#4 – Los Angeles Clippers
The Los Angeles Clippers enter their first-round matchup with some momentum after winning eight of their last 10 regular season games and securing home court advantage on the final night of the regular season. As the Utah Jazz prepare to face the Clippers, they must be wondering which version of the Clippers will show up.
Is this the excellent Clippers team ending the season on a hot streak that also started the year with a 14-2 record? Or is this the team in between that has been injured throughout significant periods of the season, seemingly disinterested and average?
Considering how volatile Los Angeles has been this season, it’s tough to answer this question at this point. However, the Clippers’ recent hot streak suggests that are peaking at the perfect time. Blake Griffin, in particular, has been on a tear recently. In the month of April, Griffin is shooting 57.5 percent from the field and continues his solid (though low volume) three-point shooting.
Perhaps the biggest question for the Clippers is whether or not they can stay healthy. Last postseason, Griffin and Chris Paul both went down with injuries in the same game. Despite a valiant effort from a number of players, including guard Austin Rivers, in particular, the Clippers unsurprisingly lost the series and were knocked out of the first round by the Portland Trail Blazers.
Now the Clippers, with multiple players set to become free agents and perhaps the direction of the franchise at stake, face a very tough first-round matchup with the Utah Jazz, who themselves will be looking to make some noise in the postseason.
If the Clippers can stay healthy, which would include Rivers returning from a recent hamstring injury, expect them to continue to run their offense heavily through Paul, who will look to get shooting guard J.J. Redick involved early while setting up Griffin and center DeAndre Jordan for easy looks near the basket. Whether Jordan can be consistently effective remains to be seen with Defensive Player of the Year candidate Rudy Gobert expertly patrolling the paint for the Jazz.
Gobert’s defense will be a central concern for Los Angeles, as he has the potential to singlehandedly disrupt just about any team’s offense. Also, the play of Jamal Crawford will be key in this series, especially with Rivers injured. Crawford can score in bunches, but his poor defense often hinders the Clippers. Crawford has struggled in the last few postseasons, which could be a problem for a Clippers team that is facing one of the toughest defenses in the entire league.
#5 – Utah Jazz
Unlike the Clippers, who are hoping to overcome the demons of their past playoff blunders, the Jazz enter the postseason as playoff newcomers. Very few core players on the Jazz have any meaningful playoff experience (or any at all) and will be tested in the postseason. However, Utah has a few playoff-tested veterans in guys like Joe Johnson, George Hill and Boris Diaw, who will be relied on to keep the team grounded in difficult situations.
Like the Clippers, the Jazz face significant consequences based on how their postseason plays out. If they come up short against a comparable, but more experienced Clippers squad, will key Utah free agents be dissuaded from possibly re-signing? Hill and Gordon Hayward are set to be free agents and will have a lot of suitors in the offseason. If Utah flames out in the first round, it could have an impact on these talented players.
The Jazz come into this playoff series as a team that, statistically speaking, may be even better than their playoff ranking may indicate. Utah ranked third in defensive rating and fifth in overall net rating during the regular season. Additionally, the Jazz have a smart coach in Quin Snyder and two stars (Hayward and Gobert) having their finest seasons yet.
So what are the major issues or dynamics to keep an eye on for Utah? Contrasting style of play and pace, for one, will be key in this series. The Jazz run a slow offense (last in the league in pace), which could be a positive or negative in postseason play against the Clippers, who can score in bunches. Also, the Jazz have struggled with injuries all year and that issue is ongoing. Favors, Hill and Rodney Hood have each struggled with or continue to fight through nagging injuries. If any of these players is severely limited, this could be a short series for Utah.
Additionally, as players have missed games here and there, Utah has been forced to shuffle its lineups around frequently. This could lead to some shaky play if Utah’s players struggle to find a rhythm while playing with key guys who have seen limited action in recent weeks. Also, the Jazz have lost three of four games against the Clippers this year, which indicates that Los Angeles is well-equipped to handle Utah in the postseason.
Another major dynamic to keep an eye on is the play of Hayward. With all the praise Hayward has rightfully received this season, he has struggled against Clippers, putting up only 15.7 points instead of his season average of 21.9 points. Primary defensive credit and responsibility goes to forward Luc Mbah a Moute, who has the size and skill to slow down a player as talented as Hayward. If Hayward can’t shake Mbah a Moute, look for Jazz shooting guard Rodney Hood to try and step up for the Jazz. As previously noted, it’s not yet clear when Rivers will return from his hamstring injury. Primary defensive duties on Hood will be left to Redick and perennial Sixth Man of the Year candidate Jamal Crawford – neither of whom are particularly well-equipped to slow Hood down.
Utah is mainly powered by its defense and that won’t change in the first round. However, with the Clippers hitting their stride, and Griffin playing particularly well, it may be difficult for the Jazz to keep pace with Los Angeles.
Who Wins Game 1?
The Jazz will finally make their return to the playoffs but will do so on the Clippers’ home court. Can the Jazz handle the spotlight and the recent run of brilliance from the Clippers? Clippers take Game One.
PODCAST: Breaking Down The Western Conference Playoff Race
Basketball Insiders Deputy Editor Jesse Blancarte and Writer James Blancarte break down the Western Conference playoff race and check in on the Los Angeles Clippers and Los Angeles Lakers.
NBA Daily: The Cleveland Cavaliers Need Tyronn Lue
The Cleveland Cavaliers have faced injury adversity and a roster shakeup, and now face uncertainty regarding coach Tyronn Lue’s health.
The most enduring image of Cleveland Cavaliers coach Tyronn Lue came moments after his team sealed the 2016 NBA Finals with a third consecutive win after trailing the Golden State Warriors 3-1. As the team celebrated its historic comeback and readied to hoist the Larry O’Brien Trophy, one camera focused on Lue, who sat on the bench with his face buried in his hands.
— Buddy Grizzard (@BuddyGrizzard) June 20, 2016
The image tells a thousand words about the pressure Lue was under as Cleveland teetered on the brink of elimination for three games. Rather than sharing the euphoria of his players, it seemed that Lue’s emotions centered around the massive weight that had been lifted from his shoulders. Almost two years later, it appears that burden has caught back up with Lue, whose leave of absence for health reasons complicates things for Cleveland with the playoffs just around the corner.
“It’s like losing one of your best players,” said Cavaliers forward LeBron James after Cleveland’s 124-117 win at home over the Milwaukee Bucks on Monday.
Kevin Love returned from a six-week injury absence to post 18 points, seven rebounds and four assists against the Bucks. James likened Lue’s absence to the burden of trying to replace Love’s output while he was unavailable.
“We’ve got to have guys step up, just like guys trying to step up in Kev’s absence,” said James. “We have to do the same as a collective group as long as Ty needs to get himself back healthy.”
There’s optimism that Lue could return before the playoffs, but there’s a great deal of uncertainty given the seriousness of his symptoms, which reportedly included coughing up blood. Lead assistant Larry Drew, a former head coach with the Bucks and Hawks, will handle head coaching responsibilities until Lue is ready to return.
Kyle Korver played under Drew in Atlanta and said he’s confident in his ability to fill in.
“We’d love to have Ty here and healthy,” said Korver after the Bucks win. “Coach Drew has done this for a long time as well. He coached me for a full year in Atlanta. We know he’s fully capable.”
Korver also doubted Drew would introduce any major stylistic changes.
“I think LD’s been Ty’s top assistant for a reason,” said Korver. “They really think a lot alike. They coach very similarly. We miss Ty, but I think the style of what we do is going to be very similar.”
While style and approach should remain unchanged, what could an extended absence for Lue mean for the Cavaliers? Lue cemented his legacy as a leader by keeping the Cavaliers together as they fought back from a 3-1 deficit to the Warriors, but Drew hasn’t had that kind of success as a head coach.
In 2012, the Hawks had a real opportunity to reach the Eastern Conference Finals for the first time in Atlanta history. The Hawks faced an aging Boston Celtics squad in the first round. The eighth-seed Philadelphia 76ers awaited in the second round after defeating the top-seeded Chicago Bulls.
After splitting the first two games in Atlanta, the Hawks faced a pivotal Game 3 in Boston with the opportunity to retake home court advantage. Atlanta Journal-Constitution beat writer Michael Cunningham used Synergy Sports to break down every offensive possession for Celtics point guard Rajon Rondo. His conclusion? For three quarters, Rondo did not score a single basket while guarded by Hawks combo guard Kirk Hinrich.
The Hawks traded a package that included a former and a future first-round pick to obtain Hinrich from the Wizards in 2011. But in Game 3, Hinrich failed to score a point despite his effective defense. Apparently feeling the need for an offensive spark, Drew left Hinrich on the bench in the fourth quarter and turned to career journeyman Jannero Pargo.
With Hinrich out of the game, Rondo’s offense came to life as he slashed to the basket at will. Boston opened the fourth with a 13-7 run before Pargo went to the bench and Atlanta closed on a 15-7 run to force overtime. The NBA did not publish net rating data at the time, but we can now see via historical data that the Hawks were outscored by nearly 52 points per 100 possessions in Pargo’s minutes in Game 3. Rather than entrust Atlanta’s season and his own legacy to a player the Hawks traded two first-round picks to obtain, Drew went with Pargo, a career end-of-bench player.
What does this mean for the Cavaliers? It means the team needs to get Lue back. Drew and Lue are both former NBA players who have received mixed reviews as head coaches. But when his legacy was on the line, Lue pushed the right buttons.
For Drew’s part, in his first postgame press conference since Lue’s absence was announced, he remained publicly deferential.
“Coach Lue is the one who makes that decision,” said Drew when asked about lineup combinations. “That’s not my call. We look at a lot of different combinations — whether guys are starting or whether they are coming off the bench — and we assess everything.”
On the critical question of how lineups will be fine-tuned as the Cavaliers prepare for the playoffs, Drew once again emphasized Lue’s active role even as he steps away from the bench.
“I’ll talk to Ty,” said Drew. “He’s got the final say-so. Whatever he wants, then that’s what we’re going to go with. But if he tells me to make a decision, then I’ll have to make the decision.”
With Lue suffering acute symptoms, there’s no way of knowing when he will be ready to step back into the pressure cooker of a leading role for a team with championship aspirations. But the Cavaliers need him and need his steadying influence and instincts. Cleveland is a team that has battled through injuries and a major roster overhaul at the trade deadline. It also faces the pressure of James’ impending free agency decision this summer.
Now, with the playoffs just around the corner, the Cavaliers must endure uncertainty about Lue’s ability to return and lead the team. James has emphasized that Lue’s health overshadows any basketball concerns, but gave his most terse remark when asked about learning that Lue would step away on the same day Cleveland finally got Love back.
“If it’s not one thing, it’s another,” said James. “That was my reaction.”
A Breakout Season for Joe Harris
Brooklyn Nets swingman Joe Harris talks to Basketball Insiders about his second chance with the Nets.
The NBA is all about second chances. Sometimes players need a change of scenery, or a coach who believes in them, or just something different to reach their full potential. They may be cast aside by several teams, but eventually, they often find that right situation that allows them to flourish.
Such was the case for Joe Harris. Originally drafted by the Cleveland Cavaliers with the 33rd overall pick in the 2014 draft, Harris rarely saw the court during his time in Cleveland. He averaged about 6.4 minutes per game over the course of about one and a half seasons with the Cavaliers.
During the 2015-16 season, his second in Cleveland, he underwent season-ending foot surgery. Almost immediately after, the Cavaliers traded him to the Orlando Magic in an attempt to cut payroll due to luxury tax penalties. He would never suit up for the Magic as they cut him as soon as they traded for him.
After using the rest of that season to recover from surgery, he would sign with the Brooklyn Nets in the summer of 2016. He had a very strong first season in Brooklyn, but this season he’s truly broken out.
“I think a lot of it has to do with just the right situation in terms of circumstances. It’s a young team where you don’t really have anybody on the team that’s going out and getting 20 a night,” Harris told Basketball Insiders. “It’s a collective effort most nights and it can be any given person depending on the situation. It’s one of those things where we’re real unselfish with the ball. A lot of guys get a lot of good looks, so your production is bound to go up just because of the system now that we’re playing.”
Known primarily as a sharpshooter in college at the University of Virginia as well as his first stop in Cleveland, Harris has started developing more of an all-around game. He’s improved his ability to put the ball on the floor and make plays as well as crashing the glass and playing strong defense.
In a relatively forgettable season record-wise for the Nets, Harris has been one of their bright spots. He’s putting up 10.1 points per game on 47.3 percent shooting from the field while playing 25.4 minutes per game. He’s up to 40.3 percent from the three-point line and he’s pulling down 3.3 rebounds. All of those numbers are career-highs.
“My role, I think, is very similar to the way I would be anywhere that I was playing. I’m a shooter, I help space the floor for guys to facilitate,” Harris told Basketball Insiders. “I’m opportunistic offensively with drives and such. I’m out there to try and space the floor, knock down shots, and then play tough defensively and make sure I’m doing my part in getting defensive rebounds and that sort of stuff.”
Although Harris didn’t play much in Cleveland, he did show glimpses and flashes of the player he has blossomed into in Brooklyn. He saw action in 51 games his rookie year while knocking down 36.9 percent of his three-point attempts.
He also saw action in six playoff games during the Cavaliers’ run to the 2015 Finals. But more importantly, it was the off the court things that Harris kept with him after leaving Cleveland. The valuable guidance passed down to him from the Cavaliers veteran guys. It’s all helped mold him into the indispensable contributor he’s become for the Nets.
“Even though I wasn’t necessarily playing as much, the experience was invaluable just in terms of learning how to be a professional,” Harris told Basketball Insiders. “The approach, the preparation, that sort of stuff. That’s why I learned a lot while I was there. All those good players that have had great, great, and long careers and just being able to kind of individually pick their brains and learn from them.”
When Harris came to Brooklyn two years ago, he initially signed a two-year deal with a team option after the first year. When he turned in a promising 2016-17 season, it was a no-brainer for the Nets to pick up his option. Set to make about $1.5 million this season, Harris’ contract is a steal.
However, he’s headed for unrestricted free agency this upcoming summer. Although he dealt with being a free agent before when he first signed with the Nets, it’s a different situation now. He’s likely going to be one of the most coveted wings on the market. While there’s still a bit more of the regular season left, and free agency still several months away, it’s something Harris has already thought about. If all goes well, Brooklyn is a place he can see himself staying long-term.
“Yeah, it’s one of those things that I’ll worry about that sort of decision when the time comes. But I have really enjoyed my time in Brooklyn,” Harris told Basketball Insiders. “It’s a great organization with a lot of good people, and they try and do stuff the right way. I enjoy being a part of that and trying to kind of rebuild and set a good foundation for where the future of the Brooklyn Nets is.”