The Golden State Warriors may be 31-6, but that doesn’t mean much considering that they’re a combined 0-5 against the San Antonio Spurs, Houston Rockets, Memphis Grizzlies and Cleveland Cavaliers.
Although it’s true that the playoffs are still several months away, some of the issues that have plagued the Warriors may not be solvable without addressing one of their key personnel issues. After all, the old adage holds true; you can’t teach size.
* * * * * *
Winning in the NBA requires many things—talent, capable coaching and good luck, to name a few. There may be differing opinions as it relates to whether or not being an elite defensive team is a requisite for the highest level of success, but at the very least, a championship caliber team needs to be able to get stops in the waning moments of games. What the Spurs, Rockets, Grizzlies and Cavaliers have each proven to have, though, are players that the Warriors appear to have difficulty stopping.
The Spurs and Warriors met on the first night of the regular season and considering the 129-100 final score by which the Warriors lost, one could easily surmise that the final result was an aberration. The Warriors won’t meet the Spurs again until May, but what was revealed in that game was that the Warriors defensive rotations and ability to simultaneously stop a driving swingman and defend against a big midrange shooter were questionable, at least. Kawhi Leonard had his way with Golden State, getting wherever he wanted on the perimeter while LaMarcus Aldridge used his size advantage to finish in the paint. That the team shot 12-for-24 from the three-point line was an obvious help.
Still, in the losses that the Warriors have suffered since then, there have been some alarming consistencies. On December 1, after succumbing to the Houston Rockets by the tune of a 132-127 overtime decision, James Harden had danced and pranced his way to a 29-point, 15-rebound, 13-assist triple-double and got 11 combined three-pointers from Ryan Anderson, Eric Gordon and Sam Dekker.
What these losses revealed are two things: first, despite being a plus-defensive team, the Warriors do not have a defender on the roster that is capable of single-handedly shutting down the game’s elite wing players. Like in years past, the Warriors continue to employ trapping schemes and swift rotations to cover up for their lack of size. The problem, however, is that with more and more NBA teams coming to rely on floor spacing and three-point shooting, it’s becoming impossible for the Warriors to both guard the perimeter as a team and defend the paint as a team. As seen in their January 6 loss against the Grizzlies (where the Warriors blew a 24-point lead), the Dubs had absolutely no answer for the combination of Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol. Mike Conley’s 27 points and 12 assists obviously went a long way as well.
Again, it may still be relatively early in the season, but the Warriors have some issues that they need to resolve. The propensity of most people would be to look at their 31-6 record and dismiss any talk of an imminent demise, but doing so would be a tremendous mistake that could thwart the Warriors as they attempt to become a part of the first NBA Finals trilogy in history. Because to be frank, there’s no way the Cavaliers aren’t winning the East.
If the Dubs want to meet them there, though, they’ve got a few things to figure out.
* * * * * *
Any NBA general manager would have jumped at the opportunity to add a player like Kevin Durant. There were obvious chemistry concerns, just as there were when LeBron James and Dwayne Wade decided to join forces in Miami. That’s where good coaching comes in. A good coach is able to connect with his players and help them buy into a common goal. To his credit, Kerr seems to have found a happy medium.
However, signing Durant came at an obvious cost. Andrew Bogut, Festus Ezeli, Harrison Barnes and Marreese Speights were amongst the salary cap casualties. Bogut, Ezeli and Speights were each able to guard the interior by themselves, giving the other four players the ability to zone trap the basketball and otherwise use a strength in numbers approach to thwart opposing offenses. Even when the Warriors utilized their “Death Lineup,” which features Draymond Green as the center, depending on matchups and situations, Kerr would often go to one of the three aforementioned big men in key moments, even if only for a few minutes.
What was special about the small lineup that featured Green as the center was the uniqueness of it. During the 2014-15 championship season, opposing coaches had little experience battling and figuring out how to overcome it. At that time, Aldridge hadn’t joined the Spurs, the Grizzlies were unhealthy and Kevin Love was still trying to figure out how to fit in with the Cavaliers. In other words, the league was completely different back then. Things have changed, and the Warriors need to adjust. In short, Kerr needs to either find more rotation minutes for Zaza Pachulia or JaVale McGee or general manager Bob Myers needs to find a way to replace Bogut by finding a center who can defend, pass, rebound and finish.
For all that has been said of the Warriors blowing a 3-1 lead in the NBA Finals, not enough has been said of the fact that Bogut was missing in action. Injured during the third quarter of Game 5 (a game the Warriors would end up losing), the Warriors missed their starting center for the remainder of the Finals.
Said differently, including their Christmas Day choke job, the Warriors are 0-4 against the Cavaliers in their last four games—all played without Bogut. Meanwhile, entering Game 5 of the 2016 Finals, the Warriors had gone an impressive 8-1 against the Cavs in their nine prior meetings.
Again, at 31-6, it’s difficult to find much to complain about if you’re a fan of the Golden State Warriors, but their regular season dominance won’t mean much when the playoffs begin. Returning to the NBA Finals for a third consecutive year will likely require going through at least two of the Grizzlies, Spurs, Rockets and Los Angeles Clippers. In each their own right, those four teams have some of the common characteristics of teams that we have seen give the Warriors problems recently.
And then, if they’re lucky, the Cavaliers will probably be there waiting for them in the Finals.
* * * * * *
In acquiring Durant and cutting ties with some of the key defensive rotation players from last season’s team, the Warriors have effectively doubled down on the idea that they can outshoot and outscore other teams when they need to. For the most part, it has been a winning strategy—just not against the Spurs, Rockets, Grizzlies and Cavaliers.
Make no mistake about it. The Warriors have work to do. Their championship hopes depend on it.
Trae Young Believes He’s NBA Ready
Trae Young has exceeded expectations since his freshman year of college, and he believes he will continue to do so in the NBA
Before the collegiate season started, many believed that the best players in the upcoming NBA draft were going to be bigs. DeAndre Ayton, Mo Bamba, and Michael Porter Jr., all of whom were 6’10’’ or taller, were considered to be among the top prospects coming out of the NCAA, but Trae Young had something to say about that.
Coming out of high school, Young was regarded as one of the better incoming freshmen, but not among the best of the best. Young ranked no. 23 in ESPN’s top 100 in 2017 and was ranked third among point guards, behind Collin Sexton and Jaylen Hands, which led to low expectations for him. Young proved right out of the gate that he was much better than the scouts had rated him.
Young tore up college ball as an Oklahoma Sooner, as he averaged 27.2 points and 8.7 assists while shooting 42 percent from the field including 36 percent from three. While Young’s play made him stand out among his peers, it didn’t translate into much success on the court. The Sooners went 18-14 on the season and were eliminated in the first round of the NCAA tournament.
Now that the season is over, Young is shifting his focus to his next stop: the NBA. With the draft coming up in just a little over a month, only one word comes to mind when describing Young’s current mindset: Confidence.
“I bring a lot of things to the next level. I think I would bring an immediate impact off the court as much as I do on the court,” Young said at the NBA combine. “I can space out the defense. I can attack defenders in multiple ways, get my teammates involved. I think I can pretty much do it all for a team and I’m looking forward to whichever team I go to and making a huge impact.”
While Young is not expected to be picked in the top five, he should be picked between the six to ten range. Any player who is selected in that range has to work his absolute hardest to live up to the lengthy expectations that he will certainly face once he enters the NBA. Young luckily sounds like he is up to the task.
“I prepared extremely hard coming into the college season and making a huge impact right away, and I’m working two times as hard this summer preparing to get into the NBA level,” Young said. “I want to make a huge impact right away.”
Young is expected to be a high lottery pick, but he doesn’t care much for where he is selected as much as he cares about going to the team that suits him best.
“My main focus is going to the right team. It’s not about going one, two, three or 30. You see a lot of guys going in the second round in certain years that make big impacts for teams,” Young said. “It’s all about the fit for me. Whether that’s one or whether that’s whatever it is, I’m going to be happy and I’m going to be ready to make an impact.”
Young’s expected high draft position stems from his electrifying play as a scorer in college. Young’s performance for Oklahoma his freshman year was impressive enough to draw comparisons to NBA megastar Stephen Curry. While Young is flattered to be mentioned in the same breath as Curry, he takes pride in being his own player.
“He’s a two-time MVP and a champion. I mean, I love the comparison but I feel like I bring a lot of different things from different players’ games to the table,” Young said. “I’m just trying to be the best version of Trae Young. That’s all that matters to me. I’m just getting started in this thing so hopefully I can achieve some of those things.”
Young’s skillset may remind fans of Curry, but Young prides himself on modeling his game after his favorite player of all time: Steve Nash.
“With his size and my size, we’re pretty similar,” Young said. “He is very cerebral. He can score on all three levels and he knows how to get his teammates involved. He’s a winner so I feel like a lot of his characteristics match with mine.”
Those who have watched Young know of his offensive repertoire, but skeptics have pointed to his defensive shortcomings as a red flag. Young, however, believes his play at the combine will show that he can be a positive on the other side of the ball.
“I’m excited about having the opportunity to show people that I can play defense, and I’m excited to show that from day one,”
When all is said and done, Young may very well wind up being the most prolific scorer to come out of what many believe is a loaded draft, but Young has much bigger ambitions in mind for his career.
“I think I’m the best overall player in this draft, but my main focus isn’t necessarily to be the best player in this draft,” Young said. “My goal is to be the best player in the NBA. That’s what I’m focusing on each and every day.”
NBA Daily: Jaylen Hands Makes Good Showing at the NBA Combine
Jaylen Hands made a good showing at the NBA Combine by displaying his offensive skills and defensive intensity.
UCLA has produced a few of the NBA’s top point guards over the last decade or so, including Russell Westbrook and Jrue Holiday. Jrue’s younger brother, Aaron Holiday, has declared for this year’s draft and is projected by several NBA insiders to be selected with a first-round pick (likely in the 20-30 range). But Aaron Holiday isn’t the only UCLA point guard who may end up taking his talents to the NBA this offseason. Jaylen Hands, who is still just 19 years old and finished his freshman season, has also entered his name into this year’s draft.
While Hands has entered his name into the draft and participated in the NBA Combine, he has not hired an agent, which preserves his ability to return to college (Hands has until June 11 to make a final decision). Considering Hands’ young age and raw skill set, he isn’t projected by many insiders to hear his name called on draft night. But he certainly helped his cause in the Combine, showcasing his offensive talents, the muscle he has added to his slight frame since the end of his freshman season and aggressiveness on defense.
Basketball Insiders spoke with Hands at the Combine about his development, going through the pre-draft process, competing against familiar faces and more.
“It’s crazy, it’s crazy because when we were younger, they said the exact thing: ‘You guys are going to see each other forever.’” Hands said when asked about competing against many of the same players over the years and now at the Combine. “And you don’t really believe what they’re saying. But now you go through high school, you’re a senior, All-Star activities and you go to the Combine, you see the same people. It’s crazy.”
Hands has a notable skill set but is a raw prospect that many believe would be better served spending another year in college. While Hands needs to continue filling out his frame, he did register decent measurements at the Combine in relation to a top guard prospect – Trae Young of Oklahoma. Hands weighed in at 1.2 lbs heavier than Young, and outmatched Young in height (with and without shoes), standing reach and wingspan. Ironically, Hands has the smallest hands of all players that participated in the Combine. While these measurements don’t mean that he is currently a comparable prospect to Young, they could address some concerns about his current physical profile and how it may ultimately translate to the NBA.
Hands proved himself to be a confident and aggressive player in his freshman season at UCLA – something that he believes has led to misconceptions about his game.
“I’m not a point guard,” Hands said when asked about what misconceptions people have about his game.
I wouldn’t say it’s common, like it’s the main thing. But I’ve heard that I shoot first or something like that. I just feel like I attack a lot. I think I attack a lot and I’m of size to being a [two guard], so I think some people get it misconstrued. I just think I’m attack first, set my teammates up, get what I get.”
Hands is clearly aware of the common perceptions and current shortcomings in his game, which is why he is working hard to improve his overall skill set and is testing the NBA waters to get feedback from teams.
“Before I came here, just being more steady working on my shot, making good reads out of the pick and roll, finishing.” Hands said when asked about what parts of his game he was working on before coming to the Combine.
Hands was asked to clarify what he believes is his best strength at this point. Hands didn’t hesitate and pointed toward his ability to make plays off the dribble.
“My best strength is getting in the paint. So I get in the paint and make plays,” Hands said.
Hands is also clearly aware of UCLA’s history of producing quality point guards and has a chance to one day develop into a quality guard at the NBA level. However, with Holiday heading to the NBA and no major competition for the starting point guard position at UCLA next season, it may benefit Hands to hold off on turning pro for at least another year.
Whether he stays at UCLA or commits to this year’s draft, there’s no doubt that Hands is going to keep pushing to develop into a quality NBA player.
“I want to be the best player I can in the league,” Hands said. “That’s my goal.”
NBA Daily: 2018 60-Pick NBA Mock Draft – 5/22/18
The final 2018 NBA Draft order is set and Basketball Insiders’ publisher Steve Kyler offers up his latest 60-pick NBA Mock Draft.
Lots of Draft Movement
With the draft order now set for the 2018 NBA Draft, there is some sense of how the draft might play out.
The buzz coming out of the NBA Draft Combine in Chicago is that a number of picks could be had in trade include all three of the top selections. Word is the initial asking price is very high and more of an indication to the San Antonio Spurs that if they do want to part with disgruntled star Kawhi Leonard, they are open for business.
It’s also worth noting that there is a growing sense that both the Sacramento Kings and Atlanta Hawk may be far higher on some of the domestic bigs in the draft more so than euro sensation Luka Dončić. Both teams are expected to take a long look at Dončić, so their views on him could change as we get closer to the draft, but for now, Dončić may go lower.
Here is the latest 60-Pick NBA Mock Draft, reflecting the final draft order and the latest buzz, rumors, and intel from in and around the NBA:Dates To Know:
The NCAA requires all players wishing to maintain their college eligibility, without penalty, to withdraw from the NBA Draft by 11:59 pm on May 30. That is an NCAA mandated date, not related to anything involving the NBA, and that notice must be delivered in writing.
The NBA’s draft withdrawal date is June 11 by 5:00 pm ET. The NBA’s date allows a prospect to remain NBA draft eligible for future NBA drafts and is not related to any NCAA rule or date. There are ways for college players that did not accept benefits to return to college. However, they may be subject to NCAA penalties.
The 2018 NBA Draft is June 21.
The Pick Swaps:
The Cleveland Cavaliers are owed the Brooklyn Nets’ first-round pick as a result of the Kyrie Irving trade this past summer. The Brooklyn Nets traded several unprotected picks to Boston as part of the Kevin Garnett and Paul Pierce trades in 2015.
The Philadelphia 76ers are owed the LA Lakers’ 2018 Draft pick, unprotected, as a result of the 2012 Steve Nash trade with the Suns. The Suns traded that pick to the 76ers as part of the Michael Carter-Williams three-team trade with the Milwaukee in 2015. The 76ers traded that pick to the Boston Celtics as part of the draft pick trade that became Markelle Fultz before the draft; it has 2 through 5 protections. This pick will convey.
The LA Clippers are owed the Detroit Pistons first-round pick in 2018 as a result of the Blake Griffin trade.
The Phoenix Suns are owed the Miami HEAT’s first-round pick as part of the Goran Dragic trade in 2015, it is top-seven protected and would convey to Phoenix based on the final NBA standings.
The Phoenix Suns were owed the Milwaukee Bucks’ first-round pick as part of the Eric Bledsoe trade. The pick would only convey if the Bucks pick landed between the 11th and 16th pick, which based on the final NBA standings did not convey. The Suns will now receive the Bucks 2019 first-round pick assuming it falls between the fourth and 16th pick.
The Atlanta Hawks are owed the Minnesota Timberwolves’ first-round pick as part of the Adreian Payne trade in 2015. The pick was lottery protected and would convey to Atlanta based on the final NBA standings.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are owed the Oklahoma City Thunder’s first-round pick as part of the Jazz/Wolves Ricky Rubio trade this past summer. The Jazz acquired the pick as part of the Thunder’s deal to obtain Enes Kanter in 2015. The pick was lottery protected and would convey based on the final NBA standings.
The Chicago Bulls are owed the New Orleans Pelicans first-round pick as a result of the Nikola Mirotic trade. The pick was top-five protected and based on the final NBA standings would convey
The LA Lakers are owed the Cleveland Cavaliers first-round pick as a result of Jordan Clarkson/Larry Nance Jr. trade. The pick was top-three protected and based on the final NBA standings would convey
The Brooklyn Nets are owed the Toronto Raptors’ first-round pick as part of the DeMarre Carroll salary dump trade this past summer. The pick was lottery protected and based on the final NBA standings would convey
The Atlanta Hawks are owed the Houston Rockets’ first-round pick as part of a three-team deal with the LA Clippers and Denver Nuggets involving Danilo Gallinari and taking back Jamal Crawford and Diamond Stone. The pick was top-three protected and based on the final NBA standings would convey
Check out the Basketball Insiders’ Top 100 NBA Draft Prospects – http://www.basketballinsiders.com/top-100-nba-draft-prospects/
More Twitter: Make sure you are following all of our guys on Twitter to ensure you are getting the very latest from our team: @stevekylerNBA, @LangGreene, @EricPincus, @joelbrigham, @TommyBeer, @MokeHamilton , @jblancartenba, @Ben_Dowsett, @SpinDavies, @JamesB_NBA, @DennisChambers_, @mike_yaffe, @MattJohnNBA, and @Ben__Nadeau .