Each week, four of Basketball Insiders’ top writers will break down the latest news and notes surrounding the 2016 NBA Draft. Included is an updated mock draft that reflects how each writer sees the draft landscape based on the latest news, workouts and information from the pre-draft process.
With the NBA Draft tomorrow, here is the final look at the 2016 NBA Draft.
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Alex’s Notebook: Around this time of year, there’s a lot of misinformation flying around. Not only will teams go to great lengths to hide which players they like, there are also some teams who will leak stuff about a prospect’s injury or off-court issue in hopes that they can get draft him.
This year, a number of injuries have been reported, but it remains to be seen how they will affect the draft’s first round.
Some teams are reportedly concerned about Denzel Valentine’s right knee and how it could impact the longevity of his career. He never missed a game in college due to his right knee – and he only missed four games in four years at Michigan State – but an MRI apparently scared some people around the league. But will this affect Valentine’s draft stock? He was previously being discussed as a potential lottery pick.
Malik Beasley’s stress fracture surgery in his right leg happened right after the season and sources have said the reason he limited his workouts is actually because he has a promise with a mid-first team that has an attractive situation. He received a green-room invite, so don’t be surprised if we hear his name sooner than initially expected.
Tyler Ulis is undersized, but he’s a very skilled point guard and he has a lot of fans around the NBA. So it remains to be seen whether the hip issue that has been discussed is legitimate or something teams are using in hopes that he slips. Kentucky head coach John Calipari has campaigned for Ulis and said that he doesn’t believe the rumors about a hip injury.
Some reports indicated that Stephen Zimmerman was red-flagged medically, but sources close to Zimmerman shot that down and have no idea where it’s coming from. It could be that a team has Zimmerman in their sights.
This may seem like an awful thing to do to a young kid just trying to achieve his dream of playing in the NBA, but some teams (and agents) will go to great lengths to affect draft boards. Be careful what you believe around this time of year.
Joel’s Notebook: The final mock draft is always the most important one, because we’re supposed to have learned our lessons from two months of making predictions. Honestly, though, the best part about the draft is that nobody really has a firm grasp on what is actually going to happen.
But I have watched the draft literally every year since I was 12 years old, and I made some picks in this final mock draft based on things I’ve known teams to do. Brice Johnson at No. 20 to Indiana does not, on the surface, seem to make a whole lot of sense, but Indiana keeps their cards very close to their chest and is not afraid to pick guys ahead of where they’re technically “supposed” to go. See Tyler Hansbrough, for example, or Solomon Hill. Johnson might not be the pick, but I wouldn’t be shocked to be shocked by who Indy ultimately goes with.
I’ve got Milwaukee taking the long, athletic big in Skal Labissiere, even though Henry Ellenson would be a perfectly-scripted selection from them right there because they’ve made a habit of collecting long, athletic bigs the last several years with a reasonable measure of success.
I’m also predicting that Boston will not be able to trade the No. 3 pick and will have to just settle for snagging a player who can help them immediately. They’ve got point guards for days, but there really isn’t anyone like Jaylen Brown on the roster yet. I think he’ll end up being the guy. My gut tells me Phoenix is snagging a guard at No. 4, Minnesota would screech with delight if Jamal Murray was still there at No. 5 and Dragan Bender in Toronto at No. 9 would be fascinating.
Jakob Poeltl dropped in just about every mock draft that I did this year, and I’m not sure why. I’m not low on him, but I guess I just see the league moving away from that more traditional center and I wonder how it will affect his stock. Chicago would be a nice fit for him should he fall that far.
And in Philadelphia, with a regime change in the front office, it wouldn’t be surprising for them to take the most accomplished young players possible. Ulis and Prince fit that mold perfectly.
Enjoy the draft on Thursday and, as we do with all my predictions, let’s look forward to chiding me for how many of them I will have gotten wrong by then. Even still, it’s my favorite night of the NBA year. Right or wrong, it’s showtime.
Moke’s Notebook: In short, after the first two picks, my top 10 looks radically different from last week, which, frankly, shouldn’t come as much of a surprise. Personally, I think if Danny Ainge is going to exercise the third overall pick for the Boston Celtics, Jaylen Brown is the right fit. However, after learning that the Celtics have been trying (albeit unsuccessfully) to move their third overall pick, I’m inclined to think that Ainge would select Kris Dunn with, mainly because Dunn has done the most to boost his perceived value over the course of the pre-draft process. While some teams are high on Dragan Bender, I think he is too much of a risk for Ainge to roll the dice on at number three.
If Bender gets past the Phoenix Suns at number four (which I think he will), then I’d think he would slide a bit. With Ricky Rubio and Eric Gordon each having uncertain futures with their respective franchises, I see the Timberwolves and Hornets selecting Buddy Hield and Jamal Murray in some order, and I think I’m in the minority of having Skal Labissiere being selected inside of the top 10. After having Jalen Brown going to the Celtics at third last week, I have him being picked up by the Kings at number eight, which I think would be a win-win situation for both the player and the franchise.
For the past few weeks, I have been hearing that Malachi Richardson has done a lot to help his draft stock, so he is probably the biggest surprise for me in the final round of mock drafts. I wouldn’t expect him to get past the Clippers at number 25 if he is still on the board, but I think he goes before then.
As always, this entire process has been full of smokescreens and intrigue, but that’s a part of the game. There are a lot of intriguing prospects in this draft class and I think a few years from now, we will look back at it and realize that there are many quality players who entered the league in 2016. I can’t remember a draft having this much intrigue after the top two picks in recent years, as there doesn’t even seem to be a consensus top five heading into draft night.
In the end, there is a lot of talent in this draft, both at the top and the bottom. And either way, your team is likely to walk away from here with a quality piece or two.
Steve’s Notebook: Draft day is upon us and while many things are starting to fall into place at the top of the draft, there are still as many questions as answers in the middle and the bottom.
The annual green-room invite list answers some questions because historically, the largest majority of guys drafted early in the draft are in the room when drafted.
The fact that notable guys like Baylor’s Taurean Prince, high school sensation Thon Maker and Notre Dame’s Demetrius Jackson were not invited likely signals all three go lower than we have projected for most of this process. But it’s always possible one of them get drafted out of sequence. Last year, the Boston Celtics took Terry Rozier fairly high compared to his pre-draft stock; anything is possible on draft day.
There are a few names to watch in the mid-to-late first round. Oklahoma’s Isaiah Cousins continues to be a hot name among NBA talent evaluators and is in the running for a spot late in the first. Maryland’s Diamond Stone still seems to be hovering around the late 20s on some team’s draft boards.
On the flip side, the general consensus is that Kentucky guard Tyler Ulis may slide into the second round. UNC’s Brice Johnson still does not seem like he has a first-round home yet, although its possible he gets scooped up with a team’s second selection making him a possibility for Boston, Phoenix or Philadelphia – although it seems if the 76ers can’t package their picks in the 20s, they may swing for the international fences with both picks and defer those players into next season and beyond.
And lastly, there’s the Boston Celtics. On the eve of the NBA Draft, the Celtics are still trying to swing a deal for a significant veteran. The C’s are believed to have made recent runs at Chicago’s Jimmy Butler, Milwaukee’s Khris Middleton as well as making calls on Cleveland’s Kevin Love.
If the Celtics cannot find a deal, there is a better than average chance they will draft Kris Dunn from Providence – and trade him later in the draft (possibly to the Minnesota Timberwolves and extract a veteran player out of the Wolves).
The Celtics seem to be the team that holds the keys to how this draft will play out and they are a huge wild card in the process.
Make sure to check the 2016 NBA Draft Diary for all the latest news, rumors and deals. It’s updated throughout the day all the way up to the draft. If something is happening, you’ll find it all in one place. Bookmark it and check in often.
2020 NBA Mock Draft – The Final 60-Pick Mock
What a long and winding road the 20201 NBA Draft has been. While this draft cycle has seen its ups and down, the moment of truth if finally upon us.
What a long and winding road the 20201 NBA Draft has been. While this draft cycle has seen its ups and down, the moment of truth if finally upon us.
Here is a final look at the 2020 Draft, and how it may play out in this final 60-pick Mock Draft of the 20202 NBA Draft process:
2020 NBA Mock Draft – First Round – 08/21/2020
The 2020 NBA Draft order is now locked in, however, there are tons of additional questions to be answered in the coming weeks. Here is a look at the first round, in this Basketball Insiders Mock Draft.
To say the 2020 NBA Draft has been chaotic is an understatement, however with last night’s NBA Draft Lottery out of the way, things are starting to at least trend in a positive direction.
That doesn’t mean there are not challenges ahead, namely when the actual NBA Draft will take place.
There is a growing sense that the NBA and the players are going to push back the start of the next cap year, which will likely impact when and how the NBA Draft plays out.
Typically, the Draft is a major transaction window for NBA teams, and with so much unknown surrounding how the salary cap will be set, and when trades and transactions typically consummated around the draft would become official, there is a lot of uncertainty, making the 2020 NBA draft wide open on many fronts.
The hope among teams is that some clarity on all of this will surface in the coming weeks, but for now most teams are operating in uncharted waters.
With all of that in mind, here is a look at the 2020 NBA Draft First round, which will be the first of many weekly Mock Drafts we’ll be dropping all the way up to the draft, whenever that finally gets set.
The Basketball Insiders Annual Consensus Mock Drafts will begin in September, as will full 60-pick mocks starting next week, so stay tuned.
2019 NBA Consensus Mock Draft – Final
For the last seven weeks, four of Basketball Insiders’ top writers have been breaking down the latest news and notes surrounding the 2019 NBA Draft, here is their final look at all 60 picks.
For the last seven weeks, four of Basketball Insiders’ top writers have been breaking down the latest news and notes surrounding the 2019 NBA Draft. Each week they provided an updated mock draft that reflected how each writer saw the draft landscape based on the latest news, workouts and information from the pre-draft process as well as a notebook, outlining each writers’ thoughts, observations and reporting on the draft.
Keep in mind we are trying to find commonalities, which is why it is called the Consensus. The writers involved do not see each other’s selections until these are posted. It is done deliberately to make sure each writer is not influencing the others.
Here is the Final Consensus Mock for the 2019 NBA Draft:
*** The 30th pick in the first round was traded to the Detroit Pistons, and the picks made reflect that trade, which will not happen until after the player is selected
***The 32nd pick in the second round was traded to the Indiana Pacers, and the picks made reflect that trade, which will not happen until after the player is selected
***The 41st pick in the second round was traded to the Golden State Warriors, and the picks made reflect that trade, which will not happen until after the player is selected
Jesse’s Notebook Some recent trades, including the trades for Anthony Davis and Mike Conley, as well as a few other transactions have shifted the draft board yet again. First-round picks are being moved around after a period in which prying away a first-rounder from another team was basically a non-starter. With the way the last few days have unfolded, and with the Western Conference seemingly wide open, I am predicting there will be several major trades on draft night. Add in the uncertainty surrounding several star free agents, and it’s simply impossible to predict with much precision what will happen on Thursday. However, this is the sort of environment that excites fans almost as much as the actual playoffs and NBA Finals, and I am not one to complain.
What is interesting about this is the fact that this draft seemingly drops off a cliff (arguably) once we get to the ninth pick. It would be more understandable to anticipate major moves on draft night with a loaded class, but that simply isn’t the case this year. My draft board has moved around wildly throughout this process, and I am bracing myself to be off the mark on draft night. All it takes is one trade for things to get thrown off in a major way, and I am anticipating at least a few major moves.
Throughout this process, I was looking for a handful of players to grab my attention and never let it go. Last season, that player was Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and I was very interested in seeing where Michael Porter Jr. would ultimately land given his talent and injury issues. That player never really emerged this year, however. I think Cameron Reddish is one of the more intriguing players in the class considering his talent and upside, but shaky college record.
I look forward to revisiting this draft a few years down the road. At least one general manager is going to get a steal somewhere in the middle or backend of the draft. Considering how comparable the talent is throughout the board once we get past the lottery, it’s hard to say who the steal of the draft may be. Again, I am fully prepared for draft night to go off script in a major way. I recommend all NBA fans do the same.
Drew’s Notebook After months of planning, the 2019 NBA Draft is finally upon us. And per the usual, the closer we get, the harder it is to differentiate between fact and fiction given the number of smokescreens generated by agents and teams.
The Grizzlies appear dead set on Ja Morant. And rightfully so considering they traded away Mike Conley. The Knicks have continued to do their due diligence having worked out Vanderbilt’s Darius Garland just yesterday – and those close to Garland say the interest is real. On the flip side of the Knicks’ decision, RJ Barrett claims to have made considerable improvements since we last saw him at Duke – take that with a grain of salt. But the Knicks still appear to be the first team with a real decision to make.
We also hear that Nassir Little could go as high as nine to Washington and that Sekou Doumbouya might have a guarantee from Orlando at 16. So watch out for those curveballs, too.
As far as teams looking to consolidate their picks are concerned, the Hawks have resisted the idea of packaging the eighth pick along with 10 and/or 17, which may prohibit them from moving up as high as they would prefer. Atlanta owned six picks coming into the draft process – 8, 10, 17, 35, 41 and 44. They’ve already dealt 41 to Golden State and 44 to Miami. We’ll see if they continue moving/consolidating picks in hopes of mitigating the number of rookies they bring into training camp.
We’ve also heard that the Celtics would like to package their picks to move up, but it seems as though they’ve struggled to gain any traction – probably because teams can’t accurately predict who will be available with their selections (the Celtics’ first selection is 14). Boston may have to wait for some names to come off the board before others decide if trading back for multiple selections is the right move.
Draft night will inevitably deliver a number of surprises to the Brooklyn crowd. I expect heavy trade activity tomorrow night in advance of another wild free agency period, beginning June 30.
Spencer’s Notebook The day is here, folks! Tonight marks the official date of the 2019 NBA Draft, which will begin potentially one of the most hectic summers the association has ever seen.
In past notebooks from different versions of our Consensus Mock, I surmised that much of the shakeout would depend on what happened with Anthony Davis in New Orleans. Well, that situation resolved itself this past week when the Los Angeles Lakers made a franchise-altering trade with the Pelicans to land “The Brow” in Hollywood.
New Orleans executive vice president of basketball operations David Griffin now holds significant draft capital, as the team has both the first and fourth pick in this upcoming class. He also swindled three more first-rounders along with The Big Easy’s new upstart talents in Lonzo Ball, Brandon Ingram, and Josh Hart. Due to the abundance of young guard/wing talent, and multiple teams vying to trade up using different packages, there’s a reason for the Pelicans to deal away No. 4.
And because of the uncertainty of what will happen at that slot, it’s difficult to predict how the draft will ultimately shake out. For example, if New Orleans decides to hang onto it, they could take Darius Garland, or RJ Barrett (if he falls) or whomever they deem fits their organization. However, if a team like the Atlanta Hawks jumps the Cleveland Cavaliers to draft Jarrett Culver or De’Andre Hunter, it could cause a domino effect that may completely alter everybody else’s plans.
Just in the past 48 hours, we learned about developments in New York. According to ESPN’s Jonathan Givony, the Knicks brass is seriously considering Garland at No. 3 and worked him out Wednesday. Whether this is actual interest or a way to drive up an asking price for their draft pick in order to make a deal of their own, we don’t actually know. The same thing could be said for Cleveland, who despite having Collin Sexton, is intrigued by the dynamic point guard.
At this point in the process, the real information could differ completely from what’s being leaked. Smoke is already filling up the room. It’s almost impossible to predict what will happen in this year’s draft, especially when most people around NBA circles believe that, at the tail end of the lottery, there could be draft picks moved every which way.
This is like throwing a dart blindfolded. As I tweeted last night, we might be burning our mock drafts at the rate we rip up brackets in the month of March.
The Utah Jazz and Milwaukee Bucks already moved their first-round picks in separate deals. That could only be the beginning. Who knows what the Hawks and Boston Celtics will do with three first-round selections in such a difficult class to differentiate player talent?
We won’t have to wait much longer to find out. Enjoy draft night, everyone!
Steve’s Notebook The 2019 NBA Draft is tonight in Brooklyn, New York, and while the suspense at the top of the draft board looks unchanged, there is a lot of potential for movement everywhere else.
As things stand today, Zion Williamson will be the top overall pick with almost no surprise there.
At number two, there continued to be talk last night that New Orleans was trying to pry the number two pick out of Memphis to grab Duke’s RJ Barrett, which would push Memphis back to the fourth spot and catching either Murray State’s Ja Morant or Vanderbilt’s Darius Garland, after the Knicks select at three. While these talks remain fluid, it does not appear at this point there will be a deal, but as is true with all trades, the right combination of assets changing hands can often turn a “No” into a “Yes.”
The New York Knicks have done their fair share of waffling on what to do at number three. While RJ Barrett remains the odds on favorite, the Knicks did take a long look at Garland on Wednesday in New York, as well as having surveyed executives from other teams for their views on Barrett, which is common due diligence, but also shows there may be some doubt on the long-term fit of Barrett.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have also been busy working on trade scenarios that could include in the fifth overall pick, the partially guaranteed cap clearing contract of JR Smith and their second pick at 26. The narrative around Cleveland is that they want to build around last year’s pick Collin Sexton, but the potential availability of Garland could test that commitment. Since the NBA Draft Combine, the Cavs have been linked to Duke’s Cam Reddish in trade down scenarios. There has been a belief that if Texas Tech guard Jarrett Culver is there at five, the Cavs may grab him and flip him to the Atlanta Hawks for either of the eighth or tenth picks and the Hawks pick at 17 which they obtained from the Brooklyn Nets.
As for some of the notable teams:
The prevailing thought is the Chicago Bulls are grabbing either Virginia’s De’Andre Hunter or UNC’s Coby White at 7.
The Washington Wizards seemed to have three guys in their sights: White, UNC’s Nassir Little and Limoges CSP’s Sekou Doumbouya.
The Hawks seem to be where Mega Bemax’s Goga Bitadze is going to land, likely at the ten spot.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are said to be extremely high on Gonzaga’s Rui Hachimura, although things could get interesting if Texas big man Jaxson Hayes is still on the board.
The Miami HEAT seem very open to trading their pick at 13, and there was talk in New York that Darius Bazley may be the HEAT’s guy, even as high as 13 if they keep the pick. The Pistons are also believed to be very high on Bazley.
The 2019 NBA draft is shaping up to be one of the turbulent drafts in recent years. A typical draft will have 15 to 18 transactions, most involving moving picks around. This year’s draft may double that when all the trade volume is done, so don’t get too attached to anyone your team may draft – they may not be there long.
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