The Free Agent Wish List: While NBA free agency is miles away for most teams, there is an ever-growing sense that some of the projected cap teams already have their eye on a few targets. As things stand today, as many as 21 NBA teams could dip below the projected 2015 $67.3 million salary cap, and as many as 11 of them could have $18 million or more to play with in the market, depending on how they handle their options and cap holds.
While free agent targets are always subject to change, here are some of the names league and team sources peg as prime free agent targets for the major cap players this summer:
Philadelphia 76ers – Best Case $35.41 million
Despite eating JaVale McGee’s contract for next season as part of a buyout, the 76ers will again sit atop the NBA in the most cap space department. They’ll have a few draft picks that eat into that number, but the Sixers are poised to have the most cash to spend and surprisingly, next season might be when they spend some of it.
There is a sense that the Sixers are going to look at some of the promising young free agents, especially some of the guys hitting restricted free agency – Jimmy Butler (Chicago), Tobias Harris (Orlando) and Reggie Jackson (Detroit). There also is a sense that the 76ers could be one of the teams that makes a pass at Greg Monroe.
The problem for the 76ers in free agency is that they are so far away from competing for anything that it’s hard to imagine a free agent chooses them when there are potentially so many other options available in July.
Maybe it’s good news that the Sixers are going to explore free agency; they have the cash to make some crazy offers, the question is will they get anyone with it?
New York Knicks – Best Case $27.69 million
The Knicks have a laundry list of guys they’d love to sign, the top being Memphis big man Marc Gasol. The odds that Marc is leaving Memphis are pretty low, so the next tier includes Detroit big man Greg Monroe, Butler from Chicago and Harris from Orlando.
The dark horses for the Knicks are Dallas’ Rajon Rondo, Cleveland’s Kevin Love, Portland’s LaMarcus Aldridge and Detroit’s Reggie Jackson.
With likely less than $27 million to play with, the Knicks won’t get to two max offers, so it’s likely one max offer between $15.9 million and $19 million – depending on the player’s service years in the NBA – and one more between $8 million to $10 million to another.
As much as Knicks fans were hoping for a huge swing in free agency, the Knicks won’t have the cash to make two max offers, which means they may not get two gems in July, rather maybe a gem and a half and solid draft pick. That’s still better than most, but there looks to be a lot of cap cash out there this year, so the Knicks will have competition.
Detroit Pistons – Best Case $26.47 million
The Pistons are going to have cash to play with. You might not realize it because they have two of the bigger names in the 2015 Free Agent class in Jackson and Monroe, but the Pistons hold Bird Rights on both and could simply carry their respective cap holds into free agency, spend their free agent cash and then sign those Bird Righted players and exceed the cap.
As things sit today, the Pistons have guaranteed money to Josh Smith ($5.4m cap hit from buyout), Brandon Jennings ($8.34m), Jodie Meeks ($6.27m), Kentavious Caldwell-Pope ($2.89m), Andre Drummond ($3.27m) and Spencer Dinwiddie ($845k). All in all, that’s roughly $27 million in firm commitments, and they have a partial guarantee of $400k on Anthony Tolliver, Cartier Martin has a player options worth $1.27m and a cap hold on Jackson worth $5.5 million. They will likely carry five incomplete roster charges worth $525K each, for a grand total of $39.695 million if Monroe walks away.
Without Monroe’s cap hold of $10.4 million, the Pistons could have as much as $27.6 million in free cash to play with before having to ink Jackson, which they could do after reaching the cap line and then exceed it with Jackson’s deal.
Plug Monroe’s hold into the equations and the Pistons have $17.2 million to play with and can then exceed the cap to max out Monroe and Jackson if they choose to.
With $27 million to play with, the Pistons become max offer sheet players for virtually the entire class; Butler, Harris, Rondo or even Gasol. If Monroe opts to stick around, the list of options shrinks a little as the Pistons wouldn’t have a max offer slot, but $17 million is nothing to sniff at – that’s real money in a market that could have a lot of veteran supporting players.
As the math illustrates, there is a dark horse in 2015 free agent race and it might be the Pistons.
Portland Trail Blazers – Best Case $25.57 million
The Blazers are not in the same boat as the Pistons, simply because the cap holds their free agents have against the cap. LaMarcus Aldridge has a $17.695 million hold, Wes Matthews has a $10.868 million hold and Robin Lopez has a $9.187 million hold. A quick run of the math and that’s $37.75 million in cap holds to existing guys and another $23.073 million in guaranteed commitments. Combined, that’s $60.82 million.
The Blazers will have some cap space, likely closer to $6.4 million, unless they start renouncing guys.
That’s also not accounting for Joel Freeland’s $7.5 million hold, which is far more than he’s really worth to the team, so either the Blazers sign him quickly to a lower number or renounce him outright.
The prevailing thought is Aldridge is signing a new max deal this summer, and that can be the last transaction they complete so they can exceed the cap with Aldridge’s deal. The questions is what are Matthews and Lopez worth going forward and does either unrestricted free agent opt for greener pastures or different teams?
If either walks, their respective cap hold becomes usable space, so is $17.345 million in space worth more than Matthews is?
At $6.4 million, the Blazers are fringe cap players at best. With $17.345 million, they could be players and still exceed the cap to keep Aldridge and Lopez.
While on the surface it looks like the Blazers have space, the only way they get there is to renounce someone or have someone walk away from them.
Atlanta Hawks – Best Case $25.513 million
The Hawks have two cap holds that matter: unrestricted free agents Paul Millsap ($12.35m) and DeMarre Carroll ($3.175). Add those number to $39.276 million in guarantees and the Hawks have closer to $54.801 million against the cap, or about $12.44 million to play with.
It’s unlikely they lose Millsap to free agency since the Hawks can give him a max valued contract. Millsap doesn’t have full Bird Rights, but his Early Bird rights get him to the max level.
Carroll is a different story, as he too is an Early Bird free agent, but only eligible to receive 175 percent of his $2.44 million 2014 salary, which works out to $4.27 million in an exceed the cap scenario. Unless the Hawks opt to use cap space to re-sign him, they don’t have the same luxury as they do with Millsap, where they can do his deal last and push over the cap.
The Hawks have had eyes on an elite small forward type and there is a sense that Carroll might be out in July for economic reasons, meaning the Hawks may have his cap hold out of the way and maybe $15 million in space to play with.
That’s not enough to get into the Leonard or Butler game, but might be enough to get into the Harris game or pursue guys like Milwaukee’s Khris Middleton or Golden State’s Draymond Green.
The Hawks may have to fend off suitors for Millsap, but there is a sense that Paul is happy in Atlanta and wants to stay long-term.
Dallas Mavericks – Best Case $24.61 million
On paper the Mavericks could have cap space, but in reality they may not get anywhere close.
The Mavericks have two big cap holds to deal with, the first being Tyson Chandler ($20.64m) and the second Rajon Rondo ($16.44m). If the Mavericks want space, they have to do a deal with at least Chandler first and sign him to a new deal significantly less than his hold or they have nothing to work with.
Rondo is expected to demand a max contract, which league sources say he’s unlikely to get in a full offer kind of way, suggesting a team might go max dollars on a smaller-year deal. Dallas has said they want to keep him and see him as a long-term fit; however, there is real doubt that’s a smart move.
The big wrinkle for the Mavericks is Monta Ellis, as sources close to the situation believe Ellis will opt out of his deal this summer and seek a new multi-year deal based on his current play.
Given everything the Mavericks have to work around, it’s hard to imagine Dallas is a cap player unless they say no thanks to both Chandler and Rondo – in that scenario they could have a lot to play with and deal with Ellis after they sign free agents.
Boston Celtics – Best Case $22.57 million
The Celtics have a ton of cash and are geared up to use it. Target number one is Kevin Love. Target number two is Greg Monroe.
Sources close to the process say the Celtics plan to swing for the proverbial fences this summer including runs at Gasol, Leonard and Butler too.
With a roster jammed with young guys, there is also a sense that Boston would be open to a sign-and-trade if they can get someone to take an offer as a means to avoid to the matching game and potentially open up more space.
The Celtics also have the pieces to move off money if they can get two guys to commit verbally.
The Celtics’ cap situation is pretty straight forward, as they have a couple of major cap holds that they are likely to renounce: Brandon Bass ($10.35m), Jonas Jerebko ($8.5m) and Luigi Datome ($2.275m).
The sense is that the Celtics may do a new deal with Brandon Bass at a significantly lower value than his cap hold, while Jerebko and Datome are renounced.
The Celtics have $40.406 million in guaranteed contracts and will likely carry three incomplete charges worth about $1.5 million, so in real money the C’s may have almost $25 million to play with. That’s enough for a max offer to almost anyone, hence why the Celtics have high hopes on a marquee name.
San Antonio Spurs – Best Case $22.27 million
The Spurs opted not to do an extension with Kawhi Leonard in order to keep their cap space open this summer. Leonard carries a cap hold of $7.235 million, so even if the Spurs give him a max deal, they can do that last and exceed the cap.
The big challenge for the Spurs is the status of Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobili, who both carry big cap holds: $15.542 million for Duncan and $10.5 million for Ginobilli.
Other notables in the cap hold department are Danny Green ($7.647m), Marco Belinelli ($3.735m) and Cory Joseph ($5.058m). In terms of guaranteed money, the Spurs have $34,159 million. So the questions for the Spurs is who stays and who goes as it relates to usable space?
If Duncan calls it a career, so likely does Ginobili.
The Spurs have a target list and it includes many of the same names other teams like – Gasol being the biggest of the bunch.
The Spurs’ plan to be at Gasol’s doorstep at 12:01 on July 1, with the offer to be part of the future of the Spurs.
The Spurs were also believed to be the team with the most interest in Monroe last summer.
So who the Spurs hang on to rights-wise might also be tied to how free agents answer their overtures.
LA Lakers – Best Case $19.45 million
And then there’s the Lakers. They could have more than the $19 million mentioned above, assuming they do not pick up the $9 million option on Jordan Hill.
Here is how the math works: The Lakers have four players under guaranteed contracts – Kobe Bryant ($25m), Nick Young ($5.219m), Julius Randle ($3.123m) and Ryan Kelly ($1.724m), so that’s $35.07 million in firm commits. The Lakers will carry what looks to be nine incomplete roster charges for $4.725 million which gives you a grand total of $39.8 million or about $27.5 million.
That assumes not picking up the option on Hill, Ed Davis not excercising his option to stay and the Lakers passing on Robert Sacre, Jordan Clarkson (doubtful) and Tarik Black.
That also does not include a roster charge for the draft pick, which we’ll call $4.5 million as a place holder.
So real money, let’s peg the Lakers at $22.1 million to play with, that’s enough for one serious max contract to an established veteran like Monroe, Rondo or Love – and all three are said to be willing to meet with the Lakers this summer.
The Lakers could also be the team that sets the price on Butler, Harris and makes things interesting for Middleton in Milwaukee.
There has been talk of Marc Gasol; however, that’s viewed as a long shot. The Lakers could try to tempt LaMarcus Aldridge out of Portland, but that’s, again, another long shot.
The Lakers are also linked to Jackson in Detroit and even Brandon Knight in Phoenix.
In short, there isn’t a free agent name the Lakers haven’t been linked to; the problem is they may not have the cap cash to get more than one of them.
Important to note that best case projections, unless defined differently, account for all guaranteed money owed next season and do not account for cap holds, incomplete cap charges or draft picks.
In Over Your Head: I am going to start here… I don’t know Michele Roberts, the new executive director of the NBA Players Association. I have never met her, never stood in the same room with her. I have never seen her at a game or an NBA event I have covered.
I don’t think that distinction makes either one of us unique, only that I only know what others have told me about her, and apparently all she knows about me is what she’s gleaned from the few random encounters she has had in NBA locker rooms with people who do what I do.
However, like many things since taking the job of overseeing the players’ side of things for the union, she continues to illustrate over and over how little she knows about the topics she comments on, and how little care she has for what’s gotten all of us – the sport, the players and the media – to this point.
Her first foray into uncharted and uninformed territory was the notion that the NBA shouldn’t have a salary cap.
On the surface and philosophically, that sounds like something that should be talked about, but if the last two labor fights taught us anything, it’s that the NBA needs to be capped for a hundred reasons that have allowed the game to grow. I could write that one off as a rookie mistake, it’s something her constituents want to hear and it was likely a warning shot to the other side that she’s not going to accept the status quo. There is a new sheriff in town and she made it clear that she wanted change.
Naïve. Mostly uninformed. But okay.
The second was attacking the notion of an age limit in the NBA.
Again, a hot button topic that gets fans excited. It’s a concept that gets your name in the press. Again, it lashes back at an established process in a philosophical way.
It completely ignores that the players as a body are not prepared to leave a single dollar on the table to fight to abolish the age limit. Rolling back the age limit is going to cost more in concessions than it is ever worth. The players historically fought the good fight out of principal, but trying to go toe-to-toe over the age limit is a losing proposition because while everyone talks about it, no one is willing to pay for it.
We’d all love for it to be 72 degrees and sunny every day of the year, and philosophically that’s a great idea. Practically, the grown-ups understand that’s not remotely possible, even in Southern California.
The latest attack is on the media.
We’re easy targets. This one isn’t hard to see. But like many of the things Roberts has taken aim at, she eventually acknowledged how little she really knows or understands of the processes that got us here.
The media, in a general way, is under siege. There are more and more voices in the space. Newspapers are contracting and rolling back costs. Media outlets favor gossip and drama over hard news and facts.
Players have become indignant toward the media and have the own channels to explain themselves, whether that’s Twitter, Instagram or their own blogs.
Agent run publications like The Players Tribune give players the ability to tell their own unedited narrative of things and that’s not changing any time soon and let’s not even get into what the teams are doing with their own websites.
If there was ever a time where the voice of the people, and that’s what the media is supposed to be, is at its weakest it might be now, and Roberts took aim at the very rules that help us tell her side of the story. And when I say her side, I mean to say the players’ side.
What’s lost in Roberts’ latest rant is if she got what she originally suggested – less access for media – then there would be less media. Newspapers wouldn’t pay for beat reporters to travel with teams to be spoon fed news via press releases. There would be a ripple effect that would reduce the voices actually talking about the league to those of the media partners that paid for the right to be there and the teams themselves.
All those media impressions that make players other than LeBron James and Kevin Durant valuable to marketers would dry up, and the machine that powers the popularity monster that the NBA has become would take a monstrous step backwards and do you think that any things that would disparage the NBA would see the light of day without access?
Is that the goal for Roberts? Less?
Am I over dramatizing things? Sure, maybe a little. There will always be fan-driven blogs and small publications willing to eat whatever rules are handed down to be close enough to matter. But many of the voices that matter, the voices with power or influence, go away if there is no one to talk to. Or, worse yet, if there’s no player interviews to fill those column inches, it will be other things – like more gossip and dirty laundry.
What is lost in many of the public comments from the NBPA’s leader is how much she doesn’t know about the subjects she is going on record about.
Maybe that’s the ploy – chum up the waters into a frenzy and then come in to make a better deal.
One insider who was at the table during the last labor negotiation pointed out recently that the NBA’s stance in negotiating a labor deal is to take back everything from the previous deal. You begin negotiations with nothing at all, and the NBA and its owners force the players to trade for everything that’s important to them under brand new terms.
If the players want guaranteed contracts, they want a better revenue split. Want high contract values? They want shorter contract years.
So maybe Roberts’ stance isn’t naivety, maybe she is proactively tossing everything and the kitchen sink on the table and making it clear that she’s rebuilding the deal under her terms too.
Maybe that explains taking on topics that are not normally on the table during a labor deal, like media access.
The problem there is we’re really not the right group to pick a fight with. As Mark Twain once said, “You never pick a fight with people who buy ink by the barrel,” referring to the printed newspaper business.
Those words really could not be truer today.
The court of public opinion can be mean and hateful, and some journalists (myself included) write every day.
I can write about whatever I want, including the ineptitude of someone in a position of power commenting on things that they clearly do not understand.
Roberts may have been a massively successful attorney and litigator. She clearly beat out many well qualified candidates to win the job. The players I have spoken to about her believe she is the right person to help right many of the wrongs the players feel they have endured.
However, if you’re handicapping the fight at home based on the information that’s on the table, the depths of how unprepared the players may be, by way of the knowledge of their leader, might end up being massively underestimated.
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NBA Daily: The Comfortability of Caris LeVert
Caris LeVert talks to Basketball Insiders about filling in at point guard, turning the proverbial corner and getting more comfortable with his game.
If there’s a light at the end of the tunnel for the Brooklyn Nets, it probably involves Caris LeVert.
After finding his niche as a do-it-all rotation player, LeVert upped his averages in points (12.1), assists (4.2) and three-point accuracy (34.7 percent) during his second NBA season. Although those outer-layer statistics may not scream budding star quite yet, his growth and flexibility were key to a Nets team once again decimated by injuries.
When Jeremy Lin suffered a season-ending ruptured patella tendon during the season opener, the guard situation became understandably shaky. But then the newly acquired D’Angelo Russell went down for two months in November and things almost became untenable. If not for the efforts of LeVert as the backup point guard (and the vastly improved play of Spencer Dinwiddie), things could’ve been a whole lot worse for the Nets in 2017-18.
But according to LeVert, his development as a ball-handler was just the next, albeit necessary, step in his career.
“It’s been important, especially this year with injuries to Jeremy and D’Angelo,” LeVert told Basketball Insiders. “I feel like Spencer and myself had to definitely step up a lot this year and were asked to do a lot. But that was just something the team needed from me.”
Referring to his new-found prowess in such simple terms might be a slight understatement on LeVert’s development this season. Beyond his immense, quick chemistry with rookie center Jarrett Allen, LeVert has been a major bench catalyst all year. Often thriving under the sophomore’s playmaking hand, Brooklyn’s bench tallied a healthy 43.9 points per game, a benchmark only beat out by the Sacramento Kings (44.4). While his role as a point guard came about somewhat as an emergency, it’s clearly a position the Nets like him in.
Although he started 16 fewer games than he did in his rookie season, coming off the bench offered LeVert plenty of offensive freedom and the opportunity to feast on weaker opposition. On most nights, the 23-year-old didn’t disappoint. Some the Nets’ best individual lines all season came via LeVert, but few were better than his dominant play during a narrow one-point victory in Miami. On the road, LeVert torched the HEAT for 19 points, 12 rebounds, eight assists, two steals and block in just over 34 minutes. This season, the Nets were 7-1 when LeVert registered eight or more assists and even topped out with a career-best 11 dimes.
As both a playmaker and a scorer, LeVert has shown serious signs of promise — or, more simply, put the ball in his hands and good things happen. But compare this LeVert to that raw first-year version and he’s convinced it all comes down to comfortability.
“I don’t know, I would say just how comfortable I’m getting,” LeVert said. “My game hasn’t changed all that much, honestly, I’m still getting more comfortable out on the court. But it’s just getting more playing time, more experience and I feel like I’ll grow more into my game.”
Frankly, the Nets have needed a win in the draft department for years. Outside of Mason Plumlee’s brief two-season cameo, the Nets haven’t drafted and groomed a long-term talent since Brook Lopez way back in 2008. Thankfully, he and Rondae Hollis-Jefferson — and joined by the aforementioned Allen this season — seem poised to buck that trend. Hollis-Jefferson, acquired on draft night for Plumlee in 2015, averaged 13.9 points and 6.8 rebounds on 47.2 percent from the field in 2017-18, a vast improvement over his first two campaigns. Allen, a 20-year-old hyper-athletic shot blocker, wasn’t let loose until after the new year but showed potential in the pick-and-roll or while catching lobs up above the rim.
Together, the trio, along with Russell, represent the Nets’ best present and future assets. But ask LeVert if brighter things are on the horizon and the 6-foot-7 multi-positional talent is largely uninterested in getting ahead of himself.
“I feel like I got a lot better on both ends of the ball as the season went on,” LeVert told Basketball Insiders. “Also feel like I learned a couple more positions this year and got comfortable playing them. But I still got a long way to go. You know, it’s only my second year, obviously, but I feel like I definitely made new strides this year.”
The Nets, in a vacuum, can be viewed in almost the same way.
Since LeVert was drafted with the No. 20 overall pick back in 2016, the Nets have racked up a total of just 48 wins. This year alone, 11 franchises equaled or earned more wins than the Nets’ two-year yield. In fact, the only franchise with fewer wins over that period of time were the Phoenix Suns at 45, but they were also recently rewarded with Josh Jackson and currently own a 25 percent chance of taking home the No. 1 pick this summer. All of this is to say that Nets have struggled to hoist themselves out of a pick-less bottomless pit for reasons outside of their control.
Despite the devastating injuries, this resilient Nets squad put together a relatively strong final stretch under head coach Kenny Atkinson. While the second-year head coach spent much of the campaign feeling out what worked and what didn’t, LeVert became a steady presence just about everywhere. Following the All-Star break, the Nets went 6-4 in games in which LeVert surpassed his season average in points, but they were just 1-4 when he went for single-digits.
Needless to say, the Nets often go where LeVert takes them.
But after two back-to-back disappointing campaigns. LeVert says that the Nets’ locker room senses that they’re close to turning the proverbial corner. Still, they know they’ve got a long, long way to go.
“[It felt that way], especially after the All-Star Break and going into the second half of the season,” LeVert said. “But we’re definitely not satisfied — we can’t wait to work hard this offseason and get after it next year.”
Now with two seasons under his belt, the Nets’ front office must be pleased with the steps LeVert has taken — whether that’s effectively running an offense or snaking through the paint for a crafty finish. But for LeVert to join the higher class, he returns to the same word again and again: Comfortability. Between getting familiar with his body and skillset, LeVert knows that a big key is also finding consistency each and every night. However, he’s not worried about who he might play like or how good he might end up being — LeVert is just focused on getting better one day at a time.
“I kinda just take little parts of everybody’s game and try to put it in my own — I don’t really just look at one person,” LeVert told Basketball Insiders. “As a young player in this league, that’s kinda how it is, a little inconsistent. But like I said, I’m still getting more comfortable with myself and my game.”
Although the Nets are headed into another offseason of uncertainty, they can rest assured knowing that a bigger and better LeVert will likely emerge next fall. It hardly matters if he’s filling in at point guard again or growing into his shoes out on the wing, LeVert will clearly play a large role in sculpting Brooklyn’s malleable future.
LeVert, as always, is up for the challenge.
“I still got a long ways to go, I’m still getting more comfortable, still growing into my body — but I’m ready for a big summer for sure.”
The Real Jrue Holiday Has Finally Arrived
It may have been a little later than they would have wanted, but the Jrue Holiday that New Orleans has always wanted is finally here, writes Matt John.
New Orleans has always earned the nickname “The Big Easy”, but ever since Jrue Holiday came to town, his time there has been anything but.
When New Orleans traded for Holiday back in 2013, they hoped that he would round out an exciting young core that included Anthony Davis, Eric Gordon, Tyreke Evans, and Ryan Anderson. At 23 years old, Holiday averaged 17.7 points, 8.0 assists, and 4.2 rebounds the previous season and was coming off his first all-star appearance in Philadelphia, so the Pelicans had much to look forward to.
Unfortunately, recurring extensive injuries prohibited the Pelicans’ new core from ever playing together fully healthy, with Holiday getting his fair share of the bruises. In his first two seasons, Holiday played in only 74 games combined with the team due to injury, and things didn’t get much better his third season. While he played more games, Holiday was on a minutes restriction and his season ended again with injury.
Holiday avoided the injury bug his fourth season, but he nobly took a leave of absence at the start the season to tend to his ill wife, which caused him to miss the season’s first 12 games and 15 in total. Holiday’s inability to stay on the court coupled with New Orleans’ stagnated progress made him a forgotten man in the NBA. That was until last summer, when Holiday became a free agent.
Given the circumstances, Holiday did what he could for the Pelicans. He certainly proved he was above average, but he hadn’t shown any improvement since his arrival. Coupling that with both how many games he had missed in the previous four seasons and the league’s salary cap not increasing as much as teams had anticipated, and one would think to proceed with caution in regards to extending Jrue Holiday.
But the Pelicans saw it differently. New Orleans gave Holiday a five-year, $126 million extension last summer, befuddling the general masses. Besides Holiday’s inability to stay on the court, the Pelicans already had an expensive payroll, and they later added Rajon Rondo, another quality point guard, to the roster. So, with all that in mind, giving Holiday a near-max contract on a team that had made the playoffs a grand total of once in the Anthony Davis era seemed a little foolish.
This season, however, Jrue Holiday has rewarded the Pelicans’ faith in him and has proven the doubters so very wrong.
With a clean slate of health, Holiday has proven himself to be better than ever. This season, Holiday averaged career-highs in scoring (19 points a game) and field goal percentage (49 percent overall), which played a huge role in New Orleans having its best season since Chris Paul’s last hurrah with the team back in 2011.
Holiday’s impact extended beyond what the traditional numbers said. His on/off numbers from NBA.com showed that the Pelicans were much better on both sides of the ball when he was on the court compared to when he was off. Offensively, the Pelicans had an offensive rating of 108.9 points per 100 possessions when he was the on the court compared to 104.4 points per 100 possessions when he was off.
On the other side of the court, Holiday was even more integral. The Pelicans had a defensive rating of 103.3 per 100 possessions when Holiday was on the court compared to 112.3 off the court. Overall, the Pelicans were 13.6 points per 100 possessions better with Holiday on the floor. That was the highest net rating on the team, even higher than Anthony Davis.
Other statistics also support how impactful Holiday has been this season. According to ESPN’s real plus-minus page, Holiday’s 3.81 Real Plus-Minus ranked ninth among point guards – No. 16 offensively, No. 4 defensively – which beat out Kyrie Irving, John Wall, and Goran Dragic, all of whom made the All-Star team this year.
However, Holiday’s effectiveness shined through mid-way through the season, or more specifically, on Jan. 26, when Demarcus Cousins went down with an Achilles tear. While Davis certainly led the way, Holiday’s role could not have been understated when the Pelicans went 21-13 without their MVP candidate to finish the season. Offensively, Holiday’s point average went from 18.6 to 19.4 and his assist average went from 5.2 to 7.2, all while his turnover average – from 2.6 to 2.7 – stayed the same.
Defensively, Holiday had much to do with the Pelicans’ improved defense after Cousins went down. According to NBA.com, the Pelicans defensive rating went from 106.2 points allowed per 100 possessions to 103.7, and much of it can be attributed to Holiday. When Holiday was on the court, the team’s defensive rating was 101.2 points allowed per 100 possessions compared to 109.6 points allowed per 100 possessions with him off.
Holiday’s improved numbers, combined with the Pelicans steadying the boat without their star center, make a fair argument that Holiday was one of the league’s best all-around point guards this season, but Holiday’s style isn’t much of a thrill to watch. He doesn’t have Russell Westbrook’s other-worldly athleticism, he doesn’t have Stephen Curry’s lethal jumper, nor does he have Chris Paul’s floor general abilities. Holiday’s specialty is that he has every fundamental of a good point guard, which makes his impact usually fly under the radar.
That was until last week, when the Pelicans unexpectedly curb stomped the Blazers. The Jrue Holiday coming out party was in full-swing, as the 27-year-old torched Rip City, averaging 27.8 points, 6.5 assists, and 4 rebounds a game on 57 percent shooting from the field, including 35 percent from deep. He did all of that while stymieing MVP candidate Damian Lillard, as Dame averaged 18 points and 4 assists while shooting 35 percent from the field, including 30 percent from deep, and surrendered four turnovers a game.
If Holiday’s contributions weren’t on full display then, they certainly are now. The Pelicans have suddenly emerged as one of the West’s toughest and most cohesive teams in this year’s playoffs, with Holiday playing a huge role in the team’s newfound mojo and potentially glorious future.
This was the Jrue Holiday the New Orleans Pelicans had in mind when they first traded for him almost five years ago. While his impact has come a little later than they would have wanted, it’s as the old saying goes.
Better late than never.
NBA Daily: Are Player Legacies Really On The Line?
How important is legacy in the NBA playoffs? Lang Greene takes a look.
As the NBA Playoffs continue to pick up steam, the subject of individual greatness has become the big topic of conversation. Today, we ask the question: is legacy talk just a bunch of hyperbole or are they really made or broken in the playoffs?
To be clear, legacies do matter. Reputations are built on reliability and how dependable someone is throughout the course of their respective body of work. We all have them. They are built over time and it’s seldom they change from one misstep – but they can. Some of the greatest players in NBA history never won a title; see John Stockton and Karl Malone during their Utah Jazz years. Some NBA greats never won a title until they were past their physical prime and paired with a young charge that took over the reins; see David Robinson in San Antonio. Some NBA greats never won a title as the leading man until they were traded to a title contending team; see Clyde Drexler in Houston. We also have a slew of Hall of Famers that have been inducted with minimal playoff success in their careers; see the explosive Tracy McGrady.
So what’s in a legacy? And why does it mean more for some then it does for others?
Four-time League MVP LeBron James’ legacy is always up for debate, despite battling this season to make his ninth NBA Finals appearance. James’ legacy seems to be up in the air on a nightly basis. Maybe it’s because of the rarified air he’s in as one of the league’s top 10 players all-time or maybe it’s just good for ratings.
As this year’s playoffs gain momentum, the topic of legacy has been mentioned early and often.
Out in the Western Conference, the legacy of Oklahoma City Thunder All-Star guard Russell Westbrook is being questioned at all angles. There’s no doubt Westbrook is one of the best players in the league today as the reigning MVP and coming off two consecutive seasons averaging a triple-double. However, Westbrook’s decision making has come into question plenty over the past couple of seasons.
The subject of whether you can truly win a championship with Westbrook as your lead guy serves as the centerpiece of the debate. It goes without saying former league MVP Kevin Durant bolted to the Golden State Warriors amid rumors that he could no longer coexist next to Westbrook in the lineup. Ever since Durant’s somewhat unexpected departure, it seems Westbrook has been hell-bent on proving his doubters wrong – even if it comes at the detriment to what his team is trying to accomplish.
The latest example was in game four of his team’s current first-round series versus the Utah Jazz.
Westbrook picked up four fouls in the first half as he was attempting to lock up point guard Ricky Rubio, who had a career night in Game 3 of the series. Westbrook infamously waved off head coach Billy Donovan after picking up his second personal foul in the first quarter. Westbrook was also in the game with three personal fouls and under two minutes left in the first half before picking up his fourth personal.
You can make an argument that this was just bad coaching by Donovan leaving him in the game in foul trouble, but it also points to Westbrook’s decision making and not being able to play within the constructs of a team dynamic. Further, what will be Westbrook’s legacy on this season’s Oklahoma City Thunder team with Carmelo Anthony and Paul George if they were to flame out in the first round with little fizzle – against a Jazz team with no star power and zero All-Stars? Is discussing Westbrook’s legacy worthless banter or is it a legitimate topic? There is no doubt on his current trajectory Westbrook is headed straight into the Hall of Fame on the first ballot. As an individual player there is no greater achievement than to have your name etched in stone with the greats of yesteryear, but the court of public opinion factors in team success and this is where the topic of legacy comes into play.
Say what you will about Durant’s decision to go to Golden State, but his legacy is undoubtedly secured. Durant won the Finals MVP last season in absolute dominant fashion and showed up on the biggest of stages. All that’s left from those that question Durant’s legacy at this point are the folks on the fringe saying he couldn’t do it by himself. But that is exactly the line of thinking that’s getting Westbrook killed as well, because winning championships is all about team cohesiveness and unity.
Out in the Eastern Conference, all eyes will be on Milwaukee Bucks do everything star Giannis Antetokounmpo. After five seasons in the league, Antetokounmpo has zero playoff series victories attached to his name. Heading into the playoffs this season, the seventh-seeded Bucks were considered underdogs to the second-seeded Boston Celtics.
But the Celtics are wounded. They do not have the services of All Stars Kyrie Irving or Gordon Hayward. The Celtics are a team full of scrappy young talent and cagey veterans. Antetokounmpo is clearly the best player in the series and teams with the best player usually fare well in a seven game series. But the Bucks are facing elimination down 3-2 versus Boston. Antetokounmpo has only been in the league half of the time Westbrook has, but the chirping about his legacy has already begun as Milwaukee attempts to win its first playoff series since 2001.
So what’s in a legacy? Are there varying degrees for which people are being evaluated?
Despite James’ success throughout his career, a first-round exit at the hands of the Indiana Pacers over the next week will damage his legacy in the minds of some. While others feel even if Antetokounmpo and the Bucks were to drop this series against the Celtics, he should be given a pass with the caveat that he still has plenty of time in his career to rectify.
As for Westbrook, there are vultures circling the head of his legacy and these folks feel that a first-round exit will damage his brand irreversibly after 10 seasons in the league
Ultimately, the topic of legacies makes for good column fodder, barbershop banter and sport debate television segments. Because when guys hang up their high tops for good, a Hall of Fame induction is typically the solidifying factor when it comes to a player’s legacy.