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Mock Drafts

2018 NBA Consensus Mock Draft – Ver 1.0

Each week, four of Basketball Insiders’ experts take a look at the draft class and weigh in on what they are seeing and hearing in the march up to the 2018 NBA Draft.

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2018 NBA Consensus Mock Draft – Ver 1.0

Each week, four of Basketball Insiders’ top writers will break down the latest news and notes surrounding the 2018 NBA Draft. Included is an updated mock draft that reflects how each writer sees the draft landscape based on the latest news, workouts, and information from the pre-draft process.

Here is the first Consensus Mock Draft of the 2018 Draft season:

Benny’s Notebook: There’s still much to be made about Michael Porter Jr. and his presumed bill of health. Naturally, if he’s good to go, Porter Jr. could represent a major top five shaker as we approach the draft. But, for now, there’s no reason for Dallas, Atlanta or Orlando to pass up a potential cornerstone until we know more about Porter Jr.’s status. Either way, he’d be an absolutely fantastic fit alongside Zach LaVine, Lauri Markkanen and Kris Dunn in Chicago — so lock that in as his floor.

It feels like some have cooled on Trae Young after Oklahoma’s disappointing late-season slump and a first-round exit in the tournament — whereas Collin Sexton used it as a springboard. Still, Young remains above Sexton on the majority of boards, but I expect the Alabama product to leapfrog the streaky shooter by draft night. Of course, Kentucky’s Shai Gilgeous-Alexander could certainly get in the mix over the coming weeks — but expect all three to go in the lottery, if not the top ten.

Other quick hitters: Aaron Holiday has been a popular pick to rise as of late, so keep an eye on him — but reuniting with Lonzo Ball in Los Angeles seems almost too perfect. Jalen Brunson could walk into the Warriors’ gym ready to contribute, making him a flawless flier at No. 28. And Brooklyn loves to shoot three-pointers but have sorely lacked a stretch forward in their modern NBA offense — so enter tournament darling Moritz Wagner.

Moke’s Notebook: I’m not sure if the 2018 NBA Draft can live up to the 2017 draft, but the scouts I’ve spoken with seem to think that the 2018 class is loaded with talent. At this point, DeAndre Ayton is the one that most think has a shot to be a serious professional at the NBA level, while most deemed Michael Porter, Jr. to have that same potential before back issues derailed his one college season. At this point, there’s a split among those I’ve spoken with as it relates to Porter—some see him as damaged goods while others believe he can do exactly what Joel Embiid has done in the early goings of his career and become an All-Star caliber performer in short order. Regardless, Ayton and Porter, for me, are the only surefire top five talents out there. While most regard Luka Dončić as the real deal, the fact of the matter is that where he gets selected will have everything to do with how the draft lottery shakes out. There are some front offices out there (such as Orlando and Memphis) that need to hit a home run with their lottery pick this year, and from what I hear, there is a fairly even split among those that believe Dončić to have the capability of being a top guard in the NBA and those that believe he’ll be just another European player who fails to acclimate himself to the most competitive league in the world.

For me, I think Mikal Bridges had the potential to be an early steal, and whichever teams ends up with him gets a player who’s ready to compete from day one.

With the draft lottery only two weeks away, it won’t be much longer until we have some more data upon which to base our mocks. After all these months, I’m certainly looking forward to that.

Jesse’s Notebook: Putting together a mock draft can be challenging since we are working off of incomplete information, which is especially true right now as the Draft Lottery and Combine are still roughly two weeks away.

As a native of Los Angeles, I am keeping a close eye on what the Los Angeles Clippers decide to do with the 12th and 13th picks. The Clippers managed to land the Detroit Pistons’ first-round pick in the Blake Griffin trade and now can add some much-needed young talent to their roster. The Clippers’ restructured front office has proven itself to be aggressive, so I wouldn’t be surprised to see some sort of deal involving one of these picks to happen. DeAndre Jordan’s future with the team is in question, so adding Robert Williams could be a nice addition.

I am also keeping an eye on what the Phoenix Suns plan to do with their picks. Phoenix owes significant money to veterans who don’t fit in with the team’s long-term plans and has intriguing young talent at several positions. The Suns have the best odds of getting the top overall pick, which could allow them to draft center Deandre Ayton. Luka Dončić is tough to pass on, but Ayton has massive potential and could fortify Phoenix’s less than stellar frontcourt. Phoenix could also use a combo forward who can hit shots from the perimeter, which is why I think Kevin Knox could be a nice addition with their second pick.

One player to keep track of is Trae Young. His stock has shifted significantly in recent months but he has the skill set to change talent evaluators’ minds in workouts.

Steve’s Notebook: Strolling through the Basketball Insiders Top 100 NBA Prospects list, there are some interesting things that jump out. The 2018 NBA draft looks to be fairly big in terms of size with eight players ranked in the top 30 being 6’10 or bigger. In the top 60 that swells to 14 with 27 players in the top 100 being 6’10 or bigger. Purdue’s Isaac Haas is the tallest prospect in the top 100 at 7’2”.

The 2018 Draft class also has a glutton of point guards; there are currently four players classified as point guards in top 30 and 12 in the top 60. The 2018 Draft class is also loaded with players currently classified as shooting guards, with ten players in the top 30 and 19 in the top 60. In total, the 2018 Draft class has 27 players currently classified as shooting guards in the Top 100.

Overall, there are 236 players that declared for the draft as early entry candidates; 181 players from colleges and post-graduate institutions and 55 international players. Currently, it looks as though there could be as many as 20 draftable Seniors, so there is a reality that not all of these players will get drafted, making the NBA’s annual Draft Combine all the more valuable for paring down the class to a more manageable field.

The NBA has extended its invitations, and some players have started to confirm their invites to reporters as well their intentions to attend. The official list isn’t expected until the week of the Combine, which gets underway in Chicago on May 16, with the on-court portion starting on May 17.

Who are these guys anyway? Steve Kyler is the Publisher of Basketball Insiders and has covered the NBA for the last 19 years. Moke Hamilton is a Deputy Editor and Columnist for Basketball Insiders and has covered basketball for the last eight years. Jesse Blancarte is a Senior NBA Writer and Deputy Editor for Basketball Insiders and has covered the NBA for the last four years. Benny Nadeau is an NBA Writer and is finishing his first season covering the NBA for Basketball Insiders.

More Twitter: Make sure you are following all of our guys on Twitter to ensure you are getting the very latest from our team: @stevekylerNBA, @LangGreene, @EricPincus, @joelbrigham, @TommyBeer, @MokeHamilton , @jblancartenba, @Ben_Dowsett, @SpinDavies, @JamesB_NBA, @DennisChambers_, @mike_yaffe, @MattJohnNBA, and @Ben__Nadeau .

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Mock Drafts

NBA Daily: 60-Pick NBA Mock Draft – 3/19/19

With the field of teams set for the 2019 NCAA March Madness tournament, things should get noisy over the next few weeks on the NBA Draft front. Steve Kyler offers up another 60-pick Mock Draft before all the zaniness begins.

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Let the Madness begin.

The basketball world will shift its attention to college basketball’s biggest stage over the next few weeks, especially this weekend’s opening round of 64.

While the tournament doesn’t necessarily make or break a player’s draft stock, this will be the first time some notable draft prospects will face elite talent and, more importantly, the pressure of the big stage. You can check out march madness predictions 2019 here.

Expect things in the draft world to start to percolate, not just because of the magnitude of the games, but also because a lot of NBA scouts will be in the same places, which is where the draft chatter originates.

Equally, a lot of NBA teams will watch games together in the conference rooms this week, so more group discussion on players will happen inside NBA teams’ front offices, and that could lead to new preference information flowing into the NBA Draft information bubble.

Here is this week’s 60-Pick Mock Draft, based on NBA games played through 3/18/19:

Here are the first-round picks that are owed and how those picks landed where they are.

The Atlanta Hawks are to receive the Cleveland Cavaliers’ first-round pick as a result of the Kyle Korver trade in 2017, which is top-10 protected. But based on the standings, it will not be conveyed.

The Boston Celtics are to receive the Memphis Grizzlies first-round pick as a result of the three-team Jeff Green trade in 2015; the pick is top-eight protected and, based on the current standings, would not convey.

The Atlanta Hawks are to receive the Dallas Mavericks first-round pick as a result of the Luka Dončić – Trae Young swap on draft night in 2018. The pick is top-five protected and, based on the standings, would convey.

The Boston Celtics are to receive the more favorable of either the Sacramento Kings or Philadelphia 76ers first-round picks as part of the Markelle Fultz pre-draft trade in 2017. Based on the current standings, the Kings pick is the more favorable and would convey to Boston.

The Boston Celtics are to receive the LA Clippers first-round pick as a result of the Deyonta Davis draft day trade with Memphis in 2016. The Grizzlies got the pick in their Jeff Green/Lance Stephenson deal at the deadline in 2016. The pick is lottery protected and, based on the current standings, would not convey.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are to receive the Houston Rockets first-round pick as a result of the three-team deadline deal that sent out Brandon Knight and Marquese Chriss.

The Brooklyn Nets are to receive the Denver Nuggets first-round pick as a result of the Kenneth Faried – Darrell Arthur trade in July 2018. The pick is top-12 protected and, based on the current standings, would convey.

The San Antonio Spurs are to receive the Toronto Raptors first-round pick as a result of the Kawhi Leonard – DeMar DeRozan trade in July 2018. The pick is top-20 protected and, based on the current standings, would convey.

The Phoenix Suns are to receive the Milwaukee Bucks first-round pick as a result of the Eric Bledsoe trade in 2017. The pick has top 3 and 17-30 protections, designed to yield a lottery-level pick to Phoenix. Based on the current standings this pick would not convey. If the debt is not settled this year, the pick in 2020 would be top-7 protected.

More Twitter: Make sure you are following all of our guys on Twitter to ensure you are getting the very latest from our team: @stevekylerNBA, @LangGreene, @EricPincus, @TommyBeer, @jblancartenba, @SpinDavies, @JamesB_NBA, @MattJohnNBA, @DrewMaresca, @JordanHicksNBA, and @Ben__Nadeau .

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Mock Drafts

NBA Daily: 60-Pick NBA Mock Draft – 3/12/19

The annual March Madness tournament gets underway next week, and draft hype will really start to rev up. Steve Kyler offers up another 2019 60-pick mock draft.

Steve Kyler

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Things are starting to heat up on the NBA Draft front specifically for those teams already eliminated or facing playoff elimination this week.

The 2019 March Madness Tournament kicks off next Tuesday with the “First Four,” and the major teams and players take the floor on March 21st and 22nd, which will ramp up draft talk and ranking speculation.

It’s important to state that while the NCAA Tournament brings a ton of visibility to players, it isn’t nearly the deciding factor some like to make it out to be. Most NBA teams have a good grasp on their top 100 players and have thoroughly scouted and investigated those players. The tournament stage often helps answer questions and assumptions, but usually, teams already have an idea of what players are going to be at the next level.

That’s not to say a bubble guy can’t push himself one way or the other with a strong or weak performance, but usually, the idea that the tournament can catapult a guy way up or way down typically is not the case. Most insiders will say a good tournament can help win over scouts and executives, but that a bad showing doesn’t necessarily hurt as much as you’d think, unless its an utter collapse. So be careful about tournament exuberance – the hype is never as real as you think, any more than the idea of draft stock declines.

There is some truth to this idea, a lot of NBA general managers – especially ones running winning teams – don’t spend as much time scouting as say teams looking at the lottery, so there is a chance for a player to catch a GM’s eye, especially players on non-major teams. The draft is littered with mid-major guys jumping into the discussion, but usually, it means more draft workouts.

Donte DiVincenzo helped himself tremendously last year, but it was his draft workouts that really sealed the deal for him. No one is drafting a guy on his tournament play. It’s way too big a decision for one weekend to make or break a player at the next level.

Here is this week’s Mock Draft:

Here are the first-round picks that are owed and how those picks landed where they are.

The Atlanta Hawks are to receive the Cleveland Cavaliers’ first-round pick as a result of the Kyle Korver trade in 2017, which is top-10 protected. But based on the standings, it will not be conveyed.

The Atlanta Hawks are to receive the Dallas Mavericks first-round pick as a result of the Luka Dončić – Trae Young swap on draft night in 2018. The pick is top-five protected and, based on the standings, would convey.

The Boston Celtics are to receive the Memphis Grizzlies first-round pick as a result of the three-team Jeff Green trade in 2015; the pick is top-eight protected and, based on the current standings, would not convey.

The Boston Celtics are to receive the more favorable of either the Sacramento Kings or Philadelphia 76ers first-round picks as part of the Markelle Fultz pre-draft trade in 2017. Based on the current standings, the Kings pick is the more favorable and would convey to Boston.

The Boston Celtics are to receive the LA Clippers first-round pick as a result of the Deyonta Davis draft day trade with Memphis in 2016. The Grizzlies got the pick in their Jeff Green/Lance Stephenson deal at the deadline in 2016. The pick is lottery protected and, based on the current standings, would not convey.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are to receive the Houston Rockets first-round pick as a result of the three-team deadline deal that sent out Brandon Knight and Marquese Chriss.

The Brooklyn Nets are to receive the Denver Nuggets first-round pick as a result of the Kenneth Faried – Darrell Arthur trade in July 2018. The pick is top-12 protected and, based on the current standings, would convey.

The San Antonio Spurs are to receive the Toronto Raptors first-round pick as a result of the Kawhi Leonard – DeMar DeRozan trade in July 2018. The pick is top-20 protected and, based on the current standings, would convey.

The Phoenix Suns are to receive the Milwaukee Bucks first-round pick as a result of the Eric Bledsoe trade in 2017. The pick has top 3 and 17-30 protections, designed to yield a lottery-level pick to Phoenix. Based on the current standings this pick would not convey. If the debt is not settled this year, the pick in 2020 would be top-7 protected.

More Twitter: Make sure you are following all of our guys on Twitter to ensure you are getting the very latest from our team: @stevekylerNBA, @LangGreene, @EricPincus, @TommyBeer, @jblancartenba, @SpinDavies, @JamesB_NBA, @MattJohnNBA, @DrewMaresca, @JordanHicksNBA, and @Ben__Nadeau .

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Mock Drafts

NBA Daily: 60-Pick NBA Mock Draft 3/5/19

With the college basketball season starting to wind down, the NBA Draft will play a bigger part of the NBA conversation, Steve Kyler offers up another 60-Pick NBA Mock Draft.

Steve Kyler

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As the college basketball regular season starts to wind down, and the March Madness Tournament starts to rev up, the 2019 NBA Draft will play a bigger and bigger role in the NBA conversation, especially with NBA teams already eliminated from the postseason (sorry Phoenix).

The Basketball Insiders Top 100 has had its biggest update of the season (http://www.basketballinsiders.com/top-100-nba-draft-prospects/), which means this week’s Mock Draft reflects some of the biggest moves so far.

It’s important to note that the Mock Draft process is not meant to be a direct reflection of the Top 100 prospects. While the top of every draft reflects the top guys, as the draft plays out, many teams – especially those with multiple picks will start to use those picks for the future – meaning draft and stash scenarios come into play.

Also, keep in mind some picks are safer bets than others, even safer than betting on the Final Four.

With that in mind, here is how this week’s Mock Draft played out:

There are a number of first-round picks that are owed. Here is how those picks landed where they are.

The Atlanta Hawks are to receive the Cleveland Cavaliers’ first-round pick as a result of the Kyle Korver trade in 2017, which is top-10 protected. But based on the standings, it will not be conveyed.

The Boston Celtics are to receive the Memphis Grizzlies first-round pick as a result of the three-team Jeff Green trade in 2015; the pick is top-eight protected and, based on the current standings, would not convey.

The Atlanta Hawks are to receive the Dallas Mavericks first-round pick as a result of the Luka Dončić – Trae Young swap on draft night in 2018. The pick is top-five protected and, based on the standings, would convey.

The Boston Celtics are to receive the more favorable of either the Sacramento Kings or Philadelphia 76ers first-round picks as part of the Markelle Fultz pre-draft trade in 2017. Based on the current standings, the Kings pick is the more favorable and would convey to Boston.

The Boston Celtics are to receive the LA Clippers first-round pick as a result of the Deyonta Davis draft day trade with Memphis in 2016. The Grizzlies got the pick in their Jeff Green/Lance Stephenson deal at the deadline in 2016. The pick is lottery protected and, based on the current standings, would not convey.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are to receive the Houston Rockets first-round pick as a result of the three-team deadline deal that sent out Brandon Knight and Marquese Chriss.

The Brooklyn Nets are to receive the Denver Nuggets first-round pick as a result of the Kenneth Faried – Darrell Arthur trade in July 2018. The pick is top-12 protected and, based on the current standings, would convey.

The San Antonio Spurs are to receive the Toronto Raptors first-round pick as a result of the Kawhi Leonard – DeMar DeRozan trade in July 2018. The pick is top-20 protected and, based on the current standings, would convey.

The Phoenix Suns are to receive the Milwaukee Bucks first-round pick as a result of the Eric Bledsoe trade in 2017. The pick has top 3 and 17-30 protections, designed to yield a lottery-level pick to Phoenix. Based on the current standings this pick would not convey. If the debt is not settled this year, the pick in 2020 would be top-7 protected.

More Twitter: Make sure you are following all of our guys on Twitter to ensure you are getting the very latest from our team: @stevekylerNBA, @LangGreene, @EricPincus, @TommyBeer, @jblancartenba, @SpinDavies, @JamesB_NBA, @MattJohnNBA, @DrewMaresca, @JordanHicksNBA, and @Ben__Nadeau .

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