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Knicks Should be Sellers at Trade Deadline

Tommy Beer explains why the Knicks should be sellers at the NBA trade deadline.

Tommy Beer

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Last week, Kristaps Porzingis let it be known that he wants the Knicks to be buyers at the upcoming trade deadline. His hope is that the Knicks can bring in vets that would help him make a push towards the playoffs.

“Playoff experience for myself individually would be huge at this point in my career — the sooner the better,” said Porzingis. “For myself, selfishly I would want to play in the playoffs, but we’ll see what happens and how we can end the season.”

Porzingis’ sentiments are certainly understandable. In fact, that’s what KP should want. Any competitive player worth their salt aims to be able to prove themselves under the bright lights and increased intensity of postseason basketball.

However, the Knicks should do the exact opposite. New York needs to be a seller at the deadline. Or, if the opportunity to part with veterans doesn’t arise, then stand pat.

While Porzingis, and his Knicks teammates and the team’s coaching staff will do all they can to win each game they play the rest of the season, New York’s front office has to look at the big picture.

Sacrificing a bit of the future in order to squeak into the playoffs and get possibly get swept out of the first round is not in the best case scenario for the long-term success of this franchise. In addition, there’s obviously no guarantee that chasing a playoff berth would result in securing a ticket to the dance. The worst place any NBA team can find themselves is finishing ninth in the conference.

The far preferred outcome is retaining all their picks and young players, securing as many ping pong balls as possible, and hoping to get lucky in next May’s draft lottery.

Yes, there are undeniable benefits of advancing into the postseason. Getting Porzingis and Frank Nitilinka some playoff seasoning would be terrific. No one would deny that. However, it should not come at the cost of future assets. And if the Knicks have the chance to flip Kyle O’Quinn, or Enes Kanter, or even Courtney Lee for a modest profit, they should pursue those opportunities.

Some Knicks fans are concerned that not doing everything possible to appease KP could result in Porzingis eventually fleeing New York. Janis Porzingis, who serves as Kristaps’ agent, suggested in an interview last summer that his brother may consider rejecting a max offer to put pressure on the Knicks. However, in reality, that outcome is highly unlikely.

This coming July, six months from now, the Knicks will be able to offer Porzingis a five-year max extension worth north of $156 million. Is Porzingis, who hasn’t exactly been a paragon of health over his first three NBA seasons, prepared to turn down that type of generational wealth? He’d be the first player to decline a full max rookie-scale extension. And even if KP were to reject the extension offer this summer, New York would still control his rights through the end of the 2019-20 campaign, as he would be a restricted free agent the following summer. Porzingis would have to wait until July 1st of 2020 to become an unrestricted free agent.

More importantly, if the Knicks play their cards right, it won’t be just money that keeps KP in NYC, which brings us back to the original point of this piece. Putting the Knicks in the best position going forward coincides with what’s best for their best player, their franchise cornerstone.

Let’s fast-forward six months, shall we? When KP sits down and examines whether he should sign an extension that would keep him in New York through the end of the 2024-25 season, he’ll weigh many factors. Yes, a playoff appearance this season would be nice. However, the 2018 NBA draft will take place the last week in June, just a few days before the Knicks can offer Porzingis a huge payday and an opportunity to commit to the team. While a trip to the postseason would be encouraging, adding a top-tier talent from the 2018 draft class would be far more beneficial to the long-term health of the franchise. A playoff appearance on the resume would be swell, but possibly having the chance to draft DeAndre Ayton, Marvin Bagley, Michael Porter, Trae Young, Luka Doncic or Mohamed Bamba would be much preferred.

Thus, Knicks president Steve Mills and GM Scott Perry have to do what’s best for the franchise, and that means ignoring the (understandable) desires of their young star. Mills and Perry have been around the league a long time. They are well aware that players don’t always know what’s best for their themselves or their team.

*****

I’ll quickly touch on one other topic, one which has generated some headlines in the New York tabloids of late. On Friday, it was announced that Joakim Noah and the Knicks had mutually agreed to part ways indefinitely. Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN stated that he believed Noah might have already played his last game in a Knick uniform. The Knicks are reportedly considering their options and attempting to figure out how to divorce themselves from Noah. Those options include trading him, outright waiving him, agreeing to a buyout, or utilizing the stretch provision.

The Knicks are not going to find a team to inherit his bloated contract without attaching either Frank Ntilikina or a first-round draft pick. Fortunately, it appears they have no interest in going down that road.

Similarly, they should not consider using the stretch provision either.

Currently, New York doesn’t have a single player on their roster with a guaranteed contract that extends past the 2019-20 season (Tim Hardaway Jr. has a player option for 2020-21, and both Frank Ntilikina and Dameyean Dotson have team options for that season). However, if the Knicks were to stretch Joakim Noah at any point prior to the start of next season, they would owe him $7,565,000 over five years, beginning in 2018-19 and not concluding until 2022-23.

It’s a tough pill to swallow, but the Knicks should take their medicine over the next two seasons (Noah will be paid $18.5 million in 2018-19 and $19.3 million in 2019-20) and avoid unnecessarily clogging their cap well into the next decade. Going forward, the Knicks should steadfastly commit themselves to keeping their salary sheet clean past 2019. Even if they were to reduce Noah’s cap figure significantly this summer via the stretch provision, New York wouldn’t have enough cap space to make a big splash signing unless Enes Kanter also decided to opt out of his $18.6 million payer option.

There is a slim possibility it may make sense to stretch Noah in the summer of 2019, but only if it was absolutely necessary to create the cap space needed to ink a stud, top-tier free agent who had confirmed he was willing to sign. If New York stretched Noah in July of 2019, he would account for $6.4 million over an additional three seasons. Again, that would be something only worth considering in 2019, and only under a specific set of circumstances.

One other benefit of not stretching Noah is that his contract might have some value when there is just one year left on the deal. With the salary cap flattening/plateauing, we may see a throwback to the days when huge, expiring contracts were considered attractive assets to teams looking to clean up their books. (Shootout to the folks that remember “Theo Ratliff’s expiring contract”)

Tommy Beer is a Senior NBA Analyst and the Fantasy Sports Editor of Basketball Insiders, having covered the NBA for the last nine seasons.

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NBA Daily: Bought Out Players Faring Well With New Teams

The deadline for teams to send their unwanted players to the buyout market was March 1. Jordan Hicks takes a look at some of the key acquisitions since the deadline and how they are helping postseason pushes.

Jordan Hicks

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The buyout market seems to be gaining more and more popularity with each season. While rebuilding teams tend to forego more seasoned players in order to give their younger guys some run, veteran players often find themselves bought out or waived prior to the deadline.

Teams competing for a spot in the playoffs – so it seems – have increasingly taken advantage of this situation by signing guys that can definitely help them get enough wins. While you definitely will not find All-Stars in the pool of available players, oftentimes solid role players find themselves there due to a myriad of reasons.

It could be that their previous teams wanted to give more playing time to guys more in-line with their future plans. It could also be because their previous team was simply wanting to lose games in order to increase their draft position, which is also known as tanking. By waiving better players on your roster and keeping less talented ones, teams can essentially give themselves a better chance to lose games without totally making it look like they’re doing it on purpose.

This year had one of the stronger pools of players on the buyout/waived market as of March 1st in recent memory, so let’s take a look at some of the top players and how they’ve fared since joining their new team.

Wesley Matthews

Matthews was part of the marquee trade that sent Kristaps Porzingis to the Dallas Mavericks. He ended up with the Knicks, but after two short games, they realized they didn’t want his talent interfering with their draft position. They waived him prior to the deadline and he was picked up by the Indiana Pacers.

This has turned out to be an incredibly important acquisition for the Pacers – primarily due to the fact that they lost All-Star Victor Oladipo for the season.

Matthews brings grittiness on the defensive end and a diverse set of skills offensively. He is an above average shooter from the three-point line, averaging 38.8 percent on 6.1 attempts per game since joining Indiana. He has added much-needed scoring to the offense as well – currently at 12.5 points and 2.4 assists each night.

He’s very clearly a step below Oladipo, especially when considering what Vic brought to both ends of the floor, but the fact that the Pacers added him without having to give up any assets is pretty remarkable.

While he has yet to add any considerable value on defense, Matthews has ranked fifth on the team in offensive rating since joining them on February 7. If Oladipo was still on the roster, you could argue that they wouldn’t necessarily need Matthews. But in light of recent events, being able to add Matthews as easily as they did was certainly a win for the franchise.

Enes Kanter

Another player the Knicks decided to unload was Enes Kanter. He was sent to the player pool via buyout, and it is safe to assume that New York had to spend handsomely to send him there.

Kanter is an interesting player. He has always been able to get buckets around the rim, as well as grab rebounds, but he has always struggled defensively. This was not why the Knicks wanted to let him go, however. Tension had been growing between Kanter, the front office, and the coaching staff, as they wanted to limit his minutes in lieu of the younger players on the roster.

Enes just wanted to play, and, by being bought out and signing with the Portland Trail Blazers, he’s been able to do just that.

Since joining Portland, the team as gone 9-3. While he continues to have his struggles on defense, he is posting 10 points and 6.7 rebounds on only 18.2 minutes per night.

Since the acquisition, Meyers Leonard has seen a decreased role. Kanter has turned into the de-facto backup to starting center Jusuf Nurkic. While Kanter is a poor defender himself, Portland has enough solid defensive players in the frontcourt that they haven’t had too much of a problem hiding him on that end of the floor.

Jeremy Lin

Lin headed to the market after being bought out by the Atlanta Hawks. He was picked up by the Toronto Raptors, who have struggled to field consistent backcourt players off the bench due to injuries – which was made more difficult after dealing Delon Wright to the Grizzlies as part of the Marc Gasol trade.

In 13 games with the Raptors, Lin is averaging 8.4 points and 2.5 assists in 20.8 minutes per game. He has struggled to find any consistency with his shot, as he’s averaging just 39 percent from the field and a morbid 18.4 percent from three.

That shooting has every opportunity to increase. Lin is a 34.3 percent shooter from downtown over the course of his career.

The Raptors will need Lin to pull his shooting together as the season wraps up for a strong playoff campaign. The bench unit was a major part of their success last season and it is proving to be another key part this year. In order for Toronto to finally reach their goal of winning the Eastern Conference, they’ll need Lin to be at his best. He isn’t the only key to their success, but he’ll have a major impact on how the Raptors finish out the season.

There are still plenty of solid players on the market. Carmelo Anthony, Ben McLemore and Nick Young could provide instant offense off the bench. Greg Monroe, Marcin Gortat and Zach Randolph could help improve the frontcourt of any team in need. Whether or not teams decide they need their services, only time will tell.

While the season plays out, it will be interesting to see just what impact these players discussed – as well as those not mentioned – will have for their franchise in the postseason.

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NBA Daily: Justin Bibbs Gets First NBA Opportunity In L.A.

Justin Bibbs spoke to Basketball Insiders about joining an NBA team after going undrafted, playing in the G League, his developing skill set and more.

David Yapkowitz

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One of the best moments in the life of an aspiring pro basketball player is to receive the news that an NBA team wants to sign them.

For Justin Bibbs, that dream became a reality of his when the Los Angeles Clippers called him up to the team on a 10-day contract last week. The former Virginia Tech guard went undrafted last summer and was spending his first professional season in the G League with Maine Red Claws, the affiliate of the Boston Celtics.

This past Sunday against the Brooklyn Nets was actually his first day being around the team as they had immediately assigned him to the Agua Caliente Clippers after signing him.

“To be honest, I still don’t have words for it. It’s kind of indescribable,” Bibbs told Basketball Insiders. “I always wanted to be on this level, but now that I’m here I just trying to take in every second of it, just relax and let God do his thing.”

Bibbs had a decent showing with the Celtics in summer league, leading to him being added to their training camp roster. He was ultimately cut and joined the Maine Red Claws as an affiliate player. Each NBA team is allowed to assign up to four players to their G League affiliate, players who were in training camp and are guaranteed a G League roster spot.

Affiliate players, however, are still considered ‘free agents’ in that they can sign with any NBA team. Bibbs played in 44 games with the Red Claws and averaged 11.8 points per game, 3.0 rebounds and 2.7 assists.

At Virginia Tech, he was a knockdown outside shooter (42.4 percent) and a strong defender. He has good size for a guard at 6-foot-5 and 225-pounds. It’s those qualities that he’s hoping to bring to the Clippers should he get the chance on the court.

“I always bring energy defensively and I just play my game. On offense, I bring shooting,” Bibbs told Basketball Insiders. “But it’s whatever the coach tells me to do and basically just playing the right way.”

Although Bibbs has reached his goal of the NBA, he’s in a different situation than the rest of his Clippers teammates. They’re all secured with guaranteed contracts. Bibbs has ten days to prove himself to team brass, ten days to show he’s worth keeping around a bit longer.

“I’m happy that my play has been rewarded, that the organization believed in me enough to give me a 10-day. Its motivation for me to keep going,” Bibbs told Basketball Insiders. “I was called down from the G League team, and I’m just trying to get all the sets and plays and stuff, trying to make that adjustment. But it’s definitely a blessing.”

He’s played in three games for the Agua Caliente Clippers so far, logging 27.1 minutes per game off the bench. He’s put up 9.7 points per game on 45.8 percent shooting from the field, 5.0 rebounds and 2.3 assists during that stretch.

He’s yet to log any minutes for the Clippers, but he’s just thrilled to be a part of an NBA organization. Despite being undrafted, he always knew that he’d get to this level at some point.

“Yeah I did, for sure I did. I didn’t know when or how, but I always thought I would be here,” Bibbs told Basketball Insiders. “I had no idea what team, but being out in LA, I’ll take that as a blessing. But yeah I thought I would be here for sure.”

For players like Bibbs who are on 10-day contracts, nothing is guaranteed. But he’s soaking up the entire experience as long as he can. Whether the Clippers decide to retain him a little bit longer, or he moves on to another opportunity, he just wants to be able to play his game.

“My overall goal is just to actually play my game my way and not be restricted,” Bibbs told Basketball Insiders. “Kind of just play freely and right now that’s what I’ve shown, that’s what got me here. I’m just taking in the whole process, just taking it all in and getting the experience and knowledge.”

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Mock Drafts

NBA Daily: 60-Pick NBA Mock Draft – 3/19/19

With the field of teams set for the 2019 NCAA March Madness tournament, things should get noisy over the next few weeks on the NBA Draft front. Steve Kyler offers up another 60-pick Mock Draft before all the zaniness begins.

Steve Kyler

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Let the Madness begin.

The basketball world will shift its attention to college basketball’s biggest stage over the next few weeks, especially this weekend’s opening round of 64.

While the tournament doesn’t necessarily make or break a player’s draft stock, this will be the first time some notable draft prospects will face elite talent and, more importantly, the pressure of the big stage. You can check out march madness predictions 2019 here.

Expect things in the draft world to start to percolate, not just because of the magnitude of the games, but also because a lot of NBA scouts will be in the same places, which is where the draft chatter originates.

Equally, a lot of NBA teams will watch games together in the conference rooms this week, so more group discussion on players will happen inside NBA teams’ front offices, and that could lead to new preference information flowing into the NBA Draft information bubble.

Here is this week’s 60-Pick Mock Draft, based on NBA games played through 3/18/19:

Here are the first-round picks that are owed and how those picks landed where they are.

The Atlanta Hawks are to receive the Cleveland Cavaliers’ first-round pick as a result of the Kyle Korver trade in 2017, which is top-10 protected. But based on the standings, it will not be conveyed.

The Boston Celtics are to receive the Memphis Grizzlies first-round pick as a result of the three-team Jeff Green trade in 2015; the pick is top-eight protected and, based on the current standings, would not convey.

The Atlanta Hawks are to receive the Dallas Mavericks first-round pick as a result of the Luka Dončić – Trae Young swap on draft night in 2018. The pick is top-five protected and, based on the standings, would convey.

The Boston Celtics are to receive the more favorable of either the Sacramento Kings or Philadelphia 76ers first-round picks as part of the Markelle Fultz pre-draft trade in 2017. Based on the current standings, the Kings pick is the more favorable and would convey to Boston.

The Boston Celtics are to receive the LA Clippers first-round pick as a result of the Deyonta Davis draft day trade with Memphis in 2016. The Grizzlies got the pick in their Jeff Green/Lance Stephenson deal at the deadline in 2016. The pick is lottery protected and, based on the current standings, would not convey.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are to receive the Houston Rockets first-round pick as a result of the three-team deadline deal that sent out Brandon Knight and Marquese Chriss.

The Brooklyn Nets are to receive the Denver Nuggets first-round pick as a result of the Kenneth Faried – Darrell Arthur trade in July 2018. The pick is top-12 protected and, based on the current standings, would convey.

The San Antonio Spurs are to receive the Toronto Raptors first-round pick as a result of the Kawhi Leonard – DeMar DeRozan trade in July 2018. The pick is top-20 protected and, based on the current standings, would convey.

The Phoenix Suns are to receive the Milwaukee Bucks first-round pick as a result of the Eric Bledsoe trade in 2017. The pick has top 3 and 17-30 protections, designed to yield a lottery-level pick to Phoenix. Based on the current standings this pick would not convey. If the debt is not settled this year, the pick in 2020 would be top-7 protected.

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