2018 NBA Consensus Mock Draft – Ver 1.0
Each week, four of Basketball Insiders’ top writers will break down the latest news and notes surrounding the 2018 NBA Draft. Included is an updated mock draft that reflects how each writer sees the draft landscape based on the latest news, workouts, and information from the pre-draft process.
Here is the first Consensus Mock Draft of the 2018 Draft season:
Benny’s Notebook: There’s still much to be made about Michael Porter Jr. and his presumed bill of health. Naturally, if he’s good to go, Porter Jr. could represent a major top five shaker as we approach the draft. But, for now, there’s no reason for Dallas, Atlanta or Orlando to pass up a potential cornerstone until we know more about Porter Jr.’s status. Either way, he’d be an absolutely fantastic fit alongside Zach LaVine, Lauri Markkanen and Kris Dunn in Chicago — so lock that in as his floor.
It feels like some have cooled on Trae Young after Oklahoma’s disappointing late-season slump and a first-round exit in the tournament — whereas Collin Sexton used it as a springboard. Still, Young remains above Sexton on the majority of boards, but I expect the Alabama product to leapfrog the streaky shooter by draft night. Of course, Kentucky’s Shai Gilgeous-Alexander could certainly get in the mix over the coming weeks — but expect all three to go in the lottery, if not the top ten.
Other quick hitters: Aaron Holiday has been a popular pick to rise as of late, so keep an eye on him — but reuniting with Lonzo Ball in Los Angeles seems almost too perfect. Jalen Brunson could walk into the Warriors’ gym ready to contribute, making him a flawless flier at No. 28. And Brooklyn loves to shoot three-pointers but have sorely lacked a stretch forward in their modern NBA offense — so enter tournament darling Moritz Wagner.
Moke’s Notebook: I’m not sure if the 2018 NBA Draft can live up to the 2017 draft, but the scouts I’ve spoken with seem to think that the 2018 class is loaded with talent. At this point, DeAndre Ayton is the one that most think has a shot to be a serious professional at the NBA level, while most deemed Michael Porter, Jr. to have that same potential before back issues derailed his one college season. At this point, there’s a split among those I’ve spoken with as it relates to Porter—some see him as damaged goods while others believe he can do exactly what Joel Embiid has done in the early goings of his career and become an All-Star caliber performer in short order. Regardless, Ayton and Porter, for me, are the only surefire top five talents out there. While most regard Luka Dončić as the real deal, the fact of the matter is that where he gets selected will have everything to do with how the draft lottery shakes out. There are some front offices out there (such as Orlando and Memphis) that need to hit a home run with their lottery pick this year, and from what I hear, there is a fairly even split among those that believe Dončić to have the capability of being a top guard in the NBA and those that believe he’ll be just another European player who fails to acclimate himself to the most competitive league in the world.
For me, I think Mikal Bridges had the potential to be an early steal, and whichever teams ends up with him gets a player who’s ready to compete from day one.
With the draft lottery only two weeks away, it won’t be much longer until we have some more data upon which to base our mocks. After all these months, I’m certainly looking forward to that.
Jesse’s Notebook: Putting together a mock draft can be challenging since we are working off of incomplete information, which is especially true right now as the Draft Lottery and Combine are still roughly two weeks away.
As a native of Los Angeles, I am keeping a close eye on what the Los Angeles Clippers decide to do with the 12th and 13th picks. The Clippers managed to land the Detroit Pistons’ first-round pick in the Blake Griffin trade and now can add some much-needed young talent to their roster. The Clippers’ restructured front office has proven itself to be aggressive, so I wouldn’t be surprised to see some sort of deal involving one of these picks to happen. DeAndre Jordan’s future with the team is in question, so adding Robert Williams could be a nice addition.
I am also keeping an eye on what the Phoenix Suns plan to do with their picks. Phoenix owes significant money to veterans who don’t fit in with the team’s long-term plans and has intriguing young talent at several positions. The Suns have the best odds of getting the top overall pick, which could allow them to draft center Deandre Ayton. Luka Dončić is tough to pass on, but Ayton has massive potential and could fortify Phoenix’s less than stellar frontcourt. Phoenix could also use a combo forward who can hit shots from the perimeter, which is why I think Kevin Knox could be a nice addition with their second pick.
One player to keep track of is Trae Young. His stock has shifted significantly in recent months but he has the skill set to change talent evaluators’ minds in workouts.
Steve’s Notebook: Strolling through the Basketball Insiders Top 100 NBA Prospects list, there are some interesting things that jump out. The 2018 NBA draft looks to be fairly big in terms of size with eight players ranked in the top 30 being 6’10 or bigger. In the top 60 that swells to 14 with 27 players in the top 100 being 6’10 or bigger. Purdue’s Isaac Haas is the tallest prospect in the top 100 at 7’2”.
The 2018 Draft class also has a glutton of point guards; there are currently four players classified as point guards in top 30 and 12 in the top 60. The 2018 Draft class is also loaded with players currently classified as shooting guards, with ten players in the top 30 and 19 in the top 60. In total, the 2018 Draft class has 27 players currently classified as shooting guards in the Top 100.
Overall, there are 236 players that declared for the draft as early entry candidates; 181 players from colleges and post-graduate institutions and 55 international players. Currently, it looks as though there could be as many as 20 draftable Seniors, so there is a reality that not all of these players will get drafted, making the NBA’s annual Draft Combine all the more valuable for paring down the class to a more manageable field.
The NBA has extended its invitations, and some players have started to confirm their invites to reporters as well their intentions to attend. The official list isn’t expected until the week of the Combine, which gets underway in Chicago on May 16, with the on-court portion starting on May 17.
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2020 NBA Mock Draft – The Final 60-Pick Mock
What a long and winding road the 20201 NBA Draft has been. While this draft cycle has seen its ups and down, the moment of truth if finally upon us.
What a long and winding road the 20201 NBA Draft has been. While this draft cycle has seen its ups and down, the moment of truth if finally upon us.
Here is a final look at the 2020 Draft, and how it may play out in this final 60-pick Mock Draft of the 20202 NBA Draft process:
2020 NBA Mock Draft – First Round – 08/21/2020
The 2020 NBA Draft order is now locked in, however, there are tons of additional questions to be answered in the coming weeks. Here is a look at the first round, in this Basketball Insiders Mock Draft.
To say the 2020 NBA Draft has been chaotic is an understatement, however with last night’s NBA Draft Lottery out of the way, things are starting to at least trend in a positive direction.
That doesn’t mean there are not challenges ahead, namely when the actual NBA Draft will take place.
There is a growing sense that the NBA and the players are going to push back the start of the next cap year, which will likely impact when and how the NBA Draft plays out.
Typically, the Draft is a major transaction window for NBA teams, and with so much unknown surrounding how the salary cap will be set, and when trades and transactions typically consummated around the draft would become official, there is a lot of uncertainty, making the 2020 NBA draft wide open on many fronts.
The hope among teams is that some clarity on all of this will surface in the coming weeks, but for now most teams are operating in uncharted waters.
With all of that in mind, here is a look at the 2020 NBA Draft First round, which will be the first of many weekly Mock Drafts we’ll be dropping all the way up to the draft, whenever that finally gets set.
The Basketball Insiders Annual Consensus Mock Drafts will begin in September, as will full 60-pick mocks starting next week, so stay tuned.
2019 NBA Consensus Mock Draft – Final
For the last seven weeks, four of Basketball Insiders’ top writers have been breaking down the latest news and notes surrounding the 2019 NBA Draft, here is their final look at all 60 picks.
For the last seven weeks, four of Basketball Insiders’ top writers have been breaking down the latest news and notes surrounding the 2019 NBA Draft. Each week they provided an updated mock draft that reflected how each writer saw the draft landscape based on the latest news, workouts and information from the pre-draft process as well as a notebook, outlining each writers’ thoughts, observations and reporting on the draft.
Keep in mind we are trying to find commonalities, which is why it is called the Consensus. The writers involved do not see each other’s selections until these are posted. It is done deliberately to make sure each writer is not influencing the others.
Here is the Final Consensus Mock for the 2019 NBA Draft:
*** The 30th pick in the first round was traded to the Detroit Pistons, and the picks made reflect that trade, which will not happen until after the player is selected
***The 32nd pick in the second round was traded to the Indiana Pacers, and the picks made reflect that trade, which will not happen until after the player is selected
***The 41st pick in the second round was traded to the Golden State Warriors, and the picks made reflect that trade, which will not happen until after the player is selected
Jesse’s Notebook Some recent trades, including the trades for Anthony Davis and Mike Conley, as well as a few other transactions have shifted the draft board yet again. First-round picks are being moved around after a period in which prying away a first-rounder from another team was basically a non-starter. With the way the last few days have unfolded, and with the Western Conference seemingly wide open, I am predicting there will be several major trades on draft night. Add in the uncertainty surrounding several star free agents, and it’s simply impossible to predict with much precision what will happen on Thursday. However, this is the sort of environment that excites fans almost as much as the actual playoffs and NBA Finals, and I am not one to complain.
What is interesting about this is the fact that this draft seemingly drops off a cliff (arguably) once we get to the ninth pick. It would be more understandable to anticipate major moves on draft night with a loaded class, but that simply isn’t the case this year. My draft board has moved around wildly throughout this process, and I am bracing myself to be off the mark on draft night. All it takes is one trade for things to get thrown off in a major way, and I am anticipating at least a few major moves.
Throughout this process, I was looking for a handful of players to grab my attention and never let it go. Last season, that player was Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and I was very interested in seeing where Michael Porter Jr. would ultimately land given his talent and injury issues. That player never really emerged this year, however. I think Cameron Reddish is one of the more intriguing players in the class considering his talent and upside, but shaky college record.
I look forward to revisiting this draft a few years down the road. At least one general manager is going to get a steal somewhere in the middle or backend of the draft. Considering how comparable the talent is throughout the board once we get past the lottery, it’s hard to say who the steal of the draft may be. Again, I am fully prepared for draft night to go off script in a major way. I recommend all NBA fans do the same.
Drew’s Notebook After months of planning, the 2019 NBA Draft is finally upon us. And per the usual, the closer we get, the harder it is to differentiate between fact and fiction given the number of smokescreens generated by agents and teams.
The Grizzlies appear dead set on Ja Morant. And rightfully so considering they traded away Mike Conley. The Knicks have continued to do their due diligence having worked out Vanderbilt’s Darius Garland just yesterday – and those close to Garland say the interest is real. On the flip side of the Knicks’ decision, RJ Barrett claims to have made considerable improvements since we last saw him at Duke – take that with a grain of salt. But the Knicks still appear to be the first team with a real decision to make.
We also hear that Nassir Little could go as high as nine to Washington and that Sekou Doumbouya might have a guarantee from Orlando at 16. So watch out for those curveballs, too.
As far as teams looking to consolidate their picks are concerned, the Hawks have resisted the idea of packaging the eighth pick along with 10 and/or 17, which may prohibit them from moving up as high as they would prefer. Atlanta owned six picks coming into the draft process – 8, 10, 17, 35, 41 and 44. They’ve already dealt 41 to Golden State and 44 to Miami. We’ll see if they continue moving/consolidating picks in hopes of mitigating the number of rookies they bring into training camp.
We’ve also heard that the Celtics would like to package their picks to move up, but it seems as though they’ve struggled to gain any traction – probably because teams can’t accurately predict who will be available with their selections (the Celtics’ first selection is 14). Boston may have to wait for some names to come off the board before others decide if trading back for multiple selections is the right move.
Draft night will inevitably deliver a number of surprises to the Brooklyn crowd. I expect heavy trade activity tomorrow night in advance of another wild free agency period, beginning June 30.
Spencer’s Notebook The day is here, folks! Tonight marks the official date of the 2019 NBA Draft, which will begin potentially one of the most hectic summers the association has ever seen.
In past notebooks from different versions of our Consensus Mock, I surmised that much of the shakeout would depend on what happened with Anthony Davis in New Orleans. Well, that situation resolved itself this past week when the Los Angeles Lakers made a franchise-altering trade with the Pelicans to land “The Brow” in Hollywood.
New Orleans executive vice president of basketball operations David Griffin now holds significant draft capital, as the team has both the first and fourth pick in this upcoming class. He also swindled three more first-rounders along with The Big Easy’s new upstart talents in Lonzo Ball, Brandon Ingram, and Josh Hart. Due to the abundance of young guard/wing talent, and multiple teams vying to trade up using different packages, there’s a reason for the Pelicans to deal away No. 4.
And because of the uncertainty of what will happen at that slot, it’s difficult to predict how the draft will ultimately shake out. For example, if New Orleans decides to hang onto it, they could take Darius Garland, or RJ Barrett (if he falls) or whomever they deem fits their organization. However, if a team like the Atlanta Hawks jumps the Cleveland Cavaliers to draft Jarrett Culver or De’Andre Hunter, it could cause a domino effect that may completely alter everybody else’s plans.
Just in the past 48 hours, we learned about developments in New York. According to ESPN’s Jonathan Givony, the Knicks brass is seriously considering Garland at No. 3 and worked him out Wednesday. Whether this is actual interest or a way to drive up an asking price for their draft pick in order to make a deal of their own, we don’t actually know. The same thing could be said for Cleveland, who despite having Collin Sexton, is intrigued by the dynamic point guard.
At this point in the process, the real information could differ completely from what’s being leaked. Smoke is already filling up the room. It’s almost impossible to predict what will happen in this year’s draft, especially when most people around NBA circles believe that, at the tail end of the lottery, there could be draft picks moved every which way.
This is like throwing a dart blindfolded. As I tweeted last night, we might be burning our mock drafts at the rate we rip up brackets in the month of March.
The Utah Jazz and Milwaukee Bucks already moved their first-round picks in separate deals. That could only be the beginning. Who knows what the Hawks and Boston Celtics will do with three first-round selections in such a difficult class to differentiate player talent?
We won’t have to wait much longer to find out. Enjoy draft night, everyone!
Steve’s Notebook The 2019 NBA Draft is tonight in Brooklyn, New York, and while the suspense at the top of the draft board looks unchanged, there is a lot of potential for movement everywhere else.
As things stand today, Zion Williamson will be the top overall pick with almost no surprise there.
At number two, there continued to be talk last night that New Orleans was trying to pry the number two pick out of Memphis to grab Duke’s RJ Barrett, which would push Memphis back to the fourth spot and catching either Murray State’s Ja Morant or Vanderbilt’s Darius Garland, after the Knicks select at three. While these talks remain fluid, it does not appear at this point there will be a deal, but as is true with all trades, the right combination of assets changing hands can often turn a “No” into a “Yes.”
The New York Knicks have done their fair share of waffling on what to do at number three. While RJ Barrett remains the odds on favorite, the Knicks did take a long look at Garland on Wednesday in New York, as well as having surveyed executives from other teams for their views on Barrett, which is common due diligence, but also shows there may be some doubt on the long-term fit of Barrett.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have also been busy working on trade scenarios that could include in the fifth overall pick, the partially guaranteed cap clearing contract of JR Smith and their second pick at 26. The narrative around Cleveland is that they want to build around last year’s pick Collin Sexton, but the potential availability of Garland could test that commitment. Since the NBA Draft Combine, the Cavs have been linked to Duke’s Cam Reddish in trade down scenarios. There has been a belief that if Texas Tech guard Jarrett Culver is there at five, the Cavs may grab him and flip him to the Atlanta Hawks for either of the eighth or tenth picks and the Hawks pick at 17 which they obtained from the Brooklyn Nets.
As for some of the notable teams:
The prevailing thought is the Chicago Bulls are grabbing either Virginia’s De’Andre Hunter or UNC’s Coby White at 7.
The Washington Wizards seemed to have three guys in their sights: White, UNC’s Nassir Little and Limoges CSP’s Sekou Doumbouya.
The Hawks seem to be where Mega Bemax’s Goga Bitadze is going to land, likely at the ten spot.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are said to be extremely high on Gonzaga’s Rui Hachimura, although things could get interesting if Texas big man Jaxson Hayes is still on the board.
The Miami HEAT seem very open to trading their pick at 13, and there was talk in New York that Darius Bazley may be the HEAT’s guy, even as high as 13 if they keep the pick. The Pistons are also believed to be very high on Bazley.
The 2019 NBA draft is shaping up to be one of the turbulent drafts in recent years. A typical draft will have 15 to 18 transactions, most involving moving picks around. This year’s draft may double that when all the trade volume is done, so don’t get too attached to anyone your team may draft – they may not be there long.
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