Each week, four of Basketball Insiders’ top writers will break down the latest news and notes around the 2014 NBA Draft. Included is a revised Mock Draft that reflects how each writer sees the draft landscape based on the latest news, workouts and information from in and around the process.
This week our team rolls out a look at all 60 picks in the 2014 NBA Draft, so here is how we see it:
Yannis’ Notebook: There are some intriguing international prospects in this year’s draft, led by Australian point guard Dante Exum, whose popularity has sky rocketed in recent weeks. Two others, Dario Saric and Jusuf Nurkic, are legitimate potential lottery picks as well, but their stock could tumble a bit on draft night.
First, what is there to like about them?
In the case of Saric, he’s coming off of an MVP run in the Adriatic League. He was a first teamer at the FIBA U19 tournament last summer along with Exum and has physical gifts that would be above average at either forward position. At 6’10, he’s versatile, skilled and has a high basketball IQ. There’s very little he can’t do on the floor and despite his youth, he’s quite experienced against high-level competition.
Meanwhile Nurkic is a physically imposing, low-post-oriented center who has an impressive feel for the game. His mannerisms on the court are very similar to Marc Gasol. He’s improved at a fast rate already and looks like he is only going to get better as he gets more experience. The increase in the speed of the game and the athleticism he’s facing will take some adjusting, but he’s well worth the gamble considering the lack of talent at the position in this draft class and his upside.
What works against Saric and Nurkic more than anything they’re incapable of doing on the court at this stage of their careers is their contract situations. There’s been a lot of controversy surrounding Saric’s representation and his desire to come over immediately. He signed a three-year extension overseas, so his buyout could discourage him from coming over next season. He’s quickly becoming one of the biggest stars overseas and could make up to $8 million over the next three seasons, so the money is good as well. A report surfaced last week that he would come over immediately if the Los Angeles Lakers or Boston Celtics draft him. However, they’re both looking for help as soon as next year, and may not take the risk of drafting someone they’re not positive they can have on their roster next season. If Saric slips, he’s going to fall deeper down the rookie pay scale, making his buyout tougher to cover and decreasing the appeal of making the leap anytime soon. At one point, it didn’t even look like was going to stay in the draft. He has until 5 p.m. ET on June 16 to pull out if he and his camp desires.
Nurkic just signed a four-year extension with his club team, locking him up until 2018. Very little details on the deal have leaked; it’s completely unknown how much it will take to get him out of the contract. Considering how hot his stock has been, the decision to sign the extension, especially if it has a big buyout clause, is curious. He may not have interest in coming over immediately either. He’s a project who is likely going to need a couple of years to really make his mark, so staying overseas isn’t the worst thing for him, but teams drafting in the lottery may not have that kind of patience.
NBA teams are allowed to play $575,000 of an international buyout, so the fine print on the contracts of Nurkic and Saric are going to be very key come draft night – assuming they stay in.
Alex’s Notebook: Entering the pre-draft process, Rodney Hood was being projected in the 20-to-25 range, but he has really helped in his draft stock lately. Now, it seems that Hood will likely go just outside of the lottery.
In this week’s mock, I have Hood going to the Atlanta Hawks at No. 15, and it’s hard to imagine him falling past the Chicago Bulls at No. 16 given their need for scoring and three-point shooting.
The former Duke forward is automatic shooting the ball from just about anywhere on the court. He has really impressed teams in workouts with his scoring ability and gained a lot of new fans in front offices around the league.
Even though Hood’s shooting is his biggest strength, he’s determined to show teams that he’s much more than just a shooter. He’s an efficient scorer with a high basketball IQ, and he has been working hard to improve his ballhandling and finishing at the rim so he can be a more well-rounded scorer. He has also been spending a lot of time in the weight room to bulk up and add some strength to his lanky frame. Hood is also determined to prove that he’s a better defender than advertised.
Hood is working extremely hard, doing two-a-days in the gym at IMG Academy, and he’s also doing a number of other things to prepare for the pre-draft process including vision training, swimming drills, weightlifting, drills on the IMG football field and following a professional nutrition plan among others.
The only reason Hood isn’t being talked about as a lottery pick is because he’ll turn 22 years old in October. Some teams may feel that he doesn’t have the upside of a younger, teenage prospect. However, don’t be surprised if Hood has a long and successful career in the league, regardless of where he’s picked.
Joel’s Notebook: Since this is the first time that we’ve done a consensus mock with a second round attached to it, I thought it would be appropriate to explore who I believe some of the second-round values may be in this upcoming draft.
Last year, there wasn’t a whole lot of contribution coming from players selected deep in the draft, but this is a year in which GMs seem to believe value can be found later in the draft than usual. Philadelphia, for example, has five picks in the second round, so they’ve got a pretty decent chance of cashing in on some of the next tier of talent.
In any event, one of my favorite players likely to be chosen in the second round is Russ Smith, a little bitty shooting guard in a point guard’s body whom I love for his maturity, professionalism and winning pedigree. He won’t be a starter in the NBA, but he has the opportunity to make a roster and be a contributor.
Isaiah Austin’s blindness in one eye is killing his stock, and he had a horrible season last year, but his combination of size and athleticism is definitely worth a gamble in the second round, especially since he was, at one point, considered a lottery talent.
James McAdoo might have been a lottery pick a year or two ago as well, but even though we’ve seen his ceiling and it’s relatively low, his floor is also pretty high. He’s another mature kid who isn’t looking to be a star, just make it onto a roster, play hard defense and chip in how he can. He’s exactly the sort of second-round pick that has a long NBA career, even if he never does end up an All-Star.
Bogdan Bogdanovic is a bubble first-rounder, but he’s a heck of a shooting guard that’s good enough to eventually be an NBA starter, and Thanasis Antetokounmpo will be intriguing just because of how good his brother was in his rookie campaign. There are more, but this list is already getting pretty long.
The lesson here is that there are some really good players available in the second round, with those mentioned above likely topping the list of those available.
Steve’s Notebook: Houston, we have a problem… Okay, maybe it’s not Houston’s problem, but for whatever unexplainable reason Indiana’s Noah Vonleh has decided to radically alter his shooting motion as he tries to audition for NBA teams.
While changing shot mechanics and fine tuning defects in a player’s game is common in the draft preparation process, some are wondering why Vonleh, a solid shooter in college, would re-work his shot now, rather than waiting and addressing those issues after he is drafted.
Vonleh has just started the process of seeing teams, and while none of them seem to be scared away by Vonleh’s new jumper, he has introduced a wrinkle in the evaluation process. Many of the teams that have him high on their board have done so based on the hours they have spent scouting him, only to find a different looking player in their gym during workouts.
That might be the plan; show some improvement. Vonleh is still shooting it well, it’s the manner in which the shot is coming off that has changed.
It’s a curious move for a guy who likely did not need to make such a change, and one observer commented that it was clear he was pushing back on his new mechanics in workouts.
One high level executive commented that the problem with altering mechanics so quickly is that in pressure situations most guys revert back to what their comfortable with, and that makes for an inconsistent result.
Vonleh still draws rave reviews physically, and the teams that are hosting him for workouts are very much in the mix to drafting him. Vonleh has been in to see the Kings this week and also has the Lakers, Celtics and Magic on his schedule.
Vonleh is expected to be off the board in the top 10, and it seem very likely he could be gone in the top six or seven.
It seems odd for someone so highly regarded to alter the key aspect of his game that got him here, but it will be interesting to see how his workouts go.
2020 NBA Mock Draft – The Final 60-Pick Mock
What a long and winding road the 20201 NBA Draft has been. While this draft cycle has seen its ups and down, the moment of truth if finally upon us.
What a long and winding road the 20201 NBA Draft has been. While this draft cycle has seen its ups and down, the moment of truth if finally upon us.
Here is a final look at the 2020 Draft, and how it may play out in this final 60-pick Mock Draft of the 20202 NBA Draft process:
2020 NBA Mock Draft – First Round – 08/21/2020
The 2020 NBA Draft order is now locked in, however, there are tons of additional questions to be answered in the coming weeks. Here is a look at the first round, in this Basketball Insiders Mock Draft.
To say the 2020 NBA Draft has been chaotic is an understatement, however with last night’s NBA Draft Lottery out of the way, things are starting to at least trend in a positive direction.
That doesn’t mean there are not challenges ahead, namely when the actual NBA Draft will take place.
There is a growing sense that the NBA and the players are going to push back the start of the next cap year, which will likely impact when and how the NBA Draft plays out.
Typically, the Draft is a major transaction window for NBA teams, and with so much unknown surrounding how the salary cap will be set, and when trades and transactions typically consummated around the draft would become official, there is a lot of uncertainty, making the 2020 NBA draft wide open on many fronts.
The hope among teams is that some clarity on all of this will surface in the coming weeks, but for now most teams are operating in uncharted waters.
With all of that in mind, here is a look at the 2020 NBA Draft First round, which will be the first of many weekly Mock Drafts we’ll be dropping all the way up to the draft, whenever that finally gets set.
The Basketball Insiders Annual Consensus Mock Drafts will begin in September, as will full 60-pick mocks starting next week, so stay tuned.
2019 NBA Consensus Mock Draft – Final
For the last seven weeks, four of Basketball Insiders’ top writers have been breaking down the latest news and notes surrounding the 2019 NBA Draft, here is their final look at all 60 picks.
For the last seven weeks, four of Basketball Insiders’ top writers have been breaking down the latest news and notes surrounding the 2019 NBA Draft. Each week they provided an updated mock draft that reflected how each writer saw the draft landscape based on the latest news, workouts and information from the pre-draft process as well as a notebook, outlining each writers’ thoughts, observations and reporting on the draft.
Keep in mind we are trying to find commonalities, which is why it is called the Consensus. The writers involved do not see each other’s selections until these are posted. It is done deliberately to make sure each writer is not influencing the others.
Here is the Final Consensus Mock for the 2019 NBA Draft:
*** The 30th pick in the first round was traded to the Detroit Pistons, and the picks made reflect that trade, which will not happen until after the player is selected
***The 32nd pick in the second round was traded to the Indiana Pacers, and the picks made reflect that trade, which will not happen until after the player is selected
***The 41st pick in the second round was traded to the Golden State Warriors, and the picks made reflect that trade, which will not happen until after the player is selected
Jesse’s Notebook Some recent trades, including the trades for Anthony Davis and Mike Conley, as well as a few other transactions have shifted the draft board yet again. First-round picks are being moved around after a period in which prying away a first-rounder from another team was basically a non-starter. With the way the last few days have unfolded, and with the Western Conference seemingly wide open, I am predicting there will be several major trades on draft night. Add in the uncertainty surrounding several star free agents, and it’s simply impossible to predict with much precision what will happen on Thursday. However, this is the sort of environment that excites fans almost as much as the actual playoffs and NBA Finals, and I am not one to complain.
What is interesting about this is the fact that this draft seemingly drops off a cliff (arguably) once we get to the ninth pick. It would be more understandable to anticipate major moves on draft night with a loaded class, but that simply isn’t the case this year. My draft board has moved around wildly throughout this process, and I am bracing myself to be off the mark on draft night. All it takes is one trade for things to get thrown off in a major way, and I am anticipating at least a few major moves.
Throughout this process, I was looking for a handful of players to grab my attention and never let it go. Last season, that player was Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and I was very interested in seeing where Michael Porter Jr. would ultimately land given his talent and injury issues. That player never really emerged this year, however. I think Cameron Reddish is one of the more intriguing players in the class considering his talent and upside, but shaky college record.
I look forward to revisiting this draft a few years down the road. At least one general manager is going to get a steal somewhere in the middle or backend of the draft. Considering how comparable the talent is throughout the board once we get past the lottery, it’s hard to say who the steal of the draft may be. Again, I am fully prepared for draft night to go off script in a major way. I recommend all NBA fans do the same.
Drew’s Notebook After months of planning, the 2019 NBA Draft is finally upon us. And per the usual, the closer we get, the harder it is to differentiate between fact and fiction given the number of smokescreens generated by agents and teams.
The Grizzlies appear dead set on Ja Morant. And rightfully so considering they traded away Mike Conley. The Knicks have continued to do their due diligence having worked out Vanderbilt’s Darius Garland just yesterday – and those close to Garland say the interest is real. On the flip side of the Knicks’ decision, RJ Barrett claims to have made considerable improvements since we last saw him at Duke – take that with a grain of salt. But the Knicks still appear to be the first team with a real decision to make.
We also hear that Nassir Little could go as high as nine to Washington and that Sekou Doumbouya might have a guarantee from Orlando at 16. So watch out for those curveballs, too.
As far as teams looking to consolidate their picks are concerned, the Hawks have resisted the idea of packaging the eighth pick along with 10 and/or 17, which may prohibit them from moving up as high as they would prefer. Atlanta owned six picks coming into the draft process – 8, 10, 17, 35, 41 and 44. They’ve already dealt 41 to Golden State and 44 to Miami. We’ll see if they continue moving/consolidating picks in hopes of mitigating the number of rookies they bring into training camp.
We’ve also heard that the Celtics would like to package their picks to move up, but it seems as though they’ve struggled to gain any traction – probably because teams can’t accurately predict who will be available with their selections (the Celtics’ first selection is 14). Boston may have to wait for some names to come off the board before others decide if trading back for multiple selections is the right move.
Draft night will inevitably deliver a number of surprises to the Brooklyn crowd. I expect heavy trade activity tomorrow night in advance of another wild free agency period, beginning June 30.
Spencer’s Notebook The day is here, folks! Tonight marks the official date of the 2019 NBA Draft, which will begin potentially one of the most hectic summers the association has ever seen.
In past notebooks from different versions of our Consensus Mock, I surmised that much of the shakeout would depend on what happened with Anthony Davis in New Orleans. Well, that situation resolved itself this past week when the Los Angeles Lakers made a franchise-altering trade with the Pelicans to land “The Brow” in Hollywood.
New Orleans executive vice president of basketball operations David Griffin now holds significant draft capital, as the team has both the first and fourth pick in this upcoming class. He also swindled three more first-rounders along with The Big Easy’s new upstart talents in Lonzo Ball, Brandon Ingram, and Josh Hart. Due to the abundance of young guard/wing talent, and multiple teams vying to trade up using different packages, there’s a reason for the Pelicans to deal away No. 4.
And because of the uncertainty of what will happen at that slot, it’s difficult to predict how the draft will ultimately shake out. For example, if New Orleans decides to hang onto it, they could take Darius Garland, or RJ Barrett (if he falls) or whomever they deem fits their organization. However, if a team like the Atlanta Hawks jumps the Cleveland Cavaliers to draft Jarrett Culver or De’Andre Hunter, it could cause a domino effect that may completely alter everybody else’s plans.
Just in the past 48 hours, we learned about developments in New York. According to ESPN’s Jonathan Givony, the Knicks brass is seriously considering Garland at No. 3 and worked him out Wednesday. Whether this is actual interest or a way to drive up an asking price for their draft pick in order to make a deal of their own, we don’t actually know. The same thing could be said for Cleveland, who despite having Collin Sexton, is intrigued by the dynamic point guard.
At this point in the process, the real information could differ completely from what’s being leaked. Smoke is already filling up the room. It’s almost impossible to predict what will happen in this year’s draft, especially when most people around NBA circles believe that, at the tail end of the lottery, there could be draft picks moved every which way.
This is like throwing a dart blindfolded. As I tweeted last night, we might be burning our mock drafts at the rate we rip up brackets in the month of March.
The Utah Jazz and Milwaukee Bucks already moved their first-round picks in separate deals. That could only be the beginning. Who knows what the Hawks and Boston Celtics will do with three first-round selections in such a difficult class to differentiate player talent?
We won’t have to wait much longer to find out. Enjoy draft night, everyone!
Steve’s Notebook The 2019 NBA Draft is tonight in Brooklyn, New York, and while the suspense at the top of the draft board looks unchanged, there is a lot of potential for movement everywhere else.
As things stand today, Zion Williamson will be the top overall pick with almost no surprise there.
At number two, there continued to be talk last night that New Orleans was trying to pry the number two pick out of Memphis to grab Duke’s RJ Barrett, which would push Memphis back to the fourth spot and catching either Murray State’s Ja Morant or Vanderbilt’s Darius Garland, after the Knicks select at three. While these talks remain fluid, it does not appear at this point there will be a deal, but as is true with all trades, the right combination of assets changing hands can often turn a “No” into a “Yes.”
The New York Knicks have done their fair share of waffling on what to do at number three. While RJ Barrett remains the odds on favorite, the Knicks did take a long look at Garland on Wednesday in New York, as well as having surveyed executives from other teams for their views on Barrett, which is common due diligence, but also shows there may be some doubt on the long-term fit of Barrett.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have also been busy working on trade scenarios that could include in the fifth overall pick, the partially guaranteed cap clearing contract of JR Smith and their second pick at 26. The narrative around Cleveland is that they want to build around last year’s pick Collin Sexton, but the potential availability of Garland could test that commitment. Since the NBA Draft Combine, the Cavs have been linked to Duke’s Cam Reddish in trade down scenarios. There has been a belief that if Texas Tech guard Jarrett Culver is there at five, the Cavs may grab him and flip him to the Atlanta Hawks for either of the eighth or tenth picks and the Hawks pick at 17 which they obtained from the Brooklyn Nets.
As for some of the notable teams:
The prevailing thought is the Chicago Bulls are grabbing either Virginia’s De’Andre Hunter or UNC’s Coby White at 7.
The Washington Wizards seemed to have three guys in their sights: White, UNC’s Nassir Little and Limoges CSP’s Sekou Doumbouya.
The Hawks seem to be where Mega Bemax’s Goga Bitadze is going to land, likely at the ten spot.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are said to be extremely high on Gonzaga’s Rui Hachimura, although things could get interesting if Texas big man Jaxson Hayes is still on the board.
The Miami HEAT seem very open to trading their pick at 13, and there was talk in New York that Darius Bazley may be the HEAT’s guy, even as high as 13 if they keep the pick. The Pistons are also believed to be very high on Bazley.
The 2019 NBA draft is shaping up to be one of the turbulent drafts in recent years. A typical draft will have 15 to 18 transactions, most involving moving picks around. This year’s draft may double that when all the trade volume is done, so don’t get too attached to anyone your team may draft – they may not be there long.
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