The 2013-14 NBA season is completely over for 14 teams, and eight more are about to join them in the next week or two. That means over two-thirds of the league will have nothing better to do but start gearing up for free agency and the draft this summer, with free agency talking a prominent position because of all the high-quality talent on the market this year.
The following is a list of the 10 best free agents on the market, and while it’s an impressive set, it doesn’t even include some of the biggest names that could potentially hit the free agent pool. LeBron James, Carmelo Anthony and Chris Bosh among others have early termination options on their deals which, if exercised, could put them on the market in July, as well.
For now, though, we’re just going to look at the players who will definitely be free agents in the coming months, as well as where they might end up and how much money they could earn.
Eric Bledsoe, RFA, Phoenix Suns – Generally speaking, this looks like one of the most obvious slam dunks as far as this year’s great crop of restricted free agents is concerned. Bledsoe has shown no ill effects from his knee injury that occurred earlier in the season, and working with the Phoenix training staff is the best way to make sure that remains the case throughout the course of his career. Plus, the Suns are a talented upstart team with plenty of money to spend in order to further improve the roster, and they’d be crazy not to match any offer sheet he’s given, assuming they don’t beat other teams to the punch by offering him a huge extension as quickly as possible.
He might not make max money, but he’s likely to get close, and it seems pretty clear that Phoenix has pegged him and Goran Dragic as the two cogs around which they’re planning on building this team. Suns GM Ryan McDonough recently made headlines when he told a local radio station that “it would be a waste of time for another team to throw an offer at him.”
Luol Deng, UFA, Cleveland Cavaliers – While the Cavaliers have said publicly that they’d like to keep Deng long-term, his reasons for staying on that struggling Cleveland roster are likely quite a bit less plentiful than his reasons for exploring free agency. The L.A. Lakers are a team that continually pop up as a potential suitor for Deng, as are the Phoenix Suns, though there’s even an outside chance that he would return to the Chicago Bulls if he were interested in settling for the $10 million annual deal his old team originally offered before trading him earlier in the season. That amount of money seems like Deng’s financial floor, but he could make quite a bit more than that if he plays the market well. Something in the neighborhood of $12-14 million a season for a 28-year-old veteran that performs well on both ends of the court seems just about right, and as one of the only “high profile” free agents still in his prime, he’ll have no shortage of suitors.
Pau Gasol, UFA, L.A. Lakers – Coming off a year in which Gasol made north of $19 million, it’s probably safe to say that he’s seen his last massive multi-year contract. But after banking plenty of cash over the course of his career, he’ll likely approach free agency this summer with eyes set on a winning situation over one that could pay him the most money. He’s already said he’d listen to what Phil Jackson has to say should New York come up with an offer, but Cleveland, Chicago, Charlotte and Memphis are other possibilities for the veteran seven-footer, according to SI’s Chris Mannix. Wherever he ends up, Gasol is likely to still command a reasonable paycheck and get an opportunity to play for a team with reasonable title aspirations. He has stated that winning is more important to him than any other factor, and that leaves the door wide open for him to play pretty much anywhere he wants to. If he’s coming at a bargain, just about every team in the league will be interested.
Marcin Gortat, UFA, Washington Wizards – To say that the Gortat trade worked out well for the Washington Wizards would be more than fair, particularly since the Polish center just wrapped up one of the best seasons of his career, averaging 13.2 PPG, 9.5 RPG and 1.5 BPG. It’s hard to gauge what kind of money he might make, but there are plenty of front office people that consider him one of the top three unrestricted free agents on the market this summer, right behind Deng and Toronto’s Kyle Lowry. High-quality big men typically get paid quite well in the NBA, and Gortat is coming off a scorching hot season just riddled with double-doubles. Even better for Gortat, his Wizards have a surprisingly realistic chance to make it all the way to the Eastern Conference Finals this year if they can get past Chicago and Indiana. Gortat is one of the league’s few effective traditional big men, and that’s worth a pretty penny to NBA executives.
Gordon Hayward, RFA, Utah Jazz – Obviously, Jazz GM Dennis Lindsey has publicly stated over and over again that he’d love for Hayward to stay in Salt Lake City for the duration of his career, but Hayward himself hasn’t been quite as concrete on what his future plans are. He’s likely to taste free agency and see what teams have to offer. Utah has plenty of cap space in the coming years and could match any offer sheet Hayward may sign, but with Hayward a more realistic free agency target for teams in need of a small forward than James or Anthony, there’s a real chance some team looks to overpay for the promising future Hayward has in the NBA. Utah has a new head coach to hire, and that may help Hayward make a decision, but at this point it looks like he’s interested in playing the field a little bit. There’s little reason to believe Utah will let him walk away for nothing, but the rest of the league sure isn’t going to make it easy on them.
Kyle Lowry, UFA, Toronto Raptors – Unrestricted free agents this good are rare, but the Raptors’ front office has a firm understanding of that and has said publicly multiple times that they’re going to do everything in their power to keep Lowry long-term. Toronto, the third-best team in the East this year, is clearly moving in the right direction with Lowry at the helm, but what he ends up making this summer may ultimately depend on how things pan out for him in these playoffs. Lowry is top 10 in the league in win shares, which proves his value as the kind of player a team builds around, but his injury history makes a huge extension a little risky. The Raptors likely have a ceiling of what they’d be willing to pay their talented point guard, and if there are teams willing to reach through that ceiling to bring him aboard, there’s definitely a chance he could change uniforms. Whoever ends up with him, though, will have to pry him from the white-knuckled fists of Masai Ujiri.
Greg Monroe, RFA, Detroit Pistons – While it’s true that the Pistons are in a bit of a front office overhaul right now, that bit of discord shouldn’t be viewed as an opportunity for the rest of the league to pluck Monroe from their clutches. An eight-figure salary for Monroe seems imminent, and considering Josh Smith (who plays the same position) also makes an eight-figure annual salary, it’s easy to see how matching a big offer sheet could prove problematic for the Pistons. However, don’t expect them to let him walk for nothing; they actually can afford to pay him and Smith and likely will before losing him to some other team with nothing in return. The new front office can always try to make a sign-and-trade work or attempt to ship off Smith at a later date. However they do it, the Pistons aren’t just going to let Monroe walk, though there are likely some teams who will consider offering near-max money to see if Detroit will balk at matching. Keep an eye on the Washington Wizards, who are rumored to be interested in Monroe.
Dirk Nowitzki, UFA, Dallas Mavericks – Nowitzki’s body of work puts him on this list, but there’s no way Mark Cuban will ever allow him to retire as anything but a Dallas Maverick. He’s not going to command another max contract at this point in his career (he’ll be 36 in June), but he still has plenty to offer considering his style of play never really relied too heavily on athleticism. It’s simply inconceivable that he gives his talents to anybody but Cuban and the Mavs this summer.
Lance Stephenson, UFA, Indiana Pacers – All season long the Pacers have been worried out of their minds that they won’t be able to afford Lance Stephenson, who had his near-All-Star breakout season just in time to talk about a contract extension. A former second-round pick, Stephenson is the youngest unrestricted free agent on this list, and players that young and that talented simply don’t come around often without a restricted tag. Teams don’t have to worry about Indiana gobbling up days of rumination about matching an offer sheet, and that means they’ll go after Stephenson before many of the restricted guys. As the season has gone on, Stephenson’s production has fallen off a bit, and he still looks like the Tazmanian Devil half of the time he’s charging all over the court. The fact that he has reportedly gotten into fights with George Hill and Evan Turner in recent weeks also doesn’t help his stock. With that said, he’s a truly desirable asset, and one that Indiana may no longer be able to afford. If Chicago uses the amnesty clause on Carlos Boozer, they’ll have the financial means to make a run at Stephenson, who would fill a huge need for them. Atlanta, Charlotte and Utah are other possibilities.
Isaiah Thomas, RFA, Sacramento Kings – There’s a reasonable chance that the Kings draft a larger point guard in this upcoming draft, particularly with prospects like Dante Exum and Marcus Smart looking like franchise-changing players. And if that happens, Sacramento could potentially let Thomas play somewhere else rather than invest another $4-6 million in the position. That price range places Thomas squarely in the mid-level exception range, which means a ton of teams will be interested in bringing him aboard. Bench scoring is a very important thing in today’s NBA, and Thomas would be an ideal sixth man for almost any team in the league. Sacramento could match any offer sheet if the money doesn’t get exorbitant, and they likely would if the draft doesn’t yield them a point guard. He’s still a good fit for Sacramento, but he’ll have a lot of opportunities to play elsewhere if he and/or the Kings so choose.
As soon as a team knows its season is sunk, the front office immediately begins making plans for fixing it the next year, and that can really only be done through some combination of making smart draft picks, lopsided trades or savvy free agency acquisitions. This year offers more quality free agents than average, and these 10 players represent the best of the batch. Should any of the All-Stars with early termination options exercise that opportunity, the free agent class will only get stronger.
Payton Blocking Out Trade Talk, Believes Magic Will Turn It Around
Spencer Davies sits down with Elfrid Payton to discuss his fourth year, trade rumors and a trying season for Orlando in a Basketball Insiders exclusive.
It’s hard for a team to look for positives when it’s living in the basement.
The Orlando Magic have had a rough go of it this year. They’re 13-32 at the bottom of the Eastern Conference, they’ve have had a ton of setbacks, and they currently rank 29th in the NBA in defensive rating.
There is a bright spot hidden in there, though, and head coach Frank Vogel sees it growing as the season progresses.
“We’re frustrated with our record, but we’re encouraged with the development we’ve had with our young players,” Vogel said before Thursday’s game in Cleveland. “Aaron Gordon, Mario [Hezonja], and [Elfrid Payton] have all had strong individual seasons and continue to get better. All those guys are improving individually and at some point, it’s gonna lead to more Ws.”
While Gordon stands out more to some than the others because of his star appeal, Payton is right up there with him as far as making the next step goes.
“Elfrid’s shooting the ball better from the perimeter and at the rim,” Vogel said. “He’s worked on his left hand. He’s worked on his floaters. Shooting 52 percent from the field and that’s pretty darn good for a point guard, and the 39 percent from the three as well.”
Those are your more traditional statistics that don’t address the leap he’s taken in efficiency. Sure, Payton’s scoring the same amount of points per game, but it’s the way he’s been getting that’s been most noticeable.
According to Basketball-Reference and NBA.com, he’s making nearly 70 percent of his tries between 0-3 feet and ranks third among point guards in restricted field goal percentage (min. four attempts).
But Payton doesn’t like to evaluate himself using numbers, so he doesn’t know how to feel about how he’s played for Orlando this year.
“It’s tough to say because I like to measure my success by winning and we haven’t been doing that,” Payton told Basketball Insiders. “So tough to say.”
He’s not kidding. Since starting out the season 8-4, the Magic have taken a hard fall, only winning five games since November 10. In this stretch, there have been three hefty losing streaks—two 9-game slides and most recently a 7-game skid.
“Not to make excuses—we had a lot of injuries,” Payton told Basketball Insiders of what happened. “Haven’t really been playing with the group of guys that we started the season with, so kinda derailed us a little bit.”
As the losses pile up, so does the chatter. Indicated by multiple recent reports, Orlando has made it clear that many players on the roster are available on the trade block. Evan Fournier, Mario Hezonja, and Payton were recently brought up as names who could possibly on the move if the right deal presents itself.
When asked about the rumblings, Vogel claimed he doesn’t have a message for his guys.
“They understand it’s part of the business,” he said. “Just focus on playing the game.”
Like his coach, Payton doesn’t have a reaction to the noise.
“I don’t get caught up into the things like that,” Payton told Basketball Insiders. “Today I’m an Orlando Magic. I play for the Orlando Magic and I’m gonna give them 100 percent of me. I’m somebody that likes to finish what I started, so I definitely would like to see this through and try to turn this organization around.”
So who does he see on this team that can help jump-start the process in flipping the script?
“Everybody,” Payton told Basketball Insiders. “I like Vuc. I like AG. Evan [Fournier] is somebody who can fill it up. T Ross is somebody who can fill it up when healthy. I think we have a lot of talent on this team. Even the rookies—Wes [Iwundu] plays well for us in stretches. Jon [Isaac] when he was playing he’d do well.
“You could see the potential there. So I think we have a lot of weapons on this team. I’m very confident in the group we have here. I think we have a lot of talent, we just have to do it.”
Saying you’re going to right the ship is one thing. Actually doing it is a whole other challenge. With where the Magic sit in the standings currently, their work is cut out for them. That being said, Payton isn’t giving up.
In fact, he’s still got his eyes on making it to the postseason, and it starts with him.
“Definitely trying to get a run going,” Payton told Basketball Insiders. “Make a playoff push. It’s definitely not out of sight right now, especially with the way the East is. We win a few games and we right back in the thick of things.
“Do whatever I can to help us to get more wins, man. I think that’s what it all boils down to. I figure if I’m playing well, that means we’re winning for the most part.”
Defense matters the most, and it’s something Payton and his group know they need to get better at if they have a chance to play past mid-April.
“Just be tied in together a little bit more,” Payton told Basketball Insiders. “I think sometimes we have too many breakdowns on the backside. So just being more in-tune with each other.”
One thing is for sure—Orlando is going through this difficult time as a team, but refuses to fold. Payton says Vogel has constantly stayed in their ears with uplifting advice.
“Keep fighting,” Payton told Basketball Insiders of his words. “Don’t feel sorry for yourself. No one’s gonna feel sorry for you, so just keep fighting.”
NBA Daily: Three Teams Treading Water In The West
While the Clippers have surged into the playoff picture, the Blazers, Nuggets and Pelicans are barely staying afloat out West.
While the L.A. Clippers have surged into the Western Conference playoff picture on the crest of a six-game win streak, the Trail Blazers, Nuggets and Pelicans are stumbling toward the All-Star break with records around .500 over their last 10 games.
All four teams are within a game of each other and hovering around the playoff cut line. For teams that are treading water, the second half of the season will be a struggle for consistency in a brutal playoff race that promises to leave a good team on the outside looking in.
Although Richard Jefferson is winding down a storied career and barely playing for the Nuggets, he often takes the role of elder statesman in media scrums. After the Nuggets became the latest victim of the red-hot Clippers Wednesday, Jefferson said they should not be underestimated.
“They’ve been a playoff team for many, many years,” said Jefferson. “They’ve dealt with some injuries but, for the most part, I think they’re going to be in the hunt for the playoffs just like we are.”
Jefferson was also asked about the Nuggets’ late-game execution and pointed to the team’s overall youth with major addition Paul Millsap missing extended time due to injury.
“We’re getting to a spot of being a little bit more consistent in those moments,” said Jefferson. “But ultimately, I think guys are still learning. Most of the guys that are in these positions are in these positions for the first time. I think we’ll continue getting better as the season goes on.”
Meanwhile, the Pelicans experienced its own setback Wednesday in a loss to an Atlanta Hawks team that’s tied for the second-worst record in the league. For now, the Pelicans hold the seventh seed. It will be up to the continuing evolution of the Anthony Davis-DeMarcus Cousins pairing to keep New Orleans trending in the right direction.
“For us, we’re two guys who can shoot the ball, handle it, pass,” said Davis after the loss in Atlanta. “We’ve got a lot of guys around us who are capable of making plays. I think we compliment each other. There’s still some stuff we still want to get better at as a unit.”
Davis went into further detail about what makes the rare pairing of two elite big men work.
“Cuz is always spacing the floor,” said Davis. “One guy’s inside, the other one’s outside. We set screens for each other, throw lobs for each other. So it’s tough for bigs to try to play that. When we set a pin-down for myself or DeMarcus, most four or fives are not used to that.”
Davis came into the game with 30 or more points in three straight games and seven of the previous 10—he’s been on a massive roll. However, that streak came to an end as Davis hit only two of eight shots for eight points. Hawks rookie John Collins scored 18 while dealing with the issues Davis described.
“You’ve got A.D. on the one hand and then you’ve got Boogie on the other hand,” said Collins. “[They’re] some of the best bigs in the league, very skilled guys, obviously a handful to deal with.”
Hawks shooting guard Kent Bazemore led Atlanta with 20 points and hit the final shot in the waning moments to secure the victory. Bazemore is a player the Pelicans could conceivably pursue at the trade deadline to address wing issues.
Meanwhile, the Trail Blazers are dealing with questions of whether a team built around Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum can become competitive with the West’s upper echelon. Marc Stein of the New York Times went so far as to predict that Portland’s backcourt could be broken up this year.
“No one’s suggesting it’ll happen before the Feb. 8 trade deadline,” Stein wrote. “But Portland’s latest so-so season threatens to be the impetus that finally pushes the longtime Blazers owner Paul Allen in a new direction.”
This is the time of year when NBA teams take stock and have to decide if they are properly constructed or need to look at changes. With the Pelicans, Trail Blazers and Nuggets barely keeping pace in the playoff race, few other teams will be more heavily scrutinized — internally as well as externally — as the trade deadline approaches.
NBA Daily: Things To Watch Heading Into Trade Season
Two of our experts identify four teams and four players to keep an eye on during trade season.
With memories of DeMarcus Cousins being told that he was traded to the New Orleans Pelicans during his postgame availability at last season’s All-Star game, the NBA moved the trade deadline up.
This season, the deadline falls on February 8, and all there has been a lot of discussion leading into next month’s deadline.
We asked Moke Hamilton and Lang Greene to weigh in on some items to keep an eye on over the next three weeks.
Nikola Mirotic and Derrick Favors
This year’s trade deadline will probably lack big names getting moved, but teams such as the Philadelphia 76ers, New York Knicks and Denver Nuggets are within sniffing distance of a playoff berth for the first time in years. It will be interesting to see if their respective front offices swing for the fences to achieve the goal.
There are three ways to improve a roster or prepare for the future in the NBA. The methods are free agency, trade and the annual draft. Trade deadline deals are risky. There are a lot of deals each season which involve players on the verge of hitting the free agent market. Teams acquiring these take the risk that they’re only “renting” those guys until the season concludes.
At the end of the day, though, the two biggest names we may see moved are Nikola Mirotic and Derrick Favors.
Mirotic has been plagued by inconsistency throughout his career, but the fourth-year forward is by far having his best season as a professional despite his minutes remaining flat. On a per 36 minute basis, Mirotic is averaging 25.1 points and 9.9 rebounds.
Mirotic and teammate Bobby Portis made headlines before the season for their fight, which led plenty of missed time for the forward. Mirotic’s name has been mentioned on the block ever since this incident, but it’s clear the Bulls have integrated him back into their rotation fully. Still, the team is believed to simply be waiting for the right time and trade partner and that Mirotic’s days in Chicago are numbered.
According to the Chicago Tribune, the Bulls plan to be patient in fielding calls for Mirotic, while the player has deflected all talks to his representatives.
“I didn’t talk to [the Bulls’ front office recently],” he said. “Probably my agents are talking, so I don’t know so far what’s going on, but I know my name is going to be out there. I’m doing my job, and I’m sure they’re doing their job, and we’re both going to do what’s best for the team.”
Mirotic has a no-trade clause built into his contract and would have to waive it prior to completing any deal, unless the Bulls were to guarantee the team option on the final year of his contract for 2018-19. Don’t count on that, though.
With respect to Favors, he battled injuries the past two seasons but has remained relatively healthy to begin this campaign. The forward is shooting a career high from the field, but according to the Salt Lake Tribune, the Utah Jazz have dangled him in trade talks since the beginning of the season.
Favors was one of the central parts of the Deron Williams trade years ago, but could be expendable because of the emergence of center Rudy Gobert in the Jazz’s frontcourt. The forward is on the books for $12.5 million this season and was most recently linked to the aforementioned Mirotic in trade talks between Utah and Chicago.
– Lang Greene
DeAndre Jordan and Paul George
Heading into deadline season, there’s not much out there to suggest that we’ll see any superstar-caliber players moved. With the likes of Paul George, Jimmy Butler, Chris Paul and Kyrie Irving among the players that switched teams over the summer, it seems that most NBA teams that have difference-makers on their rosters are in construction mode—they’re trying to compete with the Cavs or the Warriors.
The two superstar players who merit some discussion, though, are DeMarcus Cousins and DeAndre Jordan.
With respect to Jordan, the Clippers find themselves in a very peculiar situation. With Chris Paul having defected to the Houston Rockets, it’s easy to conclude that the Clippers are no longer a true contender. Still, they’ve played so well over the past few weeks (including scoring a victory over Paul and his Rockets) that it seems a difficult proposition to proactively pull the plug.
Still, though, as written in this past Sunday’s column, it’s time for the Clippers to trade Jordan, mainly because a team that is heading toward a rebuild can’t afford to lose a player of his caliber for nothing, and that’s quite possible unless the Clippers fork over a max contract to Jordan this summer. The proposition wouldn’t be wise, particularly because it could cost the Clippers a first round pick in one of the upcoming drafts.
He’s definitely a player that should be watched.
Paul George, on the other hand, doesn’t appear likely to be headed out of Oklahoma City. The team is reportedly committed to keeping him for the duration of the season, with the hope being that the Thunder will get their act together and win a round or two in the playoffs. With the team still hovering around .500, it seems a long shot.
There are some, however, that believe that the Thunder should at least see what might be available to them in exchange for George, especially with the team trading Victor Oladipo and Domantas Sabonis for him. That’s especially true with Oladipo closing in on what certainly appears to be his first All-Star selection.
– Moke Hamilton
Dallas Mavericks Are Open For Business
The Dallas Mavericks are in a clear rebuild and the prospect of making the playoffs is more dream than reality this season, but the team does have some things going for it.
The Mavs have roughly $13 million in cap space, which puts them in a prime spot to acquire talent at the deadline without giving up any of their players in return. In fact, Mark Cuban went on the record and said exactly that.
“I would say we are looking to use our cap space actively,” Cuban told the Dallas Morning News earlier this week. “We will take back salary to get picks or guys we think can play.”
The Mavericks have the second-lowest payroll in the league, but Cuban has been known to spend money to acquire relevant talent. The team hasn’t had much success in in attracting free agents in recent years, and with the Hall of Fame career of Dirk Nowitzki coming to an end, the team is undoubtedly looking to retool.
– Lang Greene
Cavs and Lakers Each Likely To Do Something
It’s a poorly kept secret that the Los Angeles Lakers have had their sights set on acquiring a superstar or two this coming summer. With Paul George, DeMarcus Cousins and LeBron James among those who could hit the market in July, the Lakers have quite a bit of incentive to try to rid themselves of the contracts of Luol Deng and Jordan Clarkson.
Where things get interesting for the Lakers is with the emergence of several of their young players this season. Brandon Ingram, Julius Randle, Kyle Kuzma and to a lesser extent Josh Hart have each given the team impressive minutes this season. If the Lakers feel they have a real shot at signing James and, say, DeMarcus Cousins, it may be enough for them to package Deng and/or Clarkson with one of their promising young players and perhaps a future draft pick.
It’s certainly something I’d keep my eyes on.
And speaking of future draft picks, with the Cavs not taking their standing in the Eastern Conference for granted, one can only wonder the extent to which the Nets’ first round pick this coming season is burning a hole in their pockets. Aside from the Nets pick, though, the Cavs do own their own first round pick, which could be enough for them to pry the likes of a player like Mirotic or Favors from their current team.
There has also been some conjecture revolving around the availability of Tristan Thompson, with one interesting scenario having the Cavs and Clippers at least contemplating a trade involving Thompson and Jordan.
The Cavs and Lakers each have too much at stake to not do something.
– Moke Hamilton
Only 21 Days To Go…
With the trade deadline exactly three weeks from today, talks will certainly heat up.
For now, though, the Mavs, Cavs and Lakers appear to be the teams most involved in conversations, with Nikola Mirotic, Derrick Favors and DeAndre Jordan among those most likely to be dealt.