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Mock Drafts

2015 NBA Mock Draft: Consensus Ver 4.0

Each week, four of Basketball Insiders’ top writers will break down the 2015 NBA Draft, including a revised Mock Draft based on the latest information.

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Each week, four of Basketball Insiders’ top writers will break down the latest news and notes surrounding the 2015 NBA Draft. Included is a revised Mock Draft that reflects how each writer sees the draft landscape based on the latest news, workouts and information from in and around the process.

Here is Consensus Version 4.0:

Previous Version:  1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0

Moke’s Notebook: Now that the draft order has been set, there are two names that I would certainly keep in my mind as having the potential to blow things up, dramatically: Kristaps Porzingis and Julius Randle.

Like Dante Exum last year, Porzingis is looked upon as an international man of mystery, with some scouts and executives believing he can break into the draft’s top three. While that is difficult to imagine, the consensus top four being broken into could have ripple affects throughout the first round.

As it relates to Randle, assume for a moment that the Los Angeles Lakers want to fully commit to him. Would that make them reluctant to draft either Karl-Anthony Towns or Jahlil Okafor with the second overall pick? Would a point guard cut from the mold of Emmanuel Mudiay or D’Angelo Russell make more sense for the franchise? These are questions that will be answered between now and the draft.

I was around when Charlie Villanueva, Stephen Curry, Dion Waiters and even Dante Exum landed in places we didn’t expect them to, and what I would bet on, above all, is that there will be at least two or three names that surprise us this June. Based on what we know today, Okafor, Towns, Mudiay and Russell are the consensus top four players, but rules (and mock drafts) were made to be broken.

Joel’s Notebook: Every year there’s a player who unexpectedly sneaks up the board and finds himself among the top five picks of the draft. Last year it was Aaron Gordon in Orlando, but in previous years we’ve seen Anthony Bennett, Dion Waiters and Tristan Thompson all be surprise top-five picks by the Cavaliers.

This year, it looks like there’s a pretty solid top-four in Karl-Anthony Towns, Jahlil Okafor, Emmanuel Mudiay and D’Angelo Russell, but the Magic are once again in a bit of a mysterious spot at No. 5. I’ve had Justise Winslow there since we started doing these mock drafts because I think he’s going to be a stellar two-way pro. I just can’t see him missing as an NBA stud. But just because I feel that way doesn’t mean Orlando will, and there are plenty of other kids available to them there that they could take a gamble on.

Willie Cauley-Stein wouldn’t be a huge surprise considering the value of rim protectors in today’s NBA. But one of the Euro kids – Kristaps Porzingis or Mario Hezonja – would be genuinely surprising there, even though Orlando can afford to grab a project like one of those players and wait for them to blossom with the rest of the roster.

I tend to lean toward Myles Turner as the guy who ends up getting drafted way higher than any of us expect. He didn’t have a great freshman season at Texas, particularly after coming out of high school so highly-touted, but he’s a huge, athletic kid with as much potential as anybody else in the draft. His ceiling is considerably higher than Cauley-Stein’s, for example, and teams are going to figure that out during the workout/interview process. He’s a likeable kid with so much ahead of him, and when one compares that to Gordon, Waiters, Thompson and Bennett, it’s the same kind of thing that got all of them drafted earlier than expected.

Turner’s not incredibly high on draft boards yet, and he may not go No. 5 to Orlando, but he seems surprisingly reasonable in the six-to-nine range.

Alex’s Notebook: For the first three versions of the Consensus Mock Draft, I had Jahlil Okafor at the top of my board. Now, I have moved Karl-Anthony Towns into the No. 1 spot.

While I still believe that Okafor is the better prospect (and I explained why here), some of the comments made by Minnesota Timberwolves president of basketball operations and head coach Flip Saunders made me think that they’re leaning toward Towns.

Immediately after winning the lottery, Saunders said on a conference call with reporters that the Timberwolves want their top overall pick to fit into an up-tempo system (which makes a lot of sense for them with Andrew Wiggins, Zach LaVine and Ricky Rubio among others part of the long-term plan).

“I think both [Okafor and Towns] are going to be All-Star type players, but I think when we look at anybody that we look at in the draft, it’s about how they will fit in with the players that we have, what their dynamic is and how we want to play,” Saunders said. “We feel that with Wiggins and with LaVine, that we can be an up-tempo team.”

That seems to suggest that Towns will be the pick, as he is the more athletic of the two prospects and seems like he could be more of a threat running the floor. Towns’ defense could also help him here, as Minnesota already has Wiggins – a very good perimeter defender – and may want to go with the better two-way player to build a very good defense rather than going with the better offensive prospect.

Okafor is the player to go with if you want the center who will be great in a half-court offense and who can make things happen with touches in the paint since he has great post moves, footwork, etc. The Los Angeles Lakers (a HUGE winner on lottery night) may land him with second overall pick and could have a very scary frontcourt for years to come with Okafor and last year’s first-round pick Julius Randle.

And honestly, it’s very possible that Okafor and Towns will both be eyeing the bright lights and huge market of Los Angeles and prefer (or at least not exactly mind) going No. 2 overall.

Steve’s Notebook: So now we know the order of the draft. Barring a blow-out workout or some kind of undisclosed injury, Karl-Anthony Towns likely becomes the top overall pick. There was a sense that Towns was likely the top pick prior to the lottery, but with Minnesota in control it’s almost a lock.

Sources close to the process had pegged Towns as the Timberwolves’ top target for most of the season. The only variable is if Towns is somehow red flagged.

That leaves the Los Angeles Lakers with a tough choice at No. 2. Do they take the best player (Jahlil Okafor) or do they go with the guy they had pegged at No.5 (Willie Cauley-Stein) or do they start trying to line up trade scenarios? The beauty of the second pick is there isn’t nearly as much external pressure to keep it, so moving around and trying to extract more than one asset out of the pick is possible.

Landing the third pick was something of a blessing for the Philadelphia 76ers as they get the first choice after the big guys are gone. This likely puts D’Angelo Russell, Emmanuel Mudiay and Kristaps Porzingis squarely in the mix for the third overall pick.

Sitting at No. 4, the New York Knicks can now draft the player they were said to covet after Towns, and that’s Cauley-Stein. The Knicks spent enough time on the Kentucky campus this season to qualify for summer classes, so they are extremely familiar with the Kentucky guys and Cauley-Stein at four is a real possibility. The wrinkle is Russell and Mudiay. If Russell is on the board at four, the Knicks may grab him. But if it comes down to Cauley-Stein and Mudiay, the Knicks may go with the defensive big man and pass on Mudiay.

The draft lottery finally rewarded the worst overall team with the top pick, which hadn’t happened prior to yesterday since 2004.

And if you did not see it yet, the NBA posted the entire lottery drawing process after the ESPN telecast, which you can find here.

Who are these guys anyway? Steve Kyler is the Managing Editor and Publisher of Basketball Insiders and has covered the NBA for the last 17 seasons. Alex Kennedy is a Senior NBA Writer and Editor for Basketball Insiders and has covered the NBA for the last seven years. Moke Hamilton is a Senior Writer for Basketball Insiders and has covered basketball for the last five years. Joel Brigham is a Senior NBA Writer and has covered the NBA for the last 10 years.

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Mock Drafts

NBA Daily: 60-Pick NBA Mock Draft – 3/19/19

With the field of teams set for the 2019 NCAA March Madness tournament, things should get noisy over the next few weeks on the NBA Draft front. Steve Kyler offers up another 60-pick Mock Draft before all the zaniness begins.

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Let the Madness begin.

The basketball world will shift its attention to college basketball’s biggest stage over the next few weeks, especially this weekend’s opening round of 64.

While the tournament doesn’t necessarily make or break a player’s draft stock, this will be the first time some notable draft prospects will face elite talent and, more importantly, the pressure of the big stage. You can check out march madness predictions 2019 here.

Expect things in the draft world to start to percolate, not just because of the magnitude of the games, but also because a lot of NBA scouts will be in the same places, which is where the draft chatter originates.

Equally, a lot of NBA teams will watch games together in the conference rooms this week, so more group discussion on players will happen inside NBA teams’ front offices, and that could lead to new preference information flowing into the NBA Draft information bubble.

Here is this week’s 60-Pick Mock Draft, based on NBA games played through 3/18/19:

Here are the first-round picks that are owed and how those picks landed where they are.

The Atlanta Hawks are to receive the Cleveland Cavaliers’ first-round pick as a result of the Kyle Korver trade in 2017, which is top-10 protected. But based on the standings, it will not be conveyed.

The Boston Celtics are to receive the Memphis Grizzlies first-round pick as a result of the three-team Jeff Green trade in 2015; the pick is top-eight protected and, based on the current standings, would not convey.

The Atlanta Hawks are to receive the Dallas Mavericks first-round pick as a result of the Luka Dončić – Trae Young swap on draft night in 2018. The pick is top-five protected and, based on the standings, would convey.

The Boston Celtics are to receive the more favorable of either the Sacramento Kings or Philadelphia 76ers first-round picks as part of the Markelle Fultz pre-draft trade in 2017. Based on the current standings, the Kings pick is the more favorable and would convey to Boston.

The Boston Celtics are to receive the LA Clippers first-round pick as a result of the Deyonta Davis draft day trade with Memphis in 2016. The Grizzlies got the pick in their Jeff Green/Lance Stephenson deal at the deadline in 2016. The pick is lottery protected and, based on the current standings, would not convey.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are to receive the Houston Rockets first-round pick as a result of the three-team deadline deal that sent out Brandon Knight and Marquese Chriss.

The Brooklyn Nets are to receive the Denver Nuggets first-round pick as a result of the Kenneth Faried – Darrell Arthur trade in July 2018. The pick is top-12 protected and, based on the current standings, would convey.

The San Antonio Spurs are to receive the Toronto Raptors first-round pick as a result of the Kawhi Leonard – DeMar DeRozan trade in July 2018. The pick is top-20 protected and, based on the current standings, would convey.

The Phoenix Suns are to receive the Milwaukee Bucks first-round pick as a result of the Eric Bledsoe trade in 2017. The pick has top 3 and 17-30 protections, designed to yield a lottery-level pick to Phoenix. Based on the current standings this pick would not convey. If the debt is not settled this year, the pick in 2020 would be top-7 protected.

More Twitter: Make sure you are following all of our guys on Twitter to ensure you are getting the very latest from our team: @stevekylerNBA, @LangGreene, @EricPincus, @TommyBeer, @jblancartenba, @SpinDavies, @JamesB_NBA, @MattJohnNBA, @DrewMaresca, @JordanHicksNBA, and @Ben__Nadeau .

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Mock Drafts

NBA Daily: 60-Pick NBA Mock Draft – 3/12/19

The annual March Madness tournament gets underway next week, and draft hype will really start to rev up. Steve Kyler offers up another 2019 60-pick mock draft.

Steve Kyler

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Things are starting to heat up on the NBA Draft front specifically for those teams already eliminated or facing playoff elimination this week.

The 2019 March Madness Tournament kicks off next Tuesday with the “First Four,” and the major teams and players take the floor on March 21st and 22nd, which will ramp up draft talk and ranking speculation.

It’s important to state that while the NCAA Tournament brings a ton of visibility to players, it isn’t nearly the deciding factor some like to make it out to be. Most NBA teams have a good grasp on their top 100 players and have thoroughly scouted and investigated those players. The tournament stage often helps answer questions and assumptions, but usually, teams already have an idea of what players are going to be at the next level.

That’s not to say a bubble guy can’t push himself one way or the other with a strong or weak performance, but usually, the idea that the tournament can catapult a guy way up or way down typically is not the case. Most insiders will say a good tournament can help win over scouts and executives, but that a bad showing doesn’t necessarily hurt as much as you’d think, unless its an utter collapse. So be careful about tournament exuberance – the hype is never as real as you think, any more than the idea of draft stock declines.

There is some truth to this idea, a lot of NBA general managers – especially ones running winning teams – don’t spend as much time scouting as say teams looking at the lottery, so there is a chance for a player to catch a GM’s eye, especially players on non-major teams. The draft is littered with mid-major guys jumping into the discussion, but usually, it means more draft workouts.

Donte DiVincenzo helped himself tremendously last year, but it was his draft workouts that really sealed the deal for him. No one is drafting a guy on his tournament play. It’s way too big a decision for one weekend to make or break a player at the next level.

Here is this week’s Mock Draft:

Here are the first-round picks that are owed and how those picks landed where they are.

The Atlanta Hawks are to receive the Cleveland Cavaliers’ first-round pick as a result of the Kyle Korver trade in 2017, which is top-10 protected. But based on the standings, it will not be conveyed.

The Atlanta Hawks are to receive the Dallas Mavericks first-round pick as a result of the Luka Dončić – Trae Young swap on draft night in 2018. The pick is top-five protected and, based on the standings, would convey.

The Boston Celtics are to receive the Memphis Grizzlies first-round pick as a result of the three-team Jeff Green trade in 2015; the pick is top-eight protected and, based on the current standings, would not convey.

The Boston Celtics are to receive the more favorable of either the Sacramento Kings or Philadelphia 76ers first-round picks as part of the Markelle Fultz pre-draft trade in 2017. Based on the current standings, the Kings pick is the more favorable and would convey to Boston.

The Boston Celtics are to receive the LA Clippers first-round pick as a result of the Deyonta Davis draft day trade with Memphis in 2016. The Grizzlies got the pick in their Jeff Green/Lance Stephenson deal at the deadline in 2016. The pick is lottery protected and, based on the current standings, would not convey.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are to receive the Houston Rockets first-round pick as a result of the three-team deadline deal that sent out Brandon Knight and Marquese Chriss.

The Brooklyn Nets are to receive the Denver Nuggets first-round pick as a result of the Kenneth Faried – Darrell Arthur trade in July 2018. The pick is top-12 protected and, based on the current standings, would convey.

The San Antonio Spurs are to receive the Toronto Raptors first-round pick as a result of the Kawhi Leonard – DeMar DeRozan trade in July 2018. The pick is top-20 protected and, based on the current standings, would convey.

The Phoenix Suns are to receive the Milwaukee Bucks first-round pick as a result of the Eric Bledsoe trade in 2017. The pick has top 3 and 17-30 protections, designed to yield a lottery-level pick to Phoenix. Based on the current standings this pick would not convey. If the debt is not settled this year, the pick in 2020 would be top-7 protected.

More Twitter: Make sure you are following all of our guys on Twitter to ensure you are getting the very latest from our team: @stevekylerNBA, @LangGreene, @EricPincus, @TommyBeer, @jblancartenba, @SpinDavies, @JamesB_NBA, @MattJohnNBA, @DrewMaresca, @JordanHicksNBA, and @Ben__Nadeau .

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Mock Drafts

NBA Daily: 60-Pick NBA Mock Draft 3/5/19

With the college basketball season starting to wind down, the NBA Draft will play a bigger part of the NBA conversation, Steve Kyler offers up another 60-Pick NBA Mock Draft.

Steve Kyler

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As the college basketball regular season starts to wind down, and the March Madness Tournament starts to rev up, the 2019 NBA Draft will play a bigger and bigger role in the NBA conversation, especially with NBA teams already eliminated from the postseason (sorry Phoenix).

The Basketball Insiders Top 100 has had its biggest update of the season (http://www.basketballinsiders.com/top-100-nba-draft-prospects/), which means this week’s Mock Draft reflects some of the biggest moves so far.

It’s important to note that the Mock Draft process is not meant to be a direct reflection of the Top 100 prospects. While the top of every draft reflects the top guys, as the draft plays out, many teams – especially those with multiple picks will start to use those picks for the future – meaning draft and stash scenarios come into play.

Also, keep in mind some picks are safer bets than others, even safer than betting on the Final Four.

With that in mind, here is how this week’s Mock Draft played out:

There are a number of first-round picks that are owed. Here is how those picks landed where they are.

The Atlanta Hawks are to receive the Cleveland Cavaliers’ first-round pick as a result of the Kyle Korver trade in 2017, which is top-10 protected. But based on the standings, it will not be conveyed.

The Boston Celtics are to receive the Memphis Grizzlies first-round pick as a result of the three-team Jeff Green trade in 2015; the pick is top-eight protected and, based on the current standings, would not convey.

The Atlanta Hawks are to receive the Dallas Mavericks first-round pick as a result of the Luka Dončić – Trae Young swap on draft night in 2018. The pick is top-five protected and, based on the standings, would convey.

The Boston Celtics are to receive the more favorable of either the Sacramento Kings or Philadelphia 76ers first-round picks as part of the Markelle Fultz pre-draft trade in 2017. Based on the current standings, the Kings pick is the more favorable and would convey to Boston.

The Boston Celtics are to receive the LA Clippers first-round pick as a result of the Deyonta Davis draft day trade with Memphis in 2016. The Grizzlies got the pick in their Jeff Green/Lance Stephenson deal at the deadline in 2016. The pick is lottery protected and, based on the current standings, would not convey.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are to receive the Houston Rockets first-round pick as a result of the three-team deadline deal that sent out Brandon Knight and Marquese Chriss.

The Brooklyn Nets are to receive the Denver Nuggets first-round pick as a result of the Kenneth Faried – Darrell Arthur trade in July 2018. The pick is top-12 protected and, based on the current standings, would convey.

The San Antonio Spurs are to receive the Toronto Raptors first-round pick as a result of the Kawhi Leonard – DeMar DeRozan trade in July 2018. The pick is top-20 protected and, based on the current standings, would convey.

The Phoenix Suns are to receive the Milwaukee Bucks first-round pick as a result of the Eric Bledsoe trade in 2017. The pick has top 3 and 17-30 protections, designed to yield a lottery-level pick to Phoenix. Based on the current standings this pick would not convey. If the debt is not settled this year, the pick in 2020 would be top-7 protected.

More Twitter: Make sure you are following all of our guys on Twitter to ensure you are getting the very latest from our team: @stevekylerNBA, @LangGreene, @EricPincus, @TommyBeer, @jblancartenba, @SpinDavies, @JamesB_NBA, @MattJohnNBA, @DrewMaresca, @JordanHicksNBA, and @Ben__Nadeau .

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