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2014 NBA Mock Draft: Consensus Ver 6.0

Each week, four of Basketball Insiders’ top writers will break down the 2014 NBA Draft, including a revised Mock Draft based on the latest information; here is Version 6.0

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Each week, four of Basketball Insiders’ top writers will break down the latest news and notes around the 2014 NBA Draft. Included is a revised Mock Draft that reflects how each writer sees the draft landscape based on the latest news, workouts and information from in and around the process.

So here is how we see it:

Check out: Ver.1.0 | Ver. 2.0 | Ver. 3.0 | Ver. 4.0 | Ver. 5.0

Get the 2014 NBA Draft Issue of Basketball Insiders Magazine. The magazine can be purchased in three ways: You can buy it on the web, and the magazine will work on all devices. | You can buy it from the iTunes app store (for Apple users) | You can buy it from the Google Play store (for Android users). Get yours today!

Yannis’ Notebook: My mock indicates the worst-case scenario for Julius Randle, stemming from the reports that he’s going to need foot surgery after the draft. Randle has disputed the claim and while nobody knows his body better than he does, let’s be real here: Adrian Wojnarowski is the most credible and informed reporter in the game. He wouldn’t have put it out there if he didn’t have it from multiple sources.

Going off of the assumption that he is indeed going to need post-draft surgery, it’s going to have an inevitable impact on his draft stock. The competition at the power forward position is fierce. There’s little that separates Randle from Noah Vonleh and Aaron Gordon. They are all fine prospects, but what did give Randle a little bit of an edge over them was his NBA readiness.

Randle is considered one of the most pro-ready prospects in the draft, but missing out on summer league is going to be a real detriment to his development. While everyone else is going to be working out, getting experience playing against professionals and becoming familiar with their system and coaching staff, Randle is going to be restricted to just rehabbing and spectating. He’s expected to be cleared by training camp, but he’s really going to be playing catch up at that point.

In the end, the team that picks Randle is drafting him more for what he’s going to do over the next three years than the 6-8 weeks after the draft. However, making a multi-million investment in someone who needs surgery is a risky move. There’s a lot more uncertainty surrounding Randle, and as a result the other players at his position are going to be given more thought by the teams that were considering drafting him.


Joel’s Notebook: If Julius Randle does have to get foot surgery, as suggested by Yahoo! Sports’ Adrian Wojnarowski on Thursday, I don’t think it will affect his draft stock all that much, especially since he was probably already going to fall in the five-to-nine range, anyway. That’s where I still see him, though Marcus Smart, Aaron Gordon and Noah Vonleh may now get snatched up before him.

Last year, three of the top six picks were injured when they were selected, as teams threw caution to the wind in using their top selections on banged-up guys. That didn’t turn out all that well, though, as both Alex Len and Anthony Bennett had unbelievably disappointing rookie seasons and Nerlens Noel never even got on the floor. Let’s hope Randle has a better time getting rehabbed and back to real NBA action, both for his sake and the sake of the team that selects him.

Otherwise, this week feels pretty standard, though I think it’s the first time I’ve ever had Nik Stauskas and Kyle Anderson in the lottery, as well as the first time I’ve had Jusuf Nurkic fall out of it. Nurkic recently signed a four-year contract with his European team, which was a weird thing for him to do considering his draft stock had been so high, but that uncertainty is probably enough to push him out of the lottery. He’s the second-best center prospect in a year where there aren’t many of those, so someone’s going to reach on him. Just not sure it will be a lottery team.


Alex’s Notebook: One of the interesting things about submitting this mock draft every week is hearing what NBA executives think of my picks. Recently, I keep hearing the same thing: “You have Elfrid Payton too low.”

Last week, I had Payton falling to the end of the first round. However, more and more league sources have said it’s unlikely Payton will be on the board that long. Payton is drawing interest from several teams in the teens, and he is even getting serious looks from lottery teams.

The 6’3 point guard has been dominating workouts, which has really helped his draft stock. Initially, there were some questions about how he would fare against NBA-level competition, since he played at Louisiana-Lafayette and didn’t face the toughest opposition. However, after several impressive workouts, that no longer seems to be a concern. Executives who have watched Payton work out have raved about him.

Last season, Payton averaged 19.2 points, 6.0 rebounds, 5.9 assists and 2.3 steals while leading ULL to the NCAA Tournament. He emerged as one of the best players in the nation, ranking 11th in the country in field goals (237), 11th in assists (208), ninth in steals (80) and sixth in points produced (732). His lockdown defense earned him the Lefty Driesell Award, which is given to college basketball’s top defensive player.

Payton filled the stat sheet in college and should be able to do the same in the NBA with his versatility. He had a 34-point, 11-assist, 11-rebound, five-steal game against Louisiana-Monroe in January; a 31-point, 13-rebound, three-assist outing against Western Kentucky in March; and in the NCAA Tournament against three-seeded Creighton he had 24 points, eight rebounds, three assists and three steals.

Don’t be surprised if Payton continues to gain momentum and climb draft boards in the coming weeks. He may not have the name recognition of other point guard prospects like Tyler Ennis and Shabazz Napier, but he’s killing it in workouts and becoming a favorite of many executives around the league.


Steve’s Notebook: Things are starting to take shape on the NBA draft front, with a number of players sort of finding their floor.

There are a couple of phrases to keep in mind. A player’s floor is the lowest pick they feel they may go based on what teams are telling them during feedback sessions, while the ceiling is the pick that could be the highest.

There are a couple of players who feel like they have commitments, which means they will start to jockey those lower level commitments into potentially a higher overall draft positions. Some may take the bird in the hand and shut things down on the work out front too.

Here are a few names to watch:

– Doug McDermott seems locked in at the Charlotte Hornets with the ninth pick. There is a chance they go in a different direction especially with Julius Randle poised to tumble a little amid reports of a badly healed foot that may require corrective surgery. But McDermott may have found his floor at number nine.

– There is considerable chatter that Kristaps Porzingis is locked in to the Oklahoma City Thunder at No. 21. That wouldn’t stop a team above them from grabbing him, but the 18-year-old Porzingis may have found his floor with a team that’s more than willing to be patient with his progress. Porzingis is said to have an NBA out in his current contract estimated at 1.2 million EUR (roughly $1.6 million US), with his drafting team able to contribute $600,000 of that. Going higher surely makes eating the buyout a little more appealing, however having the threat of not coming over does help influence where he may end up.

– Elfrid Payton seems to have done well for himself in the workout process so far, with a number of people claiming he may have a commitment from the Boston Celtics at No. 17. The problem is the Chicago Bulls, Minnesota Timberwolves and Orlando Magic all seem to be fairly high on him as well. Payton is also a strong possibility for the Sacramento Kings if they trade down from their current eighth pick. Payton may have found his floor, but on draft night it might not matter.

– Nike Stauskas has done really well for himself, almost assuring a green room invite and a top 15 selection. The question for Stauskas is can he knock someone out of the top 10? There is a sense he might.

– Don’t write Dante Exum out of the picture in Orlando just yet, but this week’s mock does put Marcus Smart in Orlando at the number four spot. The Magic are very high on Smart, mainly because he is a ready to play player they feel can really shore up their defense. Exum is scheduled to meet with the Magic next week and that may change the thinking. The Magic have had Smart in for two visits already, with some saying there were unanswered questions from the first visit, hence the second visit.

Exum has scheduled just three workouts at this point – Milwaukee, Philadelphia and Orlando. He is not expected to work out for any team outside the top four.

Smart seems to be the front runner at this point, only because Orlando has not seen Exum up close yet. It’s far from decided at number four, with sources saying Exum would not have come in to Orlando if they had not assured him he was a viable candidate at number four, but Smart gets the nod this week.

I will be holding down the NBA Saturday tomorrow, which will feature a pick by pick breakdown of each of my selections and the logic behind each one. So stay tuned for that.


Who are these guys anyway? Steve Kyler is the Managing Editor and Publisher of Basketball Insiders and has covered the NBA for the last 17 seasons. Alex Kennedy is a Senior NBA Writer and Editor for Basketball Insiders and has covered the NBA for the last six years. Yannis Koutroupis is a Senior Writer and Editor and also serves as the NCAA Editor for Basketball Insiders and has covered basketball for the last eight years. Joel Brigham is a Senior NBA Writer and has covered the NBA for the last nine years.

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Mock Drafts

NBA Daily: The Top of The 2018 Draft Is Getting Crowded

The top of the projected 2018 NBA Draft is starting to get interesting, mainly because so many potential draft prospects are having incredibly dominant seasons.

Steve Kyler

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Things Are Getting Interesting

While the projected 2018 NBA Draft class doesn’t seem to have a future superstar sitting at the top of the board, there are potentially four players that are really looking the part of future NBA All-Stars and it’s making the top of the class very interesting.

Say what you want about stats, but there is little doubt that the numbers some of the top prospects are posting so far this season are pretty compelling.

Duke’s Marvin Bagley III is averaging 21.1 points per game to go with 10.9 rebounds. His 61.7 percent field goal average is impressive, especially when you consider he’s knocking in 34.6% of his three (9-26 on the season). Bagley has a 32.2 PER with a 64.6 True Shooting percentage and a 26.7 usage rate. In short, highly productive almost everywhere without having to own the basketball.

Arizona’s DeAndre Ayton is posting similarly ridiculous numbers, 19.5 points per game with 11.4 rebounds. His 61.7 percent from the field also comes with an impressive 30.4 percent three-point average (7-23 on the season). Ayton’s 32.3 PER is a nose higher than Bagley. He is also posting a whopping 65.6 True Shooting percentage with a 26.7 percentage usage rate. Again, highly productive in every way without being so ball-dominant to skew the numbers. Ayton hit the ground running at Arizona and really hasn’t had a bad game yet.

Oklahoma’s Trae Young has burst into the top-five discussion in a huge way. His 6’2 180-pound frame looks small on the court, but his game has been tremendous. Young is posting 28.7 points per game with a monster 10.4 assists per contest. He is grabbing 3.5 rebounds while shooting 48.5 percent from the field, 57.1 percent from two-point range and a scorching 41.1 percent from three (44 of 107 on the season). Young’s 38 PER is tops in all of college basketball. He has a 65.2 True Shooting percentage and a 36.1 usage rate. Unlike Bagley and Ayton, Young does control the ball, but that’s typical for an impact scoring point guard. He offsets the ball dominance with incredible assist numbers. He is also pretty spectacular to watch.

International phenom Luka Dončić is having a solid season in his own right, although his averages are lower because he doesn’t play the same volume of minutes as the NCAA collegiate prospects. In 26 games in both the Euroleague and the ACB, Dončić is posting 16.8 points, 5.7 rebounds and 4.3 assists per contest. He is shooting 48.4 percent from the field and 35.6 percent from international three (48 of 135 on the season). Dončić is posting a 28.2 PER in Euroleague play and a 23.7 PER in ACB play. Dončić’s True Shooting numbers in Euroleague play are impressive at 66.2 percent. In ACB play his number drop a bit to 58.1 percent. His usage numbers illustrate the same slip. In Euroleague play, he posts a 30 percent usage rate while posting a 26.6 percent usage rate in ACB. Dončić typically plays more minutes and a larger role in Euroleague play. Hence the stat shift. If you haven’t seen him play, he’s so instinctual and gifted it easy to see why many see him as the top pick.

There are some compelling storylines to watch towards the top of the NBA draft board, which is likely why so many NBA executives seem split on who they would peg as the top talent in the projected 2018 Draft class.

So, with that out the way, lets jump into the latest first-round 2018 NBA Mock Draft:

Here are some of the pick swaps and how they landed where they are currently projected:

The Philadelphia 76ers are owed the LA Lakers’ 2018 Draft pick, unprotected, as a result of the 2012 Steve Nash trade with the Suns. The Suns traded that pick to the 76ers as part of the Michael Carter-Williams three-team trade with the Milwaukee in 2015. The 76ers traded that pick to the Boston Celtics as part of the draft pick trade that became Markelle Fultz before the draft; it has 2 through 5 protections and based on the standings today would convey to Boston.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are owed the Brooklyn Nets’ first-round pick as a result of the Kyrie Irving trade this past summer. The Brooklyn Nets traded several unprotected picks to Boston as part of the Kevin Garnett and Paul Pierce trades in 2015.

The Phoenix Suns are owed the Miami HEAT’s first-round pick as part of the Goran Dragic trade in 2015, it is top-seven protected and would convey to Phoenix based on the current standings.

The Phoenix Suns are owed the Milwaukee Bucks’ first-round pick as part of the Eric Bledsoe trade. The pick only conveys if the Bucks pick lands between the 11th and 16th pick, which based on the standings today would not convey.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are owed the Oklahoma City Thunder’s first-round pick as part of the Jazz/Wolves Ricky Rubio trade this past summer. The Jazz acquired the pick as part of the Thunder’s deal to obtain Enes Kanter in 2015. The pick is lottery protected and based on the current standings would convey.

The Atlanta Hawks are owed the Minnesota Timberwolves’ first round pick as part of the Adreian Payne trade in 2015. The pick is lottery protected and based on the current standings would convey.

The Brooklyn Nets are owed the Toronto Raptors’ first round pick as part of the DeMarre Carroll salary dump trade this past summer. The pick is lottery protected and based on the current standings would convey.

The Atlanta Hawks are owed the Houston Rockets’ first round pick as part of a three-team deal with the LA Clippers and Denver Nuggets involving Danilo Gallinari and taking back Jamal Crawford and Diamond Stone. The pick is top-three protected and based on the current standings would convey.

Check out the Basketball Insiders’ Top 100 NBA Draft Prospects http://www.basketballinsiders.com/top-100-nba-draft-prospects/

More Twitter: Make sure you are following all of our guys on Twitter to ensure you are getting the very latest from our team: @stevekylerNBA, @MikeAScotto, @LangGreene, @EricPincus, @joelbrigham, @TommyBeer, @MokeHamilton , @jblancartenba, @Ben_Dowsett, @SpinDavies, @BuddyGrizzard, @JamesB_NBA, @DennisChambers_, and @Ben__Nadeau .

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Mock Drafts

NBA Daily: Another 2018 NBA Mock Draft – 12/13/17

Basketball Insiders’ publisher Steve Kyler drops his latest 2018 first-round NBA Mock Draft.

Steve Kyler

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A little less than a month ago we dropped the first 2018 NBA Mock Draft, which was met with a lot of disdain. Which is often a good thing because it sparks the discussion in NBA circles.

Since that Mock dropped, we’ve seen a bit more play out of some of the top prospects and many of the assumptions made almost a month ago are starting to settle into place a little more clearly.

The prevailing thought from NBA scouts and executives is that the possible 2018 NBA Draft class has a lot more questions than answers. The common view is that outside of the top 3 or 4 players there could be a very wide range on who the next 10-12 players will be; so expect for the second tier to evolve a lot over the course of the college basketball season.

A couple of things have started to surface among NBA scouts and executives, there seem to be three camps emerging around the top overall player – Duke’s Marvin Bagley III and international phenom Luka Dončić, seem to be the leading names mentioned most, with Arizona’s DeAndre Ayton making a strong push into the discussion. We can safely call this a three-horse race at this point.

The prevailing belief is that none of the three is far and away better than the other as a professional prospect, making it more likely than not that the top player selected will have a lot more to do with which team ultimately lands the pick, more so than the player themselves.

This class also seems to be brimming with promising athletic point guards, which unlike last year’s draft, could provide a lot of options for teams still trying to find that impact point guard.

There also looks to be 27 players in the projected top 100 that are 6’10 or bigger, eight of which project in the top 30. To put that into perspective, there were 11 players 6’10 or bigger drafted in the first round of the 2017 NBA Draft, and 17 total in the 60 2017 NBA Draft selections.

As we get into the 2018 calendar year, we’ll start to do deeper dives into the tiers of players and their possible NBA strengths and weakness.

So, with all of that in mind, here is the second 2018 first-round NBA Mock Draft.

Here are some of the pick swaps and how they landed where they are currently projected:

The Philadelphia 76ers are owed the LA Lakers 2018 Draft pick, unprotected, as a result of the 2012 Steve Nash trade with the Suns. The Suns traded that pick to the 76ers as part of the Michael Carter-Williams three-team trade with the Milwaukee in 2015.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are owed the Brooklyn Nets first-round pick as a result of the Kyrie Irving trade this past summer.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are owed the Oklahoma City Thunder’s first-round pick as part of the Ricky Rubio trade this summer. The pick is lottery protected and based on the current standings would not convey.

The Phoenix Suns are owed the Miami HEAT’s first-round pick as part of the Goran Dragic trade in 2015, it is top-seven protected and would convey to Phoenix based on the current standings.

The Atlanta Hawks are owed the Minnesota Timberwolves first round pick as part of the Adreian Payne trade in 2015. The pick is lottery protected and based on the current standings would convey.

The Phoenix Suns are owed the Milwaukee Bucks first-round pick as part of the Eric Bledsoe trade. The pick only conveys if the Bucks pick lands between the 11th and 16th pick, which based on the standings today would not convey.

The Brooklyn Nets are owed the Toronto Raptors first round pick as part of the DeMarre Carroll salary dump trade this past summer. The pick is lottery protected and based on the current standings would convey.

The Atlanta Hawks are owed the Houston Rockets first round pick as part of a three-team deal with the LA Clippers and Denver Nuggets involving Danilo Gallinari and taking back Jamal Crawford and Diamond Stone. The pick is top-three protected and based on the current standings would convey.

Check out the Basketball Insiders’ Top 100 NBA Draft Prospects http://www.basketballinsiders.com/top-100-nba-draft-prospects/

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Mock Drafts

NBA AM: The First 2018 NBA Mock Draft

With College Basketball getting underway and things starting to get interesting in the standings of the NBA, what better time to drop a 2018 Mock Draft than on Thanksgiving.

Steve Kyler

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The Thanksgiving 2018 NBA Mock Draft

With College Basketball getting underway and things starting to get interesting in the standings of the NBA, what better time to drop a 2018 Mock Draft than on Thanksgiving.

So with that in mind here is my first Mock Draft of the 2018 Season, look for more of these are we march on (and hopefully you like the new Mock Draft table design.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are owed the Brooklyn Nets first-round pick as a result of the Kyrie Irving trade this summer.

The Phoenix Suns are owed the Miami HEAT’s first-round pick as part of the Goran Dragic trade in 2015, it is top-seven protected and would convey to Phoenix based on the current standings.

The Phoenix Suns are owed the Milwaukee Bucks first-round pick as part of the Eric Bledsoe trade. The pick only conveys if the Bucks pick lands between the 11th and 16th pick, which based on the standings today would convey.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are owed the Oklahoma City Thunder’s first-round pick as part of the Ricky Rubio trade this summer. The pick is lottery protected and based on the current standings would convey.

The Atlanta Hawks are owed the Minnesota Timberwolves first round pick as part of the Adreian Payne trade in 2015. The pick is lottery protected and based on the current standings would convey.

The Brooklyn Nets are owed the Toronto Raptors first round pick as part of the DeMarre Carroll salary dump trade this past summer. The pick is lottery protected and based on the current standings would convey.

The Atlanta Hawks are owed the Houston Rockets first round pick as part of a three-team deal with the LA Clippers and Denver Nuggets involving Danilo Gallinari and taking back Jamal Crawford and Diamond Stone. The pick is top-three protected and based on the current standings would convey.

Check out our Top 100 NBA Draft Prospects http://www.basketballinsiders.com/top-100-nba-draft-prospects/

More Twitter: Make sure you are following all of our guys on Twitter to ensure you are getting the very latest from our team: @stevekylerNBA, @MikeAScotto, @LangGreene, @EricPincus, @joelbrigham, @TommyBeer, @MokeHamilton , @jblancartenba, @Ben_Dowsett, @SpinDavies, @BuddyGrizzard, @JamesB_NBA, @DennisChambers_, and @Ben__Nadeau .

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