While some teams head down the stretch with their eyes on the postseason, others resign themselves to the lottery. With our “Fixing” series, we will look at those teams and see what they can do to pull themselves out of the NBA cellar.
Today will be about the Dallas Mavericks. With a record of 20-45, not much has gone right for the Mavericks this year, but what can they do to change their fortunes in the offseason?
What is Working?
There isn’t much of anything one could say is working in Dallas as is. The offense is atrocious and the defense is even worse. With 17 games left in the season, the Mavericks sit at 45 losses — four off of their total losses from last season — and continue to trend downward after owner Mark Cuban said that, right now, losing is Dallas’ “best option.”
If there is one bright spot, however, it is rookie Dennis Smith Jr.
Smith hasn’t been the best rookie this season, but his incredible athletic ability has allowed him to do things some others just simply can’t. Smith has averaged 15 points, 3.8 rebounds and 5 assists on the season and has consistently flashed the upside that led Dallas to select him No. 9 overall in the 2017 NBA Draft. The 20-year-old has also thrown down some highlight reel slams and competed in the 2018 Slam Dunk Contest over All-Star Weekend.
Harrison Barnes and Maxi Kleber could constitute working pieces as well. Barnes has averaged 18.5 points, 6.4 rebounds and 1.9 assists on the season while the rookie Kleber has flashed when given serious playing time.
What Needs to Change?
It seems as if the Mavericks have been caught up in a youth moment since their 2011 NBA Finals run. Now the youth is here but, unfortunately, most of it just isn’t very good.
The acquisition of Nerlens Noel last season, who seldom if ever is on the floor, has been a complete bust. Other young guys, like Dwight Powell, Salah Mejri etc., have not worked out as hoped. If the Mavericks are to right the ship, they’ll need to cut the dead weight that comprises a lot of the roster and fully commit to a rebuild rather than look to retool in the twilight of Hall of Famer Dirk Nowitzki’s career like they have in years passed.
The coming Draft will be of major importance for Dallas as well; outside of Smith last year and swinging a trade for Nowitzki way back in 1998, the Mavericks have been, by far, one of the worst drafting franchises in the league. Their draft history is loaded with busts, players who just didn’t pan out and players that were traded before they had a chance to do anything for the team. That will need to change.
Focus Area: The Draft
While the NBA may not like it, the Mavericks have tanked their way to a top pick. Tied with the Brooklyn Nets and the Atlanta Hawks for the third-best odds at the No.1 pick, Dallas will likely look to lose a majority of their games that remain on the schedule.
In a draft that is seemingly loaded, it is crucial that the Mavericks hit a home run with their pick. The team needs a big to eventually succeed Nowitzki in the front court, and the 2018 Draft should be loaded with them: DeAndre Ayton, Mohamed Bamba, Marvin Bagley and plenty others. Depending on where their pick falls, the Mavericks could have their selection of any one of them.
Of course, the team could also look to find a backcourt mate for Smith. Like with the bigs, there is no shortage of talent to be had on the wing or at the guard spots: Luka Doncic, Trae Young, Mikal Bridges.
The Mavericks will have plenty of option to choose from, all talented in their own ways. But whomever they choose, Dallas needs them to pan out. The team cannot afford another miss or they could risk being set back years.
Focus Area: Free Agency
The Mavericks are not competitive now, nor will they be for at least another season or two. The worst thing they could do in free agency is hand out long-term contracts to pretty much anyone.
Instead, Dallas should look to take fliers on players who are seeking playing time and looking to prove themselves a la the Memphis Grizzlies and Tyreke Evans this season. They could also sign players to big-money, but short-term contracts in order to ensure their cap flexibility in the future while also staying above the salary floor. Both the former and the latter could be flipped at next season’s Trade Deadline, either to teams in the playoff hunt or to those looking to take on expiring contracts and clear cap-space.
All eyes for the Mavericks, ideally, should be on the 2019 free agent class.
While the superstar free-agents-to-be this season — LeBron James, Kevin Durant, Paul George, etc. — aren’t making their way to Dallas, a year of positive growth and development, spearheaded by Smith and whomever they choose with their upcoming draft selection, could go a long way in enticing the numerous high-caliber players who will hit the market after next season. Klay Thompson, Jimmy Butler and plenty others will all likely be available for the right price, and that is precisely when the Mavericks should look to strike.
The past few seasons haven’t been fun in Dallas. If they play their cards right over the next few seasons, the Mavericks should be back in the thick of things in the Western Conference. If they don’t, however, the franchise could continue to fall, even farther than they already have, which would mean disaster for the Mavericks future and their fans.
PODCAST: Breaking Down The Western Conference Playoff Race
Basketball Insiders Deputy Editor Jesse Blancarte and Writer James Blancarte break down the Western Conference playoff race and check in on the Los Angeles Clippers and Los Angeles Lakers.
NBA Daily: The Cleveland Cavaliers Need Tyronn Lue
The Cleveland Cavaliers have faced injury adversity and a roster shakeup, and now face uncertainty regarding coach Tyronn Lue’s health.
The most enduring image of Cleveland Cavaliers coach Tyronn Lue came moments after his team sealed the 2016 NBA Finals with a third consecutive win after trailing the Golden State Warriors 3-1. As the team celebrated its historic comeback and readied to hoist the Larry O’Brien Trophy, one camera focused on Lue, who sat on the bench with his face buried in his hands.
— Buddy Grizzard (@BuddyGrizzard) June 20, 2016
The image tells a thousand words about the pressure Lue was under as Cleveland teetered on the brink of elimination for three games. Rather than sharing the euphoria of his players, it seemed that Lue’s emotions centered around the massive weight that had been lifted from his shoulders. Almost two years later, it appears that burden has caught back up with Lue, whose leave of absence for health reasons complicates things for Cleveland with the playoffs just around the corner.
“It’s like losing one of your best players,” said Cavaliers forward LeBron James after Cleveland’s 124-117 win at home over the Milwaukee Bucks on Monday.
Kevin Love returned from a six-week injury absence to post 18 points, seven rebounds and four assists against the Bucks. James likened Lue’s absence to the burden of trying to replace Love’s output while he was unavailable.
“We’ve got to have guys step up, just like guys trying to step up in Kev’s absence,” said James. “We have to do the same as a collective group as long as Ty needs to get himself back healthy.”
There’s optimism that Lue could return before the playoffs, but there’s a great deal of uncertainty given the seriousness of his symptoms, which reportedly included coughing up blood. Lead assistant Larry Drew, a former head coach with the Bucks and Hawks, will handle head coaching responsibilities until Lue is ready to return.
Kyle Korver played under Drew in Atlanta and said he’s confident in his ability to fill in.
“We’d love to have Ty here and healthy,” said Korver after the Bucks win. “Coach Drew has done this for a long time as well. He coached me for a full year in Atlanta. We know he’s fully capable.”
Korver also doubted Drew would introduce any major stylistic changes.
“I think LD’s been Ty’s top assistant for a reason,” said Korver. “They really think a lot alike. They coach very similarly. We miss Ty, but I think the style of what we do is going to be very similar.”
While style and approach should remain unchanged, what could an extended absence for Lue mean for the Cavaliers? Lue cemented his legacy as a leader by keeping the Cavaliers together as they fought back from a 3-1 deficit to the Warriors, but Drew hasn’t had that kind of success as a head coach.
In 2012, the Hawks had a real opportunity to reach the Eastern Conference Finals for the first time in Atlanta history. The Hawks faced an aging Boston Celtics squad in the first round. The eighth-seed Philadelphia 76ers awaited in the second round after defeating the top-seeded Chicago Bulls.
After splitting the first two games in Atlanta, the Hawks faced a pivotal Game 3 in Boston with the opportunity to retake home court advantage. Atlanta Journal-Constitution beat writer Michael Cunningham used Synergy Sports to break down every offensive possession for Celtics point guard Rajon Rondo. His conclusion? For three quarters, Rondo did not score a single basket while guarded by Hawks combo guard Kirk Hinrich.
The Hawks traded a package that included a former and a future first-round pick to obtain Hinrich from the Wizards in 2011. But in Game 3, Hinrich failed to score a point despite his effective defense. Apparently feeling the need for an offensive spark, Drew left Hinrich on the bench in the fourth quarter and turned to career journeyman Jannero Pargo.
With Hinrich out of the game, Rondo’s offense came to life as he slashed to the basket at will. Boston opened the fourth with a 13-7 run before Pargo went to the bench and Atlanta closed on a 15-7 run to force overtime. The NBA did not publish net rating data at the time, but we can now see via historical data that the Hawks were outscored by nearly 52 points per 100 possessions in Pargo’s minutes in Game 3. Rather than entrust Atlanta’s season and his own legacy to a player the Hawks traded two first-round picks to obtain, Drew went with Pargo, a career end-of-bench player.
What does this mean for the Cavaliers? It means the team needs to get Lue back. Drew and Lue are both former NBA players who have received mixed reviews as head coaches. But when his legacy was on the line, Lue pushed the right buttons.
For Drew’s part, in his first postgame press conference since Lue’s absence was announced, he remained publicly deferential.
“Coach Lue is the one who makes that decision,” said Drew when asked about lineup combinations. “That’s not my call. We look at a lot of different combinations — whether guys are starting or whether they are coming off the bench — and we assess everything.”
On the critical question of how lineups will be fine-tuned as the Cavaliers prepare for the playoffs, Drew once again emphasized Lue’s active role even as he steps away from the bench.
“I’ll talk to Ty,” said Drew. “He’s got the final say-so. Whatever he wants, then that’s what we’re going to go with. But if he tells me to make a decision, then I’ll have to make the decision.”
With Lue suffering acute symptoms, there’s no way of knowing when he will be ready to step back into the pressure cooker of a leading role for a team with championship aspirations. But the Cavaliers need him and need his steadying influence and instincts. Cleveland is a team that has battled through injuries and a major roster overhaul at the trade deadline. It also faces the pressure of James’ impending free agency decision this summer.
Now, with the playoffs just around the corner, the Cavaliers must endure uncertainty about Lue’s ability to return and lead the team. James has emphasized that Lue’s health overshadows any basketball concerns, but gave his most terse remark when asked about learning that Lue would step away on the same day Cleveland finally got Love back.
“If it’s not one thing, it’s another,” said James. “That was my reaction.”
A Breakout Season for Joe Harris
Brooklyn Nets swingman Joe Harris talks to Basketball Insiders about his second chance with the Nets.
The NBA is all about second chances. Sometimes players need a change of scenery, or a coach who believes in them, or just something different to reach their full potential. They may be cast aside by several teams, but eventually, they often find that right situation that allows them to flourish.
Such was the case for Joe Harris. Originally drafted by the Cleveland Cavaliers with the 33rd overall pick in the 2014 draft, Harris rarely saw the court during his time in Cleveland. He averaged about 6.4 minutes per game over the course of about one and a half seasons with the Cavaliers.
During the 2015-16 season, his second in Cleveland, he underwent season-ending foot surgery. Almost immediately after, the Cavaliers traded him to the Orlando Magic in an attempt to cut payroll due to luxury tax penalties. He would never suit up for the Magic as they cut him as soon as they traded for him.
After using the rest of that season to recover from surgery, he would sign with the Brooklyn Nets in the summer of 2016. He had a very strong first season in Brooklyn, but this season he’s truly broken out.
“I think a lot of it has to do with just the right situation in terms of circumstances. It’s a young team where you don’t really have anybody on the team that’s going out and getting 20 a night,” Harris told Basketball Insiders. “It’s a collective effort most nights and it can be any given person depending on the situation. It’s one of those things where we’re real unselfish with the ball. A lot of guys get a lot of good looks, so your production is bound to go up just because of the system now that we’re playing.”
Known primarily as a sharpshooter in college at the University of Virginia as well as his first stop in Cleveland, Harris has started developing more of an all-around game. He’s improved his ability to put the ball on the floor and make plays as well as crashing the glass and playing strong defense.
In a relatively forgettable season record-wise for the Nets, Harris has been one of their bright spots. He’s putting up 10.1 points per game on 47.3 percent shooting from the field while playing 25.4 minutes per game. He’s up to 40.3 percent from the three-point line and he’s pulling down 3.3 rebounds. All of those numbers are career-highs.
“My role, I think, is very similar to the way I would be anywhere that I was playing. I’m a shooter, I help space the floor for guys to facilitate,” Harris told Basketball Insiders. “I’m opportunistic offensively with drives and such. I’m out there to try and space the floor, knock down shots, and then play tough defensively and make sure I’m doing my part in getting defensive rebounds and that sort of stuff.”
Although Harris didn’t play much in Cleveland, he did show glimpses and flashes of the player he has blossomed into in Brooklyn. He saw action in 51 games his rookie year while knocking down 36.9 percent of his three-point attempts.
He also saw action in six playoff games during the Cavaliers’ run to the 2015 Finals. But more importantly, it was the off the court things that Harris kept with him after leaving Cleveland. The valuable guidance passed down to him from the Cavaliers veteran guys. It’s all helped mold him into the indispensable contributor he’s become for the Nets.
“Even though I wasn’t necessarily playing as much, the experience was invaluable just in terms of learning how to be a professional,” Harris told Basketball Insiders. “The approach, the preparation, that sort of stuff. That’s why I learned a lot while I was there. All those good players that have had great, great, and long careers and just being able to kind of individually pick their brains and learn from them.”
When Harris came to Brooklyn two years ago, he initially signed a two-year deal with a team option after the first year. When he turned in a promising 2016-17 season, it was a no-brainer for the Nets to pick up his option. Set to make about $1.5 million this season, Harris’ contract is a steal.
However, he’s headed for unrestricted free agency this upcoming summer. Although he dealt with being a free agent before when he first signed with the Nets, it’s a different situation now. He’s likely going to be one of the most coveted wings on the market. While there’s still a bit more of the regular season left, and free agency still several months away, it’s something Harris has already thought about. If all goes well, Brooklyn is a place he can see himself staying long-term.
“Yeah, it’s one of those things that I’ll worry about that sort of decision when the time comes. But I have really enjoyed my time in Brooklyn,” Harris told Basketball Insiders. “It’s a great organization with a lot of good people, and they try and do stuff the right way. I enjoy being a part of that and trying to kind of rebuild and set a good foundation for where the future of the Brooklyn Nets is.”