Connect with us

NBA

NBA Trade Watch: The Central Division

Spencer Davies takes a look at what teams in the Central Division are going to busy in the trade market.

Spencer Davies

Published

on

Basketball Insiders continues its division-by-division trade watch series with the Central Division.

Between the top and bottom, it’s expected that those organizations will be busy in the trade market as the deadline approaches.

Here’s a look at the group of five and what teams are expected to be the most involved in the Central.

Note:
*Player Option
**Qualifying Offer
***Team Option

Cleveland Cavaliers (26-14)

The Cavaliers have lost six out of their last eight games, but they still sit atop the division. They’re a team full of ups and downs due to injuries and re-implementing players into rotations, like what’s most recently gone on with Isaiah Thomas and Tristan Thompson. Soon they’ll have to do the same with Derrick Rose and Iman Shumpert.

Regardless of that, Cleveland is a team in need of some type of move. Not only are they an older roster, but their defense has been sub-par to put it politely. A trade doesn’t have to be earth-shattering, but just enough to fill a need, or in this case, needs.

Notable Ending Contracts:

LeBron James* — $33,285,709

Isaiah Thomas — $6,261,395

Iman Shumpert* — $10,337,079

Channing Frye — $7,420,912

Dwyane Wade, Derrick Rose, Jeff Green — $1,471, 382

Names Worth Talking About:

It’s no secret that the Cavaliers have contemplated trading Tristan Thompson in an effort to move his heavy contract. Iman Shumpert is another player who’s been rumored to be in discussions with other teams for the past two years now.

Thompson would likely net more of a return for Cleveland, but considering his representation is the same as James’ and the fact he’s slowly developed a rapport with Thomas in the pick-and-roll game, it’s probably not going to happen. On the other hand, Shumpert has had a tough time staying healthy this year and his role with the team might suffer due to the abundance of guards on the roster, so he could be on his way out if the Cavs find a taker for his salary.

Based on lack of production on both ends of the floor, J.R. Smith should also be a candidate worth discussing, but Tyronn Lue is known to stick with his guys through thick and thin, so chances are a trade wouldn’t be in the cards.

Biggest Area of Need at the Deadline:

Defense. Cleveland has had little to no resistance in many areas on that end of the floor. Two types of players would be welcomed—a perimeter defender that can shoot and a rim-protecting big that at the very least can alter shots in the restricted area.

It’s widely known by now that they have kicked the rocks on Los Angeles Clippers center DeAndre Jordan, but that price tag may be too steep. If the Cavs want a rental, there multiple potential targets. Nerlens Noel has a thumb injury at the moment, but if he’s healthy by deadline time it’d be a no-brainer for the sheer fact that he’s no longer used by the Dallas Mavericks at all. Another big from the same team who actually gets some playing time, Salah Mejri, could also be had for a lesser return. It wouldn’t be bad idea to explore the availability of Robin Lopez in Chicago, either.

As far the two-way guard is concerned, the perfect target is Courtney Lee. He’s been sensational from both a leadership and production standpoint for the New York Knicks and has plenty of experience. Slot him into the Cavs’ starting lineup and watch the energy level increase. Other options could include Tyreke Evans, who is having a career year with the Memphis Grizzlies, and Atlanta Hawks forward Kent Bazemore, whom Mike Zavagno of Fear The Sword suggested this past week.

Milwaukee Bucks (22-18)

Over the last week and a half, the Bucks have been on a seesaw. They’ve been on a win-loss, win-loss, win-loss pattern since the New Year came about. There has to be some semblance of consistency shown in the near future.

Milwaukee needs to start taking (and making) more threes. With Khris Middleton, Malcolm Brogdon and Tony Snell on the outside, that should be a dependable trio to knock those three-balls down. Crashing the boards has been an issue that’s held this team back in the past and is affecting them right now, but we’ll get into that more in-depth.

Notable Ending Contracts:

Jabari Parker** — $6,782,392

Names Worth Talking About:

The Bucks already made their blockbuster deal in November when they acquired Eric Bledsoe from the Phoenix Suns. Greg Monroe was whom they sent out, and other than him, there really are no players to pay attention to that may get shipped away.

What Milwaukee is waiting on is the impending return of Jabari Parker, which will pretty much act as a mid-season acquisition when he rejoins the team.

Biggest Area of Need at the Deadline:

Rebounding. It’s been what’s held the Bucks back this year from being a true contender. It doesn’t help that they lost their best big man in the deal for Bledsoe, but it was a splash where the pros outweighed the cons. Still, Milwaukee’s dependence on John Henson is the X-factor of how far they can go.

Reports suggested Milwaukee threw their name in the hat in the DeAndre Jordan sweepstakes, but similar to the Cavs situation, the return L.A. is asking for may not be worth it. If the Bucks are involved in the deadline talks though, it should be for a big.

Detroit Pistons (22-18)

To the surprise of many, though not including this writer, the Pistons are a real player in the East. Unfortunately, injuries have restricted them from achieving their true potential, but the growth of Andre Drummond and Tobias Harris has really put this team in a great position.

Recently, Detroit pummeled the Nets in Brooklyn, but they’ve still dropped three out of five. They’re combating missing pieces and giving young guys like Luke Kennard and Dwight Buycks significant playing time while they wait for others to get healthy. That’s a reason they’ll be heavily involved come deadline time.

Notable Ending Contracts:

Avery Bradley — $8,808,989

Names Worth Talking About:

Despite having a solid season, Reggie Jackson is always somebody to pay attention to when it comes to trade chatter. Whether it’s because of his trouble staying on the court or his hefty contract, the Pistons have floated him around in deal discussions for the past two years. Luke Kennard’s flashes of talent in his rookie season have reportedly made him an interesting target for teams, but it will depend on what direction the organization wants to go. The same goes for Stanley Johnson.

It’s very unlikely, but the expiring deal of Avery Bradley makes him an attractive option for teams in need of a starting guard. Anthony Tolliver could also make for an intriguing rotational player and has a cheap expiring contract.

Biggest Area of Need at the Deadline:

Depth. According to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN, Detroit has been “one of the most aggressive” players on the market looking for talent. Injuries have sidelined Jackson and Jon Leuer, so those positions could use either an upgrade or some extra bodies.

So what names have the Pistons been linked to? Earlier this season, Orlando Magic swingman Evan Fournier was apparently in the mix. Chicago Bulls power forward Nikola Mirotic and Brooklyn Nets wing DeMarre Carroll are two names that have come up in rumblings as well.

Indiana Pacers (21-20)

Remember when people were laughing at the Pacers for trading Paul George to the Oklahoma City Thunder for Victor Oladipo and Domantas Sabonis? Those people are awfully silent right now. Outside of a rough end to December, the supposedly rebuilding squad is above .500 and in a real conversation to make the postseason.

Defense is still an area of concern for Indiana, but their dynamite offensive onslaughts are overpowering enough to beat some teams. We’ll see if it can sustain throughout the season, and if it does, Nate McMillan will have quite the case for a Coach of The Year argument.

Notable Ending Contracts:

Thaddeus Young* — $14,796,348

Glenn Robinson III — 1,525,305

Cory Joseph* — $7,630,000

Lance Stephenson*** — $4,180,000

Names Worth Talking About:

Not too many. The Pacers are in good shape and really don’t need to ship anybody out necessarily.

Maybe with the return of Glenn Robinson III from injury, there may be less playing time for somebody, but it’s not necessarily enough of a change to make a move. If they weren’t contending for a potential postseason appearance, it’d make sense to try and find a deal for Thaddeus Young and Darren Collison, but they’ve been paramount to the team’s success.

Biggest Area of Need at the Deadline:

One more superstar. If Indiana chooses to make a move at the deadline, why not go for a home run? Tim Bontemps of The Washington Post cooked up an interesting thought about chasing Kemba Walker away from the struggling Charlotte Hornets. While point guard is a position set at the moment, you can’t equate to the production that an All-Star could potentially give you. It’s a grand idea and could make what was intended to be a rebuild into a contending season.

That might be the key to sending this Pacers team over the top as a real threat in the Eastern Conference, but it could also mess with the current flow they have right now with Victor Oladipo and Domantas Sabonis leading the charge. Only time will tell if they attempt something that drastic, but it could pay dividends if they try.

Chicago Bulls (15-27)

It hasn’t been pretty, but it’s been a lot prettier than most of us expected. After a 3-20 start, the Bulls are scratching and clawing with 15 wins already. The development of Kris Dunn as a legitimate starting point guard has been promising. Lauri Markannen is doing everything in his power to prove he’s a future star in this league. Nikola Mirotic is having a career year. Zach LaVine is coming back on Saturday.

Chicago’s probably going to finish in the bottom half of the conference, but it might not be as far deep as some predicted before the season started. They’ll definitely be players in the trade market to get their younger talent some more chances to develop.

Notable Ending Contracts:

Nikola Mirotic*** — $12,500,000

Zach LaVine** — $3,202,218

Names Worth Talking About:

Nikola Mirotic wants out of the Windy City. Regardless of how well the Bulls have competed over the last few weeks, he has no desire to stay for multiple reasons. Reports say that the 26-year-old has interest in the Utah Jazz to play under Quin Snyder. Outside of his personal preferences, the Detroit Pistons, New York Knicks, and Portland Trail Blazers have had discussions with Chicago. The asking price for Mirotic is a first-round pick. He can be shipped out as soon as January 15, so expect talks to pick up fast.

Another player to keep an eye on is Robin Lopez, who is a veteran center lost on a team going towards a youth movement. With Cristiano Felicio recently earning a payday and getting so little time on the court, that could ultimately push management to make a trade. Lopez could probably yield a decent return, too.

Biggest Area of Need at the Deadline:

Size and youth. Say Chicago does get rid of Mirotic or Lopez, or even both—they’re left with one center and no bigs to back up Bobby Portis and Lauri Markkanen. Some guards on their roster should be expendable when Zach LaVine returns from his injury on Saturday, so maybe start there.

One rumored deal for Mirotic includes Derrick Favors in exchange, so they’re on the right track.

The trade deadline is shaping up to be a busy one for a lot of teams. Expect the Central Division to be on the phones when it comes to improving their respective rosters.

Spencer Davies is an NBA writer based in Cleveland in his first year with Basketball Insiders. Covering the league and the Cavaliers for the past two seasons, his bylines have appeared on Bleacher Report, FOX Sports and HoopsHype.

Advertisement




Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

NBA

NBA Daily: Five Second-Rounders Looking For Rookie Season Role

Although far from guaranteed, there are five recent second-rounders who could work themselves into important roles in 2018-19.

Ben Nadeau

Published

on

After months of speculation, rumors and workouts, the NBA Draft and their respective summer leagues are finally well in the rearview mirror. With training camps up next, franchises can begin to flesh out their rotations and decide the early season fates of their newly-arrived rookies — even if their selection didn’t come with as much fanfare or hype.

And although draft day studs like Deandre Ayton and Marvin Bagley III are nearly guaranteed to contribute immediately, much of the class’ future is still up for grabs — a statement particularly true for those that followed the first round. Whether it was a strong summer league showing or a picture-perfect landing spot, here are the five second round draftees poised to leave a mark in 2018-19.

Kostas Antetokounmpo, Dallas Mavericks
2017-18: 5.2 points, 2.9 rebounds on 57.4 percent shooting

Much as been made of the youngest Antetokounmpo’s controversial decision to come out this spring, but his faith was rewarded by Dallas with the draft’s final selection. Back in June, our Spencer Davies dove into Antetokounmpo’s time at Dayton and it’s not difficult to see why the Mavericks took a swing on the raw 6-foot-11 prospect. Over four games in Las Vegas, Antetokounmpo averaged five points, 2.5 rebounds, 1.3 steals and 1.3 blocks per game on 58 percent from the floor — which, of course, is not eye-popping but could foreshadow a role moving forward.

Between Dirk Nowitzki, Dennis Smith Jr., Harrison Barnes, DeAndre Jordan and the ever-talented Luka Dončić, Antetokounmpo will not be called upon to carry the scoring load at any point. On a two-way deal, the Mavericks have the luxury to develop the Greek-born stopper in the G-League until he’s ready to make a difference — but for a defensive-minded Rick Carlisle, that day could come sooner rather than later. With Dwight Powell and Ray Spalding fighting for minutes at power forward, Antetokounmpo could be an option at the three, where Barnes has just Dorian Finney-Smith behind him.

For a franchise that ranked 18th in DEF RTG (107.4) last season and will strive for their first postseason berth since 2016, giving spot defensive specialist minutes to Antetokounmpo seems like a win-win partnership.

De’Anthony Melton, Houston Rockets
2016-17: 8.3 points, 4.7 rebounds, 1.9 steals on 43.7 percent shooting

After missing an entire season due to an improper benefits scandal at USC, Melton serendipitously fell to the Rockets way down at No. 46 overall. At 6-foot-3, Melton has a shot to contribute on both ends immediately as an above-average defender and a microwavable scorer. During his Las Vegas debut, Melton tallied 16.4 points, 7.2 rebounds, four assists and a summer league-leading three steals across five contests — albeit at an improvable 38 percent from the floor. As a tenacious playmaker, Melton should get ample opportunity to impress with a franchise looking to avenge their brutal Western Conference Finals defeat last spring.

On top of learning from one of the best point guards in league history, there also happens to be little competition for Melton in the rotation. In July, the Rockets signed Michael Carter-Williams, a former Rookie of the Year winner that averaged just 4.6 points, 2.7 rebounds, 2.2 assists in 52 games for Charlotte in 2017-18 — and, well, that’s it. For a three-point bombing franchise like Houston, neither guard fits particularly well in that regard, but Melton’s 28.4 percent clip in one season as an 18-year-old still projects better than Carter-Williams’ 25 percent mark over five years.

Chris Paul missed 24 regular season games last year, but the Rockets are still willing to head into training camp with a second-round rookie and Carter-Williams holding down the backup point guard slot — that alone says far more about Houston’s faith in Melton than anything else.

Élie Okobo, Phoenix Suns
2017-18: 12.9 points, 4.8 assists on 39.4 percent from three

Outside of Džanan Musa and the aforementioned Dončić, the Phoenix Suns’ Élie Okobo entered draft night as the most promising overseas prospect in the bunch. Okobo, a 6-foot-2 Frenchman, could feasibly become the Suns’ franchise point guard by season’s end. The playmaking 20-year-old has just Brandon Knight ahead of him on the depth chart, a formidable NBA point guard, but one that does not fit Phoenix’s current rebuilding plan. Admittedly, his statistics won’t jump off the page just yet — 2.3 points, 3.5 assists in four summer league contests — but the potential for Okobo is certainly here.

While it’s worth noting that Okobo didn’t score in three straight contests after his impressive debut, he appears to be a suitable backcourt partner with franchise cornerstone Devin Booker. Whether he’s connecting with a backdoor cut in stride or hitting difficult running floaters, there are plenty of positives to take thus far. With a postseason appearance looking unlikely for the Suns, it’ll make sense to give Okobo the reins before long — even if they can’t move Knight’s contract worth $15.6 million in 2019-20.

Mitchell Robinson, New York Knicks
2017-18: N/A

Needless to say, Mitchell Robinson could be an absolute treat for the New York Knicks.

For much of the pre-draft process, it looked like Robinson was a shoo-in first rounder, with many speculating that he even received a promise from the Los Angeles Lakers at No. 25 overall. Once the first 30 picks came and went without Robinson — who elected to pull out of the draft combine in May — the Knicks were more than happy to scoop him up. Across five summer league contests, Robinson averaged 13 points, 10.2 rebounds and a competition-leading four blocks per game on 67 percent from the field.

On a team-friendly four-year deal worth just $1.8 million in 2021-22, Robinson already looks like a bargain. But beyond his first-round talent at a second-round price, there’s a real chance that Robinson can contribute for New York right away. Following the recent news that Joakim Noah will be stretched if the Knicks can’t find a suitable partner by training camp, that leaves exactly two centers left on the roster: Enes Kanter and Robinson. The 7-foot-1 prospect is a natural replacement for the departed Kyle O’Quinn, while the newly-minted David Fizdale should love Robinson’s shot-changing impact defensively.

Even if Robinson shuttles back-and-forth to and from Westchester throughout the season, he could still seamlessly slide into the Knicks’ rotation from day one.

Jevon Carter, Memphis Grizzlies
2017-18: 17.3 points, 6.6 assists, 3 steals on 39.3 percent from three

Earlier this week, Matt John put forth an excellent case for what should be a comeback season for the Grit-And-Grind Grizzlies — but there’s one second-rounder still currently flying under the radar. Despite a stellar final season at West Virginia, Carter dropped into Memphis’ lap and there are few that so elegantly fit the franchise’s identity without effort. As the reigning back-to-back NABC Defensive Player of the Year, Carter should split the backup point guard minutes with newcomer Shelvin Mack, if not more by season’s end.

The additions of Jaren Jackson Jr., Kyle Anderson and Omri Casspi, along with renewed health from Mike Conley Jr. and Marc Gasol, will have Memphis eying the postseason once again — but Carter will likely be a fan favorite long before then as well. During his lengthy summer league initiation, Carter pulled in 11.4 points, 4.3 rebounds, 4.6 assists and 1.1 steals over seven games. Although his 35 percent clip from the floor could use some restraint, he won’t need to shoulder offensive responsibilities with the Grizzlies.

Carter’s hard-nosed style of play will enhance an uncharacteristically poor Memphis defense from last season, with his years of extra experience allowing the bullish ball-stopper to drop into the rotation from the get-go.

With franchises focused on their high-ranking lottery picks, many second round draftees (and their often non-guaranteed contracts) will never carve out a consistent NBA role. But from backing up future Hall of Famers to filling a hole in the rotation, it should surprise no one if Antetokounmpo, Melton, Okobo, Robinson and Carter earn some big-time opportunities in 2018-19. Last year alone, Semi Ojeleye, Dillon Brooks and Jordan Bell all quickly found their niche at the professional level — so who will it be this year?

Continue Reading

NBA

NBA Daily: Poeltl Looking Forward To New Beginning With Spurs

Spencer Davies looks at the under-the-radar portion of the DeMar DeRozan-Kawhi Leonard trade and how Jakob Poeltl is already embracing the change.

Spencer Davies

Published

on

One month ago, a superstar-swapping trade between the Toronto Raptors and San Antonio Spurs was agreed upon.

The deal—which once again sparked a national debate about player loyalty—sent a reportedly disgruntled Kawhi Leonard to The North in exchange for Masai Ujiri’s franchise cornerstone, DeMar DeRozan.

Longtime Spur and veteran sharpshooter Danny Green was also moved to Toronto, while San Antonio acquired a protected future first-round draft pick and 22-year-old big man Jakob Poeltl.

Remember, Poeltl was an integral piece of a talented Raptor bench that produced a better net rating than their starters, as well as nearly all five-man groups in the league.

While the majority of pundits have gone back and forth about who won the trade, few have mentioned the ninth overall selection in the 2016 NBA Draft. Being involved in the transaction admittedly caught Poeltl “a little bit off guard.”

But entering his third year as a pro, the seven-foot Austrian is embracing the change and a brand new start with one of the most well-respected organizations in sports.

“That’s one of the things I’m most excited about, just the fact that this program has such a big history in developing players,” Poeltl told reporters in his first media appearance since the move. “I’m really excited for the process. Gonna be a lot of work, but I’m looking forward to it.”

From what he has heard from players who have been a part of the Spurs in the past and those who are currently there, it’s an unselfish group of people. They consider it a family environment.

“Everybody is just in it together,” Poeltl said. “From the very top to the very last guy on the bench or in the gym. It’s really like a great atmosphere, at least from what I’ve heard. So I’m looking forward to actually experiencing it myself.”

As soon as Poeltl got to San Antonio, he gazed at the championship banners hanging inside of the gym and quickly realized the expectations he’ll have to fulfill this season are a little higher than where he came from.

“It’s crazy, it’s different,” Poeltl said. “Obviously in Toronto, we didn’t have banners like that. Like we’re on a good way there, but this program here has some tradition to it. Over the last 20 years been a great basketball team. Obviously, you can tell by the championships and all the accomplishments.

“It’s a little bit of pressure, too. Like we’re trying to live up to that. There’s obviously a very high standard here, so we’ve gotta come in and put the work in and really show what we’ve got on the court as a team.”

Poeltl hasn’t wasted any time in immersing himself into the culture. In fact, he’s been working out at their practice facility since he arrived and feels like there’s a “natural chemistry” already with his new teammates.

In the weight room, Poeltl came across the forever face of the Spurs and future Hall-of-Fame forward, Tim Duncan. The conversation between them was short, sweet and casual. Basketball wasn’t brought up, as that will likely be saved for another time when the season approaches.

Duncan still sticks around and helps in practices from time-to-time, but he won’t be there every day. Somebody else who will be, however, is Pau Gasol, a fellow international center that Poeltl looks forward to learning from.

Though those two will be able to give veteran advice and priceless pointers, Poeltl’s most crucial teachings will come from the Spurs lead general—Gregg Popovich. Like with Duncan, on-court discussions were not the focus of their first interaction.

“We went to dinner,” Poeltl said. “We didn’t really talk too much basketball. It was more just like trying to get to know each other, like a first impression. I think there’s more than enough time for us to talk basketball and really learn what the Spurs are all about on the basketball court.

“But it was a really good conversation. Like I really enjoyed it. He’s a very down-to-earth type guy for if you think about what he’s accomplished in his career. He’s really cool.”

Once training camp comes and the dialogue does take a turn towards the hardwood, Poeltl will be all ears. As it stands now, Poeltl’s niche is the hustle guy. He picks up the scraps, corrals offensive rebounds and dives after loose balls, but don’t pigeonhole “role player” to his name. He plans on doing more in San Antonio.

“I take a lot of pride in that,” Poeltl said. “I think I do a lot of the little things out there—set good screens, be in the right places, making good reads off of my teammates and making plays for my teammates at the same time. Obviously like for me, that’s my role right now and I’m really enjoying that.

“I’m working on my game every single day in practice and I’m trying to develop more offensively and defensively so I can take on more responsibilities in the future.”

Moving on from the team that drafted you to another can be difficult. Luckily, Poeltl isn’t coming alone.

“Obviously it helps to have a familiar face like a guy that I’ve played with over the last three years,” Poeltl said of DeRozan. “Like I know how he plays basketball, he knows me. I think we play well together.”

In the two years they have played together, Poeltl has noticed DeRozan fine-tune his game. Although he is first and foremost a pure scorer, his all-around offense is getting better.

DeRozan’s reads on the opposition are crisper, as are the adjustments he makes due to that. He understands when to take games over and has involved his teammates more and more with each season.

It’s no surprise that the four-time All-Star guard is coming to the Spurs with a statement to make. All he’s done since being drafted is improve and devote himself to his second home in Toronto. He hasn’t uttered one favorable comment towards the front office he feels betrayed him.

Witnessing the kind of player DeRozan is when he’s pushed, Poeltl expects we’ll see a whole other side of him unleashed this year.

“It’s a little bit scary, to be honest,” Poeltl said. “Because I know what he can do when he has a chip on his shoulder, when he gets that extra motivation. I think he’s gonna be ready.”

Poeltl doesn’t have quite that big of a score to settle with the Raptors.

He’s just ready to give his all to an organization in a blue-collar town that matches the kind of work ethic he’s had since he started playing the game.

“That’s kinda how I’ve been for my whole basketball career,” Poeltl said. “Just get the work done.”

Continue Reading

NBA

NBA Daily: Can an Anthony-D’Antoni Marriage Work for Houston?

Shane Rhodes lays out how the Carmelo Anthony-Mike D’Antoni pairing could work this time around in Houston.

Shane Rhodes

Published

on

It’s official: Carmelo Anthony has joined the Houston Rockets after putting pen to paper on a contract. In doing so, Anthony will join a gifted offensive team helmed by former Coach of the Year Mike D’Antoni.

Stop me if you’ve heard that one before.

Back in 2011, when Anthony joined the New York Knicks via a blockbuster trade with the Denver Nuggets, a younger D’Antoni was in the midst of his third year with New York. While he didn’t exactly have a sterling record with the Knicks prior to the acquisition (89-129 before), things improved little upon Anthony’s arrival in the Big Apple (31-38 after). The two butted heads constantly and, after just a year (and an ultimatum forced on the Knicks by Anthony), D’Antoni was out the door; he resigned from his position and pursued work elsewhere.

Now, together once again, questions remain about how their relationship and, ultimately, their offensive styles will mesh in Houston. D’Antoni has already come out and said things will be different this time around, but nothing is so certain in the NBA; what is stopping things from going south as they did for the Knicks, who, despite a bevy of talent, just couldn’t make things work?

It’s important to understand where things went wrong in New York in order to look at where they could go wrong in Houston.

From the jump, the two weren’t exactly the best fit. Anthony wanted to play the way he had his entire career — heavy isolation, high usage basketball — while D’Antoni’s offense was spread out, predicated on ball movement, and closer to what we see in the modern offense.

Those two styles aren’t exactly conducive to the success of one another.

The Knicks finished the season 42-40, going just 13-14 in Anthony’s 27 games with the team. The two continued to be at odds with one another into the next season until, after leading the Knicks to an underwhelming 18-24 start, D’Antoni resigned. While things improved under Mike Woodson in 2012 — Anthony posted the highest usage rate of his career while the Knicks won 52 games — they quickly devolved into disaster and the Knicks, once again, found themselves in a hole that they are still trying to climb out of.

Now, on to Houston. This isn’t the same D’Antoni; he has changed and so has his offense. While ball movement still plays an integral role, D’Antoni has put much more of an emphasis on isolation plays in order to better fit the profile of his current roster.

The Rockets posted historic offensive numbers with James Harden and Chris Paul running the show, but did so unlike D’Antoni teams of the past. Gone are the days of the seven-seconds-or-less offense; the Rockets played at a pace (97.4 possessions per 48 minutes) that was middle of the pack, while their assist total came in at just 26th in the league, third worst among teams that made the postseason last year. Despite that, Houston managed to post the highest offensive rating (114.7) in the league.

While those stylistic changes should aid Anthony as he looks to rebound next season, they alone don’t make this the perfect fit for the Rockets. Anthony will never see the touches that he was once accustomed to in New York or Denver. He isn’t the same player he was five years ago, either; as his athleticism has declined, so too has Anthony’s ability to get past his defenders, leading to tougher, lower percentage shots that could sink the Rockets come the postseason.

The only thing that really holds Anthony back now is his own stubborn ignorance of those facts. He refused to adjust last season with the Oklahoma City Thunder because he still has “so much left in the tank.” Anthony posted some of the worst numbers of his career last season and, while Billy Donovan isn’t the offensive wizard that D’Antoni is, things should only get worse as Harden (36.1 percent usage rate) and Paul (24.5) dominate the ball if Anthony remains unwilling to change.

So, while his words may hold true, Anthony is no longer in a position where he needs to put the team on his back in order for it to be successful. Houston already has a well-established hierarchy, and Anthony is merely a column meant to buttress what is already in place. If he can’t come to accept that, the chance Houston is taking on him could backfire tremendously.

Still, Houston needs someone to eat the minutes vacated by the departure of Trevor Ariza and Luc Mbah a Moute in free agency. While he may not be able to match their defensive exploits, Anthony is still more than capable of filling their shoes, or even providing an upgrade, offensively. That potential upgrade alone could make the move a worthwhile one for the Rockets, who came just minutes from dethroning the Golden State Warriors despite the loss of Chris Paul in the Western Conference Finals.

For things to truly work out, however, Anthony must be willing to accept a change in his role, a diminished one in an offense that isn’t hurting for star power or shot takers, but one that desperately needs role players. If Anthony can adapt, he could be exactly what they need to challenge the Warriors. If not, Anthony’s arrival could blow up in D’Antoni’s face just as it did with the Knicks.

Continue Reading
Advertisement

NBA Team Salaries

Advertisement

Trending Now