With the amazing feats of Russell Westbrook and James Harden, Kawhi Leonard’s emergence as perhaps the best two-way player in the league and LeBron James as the only other person that could challenge him for that title, the competition for the 2017 Most Valuable Player Award is a four-horse race.
Legitimate arguments can be made for each of the four, with Harden and Westbrook likely ending up first and second, in some order.
Traditionally, the Coach of the Year Award has been much more difficult to predict. But this season, with NBA teams having less than 15 games remaining, a few names probably deserve more mention than others.
THE HONORABLE MENTIONS
Gregg Popovich, San Antonio Spurs
First, the most honorable of mentions should go to Gregg Popovich. Not ranking in the top five, he is mainly a victim of circumstance. Entering play on March 19, the Spurs are on pace to win 62 games and have been the second-best team in the league for pretty much the entire season. This is a monumental accomplishment for the franchise, especially in the wake of Tim Duncan’s departure. Although Duncan’s minutes and usage rates have been diminishing over the past few years, he was a leader for the franchise and the loss of his presence, in most situations, could have had far-sweeping ramifications on the psyche of Popovich’s personnel.
Typically, we thrash head coaches when their teams and personnel don’t live up to expectations, but rarely credit the head coach when one of his young players fulfills their potential. If you ask Kawhi Leonard himself, he will tell you that Popovich is a major reason for his blossoming into a true superstar. Like LeBron James, Popovich could legitimately win the award every season. Fortunately, he has already won the award three times and joins only Pat Riley and Don Nelson as three-time winners.
Despite the lack of consideration he’ll get this season, Popovich is something much more meaningful than the Coach of the Year—he’s the coach of the decade.
Scott Brooks, Washington Wizards
Often, head coaches aren’t given any credit for their success if the perception is that they have talented players at their disposal. People openly question whether Phil Jackson was some sort of coaching genius because, some say, he had Michael and Scottie and Kobe and Shaq.
The same was said for Brooks, who enjoyed success with Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant. At least for the time being, Brooks has silenced those critics. In D.C., he inherited a situation where his two star players were on record as not necessarily being on the same page. The team was a perennial underachiever that was perceived to have had young pieces that may not amount to much. Since beginning the season 2-8, Brooks has led the Wizards to a 40-19 record. He has adjusted the pace and space of his offense to simultaneously utilize John Wall’s strengths and allow Bradley Beal and Otto Porter to find their spots on offense. As a result, the team enters play on March 19 with a 42-27 record and is on pace to win 50 games for the first time since the 1978-79 season.
In his first season as the head coach of the Wizards, leading this young team toward the top was no easy task. The man deserves kudos.
Mike Malone, Denver Nuggets
After spending 10 years as an assistant coach, Mike Malone finally got an opportunity to serve as a head coach when he was hired by the Sacramento Kings in 2013. He lasted just 106 games and, after compiling a 39-67 record, was fired about a quarter of the way through his second season.
Immediately hired by the Nuggets after the franchise fired Brian Shaw, Malone put together a 33-49 season during 2015-16 and wasn’t necessarily regarded as an asset.
With the Nuggets entering play on March 19 at 33-36, however, the team has already matched last season’s win total and currently holds the eighth and final playoff seed in the Western Conference. With the Portland Trail Blazers nipping at their heels (they trail the Nuggets by just 1.5 games), Malone and his squad will have to keep pace.
Earlier this season, Will Barton and Mike Miller spoke with Basketball Insiders about Malone’s approach, and each had positive things to say. Nikola Jokic has proven to be a special player while Danilo Gallinari has regained his past form. What has seemed to have made a major difference for the Nuggets, however, is Malone’s opting to take minutes away from Kenneth Faried and Emmanuel Mudiay. With each player being young and promising, diminishing their roles was a difficult and risky decision that has obviously paid dividends.
If the Nuggets qualify for the playoffs for the first time since the departure of George Karl, Malone would have done something incredibly improbable.
Mike D’Antoni, Houston Rockets
Although one could argue that with a superstar talent like James Harden, Mike D’Antoni deserves less credit for what the Rockets have accomplished than, say, a coach that has done more with less, consider this: a head coach gets paid to figure out how to make it all work.
In Portland, New York and Charlotte, there is a lot of talent. That these teams have each underachieved this season underscores the point. D’Antoni deserves credit for shifting James Harden to be the team’s primary ball handler and orchestrator, as well as making sure that he has found time for his plus-defenders to play. With Trevor Ariza, Patrick Beverly and Clint Capela, the Rockets rank a respectable 17th in the league in defensive efficiency. While still being in the bottom half of the league, that placing may be good enough for the Rockets to make some noise in the playoffs, considering the fact that they rank first in offensive efficiency.
Obviously, the Rockets lost Dwight Howard and received no compensation in return, but they also saw other rotation players depart—Terrence Jones, Donatas Montiejunas, Josh Smith and Jason Terry among them.
In other words, D’Antoni had to reach James Harden, implement his system and incorporate new pieces. Had the Rockets won 45 games and made the playoffs, it would have probably been considered a successful season. Instead, they have improbably secured the third seed in the conference and will probably reach the second round of the playoffs, at least.
Quin Snyder, Utah Jazz
This season, the Western Conference was supposed to be controlled by the Golden State Warriors, the San Antonio Spurs and the Los Angeles Clippers. Every other team was thought to be a rung below.
Apparently, the Utah Jazz never got that memo.
In short, behind the brilliance of Quin Snyder, the Jazz have finally put all of their pieces together. Gordon Hayward has become an All-Star, Rudy Gobert is regarded as one of the league’s top defenders and Rodney Hood is one of the league’s most underrated shooting guards.
What’s most impressive about the job that Snyder has done this season, though, has been how he’s managed his rotations. Despite missing Hood, George Hill, Derrick Favors and Alec Burks for extended time this season, he has managed to apportion his rotation minutes adequately. He has held his young players to high standards and, despite only being a head coach for only three seasons, knows a thing or two about motivation.
That he has been able to develop his young team while integrating Boris Diaw and Joe Johnson has left little to be desired. What puts him over the top in terms of consideration is his team being on pace to win 50 games for the first time since Jerry Sloan was patrolling the sidelines. In a season where many predicted the Oklahoma City Thunder and Portland Trail Blazers to be the bosses of the Northwest Division, Synder clearly had other plans.
Erik Spoelstra, Miami HEAT
Despite leading the Miami HEAT to two championships and four NBA Finals appearances, Erik Spoelstra has never been one to receive the credit he’s deserved. Again, with LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh together, the expectations for the ball club were through the roof. Anything less than 70 wins wouldn’t have garnered much attention for Spoelstra, and the haters would spend more time questioning how the HEAT lost the 2011 NBA Finals to the Dallas Mavericks despite leading the series 2-1.
Last season, though, with James having taken his talents back to Cleveland in 2014 and Bosh sidelined, the HEAT managed to win 48 games and came within one game of reaching the Eastern Conference Finals.
With Wade unexpectedly departing for Chicago, entering the season, nobody in their right mind thought that the HEAT would have an opportunity to qualify for the playoffs. Yet, Spoelstra has seven players on his team averaging 10 or more points per game and has improbably found a way to make the triumvirate of Hassan Whiteside, Goran Dragic and Dion Waiters work.
A short while ago, the HEAT were 11-30. Since then, they had a 12-game winning streak and have gone 23-5. They enter play on March 19 at 34-35 and with control of the seventh seed in the Eastern Conference.
Spoelstra has long been a head coach who has made the most with the least. This season, though, it’s impossible to not notice.
In a season where nobody expected anything from the HEAT, Spoelstra expected everything, as usual. He has pulled every imaginable ounce of potential from his team and, in a season where tanking could have revealed a pot of gold at the end of the rainbow, the HEAT opted not to cheat their fans.
That absolutely counts for something.
* * * * * *
Similar to the Most Valuable Player Award, there is no clear criteria for what it takes to be named the Coach of the Year. What is true is that a coach’s chances of winning the award increases along with his team’s win total. Since the turn of the century, only one time has the recipient coached a team to less than 50 wins (Sam Mitchell won the award in 2007 after leading the Toronto Raptors to 47 wins). During that same timeframe, the winning coach led his team to at least 60 wins on eight occasions.
Odds are, this season, those familiar trends will be bucked.
NBA Daily: Surging HEAT Must Overcome Adversity
The Miami HEAT have been hit with a number of injuries at shooting guard. Can they stay hot?
The Miami HEAT have surged to fourth in the Eastern Conference on the back of a 14-5 stretch since Dec. 9, including a seven-game win streak that ended with Monday’s 119-111 loss to the Bulls in Chicago. In the loss, shooting guard Tyler Johnson got his legs tangled with Robin Lopez and appeared to suffer a serious injury.
“I was scared,” said HEAT small forward Josh Richardson, who joined his teammates in racing down the court to check on Johnson. “You never want to see a guy, whether it’s on your team or the other team, down like that. I talked to him when he was in here [the locker room] and he said he didn’t know what was up.”
Coach Erik Spoelstra told pool reporters after the game that X-rays were negative. It was initially feared to be a knee injury, but Spoelstra said the knee is okay and the ankle is the area of concern. Ira Winderman of the South Florida Sun-Sentinel tweeted that an MRI was not deemed necessary and Johnson will be listed as doubtful for Wednesday’s game in Milwaukee.
Tyler Johnson will be listed as doubtful for Wednesday's game against the Bucks, still with no plans for an MRI on his sprained left ankle sustained Monday in Chicago. He remains with the team, which did not practice Tuesday.
— Ira Winderman (@IraHeatBeat) January 16, 2018
Meanwhile, the HEAT is facing a serious shortage at shooting guard, having lost Dion Waiters to season-ending knee surgery, Rodney McGruder to a left tibia stress fracture that will likely keep him out until February, and now Johnson. Miami has applied for a $5.5 million disabled player exception after losing Waiters, according to the Sun-Sentinel. HEAT power forward James Johnson said the team will be looking for other players to step up.
“I think it’s the next guy’s gonna step up like we always do,” said Johnson. “As we have guys going down we also have guys getting back and getting back in their groove [like] Justise Winslow. Hopefully, it’s going to give another guy a chance to emerge on this team or in this league.”
Johnson added that the loss to Chicago came against a hot team and the HEAT didn’t have the right mental approach or defensive communication to slow them down.
“Our communication was lacking tonight,” said Johnson. “I think our brains rested tonight and that’s not like us. Tilt your hat to Chicago. They’re shooting the hell out the ball. They didn’t let us come back.”
Richardson echoed the theme of communication and the inability to counter a hot-shooting team.
“We weren’t communicating very well and we were not giving them enough static on the three-point line,” said Richardson. “They’ve been the number one three-point shooting team in the league for like 20 games now. They ran some good actions that we were not reacting right to.”
Spoelstra referred to a turnover-riddled close to the first half as “disgusting” basketball and agreed that the defense let his team down.
“I don’t know what our record is in HEAT franchise history when we give up 120-plus,” said Spoelstra. “I would guess that it’s probably not pretty good.”
The good news for Miami is that it can try a combination of Richardson and Winslow at the wings, while Wayne Ellington has been shooting the leather off the ball from three this season (40.5 percent on over seven attempts per game). The HEAT is the latest team to attempt to defy history by making a serious run without a superstar player. To make that a reality and remain in the upper half of the East’s playoff bracket, Miami will have to personify the “next man up” credo.
NBA Daily: Is It Time To Cash Out On Kemba Walker?
Should the Hornets get serious about trading Kemba Walker or risk losing him in 2019 for next to nothing?
Is It Time To Sell?
Every professional sports team at some point has to decide when its time to cash out, especially if they have a star player heading towards free agency. The Charlotte Hornets are a team teetering on this decision with star guard Kemba Walker.
Now, let’s be honest for a moment. The Hornets are getting nothing of meaningful value in a trade for Walker if they decided to put him on the trade market—that’s something that will drive part of the decision. Check out these UK sports books with free bets!
The other part of the decision is evaluating the marketplace. This is where Charlotte may have an advantage that’s easy to overlook, which is the ability to massively overpay.
Looking ahead to the cap situations for the NBA in the summer of 2019, there doesn’t appear to be a lot worth getting excited over. While it’s possible someone unexpected goes into cap clearing mode to get space, the teams that project to have space in 2019 also project to have space in 2018, meaning some of that 2019 money could get spent in July and change the landscape even more.
But for the sake of discussion, let’s assume most of the 2019 cap space teams swing and miss on anything meaningful this summer and have flexibility the following summer. Not only will Walker be a name to watch, but guys like Boston’s Kyrie Irving, Minnesota’s Jimmy Butler, Golden State’s Klay Thompson, Dallas’ Harrison Barnes, Detroit’s Tobias Harris, San Antonio’s Kawhi Leonard and Cleveland’s Kevin Love can all hit unrestricted free agency.
That’s a pretty respectable free agent class.
While most of those names will likely stay where they are, especially if their teams shower them with full max contracts as most would expect, there are a few names that might make the market interesting.
The wrinkle in all of it is the teams projected to have space. Based on what’s guaranteed today, the top of the 2019 cap space board starts with the LA Clippers.
The Clippers currently have just Blake Griffin and Danilo Gallinari under contract going into 2019. They will have qualifying offers on Milos Teodosic and Sam Dekker, but that’s about it. If the Clippers play their cards right, they could be looking at what could be close to $48 million in usable cap space, making them the biggest threat to poach a player because of the LA marketplace. It should be noted, though, that DeAndre Jordan’s situation will have an impact here.
The Chicago Bulls come in second on the 2019 cap space list with just $35.77 million in cap commitments. The problem for the Bulls is they are going to have to start paying their young guys, most notably Zach LaVine. That’s won’t stop the Bulls from getting to cap space, it’s simply a variable the Bulls have to address this summer that could get expensive.
The Philadelphia 76ers could come in third on the 2019 cap space list, although it seems the 76ers may go all in this summer on re-signing guard J.J. Redick and a swing at a big fish or two. If the 76ers miss, they still have an extension for Ben Simmons to consider, but that shouldn’t impact the ability to get to meaningful space.
For the Hornets, those three situations have to be a little scary, as all of themff something Charlotte can’t offer – big markets and rosters (save maybe the Clippers) with potentially higher upside.
The next group of cap space markets might get to real salary cap room, but its more likely they spend this summer like say the Houston Rockets or are equal to less desirable situations like Sacramento (similar), Dallas (has Dennis Smith Jr), Atlanta (similar) or Phoenix (likely drafts a point guard).
That brings us back to the Hornets decision making process.
If the Hornets put Walker on the market, historically, teams get pennies on the dollar for high-level players headed to free agency. If traded, its more likely than not that Walker hits free agency and goes shopping. That’s the scary part of trading for an expiring contract unless you get the player early enough for him to grow attached to the situation, most players explore options. That tends to drive down the potential return.
The Hornets can also start extension discussions with Walker and his camp this summer and it seems more likely than not the Hornets will pay Walker the full max allowed under the collective bargaining agreement, which could be a deal north of $150 million and he could ink that in July.
It’s possible that someone offers the Hornets the moon for Walker. That has happened in the past. The Celtics gave the Cavaliers a pretty solid return for Irving, a player the Cavaliers had to trade. So it’s not out of the question real offers come in, especially with the NBA trade deadline approaching, but what’s far more likely is the Hornets wait out this season and try to extend Walker this summer.
League sources at the G-League Showcase last week, doubted that any traction could be had on Walker while admitting he’s a name to watch, despite however unlikely a trade seemed today.
The challenge for the Hornets isn’t as simple as cashing out of Walker, not just because the return will be low, but also because where would the franchise go from here?
It’s easy to say re-build through the draft, but glance around the NBA today – how many of those rebuild through the draft situations are yielding competitive teams? How many of them have been rebuilding for five years or more?
Rebuilding through the draft is a painfully slow and frustrating process that usually costs you a coach or two and typically a new front office. Rebuilding through the draft is time consuming and usually very expensive.
It’s easier to rebuild around a star already in place and the fact that Walker himself laughs off the notion of him being anywhere but Charlotte is at least a good sign and the Hornets have some time before they have to really make a decision.
At some point, Charlotte has to decide when to cash out. For the Hornets, the time to make that decision on Walker might be the February 8 trade deadline. It might also be July 1, when they’ll know whether Walker would sign a max contract extension.
If he won’t commit then, the Hornets have their answer and can use the summer to try an extract a package similar to what the Cavaliers got for Irving.
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Cavs Woes Reason For Concern, But Not Dismissal
Spencer Davies takes a look at the Cavs’ issues and why we shouldn’t count them out just yet.
The Cleveland Cavaliers are the classic case of Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde.
When they’re on, they look like the defending three-time Eastern Conference Champions. When they’re off, they look like an old team that’s worn down and, at times, disinterested—and it gets ugly.
Take this past three weeks for example. After going on a tear of 18 wins in 19 games, the Cavs have dropped eight of 11 and are falling fast. Two of those three victories in that stretch were decided by four points or less against bottom-of-the-barrel teams in the East.
So what happened? For one, the schedule got significantly tougher. Beyond just the level of competition, Cleveland has been on the road for a long while. Nine of the games in this recent down period have been away games. The only time they’ve been home was for a quick second in mid-December and a short stay for New Years.
You’ve got to think about how that affects a psyche, not only from an on-court standpoint but also in regard to spending time with loved ones and family. LeBron James brought attention to his own homesickness on Christmas Day while he was in the Bay Area instead of in Northeast Ohio to celebrate the holidays. If it gets to him, you know it’s got to get to the other players as well. These guys are human beings with lives, and the rigors of travel can wear differently on people. Luckily for them, seven of their next nine games will be at Quicken Loans Arena.
With that being said, everybody in the NBA goes through it, so it’s no excuse for how flat the Cavs have been. Anybody on the team will tell you that, too. However, when you’re figuring out rotations and re-implementing players who had injuries, it’s not easy. This is exactly why nobody should envy Tyronn Lue.
He’s being asked to make room in his rotations and adjust on the fly as Cleveland gets guys back. When they went on that month-long run, the reason they had success was that the second unit really clicked. Dwyane Wade found his niche as the maestro of the bench bunch along with any mixture of Kyle Korver, Jeff Green, Cedi Osman, Channing Frye, and Jae Crowder. Lue had found the perfect group to spell LeBron James and company.
But then, Tristan Thompson came back and, with all due respect, it messed with their flow. The spacing is no longer there for Wade or Green to penetrate because the paint is clogged. It makes it easier on opposing defenses to just stick to Korver because there aren’t any other threatening shooters on the floor (besides Osman, maybe). Worst of all, the change basically kicked Frye—who has a plus-14 net rating, according to Cleaning The Glass—out of the rotation completely.
Deciding who plays and when is a tough job. Derrick Rose is set to come back soon. Iman Shumpert is coming along as well. Lue likes a 10-man rotation, but there are at least 12 players who deserve to be on that court. We already know Rose is expected to commandeer the second unit in Wade’s absence on back-to-backs. As for if Shumpert remains in Cleveland, who knows? It’ll be interesting to keep an eye on how this situation is managed moving forward.
Isaiah Thomas, on the other hand, is somebody the Cavs have been waiting on to return since the season started. Despite LeBron being LeBron and Kevin Love having as great of an offensive year as he’s ever had on the team, the starting unit lacks an extra punch. Thomas can be that shot in the arm, and he proved that in his debut at home against Portland and on the road in Orlando. There are two snags that both he and the team are going to hit before the 29-year-old returns to his All-Star form: 1) He’s got to get his legs under him to regain the consistency in his game and 2) His teammates are going to have to adjust to playing with him.
These are not easy things to do. Remember, aside from Jae Crowder, there is nobody on Cleveland’s roster that has played with Thomas before. Add in that he’s trying to re-discover his own game and that makes for a pretty bumpy road, at least out of the gate.
Start here—put Thompson in the starting lineup. As poor of a fit he’s been on the bench, he has shown promising signs of a developing chemistry with Thomas. It’s only been four games, but he loves having a partner in the pick-and-roll game. That’s clearly where you’ll get the most production out of him and how he can thrive. He’ll provide hustle, second chance opportunities, and a semi-decent big that can at least bother some of the competition’s drives to the basket. Sliding Love over to the four might change his game a little bit, but you can still get him going in the post before giving him chances as a shooter to work him outside-in.
The resulting effect helps the second unit as well. They’ll get one of either J.R. Smith or Crowder, depending on who would be relegated there. Both of those guys can use a spark to get them going. Because of Crowder’s familiarity with Thomas, let’s say Smith gets kicked out. Maybe that gets him out of the funk he’s in? It also allows for Frye, who hasn’t seen more than 20 minutes in a game since December 4, to get re-acclimated to a group he truly helped on both ends of the floor earlier in the year.
Outside of the need to make a move at the deadline, the Cavs can figure this out. It’s understood that they’re the fourth-worst defensive team in the NBA, but they’ve gone through these kinds of ruts at this time of year, specifically since LeBron came back. There might not be statistical evidence backing up the claim of any improvement, but the track record speaks for itself.
The panic button is being hit, but pump the brakes a bit. This isn’t anything new. The pieces are a little different and things look as bad as they ever have, but in the end, the result will likely be the same.