Best NBA Betting Strategies & Tips Guide 2024

Joe Napier profile picture
Sports Editor Fact Checked by Nick Raffoul

If you want to consistently rake in winnings at online sportsbooks, you might want to pick a site that provides a wealth of NBA betting strategies & tips.

By picking a sportsbook that offers instant access to the latest news, game previews, NBA Picks, blogs, vlogs, etc., you’ll be better placed to make wiser choices when selecting that next killer parlay.

It’s important stuff! So, read on to learn more about NBA betting strategies and discover a host of top NBA betting tips.

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In This Guide

NBA Betting Strategy: Tips on the Main Game Lines

NBA Betting Strategy Guide - BetOnline Basketball Betting Section

So long as you’ve signed up to a sportsbook and familiarized yourself with betting options available, you’re free to get down to the nitty-gritty of establishing your very own NBA betting strategies.

Seeing as these game lines feature on all NBA betting sites, we’ve listed a tried and tested tip for each of the moneyline, point spread, and total points markets. There are literally hundreds of other strategies for each line, (a selection of which will be covered further down the page).

These are by no means the best tips – just a safe tip for each line to get us going. And also to reintroduce the premier NBA betting lines (just in case you’ve landed on this page without reading our ‘How to bet on the NBA‘ article).

NBA Over Under Tips (Total Points)

NBA Betting Strategy Guide - Over/Under Tips

When betting on the total points in an NBA match, you are trying to predict whether there will be over/under the number of points listed as a “par” score. In the above example, the 227.5 would be that par, with over and under bets being listed at the same odds.

The .5 is there to guarantee a winner on one side of the bet as there cannot be a half-point scored in basketball. Ultimately, to get a grasp on whether the odds should truly be even, look at the most recent games played both by each team, and in historical match-ups between each other.

Given that each team would need to score 114 points or more to beat the 227.5 total, if you know that one team has only averaged around 100 points recently, then the under bet will be the one to choose.

NBA Moneyline Betting Strategy

NBA Betting Strategy Guide - Moneyline Betting

This strategy is not foolproof, but is one that generally works quite well. It should also be states that this does not work on every single match.

Firstly, find an NBA match in which the favorite and underdog are closely matched. Then, place a small bet on the underdog. While this is not advisable on races in which the underdog is available at big odds, those at shorter odds do often return at greater than evens.

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NBA Live Betting Strategy

NBA Betting Strategy Guide - Live Betting

Implementing an NBA live betting strategy – that is, betting while the game is in progress – is a lot of fun, especially if you’re watching a game on TV that you’re not spiritually invested in. But ‘How to win betting on live NBA’ is a bit of a loaded question – if we knew that; we’d all be sipping champagne in Seychelles right now. What we can tell you, though, is ‘how to win more often,’ and ‘how to lose less when you do lose.

Follow these basic basketball betting tips below for a much better chance of exiting an NBA live betting session in the green.

NBA Betting Strategy: Always Pay Attention to the Team’s Schedule

NBA Betting Strategy Guide - Teams Schedule

Statistics suggest that teams playing 3-4x per week tire and struggle to uphold consistency; particularly during the second half of a game, so keep an eye on the schedule, especially when you notice a top-ranked team has been given better than usual odds.

 

NBA Schedule

NBA Betting Strategy: Check the Lineups and Injury News

Milwaukee Bucks Giannis Antetokounmpo is a monster in the paint and, when fit, a live bet on the Greek Freak to go over on +30 points at +500 would be a good shout. But, did you do your research? Research is a crucial part of any safe NBA betting strategy. It’s possible Giannis is carrying an injury or had a rough week emotionally, or perhaps he historically struggles in double-coverage vs. this week’s D – whatever. But don’t just bet on a name and assume the name is going to perform.

Oddsmakers always do their research; there will be a reason one of the league’s best players is listed at +500, and the reason isn’t that sportsbooks want to give away money.

NBA Over Under Betting Strategy

NBA Betting Strategy Guide - Over/Under Betting Strategy

NBA teams consistently score more points in the second half. If you’ve wagered on the over/under game line for the Orlando Magic to go O210 points vs. Boston Celtics, but it’s just 40-45 at the half – don’t stress; don’t cash out (that’s what they want!). Sit tight: statistically speaking, teams tend to put up more points in quarters three and four, as defenses tire and sharpshooters hone in on the basket.

Most Successful NBA Betting Strategy

NBA Betting Strategy Guide - NBA Betting Odds

The ‘most successful sports betting strategy is likely to change depending on who you talk to on any given day. But below we’ve listed three strategies that we’ve personally found success with over the years.

NBA Quarter Betting Strategy

One strategy that has nothing to do with stats or research is the NBA quarter’s betting strategy. All you need to do here is to bet on the team that lost the first quarter and then double up if they lose the second quarter and then double up again if they lose the third quarter. It is rare for a team to win and cover the spread in all four quarters of an NBA game; the said team might not win the game but, eventually, they’ll win a quarter – even if it is just because the dominant team opts to rest key players during the latter stages.

The Contrarian Betting Strategy NBA

NBA Betting Strategy Guide - The Contrain Strategy

Put simply, NBA sportsbooks remain in business because the general gambling public, drunk on Bud during the big game, tends to get things wrong. Taking the contrarian position just means going against the crowd and is a tactic employed by several world-famous day traders to boot. Some of the best NBA betting sites, such as DraftKings, allow bettors to view what other bettors have been wagering on. Check it out and go against the grain – it’s really that simple.

NBA Underdog Moneyline Betting Strategy

We mentioned this NBA sports betting strategy earlier, so shan’t go into too much extra detail. But, in essence, bettors tend not to win in the long run by simply betting on the favorite. Imagine you bet on the Atlanta Hawks as favorites three times at -100 with 66.6r% success. You would be even on your $300 investment.

Imagine instead that you bet on the 76ers as the underdogs and at the same rate of success: you’re up to $100 profit, and you didn’t need to risk as much to make the $100 either. You see this betting tip appear all the time on NBA totals betting strategy forums and there is a reason for that.

Latest NBA News

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Former Houston Rockets guard/forward Robert Reid passed away at his Houston home Monday following treatment for cancer, the Rockets announced Tuesday in a statement. Reid played a total of 919 NBA games (366 starts), averaging 11.4 points, 4.5 rebounds, 2.7 assists, and 1.3 steals while shooting 45.8% from the floor and 73.2% at the foul […]

NBA All-Star Game Viewership Up 20% In 2024

NBA All-Star Game Viewership Up 20% In 2024

The 2024 NBA All-Star Game on Sunday night saw a 20% increase in viewership compared to last year’s event. Although the numbers were nowhere close to Super Bowl LVIII, viewership for the NBA All-Star Game jumped double-digits. It could have been much worse, all things considered. The Eastern Conference won 211-186 over the West in […]

New Orleans Pelicans CJ McCollum only NBA player this season shooting over 50% on pull-up 2s, 40% on pull-up 3-pointers

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New Orleans Pelicans guard CJ McCollum is the only NBA player this season who is shooting over 50% on pull-up 2-point field goals and 40% on pull-up 3-pointers. Thirty-seven players have attempted a minimum of 100 pull-up 2s and 100 pull-up 3s. Dallas Mavericks star Luka Doncic is averaging an NBA-best 14.5 points per game […]

Texas A&M-Commerce, Incarnate Word Players Brawl During Postgame Handshakes

Texas A&M-Commerce, Incarnate Word Players Brawl During Postgame Handshakes

A wild college basketball handshake brawl broke out following Texas A&M-Commerce’s 76-72 overtime win against Incarnate Word at the Alice P. McDermott Convocation Center in San Antonio on Monday. The postgame handshakes quickly went from sportsmanlike banter to a violent confrontation in one of the craziest men’s college basketball brawls to date. While saying “good […]

Charlotte Hornets sign center Marques Bolden to a 10-day contract

Hornets sign center Marques Bolden to a 10-day contract

The Charlotte Hornets are signing free agent center Marques Bolden to a 10-day contract, agent Michael Johnson Jr. of All Day Group told Shams Charania of The Athletic and Stadium.  Bolden, 25, went undrafted in 2019 out of Duke University and signed an Exhibit 10 contract with the Cleveland Cavaliers. He was waived by Cleveland […]

Milwaukee Bucks sign guard Ryan Rollins to a two-way contract

Bucks sign guard Ryan Rollins to a two-way contract

The Milwaukee Bucks are signing free agent guard Ryan Rollins to a two-way contract, agents Mike Silverman and Brandon Grier of Equity Basketball announced Monday. Rollins, 21, was waived by the Washington Wizards on Jan. 8 after being accused of stealing from a Target store at Potomac Yards in Alexandria, Virginia, on multiple occasions. According […]

NBA Indiana Pacers Tyrese Haliburton averaging 17.5 assists per 48 minutes, tied for 6th best all time

Tyrese Haliburton averaging 17.5 assists per 48 minutes, tied for 6th best all time

Indiana Pacers guard Tyrese Haliburton is averaging 17.5 assists per 48 minutes this season, tied for the sixth best in NBA history. The two-time All-Star trails only John Stockton (19.1 AP48M in 1987-88, 18.7 AP48M in 1989-90, 18 AP48M in 1990-91, 1991-92) and John Lucas (17.9 AP48M in 1983-84). Haliburton, 23, could also become the […]

Minnesota Timberwolves, Mike Conley agree to a two-year, $21 million contract extension

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The Minnesota Timberwolves have agreed to a two-year, $21 million contract extension with Mike Conley, agents Steven Heumann and Jess Holtz of CAA Basketball announced Monday. The Ohio State product was in the final season of the three-year, $68.04 million contract he signed with the Utah Jazz in August 2021. He is slated to make […]

Brooklyn Nets fire coach Jacque Vaughn after 21-33 record at All-Star break

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The Brooklyn Nets fired head coach Jacque Vaughn on Monday morning after going 21-33 and sitting in 11th place in the Eastern Conference at the NBA All-Star break. Brooklyn suffered its second-worst loss in franchise history last Thursday, losing 136-86 to the Boston Celtics. The Nets trailed by as many as 56 points in the […]

NBA Free Picks

NBA Betting Strategy Guide - BetUS NBA Free Picks

Because wagering on NBA betting sites is now legal in so many states across the US there’s much less of a need to pay money to some bizarre group of oddsmaking specialists in Vegas to get your tips, as has been historically done in America.

Free NBA picks are available on such TV networks as ESPN (William Hill NBA odds) and Fox (FOXBET NBA odds). Most of the major sportsbooks publish NBA betting tips and have skilled groups of writers paid to pen the best NBA betting strategy for a specific game to hungry readers. A few notable places of interest include:

  • DK Nation (Draftkings tips and forums, etc)
  • BetUS (Free NBA Picks & easy access to stats)
  • ESPN.com (every stat you’re likely to need)
  • NBA.com (all the stats and all the news)

If you don’t trust the networks or their NBA betting apps, there are legions of other websites to visit that aren’t in direct partnerships with such companies. And, there are numerous NBA betting forums, too, where you can go to chat to like-minded folk to get their perspective and latest NBA betting tips. A few such search terms you might like to ‘Google’ are as follows:

  • IG Tipping Pages
  • NBA Twitter Picks

Plus, there’s always:

  • Basketball Insiders (we aren’t affiliated with anyone in particular and the NBA betting advice we provide is basically what we’re going to be betting on)

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Best NBA Betting Strategy Sites Reviewed

Factoring in all the aforementioned crucial elements that help to make up a truly winning sportsbook when it comes to NBA betting strategy (tips/stats/picks/odds, etc.), the best offshore betting app, in our opinion, is:

1. BetUS – Best NBA Betting Strategy Site for Blogs/Vlogs

NBA Betting Strategies Guide - BetUS Sportsbook Review

A sportsbook and NBA betting app that broadcasts highly competitive basketball betting odds and a large selection of NBA lines to choose from, BetUS is a top choice of sportsbook on which to implement your betting strategy. The attention to detail on the site does not go unnoticed: regular patrons can access up-to-date stats and metrics at the click of a button whilst navigating the game lines. It’s also possible to sift through all the latest player and team news whilst on the site, as well as to scope the BetUS NBA picks written by online gambling experts.

It’s almost as if the sportsbook wants you to win – (almost).

What we like:

  • Deep markets for prop bets and NBA futures
  • Parlay betting feature
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  • $2,500 Risk-Free bet
  • Stats and metrics are readily available at the click of a button
  • Picks and latest news written by gambling experts accessible on-site – free
  • Rewards patrons regularly with bonuses + referral bonus

What we don’t:

  • No live streaming of NBA

2. MyBookie – Best Blogs for NBA Betting Strategy

NBA Betting Strategies Guide - MyBookie Sportsbook Review

MyBookie has been operating since 2014 and in our opinion is one of the best sites to implement a winning NBA strategy. Their competitive odds, various betting options, and live betting make it the ideal place to place your wagers.

The site offers a myriad of betting options for NBA games, so whatever strategy you are going for with MyBookie you can implement it. It offers live betting, prop builders, and various futures. If you back Ja Morant to win MVP this season or Steph Curry to lead a fourth-quarter comeback, MyBookie has you covered.

The site also boasts a first-rate blog for the NBA with up-to-date team and player news, stats, results, and information on where and when you can find coverage of games. In addition, you can also find some top NBA tips from online gambling experts.

Bonuses and promotions are a key part of any online gambling site. Luckily, MyBookie has some of the best deals out there. If you are a new customer, you can receive up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus. It’s not only new users that are rewarded, existing customers can also receive a generous referral bonus.

What we like:

  • Competitive odds
  • NBA news and betting tips written by gambling experts
  • Prop Builders available for NBA and various other sports
  • Free weekly competitions
  • Generous deposit bonus + referral bonus

What we don’t:

  • No live streaming of NBA games
  • Not much in terms of live NBA in-game statistics

3. XBet – Superb Blogs and News Available on this Online Sportsbook

NBA Betting Strategies Guide - XBet Sportsbook Review

Xbet is another site that features a top-quality NBA blog that will help prospective bettors implement a more successful NBA betting strategy. They also have varied markets and great odds for all NBA games.

Xbet has plenty of markets on the NBA, everything from spreads, over/under, and futures to an array of interesting prop bets. Overall their odds aren’t always as good as some other sites like BetOnline and Bovada but they are always close and you often find better odds here for the favorites in a matchup.

When it comes to tips and strategy Xbet like Mybookie offers a superb blog featuring current NBA news on teams and players, stats, results, and where and when you can catch the NBA action.

The welcome bonus you can claim using the Xbet promo code falls short of the other two sites we reviewed as it’s worth up to $500. They make up for this with other regular promotions including some free bets when March Madness comes around.

What we like:

  • Excellent blog written by experts
  • Competitive odds
  • Varied prop bets
  • NBA Live betting is available
  • Free March Madness bets

What we don’t:

  • No live streaming of NBA games
  • Lower welcome bonus

Conclusion: Best NBA Betting Sites for Strategy and Tips

While many NBA betting sites are a good choice if you are looking for tips on where to wager your money and implement a winning strategy. We would have to choose BetUS as the best of the bunch. The Lockerroom section of their website is constantly being updated with player and team news. There are also tons of expert picks, blogs, and vlogs that will help both new and seasoned NBA bettors.

On top of all the useful information, their NBA markets are incredibly varied and they are always competitive when it comes to odds on the NBA. Finally, the bonus they offer is worth up to a whopping $2,500. For these reasons, we rate them the highest of the NBA betting sites for strategy and tips.

 

NBA Team Standings & Stats

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Joe began writing for Basketball Insiders at the start of 2023. A keen sports fanatic ever since his first days playing football in junior school, he has developed a flair for writing over the coming years, and graduated with a BA in English Literature. His professional background in the gambling and sports industries now extends to five years, mostly covering horse racing and US sports. He has previously written for sites such as gg.co.uk and cheltenhamfestival.net on the horse racing side, having grown passionate about the sport by visiting his local tracks on a regular basis. As well as this, he has the honor of being published in the Royal Ascot magazine in 2019.