks back in the 1990s. Also, in my top three is T-Mac’s 13-point barrage in 33 seconds versus the Spurs. If you want to visually see the impact of the absolute carnage T-Mac caused with that outburst check out the following link and fast forward to the 2:08-second mark and witness the look on Devin Brown’s face.
Jabari: Devin Brown’s expression was absolutely classic and I’m sure it was exactly how everyone in that arena felt. From 2000-2008, T-Mac was a serious problem for opponents. That’s kind of why I hate the way we (speaking generally) consume sports these days. Let Twitter or other forms of social media tell it, McGrady wasn’t great over that stretch. Have we become so jaded and lazily dependent upon the “yeah, but how many rangzzz did he have?” mindset that we can’t acknowledge a seven-time All-Star and seven-time All-NBA selection as one of the greats from his generation? Anyhow, I’ll hop down off my soapbox for now.
The last thing I’ll say about scoring outbursts is that if the conversation is going to be had, then you know I’m obligated to bring up Kobe, once again. I mean, folks may not have loved his personality or even may have had legitimate reasons to dislike his approach at times, but there hasn’t been a more explosive scorer over the last 20 years than Bean. Klay’s 60-point outbreak reminded me specifically of the 62 points in 32 minutes Bean put up against the Mavericks just about 11 years ago (December 20, 2005). I know we focus on the 81 he gave Jalen Rose, a young Chris Bosh and the Raptors, but that 62-point night was always slightly more impressive to me given the opponent (eventually a 60-22 team ranked seventh in overall opponent’s points against) and the fact that no other teammate reached double figures that night. Not sure some of the younger folks were able to fully appreciate that game, but dude outscored the entire opposing team through three quarters.
Anyhow, let Google/YouTube be your friends if you want to appreciate that performance for the first time (for perspective) or simply to revisit a pretty incredible scoring run. We’ll wrap things up on that note for the week, but want to remind you to continue offering your feedback and suggestions for upcoming topics via the comments section below or Twitter (@JabariDavisNBA, @LangGreene).
NBA Daily: Reacting To Bubble Headlines
Almost two weeks into the Bubble, Matt John gives his own take on some of the bigger headlines that have sprung up.
All of a sudden, we are almost at the end of Week Two inside the Bubble. We’ve actually had some pretty epic games, wouldn’t you say? We’ve also had some telling and high stakes games too. Now that our regular season is finally at its end, things are taking shape a little. Because of that, we’re seeing some major stories hit the newsstands over the past 11 days.
Instead of repeating last week’s formula, let’s focus on reacting to some of the more recent headlines we have seen since the
“Something Might Be Wrong With The Lakers!”
In their last seven games, the Los Angeles Lakers have gone only 3-4 and, upon deeper examination, they’ve only come up victorious twice since beating their crosstown rivals on Jul. 30. Since the Bubble commenced, they’ve put up the second-lowest offensive rating in the league – scoring 103 points per 100 possessions, only .1 points ahead of Washington. Additionally, they have the lowest net rating among teams that have clinched a playoff spot at minus-5.6.
LeBron James specifically has not looked like himself. Even when the Lakers beat the Clippers, he didn’t put up the best stat line – and since then, he hasn’t played at the same MVP-caliber pace. In his seven games, he’s averaged 22.8 points on 45/33/63 splits while coughing up 3.2 turnovers. Even at 35, we all know that’s a far cry from the numbers he was putting up during his MVP-worthy campaign.
Maybe he and the Lakers are mailing in the rest of the season, or maybe there is something more to these recent unwelcome struggles.
Do you know what the big conclusion to draw from this is? Yawn. If you know James, then you know that reports like these aren’t anything we haven’t seen before. We all should have gotten the picture with the King by now. No matter who he plays for, no matter how good his team is and no matter how much worse this episode looks compared to the last one, every year there’s always going to be some sort of drama going on. And how much does this impact LeBron’s team when the going gets tough? Nil.
It’s part of the LeBron deluxe package. There are going to be concerns. There are going to be questions. There are going to be doubts. That’s what it’s been like for the past 10+ years with any team led by the likes of LeBron James. The Lakers, as fantastic as they have been, were going to face it eventually. It just happened to be with the playoffs around the corner.
No matter because, with the exception of last year, LeBron’s teams have always made their way through the fire as he carried them over the hump. There’s no reason to think it won’t be the same with LA. Besides, how much did the Lakers honestly have to prove in the Bubble? There were really only two tasks at hand for them once the hiatus ended.
1. Beating the Clippers: Mission Accomplished
2. Getting the No. 1 seed in the loaded Western Conference: Mission Accomplished
After that, what else was there to play for? The drama could very well play into the playoffs, but LeBron’s been through this merry-go-round enough times that he practically owns a timeshare in it.
The Lakers are going to be fine, and you probably already knew that. What everyone needs to realize is that this is a regular occurrence for LeBron-led squads. We should have gotten so used to it by now that it would have been more shocking if the season had ended drama-free for the boys in purple and gold.
But Danny Green shooting only 7-for-25 from three-point land? That might be something to be concerned about.
“Nate McMillan Is On The Hot Seat”
This little tidbit came from a podcast last week between Jeff Van Gundy and Zach Lowe. While we have yet to determine the level of heat on such a rumor, let’s go over McMillan’s tenure as head coach of the Indiana Pacers.
Through a black and white scope, McMillan definitely hasn’t brought Indiana to the same heights that his predecessor Frank Vogel did when he took over as coach back in 2016. The Pacers haven’t been out of the first round since 2014 and they’ve only mustered three playoff wins since with McMillan calling the shots over the last four years. When you see things through that lens, McMillan would seem like the usual candidate.
But that’s not the case with McMillan. There’s a reason why his name has been thrown in the Coach of the Year discussion for three years running now. Let’s start with how he’s developed a reputation for player development. Think of the players that have really stood out for Indiana since they moved on from the Paul George era.
Victor Oladipo, Bojan Bogdanovic, Domantas Sabonis, Malcolm Brogdon and, most recently, T.J. Warren. What do these players have in common? None of them ever reached the heights in their career that they did once they played under McMillan before coming to Indiana.
McMillan even managed to breathe life back into Lance Stephenson’s career for a year or two there. The one failure on McMillan’s part has been Myles Turner, who is still basically the same player as he was when Indiana had a total makeover back in 2017. The fact that McMillan has done this with this many players in such a short amount of time demonstrates that he knows how to put his players in the right position to succeed. Coaches like those don’t grow on trees.
Fate dealt a cruel hand with Oladipo’s knee blowing out, but McMillan certainly can’t be the fall guy for that. Again, no one knows how seriously we should take this rumor. It may be quickly swept under the rug as soon as tomorrow. It’s just that if McMillan were to be shown the door, Indiana would be making a rather puzzling decision after making pretty much all the right moves over the last three years.
“Michael Porter Jr Was Well-Worth The Wait”
There shouldn’t be much of a counterpoint to this. Michael Porter Jr has looked like the dynamic scorer many believed he could be dating back to his high school days. So much so that a fair amount of teams are probably going to second-guess passing him up in the 2018 NBA Draft. Porter’s rise in Florida has to make Denver – who was already a top team in the Western Conference before he got there – so much more optimistic about their future.
Putting up nearly 24 points on 57/46/96 splits in the Bubble has got to make the Nuggets incredibly giddy. He’s got great size for a scorer and an awesome shooting stroke. He’s also a great cutter, which means more highlight-reel assists for the Joker, too. All the Nuggets needed to complement Nikola Jokic was a go-to-scorer to get to the next level. Soon, they are going to pay Jamal Murray to be that guy, but Murray’s production, while not bad, has stayed relatively the same over the last three years. At 23, there’s still hope for him to make the leap, but now with MPJ coming into his own, the Nuggets have a safety valve in case that doesn’t happen.
Now, teams will get more game film on him, so odds are we’ll see a slump from Porter as time passes. Even with that, this shouldn’t be seen as a tease.
Porter should be a future star if he stays on the court and that’s the one hang-up. We still have to go back to the fact that 13 teams passed on him for a very real, very frightening reason. No one doubted the talent this kid had. It was his injury problems that put his future in doubt. Denver’s been meticulously careful making sure that Porter doesn’t get put on the shelf, but there’s no way of knowing if he can do this over a full season, and we won’t know for quite a while.
Injuries were what ruined Michael Porter Jr’s stock in 2018, so hold your breath. As exciting as it is to see him prove all of his doubters wrong, Brandon Roy did the same thing only 13 years ago.
With the NBA’s latest and greatest regular season bubble set to wrap up this week, there are plenty of intriguing storylines to watch. Are the Nuggets even better with Porter Jr.? Do the Lakers have what it takes?
NBA Daily: Ivica Zubac Rounding Into Form For Clippers
David Yapkowitz writes about Ivica Zubac and his strong bubble performances for the Los Angeles Clippers – is he the key for a deep postseason run?
The Los Angeles Clippers have no shortage of star power. Kawhi Leonard and Paul George form one of the most dangerous duos in the NBA, and both Lou Williams and Montrezl Harrell are averaging close to 20 points a game each while coming off the bench.
But there is one player on the roster who might be the team’s X-Factor, one player who could hold the key to being able to withstand the imposing frontline of the Los Angeles Lakers – and that’s Ivica Zubac.
Zubac was once a Laker before he was casually tossed aside to the Clippers at last season’s trade deadline. He had shown flashes of his capabilities with the Lakers but spent most of his first couple of seasons in the league with the Lakers’ G League affiliate. Upon his arrival to the Clippers, he immediately became a key player and has since settled into the starting center role.
His arrival to the NBA’s restart bubble in Orlando was initially held up as he had tested positive for COVID-19. He has since joined the team after a mandatory quarantine period and is looking ready to help the team as they gear up for a playoff run.
He admitted that although he only experienced mild symptoms from the virus, he still felt winded and not quite up to speed as he tried to ease himself back into regular game flow.
“It’s much better, it’s much better than when I got here. I can feel it getting better with each practice, each game,” Zubac said on a recent conference call with media.
“After I first started getting back in shape, after I was cleared, I felt like I was out of shape. My chest was a little tighter when I would do some stuff. But I feel great right now. I don’t feel anything. I’m getting back into shape, I’m almost there. It’s going to take some more time.”
Zubac feeling like his old self again has been evident with each passing game. He started slow, only finishing with two points and three rebounds against the Lakers while being outworked by Anthony Davis. Against the New Orleans Pelicans, he looked a bit better, especially with his effort on the glass.
In the Clippers’ third game of the restart against the Phoenix Suns, Zubac put up 18 points and 12 rebounds while shooting 77 percent from the field. He followed that up with his best bubble game to date with 21 points on a perfect 10-for-10 shooting and 15 rebounds against the Dallas Mavericks.
Zubac equated his increased production with gradually regaining his conditioning and mobility and getting the feel again for regular game speed.
“I’m getting the feel, I’m starting to remember what guys like, what are the best spots on the court for me. My conditioning is getting better each practice, each game,” Zubac told media after the Mavericks game. “I’m feeling like I can stay on the floor for a while, I can run the floor, I can fight in the post with guys, I can rebound. Everything with my conditioning getting back, I can get on another level in every aspect of my game.”
Before his performance against the Mavericks, Zubac had a pretty solid game against the Suns – but the center was obviously still readjusting to his teammates and being able to make the right reads and be in the correct spots on the floor. He played solid defense on Deandre Ayton, but he also ended up having a costly turnover late in the game that set up Devin Booker’s eventual game-winner.
Following the Suns game, Clippers head coach Doc Rivers had mentioned there were a few areas that Zubac could use improvement in, and he was much more effusive in his praise after his performance against the Mavericks.
“He was phenomenal. We talked about it, he did all the things we needed, he really ran the floor, that didn’t show up statistically, but what it did, it created space, it created mismatches,” Rivers told media after the game.
“I loved that our guys were looking for him. I thought his rebounding was fantastic. Really coming off the way we ended the game the other day with Zu, then coming back, playing like that, that was fantastic for his confidence.”
Throughout the season, Zubac has been a player that doesn’t need the ball in his hands to be effective. He does have a soft touch around the rim and can establish a strong position in the post, but he does a lot of damage when he’s rolling to the rim, cutting and moving without the ball and catching lobs from his teammates.
He’s also a good rebounder who gets points off of offensive putbacks, and he’s a solid defender who acts as the team’s interior defensive anchor. He’s also usually on the bench at the end of games when Harrell is in with the starters. But depending on potential matchups, perhaps against the Denver Nuggets and Nikola Jokic, or even the Lakers and Davis, Zubac could find himself finishing some games.
What is certain though, is he’s proving his importance to the team and he’s showing that come playoff time, he could end up being the X-factor. He knows that his teammates are going to look for him and he’s ready for that.
“It’s just communication on the floor, knowing what Kawhi and P.G like, knowing how to get a better angle on a screen, just the plays we run, got to have a better understanding what’s good at the time. It’s mostly communication on the floor,” Zubac said. “It feels great to get rewarded by my teammates after doing all the hard work.”
Free Agency Update: Changes In The Bubble
Drew Maresca explores the free agency implications of the first week of play in the bubble as the NBA continues its return to post COVID-19 play.
Free agency is always a fun time for the NBA and its fans, but particularly so in 2020. Most free agents have usually earned their next deal by the 65th game of any given season – but this year is far from typical. Instead, the NBA has returned, sans its eight worst teams, meaning that competition is consistently better. And with limited competition for our attention, every game is a major event that draws more eyes and has a greater effect on the paydays of to-be free agents.
We’re still only three or four games into the official return of the NBA, but there have already been some changes to how we perceive some players. Take T.J. Warren, for example, who’s averaging over 39.7 points per game through three contests. Or Michael Porter Jr., who looks more like the focal point of a team than a player in his first year of professional action.
This article will focus explicitly on the changes in perception of free agents to-be as a result of their play in the bubble in Orlando. We understand that the players listed below can still hurt their standings and that teams rate free agents differently. While the sample size is small, we’ve seen deals made based on an equally small body of work (e.g., Jerome James to the New York Knicks).
One caveat to keep in mind is the unprecedented fiscal challenges facing the NBA and its club in 2020. Not only will the COVID-19 pandemic inevitably hurt the 2020-21 salary cap, but there’s also still a conclusion to be had with the preseason China situation.
With all of that in mind, let’s explore the players that have made the loudest cases for a payday come this offseason.
Mike Conley Jr., Utah Jazz – Player Option
Conley Jr. has a player option for 2020-21 – but he played poorly enough through March, relative to what we’ve come to expect from him, that it was more than reasonable to assume he would opt-in at $34.5 million.
But wait, there’s a chance that Conley does us all a favor and makes free agency 2020 more interesting. Conley’s averaged 19.8 points and 5.8 assists per game, way, way up from 13.8 points and 4.3 assists per game prior to the stoppage in March. If Conley keeps this going – and especially if he performs well in the playoffs – he might want to test the market considering the lack of elite talent that’s anticipated to hit it – assuming he’s unhappy in Utah, that is.
Brandon Ingram, New Orleans Pelicans – RFA
Ingram’s looked similar to the guy we saw in 2019-20 before the play stoppage – he’s averaging 23.5 points and 7.5 rebounds per game when playing 30 or more minutes. While he was less effective in a loss against the Clippers (14 points and two rebounds in 24 minutes), he’s demonstrated growth in how decisively he makes his move and how seamlessly he then scores on the move.
Ingram was probably going to get max offer as of the All-Star break – especially after reaching his first All-Star team at 22 – but COVID-19 probably altered the ability for teams to dole out lucrative deals. But then play resumed and Ingram picked up right where he left off – and with a confidence to use it liberally. Ingram is nearly a lock for a max deal now.
Fred VanVleet, Toronto Raptors – UFA
VanVleet started off his time in the bubble with a solid performance (13 points and 11 assists), but he really showed out in his second game against the Miami HEAT. VanVleet led the Raptors to a win against Miami with a career-high 36 points. And then he got right back to being Mr. Consistent for Toronto by posting 21 points and 10 assists in a win against Orlando.
So ultimately, VanVleet has led the Raptors to a 3-0 (re)start, and he’s either scored a career-high or dropped 10-plus assists. James Dolan and Leon Rose are somewhere together – albeit socially distanced, we’re sure – drooling – as are all of the teams in need of a lead guard, like Detroit. VanVleet can only increase his value from here. He’s not assumed to be a max-level player, but if he plays well enough through the playoffs, it’ll be interesting to see just how high he can reach.
DeMar DeRozan, San Antonio Spurs – Player Option
It’s hard to imagine DeRozan’s value increasing much at this point in his career. After all, he’s an 11-year veteran that has been named to the All-Star Game four times and an All-NBA team twice.
But still, there’s always been presumed limitations to his game, namely his inability to shoot three-pointers. Since being traded to San Antonio, he’s fallen out of the national spotlight a bit. As a 31-year-old capable of reaching unrestricted free agency, DeRozan is at a major inflection point in his career. He could attempt to a final big deal or snag a smaller one if the market for his services doesn’t meet expectations. Or he could just opt-in.
But DeRozan has done his part to remind everyone that he has loads of high-quality basketball left in him. He tallied 30 points on 11-for-20 shooting on Tuesday in a close loss to the 76ers and he’s averaged 22.3 points, 7.3 assists and 4.8 rebounds per game since the Spurs resumed play last Friday. While those averaged mostly coincide with what he did this season, it also represents a decent boost in assists. But more importantly, it solidifies that DeRozan should still receive a serious look as a lead star. And he’ll probably get interest from a number of teams.
The Known Commodities
Marcus Morris Sr., Los Angeles Clippers – UFA
While Morris Sr. is a known commodity, teams could use additional poor performances against him in negotiations. He’ll probably still have the option to sign for a veterans minimum or mid-level exception with a contender like the Clippers or Lakers. But if he’s eyeing another payday that pays him an annual salary equal to what he made in 2019-20, it would behoove him to make his mark on the stat book.
Making A Case
Trey Burke, Dallas Mavericks – UFA
Burke hasn’t been overly consistent since NBA play resumed last week. But he did have a huge breakout game against the Rockets, scoring 31 points on 8-for-10 for three-pointers in only 30 minutes, while also dishing six assists.
Yes, Burke is averaging just 5.5 points in 18 minutes in the two games since, but the fact that he scored 31 in an NBA game will be enough to get looks as an off-the-bench scorer. And it’s a narrative that can be supported by his past work, too. Remember, Burke is still just 27-years-old and he has a 42-point career-high. He’s also exploded for 30 four times and eclipsed the 20-point mark on 38 occasions in his 389 career games. So even if it’s just a reminder, it’s good to know that Burke can still get it done offensively – and teams are always looking for ways to manufacture offense.
Jordan Clarkson, Utah Jazz – UFA
Clarkson’s shot only 40 percent from the field since play resumed last Thursday, with an even worse 20 percent from three-point range. Still, scorers are as valuable as ever. It’s what made J.R. Smith so much money in this league, as well as Lou Williams and countless others – and rightfully so. Ultimately, it’s about putting the ball in the hoop. And with that being said, a franchise is going to pay Clarkson and they’ll end up paying more than they would have as of March.
Reggie Jackson, Los Angeles Clippers – UFA
Jackson has less to prove than most guys in this part of this list – but given his injury history, he does have to make a statement.
On the whole, Jackson has looked good – but not necessarily great. He averaged 12.5 points, seven rebounds and two assists in his first two contests, but he regressed in the Clippers’ most recent game against the Suns. But on a positive note, Jackson received only 23 minutes on Tuesday versus Phoenix and his 15 points on 5-for-9 shooting, eight rebounds, two assists and two steals accumulated in just 20 minutes.
If Jackson continues to be a contributor to the contending Clippers, someone will overspend on him. After all, good point guards are few and far between.
Harry Giles III, Sacramento Kings – UFA
Giles III only played four minutes in the Kings’ first game back against the Spurs and he didn’t fare much better over 12:55 versus the Mavericks on Tuesday. But when you’re a fringe player that had injury concerns throughout your young career, any positive outings are good – especially those that come in a contract year. Giles tallied 23 points and eight rebounds in only 20 minutes against the Orlando Magic – a significant jump from his 7.2 points and 4.2 rebounds averages this season. And that’s probably enough to generate interest amongst a number of teams.
The Kings curiously declined Giles’ fourth-year option, making him an unrestricted free agent as of the end of this season. That’s an interesting decision because the option was relatively cheap given that he was only the No. 20 overall pick (2017). Further confusing matters is the idea that by passing on the fourth-year option, they also lost matching rights – so Giles won’t even be restricted.
To make matters worse, the Kings can’t even bid more than $3.9 million to retain his services. So the Kings ultimately wasted a first-round draft pick on Giles for a grand total of 14.5 minutes per game across 99 games – and he’ll walk before they even know what they had in him.
But this all works out nicely for Giles, who will absolutely get an opportunity elsewhere – and he’ll be paid more than he would have received in Sacramento for it. How good is still an unknown, but he’s shown enough for a team to take a flyer on considering his size, skill set and versatility. He was the No. 1 overall recruit coming out of high school according to ESPN just four short years ago.
Free agency is going to be different than ever before and, up until very recently, that was assumed to be a bad thing. But with some of the above players changing the narratives around them, it could become even more exciting than it’s been in the recent past. Add in the likes of DeMarcus Cousins, Davis Bertans, Christian Wood – and we’re looking at an under-appreciated free-agent class.