The New Orleans Pelicans are headed for a rebuild, a long one.
The Pelicans have watched a superb start turn sour to the tune of a 23-29 record and trade request from their star player, Anthony Davis, on the cusp of the February trade deadline. With Nikola Mirotic, Julius Randle and E’Twaun Moore reportedly available for the right price, Pelicans fans should expect things to get much worse before they get any better.
Still, there should be hope that things move along quickly.
The package Davis could return alone should be enough to jump-start any rebuild. But there is more to this Pelicans roster than Davis; aside from that aforementioned trio, there are a number of different players that New Orleans could swap for future assets. Chief among them, and perhaps second to Davis in potential impact, is Jrue Holiday.
Holiday has flourished during his time in New Orleans. He has averaged a career-high in points (21.2), rebounds (4.9), and assists (eight) this season and earned himself a five-year, $131 million contract just over a year ago. But now, with things the way they are, Holiday’s time for New Orleans may not be long. While he won’t bring back the same return as Davis, Holiday should net a significant asset whether that be a young player, pick or some combination of the two.
So, what teams could look to make a significant addition in Holiday, either now or sometime during the offseason?
Oklahoma City Thunder
At 32-18 and sitting at the third spot in the Western Conference, the Oklahoma City Thunder have found themselves in a good spot at the 50-game mark. Russell Westbrook has struggled with his shot at times, but Paul George has put forth an MVP-caliber effort that has propelled the team throughout the season.
Still, the Thunder roster is far from perfect. And, as many would agree, complacency can lead to utter disaster for even the steadiest of teams.
If there is one thing the Thunder need, it is some consistent beyond-the-arc threats. Outside of George, the best three-point options on the team consist of Terrence Ferguson, Jerami Grant and Dennis Schroder. Ferguson has shot an excellent 38.9 percent from deep, but done so on just 144 attempts. Likewise, Grant and Schroder have both shot a decent percentage, but have combined for just 358 total attempts
For comparison, George has attempted 433 three-point shots on the year.
The lack of viable outside options is only exacerbated when Westbrook, who has shot an abysmal 25 percent from three, is on the floor, and should only get worse upon the return of Andre Roberson and in the postseason. Enter Holiday, a career 35.7 percent three-point shooter that has attempted more threes than any non-George player on the Thunder roster this season. While the price tag is a heavy one, Holiday represents an upgrade, in both basketball ability and postseason experience, over Ferguson, Schroder or whomever else the Thunder deem fit to start alongside Westbrook.
Holiday’s defensive impact would also be a major boon to a Thunder team that already boasts the second-best defense in the NBA.
According to Marc Stein of The New York Times, the Utah Jazz have entertained the thought of a Ricky Rubio-Mike Conley swap with the Memphis Grizzlies.
But should Utah turn away from Conley, whether it be because of his injury history, the Grizzlies’ asking price, or otherwise, Holiday could easily step into the role should the Jazz push hard for an addition before the trade deadline.
The Jazz desperately need another playmaker to pair with Donovan Mitchell on the perimeter — not only to give Mitchell the occasional breather, but to open things up on the inside for Rudy Gobert — and, while either Conley or Holiday could slot into that role, Holiday presents the Jazz with a younger, more versatile and often less injured alternative. While both guards are above average on the defensive end, Holiday’s size advantage over Conley would allow him to more freely move around Quin Snyder’s defense as well.
And, while his contract runs longer than Conley’s, Holiday is due less money than Conley through the 2019-2020 and 2020-2021 seasons, which could make him a more attractive option in the long-term view.
How fitting a Holiday homecoming would be.
Holiday was drafted by and played his first four seasons with the Philadelphia 76ers before he was traded to New Orleans for the rights to Nerlens Noel and a first-round pick (which was subsequently traded to Orlando). Six years later, and in the shadow of the Markelle Fultz saga, Philadelphia is in desperate need of a guard that can handle the ball, play solid defense and shoot the long-ball.
They may find no better fit than Holiday on the open market.
With Ben Simmons at the point, Holiday could easily slide into the lineup right next to him at the two-guard spot. His presence would not only allow Brett Brown to play J.J. Redick off the bench and adding some much-needed shooting to the second unit but, with an eye on the postseason, Holiday, much like he would with Mitchell and the Jazz, would allow Ben Simmons some time off the ball while his shooting would open things up for Joel Embiid down low.
The Phoenix Suns’ rebuild has been a multi-season excursion. However, there is light at the end of the tunnel; Devin Booker, Deandre Ayton and a bevy of other young talents give the Suns the look of a team on the rise, or at least one soon to be.
Now, all the Suns need is a point guard.
Not only would Holiday be a perfect fit alongside the defensively-deficient Devin Booker, but he would bring some veteran poise and postseason experience to one of the most inexperienced rosters in the NBA. While he may not bring an immediate turnaround, giving Holiday the rest of this year plus an entire offseason to engrain himself into the team culture and establish a presence in the locker room could go a long way in turning the Suns’ losing ways around.
Like the Suns, the Orlando Magic have been on the hunt for a point guard for quite some time.
Their frontcourt has the potential to be one of the best in the NBA; freshly minted All-Star Nikola Vucevic, along with Aaron Gordon, Jonathan Isaac and Mohamed Bamba give the Magic a rangy, supremely athletic group. However, the backcourt, specifically the point guard position, has held the team back tremendously.
With the Pelicans heading for a teardown, now may be a better time than ever to upgrade the position.
D.J. Augustin, Jerian Grant and the bevy of bodies the Magic have rotated through the position have performed admirably over the years, but those players are backups at best on more competitive rosters. Right now, Orlando is slated to select seventh in the upcoming draft, but there isn’t a player that could push them out of their rebuild like Holiday.
If the Detroit Pistons want to make the postseason, they have to do something, almost anything, to shake up a roster that has looked mediocre at times this season and not so great at others.
Despite a 22-28 record, Detroit still has a chance to reach the postseason. But the roster is a shell outside of Blake Griffin and Andre Drummond; the duo have been an awkward fit with Reggie Jackson while the rest of the roster, at best, is made up of role players. Holiday would provide an instant upgrade and a necessary one if the Pistons are to have any chance of making the playoffs.
Davis is the biggest name on the market, but it would be a mistake to overlook Holiday as an upgrade or an attractive trade chip. With the trade deadline inching closer, expect to see his name out there as teams look to upgrade and the rumor mill picks up speed.
NBA Daily: Who’s On The Move Next?
While the bulk of the NBA offseason is likely done, here are some names to watch as potential movers ahead of training camps in two months.
With NBA free agency all but closed, there are still a few names lingering waiting for deals, and a new batch of players to watch as the NBA season starts to take shape. Until training camps open in roughly 65 days, here are some of the situations we’ll be watching:
The Washington Wizards have finally wrapped up their summer-long search process for new leadership, landing on Tommy Sheppard as their new full-time general manager. After flirting publicly with Denver’s Tim Connelly, and privately with several other candidates, Sheppard won out. His first order of business is convincing Wizards’ All-Star Bradley Beal to stay on board long enough for them to build around him.
Sheppard has been very transparent that the team will offer Beal the maximum contract extension possible on July 26th — not only hoping he’ll sign it but also showing him their convictions to remold the next iteration of the team with the sharpshooter as the centerpiece.
Beal has two fully guaranteed years and some $55.7 million left on his current deal and is eligible to tack on three more years later this week.
While it is likely Beal will turn down what’s expected to be a three-year $111 million extension offer, the Wizards feel like the respect shown in making the offer at the earliest possible moment will illustrate to Beal how much the team values him.
Unfortunately for the Wizards, the way the NBA’s Collective Bargaining Agreement works, it is in Beal’s best financial interests to wait out next season as he can earn substantially more money if he picks up where he left off last season as an All-NBA level guard. Earning an All-NBA nod next season could trigger eligibility for a Supermax extension next summer that could push him towards a $167 million deal over five years.
Turning down the offer will open the trade rumor flood gates on Beal, and that’s not lost on the Wizards. Teams that have tried to engage Sheppard and company on Beal deals have been turned away abruptly, and Sheppard has already started telling people publicly and privately that even if Beal turns down the extension offer, the Wizards will be staying the course with Beal.
While time will tell how committed Beal really is to a rebuilding situation in Washington, for now, it seems that, with or without an extension, the Wizards plan to keep building around Beal.
That could change if he asks out, but even if he stays silent on the subject, that’s not going to stop the speculation train from picking up steam if he does as expected and passes on the extension offer.
As teams started missing out on All-Star level free agents this summer, Cleveland Cavaliers’ forward Kevin Love’s name started to pop up in trade rumors. Most of the trade talk was speculation according to sources near the Cavaliers, who said there were never any real discussions on moving Love and his remaining four years and $120.4 million.
While interest in acquiring Love is lukewarm, to say the least, there is a belief that Love is obtainable from Cleveland, who have looked at moving most of their veteran players as they start to focus in on building around their youth.
Love, who will turn 31 in September, might be the most obtainable All-Star level guy in the NBA and does have a lot owed on his deal — but it is a contract that plateaus in value next season and then declines during the final year.
As of now, it seems unlikely that anything involving Love happens before training camp. Still, there is a sense in NBA circles that as the season progresses and the balance of power takes shape, Love could be a name on the move around the trade deadline; especially with so much perceived parity in both conferences after the most chaotic offseason the league has seen in years.
The Chicago Bulls were pretty active after Summer League wrapped trying to make deals to round out their roster. One name that continued to surface in trade talks was Bulls’ guard Kris Dunn. The belief in NBA circles is that the Bulls are looking to move on from Dunn and that the asking price is fairly low.
Dunn’s time in Chicago has been hot-and-cold, to say the least. He had a breakout redemption year after being traded to the Bulls as part of the Jimmy Butler trade in 2017 — but since then, Dunn has been up and down and has developed a spotty reputation inside the organization.
With the Bulls landing Coby White in the draft and having so much invested in Zach LaVine, the belief is the Bulls are seriously looking at moving on from Dunn.
In terms of easy-to-obtain guard options, Dunn seems like the most plausible starting level young guy, and it might not take much more than a protected draft pick to get it done if the asking price rumors are genuinely true.
Rockets’ guard Iman Shumpert is still unsigned, although it seems he may stay in Houston on a one-year deal if something else doesn’t surface. The Rockets had approached Shumpert’s camp about his willingness to be included in a sign and trade deal before they obtained Russell Westbrook, and there is still talk that Shumpert could be used to bring in another high-level player.
The Collective Bargaining Agreement requires any sign and trade deal to be three years in length, but only the first season must be guaranteed. This means that the Rockets could leverage Shumpert’s Bird Rights to balloon up his first-year salary to add a significant piece to the roster.
Among the remaining unsigned free agents, Shumpert has logged the most minutes, played a solid role for the Rockets in the postseason and might be the best defender on the market.
While there isn’t much left in terms of free-agent dollars, there is still exception money out there, so the book isn’t closed yet on Shumpert’s options.
When the Oklahoma City Thunder triggered the deal to swap Russell Westbrook for Rockets’ guard Chris Paul, it was assumed the Thunder would immediately flip Paul to another team and start their rebuild around the pieces that came back. The problem is that deal never materialized.
While there has been some criticism of the Thunders’ decision to move Westbrook for what might be the ugliest contract in the NBA. Sources close to the Thunder believed that keeping their word to Westbrook was worth it. When the multi-time All-Star signed his massive extension, one of the promises made by the organization was that if Westbrook were ever unhappy, the Thunder would work with him and his agents to find a suitable situation — something they felt they did with the Houston deal.
While Paul may not be the ideal player to re-build around, the Thunder entered into the deal knowing they could not offload enough of their veteran players to be bad enough to get into the top draft pick discussion, so they opted to add Paul and aim for a playoff spot.
While making the playoffs in the Western Conference might be a stretch, the Thunder have eyes on developing their young guys with Paul as a veteran mentor. There is also hope that Paul will play himself into being more desirable in trade, especially as the three remaining years and $124 million left on his deal ages away.
Basketball Insiders has been grading the offseason of every team in the NBA; if you have missed one check them out here:
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Looking For A Few Great Voices!
From time to time we have open chairs at Basketball Insiders for writers looking to gain experience, grow their brand and to be part of an aggressive up-tempo content team.
Looking For A Few Great Voices!
From time to time we have open chairs at Basketball Insiders for writers looking to gain experience, grow their brand and to be part of an aggressive up-tempo content team.
We are considering adding up to four new voices in 2019, and what we are looking for is very specific.
Here are the criteria:
– A body of professional work that reflects an understanding of the NBA and basketball.
– Must live within 30 minutes of an NBA team other than in New York & LA; we are full in those markets.
– Must be willing to write two to three times per week on various topics as assigned.
– Must write in AP style and meet assigned deadlines.
– Be willing to appear in Podcasts and Video projects as needed and scheduled.
– Have a strong understanding of social media and its role in audience development.
– Be willing to work in a demanding virtual team environment.
Some things to know and consider:
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NBA Daily: Grading The Offseason – New Orleans Pelicans
Spencer Davies recaps a busy summer for the New Orleans Pelicans that turned out to be a huge success going into their first year without Anthony Davis.
With the NBA Summer League concluded and the brunt of free agency completed, the doldrums of the offseason are here. The FIBA World Cup, Drew League, BIG 3 and The Basketball Tournament and other events are currently taking over the scene until the association fires back up in late September.
Last week, Basketball Insiders started a “Grading The Offseason” series by breaking down six teams and the type of summer each has had. To kick off this next round of reviews, we’ll take a look at the brand new version of the New Orleans Pelicans.
Entering the year, the Pelicans had high hopes. While they did lose key contributors with Rajon Rondo and a rehabbing DeMarcus Cousins electing to sign elsewhere, the organization was able to bring in a motivated Julius Randle and Elfrid Payton to ease the roster hit. The core of Anthony Davis, Jrue Holiday, Nikola Mirotic and those two seemed to be a solid group on paper.
Of course, as the season progressed, that changed. Playing the up-and-down pace that Alvin Gentry loves, the Pelicans were getting it done on the offensive end. Davis had been putting up the ridiculous numbers as usual, while Holiday was scoring and dishing with the best of them. Randle fit like a glove with his new team and was a force on the inside, as well as an improved shooter on the outside. Mirotic stretched the floor and, before getting hurt, Payton looked as comfortable as ever.
Then, chaos ensued. Shortly after the new year, Davis made his intentions clear that he wanted out of New Orleans. As the team was hovering around the postseason hunt, the turmoil caused a noticeable distraction and an awkward predicament that left many with a sour taste in their mouths. Up to the trade deadline, the rumors ran rampant regarding Davis’ desire to land with LeBron James and the Los Angeles Lakers.
General manager Dell Demps refused to give in to those demands though, asking for the steepest of prices to even field a call from LA’s front office duo of Magic Johnson and Rob Pelinka. The Lakers offered a majority of the franchise’s young core and a package of picks in an attempt to entice Demps, but he didn’t budge. Pelicans owner Gayle Benson reportedly wanted nothing to do with moving Davis, and she got her wish … at least for the remainder of the season.
New Orleans did trade away Nikola Mirotic and in return received Stanley Johnson and Jason Smith in a three-team deal. Still, it wasn’t enough to bolster a middling, banged-up squad. One week following the deadline, Benson fired Demps and replaced him with Danny Ferry in the interim.
Sure enough, the playoffs became an afterthought quickly. Gentry began playing guys to get a glimpse at what they could bring to the table. On the positive side, Jahlil Okafor made the most of an opportunity, as did upstart rookies Kenrich Williams and Frank Jackson.
However, finishing with a 33-49 record and facing an imminent rebuild, the Pelicans had work to do to straighten out the organization’s direction—with or without Davis.
New Orleans wasted no time in finding a mastermind to fix one of the most difficult situations in the league. Less than a week after the conclusion of the regular season, the franchise hired David Griffin as its new executive vice president of basketball operations.
Lady luck shined on the Bayou at the NBA Draft Lottery a short month after, as the Pelicans scored the No. 1 pick with only a six percent chance to do so. Griffin chose Trajan Langdon, a fast-rising front office assistant in the Brooklyn Nets system, as his general manager. Ahead of the NBA Draft, former WNBA legend Swin Cash joined the fray as vice president of basketball operations and team development.
It wasn’t long before Griffin and his team addressed the turmoil surrounding Davis. In mid-June, the Pelicans struck a blockbuster trade to send the disgruntled superstar to the Lakers as he had desired. In return, they received a king’s ransom as a part of a three-team agreement including the Washington Wizards.
After all of the re-routing was done, New Orleans had brought in Lonzo Ball, Josh Hart, Brandon Ingram and the fourth pick in the draft, plus a pair of future first-round draft picks and the ability to swap another first with the Lakers in 2023.
It would’ve been foolish to believe the Pelicans were done there. The week of the draft, Griffin struck a deal with the Atlanta Hawks to offload Solomon Hill’s large contract by using the No. 4 selection acquired in the Davis trade. The No. 8, No. 17 and No. 35 picks, along with a conditional 2019 first-rounder via Cleveland, were sent to NOLA in exchange.
At the end of it all, New Orleans wound up with three highly-touted rookies: Zion Williamson, Jaxson Hayes and Nickeil Alexander-Walker. The franchise also took intriguing 20-year-old Brazilian prospect Marcos “Didi” Louzada Silva in the second round as a draft-and-stash.
That was one portion of a busy summer. The other was making a couple of striking moves to add experience to the locker room. Longtime sharpshooter J.J. Redick quickly came to terms on a multi-year contract with the Pelicans during free agency moratorium. Darius Miller returned on a separate multi-year deal. Italian forward Nicolo Melli decided to make the journey over from Euroleague and signed with the team for two seasons in addition.
More recently, New Orleans decided to go after Derrick Favors and were successful in doing so with another trade with the Utah Jazz. All it took to get the job done was a pair of future second-rounders that the franchise had previously acquired from Golden State. Zylan Cheatham and Josh Gray were also inked to a couple of two-way contracts.
The theme of the Pelicans’ summer has been roster turnover. With a completely revamped and re-tooled group, Griffin did yeoman’s work regarding the task he had been assigned.
PLAYERS IN: Lonzo Ball, Josh Hart, Brandon Ingram, Nicolo Melli, Darius Miller, J.J. Redick, Derrick Favors, Zion Williamson, Jaxson Hayes, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Didi Louzada (draft-and-stash), Zylan Cheatham (two-way), Josh Gray (two-way)
PLAYERS OUT: Anthony Davis, Julius Randle, Elfrid Payton, Solomon Hill, Cheick Diallo, Ian Clark, Stanley Johnson, Dairis Bertans, Christian Wood, Trevon Bluiett
A new era of Pelicans basketball is on tap next year. There is a palpable excitement within the franchise, as there should be. The phrase “fresh start” applies almost all around. Ball, Ingram and Hart haven’t been in the league for long, but they’ve seen enough floor time to be considered young and experienced. We’ve seen plenty of glimpses of how talented they are. Now, it’s time to see whether or not they can carry those past learnings and turn into leaders collectively.
As those three figure out how to mature in that respect, New Orleans will have the organization’s rock in charge—Jrue Holiday. Coming off what probably should have been an All-Star season, the veteran 29-year-old will be depended on as the new number one option. More importantly, he’ll be the top voice in the locker room to guide this up-and-coming contingent of youngsters. Far too long has Holiday’s consistency and improvement gone unnoticed, and you can bank on seeing a sensational year from him.
Holiday will have help from Redick and Favors, two guys with over a decade of experience in the NBA, in that leadership aspect. E’Twaun Moore is still around and an underrated contributor. They’ll have quite the cast of first-year talent as well, namely that guy Zion who everybody is frothing at the mouth to see play—and no, one short stint at summer league was not nearly enough.
Hayes and Alexander-Walker displayed instant chemistry in Las Vegas, and they could make up a significant piece of an exciting second unit. Granted, Hayes will likely be developed slowly behind Okafor and Favors, so we might not see too much of the promising big man in year one.
With the kind of roster this team has, it wouldn’t be surprising to see the Pelicans make an immediate return to the postseason. Yes, there’s a heck of a lot of competition in the Western Conference, but they’ve reset the temperature in that building. There is confidence that a weight has been lifted off their shoulders.
New Orleans is going to come out of the gate fast and furious, sticking to Gentry’s style of play. Living in transition and embracing ball movement, it’s going to be a blast to watch this particular group—a mixed bags with loads of potential, plus proven talent—mesh over the course of its first season without Davis.
As difficult as losing a franchise player is, this is by no means your typical rebuild.
It’s a reload.