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Patience is Key for Carmelo Anthony and the Knicks

The Knicks need to be patient and weight their options with Carmelo Anthony, Tommy Beer writes.

Tommy Beer

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To trade, or not to trade? That has been the question that has engulfed the Knicks organization for weeks.

The never-ending soap opera has had countless twists and turns. At first, it appeared the Knicks were inclined to try and trade their highest paid player. That was until Carmelo Anthony let it be known that he had no interest in waiving his no-trade clause. The rumors seemed to be squashed the for a bit. However, the trade winds started swirling again after one of Phil Jackson’s buddies published a piece knocking Melo, stating that Anthony had “outlived his usefulness in New York.”

In the days since, a potential trade with the Clippers gained traction. Then it was reported that the Celtics were back in the mix. It’s been difficult to track all the discussions purportedly taking place, despite Melo maintaining (at least publicly) that he would still prefer to stay in New York.

Only one thing is certain in this convoluted mess: The situation will only become more tangled and tortuous in the 22 days that remain before the Feb. 23 trade deadline. Some of the trade conversations will be leaked, some won’t. Some reported conversations will be real, many won’t contain even a grain of truth.

The more important question is, what should the Knicks do?

In short, it all depends on what Phil Jackson and company can get in return.

The Knicks would be smart to pull the trigger on the right trade, but only if that deal netted them valuable future assets. But make no mistake, it would be foolish of the Knicks to simply dump Carmelo in the misguided belief that shipping out Anthony (and his hefty contract) would be addition by subtraction.

Carmelo Anthony was never a perfect player, we know this. He’s always had flaws. Yet, he is also one of the most gifted scorers in the history of the league. And while he’s not the athlete or the scorer he was in his 20’s, he can still put up points with the best of them. In fact, Anthony has looked surprisingly spry and dynamic of late.

Over the Knicks’ last seven games, Anthony is averaging 30.0 points, 7.4 rebounds, 2.4 assists and 2.4 3-pointers, while shooting 48.8 percent from the floor and 40.5 percent from downtown.

Melo was one of just seven NBA players to average at least 25 points, six boards and three assists per game in January. The other six players to match those totals were: LeBron James, Karl-Anthony Towns, DeMarcus Cousins, Kevin Durant, James Harden and Russell Westbrook.

While Melo was likely overrated for much of his career, it’s quite possible that the pendulum has swung too far in the other direction this season. There are some pundits and fans in New York that seem desperate to rid him from the roster, regardless of the return.

In the discussions Phil Jackson had with Doc Rivers of the Clippers, it was reported that Doc let in be known he would not consider moving any of his core four players (Chris Paul, Blake Griffin, DeAndre Jordan, J.J. Redick). That would mean the Knicks would be forced to take back a package of spare parts, “highlighted” by Austin Rivers and Jamal Crawford. That is the type of trade that would set the franchise back.

Yes, Anthony is a below-average defender and he’s creeping towards his mid-30’s, but that does not mean Melo’s value has fallen to the point where he should be shipped off for one-way bench players. Melo has value. Smart, well-run organizations don’t simply shed marketable assets without getting commensurate value in return.

If the Knicks are going to trade Anthony, they need to make sure they get back some combination of the following: a first-round draft or two (preferably in the top half of the draft), promising young players still on rookie-scale deals and/or quality vets locked into affordable, cap-friendly contracts.

If Phil is unable to get back something approximating equal value in exchange for Anthony, then he simply needs to close up shop and re-examine the trade market over the summer.

There are many benefits to holding onto Melo and putting him back on the block in June or July. For starters, the number of interested suitors will be far greater in the summer. Right now, it appears as almost a lock that the Warriors will come out of the West and the Cavs will again claim the East. The numbers of teams that consider themselves true contenders for the crown are few and far between.

Come the offseason, teams have a much more optimistic view of the future. In the warm weather of the summer months, anything seems possible. Look at what the Orlando Magic did last June. After promising their fans that they were on the precipice of a playoff push, they traded former second overall pick Victor Oladipo, the 11th overall pick in the 2016 NBA draft (Domantas Sabonis) and Ersan Ilyasova for Serge Ibaka, who had just one year left on his contract. Orlando currently has the second-worst record in the Eastern Conference (19-31) and is looking at the very real possibility of losing Ibaka via free agency in July of 2017 and receiving nothing in return.

In addition to more teams being willing to make a major move in the offseason, another benefit of waiting is that salary cap constraints are often less prohibitive that time of year. For instance, the Clippers are currently hard-capped, meaning they need to swap out nearly identical salaries in order to make any trade.

Furthermore, if the Knicks plan to land a top-tier free-agent in July, the presence of Carmelo Anthony will likely appeal to veterans that want to win right away. For instance, the Knicks obviously need an upgrade at point guard, and one of the best on the open market will be Chris Paul. Obviously, there is an infinitely better chance that CP3 signs with the Knicks if Anthony is on the roster. And friendships aside, it’s safe to assume other top point guards such as George Hill and Jrue Holiday would also prefer to play on a team with an elite catch-and-shoot scorer such as Carmelo Anthony. Upper crust free agents, who have a variety of options to choose from, are frequently hesitant to commit to an organization in the early stages of a rebuild.

Those in favor of trading Melo, even at a steep discount if need be, will argue that doing so increases the odds of New York landing a high lottery pick. However, the Knicks already have 21 wins on the season, and they would still have a decent roster with a few proud vets even if Melo was moved, so it’s not like they would come close to catching the Nets for the league’s worst record and landing a top-three overall pick.

Others contend that the Anthony is holding back the progress and development of Kristaps Porzingis. This simply isn’t true. Porzingis has consistently benefited from playing alongside Melo.

At some point in the near future, Anthony will either move on or recede into the background and Porzingis will inherit the throne as the face of the Knickerbocker franchise. But there is no need to rush the passing of that weighty batton. Let it happen organically.

Melo draws an incredible amount of attention, both on and off the floor, and that makes Porzingis’ life much easier.

Sharing the court with Carmelo, who often commands double-teams, creates easy scoring opportunities for KP. Off the floor, having Anthony in the locker room has been a huge benefit to all the Knicks, especially Porzingis. It’s allowed him to grow up outside the glare of the white-hot spotlight, which can be especially intense in NYC. With all the media attention focused on the “Melo-drama,” Porzingis has been able to stumble without much scrutiny directed his way.

Over a five-game stretch in the middle of January, Porzingis, while dealing with a nagging Achilles injury, averaged 10.6 points and 3.2 rebounds per contest, while shooting under 38 percent from the floor and 13.6 percent from 3-point territory. Yet, barely anybody mentioned KP’s struggles. Instead, everybody was focused on the daily turmoil surrounding Anthony.

Again, the weight of the franchise will someday soon land on the shoulders of Porzingis, but there is no harm delaying the inevitable a bit longer and allowing KP to built up the strength necessary to carry the burden that comes along with that responsibility.

Looking at the big picture, trading away Carmelo Anthony may make sense as long as Phil Jackson receives assets in return that benefit and boost the long-term health of the franchise. If the Knicks foolishly dump Melo and don’t get back sufficient value, it would likely be viewed years down the road as a disastrous decision that set the organization back even further.

Tommy Beer is a Senior NBA Analyst and the Fantasy Sports Editor of Basketball Insiders, having covered the NBA for the last nine seasons.

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NBA

Trae Young Believes He’s NBA Ready

Trae Young has exceeded expectations since his freshman year of college, and he believes he will continue to do so in the NBA

Matt John

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Before the collegiate season started, many believed that the best players in the upcoming NBA draft were going to be bigs. DeAndre Ayton, Mo Bamba, and Michael Porter Jr., all of whom were 6’10’’ or taller, were considered to be among the top prospects coming out of the NCAA, but Trae Young had something to say about that.

Coming out of high school, Young was regarded as one of the better incoming freshmen, but not among the best of the best. Young ranked no. 23 in ESPN’s top 100 in 2017 and was ranked third among point guards, behind Collin Sexton and Jaylen Hands, which led to low expectations for him. Young proved right out of the gate that he was much better than the scouts had rated him.

Young tore up college ball as an Oklahoma Sooner, as he averaged 27.2 points and 8.7 assists while shooting 42 percent from the field including 36 percent from three. While Young’s play made him stand out among his peers, it didn’t translate into much success on the court. The Sooners went 18-14 on the season and were eliminated in the first round of the NCAA tournament.

Now that the season is over, Young is shifting his focus to his next stop: the NBA. With the draft coming up in just a little over a month, only one word comes to mind when describing Young’s current mindset: Confidence.

“I bring a lot of things to the next level. I think I would bring an immediate impact off the court as much as I do on the court,” Young said at the NBA combine. “I can space out the defense. I can attack defenders in multiple ways, get my teammates involved. I think I can pretty much do it all for a team and I’m looking forward to whichever team I go to and making a huge impact.”

While Young is not expected to be picked in the top five, he should be picked between the six to ten range. Any player who is selected in that range has to work his absolute hardest to live up to the lengthy expectations that he will certainly face once he enters the NBA. Young luckily sounds like he is up to the task.

“I prepared extremely hard coming into the college season and making a huge impact right away, and I’m working two times as hard this summer preparing to get into the NBA level,” Young said. “I want to make a huge impact right away.”

Young is expected to be a high lottery pick, but he doesn’t care much for where he is selected as much as he cares about going to the team that suits him best.

“My main focus is going to the right team. It’s not about going one, two, three or 30. You see a lot of guys going in the second round in certain years that make big impacts for teams,” Young said. “It’s all about the fit for me. Whether that’s one or whether that’s whatever it is, I’m going to be happy and I’m going to be ready to make an impact.”

Young’s expected high draft position stems from his electrifying play as a scorer in college. Young’s performance for Oklahoma his freshman year was impressive enough to draw comparisons to NBA megastar Stephen Curry. While Young is flattered to be mentioned in the same breath as Curry, he takes pride in being his own player.

“He’s a two-time MVP and a champion. I mean, I love the comparison but I feel like I bring a lot of different things from different players’ games to the table,” Young said. “I’m just trying to be the best version of Trae Young. That’s all that matters to me. I’m just getting started in this thing so hopefully I can achieve some of those things.”

Young’s skillset may remind fans of Curry, but Young prides himself on modeling his game after his favorite player of all time: Steve Nash.

“With his size and my size, we’re pretty similar,” Young said. “He is very cerebral. He can score on all three levels and he knows how to get his teammates involved. He’s a winner so I feel like a lot of his characteristics match with mine.”

Those who have watched Young know of his offensive repertoire, but skeptics have pointed to his defensive shortcomings as a red flag. Young, however, believes his play at the combine will show that he can be a positive on the other side of the ball.

“I’m excited about having the opportunity to show people that I can play defense, and I’m excited to show that from day one,”

When all is said and done, Young may very well wind up being the most prolific scorer to come out of what many believe is a loaded draft, but Young has much bigger ambitions in mind for his career.

“I think I’m the best overall player in this draft, but my main focus isn’t necessarily to be the best player in this draft,” Young said. “My goal is to be the best player in the NBA. That’s what I’m focusing on each and every day.”

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NBA Daily: Jaylen Hands Makes Good Showing at the NBA Combine

Jaylen Hands made a good showing at the NBA Combine by displaying his offensive skills and defensive intensity.

Jesse Blancarte

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UCLA has produced a few of the NBA’s top point guards over the last decade or so, including Russell Westbrook and Jrue Holiday. Jrue’s younger brother, Aaron Holiday, has declared for this year’s draft and is projected by several NBA insiders to be selected with a first-round pick (likely in the 20-30 range). But Aaron Holiday isn’t the only UCLA point guard who may end up taking his talents to the NBA this offseason. Jaylen Hands, who is still just 19 years old and finished his freshman season, has also entered his name into this year’s draft.

While Hands has entered his name into the draft and participated in the NBA Combine, he has not hired an agent, which preserves his ability to return to college (Hands has until June 11 to make a final decision). Considering Hands’ young age and raw skill set, he isn’t projected by many insiders to hear his name called on draft night. But he certainly helped his cause in the Combine, showcasing his offensive talents, the muscle he has added to his slight frame since the end of his freshman season and aggressiveness on defense.

Basketball Insiders spoke with Hands at the Combine about his development, going through the pre-draft process, competing against familiar faces and more.

“It’s crazy, it’s crazy because when we were younger, they said the exact thing: ‘You guys are going to see each other forever.’” Hands said when asked about competing against many of the same players over the years and now at the Combine. “And you don’t really believe what they’re saying. But now you go through high school, you’re a senior, All-Star activities and you go to the Combine, you see the same people. It’s crazy.”

Hands has a notable skill set but is a raw prospect that many believe would be better served spending another year in college. While Hands needs to continue filling out his frame, he did register decent measurements at the Combine in relation to a top guard prospect – Trae Young of Oklahoma. Hands weighed in at 1.2 lbs heavier than Young, and outmatched Young in height (with and without shoes), standing reach and wingspan. Ironically, Hands has the smallest hands of all players that participated in the Combine. While these measurements don’t mean that he is currently a comparable prospect to Young, they could address some concerns about his current physical profile and how it may ultimately translate to the NBA.

Hands proved himself to be a confident and aggressive player in his freshman season at UCLA – something that he believes has led to misconceptions about his game.

“I’m not a point guard,” Hands said when asked about what misconceptions people have about his game.

I wouldn’t say it’s common, like it’s the main thing. But I’ve heard that I shoot first or something like that. I just feel like I attack a lot. I think I attack a lot and I’m of size to being a [two guard], so I think some people get it misconstrued. I just think I’m attack first, set my teammates up, get what I get.”

Hands is clearly aware of the common perceptions and current shortcomings in his game, which is why he is working hard to improve his overall skill set and is testing the NBA waters to get feedback from teams.

“Before I came here, just being more steady working on my shot, making good reads out of the pick and roll, finishing.” Hands said when asked about what parts of his game he was working on before coming to the Combine.

Hands was asked to clarify what he believes is his best strength at this point. Hands didn’t hesitate and pointed toward his ability to make plays off the dribble.

“My best strength is getting in the paint. So I get in the paint and make plays,” Hands said.

Hands is also clearly aware of UCLA’s history of producing quality point guards and has a chance to one day develop into a quality guard at the NBA level. However, with Holiday heading to the NBA and no major competition for the starting point guard position at UCLA next season, it may benefit Hands to hold off on turning pro for at least another year.

Whether he stays at UCLA or commits to this year’s draft, there’s no doubt that Hands is going to keep pushing to develop into a quality NBA player.

“I want to be the best player I can in the league,” Hands said. “That’s my goal.”

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Mock Drafts

NBA Daily: 2018 60-Pick NBA Mock Draft – 5/22/18

The final 2018 NBA Draft order is set and Basketball Insiders’ publisher Steve Kyler offers up his latest 60-pick NBA Mock Draft.

Steve Kyler

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Lots of Draft Movement

With the draft order now set for the 2018 NBA Draft, there is some sense of how the draft might play out.

The buzz coming out of the NBA Draft Combine in Chicago is that a number of picks could be had in trade include all three of the top selections. Word is the initial asking price is very high and more of an indication to the San Antonio Spurs that if they do want to part with disgruntled star Kawhi Leonard, they are open for business.

It’s also worth noting that there is a growing sense that both the Sacramento Kings and Atlanta Hawk may be far higher on some of the domestic bigs in the draft more so than euro sensation Luka Dončić. Both teams are expected to take a long look at Dončić, so their views on him could change as we get closer to the draft, but for now, Dončić may go lower.

Here is the latest 60-Pick NBA Mock Draft, reflecting the final draft order and the latest buzz, rumors, and intel from in and around the NBA:

Dates To Know:

The NCAA requires all players wishing to maintain their college eligibility, without penalty, to withdraw from the NBA Draft by 11:59 pm on May 30. That is an NCAA mandated date, not related to anything involving the NBA, and that notice must be delivered in writing.

The NBA’s draft withdrawal date is June 11 by 5:00 pm ET. The NBA’s date allows a prospect to remain NBA draft eligible for future NBA drafts and is not related to any NCAA rule or date. There are ways for college players that did not accept benefits to return to college. However, they may be subject to NCAA penalties.

The 2018 NBA Draft is June 21.

The Pick Swaps:

The Cleveland Cavaliers are owed the Brooklyn Nets’ first-round pick as a result of the Kyrie Irving trade this past summer. The Brooklyn Nets traded several unprotected picks to Boston as part of the Kevin Garnett and Paul Pierce trades in 2015.

The Philadelphia 76ers are owed the LA Lakers’ 2018 Draft pick, unprotected, as a result of the 2012 Steve Nash trade with the Suns. The Suns traded that pick to the 76ers as part of the Michael Carter-Williams three-team trade with the Milwaukee in 2015. The 76ers traded that pick to the Boston Celtics as part of the draft pick trade that became Markelle Fultz before the draft; it has 2 through 5 protections. This pick will convey.

The LA Clippers are owed the Detroit Pistons first-round pick in 2018 as a result of the Blake Griffin trade.

The Phoenix Suns are owed the Miami HEAT’s first-round pick as part of the Goran Dragic trade in 2015, it is top-seven protected and would convey to Phoenix based on the final NBA standings.

The Phoenix Suns were owed the Milwaukee Bucks’ first-round pick as part of the Eric Bledsoe trade. The pick would only convey if the Bucks pick landed between the 11th and 16th pick, which based on the final NBA standings did not convey. The Suns will now receive the Bucks 2019 first-round pick assuming it falls between the fourth and 16th pick.

The Atlanta Hawks are owed the Minnesota Timberwolves’ first-round pick as part of the Adreian Payne trade in 2015. The pick was lottery protected and would convey to Atlanta based on the final NBA standings.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are owed the Oklahoma City Thunder’s first-round pick as part of the Jazz/Wolves Ricky Rubio trade this past summer. The Jazz acquired the pick as part of the Thunder’s deal to obtain Enes Kanter in 2015. The pick was lottery protected and would convey based on the final NBA standings.

The Chicago Bulls are owed the New Orleans Pelicans first-round pick as a result of the Nikola Mirotic trade. The pick was top-five protected and based on the final NBA standings would convey

The LA Lakers are owed the Cleveland Cavaliers first-round pick as a result of Jordan Clarkson/Larry Nance Jr. trade. The pick was top-three protected and based on the final NBA standings would convey

The Brooklyn Nets are owed the Toronto Raptors’ first-round pick as part of the DeMarre Carroll salary dump trade this past summer. The pick was lottery protected and based on the final NBA standings would convey

The Atlanta Hawks are owed the Houston Rockets’ first-round pick as part of a three-team deal with the LA Clippers and Denver Nuggets involving Danilo Gallinari and taking back Jamal Crawford and Diamond Stone. The pick was top-three protected and based on the final NBA standings would convey

Check out the Basketball Insiders’ Top 100 NBA Draft Prospects – http://www.basketballinsiders.com/top-100-nba-draft-prospects/

More Twitter: Make sure you are following all of our guys on Twitter to ensure you are getting the very latest from our team: @stevekylerNBA, @LangGreene, @EricPincus, @joelbrigham, @TommyBeer, @MokeHamilton , @jblancartenba, @Ben_Dowsett, @SpinDavies, @JamesB_NBA, @DennisChambers_, @mike_yaffe, @MattJohnNBA, and @Ben__Nadeau .

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