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Mock Drafts

2016 NBA Mock Draft: Consensus Ver 6.0

With the 2016 NBA Draft just eight days away, four of Basketball Insiders’ experts give their sixth mock draft.

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Each week, four of Basketball Insiders’ top writers will break down the latest news and notes surrounding the 2016 NBA Draft. Included is an updated mock draft that reflects how each writer sees the draft landscape based on the latest news, workouts and information from the pre-draft process.


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Alex’s Notebook: It’s no secret that Marquese Chriss is one of my favorite prospects in this draft class, as I wrote a glowing profile of him shortly after the NBA Draft Combine and talked up his star potential. Last month, the highest that any credible mock draft had Chriss was No. 9 to the Toronto Raptors – and that seemed somewhat optimistic at the time. At that point, our good friends at DraftExpress had him slotted at No. 11 to the Orlando Magic.

Well, to give you an idea of how much Chriss’ stock has soared over the last few weeks, consider the fact that DraftExpress now has Chriss going No. 3 overall to the Boston Celtics. Third!

That’s a big leap for the 18-year-old, but it makes a lot of sense given the success he had in college coupled with his seemingly unlimited potential. The 6’10 power forward averaged an efficient 13.7 points, 5.4 rebounds, 1.6 blocks and .9 steals in just 24.9 minutes per game as a freshman at Washington, while shooting 53 percent from the field and 35 percent from three-point range. Chriss scored in double figures 24 times last season and had multiple blocks in 15 contests.

That’s terrific production for so few minutes. His per-100-possession averages would be 28.3 points, 11.1 rebounds, 3.3 blocks and 1.9 steals.

At the NBA Draft Combine, he measured in at 6’10, with a 7’0.25 wingspan and 8’9 standing reach. He also recorded a 38.5-inch max vertical (which was ninth among all players at the Combine) and impressive agility time (11.93 seconds, eighth among all players at the Combine). He also came across as incredibly mature and intelligent for his age.

So let’s sum this up: One of the youngest players in the draft posted terrific stats when given the chance to play, displayed his ridiculous athleticism at the Combine, and impressed in meetings and interviews. If you were trying to create the perfect formula for a prospect to move up draft boards, that would likely be it.

Chriss has everything executives drool over – Potential! Production! Professionalism! – and it’s no surprise he’s now as high as No. 4 on my mock draft (as well as Steve’s).

Joel’s Notebook: It seems to me as though the international prospects are starting to get a lot more buzz than some of the middling American talents, which makes sense considering the rise we saw from Kristaps Porzingis around this time last year and how much damaging injury information seems to be leaking for a lot of these first-round bubble guys from the NCAA.

Dragan Bender, ironically, isn’t the guy generating all of the positive buzz, as he seems to be dropping in mocks more often than rising, but Ivica Zubac, Ante Zizic, Furkan Korkmaz, Timothe Luwawu and Juan Hernangomez all look like they could be middle-of-the-first-round guys, with one or two of them even knocking on the door of the lottery. In a year where there’s so much parity and very little established hierarchy after the top two picks, it makes sense that teams would roll the dice on some of the international kids with potentially higher ceilings.

Chicago’s interest in Kris Dunn just won’t go away despite the fact that they won’t come anywhere close to drafting him if they stay where they are. Wade Baldwin and Demetrius Jackson make sense for them if they’re dying to draft a point guard, but there could be other talented guys worth taking there outside of that position. Jakob Poeltl or Henry Ellenson dropping to No. 14, for example, would be a no-brainer for shoring up their frontcourt. Skal Labissiere would be a fascinating flier. Or, if they really want Dunn, they can always trade Jimmy Butler and move up to #3 or #5, though that doesn’t seem all that likely.

This year’s meteoric riser could be Marquese Chriss, who looked like a late lottery guy a few weeks ago and now suddenly is among the guys in consideration for the No. 3 overall pick. Teams love his athleticism, which is elite in this class, and once again, everything else being equal teams are going to reach for ceiling once Ben Simmons and Brandon Ingram are off the board. The mocks you see here are educated guesses, but chances are more likely that these picks are all over the place, and five guys who aren’t on any of our mocks ended up going in the first round.

In short, this is going to be a crazy (and crazy entertaining) draft to watch. There’s nothing but question marks so far outside of the top two picks.

Moke’s Notebook: My mock is mostly unchanged from last week. There continues to be mixed reviews on Dragan Bender, but the prevailing sentiment is that the Phoenix Suns will not let him slip by them at number four. If the Suns do opt to take a “safer” pick, the domino effect would far-reaching and would probably blow up my lottery selections.

From what I hear, the two prospects who seem to have helped their stock the most during this process are Jamal Murray and Skal Labissiere. At this point, there are some who project each of these two in the top six. I don’t think that either goes that high, but the possibility of either dropping out of the top 10, at this point, is slight.

In terms of second rounders, Malachi Richardson’s name continues to be mentioned, which echoes comments made by Steve a tad earlier. I don’t have him in my first round, but I see him as potentially being another “round busting” pick.

I would also mention George Mason’s Shevon Thompson. Thompson is currently considered a second-round prospect, but has been in to work out with several teams over the past 10 days. Known as being a ferocious rebounder, scouts are impressed with his timing and rebounding instincts, despite the fact that he only began playing basketball during his junior year in high school.

At this point, most teams have already conducted their own mock drafts and have their own depth charts. Between now and the draft, we will see some high-picking teams call a player or two back for a secret workout here and there, so there will certainly be at least some drama before draft night. Until then, everyone is going to be trying to figure out what the Boston Celtics will do with their third pick and whether or not the Denver Nuggets will move either their 15th or 19th pick, as those moves can have sweeping ramifications.

Steve’s Notebook: Every year, there are picks that could be had, especially when you get this close to the NBA draft (which is just eight days away).

This year, there are some notable picks at the top of the draft as well as several picks in the middle of the first round that could change hands on draft day.

The belief around the NBA is that Boston would rather trade the third overall pick for a proven veteran rather than add one more 19-20-year-old to the roster. If the Celtics cannot find a deal, which at this point they do not seem to have, the Celtics are believed to be narrowing in on three guys: Kentucky’s Jamal Murray, Cal’s Jaylen Brown and Washington’s Marquese Chriss – and it’s believed to be in that order.

Typically once a team get down to this kind of list, there is internal debate before reaching a decision and that’s where things seem to stand with Boston.

The Celtics also hold the 16 and 23 picks in the first round and it’s believed one of those picks could be had in trade as well. If the Celtics cannot find a home for at least one of them, they are team pegged as having interest in a draft-and-stash situation. Watch for Croatian big man Ante Zizic with one of those picks, maybe even as high as 16.

The New Orleans Pelicans are also said to be willing to move the No. 6 pick in the draft. The Pels have been all over looking at players and there is a sense that New Orleans could be where Buddy Hield lands if the Pels can’t find a trade for a better player. The Pelicans are also the dark-horse team to grab Skal Labissiere, but may not keep him if they do; there is a sense that New Orleans could be the team that drafts the guy that falls to them and trades them later in the draft for other players and veterans.

The Utah Jazz are said to have the 12th pick on the trade market and may have a trade partner in the San Antonio Spurs if the right players start to fall into that range. When you factor in the friendly nature of the Spurs fraternity and the Jazz’s desire to add veterans, doing a deal with San Antonio becomes interesting – especially if it yields a decent roster player. The Jazz have worked out a few players, so it’s not out of the realm of possibility that they keep the pick if the Spurs’ wish list does not materialize. The 12 spot is believed to be Gonzaga’s Domantas Sabonis’ floor and could be the ceiling for Vanderbilt’s Wade Baldwin, although the Sacramento Kings just got Baldwin in for a workout so that could change.

In all, it’s believed that the 3, 6, 12, 15, 16, 19, 23, 24 and 26 picks could all be moved – with at least half of those picks being more than likely moved at some point during the draft.

Who are these guys anyway? Steve Kyler is the Publisher of Basketball Insiders and has covered the NBA for the last 18 seasons. Alex Kennedy is the Managing Editor of Basketball Insiders and has covered the NBA for the last nine years. Moke Hamilton is a Senior Writer for Basketball Insiders and has covered basketball for the last six years. Joel Brigham is a Senior NBA Writer and has covered the NBA for the last 11 years.

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Mock Drafts

NBA Daily: The Top of The 2018 Draft Is Getting Crowded

The top of the projected 2018 NBA Draft is starting to get interesting, mainly because so many potential draft prospects are having incredibly dominant seasons.

Steve Kyler

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Things Are Getting Interesting

While the projected 2018 NBA Draft class doesn’t seem to have a future superstar sitting at the top of the board, there are potentially four players that are really looking the part of future NBA All-Stars and it’s making the top of the class very interesting.

Say what you want about stats, but there is little doubt that the numbers some of the top prospects are posting so far this season are pretty compelling.

Duke’s Marvin Bagley III is averaging 21.1 points per game to go with 10.9 rebounds. His 61.7 percent field goal average is impressive, especially when you consider he’s knocking in 34.6% of his three (9-26 on the season). Bagley has a 32.2 PER with a 64.6 True Shooting percentage and a 26.7 usage rate. In short, highly productive almost everywhere without having to own the basketball.

Arizona’s DeAndre Ayton is posting similarly ridiculous numbers, 19.5 points per game with 11.4 rebounds. His 61.7 percent from the field also comes with an impressive 30.4 percent three-point average (7-23 on the season). Ayton’s 32.3 PER is a nose higher than Bagley. He is also posting a whopping 65.6 True Shooting percentage with a 26.7 percentage usage rate. Again, highly productive in every way without being so ball-dominant to skew the numbers. Ayton hit the ground running at Arizona and really hasn’t had a bad game yet.

Oklahoma’s Trae Young has burst into the top-five discussion in a huge way. His 6’2 180-pound frame looks small on the court, but his game has been tremendous. Young is posting 28.7 points per game with a monster 10.4 assists per contest. He is grabbing 3.5 rebounds while shooting 48.5 percent from the field, 57.1 percent from two-point range and a scorching 41.1 percent from three (44 of 107 on the season). Young’s 38 PER is tops in all of college basketball. He has a 65.2 True Shooting percentage and a 36.1 usage rate. Unlike Bagley and Ayton, Young does control the ball, but that’s typical for an impact scoring point guard. He offsets the ball dominance with incredible assist numbers. He is also pretty spectacular to watch.

International phenom Luka Dončić is having a solid season in his own right, although his averages are lower because he doesn’t play the same volume of minutes as the NCAA collegiate prospects. In 26 games in both the Euroleague and the ACB, Dončić is posting 16.8 points, 5.7 rebounds and 4.3 assists per contest. He is shooting 48.4 percent from the field and 35.6 percent from international three (48 of 135 on the season). Dončić is posting a 28.2 PER in Euroleague play and a 23.7 PER in ACB play. Dončić’s True Shooting numbers in Euroleague play are impressive at 66.2 percent. In ACB play his number drop a bit to 58.1 percent. His usage numbers illustrate the same slip. In Euroleague play, he posts a 30 percent usage rate while posting a 26.6 percent usage rate in ACB. Dončić typically plays more minutes and a larger role in Euroleague play. Hence the stat shift. If you haven’t seen him play, he’s so instinctual and gifted it easy to see why many see him as the top pick.

There are some compelling storylines to watch towards the top of the NBA draft board, which is likely why so many NBA executives seem split on who they would peg as the top talent in the projected 2018 Draft class.

So, with that out the way, lets jump into the latest first-round 2018 NBA Mock Draft:

Here are some of the pick swaps and how they landed where they are currently projected:

The Philadelphia 76ers are owed the LA Lakers’ 2018 Draft pick, unprotected, as a result of the 2012 Steve Nash trade with the Suns. The Suns traded that pick to the 76ers as part of the Michael Carter-Williams three-team trade with the Milwaukee in 2015. The 76ers traded that pick to the Boston Celtics as part of the draft pick trade that became Markelle Fultz before the draft; it has 2 through 5 protections and based on the standings today would convey to Boston.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are owed the Brooklyn Nets’ first-round pick as a result of the Kyrie Irving trade this past summer. The Brooklyn Nets traded several unprotected picks to Boston as part of the Kevin Garnett and Paul Pierce trades in 2015.

The Phoenix Suns are owed the Miami HEAT’s first-round pick as part of the Goran Dragic trade in 2015, it is top-seven protected and would convey to Phoenix based on the current standings.

The Phoenix Suns are owed the Milwaukee Bucks’ first-round pick as part of the Eric Bledsoe trade. The pick only conveys if the Bucks pick lands between the 11th and 16th pick, which based on the standings today would not convey.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are owed the Oklahoma City Thunder’s first-round pick as part of the Jazz/Wolves Ricky Rubio trade this past summer. The Jazz acquired the pick as part of the Thunder’s deal to obtain Enes Kanter in 2015. The pick is lottery protected and based on the current standings would convey.

The Atlanta Hawks are owed the Minnesota Timberwolves’ first round pick as part of the Adreian Payne trade in 2015. The pick is lottery protected and based on the current standings would convey.

The Brooklyn Nets are owed the Toronto Raptors’ first round pick as part of the DeMarre Carroll salary dump trade this past summer. The pick is lottery protected and based on the current standings would convey.

The Atlanta Hawks are owed the Houston Rockets’ first round pick as part of a three-team deal with the LA Clippers and Denver Nuggets involving Danilo Gallinari and taking back Jamal Crawford and Diamond Stone. The pick is top-three protected and based on the current standings would convey.

Check out the Basketball Insiders’ Top 100 NBA Draft Prospects http://www.basketballinsiders.com/top-100-nba-draft-prospects/

More Twitter: Make sure you are following all of our guys on Twitter to ensure you are getting the very latest from our team: @stevekylerNBA, @MikeAScotto, @LangGreene, @EricPincus, @joelbrigham, @TommyBeer, @MokeHamilton , @jblancartenba, @Ben_Dowsett, @SpinDavies, @BuddyGrizzard, @JamesB_NBA, @DennisChambers_, and @Ben__Nadeau .

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Mock Drafts

NBA Daily: Another 2018 NBA Mock Draft – 12/13/17

Basketball Insiders’ publisher Steve Kyler drops his latest 2018 first-round NBA Mock Draft.

Steve Kyler

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A little less than a month ago we dropped the first 2018 NBA Mock Draft, which was met with a lot of disdain. Which is often a good thing because it sparks the discussion in NBA circles.

Since that Mock dropped, we’ve seen a bit more play out of some of the top prospects and many of the assumptions made almost a month ago are starting to settle into place a little more clearly.

The prevailing thought from NBA scouts and executives is that the possible 2018 NBA Draft class has a lot more questions than answers. The common view is that outside of the top 3 or 4 players there could be a very wide range on who the next 10-12 players will be; so expect for the second tier to evolve a lot over the course of the college basketball season.

A couple of things have started to surface among NBA scouts and executives, there seem to be three camps emerging around the top overall player – Duke’s Marvin Bagley III and international phenom Luka Dončić, seem to be the leading names mentioned most, with Arizona’s DeAndre Ayton making a strong push into the discussion. We can safely call this a three-horse race at this point.

The prevailing belief is that none of the three is far and away better than the other as a professional prospect, making it more likely than not that the top player selected will have a lot more to do with which team ultimately lands the pick, more so than the player themselves.

This class also seems to be brimming with promising athletic point guards, which unlike last year’s draft, could provide a lot of options for teams still trying to find that impact point guard.

There also looks to be 27 players in the projected top 100 that are 6’10 or bigger, eight of which project in the top 30. To put that into perspective, there were 11 players 6’10 or bigger drafted in the first round of the 2017 NBA Draft, and 17 total in the 60 2017 NBA Draft selections.

As we get into the 2018 calendar year, we’ll start to do deeper dives into the tiers of players and their possible NBA strengths and weakness.

So, with all of that in mind, here is the second 2018 first-round NBA Mock Draft.

Here are some of the pick swaps and how they landed where they are currently projected:

The Philadelphia 76ers are owed the LA Lakers 2018 Draft pick, unprotected, as a result of the 2012 Steve Nash trade with the Suns. The Suns traded that pick to the 76ers as part of the Michael Carter-Williams three-team trade with the Milwaukee in 2015.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are owed the Brooklyn Nets first-round pick as a result of the Kyrie Irving trade this past summer.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are owed the Oklahoma City Thunder’s first-round pick as part of the Ricky Rubio trade this summer. The pick is lottery protected and based on the current standings would not convey.

The Phoenix Suns are owed the Miami HEAT’s first-round pick as part of the Goran Dragic trade in 2015, it is top-seven protected and would convey to Phoenix based on the current standings.

The Atlanta Hawks are owed the Minnesota Timberwolves first round pick as part of the Adreian Payne trade in 2015. The pick is lottery protected and based on the current standings would convey.

The Phoenix Suns are owed the Milwaukee Bucks first-round pick as part of the Eric Bledsoe trade. The pick only conveys if the Bucks pick lands between the 11th and 16th pick, which based on the standings today would not convey.

The Brooklyn Nets are owed the Toronto Raptors first round pick as part of the DeMarre Carroll salary dump trade this past summer. The pick is lottery protected and based on the current standings would convey.

The Atlanta Hawks are owed the Houston Rockets first round pick as part of a three-team deal with the LA Clippers and Denver Nuggets involving Danilo Gallinari and taking back Jamal Crawford and Diamond Stone. The pick is top-three protected and based on the current standings would convey.

Check out the Basketball Insiders’ Top 100 NBA Draft Prospects http://www.basketballinsiders.com/top-100-nba-draft-prospects/

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Mock Drafts

NBA AM: The First 2018 NBA Mock Draft

With College Basketball getting underway and things starting to get interesting in the standings of the NBA, what better time to drop a 2018 Mock Draft than on Thanksgiving.

Steve Kyler

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The Thanksgiving 2018 NBA Mock Draft

With College Basketball getting underway and things starting to get interesting in the standings of the NBA, what better time to drop a 2018 Mock Draft than on Thanksgiving.

So with that in mind here is my first Mock Draft of the 2018 Season, look for more of these are we march on (and hopefully you like the new Mock Draft table design.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are owed the Brooklyn Nets first-round pick as a result of the Kyrie Irving trade this summer.

The Phoenix Suns are owed the Miami HEAT’s first-round pick as part of the Goran Dragic trade in 2015, it is top-seven protected and would convey to Phoenix based on the current standings.

The Phoenix Suns are owed the Milwaukee Bucks first-round pick as part of the Eric Bledsoe trade. The pick only conveys if the Bucks pick lands between the 11th and 16th pick, which based on the standings today would convey.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are owed the Oklahoma City Thunder’s first-round pick as part of the Ricky Rubio trade this summer. The pick is lottery protected and based on the current standings would convey.

The Atlanta Hawks are owed the Minnesota Timberwolves first round pick as part of the Adreian Payne trade in 2015. The pick is lottery protected and based on the current standings would convey.

The Brooklyn Nets are owed the Toronto Raptors first round pick as part of the DeMarre Carroll salary dump trade this past summer. The pick is lottery protected and based on the current standings would convey.

The Atlanta Hawks are owed the Houston Rockets first round pick as part of a three-team deal with the LA Clippers and Denver Nuggets involving Danilo Gallinari and taking back Jamal Crawford and Diamond Stone. The pick is top-three protected and based on the current standings would convey.

Check out our Top 100 NBA Draft Prospects http://www.basketballinsiders.com/top-100-nba-draft-prospects/

More Twitter: Make sure you are following all of our guys on Twitter to ensure you are getting the very latest from our team: @stevekylerNBA, @MikeAScotto, @LangGreene, @EricPincus, @joelbrigham, @TommyBeer, @MokeHamilton , @jblancartenba, @Ben_Dowsett, @SpinDavies, @BuddyGrizzard, @JamesB_NBA, @DennisChambers_, and @Ben__Nadeau .

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