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NBA Betting Picks: Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings preview, picks and prediction

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NBA Betting Picks - Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings prediction, preview and picks

In tonight’s Western Conference thriller on New Year’s Eve, the Dallas Mavericks (16-18) are aiming to bounce back versus the Sacramento Kings (15-21) at Golden 1 Center. Will De’Aaron Fox and the Kings extend their winning streak to three games?  

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Dallas Mavericks vs. Sacramento Kings news

Leading into Friday night’s intraconference game, the Mavericks are 16-18 against the spread in the 2021-22 NBA regular season, while the Kings are 16-20 against the spread. The tip-off time for this contest is 6 p.m. ET. This competitive matchup will air live via Bally Sports New Orleans, Bally Sports Oklahoma, Bally Sports Southwest, NBA League Pass and NBC Sports California. Referring to Land of Basketball’s database, based on 174 head-to-head regular season games played all-time, Dallas is 97-77 versus Sacramento. As of now, the series is split this season at 1-1.

In Wednesday’s contest, the most recent meeting this season, Sacramento defeated Dallas 95-94 at Golden 1 Center. In other news, one day after the Mavs signed free agent guard Isaiah Thomas, the 32-year-old entered the league’s health and safety protocols. The team has a total of seven players out due to COVID-19. Five days ago, the Lakers opted not to re-sign Thomas to a second 10-day contract. Earlier on Friday, the Mavs organization signed forward Marquese Chriss to a 10-day contract. In four games played this season, Chriss averaged 6.3 points and 4.8 rebounds. He will wear the No. 32 jersey.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Sacramento Kings betting lines and odds

NBA Betting Picks - Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings preview, prediction and picks

Sportsbook: BetOnline

Over/Under: 218

Point spread: Mavericks -2 (-110)

Best moneyline: Mavericks -130, Kings +110

Dallas Mavericks vs. Sacramento Kings injury report

Mavericks: PG Isaiah Thomas (out) | SF Reggie Bullock (probable) | SG Tim Hardaway Jr. (out) | PG Trey Burke (out) | C Willie Cauley-Stein (out) | C Boban Marjanovic (out) | PF Maxi Kleber (out) | PG Luka Doncic (out) | PG JaQuori McLaughlin (out)

Kings: C Neemias Queta (questionable)

Dallas Mavericks vs. Sacramento Kings preview

Additionally, in the Mavs’ 95-94 road loss versus the Kings on Wednesday, guard Jalen Brunson scored a team-high 25 points in 36 minutes played. Forward Kristaps Porzingis had 24 points, 7.0 rebounds and 3.0 assists in 35 minutes on the court as well. In the opening quarter, Dallas outscored Sacramento 30 to 20. Nonetheless, the Kings held them to just 13 points in the second quarter.

Of all players the team is missing right now, it’s definitely Luka Doncic. They shot 38-for-81 (46.9%) from the field and 9-for-24 (37.5%) from behind the arc. Following this defeat, the Mavs have won four of their last 10 games. They are now 8-10 away, 8-8 at home and 10-8 ATS away this season. They rank eighth overall in the Western Conference. The team has to keep winning if they want to maintain a top-eight playoff spot.

Referencing ESPN’s Basketball Power Index, the Kings have a 60.7% probability of winning. 

Meanwhile, the Kings’ nail-biting victory over the Mavs, guard De’Aaron Fox led his team in scoring, finishing his performance with 16 points in 34 minutes of action. Both Harrison Barnes and Davion Mitchell earned 14 points, too. Tyrese Haliburton added one more double-double to his career total, with 12 points, 2.0 rebounds and 10 assists in 36 minutes played.

Sacramento outscored Dallas 46 to 40 in the paint. Not to mention, they shot 36-for-75 (48%) from the floor and 10-for-26 (38.5%) from three-point range. Notwithstanding the team winning only four of their past 10 games, they have won back-to-back games. Despite struggling, the Kings have one of the healthiest rosters in the league. They are now 9-11 at home, 6-10 away and 9-11 ATS at home this season. Sacramento ranks 11th in the conference.

Projected starting lineup

Mavericks: PG Jalen Brunson | SG Frank Ntilikina | SF Dorian Finney-Smith | PF Kristaps Porzingis | C Dwight Powell

Kings: PG De’Aaron Fox | SG Tyrese Haliburton | SF Harrison Barnes | PF Chimezie Metu | C Richaun Holmes

Dallas Mavericks vs. Sacramento Kings prediction

To add to the information above, the total for this New Year’s Eve matchup is set at 218. According to the spread consensus, 69% of gamblers are predicting the Mavs will cover the spread at Golden 1 Center. Concerning the point total consensus, 67% of bettors are assuming the total will go over 218. At this point of the regular season, Dallas is 12-4 as a favorite, 4-13 as an underdog and 10-8 ATS away, whereas Sacramento is 6-6 as a favorite, 9-15 as an underdog and 9-11 ATS at home.

For helpful betting trends, the Mavs are 6-3 ATS in their last nine performances. Plus, they are 2-5 straight up in their past seven games versus the Kings. Next, Dallas is 1-5 ATS in their previous six contests versus Sacramento. Also, the total has gone under in 10 of their last 14 games this season. Keep in mind, the Mavs are 1-4 SU in their past five head-to-head matches against the Kings.

As for the Kings, they are 6-3 ATS in their previous nine performances. Also, the total has gone under in Sacramento’s last six contests versus Dallas. On the flip side, the total has gone under in five of the team’s past six games when playing at Golden 1 Center against the Mavs. All in all, think about picking the Kings to win and cover the spread. If you have never placed a bet or you’re an experienced gambler wanting to brush up on what you already know, read our handicap betting guide for good measure.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Sacramento Kings betting pick

Pick the Kings to win, they will cover the spread and the total will go over 218. Sacramento is a two-point underdog at home with BetOnline.

All betting lines were retrieved from BetOnline. Click below to claim a free bet, if you’re a new customer.  

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