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Mock Drafts

2015 NBA Mock Draft: Consensus Ver 1.0

Each week, four of Basketball Insiders’ top writers will break down the 2015 NBA Draft, including a revised Mock Draft based on the latest information.

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Each week, four of Basketball Insiders’ top writers will break down the latest news and notes surrounding the 2015 NBA Draft. Included is a revised Mock Draft that reflects how each writer sees the draft landscape based on the latest news, workouts and information from in and around the process.

Here is Consensus Version 1.0:

 

Yannis’ Notebook:

The Minnesota Timberwolves were in one of the least desirable positions in the NBA, in the midst of a horrific playoff drought with their lone superstar headed toward free agency and almost certain to leave for greener pastures. Then, to their great fortune, the Cleveland Cavaliers – equipped with the last two No. 1 picks – went into win-now mode with the arrival of LeBron James. That helped them turn their biggest problem, Kevin Love, into a bright future featuring the now reigning Rookie of the Year Andrew Wiggins. And, because of all the injury issues they dealt with this year, they’re positioned with the best odds to win the draft lottery once again.

Should they win, there will be a ton of debate over who they should choose between Karl-Anthony Towns and Jahlil Okafor. Towns’ stock has gained a lot of steam after his strong finish to his freshman campaign; in fact, a lot of mock drafters have moved him into the top spot. Towns is certainly more versatile than Okafor and may even have more upside, however, for the Timberwolves the decision is pretty simple. Okafor, despite having a very similar skill set to Nikola Pekovic, is the one they need to invest in. Okafor is much more prepared to contribute from day one, an important factor for the struggling Timberwolves, and he has a long standing close relationship with Wiggins – perhaps the most important factor.

In today’s day and age, teams start positioning themselves to pluck away star players in free agency years in advance. With that in mind, the Timberwolves need to be diligent in their efforts to make sure that Wiggins, who clearly has the star power to lead them out of this dark era, especially with Okafor on his side, doesn’t start to feel like he’ll be better off elsewhere as Love did. Okafor is a perennial winner, fresh off of a NCAA national championship. He’ll help change the culture and make Wiggins’ work load much lighter immediately. As intriguing as Towns’ upside is, Okafor is ideal for the Timberwolves in every single aspect.

Joel’s Notebook:

This first one of these consensus mock drafts is always a little bit like driving in the dark, because with no workouts, no combine, no anything, really, to go off of, we’re all just kind of throwing darts in terms of which players we think will land in the lottery and in the first round in general. That said, here are a few opening thoughts on this year’s draft class:

1. Karl Towns, at this point, looks like the easy pick over Jahlil Okafor for the top overall selection. One looks dominant on both sides of the ball, and one doesn’t. In today’s NBA, that extra “rim protector” gear is important.

2. I’d take Emmanuel Mudiay over D’Angelo Russell or Justise Winslow if I were Philly GM Sam Hinkie. Mudiay is the mystery man, having played in China last season, but he’s a huge, 6’5 point guard with a much more well-rounded skill set than Michael Carter-Williams has. They traded him away because they hoped they’d get a kid like this. In fact, I’ve heard a few times that Mudiay might have been who they wanted all along. It’s not like they need any more bigs with Nerlens Noel and Joel Embiid in place.

3. Pick No. 5 might be too low for Justise Winslow. He could go third or fourth before this is all said and done. Already, he looks like this year’s meteoric riser, though Tyus Jones could do the same thing for himself during the workout/interview process this year. He’s an impressive kid who will be a steal if he falls out of the top 15.

4. Doesn’t Sam Dekker in Utah just feels like the perfect thing? He’s a sure-thing lottery pick at this point, and the Jazz could be a good fit for him. He’d fit well in Oklahoma City, too.

5. Providence’s Kris Dunn was one of my favorite draft eligible players this year, but he’s heading back to school. I would have had him right alongside Jerian Grant in that second tier of point guards this year. As it stands, the field at that position thins out quite a bit after Grant.

6. I’ve got Cliff Alexander pretty high, but considering he was predicted to be a top-three pick coming out of high school, a mostly disappointing year at Kansas can be overlooked. I think he falls somewhere in the 20s when everything is all said and done, and maybe closer to the teens than the 30s.

Alex’s Notebook:

It’ll be interesting to see what the Orlando Magic do with their selection. They are slotted to be the fifth pick at the moment, but they could always move up on lottery night.

The reason Orlando is an interesting team to watch is because they already have their center of the future (Nikola Vucevic) and backcourt of the future (Elfrid Payton and Victor Oladipo). Since the top four players in the draft are centers (Jahlil Okafor and Karl Towns) or guards (Emmanuel Mudiay and D’Angelo Russell), I’m curious to see who Orlando targets.

At the moment, I have them picking Justise Winslow. Since Rob Hennigan took over as the Magic’s general manager, he has targeted defensive-minded athletes and Winslow fits that description. He’s a two-way threat and his game reminds me of Jimmy Butler’s. I think putting Winslow alongside Payton and Oladipo (as well as Aaron Gordon as he continues to develop) could make Orlando a very scary defensive team and that seems to be their goal.

Tobias Harris is a restricted free agent this offseason and Orlando may let him walk if he receives a lucrative offer, and it’s very possible that the Magic will move Maurice Harkless this summer. Drafting Winslow makes a lot of sense since the he could either replace Harris or complement him since they are very different players. Winslow is the exact kind of player that Hennigan has fallen in love with during the pre-draft process in recent years.

One more option for Orlando could be to draft a rim protector. Down the stretch, the Magic realized that they need to put a shot-blocker next to Vucevic, who really struggles on the defensive end. This is why Orlando moved Dewayne Dedmon into the starting lineup late in the season. But it’s clear that Dedmon isn’t a starting-caliber big man, so it’s possible that Orlando will try to address this need with their first pick. Prospects like Towns (if they move up) or Willie Cauley-Stein could be targeted if they do decide to look at rim protectors. It’s worth noting that, at the moment, Vucevic is the only center set to be under contract for Orlando next season.

Finally, trading the pick is also a possibility since the Magic are already a really young team (eight of their players are 24 years old or younger) and they will enter the 2015-16 season with playoff aspirations. Perhaps moving the pick for a veteran could be their best move, but only if the right player becomes available.

Steve’s Notebook:

May the best man win. That’s how the second tier of point guards in the 2015 NBA Draft will play out.

The first two guards off the board will be D’Angelo Russell and Emmanual Mudiay – they are the 1A and 1B floor generals of this class.

The next bunch is basically the same quality of NBA player, with slightly different tool sets.

Jerian Grant looks to be more of a Kyle-Lowry-type guard at the next level. He’s bigger, stronger and slightly older than the rest of the bunch; not the typical point guard; more of a hybrid one-two type guard that’s proven.

Tyus Jones is the baby of the bunch. He’s young and a little more unproven than the rest, but has a lot of upside and could be a solid NBA point guard in time.

Cameron Payne is more of a scorer first. While he can certainly lead a team, he is a lot more like a Lou-Williams-type scoring guard with long arms and a tenacious, in-your-face kind of game.

Terry Rozier might be the most balanced of the bunch. He too is a hard-nosed player who’s good at either guard spot. His natural position is as a lead guard. He is great off the bounce and can score in bunches.

The problem NBA teams are going to face in figuring out an order for these guys is they are all sort of the same tier of player and none have a major flaw that should move them toward the back of the list.

This one really may come down to workouts. The best-case scenario is some head to heads, where each guy goes at each guy. However, that may not happen. The workout process has become so much about politics and working the system that a straight head-to-head match-up might not be allowed to happen by the players’ various agents.

This draft looks to have some interesting options for teams seeking a point guard and while the next tier may not have bona fide All-Stars, all four of these guys could be starters in the NBA or at least play a significant role on a team trying to win.

Who are these guys anyway? Steve Kyler is the Managing Editor and Publisher of Basketball Insiders and has covered the NBA for the last 17 seasons. Alex Kennedy is a Senior NBA Writer and Editor for Basketball Insiders and has covered the NBA for the last seven years. Yannis Koutroupis is a Senior Writer and NCAA Editor for Basketball Insiders and has covered basketball for the last nine years. Joel Brigham is a Senior NBA Writer and has covered the NBA for the last 10years.

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Mock Drafts

NBA Daily: 60-Pick NBA Mock Draft – 3/19/19

With the field of teams set for the 2019 NCAA March Madness tournament, things should get noisy over the next few weeks on the NBA Draft front. Steve Kyler offers up another 60-pick Mock Draft before all the zaniness begins.

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Let the Madness begin.

The basketball world will shift its attention to college basketball’s biggest stage over the next few weeks, especially this weekend’s opening round of 64.

While the tournament doesn’t necessarily make or break a player’s draft stock, this will be the first time some notable draft prospects will face elite talent and, more importantly, the pressure of the big stage. You can check out march madness predictions 2019 here.

Expect things in the draft world to start to percolate, not just because of the magnitude of the games, but also because a lot of NBA scouts will be in the same places, which is where the draft chatter originates.

Equally, a lot of NBA teams will watch games together in the conference rooms this week, so more group discussion on players will happen inside NBA teams’ front offices, and that could lead to new preference information flowing into the NBA Draft information bubble.

Here is this week’s 60-Pick Mock Draft, based on NBA games played through 3/18/19:

Here are the first-round picks that are owed and how those picks landed where they are.

The Atlanta Hawks are to receive the Cleveland Cavaliers’ first-round pick as a result of the Kyle Korver trade in 2017, which is top-10 protected. But based on the standings, it will not be conveyed.

The Boston Celtics are to receive the Memphis Grizzlies first-round pick as a result of the three-team Jeff Green trade in 2015; the pick is top-eight protected and, based on the current standings, would not convey.

The Atlanta Hawks are to receive the Dallas Mavericks first-round pick as a result of the Luka Dončić – Trae Young swap on draft night in 2018. The pick is top-five protected and, based on the standings, would convey.

The Boston Celtics are to receive the more favorable of either the Sacramento Kings or Philadelphia 76ers first-round picks as part of the Markelle Fultz pre-draft trade in 2017. Based on the current standings, the Kings pick is the more favorable and would convey to Boston.

The Boston Celtics are to receive the LA Clippers first-round pick as a result of the Deyonta Davis draft day trade with Memphis in 2016. The Grizzlies got the pick in their Jeff Green/Lance Stephenson deal at the deadline in 2016. The pick is lottery protected and, based on the current standings, would not convey.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are to receive the Houston Rockets first-round pick as a result of the three-team deadline deal that sent out Brandon Knight and Marquese Chriss.

The Brooklyn Nets are to receive the Denver Nuggets first-round pick as a result of the Kenneth Faried – Darrell Arthur trade in July 2018. The pick is top-12 protected and, based on the current standings, would convey.

The San Antonio Spurs are to receive the Toronto Raptors first-round pick as a result of the Kawhi Leonard – DeMar DeRozan trade in July 2018. The pick is top-20 protected and, based on the current standings, would convey.

The Phoenix Suns are to receive the Milwaukee Bucks first-round pick as a result of the Eric Bledsoe trade in 2017. The pick has top 3 and 17-30 protections, designed to yield a lottery-level pick to Phoenix. Based on the current standings this pick would not convey. If the debt is not settled this year, the pick in 2020 would be top-7 protected.

More Twitter: Make sure you are following all of our guys on Twitter to ensure you are getting the very latest from our team: @stevekylerNBA, @LangGreene, @EricPincus, @TommyBeer, @jblancartenba, @SpinDavies, @JamesB_NBA, @MattJohnNBA, @DrewMaresca, @JordanHicksNBA, and @Ben__Nadeau .

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Mock Drafts

NBA Daily: 60-Pick NBA Mock Draft – 3/12/19

The annual March Madness tournament gets underway next week, and draft hype will really start to rev up. Steve Kyler offers up another 2019 60-pick mock draft.

Steve Kyler

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Things are starting to heat up on the NBA Draft front specifically for those teams already eliminated or facing playoff elimination this week.

The 2019 March Madness Tournament kicks off next Tuesday with the “First Four,” and the major teams and players take the floor on March 21st and 22nd, which will ramp up draft talk and ranking speculation.

It’s important to state that while the NCAA Tournament brings a ton of visibility to players, it isn’t nearly the deciding factor some like to make it out to be. Most NBA teams have a good grasp on their top 100 players and have thoroughly scouted and investigated those players. The tournament stage often helps answer questions and assumptions, but usually, teams already have an idea of what players are going to be at the next level.

That’s not to say a bubble guy can’t push himself one way or the other with a strong or weak performance, but usually, the idea that the tournament can catapult a guy way up or way down typically is not the case. Most insiders will say a good tournament can help win over scouts and executives, but that a bad showing doesn’t necessarily hurt as much as you’d think, unless its an utter collapse. So be careful about tournament exuberance – the hype is never as real as you think, any more than the idea of draft stock declines.

There is some truth to this idea, a lot of NBA general managers – especially ones running winning teams – don’t spend as much time scouting as say teams looking at the lottery, so there is a chance for a player to catch a GM’s eye, especially players on non-major teams. The draft is littered with mid-major guys jumping into the discussion, but usually, it means more draft workouts.

Donte DiVincenzo helped himself tremendously last year, but it was his draft workouts that really sealed the deal for him. No one is drafting a guy on his tournament play. It’s way too big a decision for one weekend to make or break a player at the next level.

Here is this week’s Mock Draft:

Here are the first-round picks that are owed and how those picks landed where they are.

The Atlanta Hawks are to receive the Cleveland Cavaliers’ first-round pick as a result of the Kyle Korver trade in 2017, which is top-10 protected. But based on the standings, it will not be conveyed.

The Atlanta Hawks are to receive the Dallas Mavericks first-round pick as a result of the Luka Dončić – Trae Young swap on draft night in 2018. The pick is top-five protected and, based on the standings, would convey.

The Boston Celtics are to receive the Memphis Grizzlies first-round pick as a result of the three-team Jeff Green trade in 2015; the pick is top-eight protected and, based on the current standings, would not convey.

The Boston Celtics are to receive the more favorable of either the Sacramento Kings or Philadelphia 76ers first-round picks as part of the Markelle Fultz pre-draft trade in 2017. Based on the current standings, the Kings pick is the more favorable and would convey to Boston.

The Boston Celtics are to receive the LA Clippers first-round pick as a result of the Deyonta Davis draft day trade with Memphis in 2016. The Grizzlies got the pick in their Jeff Green/Lance Stephenson deal at the deadline in 2016. The pick is lottery protected and, based on the current standings, would not convey.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are to receive the Houston Rockets first-round pick as a result of the three-team deadline deal that sent out Brandon Knight and Marquese Chriss.

The Brooklyn Nets are to receive the Denver Nuggets first-round pick as a result of the Kenneth Faried – Darrell Arthur trade in July 2018. The pick is top-12 protected and, based on the current standings, would convey.

The San Antonio Spurs are to receive the Toronto Raptors first-round pick as a result of the Kawhi Leonard – DeMar DeRozan trade in July 2018. The pick is top-20 protected and, based on the current standings, would convey.

The Phoenix Suns are to receive the Milwaukee Bucks first-round pick as a result of the Eric Bledsoe trade in 2017. The pick has top 3 and 17-30 protections, designed to yield a lottery-level pick to Phoenix. Based on the current standings this pick would not convey. If the debt is not settled this year, the pick in 2020 would be top-7 protected.

More Twitter: Make sure you are following all of our guys on Twitter to ensure you are getting the very latest from our team: @stevekylerNBA, @LangGreene, @EricPincus, @TommyBeer, @jblancartenba, @SpinDavies, @JamesB_NBA, @MattJohnNBA, @DrewMaresca, @JordanHicksNBA, and @Ben__Nadeau .

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Mock Drafts

NBA Daily: 60-Pick NBA Mock Draft 3/5/19

With the college basketball season starting to wind down, the NBA Draft will play a bigger part of the NBA conversation, Steve Kyler offers up another 60-Pick NBA Mock Draft.

Steve Kyler

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As the college basketball regular season starts to wind down, and the March Madness Tournament starts to rev up, the 2019 NBA Draft will play a bigger and bigger role in the NBA conversation, especially with NBA teams already eliminated from the postseason (sorry Phoenix).

The Basketball Insiders Top 100 has had its biggest update of the season (http://www.basketballinsiders.com/top-100-nba-draft-prospects/), which means this week’s Mock Draft reflects some of the biggest moves so far.

It’s important to note that the Mock Draft process is not meant to be a direct reflection of the Top 100 prospects. While the top of every draft reflects the top guys, as the draft plays out, many teams – especially those with multiple picks will start to use those picks for the future – meaning draft and stash scenarios come into play.

Also, keep in mind some picks are safer bets than others, even safer than betting on the Final Four.

With that in mind, here is how this week’s Mock Draft played out:

There are a number of first-round picks that are owed. Here is how those picks landed where they are.

The Atlanta Hawks are to receive the Cleveland Cavaliers’ first-round pick as a result of the Kyle Korver trade in 2017, which is top-10 protected. But based on the standings, it will not be conveyed.

The Boston Celtics are to receive the Memphis Grizzlies first-round pick as a result of the three-team Jeff Green trade in 2015; the pick is top-eight protected and, based on the current standings, would not convey.

The Atlanta Hawks are to receive the Dallas Mavericks first-round pick as a result of the Luka Dončić – Trae Young swap on draft night in 2018. The pick is top-five protected and, based on the standings, would convey.

The Boston Celtics are to receive the more favorable of either the Sacramento Kings or Philadelphia 76ers first-round picks as part of the Markelle Fultz pre-draft trade in 2017. Based on the current standings, the Kings pick is the more favorable and would convey to Boston.

The Boston Celtics are to receive the LA Clippers first-round pick as a result of the Deyonta Davis draft day trade with Memphis in 2016. The Grizzlies got the pick in their Jeff Green/Lance Stephenson deal at the deadline in 2016. The pick is lottery protected and, based on the current standings, would not convey.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are to receive the Houston Rockets first-round pick as a result of the three-team deadline deal that sent out Brandon Knight and Marquese Chriss.

The Brooklyn Nets are to receive the Denver Nuggets first-round pick as a result of the Kenneth Faried – Darrell Arthur trade in July 2018. The pick is top-12 protected and, based on the current standings, would convey.

The San Antonio Spurs are to receive the Toronto Raptors first-round pick as a result of the Kawhi Leonard – DeMar DeRozan trade in July 2018. The pick is top-20 protected and, based on the current standings, would convey.

The Phoenix Suns are to receive the Milwaukee Bucks first-round pick as a result of the Eric Bledsoe trade in 2017. The pick has top 3 and 17-30 protections, designed to yield a lottery-level pick to Phoenix. Based on the current standings this pick would not convey. If the debt is not settled this year, the pick in 2020 would be top-7 protected.

More Twitter: Make sure you are following all of our guys on Twitter to ensure you are getting the very latest from our team: @stevekylerNBA, @LangGreene, @EricPincus, @TommyBeer, @jblancartenba, @SpinDavies, @JamesB_NBA, @MattJohnNBA, @DrewMaresca, @JordanHicksNBA, and @Ben__Nadeau .

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