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Ranking the NBA’s Atlantic Division

Tommy Beer examines the reshuffled Atlantic Division and ranks each team from worst to first.

Tommy Beer



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The team here at Basketball Insiders has previously ranked the Pacific, Central, Southwest and Southeast divisions.

Today, Tommy Beer examines the reshuffled Atlantic Division and ranks each team from worst to first.

#5 – Philadelphia 76ers (18-64 last season)

Key Additions: Nik Stauskas, Carl Landry, Jason Thompson, Jahlil Okafor, J.P. Tokoto

Key Subtractions: Luc Mbah a Moute, Jason Richardson, Thomas Robinson

The Sixers’ offseason got off to a great start when they were able to add future star Jahlil Okafor in the draft. GM Sam Hinkie then somehow persuaded the Kings to trade Nik Stauskas (the No. 8 overall pick in the 2014 draft), a future (protected) first-round pick and the right to swap first-round picks in two future drafts in exchange for the Sixers taking on the salaries of Carl Landry and Jason Thompson. It was a terrific deal for Philly, as they continue to stockpile assets. Philadelphia sat on the sidelines during free agency, but the offseason would still have certainly been considered a success.

However, the 76ers organization was dealt a major blow when doctors determined that prized prospect Joel Embiid would have to undergo yet another foot surgery that would likely keep him out for the entire 2015-16 season. Embiid was a crucial centerpiece of the 76ers’ rebuilding project. It remains to be seen if he will ever be anything close to the player the Sixers hoped they would be getting when they drafted him No. 3 overall last June. Hinkie will encourage fans to “trust the process,” but Philly is looking at another loss-filled season in the Atlantic basement.

#3 – Brooklyn Nets (38-44 last season)

Key Additions: Wayne Ellington, Willie Green, Andrea Bargnani, Thomas Robinson, Shane Larkin, Chris McCullough, Rondae Hollis-Jefferson

Key Subtractions: Mason Plumlee, Deron Williams, Alan Anderson, Mirza Teletovic, Jerome Jordan

Hard to believe, but it was just two years ago that the Nets went “all in” to make a run at an NBA championship by trading away three future first-round draft picks (2014, 2016, 2018) and the right to swap picks in 2017 to the Boston Celtics in exchange for aging veterans Paul Pierce, Kevin Garnett and Jason Terry. Now, the Nets find themselves in the unenviable position of being forced to pare down their payroll in hopes of avoiding an exorbitant luxury tax bill. To that end, Brooklyn agreed to a buy-out with former all-star PG Deron Williams (who subsequently signed with the Mavericks).

They did, however, re-sign Brook Lopez and Thaddeus Young, and brought in Wayne Ellington, Willie Green, Andrea Bargnani, Thomas Robinson and Shane Larkin on affordable, short-term deals.

One curious move made by GM Billy King was trading away young big man Mason Plumlee, who was viewed as a piece of the Nets foundation this time last year (as Plumlee was playing for Team USA). It was surprising to see how little Brooklyn got back in return when they traded him (Plumlee was dealt to Portland, along with the Nets second-round pick, in exchange for the rights to Rondae Hollis-Jefferson, the 23rd overall pick in the 2015 draft). Plumlee finished the 2014-15 season second on the Nets in steals and blocks, and led the team in field goal percentage and defensive rebounds. In addition, Plumlee is still on his rookie deal, which pays just $ 1.4 million next season, $2.3 million in 2016-17 and $3.3 million in 2017-18. Lastly, Brooklyn now has precious little depth behind starting center Brook Lopez, who is notoriously injury prone.

It is likely safe to assume the Nets will take a step back after losing their play-making point guard and versatile big. Will it be a significant step back, or will they be able to stay put and remain in the postseason picture once again?

#3 – New York Knicks (17-65 last season)

Key Additions: Robin Lopez, Arron Afflalo, Kyle O’Quinn, Derrick Williams, Kristaps Porzingis, Jerian Grant

Key Subtractions: Tim Hardaway Jr., Jason Smith, Cole Aldrich, Shane Larkin, Andrea Bargnani, Alexey Shved

The Knicks will be better this upcoming season, if – for no other reason – it’d be almost impossible for them to be worse.

The 2014-15 campaign was an absolute nightmare for New York. Everything that could have gone wrong did.

Next season, the biggest addition will be the return of a healthy Carmelo Anthony. Adding one of the game’s elite scorers should obviously bolster an offense that failed to consistently put points on the board. The Knicks also brought in $96 million worth of free agents. Robin Lopez is a defensive-minded big man who should be able to cover up for ‘Melo and New York’s other inferior defenders. Arron Afflalo is coming off a disappointing season, but the Knicks were able to sign the proven vet at an affordable rate on a short-term deal. Kyle O’Quinn was locked up for just $16 million over four seasons and should contribute on both ends of the floor. The Williams signing was questionable, as the former No. 2 overall pick has yet to distinguish himself during his short NBA career. (For a full, in-depth recap of the Knicks 2015 offseason, click here).

The No. 4 overall pick in this draft, 19-year old Kristaps Porzingis, oozes potential, but it would be unfair to expect much from him initially. Obtaining Jerian Grant in exchange for Tim Hardway Jr. was a smart trade by Phil Jackson, as the Knicks needed to upgrade the point guard position. Grant, who spent five years at Notre Dame, should be able to play and produce right away.

It’s not impossible to think that New York could at least be in contention for the eighth seed in a watered-down Eastern Conference.

 #2 – Boston Celtics (40-42 last season)

Key Additions: David Lee, Amir Johnson, Perry Jones, Terry Rozier, R.J. Hunter, Jordan Mickey, Marcus Thornton

Key Subtractions: Brandon Bass, Luigi Datome

The draft probably didn’t play out the way Danny Ainge would have preferred (Boston tried to trade up to get Justise Winslow); however, they brought in Amir Johnson from Toronto on a bargain two-year contract (with a player option for year two), retained restricted free agent Jae Crowder (an offseason priority) and re-signed Jonas Jerebko to a cap-friendly two-year deal.

The most interesting move the Celtics made this summer was trading for David Lee. Lee was buried on the bench on an ultra-deep Warriors team last season and Golden State needed to move him because of his salary. However, Lee is just one year removed from averaging 18.2 points (while shooting 52.3 percent from the floor) and 9.3 rebounds. In fact, Lee is the only player in the NBA to average at least 18 points, 11 rebounds and three assists in two separate NBA seasons this decade.  Can he return to form and post those monster offensive numbers in Beantown?

The C’s improved their frontcourt and already boast a strong nucleus of athletic, exciting guards (Marcus Smart, Isaiah Thomas, Avery Bradley). Can this group grow and take that next step next season?

#1 Toronto Raptors (49-33 last season)

Key Additions: DeMarre Carroll, Cory Joseph, Bismack Biyombo, Luis Scola, Delon Wright, Norman Powell

Key Subtractions: Lou Williams, Amir Johnson, Landry Fields, Greg Stiemsma, Tyler Hansbrough 

The Raptors lost a couple of solid contributors in Amir Johnson and reigning Sixth Man of the Year Lou Williams. However, they successfully restocked the shelves via a few key free agent signings.

Toronto jumped on DeMarre Carroll at the very beginning of free agency. Although $60 million was a heavy contract to hand out, Carroll is an excellent all-around player who can produce points and is also a top-tier perimeter defender. Cory Joseph is another player who earned a more lucrative payday than many expected, but the upside is significant. Joseph hasn’t had much of an opportunity to showcase his skills playing in San Antonio, but will get a chance to shine north of the border. Bismack Biyombo hadn’t done much during most of his NBA career, but showed signs of life this past season, particularly late in the year. Over the Charlotte Hornets’ final 11 games, Biyombo is averaged 7.0 points, 8.7 rebounds and 2.4 blocks, while shooting 54.5 percent from the floor. A rim-protecting big is always a valuable commodity, and he should fit in well in Toronto where he won’t be asked to do anything outside his comfort zone.

The Raptors have captured the Atlantic Division crown in each of the past two seasons and they will be the heavy favorites to make it three straight heading into 2015-16.

Tommy Beer is a Senior NBA Analyst and the Fantasy Sports Editor of Basketball Insiders, having covered the NBA for the last nine seasons.


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Looking Toward The Draft: Power Forwards

Basketball Insiders continues their NBA Draft watch, this time with the power forwards.

David Yapkowitz



We got some updated NBA draft news this week when the league announced that several key dates have been pushed back including the draft, the start of free agency and the beginning of the 2020-21 season.

The 2020 draft was originally scheduled for Oct. 16, but it will now likely occur sometime in November. Obviously, with the COVID-19 pandemic still wildly out of control in the United States, all of these potential deadlines are fluid and subject to change.

With that said, we’re continuing our position by position breakdown here at Basketball Insiders of some of the top 2020 draft prospects. We looked at the point guards and shooting guards last week, and this week we’re covering the small forwards and power forwards.

The power forward crop, like the draft overall, doesn’t appear to be as strong as recent years, that doesn’t mean there aren’t potential contributors and high-level NBA players available, as well as one who might just turn out to be a star-caliber player.

Onyeka Okongwu, USC – 19 years old

Okongwu is the player who just might develop into a star on some level. He was actually underrated in high school and was snubbed for a McDonald’s All-American selection his senior year. He established himself early on at USC as the team’s best player as a freshman and now appears to have turned some heads.

He’s been mentioned as a lottery pick and in some mock drafts, he’s top 4-5. He possesses a great all-around skill-set; he can score in the post, he can put the ball on the floor and attack and he can shoot. But perhaps his biggest attribute is his versatility on the defensive end. He’s got quick feet and mobility and can guard multiple positions.

Okongwu might actually play center in the NBA, especially in small-ball lineups, but he’s mostly played power forward and so he’ll probably see time there in the league. His skill-set fits perfectly with today’s game.

Obi Toppin, Dayton – 22 years old

Toppin is one of the older players in the draft, and in recent history, players that age tend to slip on draft boards. In Toppin’s case, it looks like the reverse might actually be true. He’s been projected as a lottery pick, and even going in the top 3.

He’s an incredibly athletic player who thrives in the open court. He looks like he’ll do well in an up-tempo offensive system that has capable playmakers who can find him in transition. He’s extremely active around the rim and he can finish strong. A decent shooter too, something he’ll need at the next level.

Toppin has the physical tools to be an effective defensive player, but that’s where the questions marks on him have been. In the NBA, he’s likely going to have to play and guard multiple positions. Whether or not he can adapt to that likely will answer the question as to what his ceiling can be.

Precious Achiuwa, Memphis – 20 years old

Achiuwa is another intriguing prospect. this writer actually got to watch him play in person while he was in high school and he was very impressive. He looked like a man among boys. He’s projected to be a late lottery pick.

He has an NBA-ready body and he’s got some toughness around the rim and in the paint. He was a double-double threat during his one season at Memphis and his knack for rebounding is something that should translate to the NBA. He’s a very good defender too, in particular, as a rim protector. He’s very quick and has the ability to guard multiple positions.

One of the main knocks on Achiuwa is his shooting ability. He didn’t shoot that well in college and power forwards being able to space the floor is almost a requirement in today’s NBA game. It’s something he can certainly work on and improve on though.

Honorable Mentions:
Paul Reed, DePaul – 21 years old
Xavier Tillman, Michigan State – 21 years old
Killian Tillie, Gonzaga – 22 years old

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Looking Toward the Draft: Small Forwards

Basketball Insiders’ examination of the 2020 draft class continues with a look at the small forwards.

Drew Maresca



It was announced on Wednesday that the NBA Draft would be delayed from Oct. 16 to Nov. 18. The rationale is that the extra month gives the league and its players association more time to negotiate changes to the CBA. It also grants teams additional time to procure information on prospects and allows the NBA to establish regional virtual combines. But nothing is set in stone.

Still, draft prep must continue. This year’s draft class has more question marks than usual – which was complicated by the cancellation of the NCAA tournament (along with the NIT and a number of conference tournaments). There are incredibly skilled offensive players with limited offensive upside and jaw-droppingly talented defenders with incomplete offensive packages. But if (recent) history serves as a guide, there will be a few guys who make an immediate impact – and some of them very well could be small forwards.

The small forward position is key for the modern NBA. Want proof? Survey the league and you’ll find that most – if not all – contenders have an elite small forward – Milwaukee, Los Angeles (both), Boston, Miami, Toronto.

But the list of can’t miss small forward prospects feels smaller than usual. Scanning the numerous legitimate mock drafts (including our own by Steve Kyler), it becomes apparent that we lack a consensus on which small forwards will be selected (and in what order) after the top 3 or 4. Can any of them grow into a star? Maybe. Maybe not. But before we get too far ahead of ourselves, let’s identify what the top few bring to the table.

Deni Avdija, Israel – 19 years old

Avdija is a relatively well-rounded prospect who’s played professionally since he was 16. He boasts good height (6-foot-9) and uses it effectively to shoot over and pass around opposing defenses. Further, Avdija is an exceptional playmaker and he’s incredibly confident, enabling him to take chances many players would be apprehensive trying. Avdija is a high-IQ player. And what’s more, he’s a surprisingly strong defender. His height and above-average athleticism allow him to block shots, and he’s more physical than you’d expect him to be.

But there are drawbacks to Avdija, too. His main issue is around shooting. Avdija shot only 28% in the EuroLeague last season, and he shot only 60% from the free-throw line. Further, while he’s a decent athlete, he’ll struggle to secure a role in the NBA. He’s going to need to add speed to stay with modern wings, and he’ll also have to bulk up to bang with power forwards.

Still, Avdija’s upside is alluring. He’s only 19, and his smarts, confidence and grittiness should provide him cover for much of his rookie season. Avdija should be the first small forward off of the board.

Isaac Okoro, Auburn – 19 years old

Avdija might be the flashier name currently, but Okoro will give him a run for his money in terms of which small forward is first off the board. Okoro is built like a traditional NBA wing; he’s 6-foot-6 with good strength packed in his muscular frame (215 lbs). Okoro finishes well around the rim and he converts well through contact. He’s an exceptional athlete who excels catching the ball on the move. Like Avdija, Okoro has the poise and composure of a more experienced player. Also, like Avdija, Okoro looked the part of a high IQ player in his lone season at Auburn.

And while all that is great, the main allure of Okoro is his defense. He’s a fairly advanced defender given his age, and his athleticism and timing make him an effective weak side help defender.

While Okoro’s raw abilities are exquisite, his refined offensive skills leave something to be desired. Okoro shot 28 percent on three-point field goals and he struggled from the free-throw line (67.2 percent). His mid-range jump shot also needs work, and he struggles in isolation situations.

If Okoro can hone his offensive game, he could grow into an All-Star. He has the ability to guard multiple positions, and his strength and athleticism give him a leg up on most prospects. But even if he doesn’t become an All-Star, he possesses a fairly high floor given his defensive abilities — and the guy definitely fills the state sheet (12.9 points, 4.4 rebounds, 2.0 assists, .9 steals and .9 blocks). He has lockdown defender potential and he’ll put his stamp on the game beginning on night one.

Devin Vassell, Florida State – 20 years old

Vassell played two seasons at Florida State, but he came into his own in his Sophomore season. He averaged 12.7 points, 5.1 rebounds, 1.6 assists, 1.4 steals and 1.0 blocks per game. He shot a more than respectable 41.5% on three-point attempts, and he demonstrated a strong stroke from the free-throw line (73.8 percent) and on two-point field goal attempts (53.2).

Vassell is an extremely athletic leaper, who can rise up for a highlight dunk and sprint down the floor with ease. He has good body control and demonstrated a strong mid-range game, especially his step-back jump shot. But Vassell must generate more free throws through decisive moves to the hoop, which would be bolstered by a more muscular frame. Additionally, he must improve his ball-handling to get more from isolations.

Vassell will have an adjustment period in terms of scoring the ball at the next level. Fortunately, his defense and shooting should get him by. If he can bulk up and improve his handling, Vassell could grow into a serious player.

Aaron Nesmith, Vanderbilt – 20 years old

Nesmith probably has a lower floor than any of the other top small forward prospects given that he’ll be 21 by the draft. Still, he looked quite good in his Junior year, averaging 23 points, 4.9 rebounds and 1.4 steals per game on a scorching 52.2 percent shooting from deep. Nesmith is an incredibly gifted shooter who has impressive range. His ability to catch-and-shoot and create space with fakes makes him a promising prospect – for the right team.

Nesmith is a high IQ player who uses his smarts on the defensive end. He’s also quite strong, can get buckets in the open floor and demonstrates above average ball-handling skills, as long as he’s not taking the ball to the hoop.

But there are inherent limitations in Nesmith’s game. He’s doesn’t create for his teammates too effectively and he turns the ball over more frequently than one would like with. Further, Nesmith is plagued by robotic movements that limit his athleticism. His ball-handling breaks down when taking the ball to the rack – something he’ll certainly have to work on in the NBA if he wants to be a versatile scoring threat against the bigger and stronger competition.

Still, Nesmith’s positives give him an excellent chance at being selected in the first round. His range alone will intrigue teams in need of a shooter.

Honorable Mentions:

Saddiq Bey, Villanova – 21 years old

Jaden McDaniels, Washington – 19 years old

Robert Woodard II, Mississippi State – 20 years old

With the uncertainty around small forward prospects, expect to see a revolving door of names enter the discussion after the first four wing prospects are off the board prior to Nov. 16 – assuming the draft is held then. But regardless of how you have them ranked, all of the aforementioned prospects have question marks. But all have had far more time to improve than they would have in years’ past. Let’s hope that shows come next season.

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NBA Daily: Opposite Plotlines for Today’s Matchups

With the two matchups going on today, Matt John examines the two teams who could be in the most trouble because of one of their individual stars for opposite reasons.

Matt John



The second round of the NBA playoffs was hyped up to be one of the most entertaining we’ve had in years. So far, they haven’t fallen short of expectations. We knew that Houston and Los Angeles’ battle of opposite philosophies would make for some twists and turns. We knew that Boston and Toronto would duke it out in an Atlantic Division showdown. We knew that Miami would push Milwaukee to new heights. We didn’t really know if the Nuggets would give the Clippers a good series, but the fact that they have so far has made an intense postseason all the more gripping.

Anyway, today we’re getting two games from two series in completely opposite places. The Lakers and the Rockets will face off for the series lead, while the HEAT will try to finish off the Bucks once and for all. Below, we’re going to focus on two teams who have an individual star that either may be more flawed than we thought or one that may not be as flawed as we thought.

Bucks vs. HEAT: Giannis is great and all, but…

We all pretty much knew this was going to be a good series. We did not expect this.

The buzz surrounding Bucks v. HEAT was that Miami was going to make Milwaukee earn every win they got in this series. If that was the plan, then Miami has failed miserably, because until Khris Middleton went supernova on them on Sunday, Milwaukee had come up terribly short.

Let’s first give Miami the credit that they are due and more. With Bam Adebayo and Jimmy Butler alone, Miami was going to be a tough matchup for Milwaukee – but to see the Bucks all but roll over in this series is an unpleasant sight. Acquiring Jae Crowder and Andre Iguodala has paid huge dividends and it’s showing. There are other factors involved, but Miami’s defensive efforts have limited Giannis to 21.8 points a game and that’s played a role in the HEAT being in the driver’s seat of this series.

Speaking of Giannis Antetokounmpo, this series has not been a good look for the Defensive Player of the Year. Especially since it looks like his second consecutive MVP (presumably) is right around the corner. So, to see both him and Milwaukee, once an unstoppable force without an immovable object in sight, get stopped by a sturdy but not immovable squad is saddening.

Nearly a year ago, Basketball Insiders compared these current Bucks to the Dwight Howard-led Orlando Magic from the late-2000’s/early 2010’s. To oversimplify things, both were contenders led by a superstar with a rare physique that made them tough to stop. To put the superstar in the best position, they surrounded them with playmakers and three-point shooters.

While the teams’ roster constructions weren’t exactly the same, their strengths as a team certainly were. Now we’re seeing the Bucks’ flaws just as we did the Magic 10 years ago. If you have the personnel to make the lone superstar uncomfortable, the team doesn’t function as well.

Giannis is near impossible to stop, but the one major flaw is that if you take away his ability to drive and force him into a jumper, he loses his rhythm. Even if his shot is on – never a guarantee – his opponents will let him beat them that way until he makes them pay. Hardly any team can pick on this, but the HEAT are one of them, and now they’re one win away from their first Eastern Conference Finals since LeBron James took his talents out of South Beach.

This ultimately is what puts Antetokounmpo below the likes of LeBron James and Kawhi Leonard for now. Those guys are rare physical specimens like him, but their elite games don’t revolve entirely around their natural gifts as he does or Dwight did. At 25 years old, there’s plenty of time for him to change that and, for all we know, he will, but to see him struggle at a time when the conference was supposed to run through him has ignited tons of questions.

Milwaukee’s technically not out yet, but they’ve shown their mortality against Miami. If this really is it for them, then they’ve got to find a quick fix for this problem because if they don’t, then the unspeakable may happen.

Lakers vs. Rockets: Westbrook has been bad and all but…

Shaking off the rust and recovering from a balky knee would be tough for anyone. For Russell Westbrook, it’s killing his productivity and, in turn, the Rockets’ playoff chances. He’s averaging 15.6 points on 39/16/47 splits with a most recent 10-point, 4-of-15 effort from the field which included seven turnovers and air balling wide-open threes sticking out like a sore thumb.

It also doesn’t help that he’s playing the Lakers of all teams. When Westbrook has been in, the Lakers have taken advantage of his shortcomings offensively and it shows both on the court and the stat line.

Most of Westbrook’s damage is hurting Houston on the offensive end. With the All-Star guard in the game, Houston is minus-13.7 with him on the court, the worst offensive rating on the team. The 12 turnovers he’s coughed up in this series probably have something to do with that.

With Westbrook’s struggles and his predecessor Chris Paul coming off of his best individual season since 2016, this, of course, has led to many second-guessing the swap last summer. Or let’s rephrase that: People have been second-guessing that trade since the moment it was announced and, in light of recent events, they’re piling on now more than ever.

Maybe they’re right. Even after playing in the NBA for over a decade now, Westbrook still hasn’t proven that he can control himself enough to reach his potential as a team player. We’ve seen glimpses. On the other hand, Paul showed that he can still pick apart defenses while holding his own on that end.

But replacing Paul with Westbrook was Harden’s idea. He didn’t want to play with Paul anymore and chose to play with one of his closest friends. You may think that the better fit is what’s best for the team, but we’ve seen the damage that can happen when your team’s best players have friction with one another. It hurt Utah this season. It hurt Boston last season. It destroyed the Lakers back in 2013. There’s no telling what it could have done to Houston this season.

Besides, we know that as bad as Westbrook has been, he’s capable of being better. Not a knockdown shooter, not even an efficient scorer, but he has done better in the past when the focus was on him. The more days he takes to shake off the rust from his knee, the more optimistic the Rockets ought to be.

The Rockets have to take the glass-half-full on this one because they don’t really have a choice otherwise.

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