Despite an offseason marred by chaos and drama, the Cleveland Cavaliers will enter the 2017-18 campaign in full title contention mode. You can make a very strong argument that the Cavaliers have significantly closed the gap against their rival Golden State Warriors. Of course, the Warriors should still be considered the favorites in any potential matchup until proven otherwise, but the Cavaliers appear stronger and much deeper on paper.
The problem with this theory, is games aren’t played on stacks of loose-leaf.
This past summer, the Cavaliers introduced a new general manager and their franchise player, LeBron James, immediately spoke out praising the departed David Griffin. The team’s summer also involved a trade which shipped an emerging superstar in Kyrie Irving to a conference rival. Despite this turmoil, the argument can be made Cleveland got stronger.
One of the areas that severely plagued the Cavaliers last season was their lack of playmaking outside of the Irving and James duo. At the very least, the roster now is filled with guys that can create their own off the bounce and are threats to collapse defenses in order to facilitate offense for others.
The addition of Isaiah Thomas from the Boston Celtics in the Irving deal added scoring pop and another dynamic offensive threat. The free agency signings of former league MVP Derrick Rose and All-Star guard Dwyane Wade is an area that is really intriguing about the new look Cavaliers. Rose and Wade are two established scorers. Although both guys are no longer the threats they were in 2010, don’t confuse that with a lack of ability. The duo has established throughout their careers the ability hit big shots, generate offense and be solid playmakers.
Now let’s not confuse scoring with playmaking.
The Cavaliers did a decent job last season getting buckets, but in pivotal situations during the NBA Finals this past June, the team lacked the ability to create offense and this ultimately doomed them in their repeat bid versus the Warriors.
Veteran forwards Jae Crowder (also acquired in Irving deal) and Jeff Green provide head coach Tyronn Lue with multiple perimeter options and even more bodies to throw at reigning NBA Finals MVP Kevin Durant.
Crowder is known as a solid defender and a tough-as-nails competitor, while Green has only averaged less than 10 points in a season just once in nine campaigns as a professional. These two guys aren’t going to win a lot of popularity contests, but they provide tremendous depth and push rotational guys such as Richard Jefferson and Iman Shumpert deeper down the bench. The addition of Wade at shooting guard pushes two guys that would start on a lot of teams around the league, J.R. Smith and Kyle Korver, deeper down the bench.
Simply put, the Cavaliers are a very deep and intriguing unit. But let’s not get too ahead of ourselves. Cleveland has plenty of questions entering the season. The currently constructed lineup has the feel of an all-or-nothing type of unit – a “for a limited time only” vibe.
Free agency questions will dog James in every arena he steps foot in this season. James’ commitment is the team’s biggest mystery and the future of the franchise hinges on him being in the uniform long-term. The Cavaliers have a veteran group and the core of this unit will undoubtedly push back against any talk of potential distractions, as they should, but the future of James and the impact if he opts to bolt in free agency looms heavily on the franchise.
Rose and Wade have both been injury-prone in recent years. Wade is nearing retirement and in many ways, Rose is a shell of his once explosive self. Creaky knees have been the culprit in both cases. Adding more to the uncertainty for Rose and Wade is the fact both guys are free agents at the end of the season. So is the recently signed Green. Most importantly, so is the newly-acquired Thomas.
Thomas was in the MVP discussion the majority of last season and although the guard is coming off a hip injury, he will enter free agency next summer looking for a mega deal – especially if his body is able to return to form.
It seems inconceivable that the Cavaliers will be able to keep the quartet of James, Rose, Wade and Thomas together after this season. For instance, Rose is coming off a season where he averaged 18 points per game and believe it or not he still hasn’t reached the age of 30. Rose may not be content to sit behind Thomas on the depth chart long-term. On the flip side, Thomas may not be inclined to play minutes hovering in the low thirties as he enters his prime with Rose behind (or ahead of) him in the rotation.
Outside of the huge task of dethroning the Warriors, the Cavaliers must also navigate questions about their future while trying to gain chemistry on the fly if they want to convince management to keep the current band together. This isn’t even taking into consideration any potential James slippage from Father Time or the future of Kevin Love for instance, a free agent in 2019.
However, before we get too ahead of ourselves let’s reset and evaluate the Cavaliers for what they are heading into the current season: Cleveland is the favorite to once again emerge out of the Eastern Conference. The team would also be favorited head-to-head versus the majority of potential Western Conference foes.
But the boogeyman in the Warriors seemingly still reign supreme. This may be true, but the Cavaliers have closed the talent gap since this past June – on paper at least.
The Case for Upperclassmen in the NBA Draft
College upperclassmen are becoming increasingly viable options in the NBA Draft, writes David Yapkowitz.
Each year when the NBA draft comes around, there seems to be an aversion to taking upperclassman with a top selection. More specifically, it’s college seniors who often find themselves getting drafted in the second-round if at all.
It can be understandable. NBA teams are clearly looking for a home run pick with a lottery selection. They’re looking for a player who they can build a foundation around for years to come. College seniors often project as solid role players to strengthen a team once that foundational superstar is already in place.
However, recent years have seen the entire first round dominated almost entirely by freshmen and sophomores. In 2017, a college senior wasn’t drafted until the San Antonio Spurs took Derrick White with the 29th pick. The Los Angeles Lakers followed that up with Josh Hart. Hart ended up having a better rookie season than a few of the underclassmen taken ahead of him.
A few other upperclassmen, Frank Mason III, a senior, and Dillon Brooks, a junior, both had better rookie seasons than many of the freshmen taking before them as well. Junior Semi Ojeleye is playing a major role for the Boston Celtics who are in the Eastern Conference Finals.
In 2016, Malcolm Brogdon, another college senior, was taken in the second-round with the 36th pick by the Milwaukee Bucks. He went on to win the Rookie of the Year award and was a starter for a playoff team.
Senior Tyrone Wallace was taken with the last pick in the draft at No. 60 that year. When a rash of injuries hit the Los Angeles Clippers this season, Wallace stepped in right away as a starter at times and helped keep the team afloat in the playoff picture.
There were a few college seniors that went undrafted in 2016, players such as Fred VanVleet Yogi Ferrell that have had better NBA careers to this point that a lot of the underclassmen taken ahead of them.
This isn’t to say that NBA teams should completely abandon taking young, underdeveloped players in the first-round. The Spurs took Dejounte Murray, a freshman point guard, over Brogdon, Wallace, VanVleet and Ferrell. That’s worked out well for them. It’s more a testament to having a good front office and scouting team than anything else.
But maybe NBA teams should start expanding their horizons when it comes to the draft. There appears to be a stigma of sorts when it comes to upperclassmen, particularly college seniors. If a guy can play, he can play. Of course, college production is often not the best means of judging NBA success, but it does count for something.
With the 2018 NBA draft about one month away, there are a few interesting names to look at when it comes to college seniors. Players such as Devonte’ Graham from Kansas, Theo Pinson from North Carolina, Chandler Hutchinson from Boise State, Jevon Carter from West Virginia and Bonzie Colson from Notre Dame are all guys that should be on NBA team’s radars.
Sure, none of those guys are going to turn into a superstar or even an All-Star. But you’re probably going to get a player that becomes a solid contributor for years to come.
Again, it’s understandable when teams take projects in the lottery. After a long season of losing, and in some cases years of losing, ownership and the fanbase are hungry for results. They don’t want a top pick to be used on a player that projects as only a solid contributor.
But after the lottery, the rest of the draft gets a little murky. A good front office will find an NBA caliber player whether he’s a freshman or a senior. The NBA Draft isn’t an exact science. Nothing is ever for sure and no player is guaranteed to become the player they’re projected to be.
College upperclassmen tend to be more physically developed and mentally mature for the NBA game. If what you’re looking for is someone who will step right in and produce for a winning team, then instead of wasting a pick on the unknown, it might be better to go with the sure thing.
NBA Daily: Are the Houston Rockets in Trouble?
Game 2 of the Western Conference Finals may have been the perfect storm for Houston, writes Shane Rhodes.
The Houston Rockets took a gut punch from the Golden State Warriors, but they responded in Game 2 of the Western Conference Finals.
After they dropped the first game of the series, Houston evened things up at one apiece Wednesday night with a 127-105 blowout win over Golden State. With the Warriors struggling on the offensive end and Houston rebounding from a less than stellar Game 1, the Rockets rolled through the game with relative ease.
But was their improved demonstration a fluke? While fans may not want to hear it, Game 2 may have been the perfect storm for Houston.
The Rockets’ gameplan didn’t change much from Game 1 to 2. They attacked Steph Curry relentlessly on the offensive end, James Harden and Chris Paul took plenty of shots in isolation and their role players got shots to drop that just weren’t going down in Game 1. Eric Gordon, Trevor Ariza and P.J. Tucker exploded for 68 points while shooting 66.7 percent from three after scoring just 24 the previous game. The trio averaged only 35.8 points collectively during the regular season.
Meanwhile, Golden State couldn’t buy a bucket; starting Warriors not named Kevin Durant scored just 35 points. Curry shot just 1-8 from downtown while Klay Thompson, Draymond Green and Andre Iguadola combined for just 19 points while shooting 35 percent from the floor. All of that will undoubtedly change.
So, going back to Oakland for Game 3, where do the Rockets find themselves? Not in a great place, unfortunately.
Golden State did their job: they stole a game — and home-court advantage — from the Rockets at the Toyota Center. Now, as the series shifts back to Oracle Arena and, assuming the Warriors return to form in front of their home crowd, Houston will have their work more than cut out for them. If Curry, Thompson and Durant all have their shot falling, there isn’t much the Rockets can do to keep up
The Warriors, aside from Curry, played great team defense in Game 2, something that will likely continue into Game 3. The Rockets hit plenty of tough, contested shots — shots that won’t drop as they move away from the energy of the home crowd and shots that Golden State would gladly have Houston take again and again and again. Harden and Paul didn’t exactly bring their A-game in Game 2 either — the two combined for a solid 43 points but took an inefficient 38 shots to get there. If the two of them play like that at Oracle, the Warriors will abuse them in transition, something that can’t happen if the Rockets want to steal back the home-court advantage.
The aforementioned trio of Gordon, Ariza and Tucker are unlikely to replicate their Game 2 performance as well, and relying on them to do so would be foolish on the part of Rockets head coach Mike D’Antoni. Devising a game plan that will keep the offense moving while not leaning heavily on the role players will be of the utmost importance — if the offense returns to the bogged down effort that Houston gave in Game 1, the Rockets stand no chance.
Meanwhile, Warriors head coach Steve Kerr will likely adjust his defense in an effort to limit the Rockets effectiveness in the isolation while also trying to find somewhere to hide Curry on the defensive end. It almost certainly won’t be the same sets that Houston throttled in Game 2 which will take another toll on the Rockets offense, especially if they fail to execute.
Not everything looks bad for Houston, however. Faced with a do-or-die scenario, Harden, Paul and co. were the more aggressive team from the jump. Pushing the pace flustered the Warriors and forced some pretty bad turnovers consistently throughout the night. If they come out with the same kind of energy and pace, the Rockets could have Golden State on their heels as they did in Game 2.
Budding star Clint Capela also has plenty of room to improve his game, as he has averaged just 8.5 points and eight rebounds through the first two games of the series — the Rockets need him to play his best basketball of the season if they want a chance to win.
Still, the Warriors are virtually unbeatable at home. The team has lost three games this postseason, just four times over their last two playoff trips and not once at Oracle, making the Rockets’ task even more daunting than it already was. Like Game 2, Game 3 should be played as a do-or-die situation for the Rockets because, if they don’t come out with the same aggressive, up-tempo energy, things could be over quickly.
NBA Daily: Hope Not Lost for Mavs
The Dallas Mavericks were the lottery’s biggest losers, but VP of basketball operations Michael Finley still believes the team will land an elite talent.
Dallas Mavericks vice president of basketball operations Michael Finley knows what it’s like to be on the other side of the draft process. In 2018, he’s an executive for the third-worst team in the league that somehow slipped to the fifth overall pick in Tuesday night’s NBA Draft Lottery, but in 1995 he was a kid from the University of Wisconsin hoping to get drafted.
Finley was a first-round pick that summer, ironically selected by the Phoenix Suns, who won the first overall pick in the 2018 NBA Draft earlier this week, but he says he doesn’t even remember the lottery. The lottery wasn’t the event then that it has since become.
“The lottery wasn’t this big when I was in the draft,” Finley told Basketball Insiders. “I don’t even remember how the lottery process played out when I was coming out of college. It’s grown so much, but the league has grown. It’s good for fans, and it’s good for people to get excited about this process.”
Of course, the irony in getting excited about a draft pick isn’t lost on him.
“It’s kind of weird that [fans] are celebrating the losing process, isn’t it?”
Not surprisingly, Finley wasn’t especially thrilled to see his team fail to reap the rewards of a Dallas Mavericks season that was stepped in that losing process. The lottery odds will change next year, and Finley believes that’s a good thing.
“It’s a good thing to change the system a little,” he says. “It will help keep the integrity of the game intact, especially toward the end of the year. It also will be even more suspenseful than these lottery events have been in the past.”
That’s next year, though. This year, the Mavericks are tasked with finding an elite player at a pick lower than they expected. Finley’s trying to look at things optimistically.
“It could have been sixth,” he said. “It’s still in the top five, and going on what we did this season, we don’t want to be in this position next year, so hopefully the guy we pick at #5 will get us out of the lottery and back into the playoffs.”
In fact, having that selection doesn’t preclude the team from finding a star, especially in a draft this loaded. Most agree that Luka Doncic and DeAndre Ayton are the prizes of the draft, but there are other guys available with All-Star potential. Marvin Bagley, Trae Young, Michael Porter, Jr., and Mo Bamba all have incredibly high ceilings. The Mavs may yet do something meaningful with that selection.
“It’s a strong draft, and a lot of the draft is going to go with what player fits what team in a particular system. If you’re lucky enough to get that perfect combination, the players that are in this draft are really good and have the capability of helping a team right away.”
That’s what Finley and the rest of the Mavericks’ organization hopes will happen in 2018-2019.