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Mock Drafts

2017 NBA Consensus Mock Draft – Ver 3.0

Each week, four of Basketball Insiders’ experts take a look at the draft class and weigh in on what they are seeing and hearing in the march up to the 2017 NBA Draft, here is this week’s post-draft lottery version.

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Each week, four of Basketball Insiders’ top writers will break down the latest news and notes surrounding the 2017 NBA Draft. Included is an updated mock draft that reflects how each writer sees the draft landscape based on the latest news, workouts, and information from the pre-draft process.

Version 1.0 | 2.0

Joel’s Notebook:

After watching 90 minutes of Draft Lottery pre-show to deliver about 180 seconds of actual information, we now know the order of this draft and can start making some more educated guesses about where guys may land based on need. Nothing here changes the idea of Markelle Fultz and Lonzo Ball as the first two players off the board, and in fact it seems more likely than ever that the Balls will get their wish to stay close to home. I sort of wanted to see Ball someplace that would make the Ball pater familias miserable, but so it goes. On the bright side, this particular draft has Ball’s UCLA teammate T.J. Leaf also falling to the Lakers at #28, so we may as well make it a full-on homecoming.

The bright side for Sacramento, meanwhile, despite losing a top-three pick, is that they’re still going to get a franchise cornerstone at #5, and that could very well be De’Aaron Fox. The Kings have needed a franchise point guard for years, and Fox would certainly solve that problem and give the woeful Kings a backcourt they can build around in Fox and Buddy Hield.

Josh Jackson to Philadelphia would be a delightful fit, and while Suns fans were bummed to fall out of the top three, Jayson Tatum is a strong consolation prize. New York will be happy if Malik Monk falls to them, which is possible, while Denver could potentially steal Frank Ntilikina and add some much needed stability at the point guard position. After having talked with him a bit a the Combine, Ivan Rabb feels like a Chicago Bulls kind of guy. My guess is GarPax is going to love him. I can’t get away from Anigbogu in Milwaukee. He’s exactly their kind of pick–young, long, athletic and unproven. Brooklyn’s picks are questionable, but they sort of have to reach for the sky, and Diallo and Jeanne offer some of the higher upside of anybody who still would be available that late in the draft.

Also, you have no idea how badly I wanted to put Sindarius Thornwell in the first round. I’m a believer, and I think his stock will rise as interviews and workouts take place over the next several weeks. He seems destined for the early second round, at worst.

Mike’s Notebook:

The Boston Celtics hit the jackpot while the worst nightmare for the Brooklyn Nets became a reality.

Brooklyn technically won the lottery, but was forced to swap the No. 1 overall pick with Boston’s No. 27 pick as part of the Kevin Garnett and Paul Pierce trade. In addition, Boston will also acquire Brooklyn’s 2018 first-round pick to complete the trade.

Meanwhile, things didn’t go much better for the local team across the river. The New York Knicks dropped one spot to the No. 8 pick, the same position where the team missed out on selecting Stephen Curry in 2009.

On a positive note, Earvin Johnson proved why his nickname is “Magic” as the Lakers earned the No. 2 pick, which allows the organization to keep its pick. The Lakers, however, will send next year’s first-round pick to the Philadelphia 76ers. Will Lonzo Ball land in Los Angeles and be able to bring back the “Showtime” Lakers?

Los Angeles’ former Western Conference playoff rival also had a good night at the lottery. The Sacramento Kings landed the No. 5 and No. 10 selections, which allows them the opportunity to grab a long-term starting point guard and a small forward to replace Rudy Gay who is expected to depart in free agency.

Other teams with multiple picks include the Lakers, Portland Trail Blazers, Brooklyn Nets, Utah Jazz and Orlando Magic. The Trail Blazers have three first-round draft picks and are likely to move at least one. Boston’s No. 1 pick could be dangled as trade bait to land a star on the trade market such as Jimmy Butler or Paul George. Or, Boston can keep the pick and swing for the fences with Gordon Hayward in free agency this summer. The Brooklyn Nets also have the No. 22 and 27 overall picks, which can be dangled to move up. One, or both, of those two picks and Brook Lopez, could make for an enticing trade package.

Ultimately, while the lottery provided its fair share of excitement, the actual draft should live up to just as much buzz.

Moke’s Notebook:

The Lakers win, while the Knicks lose. That’s been the case for as long as we can remember in the NBA, so there’s a certain bit of irony in the fact that, just like in 2015, it happened. In the end, the Lakers move up one spot to almost ensure that they’ll land Lonzo Ball in the draft, whereas moving back one spot would have cost them not only this year’s pick, but their 2019 first rounder, as well. Meanwhile, instead of moving up, the Knicks move back one spot to select at eighth. I can’t help but to think about the 2015 lottery, where the Knicks held the second-best odds of winning the lottery, only to walk away with the fourth pick. The bright side? They managed to walk away with Kristaps Porzingis.

I’ve been saying for several week that the scouts with whom I’ve spoken have been cautioning against listening to the hype that has led up to this process. Fultz and Ball are a lock for the first two picks, however, after that, it’s difficult to know how the lottery plays out, and there are two words to explain why: Ben Simmons.

Without having seen Simmons play an NBA game, do the Sixers truly believe that he has the chops to be their primary playmaker on the ball? If so, does the team have the stones to pass on the traditional point guard that will be available to them at number three? Would the Sixers select Josh Jackson at that slot and further clutter their already cluttered front court? These are valid questions that have to be considered. Call it crazy, but I think that Malik Monk is the best fit for the Sixers, so in this week’s mock, at the top, I plug him in there. It’s a scenario that makes a ton of sense and one that could result in either Dennis Smith or De’Aaron Fox improbably falling to the Knicks at number eight.

If the Sixers pass on Jackson (which I think they will), the Suns will likely scoop him up. In some way, shape or form, the Sixers will determine whether the lottery plays out the way many expected it would, or whether we see a few surprises.

Aside from the Sixers, the other team that holds major cards is the Sacramento Kings. Many in the know opine that the Kings, even though they are having trouble getting top prospects to work out for them, are going to come away from this draft with a point guard and a wing player. At number five, they will have an opportunity to grab either Dennis Smith or Jaysum Tatum, so it will be interesting to see which way they go.

Over the next few weeks, if you want to have an idea how the lottery will play out, pay special attention to who the Sixers and Kings bring in, and what the streets are saying about what their respective front offices see as their major needs.

Steve’s Notebook:

With the NBA Draft lottery out of the way and the draft order finally locked in, there are a few things worth knowing. Washington guard Markel Fultz now becomes the prohibitive favorite to go number one overall. While it was assumed by many that would be the case, it’s a bit more likely with Boston firmly in control of the top pick. Had the LA Lakers, Philadelphia 76ers or others jumped into the top spot, Lonzo Ball would have had a real shot at number one.

For the Celtics, the circus around Lonzo is unappealing from afar, although the Celtics are expected to work out several players, including Ball, before they lock in on a player.

The next popular thought is that the Lakers will take Ball with the second pick, which again seems likely and logical. However, Laker sources said at the Combine that they would look at positional need as well as upside in their process and they too will look at a lot of options. Lakers president Magic Johnson mirrored the idea at the Draft Lottery, making sure to mention Josh Jackson as a likely player they’ll meet with too.

So, while the 2017 NBA Draft may end up going as scripted – Fultz, then Ball – it’s not a certainty today, simply very likely.

The good news for the Philadelphia 76ers is they will have their pick of the litter with regards to remaining upside players, especially guard De’Aaron Fox and Forward Jason Taytum, who the Sixers are said to be very high on.

If the 76ers opt to address shooting, Tatum could be their guy, leaving a few interesting scenarios for the Phoenix Suns at number four – they could end up with Josh Jackson or De’Aaron Fox.

The Sacramento Kings look like they will be able to address their point guard need (Malik Monk or Dennis Smith Jr.) with the fifth overall selection by way of the draft pick swap with Philadelphia and still get another upside player at the ten spot.

The Orlando Magic slid back a projected spot to the sixth pick. The Magic opened their draft workouts with a visit with Dennis Smith Jr, setting the stage for how the first six selections may go.

Who are these guys anyway? Steve Kyler is the Publisher of Basketball Insiders and has covered the NBA for the last 19 years. Moke Hamilton is a Deputy Editor and Columnist for Basketball Insiders and has covered basketball for the last seven years. Joel Brigham is a Senior NBA Writer and has covered the NBA for the last 12 years. Michael Scotto is a Senior NBA Writer for Basketball Insiders and has covered the NBA for the last seven years.

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Mock Drafts

2018 NBA Consensus Mock Draft – Ver 3.0

Each week, four of Basketball Insiders’ experts take a look at the draft class and weigh in on what they are seeing and hearing in the march up to the 2018 NBA Draft.

Basketball Insiders

Published

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2018 NBA Consensus Mock Draft – Ver 3.0

Each week, four of Basketball Insiders’ top writers will break down the latest news and notes surrounding the 2018 NBA Draft. Included is an updated mock draft that reflects how each writer sees the draft landscape based on the latest news, workouts, and information from the pre-draft process.

With the 2018 NBA Draft Lottery final, here is how they see the field:

Version: 1.0 | 2.0

The weekly NBA Draft notebooks will resume next week following the NBA Draft Combine.

Who are these guys anyway? Steve Kyler is the Publisher of Basketball Insiders and has covered the NBA for the last 19 years. Moke Hamilton is a Deputy Editor and Columnist for Basketball Insiders and has covered basketball for the last eight years. Jesse Blancarte is a Senior NBA Writer and Deputy Editor for Basketball Insiders and has covered the NBA for the last four years. Benny Nadeau is an NBA Writer and his first season covering the NBA for Basketball Insiders.

More Twitter: Make sure you are following all of our guys on Twitter to ensure you are getting the very latest from our team: @stevekylerNBA, @LangGreene, @EricPincus, @joelbrigham, @TommyBeer, @MokeHamilton , @jblancartenba, @Ben_Dowsett, @SpinDavies, @JamesB_NBA, @DennisChambers_, @mike_yaffe, @MattJohnNBA, and @Ben__Nadeau .

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Mock Drafts

NBA Daily: 2018 60-Pick NBA Mock Draft – 5/15/18

The 2018 NBA Draft Lottery is tonight in Chicago and while the Phoenix Suns have the best odds at the top pick, it may not play out that way if history holds true. Basketball Insiders Publisher Steve Kyler offers up one more 60-pick Mock Draft prior to the draft order being locked in.

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The Wait Is Almost Over

The 2018 NBA Draft Lottery will be held tonight in Chicago. While there is a lot of talk about changing the Lottery process, the reality is since 1990, the worst team in the NBA has gotten the top pick just six times in 28 lotteries.

While the Phoenix Suns do have the best odds of landing the pick, it’s not a given they will walk away with the first choice. In fact, over the last 28 lotteries, the third-worst record has gotten the top pick six times. The fifth worst record has landed the top five times. The second worst record has yielded the top pick just four times over the past 28 lotteries, with the fourth worst record yielding no top picks in the same span.

With the final draft order getting decided tonight, look for the Basketball Insiders Consensus Mock Draft to drop later tonight reflecting the final first-round draft order.

Here is the latest 60-pick Mock Draft, reflecting the final Mock before the Draft Lottery –

Dates To Know:

The NBA Draft Lottery will be held tonight (May 15) in Chicago. The annual NBA Draft Combine will get underway tomorrow (May 16), also in Chicago. In any given draft year, roughly 70 percent of players invited to the Combine end up being drafted into the NBA, so a Combine invite is a significant draft milestone.

The NCAA requires all players wishing to maintain their college eligibility, without penalty, to withdraw from the NBA Draft by 11:59 pm on May 30. That is an NCAA mandated date, not related to anything involving the NBA, and that notice must be delivered in writing.

The NBA’s draft withdrawal date is June 11 by 5:00 pm ET. The NBA’s date allows a prospect to remain NBA draft eligible for future NBA drafts and is not related to any NCAA rule or date. There are ways for college players that did not accept benefits to return to college. However, they may be subject to NCAA penalties.

The 2018 NBA Draft is June 21.

The Pick Swaps:

The Cleveland Cavaliers are owed the Brooklyn Nets’ first-round pick as a result of the Kyrie Irving trade this past summer. The Brooklyn Nets traded several unprotected picks to Boston as part of the Kevin Garnett and Paul Pierce trades in 2015.

The Philadelphia 76ers are owed the LA Lakers’ 2018 Draft pick, unprotected, as a result of the 2012 Steve Nash trade with the Suns. The Suns traded that pick to the 76ers as part of the Michael Carter-Williams three-team trade with the Milwaukee in 2015. The 76ers traded that pick to the Boston Celtics as part of the draft pick trade that became Markelle Fultz before the draft; it has 2 through 5 protections. Based on the final regular-season standings should convey to Philadelphia if the draft lottery holds true to the standings.

The LA Clippers are owed the Detroit Pistons first-round pick in 2018 as a result of the Blake Griffin trade. The pick is top four protected and would convey if the draft lottery holds true to the standings.

The Phoenix Suns are owed the Miami HEAT’s first-round pick as part of the Goran Dragic trade in 2015, it is top-seven protected and would convey to Phoenix based on the final NBA standings.

The Phoenix Suns were owed the Milwaukee Bucks’ first-round pick as part of the Eric Bledsoe trade. The pick would only convey if the Bucks pick landed between the 11th and 16th pick, which based on the final NBA standings did not convey. The Suns will now receive the Bucks 2019 first-round pick assuming it falls between the fourth and 16th pick.

The Atlanta Hawks are owed the Minnesota Timberwolves’ first-round pick as part of the Adreian Payne trade in 2015. The pick was lottery protected and would convey to Atlanta based on the final NBA standings.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are owed the Oklahoma City Thunder’s first-round pick as part of the Jazz/Wolves Ricky Rubio trade this past summer. The Jazz acquired the pick as part of the Thunder’s deal to obtain Enes Kanter in 2015. The pick was lottery protected and would convey based on the final NBA standings.

The Chicago Bulls are owed the New Orleans Pelicans first-round pick as a result of the Nikola Mirotic trade. The pick was top-five protected and based on the final NBA standings would convey

The LA Lakers are owed the Cleveland Cavaliers first-round pick as a result of Jordan Clarkson/Larry Nance Jr. trade. The pick was top-three protected and based on the final NBA standings would convey

The Brooklyn Nets are owed the Toronto Raptors’ first-round pick as part of the DeMarre Carroll salary dump trade this past summer. The pick was lottery protected and based on the final NBA standings would convey

The Atlanta Hawks are owed the Houston Rockets’ first-round pick as part of a three-team deal with the LA Clippers and Denver Nuggets involving Danilo Gallinari and taking back Jamal Crawford and Diamond Stone. The pick was top-three protected and based on the final NBA standings would convey

Check out the Basketball Insiders’ Top 100 NBA Draft Prospects – http://www.basketballinsiders.com/top-100-nba-draft-prospects/

More Twitter: Make sure you are following all of our guys on Twitter to ensure you are getting the very latest from our team: @stevekylerNBA, @LangGreene, @EricPincus, @joelbrigham, @TommyBeer, @MokeHamilton , @jblancartenba, @Ben_Dowsett, @SpinDavies, @JamesB_NBA, @DennisChambers_, @mike_yaffe, @MattJohnNBA, and @Ben__Nadeau .

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Mock Drafts

2018 NBA Consensus Mock Draft – Ver 2.0

Each week, four of Basketball Insiders’ experts take a look at the draft class and weigh in on what they are seeing and hearing in the march up to the 2018 NBA Draft.

Basketball Insiders

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2018 NBA Consensus Mock Draft – Ver 2.0

Each week, four of Basketball Insiders’ top writers will break down the latest news and notes surrounding the 2018 NBA Draft. Included is an updated mock draft that reflects how each writer sees the draft landscape based on the latest news, workouts, and information from the pre-draft process.

Version: 1.0

Benny’s Notebook: Even with the NBA Draft Lottery and Combine now officially on the horizon, there’s not much movement in my updated mock draft. Still, there remain plenty of unused talking points from last week, so let’s jump right in. Surprisingly, I was the only one to select Luka Dončić with the first overall pick and, believe me; I’m ready to die on this hill. Dončić has looked wise beyond his years in a strong overseas league all season, and he’ll be able to contribute from day one.

Additionally, the case for Dončić at No. 1 got a little stronger last week when the Phoenix Suns hired Igor Kokoškov as their new head coach.

Of course, Kokoškov coached Dončić and the Slovenian national team to an upset gold medal in EuroBasket 2017, so this dynamic is certainly worth watching as we move forward. Dončić will arrive after four professional seasons with Real Madrid, and he’s just 19 years-old until February — sign me up.

Once the sure-fire studs in Dončić and DeAndre Ayton are off the board, there’s the matter of Jaren Jackson Jr. and Marvin Bagley III. Make no mistake; the pair should have no trouble transitioning to the NBA — but, for now, it’s hard not to get overly excited about Jackson Jr. The former Michigan State man blocked a ridiculous three shots per game, good for seventh-best in the entirety of Division-I. On top of that, the 6-foot-11 prospect can both shoot and defend at the three-point line; something front offices will salivate over ahead of the draft.

Bagley will have no issues fitting in himself, but Jackson Jr., to me, could be really, really special.

Last but not least, Mikal Bridges. Version one saw our experts project the two-time national champion to fall somewhere between Nos. 7 and 10 — but Philadelphia will do backflips if he’s available at their pick. With Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons soaking up the majority of touches, Bridges can bring hard-nosed defense and consistent three-point shooting — a role Robert Covington has found success in — without the heavy usage. Born and raised in Pennsylvania before three accomplished seasons at Villanova, Bridges would be a perfect fit for the 76ers’ budding core.

Moke’s Notebook: I pretty much find myself in the same situation as last week. As is the case every year, I expect that my mock will look much different once the lottery has passed and we actually know who will select where.

At this point, though, I’ve already begun hearing that the Sixers have their eyes on Trae Young while the Knicks are enamored with Mikal Bridges. Again, though, this early in the process, any information that comes out should be taken with a grain of salt. The other prospect I’d keep an early eye on is Rodions Kurucs.

Kurucs was highly-regarded by a few scouts during last year’s pre-draft process, but he withdrew and opted to head back to FC Barcelona for another season. After a mostly up and down season, it’s difficult to know exactly where his stock lies at the moment, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see him end up a late lottery pick. There were quite a few that were high on him last year, and an inconsistent year in Spain might not turn everyone completely off.

I’ve still got DeAndre Ayton and Marvin Bagley III as my top two, though whether they stick there will be determined by who wins the lottery. It’ll take place on May 15, and since we’ll be on the ground in Chicago, one week from now, we should have some more reliable intel.

Jesse’s Notebook: The NBA Lottery is just a few days away, and I am excited to get a set draft order out as it will give us a better sense of how the draft might ultimately play out. Going through the top 30 picks again is a reminder that this draft class is packed with talent and that there are several intriguing prospects at the point guard position. I expect many analysts to have a wide range of opinions on Trae Young, Collin Sexton and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the order in which they should be selected. The NBA is already loaded with average to superstar level point guards, but these three lead guards all have the potential to be selected with a top-10 pick.

I anticipate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rising up teams’ draft boards as they get a closer look at him and envision how versatile he could be in a few years when he adds some more muscle to his frame. Gilgeous-Alexander has a developed skill set and the size to be a plus-defender against NBA point guards, shooting guards and maybe even small forwards. Getting a two-way lead guard with that sort of defensive potential will be hard to pass up for any team that doesn’t already have a standout guard who can play effectively on both ends of the court.

Steve’s Notebook: Looking at the unprecedented volume of underclassmen that have declared for the draft, and how few of them made the 69 player NBA Draft Combine list it is easy to think that there will be a mass exodus before the May 31 NCAA withdrawal date. Or, that some players may be making a tragic mistake.

There is, however, a third option. Just because a player declares for the draft doesn’t mean there is an expectation of being drafted. In many cases, some of the players who were head scratchers aren’t living in a bubble. Most are simply ready to earn money as a professional and with the NBA’s G-League no offering 60 decent paying roster spots by way of the new two-way contracts, some players are simply going through the process with their eyes on a slightly less sexy prize.

The truth of the draft process is that not every player wants to be a college athlete, equally not every player gets the kind of coaching and development resources that can be available to them as professionals.

So, before you judge some of these guys too harshly, understand there isn’t necessarily delusions of grandeur at play. There is simply a reality that moving on to the next level likely gives them a chance to earn money playing and developing and sometimes that is far more appealing then returning to college, even if you don’t get drafted.

Who are these guys anyway? Steve Kyler is the Publisher of Basketball Insiders and has covered the NBA for the last 19 years. Moke Hamilton is a Deputy Editor and Columnist for Basketball Insiders and has covered basketball for the last eight years. Jesse Blancarte is a Senior NBA Writer and Deputy Editor for Basketball Insiders and has covered the NBA for the last four years. Benny Nadeau is an NBA Writer and his first season covering the NBA for Basketball Insiders.

More Twitter: Make sure you are following all of our guys on Twitter to ensure you are getting the very latest from our team: @stevekylerNBA, @LangGreene, @EricPincus, @joelbrigham, @TommyBeer, @MokeHamilton , @jblancartenba, @Ben_Dowsett, @SpinDavies, @JamesB_NBA, @DennisChambers_, @mike_yaffe, @MattJohnNBA, and @Ben__Nadeau .

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