With the 20th pick in the 2014 NBA Draft, the Toronto Raptors select Bruno Caboclo.
Not much is known about Caboclo at this point other than the fact that he is very, very raw. For the Raptors, the pick seems questionable because of the impending free agency of Kyle Lowry. Tyler Ennis was believed to be at the top of the draft board for the Raptors, but after being selected by the Phenoix Suns at No. 18, the Ontario native was no longer on the board.
Shabazz Napier was available at No. 20, but instead, general manager Masai Ujiri opted to go with an international prospect who is believed to be a few years away from being a regular contributor in the NBA. With any luck, Caboclo may end up being a productive NBA player like fellow countrymen Nene, Anderson Varejao and Leandro Barbosa.
At this point, with an overall dearth of information, Raptors fans must simply sit back and have faith in Ujiri, because there is little else that can be said about such a huge unknown at this point. What we do know of Caboclo is that he seems to have some raw talent and great length. According to Marc Stein of ESPN, the Raptors promised to select Caboclo at No. 37, but for some reason, opted to instead use their 20th pick on him.
If nothing else, that is indicative of the Ujiri and his staff being really high on the Brazilian prospect.
NBA Daily: The Draft Is More Than One Thing
Eveluating an NBA Draft prospect is more than just one thing, and getting caught up on just a player’s college career is often a mistake.
It’s Not Just One Thing
With the main part of the NCAA Tournament getting underway today, there will be a lot of focus on the top players in college and how they may translate to the NBA. The challenge NBA teams face in evaluating talent is not only to avoid the hype that comes with tournament success but also to peel back what a player does for his team versus what the player may be capable of in a different environment.
The NBA Draft’s history is littered with NBA misses on NCAA tournament darlings as well as overlooking talent based on a bad read of a player based on how he may have played in college.
No one is suggesting that how a player plays in college is not important, but there is no question that players can and do evolve once they advance in age and their career. Equally, the player with obvious defects in their game often improves once they get into 24/7 professional life and have the resource to train smarter and more intensely.
There are hundreds of examples both ways.
Indiana’s Victor Oladipo was labeled as a bad shooter. As Oladipo closes his fifth NBA season, he’s seen his shooting percentages increase every year to a very respectable 36.9 percent three-point average and 80.4 percent from the foul line.
Miami’s Edrice “Bam” Adebayo wasn’t highly thought of offensively coming into the NBA Draft and has demonstrated in the NBA a much wider skill set than anyone expected. Adebayo was on a stacked Kentucky team and wasn’t a primary focal point, so judging him solely on how he played at Kentucky would have been a mistake.
Adebayo’s Miami teammate Justise Winslow was often considered one of the top players in the 2015 NBA Draft; many expected him to go in the top five. He was a college darling and has yet to make a meaningful impact in Miami, mostly due to constant injuries but also that his college skill set hasn’t translated as many had expected.
Orlando’s Aaron Gordon was an elite college defender in his lone season in Arizona. So far, through four NBA seasons, Gordon has shown flashes of that defensive presence but has yet to crack the top 100 in defensive rating in any of his NBA seasons. Does being an elite player in college translate? Very rarely.
A glance at the Naismith Awards winners over the last 20 years shows how infrequently in the last decade the elite in college become elite in the NBA.
Naismith Award Winners
|2017||Frank Mason III||2007||Kevin Durant|
|2016||Buddy Hield||2006||J. J. Redick|
|2015||Frank Kaminsky||2005||Andrew Bogut|
|2014||Doug McDermott||2004||Jameer Nelson|
|2013||Trey Burke||2003||T. J. Ford|
|2012||Anthony Davis||2002||Jason Williams|
|2011||Jimmer Fredette||2001||Shane Battier|
|2010||Evan Turner||2000||Kenyon Martin|
|2009||Blake Griffin||1999||Elton Brand|
|2008||Tyler Hansbrough||1998||Antawn Jamison|
Again, no one is suggesting that college performance doesn’t matter, its simply no longer the best measure of a player’s potential or ability in the NBA for a number of factors.
The situation is often the biggest factor in success at any level. It is not uncommon in college basketball for a player to play out of position or in a role that isn’t always ideal for their skill set. Equally, in college, some players are asked to do more than they’d be asked to do in the NBA, which can also skew the results.
There is no doubt that some things translate more easily than others – rebounding, shot blocking and free throw shooting. However, historically, even some of the best college players have struggled in the NBA.
Judging a player based solely and exclusively on what you see in college has historically been a mistake on both sides. Draft history is littered with NBA All-Stars and MVP candidates falling in the draft process, while the number of top 10 picks that were elite in college that have washed out is extremely high.
There is no question the more you can see a player, the more you can learn, but there is a balance to the process and something to consider when you see a player erupt on the big stage this week.
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NBA Daily: 2018 NBA Mock Draft – 3/13/18
The March Madness Tournament gets underway this week, here is another look at the possible 2018 NBA Draft class.
The NCAA Tournament in college basketball gets underway this week, and while it’s easy to get caught up in the hype of the big games, most NBA teams don’t value the tournament nearly as much as fans. It is often said success in the tournament likely proves assumptions teams have about a player, however, failures often aren’t the huge penalties for a player’s draft stock as you might think.
The one thing teams do consider is how “bubble guys”, those players they are struggling to slot, fare in big game situations. Equally, the head-to-head matchups that emerge (where top-flight talents face-off) is usually the only time a team will see two players they may like go head-to-head, so there is value there.
It is also not at all uncommon for NBA team executives to huddle in conference rooms watching game after game, so there is no question the NBA will be watching.
Here is a look at this week’s Mock Draft:
Here are some of the pick swaps and how they landed where they are currently projected:
The Cleveland Cavaliers are owed the Brooklyn Nets’ first-round pick as a result of the Kyrie Irving trade this past summer. The Brooklyn Nets traded several unprotected picks to Boston as part of the Kevin Garnett and Paul Pierce trades in 2015.
The Philadelphia 76ers are owed the LA Lakers’ 2018 Draft pick, unprotected, as a result of the 2012 Steve Nash trade with the Suns. The Suns traded that pick to the 76ers as part of the Michael Carter-Williams three-team trade with the Milwaukee in 2015. The 76ers traded that pick to the Boston Celtics as part of the draft pick trade that became Markelle Fultz before the draft; it has 2 through 5 protections and based on the standings today would convey to Philadelphia.
The LA Clippers are owed the Detroit Pistons first-round pick in 2018 as a result of the Blake Griffin trade. The pick is top four protected and based on the current standings would convey.
The Phoenix Suns are owed the Milwaukee Bucks’ first-round pick as part of the Eric Bledsoe trade. The pick only conveys if the Bucks pick lands between the 11th and 16th pick, which based on the standings today would convey.
The Phoenix Suns are owed the Miami HEAT’s first-round pick as part of the Goran Dragic trade in 2015, it is top-seven protected and would convey to Phoenix based on the current standings.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are owed the Oklahoma City Thunder’s first-round pick as part of the Jazz/Wolves Ricky Rubio trade this past summer. The Jazz acquired the pick as part of the Thunder’s deal to obtain Enes Kanter in 2015. The pick is lottery protected and based on the current standings would convey.
The Atlanta Hawks are owed the Minnesota Timberwolves’ first-round pick as part of the Adreian Payne trade in 2015. The pick is lottery protected and based on the current standings would convey.
The Chicago Bulls are owed the New Orleans Pelicans first-round pick as a result of the Nikola Mirotic trade. The pick is top-five protected and based on the current standings would convey.
The LA Lakers are owed the Cleveland Cavaliers first-round pick as a result of Jordan Clarkson/Larry Nance Jr. trade. The pick is top-three protected and based on the current standings would convey.
The Brooklyn Nets are owed the Toronto Raptors’ first-round pick as part of the DeMarre Carroll salary dump trade this past summer. The pick is lottery protected and based on the current standings would convey.
The Atlanta Hawks are owed the Houston Rockets’ first-round pick as part of a three-team deal with the LA Clippers and Denver Nuggets involving Danilo Gallinari and taking back Jamal Crawford and Diamond Stone. The pick is top-three protected and based on the current standings would convey.
NBA Daily: 2018 NBA Mock Draft – 3/6/2018
Things are starting to pick up in NBA Draft circles. With the NCAA March Madness tournament getting underway next week, there is movement all over the draft board.
Things are starting to get interesting in college basketball with conference tournaments wrapping up this week and the NCAA tournament getting underway next week. While scouting and evaluating potential NBA draft prospects is a year-round job, there is more chatter and more talk about prospects taking place now than at any point in the season, so there was a little more movement in the Top 100 than in previous weeks.
Here is the latest 2018 NBA Mock Draft, enjoy:
Here are some of the pick swaps and how they landed where they are currently projected: