The next installment of the wild ride that is NBA free agency is fast approaching, so our team here at Basketball Insiders is breaking down the potential players that could have new homes next fall.
With our first outline focusing on power forwards, the next position of highlight will be point guards.
Based on the estimated $99 million salary cap that teams will be operating under for the 2017-18 season, here are the potential brackets for max salaries that these floor generals are after:
- $25,250,000 for players with 0-6 years of experience;
- $30,300,000 for players with 7-9 years of experience; and
- $35,350,000 for players with 10 or more years of experience
With the max salaries set in stone, teams may also have the option for a mid-level exception set at $8,406,000.
Now that the money is laid out, here are the point guards this summer who could wind up with a new zip code.
Maximum Salary Guys
Stephen Curry — Golden State Warriors — $12,112,359
The two-time league MVP and world champion is fresh off another run through the NBA’s postseason and will be looking to cash in.
Up until this point, Curry was on arguably the biggest bargain deal in the league. After signing a less than max extension following his rookie deal, Curry blossomed into the game’s best three-point shooter ever.
Such a deal allowed Golden State to extend the likes of Klay Thompson and Draymond Green along with signing Kevin Durant, all with relative financial ease. However, their days of getting Curry on the cheap are gone.
By meeting all of the necessary qualifications under the new CBA, Curry is eligible for the new max contract that will see him pull in a $200 million deal. The Warriors will fill out that contract as soon as possible, and Curry will gladly sign on the dotted line.
Chris Paul — Los Angeles Clippers — $22,868,827
One of the more interesting free agent situations is that of Paul’s future.
With things uncertain in Los Angeles (Blake Griffin opting out, J.J. Redick’s free agency, DeAndre Jordan on the trade block), the Clippers’ core could be headed in many different directions, Paul included.
At 32 years old, this will likely be Paul’s last major contract. Should he decide to stay with the Clippers, Paul could sign a five-year deal for roughly $205 million.
Still, money aside, with his opportunity of competing at a high level for a championship contender closing its doors, greener pastures may catch Paul’s eye this July. Of the teams that are potentially looking to court the elite point guard, San Antonio and Houston top the list. If Paul were to jump ship to either of those franchises, his chance at a ring in the near future, one could argue, would increase.
Kyle Lowry — Toronto Raptors — $12,000,000
After a career year in Toronto, Lowry will be looking for a serious raise this summer, and he won’t have to look too hard to get it.
Even at 31 years old, Lowry can still play with the best of them. Coming off of three straight All-Star appearances, Lowry’s averages in points and assists have increased each of those seasons.
For Lowry, rejoining his backcourt running mate DeMar DeRozan in Toronto seems like the most plausible option. Lowry would be leaving a ton of money on the table if he decided to leave the north.
With Lowry’s hometown Philadelphia 76ers addressing their point guard needs by drafting Markelle Fultz, the veteran’s list of suitors may have dropped by one. Minnesota and San Antonio, though, could be landing spots for Lowry, especially if the Spurs miss out on Paul.
Near Maximum Salary Guys
George Hill — Utah Jazz — $8,000,000
After a resurgent year out in Utah, Hill could find himself with a nice salary increase this summer as he looks for a new home.
While it’s entirely possible that the Jazz could bring Hill back—he was a crucial part of their playoff run this past season—the team’s sights will initially be set on securing Gordon Hayward.
Should Hill leave Salt Lake, however, his next home may depend on where the guys in the “max” category wind up. If a team like San Antonio whiffs on their bigger name targets, bringing Hill into the fold at a lesser price per year could certainly be something they explore.
Jrue Holiday — New Orleans Pelicans — $11,286,518
As the point guard for a team that features two of the league’s best low-post talents in Anthony Davis and Demarcus Cousins, Holiday’s role in New Orleans could be crucial moving forward.
At just 27 years old, Holiday certainly has enough left in the tank to make an impact for a number of teams across the league. What may cause a potential suitor to pause, however, is the fact that Holiday has completed a full 82-game season just once in his career.
No matter, as the Pelicans look to retain Holiday, teams like Minnesota and Dallas are reportedly looking to court the point guard as well.
Above Mid-Level Guys
Jeff Teague — Indiana Pacers — $8,800,000
Derrick Rose — New York Knicks — $21,323,252
Rajon Rondo** — Chicago Bulls — $14,000,000
Shaun Livingston — Golden State Warriors — $5,782,450
Patty Mills — San Antonio Spurs — $3,578,948
Mid-Level or Below Guys
T.J. McConnell** — Philadelphia 76ers — $874,636
Deron Williams — Cleveland Cavaliers — $259,526
Darren Collison — Sacramento Kings — $5,229,454
Ty Lawson — Sacramento Kings — $980,431
Brandon Jennings — Washington Wizards — $1,200,000
Aaron Brooks — Indiana Pacers — $2,700,000
Michael Carter-Williams — Chicago Bulls — $3,183,526
Trey Burke* — Washington Wizards — $3,385,598
Tyler Ennis — Los Angeles Lakers — $1,733,880
Spencer Dinwiddie** — Brooklyn Nets — $726,672
Ramon Sessions — Charlotte Hornets — $6,000,000
C.J. Watson** — Orlando Magic — $5,000,000
Shelvin Mack — Utah Jazz — $2,433,334
Sergio Rodriguez — Philadelphia 76ers — $8,000,000
Isaiah Canaan** — Chicago Bulls — $1,015,696
*Qualifying Offer (If made, player becomes restricted free agent)
**Non-Guaranteed Contract (If player is waived by current team before contract becomes fully guaranteed, becomes unrestricted free agent)
Having an effective floor general is imperative to a team’s success. The good point guards are an extension of the coach while on the court. This offseason, there are a handful of those very elite options that could help any number of teams, but most will stay put in their current homes due to the simple fact that franchises don’t let good point guards just walk out of the door.
But other than the top-flight talent, there are a number of serviceable veterans and young guys looking for a chance that could be good additions to teams across the league.
NBA Daily: Jaren Jackson Jr. Adapting As He Goes
Memphis Grizzlies rookie Jaren Jackson Jr. has put on a show this summer. Spencer Davies dives into what’s been behind the success and how it bodes well for the future.
Meeting Jaren Jackson Jr. for the first time, you won’t find an ounce of doubt in him.
Instead, you’ll be introduced to a high-spirited man oozing with charisma and an obvious love for the game of basketball, which likely factored into why the Memphis Grizzlies were so keen on taking him with the fourth overall pick in the NBA Draft.
Then there’s the big reason—quite literally—that came into play. Standing at 6-foot-11 with over a 7-foot-5 wingspan and hands that are the size of most people’s heads, Jackson Jr. is the term “matchup problem” personified.
We’re seeing the evidence in front of our very eyes already. In eight summer league games between Utah and Las Vegas, the versatile Jackson Jr. is averaging 12.9 points and seven rebounds. He is shooting 41.3 percent from the field and has knocked down half of his attempts (14-for-28) from beyond the arc.
It didn’t take long for the JJJ bandwagon to get established. In his first taste of NBA action against the Atlanta Hawks in Salt Lake City, he scored 29 points and cashed in on eight triples to kick off July. He hasn’t tried more than four perimeter shots since then, but he’s been plenty busy doing other things just as important on the floor.
“I think I’m surprised by how well I’ve been doing,” a smiling, candid Jackson Jr. said. “You’re surprised at yourself sometimes, especially like the first game.”
You can look at these aforementioned offensive stats and take them with a grain of salt since the level of competition is a step below what the real professional ranks bring to the table. However, seeing the anticipation, reaction time, and natural awareness on the defensive end makes the lengthy forward a true gem of a prospect.
In all but one game thus far, Jackson Jr. has recorded multiple rejections every time he’s stepped foot on the court, including two occasions where he swatted four shots. It’s added up to an average of 3.3 blocks per contest to this point.
So since the outside potential, the athleticism and the rim protection are all there, what else is there to hone in on?
“I think just my aggressiveness,” Jackson Jr. said. “Making sure I play tougher, go harder longer. And my shooting…kind of—make sure I get my form right and all that stuff.”
Adjusting to a new pace at the next level can take some time. It depends on how fast of a learner a player is and how quickly that person can apply that knowledge in a game setting. Jackson Jr. thinks he’s started to pick it up as he’s gone along.
“It’s getting a lot better,” he said. “It’s a lot more spacing so it’s pretty cool. But they’re definitely stronger and faster players, so you have to adapt to that.”
Thanks to contributions from Jackson Jr.—in addition to Jevon Carter and Kobi Simmons—the Grizzlies have had loads of success in Sin City. They are one of the final four teams standing as summer league play wraps up in a day.
Whether the result goes in the favor of Memphis or not, the last couple of weeks in Las Vegas have impacted Jackson Jr. in a positive manner in more ways than one as a student of the game—and he’ll be better off because of it.
“It’s been cool,” Jackson Jr. said. “It’s a lot of stuff going on. It seems like more of an event when you’re here as far as watching it on TV over the years. You get like a new historic player sitting on the sideline every day talking to people. You meet people in your hotel. Bunch of stuff like that. It’s been a good experience just having everybody here before we all leave and go to our own cities.
“I kinda went into it [with a] clear head. I didn’t really didn’t want to put too much into it ‘cause I’m learning everything new. Everything is new. Being a rookie, everything’s gonna be a new thing.”
As the youngest player in his draft class at 18 years old, Jackson Jr. has a ways to go to familiarize himself with the NBA.
But by the looks of things, the NBA had better prepare to familiarize itself with him as well.
NBA Daily: Antonio Blakeney Hoping For A Big 2nd Year
After an impressive rookie stint, Antonio Blakeney gives us a tale of hope and potential.
The Chicago Bulls are in the midst of a rebuilding project. This summer, they held on to one of their key young players in Zach LaVine and drafted two guys in Wendell Carter Jr. and Chandler Hutchinson whom they’re hoping can be part of that rebuild.
But there might be one player on the roster already who could play a big role in the team’s future. A year ago, Antonio Blakeney used a big summer league performance in Las Vegas to earn a two-way contract with the Bulls.
This time around, with his NBA future a little more secure, he’s working on becoming more familiar with the team.
“Just learning and getting better,” Blakeney told Basketball Insiders his goals are. “Obviously being able to play through my mistakes, go out here and learn and get familiar with the coaching staff. Keep building our relationship with the coaches and stuff.”
Blakeney went undrafted last summer after declaring for the draft following two years at LSU. He lit up Las Vegas to the tune of 16.8 points in four games before the Bulls signed him. Under the two-way contract, he split time between Chicago and the Windy City Bulls, their G-League affiliate.
His summer success carried over to the G-League where he exploded on the scene averaging 32 points per game and being named the G-League Rookie of the Year. Being shuffled back and forth between leagues was a bit of an adjustment for Blakeney, but it was an experience he ended up learning a lot from.
“It was an up and down roller coaster from the NBA to the G-League and stuff like that. Starting in summer league, going to the big team, going to camp, preseason games and going to the G-League. It was an up and down experience,” Blakeney said.
“Overall, it was great. I think I learned a lot in the G-League. A lot of rookies play in the G-League now. Going down there it’s kind of tough. For some guys, the travel is different. It’s just staying motivated and working hard.”
It’s no secret that Blakeney can put up points in a hurry, as he was the Tigers third-leading scorer his freshman year behind Ben Simmons and Keith Hornsby with 12.6 points per game. His sophomore year, he led the Tigers in scoring with 17.2 points.
He knows though that he’ll have to be able to do other things if he wants to stick in the NBA. While he’s been lighting up the stat sheet scoring wise this summer in Vegas, he’s been working on other aspects of his game. He’s been charged by the Bulls summer league coaching staff with initiating the offense.
“Obviously I got to be a combo. I got to be able to move over to the one and make plays and stuff like that. So just working on making that simple play,” Blakeney said. “Obviously, I’m a natural scorer so I’m not really a pass-first guy, but I’m more when the simple play presents itself, to make it.”
While his future may be more secure, the majority of the guys in summer league don’t have that luxury. The two-way contract Blakeney signed last summer was for two years and based on his play this summer, it would be shocking to see the Bulls let him go.
For his summer teammates who don’t have that security, he understands what they’re going through. Having been in that situation a year ago, he’s got plenty of advice for them.
“Just go work hard, learn from the veteran guys, but compete,” Blakeney said. “Go at the guys that’s supposed to be the best. If you think you’re that good, go at guys. Just compete, that’s the main thing I did, I just competed.”
And although nothing is ever guaranteed in the NBA, especially regular rotation minutes, Blakeney is confident that he can be a regular contributor. The league is filled with guys who come off the bench and provide instant offense. He knows if, given the opportunity, he can do that too.
“I think next season my goal is to try to crack the rotation and just be a guy who brings energy off the bench,” Blakeney said. “I can get buckets fast, get it going, bring energy and get buckets off the bench, just do my thing. That’s something that in my young career I’m trying to get in to.”
He’s certainly off to a good start.
Mitchell Robinson May Prove Competence of Scott Perry
Scott Perry is still fairly new on the job, but it’s impossible to argue with the early returns.
With some eye-popping performances, the neophyte simultaneously caught the attention of the New York Knicks and the observing eyes in Las Vegas.
Sure, merely a few weeks ago, he was largely considered an unknown quantity, but after an impressive stint at the Vegas Summer League, we all know his name.
It’s Mitchell Robinson.
Like his fellow rookie Kevin Knox, in short order, Robinson has caused quite a bit of a stir.
For Scotty Perry, though, he’s more than just another promising prospect; he’s the latest entry on the list of things that the newly hired general manager has gotten right.
As players like Brook Lopez and Isaiah Thomas accept contracts worth barely enough to buy LeBron James lunch, the predictions of a “nuclear winter” for NBA free agents seem to have mostly come to fruition.
For the past two summers, general managers and team executives have spent their money as if it were on fire, and as a result, we’ve seen many of the league’s teams watch their flexibility go up in smoke.
Since hiring Perry, the Knicks have done the opposite.
Time and time again, the message tossed around internally at Penn Plaza has mirrored what we’ve been told publicly—the Knicks believe they will have a serious shot at signing a marquee free agent in 2019 and have put their emphasis on shedding salary to the best of their abilities.
It took all of one summer league game for us to learn that the club had signed Robinson to a team-friendly four-year contract. According to the New York Post, the deal is only guaranteed for three years and $4.8 million. If Robinson comes anywhere near the productivity he showed in those few performances, though, the value and return on investment will be remarkably high.
If you’re keeping count, let the record fairly reflect that among Perry’s major moves for the Knicks have been trading Carmelo Anthony, hiring David Fizdale, drafting Kevin Knox and Robinson, and strategically managing his cap situation so that he could offer Robinson a contract that was so advantageous to the Knicks that some believe Robinson fired his agent as a result.
With the Knicks, Robinson will have to earn playing time and beat out Enes Kanter and Luke Kornet for minutes, but Kanter isn’t considered to be a core member for the club’s future and Kornet hasn’t exactly appeared to be the next coming of Dwight Howard, so for the rebuilding Knicks, the task doesn’t appear that difficult.
What this all means in the end is that Knox and Robinson will combine to earn just $5.4 million next season. Yet together, they’ll carry the hopes of a billion dollar franchise on their backs.
Still, you don’t need to be able to count to a billion to understand that the ROI on Robinson could be exceptional. And it’s those crafty acquisitions that could help the Knicks maintain the space they’ll need to bring a superstar to Gotham City.
Of course, time will tell, but on the continuum of unknown quantity to certain conclusion, the best you can hope for is a positive sign. Robinson, like Knox, has given us over a dozen.
Truth be told, Perry has, too. And when you realize that the selection that the club used to grab Robinson was a critical piece of the trade that sent Carmelo Anthony to Oklahoma City—a trade executed by Perry—that statement becomes all the more credible.
* * * * * *
It’s been quite some time since the Knicks had two rookies who opened eyes the way Knox and Robinson have. What’s been most pleasing about the two, however, have been the ways in which they complement one another on the basketball court.
In Vegas, Knox has impressed mostly with what he’s done on the ball, while Robinson has for what he’s accomplished off of it. The instincts and timing that Robinson has in conjunction with his athleticism are quite reminiscent of Marcus Camby.
In hindsight, we can fairly proclaim an in-prime Camby to have been ahead of his time. Camby was the prototype to which players like Tyson Chandler and DeAndre Jordan aspired.
As a big man, Camby was one of the few players in the NBA who could capably guard all five positions on the basketball court and wasn’t at the mercy of an opposing point guard when switched out on a pick-and-roll. Nobody closed space from the weakside better than Camby, and few centers in the league were able to run out and contest jumpers like him. His nimbleness and second jump ability were remarkable for a man his size, and it didn’t take long for him to find his niche playing alongside more offensively talented players such as Allan Houston, Latrell Sprewell and Larry Johnson.
We don’t know if Robinson himself will succeed in the NBA, but we do know that his archetype is the kind that does. So much of what gets young players drafted and paid in the NBA is about physics. If a guy can do one or two things better than other players his size, the job of his coaches and front office is to find ways to maximize those advantages and fit them within a team concept to exploit inferior players at his position.
It truly isn’t rocket science. When you think back even over the course of recent history, ask yourself how long it took for the world to recognize and extol the virtues of the likes of LeBron James, Dwight Howard, Anthony Davis and even Donovan Mitchell and Ben Simmons. While each representing an extreme case, the truly impactful players are able to utilize their gifts to dominate and can usually do so from day one. Certainly, they can’t do it everyday, but the potential is there and it’s evident from jump.
The most you’re gonna get from summer league is a young stud showing you that he has some exploitable advantage over his competitors. For Knox, it’s his combination of ranginess and a better than advertised nose for the ball. For Robinson, it’s the incredible agility that an extended absence from the game doesn’t seem to have blunted.
The concept of exploitable advantage is where the Golden State Warriors have run circles around the rest of the league. And although an extreme example, they are the specimen of what a team full of those types look like.
So no, while you can’t conclude that Robinson is going to end up being anything near the player that Marcus Camby was, what you can conclude is that he has the physical gifts to be effective. Whether he ends up fulfilling that potential will ultimately boil down to what Robinson has inside of him and what David Fizdale is able to do to bring it out.
Rest assured, though, to this point, Scott Perry has certainly done his job. That much is a fact.
* * * * * *
Of all words in the English language, “irony” and its adjective (“ironic”) are among those that are most often misused—irony is often confused with coincidence.
In its simplest term, irony is meant to describe a situation where there’s an occurrence that’s the opposite of what should have been expected.
In other words, back in 2015, just a few weeks after Carmelo Anthony dropped a career-high 62 points on the Charlotte Hornets at Madison Square Garden, a reporter asked him whether it was “ironic” that the Hornets also yielded 61 points to his buddy LeBron James in Miami.
That wasn’t ironic. That was just Charlotte.
On the other hand, irony was more along the lines of the Denver Nuggets seemingly becoming a better and more cohesive team after Anthony’s talents had been traded to New York. He was the team’s best player and has since proven to be a surefire Hall of Famer, yet they improved without him.
One could argue it to be ironic that Kyrie Irving welcomed a trade to the Boston Celtics after spending years battling them, or that fans of the Los Angeles Lakers have actually begun calling LeBron James the King of LA while Kobe Bryant still flies in a helicopter over Orange County.
Most appropriately, though, for a fan of the New York Knicks, irony is knowing that, despite Kristaps Porzingis being on the shelf and the Knicks not signing or trading for any big named player, there’s probably more reason to be optimistic about the club’s future than there has been in recent memory.
Yea. That’s ironic. The Knicks have always been looking for their savior—before Carmelo Anthony, it was Stephon Marbury. Infinite fanfare and declarations of grandeur. All for naught. In it all, who would have thought that the franchise’s savior could end up being Scott Perry?
Like Knox and Robinson, it’s still a bit early to certainly declare that Perry is who will lead the Knicks from the abyss.
But just like Knox and Robinson, to this point, it’d be quite difficult to argue with the early returns.